Syracuse 23 @ Clemson 27

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 6.10 | Odds: CLEM -24.5, O/U 65.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Concept from Robert Binion (@robert_binion). Cell colors reflect the percentile of a team's performance against all single-game FBS vs FBS performances in that stat in 2018.
Overall ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
EPA/Play -0.18 21st %ile0.09 65th %ile
Success Rate 39% 39th %ile51% 88th %ile
Yards/Play 4.94 34th %ile5.76 55th %ile
EPA/Dropback -0.19 29th %ile-0.18 31st %ile
EPA/Rush -0.17 26th %ile0.27 89th %ile
Yards/Dropback 5.95 47th %ile5.33 36th %ile
Explosive Play Rate 6% 24th %ile5% 14th %ile
3rd Down Success Rate 24% 9th %ile31% 24th %ile
Red Zone Success Rate 47% 60th %ile55% 76th %ile
Def Run Stuff Rate 10% 0th %ile24% 16th %ile
Havoc Rate 11% 24th %ile12% 30th %ile
Expected Points ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Total Plays 8395
Total EPA -4.143.76
  Offensive EPA -12.257.26
  Special Teams EPA 10.62-3.29
  Penalty EPA -1.31-0.25
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.200.04
Production ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Scrimmage Plays 6782
  Yards 331472
  Yards/Play 4.945.76
  EPA -12.257.26
  EPA/Play -0.180.09
Passes 42 (63%)33 (40%)
  Yards 250176
  Yards/Play 5.955.33
  EPA -7.91-6.10
  EPA/Play -0.19-0.18
Rushes 25 (37%)49 (60%)
  Yards 69323
  Yards/Play 2.766.59
  EPA -4.3413.36
  EPA/Play -0.170.27
Rushing ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Scrimmage Plays 6782
Rushes 25 (37%)49 (60%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (8%)2 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (50%)2 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (24%)5 (10%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 13 (52%)18 (37%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 8 (32%)26 (53%)
OL Line Yards 27.981.6
  Per Carry 1.121.67
Highlight Yards 16125
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.004.81
Explosiveness ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Total Plays 8395
Scrimmage Plays 6782
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)4 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (5%)2 (6%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (8%)2 (4%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -23.40-5.27
  EPA/Play -0.37-0.07
  When Passing -14.49-12.91
    EPA/Play -0.34-0.39
  When Rushing -8.927.64
    EPA/Play -0.390.16
Situational ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 26 (39%)42 (51%)
  When Passing 16 (38%)14 (42%)
  When Rushing 10 (40%)28 (57%)
  On Standard Downs 19 (40%)36 (57%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (35%)6 (32%)
  On Early Downs 21 (42%)35 (54%)
  On Late Downs 5 (29%)7 (41%)
  During "Middle 8" 7 (70%)7 (54%)
Early Downs 5065
  First Downs Created 9 (18%)20 (31%)
  EPA -8.0710.51
  EPA/Play -0.160.16
  Passes 32 (64%)22 (34%)
  Rushes 18 (36%)43 (66%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 14 (44%)11 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (39%)24 (56%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1013
  EPA 4.38-1.09
  EPA/play 0.44-0.08
  Passes 6 (60%)4 (31%)
  Rushes 4 (40%)9 (69%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (67%)1 (25%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (75%)6 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Total 1413
Avg Starting Field Position Own 29Own 22
Plays/Drive 6.758.22
Yards/Drive 34.0447.44
Available Yards % 48%61%
Defensive ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Scrimmage Plays 8267
Stop Rate 32%45%
Havoc Plays Created 9 (11%)8 (12%)
  Passing 6 (18%)5 (12%)
  Rushing 3 (6%)3 (12%)
TFLs Generated 86
  Passing 53
  Rushing 33
Sacks Generated 4 (12%)1 (2%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 11
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Turnovers 12
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 11
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 0.40.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.3-0.3
Turnover Luck (pts) 3.6-3.6
Special Teams ESPN team id 183 ESPN team id 228
Total Plays 16 13
Total EPA 10.62 -3.29
  Field Goal EPA 3.55 -0.44
  Punting EPA 7.07 0.1
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -2.94

Syracuse [show/hide]

ESPN team id 183
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Eric Dungey 26/41, 250 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 39.0 xQBR, 0.31 DETMER 5.95 -0.19 -7.91 38% 62.0%
Rush attempts
Sean Riley 2 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.30 2.60 100% 1.0%
Jarveon Howard 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.54 -0.54 0% 1.0%
Eric Dungey 12 carries, 19 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.58 -0.14 -1.67 33% -13.0%
Moe Neal 7 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.25 -1.75 57% -5.0%
Dontae Strickland 3 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.67 -0.99 -2.98 0% -6.0%
Pass targets
Taj Harris 3 catches (5 targets), 66 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 0.74 3.68 60% 3.0%
Devin C. Butler 5 catches (7 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.30 2.11 57% 8.0%
Jamal Custis 5 catches (7 targets), 73 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.60 0.23 1.62 57% 7.0%
Nykeim Johnson 2 catches (3 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.05 0.16 67% -4.0%
Moe Neal 5 catches (7 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.20 -0.20 -1.43 29% -4.0%
Sean Riley 4 catches (5 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.33 -1.66 20% -4.0%
Dontae Strickland 2 catches (3 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -1.25 -3.75 0% 82.0%

Clemson [show/hide]

ESPN team id 228
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Trevor Lawrence 10/15, 93 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 28.5 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 5.47 -0.08 -1.30 53% -1.0%
Amari Rodgers 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 33.3 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 0.00 -1.35 -1.35 0% -3.0%
Chase Brice 7/13, 83 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 59.4 xQBR, 0.10 DETMER 5.53 -0.23 -3.45 33% 22.0%
Rush attempts
Travis Etienne 27 carries, 203 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.52 0.44 11.91 56% 37.0%
Tavien Feaster 9 carries, 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.89 0.35 3.18 67% 22.0%
Adam Choice 9 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.44 0.26 2.33 56% 12.0%
Chase Brice 1 carry, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.43 1.43 100% 16.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% -4.0%
Trevor Lawrence 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 1.00 -2.73 -5.46 50% -10.0%
Pass targets
Hunter Renfrow 3 catches (3 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.73 5.18 100% 11.0%
Justyn Ross 3 catches (4 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.33 0.75 3.01 75% 7.0%
Tavien Feaster 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.60 0.60 100% 0.0%
T.J. Chase 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.13 -0.13 0% 1.0%
Tee Higgins 4 catches (10 targets), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.25 -0.03 -0.31 30% 29.0%
Amari Rodgers 4 catches (6 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.75 -0.18 -1.09 50% -3.0%
Travis Etienne 1 catch (1 target), -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -2.20 -2.20 0% -6.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:13 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 35) Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 30 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, recovered by Syrac Alton Robinson - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -5.93 92.9% -10.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.21 - 1.72 = -5.93

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 8 at SYR 39) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 10 Amari Rodgers fumbled, recovered by Syrac - SYR 16, CLEM 13 5.90 36.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 10

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - -0.58 = 5.90

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:28 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 7 at SYR 28) Eric Dungey pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for 20 yds to the Syrac 25 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -5.17 44.3% -15.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 25

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.17 - 1.00 = -5.17

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.83)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:55 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 5 at SYR 35) Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 51 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 3.92 8.3% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 0.88 = 3.92

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.12)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:08 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at SYR 26) Travis Etienne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.64 41.1% 20.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.36 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 8 at CLEM 43) Chase Brice pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 28 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 3.43 51.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 29

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 0.20 = 3.43

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:38 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at CLEM 48) Chase Brice pass complete to Tee Higgins for 20 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.39 31.6% 34.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - -0.15 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:10 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at SYR 30) Greg Huegel 47 yd FG MISSED - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -2.99 91.6% -3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 70

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - 1.33 = -2.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:20 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 23) Chase Brice pass intercepted Trill Williams return for 3 yds to the Clem 38 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -2.73 53.5% -6.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -1.05 = -2.73

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-10.05)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:35 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 10 at SYR 11) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 31 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 2.66 19.6% 9.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 58

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.79 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.21)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 17 at SYR 18) Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 6 yds to the Syrac 24 - SYR 23, CLEM 27 -2.45 2.6% 97.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 24

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.54 - -0.09 = -2.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.09)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:38 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at CLEM 48) Chase Brice pass complete to Tee Higgins for 20 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.39 31.6% 34.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - -0.15 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:08 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at SYR 26) Travis Etienne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.64 41.1% 20.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.36 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 32) Chase Brice run for 17 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 1.43 65.6% 16.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 15

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 3.19 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at SYR 16) Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 2.08 71.0% 15.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 5

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.47 = 2.08

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.47)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 8 at SYR 39) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 10 Amari Rodgers fumbled, recovered by Syrac - SYR 16, CLEM 13 5.90 36.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 10

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - -0.58 = 5.90

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:28 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 7 at SYR 28) Eric Dungey pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for 20 yds to the Syrac 25 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -5.17 44.3% -15.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 25

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.17 - 1.00 = -5.17

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.83)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 183 (4th & Goal at CLEM 1) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 13 2.11 53.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.89 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:09 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at SYR 26) Greg Huegel 43 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 10 1.72 51.7% 13.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.72)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 9 at SYR 33) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae Strickland - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.74 61.6% -12.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.17 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:49 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 11 at CLEM 18) Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOOD - SYR 3, CLEM 0 0.66 6.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:26 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 13 at CLEM 34) Andre Szmyt 51 yd FG GOOD - SYR 6, CLEM 0 2.32 8.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.68 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & Goal at SYR 1) Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 6, CLEM 7 1.10 87.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.90 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.10)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:31 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 1) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.96 13.9% 4.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.04 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.04)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 4 at CLEM 15) Andre Szmyt 32 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.57 38.8% 10.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.43 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.43)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:09 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at SYR 26) Greg Huegel 43 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 10 1.72 51.7% 13.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.72)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 5 at SYR 20) Greg Huegel 37 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 13 0.84 65.9% 6.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.16 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 183 (4th & Goal at CLEM 1) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 13 2.11 53.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.89 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:08 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at SYR 26) Travis Etienne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.64 41.1% 20.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.36 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:41 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at SYR 2) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 27 1.28 92.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 0, CLEM 0 0.00 2.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 0.08 2.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.02 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:25 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 5 at SYR 30) Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -0.73 5.6% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.25 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:45 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 3 at SYR 32) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 13:45 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 0.00 5.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 3 at SYR 32) Sean Riley run for 19 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST down - SYR 0, CLEM 0 2.47 4.6% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 49

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 0.54 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 13:05 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 49) Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Clem 40 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 0.95 5.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 40

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.01 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:55 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 1 at CLEM 40) Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -0.32 7.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 3.95 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 37) Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 3 yds to the Clem 34 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -0.22 6.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 3.63 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 7 at CLEM 34) Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 18 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST down - SYR 0, CLEM 0 1.63 8.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 16

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 3.42 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:30 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 16) Moe Neal run for no gain to the Clem 16 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -0.60 10.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 5.06 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:10 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 16) Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 1 yd to the Clem 15 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -0.73 8.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 4.43 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:35 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 9 at CLEM 15) Moe Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 17 - SYR 0, CLEM 0 -1.17 7.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 17

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.71 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 0, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:49 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 11 at CLEM 18) Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOOD - SYR 3, CLEM 0 0.66 6.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:49 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 65 yds , Lyn-J Dixon return for 16 yds to the Clem 16 - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -1.44 92.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: CLEM 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.85 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 16) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 19 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST down - SYR 3, CLEM 0 1.32 92.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLEM 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.50 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.50)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:13 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 35) Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 30 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, recovered by Syrac Alton Robinson - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -5.93 92.9% -10.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.21 - 1.72 = -5.93

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:08 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 30) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. Butler - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -0.59 16.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 4.18 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:00 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 30) Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 33 - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -1.68 12.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 3.62 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.62)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:32 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 13 at CLEM 33) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Moe Neal - SYR 3, CLEM 0 -0.90 10.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.95 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 3, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:26 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 13 at CLEM 34) Andre Szmyt 51 yd FG GOOD - SYR 6, CLEM 0 2.32 8.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.68 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:26 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 62 yds , Derion Kendrick return for 14 yds to the Clem 17 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -1.42 85.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.69 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.31)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 17) Travis Etienne run for 15 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.99 84.0% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.43 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.57)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:45 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 32) Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 36 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.11 86.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.43 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at CLEM 36) Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.76 87.5% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 1.25 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.75)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:24 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 36) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds to the Clem 41 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.67 86.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.43 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.57)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:58 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 1 at CLEM 41) Will Spiers punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the CLEMSON 10 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (5 Yards) to the Syrac 5 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.02 85.4% 2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 95

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - -0.19 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.24)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:45 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 5) Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 8 yds to the Syrac 13 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.59 12.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 87

Started Drive at: SYR 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.36 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:20 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 2 at SYR 13) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.56 15.6% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 86

Started Drive at: SYR 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.00 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:50 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 1 at SYR 14) Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 14 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -1.77 17.7% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 86

Started Drive at: SYR 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.44 = -1.77

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.44)

Score Difference (End): 6 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 1 at SYR 14) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 40 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.63 15.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 60

Started Drive at: SYR 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.91 - -1.28 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 6 (4.72)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.09)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:55 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 40) Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the Clem 49 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.84 89.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 1.90 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.10)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:25 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at CLEM 49) Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.02 88.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 2.74 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.26)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:53 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 49) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 8 yds to the Syrac 41 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.61 87.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 41

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 2.75 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 2 at SYR 41) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 11 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.60 89.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 3.34 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.66)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 30) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 9 yds to the Syrac 21 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.90 87.4% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 21

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 3.94 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.06)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:50 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at SYR 21) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 12 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 0 0.44 88.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 9

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 4.85 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.15)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at SYR 9) Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.64 89.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 5.30 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.70)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:20 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at SYR 9) Etienne, Travis rush for loss of 4 yards to the SYRACUSE13, PENALTY SYRACUSE face mask (Williams, McKinley) 5 yards to the SYRACUSE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON. - SYR 6, CLEM 0 1.38 89.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.02 - 4.65 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.35)

Score Difference (End): -6 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:55 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at SYR 4) Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Syrac 2 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.08 90.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 2

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.94 - 6.02 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -6 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at SYR 2) Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1 - SYR 6, CLEM 0 -0.04 88.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.90 - 5.94 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.06)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & Goal at SYR 1) Travis Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 6, CLEM 7 1.10 87.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.90 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.10)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.00 8.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:49 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. Butler - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.60 8.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.07 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:35 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 10 at SYR 25) Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 33 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.49 8.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.47 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:03 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 2 at SYR 33) Eric Dungey pass incomplete - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -1.77 9.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - 0.96 = -1.77

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.04)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 2 at SYR 33) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 52 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 13 Amari Rodgers fumbled, recovered by Clem - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.25 8.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 87

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.79 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.79)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 13) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 7 yds to the Clem 20 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.36 91.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.55 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 3 at CLEM 20) Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Clem 22 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.42 92.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.88 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 1 at CLEM 22) Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.77 89.8% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.43 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the Clem 32 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.47 90.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.20 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 3 at CLEM 32) Travis Etienne run for 25 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 1.52 90.3% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 1.71 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.71)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:30 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 43) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 9 yds to the Syrac 34 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.90 92.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 3.16 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.16)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at SYR 34) Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.19 92.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 4.06 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 33) Lawrence, Trevor pass complete to Kendrick, Derion for 13 yards to the SYRACUSE20, PENALTY CLEMSON ineligible downfield on pass (Simpson, John) 5 yards to the SYRACUSE38, NO PLAY. - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.73 92.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.79 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.79)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 15 at SYR 38) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 8 yds to the Syrac 30 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.60 92.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.93 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.93)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:23 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at SYR 30) Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.86 92.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.54 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.54)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:17 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at SYR 30) Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -1.35 92.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.67 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.67)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:17 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at SYR 30) Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 10:17 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.00 91.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.32)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:10 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at SYR 30) Greg Huegel 47 yd FG MISSED - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -2.99 91.6% -3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 70

Started Drive at: CLEM 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - 1.33 = -2.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:52 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 30) Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the Syrac 37 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 0.46 11.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 1.62 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.62)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:38 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 3 at SYR 37) Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 2 yds to the Syrac 39 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.23 11.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.00 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.00)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:15 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 1 at SYR 39) SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Cody Conway) to the Syrac 35 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.60 9.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 65

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.63 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.63)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:55 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 5 at SYR 35) Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 51 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 3.92 8.3% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 0.88 = 3.92

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.12)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:25 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 14) Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 12 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST down - SYR 6, CLEM 7 1.47 13.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 2

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.18 - 4.70 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.70)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:55 ESPN team id 183 (1st & Goal at CLEM 2) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Clem 1 - SYR 6, CLEM 7 -0.04 13.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.05 - 6.09 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 6, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:31 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 1) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.96 13.9% 4.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: SYR 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.04 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.04)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:31 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.00 79.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.06)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:15 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Clem 32 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.29 79.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 0.99 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 3 at CLEM 32) Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -0.85 79.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 1.34 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.66)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:45 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at CLEM 32) Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 1.31 78.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 0.56 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:30 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 37) Adam Choice run for 10 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.59 80.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.90 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.10)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:55 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 47) Trevor Lawrence sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 41 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -1.23 79.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 2.25 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.75)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:35 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 16 at CLEM 41) Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.35 78.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 50

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.87 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:56 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at 50) Trevor Lawrence sacked by Evan Foster for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 45 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -1.97 75.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 55

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 1.31 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.69)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:40 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 12 at CLEM 45) Will Spiers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 11 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.26 70.0% 4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 89

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -0.55 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.55)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:34 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 11) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Moe Neal - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -0.53 25.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.27 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:06 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 10 at SYR 11) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for no gain to the Syrac 11 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -0.64 24.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.25 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.75)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:35 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 10 at SYR 11) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 31 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 2.66 19.6% 9.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 58

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.79 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.21)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:22 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 42) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 9 yds to the Clem 49 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.63 26.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.69 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.69)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 1 at CLEM 49) Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.09 27.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.08 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:45 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 45) Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the Clem 36 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.97 27.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 36

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.00 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.00)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:20 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 1 at CLEM 36) Sean Riley run for 5 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.13 28.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.81 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.81)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:05 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 31) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj Harris - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -0.30 28.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 2.82 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.82)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:48 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 31) Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 11 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST down - SYR 13, CLEM 7 1.21 28.5% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 20

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 2.33 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.33)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:26 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 6 yds to the Clem 14 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 0.68 31.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 3.31 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 14) Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Clem 14 - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -0.65 36.8% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.94 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.94)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 14) Eric Dungey pass incomplete - SYR 13, CLEM 7 -1.04 41.7% -9.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.35 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 13, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 4 at CLEM 15) Andre Szmyt 32 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.57 38.8% 10.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14

Started Drive at: SYR 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.43 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.43)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 65 yds , Amari Rodgers return for 22 yds to the Clem 22 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.08 59.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.19 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.81)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 22) Chase Brice pass incomplete - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.10 58.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.04 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.6%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 22) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 21 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.04 58.0% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 79

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.04 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.0%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 11 at CLEM 21) Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 00:09 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.00 54.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.99)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 11 at CLEM 21) Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 29 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.08 55.1% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.00 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.00)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.1%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 3 at CLEM 29) Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 00:03 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.00 56.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - -0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.09)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 3 at CLEM 29) Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.08 58.7% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLEM 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - -0.08 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.08)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.00 64.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:50 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 31 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.50 70.6% -6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.04 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:35 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 31) Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.58 68.8% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 0.52 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.48)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 37) Adam Choice run for 20 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 1.52 65.8% 7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 1.12 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.88)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:50 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 43) Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the Syrac 38 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.01 68.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.69 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.31)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:15 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 5 at SYR 38) Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.10 67.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.74 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.26)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 2 at SYR 35) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.96 67.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 2.59 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.41)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:35 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 33) Chase Brice pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 1 yd to the Syrac 32 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.61 66.7% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.54 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.46)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 9 at SYR 32) Chase Brice pass complete to Travis Etienne for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 35 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -2.20 66.4% -5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 2.94 = -2.20

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.06)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 12 at SYR 35) Chase Brice sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 45 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -1.80 59.9% -1.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 45

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 0.77 = -1.80

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.23)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-10.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:54 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 22 at SYR 45) Will Spiers punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 14 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.30 53.8% 2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 86

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.15 - -1.45 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-10.45)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.15)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:45 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 14) Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.60 48.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 85

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.26 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.26)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:18 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 9 at SYR 15) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 20 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 1.73 47.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 65

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 0.72 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.72)

Score Difference (End): 9 (11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 35) Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 2 yds to the Syrac 37 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.54 46.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.45 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 9 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:43 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 8 at SYR 37) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj Harris - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.89 47.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.84 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.84)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 8 at SYR 37) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -1.25 46.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 0.80 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.80)

Score Difference (End): 9 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:31 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 8 at SYR 37) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 17 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.65 41.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 83

Started Drive at: SYR 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.55 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 9 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:25 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 17) Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 17 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.65 60.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -0.13 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.13)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 17) Chase Brice pass complete to T.J. Chase for 6 yds to the Clem 23 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.13 58.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 77

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - -0.83 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.83)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:20 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 23) Chase Brice pass intercepted Trill Williams return for 3 yds to the Clem 38 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -2.73 53.5% -6.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -1.05 = -2.73

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-10.05)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:15 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at CLEM 38) Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Clem 37 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.62 53.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 37

Started Drive at: CLEM 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 3.79 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 9 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:30 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 9 at CLEM 37) Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 42 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -1.80 52.8% -6.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 3.07 = -1.80

Score Difference (Before): 9 (12.07)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:03 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 14 at CLEM 42) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Tanner Muse - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -1.63 46.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 1.27 = -1.63

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.27)

Score Difference (End): 9 (8.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:55 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 14 at CLEM 42) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds for a touchback - SYR 16, CLEM 7 0.39 45.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - -0.24 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 9 (8.76)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.15)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) Travis Etienne run for 21 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 1.65 54.3% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - -0.15 = 1.65

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.15)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 56.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:18 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 41) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 43 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.42 54.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.50 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.50)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:53 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at CLEM 43) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.84 52.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 1.03 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.97)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.5%

Win Probability (After): 51.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 8 at CLEM 43) Chase Brice pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 28 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 7 3.43 51.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 29

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 0.20 = 3.43

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:10 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 29) Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Syrac 25 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.05 58.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.65 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:52 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at SYR 25) Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Syrac 25 - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -0.82 57.9% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.61 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.39)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:16 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at SYR 25) Amari Rodgers pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 16, CLEM 7 -1.35 54.8% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 2.78 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:09 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at SYR 26) Greg Huegel 43 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 10 1.72 51.7% 13.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.72)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:09 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 16, CLEM 10 0.00 41.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.52)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -0.54 40.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.59 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.59)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:28 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 7 at SYR 28) Eric Dungey pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for 20 yds to the Syrac 25 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -5.17 44.3% -15.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 25

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.17 - 1.00 = -5.17

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.83)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:05 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -0.08 71.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.18 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.82)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at SYR 22) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20 - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -0.45 70.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.09 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.91)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:17 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 5 at SYR 20) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers - SYR 16, CLEM 10 -1.47 68.8% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 3.63 = -1.47

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 5 at SYR 20) Greg Huegel 37 yd FG GOOD - SYR 16, CLEM 13 0.84 65.9% 6.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.16 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 16, CLEM 13 0.00 40.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.46)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST down - SYR 16, CLEM 13 0.84 41.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 1.47 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:40 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 37) Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the Syrac 42 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 0.04 43.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.32 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:25 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 5 at SYR 42) Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 -0.38 43.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.38 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.38)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:40 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 2 at SYR 45) Eric Dungey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 39 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 -2.60 43.6% -8.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 61

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 2.00 = -2.60

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 8 at SYR 39) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 10 Amari Rodgers fumbled, recovered by Syrac - SYR 16, CLEM 13 5.90 36.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 10

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - -0.58 = 5.90

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & Goal at CLEM 10) Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 4 yds to the Clem 6 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 -0.10 49.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 5.12 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.5%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:15 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 9 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 -1.20 47.7% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 9

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.99 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.99)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 45.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:25 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & Goal at CLEM 9) Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Clem 1 - SYR 16, CLEM 13 1.04 47.6% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 3.81 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.81)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 16, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 183 (4th & Goal at CLEM 1) Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 13 2.11 53.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.89 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 23, CLEM 13 0.00 33.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.82)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:45 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 26 - SYR 23, CLEM 13 -0.49 33.0% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.18 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.82)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.0%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 9 at CLEM 26) Chase Brice pass complete to Justyn Ross for 16 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 13 1.76 30.4% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - -0.20 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.20)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 42) Chase Brice pass complete to Justyn Ross for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 13 0.99 36.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.73 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.27)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 38.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:35 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 43) Travis Etienne run for 17 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 13 1.11 39.7% 6.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 26

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 2.76 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.24)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:16 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 26) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers - SYR 23, CLEM 13 -0.59 44.0% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.91 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.09)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:08 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at SYR 26) Travis Etienne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.64 41.1% 20.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.36 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:08 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.00 48.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.35 48.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.47 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 4 at SYR 31) Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 17 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 1.06 47.9% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 52

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 1.83 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.83)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:00 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 48) Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Clem 46 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.22 54.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 46

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 2.90 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.90)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:47 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 46) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.72 55.4% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 3.02 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.02)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:23 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 46) Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Clem 43 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.39 51.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 2.09 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 1 at CLEM 43) SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Cody Conway) to the Clem 48 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -1.67 48.0% -2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 48

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 1.55 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.55)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:46 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 6 at CLEM 48) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 48 yds for a touchback - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.50 44.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 80

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - -0.15 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:40 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) Travis Etienne run for 17 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 1.07 53.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 0.61 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:15 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 37) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Tee Higgins - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.58 55.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.69 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:05 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 37) Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 40 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.56 54.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 1.13 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:20 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 40) Chase Brice sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 31 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -2.18 50.9% -7.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 69

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.49 - 0.69 = -2.18

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:48 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 16 at CLEM 31) Will Spiers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 32 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.49 38.6% 7.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.84 - -1.35 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.35)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.84)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:40 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 32) Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 1 yd to the Syrac 33 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.55 56.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.83 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.83)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 9 at SYR 33) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae Strickland - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.74 61.6% -12.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.17 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:14 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 9 at SYR 33) Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean Riley - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -1.23 57.4% -6.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: SYR 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.90 - 0.34 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:06 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 9 at SYR 33) Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the CLEMSON 12 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (6 Yards) to the Clem 6 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 1.01 51.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 94

Started Drive at: SYR 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - -1.09 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 6) Travis Etienne run for 14 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.72 46.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - -0.15 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:30 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 25 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.03 47.7% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.58 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.42)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 5 at CLEM 25) Adam Choice run for 8 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.55 49.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.67 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:35 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 33) Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.86 50.8% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.27 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.73)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 44) Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.23 54.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 1.98 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.02)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at 50) Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.24 53.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 1.99 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.0%

Win Probability (After): 52.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:55 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at SYR 49) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.67 48.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.53 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.47)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 46.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 1 at SYR 47) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 02:50 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.00 41.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 1 at SYR 47) CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Gage Cervenka) to the Clem 48 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.86 38.5% -6.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.72 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:38 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at CLEM 48) Chase Brice pass complete to Tee Higgins for 20 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 3.39 31.6% 34.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - -0.15 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 32) Chase Brice run for 17 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 1.43 65.6% 16.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 15

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 3.19 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:46 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at SYR 15) Travis Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 16 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 -0.59 82.6% -8.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 16

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.42 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at SYR 16) Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST down - SYR 23, CLEM 20 2.08 71.0% 15.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 5

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.47 = 2.08

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.47)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at SYR 5) Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Syrac 2 - SYR 23, CLEM 20 0.23 88.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.74 - 5.51 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 20

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:41 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at SYR 2) Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) - SYR 23, CLEM 27 1.28 92.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 20 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:41 ESPN team id 183 (Kickoff at SYR 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - SYR 23, CLEM 27 0.00 5.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.33 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.67)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:40 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 10 at SYR 25) Dungey, Eric rush for 7 yards to the SYRACUSE32, PENALTY SYRACUSE personal foul (Roberts, Aaron) 12 yards to the SYRACUSE13, NO PLAY. - SYR 23, CLEM 27 -0.24 4.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 87

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.33 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.67)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:25 ESPN team id 183 (1st & 22 at SYR 13) Eric Dungey sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 5 - SYR 23, CLEM 27 -0.49 2.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 95

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.09 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.91)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:18 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 30 at SYR 5) Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 00:18 - SYR 23, CLEM 27 0.00 2.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.40 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.40)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:16 ESPN team id 183 (2nd & 30 at SYR 5) Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 13 yds to the Syrac 18 - SYR 23, CLEM 27 0.11 2.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 82

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.10 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:12 ESPN team id 183 (3rd & 17 at SYR 18) Eric Dungey pass incomplete SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declined - SYR 23, CLEM 27 -0.17 2.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.02 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.98)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 183 (4th & 17 at SYR 18) Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 6 yds to the Syrac 24 - SYR 23, CLEM 27 -2.45 2.6% 97.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 24

Started Drive at: SYR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.54 - -0.09 = -2.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.09)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: SYR 23, CLEM 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link