Tennessee 24 @ Alabama 52

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.86 | Odds: ALA -25.5, O/U 68.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Total Plays 71102
Total EPA -7.9218.9
  Offensive EPA -3.3425.2
  Special Teams EPA -1.48-5.68
  Penalty EPA -3.943.54
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.84-4.16
Production ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Scrimmage Plays 5492
  Yards 393604
  Yards/Play 7.286.57
  EPA -3.3425.20
  EPA/Play -0.060.27
Passes 31 (57%)45 (49%)
  Yards 282371
  Yards/Play 9.108.24
  EPA 7.1714.48
  EPA/Play 0.230.32
Rushes 23 (43%)47 (51%)
  Yards 74217
  Yards/Play 3.224.62
  EPA -10.5110.72
  EPA/Play -0.460.23
Rushing ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Scrimmage Plays 5492
Rushes 23 (43%)47 (51%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (9%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (22%)9 (19%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (43%)17 (36%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 9 (39%)23 (49%)
OL Line Yards 37.786.2
  Per Carry 1.641.83
Highlight Yards 847.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 0.892.07
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Total Plays 71102
Scrimmage Plays 5492
Explosive Plays 4 (7%)9 (10%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (13%)5 (11%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)4 (9%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -22.42-2.99
  EPA/Play -0.45-0.04
  When Passing -11.91-4.10
    EPA/Play -0.38-0.09
  When Rushing -10.511.10
    EPA/Play -0.460.03
Situational ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 19 (35%)44 (48%)
  When Passing 14 (45%)23 (51%)
  When Rushing 5 (22%)21 (45%)
  On Standard Downs 14 (39%)25 (42%)
  On Passing Downs 5 (28%)19 (58%)
  On Early Downs 17 (41%)29 (40%)
  On Late Downs 2 (15%)15 (75%)
  During "Middle 8" 1 (14%)5 (29%)
Early Downs 4172
  First Downs Created 5 (12%)16 (22%)
  EPA 11.53-7.52
  EPA/Play 0.28-0.10
  Passes 23 (56%)32 (44%)
  Rushes 18 (44%)40 (56%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 12 (52%)14 (44%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 5 (28%)15 (38%)
"Middle 8" Plays 717
  EPA -4.00-1.65
  EPA/play -0.57-0.10
  Passes 5 (71%)10 (59%)
  Rushes 2 (29%)7 (41%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (20%)2 (20%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)3 (43%)
Drives ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Total 1414
Avg Starting Field Position Own 28Own 29
Plays/Drive 4.818.22
Yards/Drive 28.7253.28
Available Yards % 40%75%
Defensive ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Scrimmage Plays 9254
Stop Rate 18%54%
Havoc Plays Created 10 (11%)6 (11%)
  Passing 7 (16%)4 (13%)
  Rushing 3 (6%)2 (9%)
TFLs Generated 95
  Passing 63
  Rushing 32
Sacks Generated 2 (4%)3 (10%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 333
Total Plays 17 10
Total EPA -1.48 -5.68
  Field Goal EPA 0.58 -0.94
  Punting EPA -2.06 -4.48
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -0.27

Tennessee [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Hendon Hooker 19/28, 282 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 67.2 xQBR 9.10 0.23 7.17 45% 9.0%
Rush attempts
Tiyon Evans 7 carries, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.29 -0.21 -1.45 29% -5.0%
Hendon Hooker 9 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.00 -0.24 -2.17 33% 2.0%
Jabari Small 7 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.14 -0.98 -6.89 0% -6.0%
Pass targets
Cedric Tillman 7 catches (8 targets), 152 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.71 1.52 12.20 62% 7.0%
Jabari Small 4 catches (5 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.75 0.63 3.15 80% 3.0%
JaVonta Payton 2 catches (4 targets), 59 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 29.50 0.65 2.61 25% 5.0%
Velus Jones Jr. 3 catches (4 targets), 18 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.51 2.03 50% 2.0%
Jalin Hyatt 3 catches (3 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 0.03 0.09 67% -1.0%
Princeton Fant 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.61 -0.61 0% 0.0%
Jacob Warren 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% -1.0%

Alabama [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Bryce Young 31/43, 371 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 81.5 xQBR 8.24 0.32 14.48 51% 13.0%
Rush attempts
Bryce Young 8 carries, 56 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.17 9.35 62% 15.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. 26 carries, 107 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.12 0.05 1.41 42% 4.0%
Trey Sanders 3 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 0.28 0.84 33% 0.0%
John Metchie III 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.70 0.70 100% 0.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 0.19 0.19 100% 0.0%
Roydell Williams 8 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.62 -0.22 -1.76 25% -3.0%
Pass targets
John Metchie III 11 catches (12 targets), 121 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.96 11.55 75% 11.0%
Cameron Latu 3 catches (3 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.33 2.11 6.34 100% 6.0%
Traeshon Holden 2 catches (2 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.12 2.24 100% 1.0%
Jahleel Billingsley 1 catch (2 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.57 1.14 50% 1.0%
Jameson Williams 6 catches (12 targets), 123 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 20.50 0.07 0.89 33% 5.0%
Slade Bolden 3 catches (3 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.33 0.20 0.60 67% 0.0%
Roydell Williams 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -1.29 -1.29 0% -3.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. 4 catches (5 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.45 -2.25 40% -6.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 30) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 31 7.44 2.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.44 = 7.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:02 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at ALA 43) Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Jalyn Armour-Davis return for 47 yds to the Tenn 18 - TENN 24, ALA 38 -6.51 3.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 18

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.11 - 1.40 = -6.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 15 at ALA 20) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 65 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 31 5.30 90.3% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 0.00 = 5.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 16 yds Jameson Williams fumbled, forced by Kamal Hadden, recovered by Tenn - TENN 14, ALA 7 -5.12 84.8% -1.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 91

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 3.76 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.24)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 7 4.82 13.2% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 23 at TENN 23) Brooks, Paxton punt 47 yards to the ALABAMA30, downed, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing the kicker (Braswell, Chris) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 7, ALA 7 4.30 8.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - -2.16 = 4.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:27 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 10 at ALA 28) James Burnip punt blocked by De'Shawn Rucker blocked by De'Shawn Rucker, recovered by ALA Henry To'oTo'o at ALA 16 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -4.22 92.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 16

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.52 = -4.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 12 at ALA 23) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 28 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 21 3.88 88.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 49

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - -0.63 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:57 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 39 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 7 3.62 3.2% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 11

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 1.31 = 3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 9 at TENN 19) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 19 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 52 3.45 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.55)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 0:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 7 4.82 13.2% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:22 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 8 at TENN 28) Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 24 1.33 88.9% 5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 15 at ALA 20) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 65 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 31 5.30 90.3% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 0.00 = 5.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:27 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 10 at ALA 28) James Burnip punt blocked by De'Shawn Rucker blocked by De'Shawn Rucker, recovered by ALA Henry To'oTo'o at ALA 16 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -4.22 92.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 16

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.52 = -4.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:27 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & Goal at TENN 5) Bryce Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 14 2.83 82.6% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.17 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 30) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 31 7.44 2.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.44 = 7.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:30 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 7 at TENN 46) Bryce Young run for 16 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 21 2.45 88.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 30

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 1.74 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.74)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 10 at TENN 9) Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Tenn 49 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 44 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -0.95 17.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 44

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.51 - -1.68 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:44 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 9 at ALA 15) Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 21 0.58 12.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.58)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 12 at ALA 23) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 28 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 21 3.88 88.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 49

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - -0.63 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 8:05 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 8) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 0, ALA 7 1.57 95.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 7 at ALA 8) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, ALA 7 3.20 4.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.80 = 3.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 7 4.82 13.2% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:27 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & Goal at TENN 5) Bryce Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 14 2.83 82.6% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.17 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:34 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 6) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 21 1.51 89.5% 3.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.49 = 1.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:44 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 9 at ALA 15) Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 21 0.58 12.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.58)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:22 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 8 at TENN 28) Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 24 1.33 88.9% 5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:51 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 4 at TENN 6) Bryce Young 6 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) - TENN 17, ALA 31 2.31 95.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.69 = 2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.69)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 30) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 31 7.44 2.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.44 = 7.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:42 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 15) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 38 1.73 95.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.27 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:51 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & Goal at TENN 1) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 45 1.06 99.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.94)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 9 at TENN 19) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 19 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 52 3.45 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.55)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - TENN 0, ALA 0 0.00 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:55 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -0.55 2.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.94 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 7 at TENN 28) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Tenn 34 - TENN 0, ALA 0 0.79 2.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.57 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at TENN 34) Jabari Small run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 31 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -2.74 5.4% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 69

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 1.41 = -2.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:29 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 4 at TENN 31) Paxton Brooks punt for 54 yds, downed at the Alab 15 - TENN 0, ALA 0 0.50 4.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 85

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - -1.17 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:24 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 15) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 0, ALA 0 -0.79 96.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.61 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:59 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at ALA 15) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 3 yds to the Alab 18 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -0.84 96.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 82

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.15 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:30 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 7 at ALA 18) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 8 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 0 2.34 92.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 74

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - -0.96 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:06 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 26) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 32 - TENN 0, ALA 0 0.10 93.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.37 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 4 at ALA 32) Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 31 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -1.12 93.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 69

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.44 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:03 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 5 at ALA 31) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 8 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 0 1.82 91.7% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 0.26 = 1.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 39) Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 37 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -1.29 94.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 2.18 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:55 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 12 at ALA 37) Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 44 - TENN 0, ALA 0 0.33 94.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.04 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:30 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 5 at ALA 44) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 19 yds to the ALABAMA 37 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 0 3.30 94.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 22

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 1.29 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:50 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 22) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20 - TENN 0, ALA 0 -0.50 96.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 4.65 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:20 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 8 at TENN 20) Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 0 1.30 94.5% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 8

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 4.15 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:05 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 8) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 0, ALA 7 1.57 95.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:05 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 0, ALA 7 0.00 2.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:50 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Tenn 34 - TENN 0, ALA 7 1.28 2.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - -0.07 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 1 at TENN 34) Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 34 - TENN 0, ALA 7 -0.70 3.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.17 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at TENN 34) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 7 1.34 2.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 50

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.51 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:06 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 0, ALA 7 -0.63 3.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.96 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:57 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 39 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, ALA 7 3.62 3.2% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 11

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 1.31 = 3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:45 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at ALA 11) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 0, ALA 7 -0.61 4.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.92 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at ALA 11) Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Alab 8 - TENN 0, ALA 7 -0.54 4.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 4.34 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 7 at ALA 8) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, ALA 7 3.20 4.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.80 = 3.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 333 (Kickoff at ALA 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 7, ALA 7 0.00 92.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:06 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 25) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 27 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -0.54 92.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.09 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 8 at ALA 27) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 27 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST down - TENN 7, ALA 7 2.64 93.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 46

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 0.55 = 2.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:11 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 46) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds to the Tenn 40 - TENN 7, ALA 7 0.31 95.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 40

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.18 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:27 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 4 at TENN 40) Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 6 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST down - TENN 7, ALA 7 0.39 94.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 34

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 3.49 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:59 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 34) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -0.39 94.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 33

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.87 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:25 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 9 at TENN 33) Bryce Young sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 36 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -1.88 94.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 36

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 3.48 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:49 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 12 at TENN 36) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 7, ALA 7 -1.33 93.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.61 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:44 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 12 at TENN 36) Will Reichard 54 yd FG MISSED - TENN 7, ALA 7 -2.27 89.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - 0.30 = -2.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:35 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 36) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -0.17 9.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.97 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:17 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 6 at TENN 40) Evans, Tiyon rush for 2 yards to the TENNESSEE42, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul 15 yards to the TENNESSEE25, NO PLAY. - TENN 7, ALA 7 -1.83 9.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.79 = -1.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:10 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 21 at TENN 25) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -0.26 7.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -0.03 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:35 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 26 at TENN 20) Hendon Hooker sacked by Christian Harris and Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 18 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -1.03 7.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 82

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -0.22 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:20 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 28 at TENN 18) Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Tenn 23 - TENN 7, ALA 7 -0.96 8.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - -1.19 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 23 at TENN 23) Brooks, Paxton punt 47 yards to the ALABAMA30, downed, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing the kicker (Braswell, Chris) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 7, ALA 7 4.30 8.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - -2.16 = 4.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:45 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 5 yds to the Tenn 43 - TENN 7, ALA 7 0.04 12.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 57

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.14 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 7 4.82 13.2% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:26 ESPN team id 333 (Kickoff at ALA 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 36 yds fair catch by Cameron Latu at the Alab 29 - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.47 80.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 0.17 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:19 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 29) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 20 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 7 1.35 80.7% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 51

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 0.65 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 49) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 14, ALA 7 -0.58 81.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.98 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at ALA 49) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 42 - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.81 80.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 42

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.39 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:47 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 1 at TENN 42) Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 17 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 7 1.60 84.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 25

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 2.23 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 16 yds Jameson Williams fumbled, forced by Kamal Hadden, recovered by Tenn - TENN 14, ALA 7 -5.12 84.8% -1.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 91

Started Drive at: ALA 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 3.76 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.24)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:54 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 9) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15 - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.29 18.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 85

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.28 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.28)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.1%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:38 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at TENN 15) Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Tenn 18 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -0.24 21.1% -3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 82

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.59 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:34 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at TENN 18) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 13 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -1.23 20.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 87

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 1.36 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:17 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 6 at TENN 13) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Tenn 9 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -0.55 19.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 91

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - 0.16 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:08 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 10 at TENN 9) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr. - TENN 14, ALA 7 -1.12 19.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -0.44 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 10 at TENN 9) Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Tenn 49 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 44 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -0.95 17.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 44

Started Drive at: TENN 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.51 - -1.68 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:36 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 44) John Metchie III run for 8 yds to the Tenn 36 - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.70 80.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 36

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 2.56 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 80.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:03 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 2 at TENN 36) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.21 81.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.32 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:19 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 33) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.50 83.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 23

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.60 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:12 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 23) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 13 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.84 84.5% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.97 - 4.13 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.87)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:42 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 10) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tenn 5 - TENN 14, ALA 7 0.25 85.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 4.96 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:50 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & Goal at TENN 5) Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 5 - TENN 14, ALA 7 -1.00 86.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 5.20 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:27 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & Goal at TENN 5) Bryce Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 14 2.83 82.6% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.17 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:27 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 14, ALA 14 0.00 11.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.23 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Tenn 34 - TENN 14, ALA 14 1.05 10.1% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 1.18 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:43 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 1 at TENN 34) Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 34 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.76 10.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.04 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:05 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at TENN 34) Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 34 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -1.73 10.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 1.28 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:52 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 1 at TENN 34) Paxton Brooks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 21 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.49 9.5% 3.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 79

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - -0.56 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:25 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 21) Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 29 - TENN 14, ALA 14 0.42 88.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.07 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:55 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 2 at ALA 29) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 14 0.45 87.9% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 65

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 1.60 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:31 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 35) Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 39 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.24 88.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.11 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:57 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 6 at ALA 39) Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 39 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.78 88.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.76 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:22 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 6 at ALA 39) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 16 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 14 2.03 87.0% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 45

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.09 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 45) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 12 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 14 0.66 90.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.19 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:21 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 33) Bryce Young pass incomplete - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.49 89.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.00 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at TENN 33) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 14 1.12 89.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 20

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 3.41 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:41 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 20) Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 3 yds to the Tenn 17 - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.12 90.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.44 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 7 at TENN 17) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 14, ALA 14 -0.60 90.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.24 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:46 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 7 at TENN 17) Bryce Young run for 11 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 14 2.03 87.8% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 3.50 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:34 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 6) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 14, ALA 21 1.51 89.5% 3.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.49 = 1.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:34 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.00 7.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:34 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.40 7.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.90 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 15 at TENN 20) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 2 yds to the Tenn 22 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.46 6.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.66 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:15 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 13 at TENN 22) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 17 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.38 6.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.40 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 18 at TENN 17) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 16 yds to the Tenn 33 - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.67 6.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 67

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.02 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.98)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:48 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 2 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.99 6.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.51 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:40 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 2 at TENN 33) Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 16 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.05 5.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 84

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - -0.60 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.65)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:18 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 16) Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 15 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.36 92.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.46 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.46)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:51 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 11 at ALA 15) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.79 91.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.18 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 26) Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeremy Banks) to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.35 92.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 53

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 0.53 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 47) Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.01 93.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.19 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 7 at 50) Timeout ALABAMA, clock 00:32 - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.00 93.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:19 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 7 at 50) Bryce Young sacked by Roman Harrison for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 39 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.33 93.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.82 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 18 at ALA 39) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.14 92.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.22 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 18 at ALA 39) James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 22 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.15 91.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 78

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.08 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 22) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.02 8.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72

Started Drive at: TENN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.02 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.98)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 333 (Kickoff at ALA 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 39 yds fair catch by Dallas Turner at the Alab 26 - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.22 95.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: ALA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.01 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:35 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 26) Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 24 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.26 96.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76

Started Drive at: ALA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 2.35 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:17 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 12 at ALA 24) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 30 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.04 95.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: ALA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.20 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:39 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 6 at ALA 30) Bryce Young pass incomplete - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.51 94.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: ALA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - 1.13 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:29 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 6 at ALA 30) James Burnip punt for 46 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 30 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.11 93.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: ALA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.29 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 30) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.59 7.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.41 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:44 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 32) Hendon Hooker sacked by Phidarian Mathis for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 25 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.97 7.4% -2.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - -0.15 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:15 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 15 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.64 5.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.73 - -2.09 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:54 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 11 at TENN 29) Paxton Brooks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Alab 28 - TENN 14, ALA 21 0.33 5.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 72

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - -2.70 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:43 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 28) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 25 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.03 95.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.36 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:07 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 13 at ALA 25) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.13 94.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.33 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 13 at ALA 25) Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the Alab 28 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.93 93.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 0.29 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.29)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:27 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 10 at ALA 28) James Burnip punt blocked by De'Shawn Rucker blocked by De'Shawn Rucker, recovered by ALA Henry To'oTo'o at ALA 16 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -4.22 92.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 16

Started Drive at: ALA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.52 = -4.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:23 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at ALA 16) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob Warren - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.63 14.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 4.81 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:07 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at ALA 16) Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Alab 11 - TENN 14, ALA 21 -0.17 12.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 4.14 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:48 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 5 at ALA 11) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Payton, JaVonta, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal forward pass 5 yards to the ALABAMA15, NO PLAY. - TENN 14, ALA 21 -1.59 13.3% -2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 3.94 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:44 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 9 at ALA 15) Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 21 0.58 12.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.58)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:44 ESPN team id 333 (Kickoff at ALA 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 17, ALA 21 0.00 90.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.59 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:44 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 25) ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 20 - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.58 90.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.59 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:37 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 15 at ALA 20) Bryce Young pass incomplete - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.54 90.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.88 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.88)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:26 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 15 at ALA 20) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 23 - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.87 89.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - 0.26 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.26)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 12 at ALA 23) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 28 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 21 3.88 88.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 49

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - -0.63 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:25 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 49) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.69 92.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 3.23 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:03 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at TENN 49) Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 46 - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.76 91.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.56 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.56)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:30 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 7 at TENN 46) Bryce Young run for 16 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 21 2.45 88.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 30

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 1.74 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.74)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 30) Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.43 92.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 4.21 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:31 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 8 at TENN 28) Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie III - TENN 17, ALA 21 -0.79 92.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 3.81 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.81)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:27 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 8 at TENN 28) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr. - TENN 17, ALA 21 -1.36 91.3% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 3.02 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.02)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:22 ESPN team id 333 (4th & 8 at TENN 28) Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOOD - TENN 17, ALA 24 1.33 88.9% 5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:22 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 17, ALA 24 0.00 7.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.50 7.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.00 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:55 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 9 at TENN 26) Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 24 1.64 6.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.51 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:25 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Tenn 42 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.03 7.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.10 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:05 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 6 at TENN 42) Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -1.10 7.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 59

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 1.06 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:40 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 7 at TENN 41) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 47 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.20 7.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - -0.04 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:14 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 1 at TENN 47) TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 42 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -1.18 7.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.26 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:58 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 6 at TENN 42) Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.52 6.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 80

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - -1.47 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 20) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the Alab 24 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.22 93.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.99 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:22 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 6 at ALA 24) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 28 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.25 93.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 72

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.77 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 2 at ALA 28) ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Javion Cohen) to the Alab 23 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -1.02 92.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 77

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.52 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:38 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 7 at ALA 23) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 24 2.37 92.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 0.53 = 2.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:16 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 37) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 39 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.46 94.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.91 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.91)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:55 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 8 at ALA 39) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 26 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 24 1.85 94.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 35

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 2.44 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:36 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 35) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tenn 31 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.10 95.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 31

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.30 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:15 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 6 at TENN 31) Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 24 0.80 95.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 22

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 4.21 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:05 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 22) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST down - TENN 17, ALA 24 0.40 95.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 12

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 5.00 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:45 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 12) Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 9 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.27 96.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.12 - 5.39 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:13 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 7 at TENN 9) ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cameron Latu) to the Tenn 14 - TENN 17, ALA 24 -0.70 95.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 14

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 5.11 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 12 at TENN 14) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds to the Tenn 6 - TENN 17, ALA 24 0.39 95.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 6

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 4.37 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:51 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 4 at TENN 6) Bryce Young 6 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) - TENN 17, ALA 31 2.31 95.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.69 = 2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.69)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:51 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 17, ALA 31 0.00 2.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - -0.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:40 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 - TENN 17, ALA 31 0.05 2.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.44 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 17, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 30) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 31 7.44 2.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.44 = 7.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 333 (Kickoff at ALA 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 50 yds , Slade Bolden return for 10 yds to the Alab 25 - TENN 24, ALA 31 -0.96 93.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 2.15 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:23 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 25) Timeout ALABAMA, clock 14:23 - TENN 24, ALA 31 0.00 93.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.19 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:15 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 25) Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 25 - TENN 24, ALA 31 -0.47 93.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.10 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:43 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at ALA 25) Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 20 - TENN 24, ALA 31 -1.57 92.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 1.59 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 15 at ALA 20) Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 65 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 31 5.30 90.3% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 0.00 = 5.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:42 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 15) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 38 1.73 95.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: ALA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.27 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:42 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 61 yds for a touchback - TENN 24, ALA 38 0.00 2.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:30 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26 - TENN 24, ALA 38 -0.53 2.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - -0.52 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 9 at TENN 26) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 11 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 38 1.50 2.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -1.00 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:05 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 37) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 45 - TENN 24, ALA 38 0.67 2.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.62 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.38)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:47 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 2 at TENN 45) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 38 0.22 3.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.39 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:25 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Alab 43 - TENN 24, ALA 38 0.63 3.6% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 1.66 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.34)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:12 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 3 at ALA 43) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman - TENN 24, ALA 38 -1.04 4.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.38 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:02 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at ALA 43) Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Jalyn Armour-Davis return for 47 yds to the Tenn 18 - TENN 24, ALA 38 -6.51 3.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 18

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.11 - 1.40 = -6.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:45 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 18) Bryce Young run for no gain to the Tenn 18 - TENN 24, ALA 38 -0.64 99.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 5.12 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:19 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 10 at TENN 18) Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Holden, Traeshon, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 14 yards to the TENNESSEE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA. - TENN 24, ALA 38 1.68 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 4

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.14 - 4.46 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (20.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:55 ESPN team id 333 (1st & Goal at TENN 4) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1 - TENN 24, ALA 38 0.20 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 1

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.31 - 6.11 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 14 (20.11)

Score Difference (End): 14 (20.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:28 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & Goal at TENN 1) Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 1 - TENN 24, ALA 38 -0.34 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 6.32 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 14 (20.32)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:51 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & Goal at TENN 1) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 45 1.06 99.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.94)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:51 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 24, ALA 45 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.53)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jabari Small - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.57 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.53 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.53)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:39 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.75 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -1.11 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.11)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:04 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.84 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.55 - -1.71 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.71)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 6 at TENN 29) Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30 - TENN 24, ALA 45 -2.16 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 30

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.63 - -2.46 = -2.16

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.46)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:38 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 30) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26 - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.12 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.56 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.56)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 6 at TENN 26) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 45 0.62 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 20

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 4.45 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.45)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:15 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at TENN 20) Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 19 - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 5.10 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.10)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 9 at TENN 19) Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Tenn 19 - TENN 24, ALA 45 -0.50 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 4.30 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.30)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 9 at TENN 19) Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 19 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) - TENN 24, ALA 52 3.45 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.55)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 45 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 24, ALA 52 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.69)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32 - TENN 24, ALA 52 0.35 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.27 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.73)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:35 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 3 at TENN 32) Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 52 0.55 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 0.61 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.39)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 37) Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -0.44 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.15 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.85)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -0.05 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.69 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.31)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:17 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 5 at TENN 42) Hendon Hooker sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -1.51 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 59

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 0.83 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.17)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:35 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 6 at TENN 41) Paxton Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -0.88 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 80

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.44 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.44)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:11 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 20) Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Alab 26 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -0.20 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.31 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.31)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:40 ESPN team id 333 (2nd & 4 at ALA 26) Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Alab 28 - TENN 24, ALA 52 -0.18 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.09 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.09)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:43 ESPN team id 333 (3rd & 2 at ALA 28) Trey Sanders run for 11 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 24, ALA 52 1.22 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 61

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.50 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.50)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:14 ESPN team id 333 (1st & 10 at ALA 39) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 37 - TENN 24, ALA 52 0.19 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: ALA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 0.38 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.38)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 24, ALA 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3