AR-Pine Bluff 3 @ Arkansas 45

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 0.13 | Odds: ARK -50.5, O/U 59.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Total Plays 7768
Total EPA -30.8113.01
  Offensive EPA -24.146.73
  Special Teams EPA -11.994.83
  Penalty EPA 5.980.36
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.661.09
Production ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Scrimmage Plays 5862
  Yards 245499
  Yards/Play 4.228.05
  EPA -24.146.73
  EPA/Play -0.420.11
Passes 24 (41%)22 (35%)
  Yards 99206
  Yards/Play 4.129.36
  EPA -19.3910.72
  EPA/Play -0.810.49
Rushes 34 (59%)40 (65%)
  Yards 131308
  Yards/Play 3.857.70
  EPA -4.75-3.99
  EPA/Play -0.14-0.10
Rushing ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Scrimmage Plays 5862
Rushes 34 (59%)40 (65%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 13 (38%)8 (20%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 19 (56%)12 (30%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (38%)26 (65%)
OL Line Yards 27.558.1
  Per Carry 0.811.45
Highlight Yards 50.5142.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.885.48
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Total Plays 7768
Scrimmage Plays 5862
Explosive Plays 3 (5%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (8%)3 (14%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)1 (2%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -35.10-10.51
  EPA/Play -0.64-0.18
  When Passing -26.38-3.16
    EPA/Play -1.10-0.14
  When Rushing -8.72-7.34
    EPA/Play -0.26-0.19
Situational ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 18 (31%)31 (50%)
  When Passing 6 (25%)10 (45%)
  When Rushing 12 (35%)21 (53%)
  On Standard Downs 9 (26%)25 (57%)
  On Passing Downs 9 (39%)6 (33%)
  On Early Downs 15 (35%)27 (53%)
  On Late Downs 3 (20%)4 (36%)
  During "Middle 8" 1 (14%)5 (71%)
Early Downs 4351
  First Downs Created 8 (19%)18 (35%)
  EPA -7.902.26
  EPA/Play -0.180.04
  Passes 17 (40%)15 (29%)
  Rushes 26 (60%)36 (71%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (35%)7 (47%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 9 (35%)20 (56%)
"Middle 8" Plays 77
  EPA -1.7411.64
  EPA/play -0.251.66
  Passes 2 (29%)4 (57%)
  Rushes 5 (71%)3 (43%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 0 (0%)3 (75%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (20%)2 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Total 1413
Avg Starting Field Position Own 28Own 22
Plays/Drive 5.816.71
Yards/Drive 28.2249.13
Available Yards % 39%63%
Defensive ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Scrimmage Plays 6258
Stop Rate 45%66%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (13%)13 (22%)
  Passing 1 (5%)5 (21%)
  Rushing 7 (18%)8 (24%)
TFLs Generated 811
  Passing 13
  Rushing 78
Sacks Generated 1 (5%)3 (13%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 02
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Turnovers 32
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 12
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 20
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.91.5
Expected Turnover Margin -0.40.4
Turnover Luck (pts) -2.82.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 2029 ESPN team id 8
Total Plays 19 6
Total EPA -11.99 4.83
  Field Goal EPA -2.25 3.9
  Punting EPA -9.49 0.42
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.25 0.5

Arkansas-Pine Bluff [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Xzavier Vaughn 1/4, 5 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 5.5 xQBR 1.00 -1.28 -6.38 0% 0.0%
Skyler Perry 6/17, 94 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 31.9 xQBR 4.95 -0.68 -13.01 32% -1.0%
Rush attempts
Dalyn Hill 2 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.92 1.83 100% 0.0%
Xzavier Vaughn 3 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 -0.04 -0.13 33% 0.0%
Omar Allen Jr. 2 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.14 -0.28 50% 0.0%
Kierre Crossley 13 carries, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.08 -1.01 31% 0.0%
Skyler Perry 9 carries, 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.44 -0.23 -2.09 44% -1.0%
Kayvon Britten 5 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.80 -0.61 -3.07 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Daemon Dawkins 2 catches (2 targets), 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.50 1.92 3.83 100% 0.0%
Dalyn Hill 1 catch (1 target), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.00 3.21 3.21 100% 0.0%
Trey Harrell 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.42 0.85 50% 0.0%
Kierre Crossley 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.14 -0.27 50% 0.0%

Arkansas [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
KJ Jefferson 9/16, 187 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 87.6 xQBR 11.69 0.95 15.28 56% 0.0%
Malik Hornsby 1/5, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 17.0 xQBR 3.17 -0.76 -4.56 17% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Dominique Johnson 6 carries, 91 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.17 0.67 4.02 100% 0.0%
Treylon Burks 2 carries, 56 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 28.00 1.87 3.75 100% 0.0%
Raheim Sanders 9 carries, 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.11 0.00 -0.01 67% 0.0%
De'Vion Warren 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.05 -0.05 0% 0.0%
Malik Hornsby 2 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 -0.07 -0.14 50% 0.0%
AJ Green 9 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.03 -0.25 22% 0.0%
Trelon Smith 7 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.43 -0.44 -3.09 29% 0.0%
KJ Jefferson 3 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 11.00 -1.25 -3.74 67% 0.0%
T.J. Hammonds 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) -1.00 -4.46 -4.46 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Treylon Burks 4 catches (4 targets), 89 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.25 2.93 11.72 100% 0.0%
Ketron Jackson Jr. 1 catch (1 target), 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 29.00 4.16 4.16 100% 0.0%
De'Vion Warren 3 catches (3 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.87 2.61 100% 0.0%
Blake Kern 1 catch (1 target), 18 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 2.17 2.17 100% 0.0%
Jaquayln Crawford 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 0.23 0.23 100% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 4 at UAPB 39) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 39 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 45 6.42 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 38 (38.58)

Score Difference (End): 45 (45.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & Goal at ARK 3) Skyler Perry pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -5.88 0.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 96

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - 4.60 = -5.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.40)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 2 at UAPB 33) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 80 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -5.61 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.39 = -5.61

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.39)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 8 at ARK 21) KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Ark 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -4.86 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARK 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.25 - 1.61 = -4.86

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.61)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:18 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 18 at ARK 48) T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -4.46 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAPB 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 3.48 = -4.46

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.48)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 47) Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ark 13 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -4.35 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 87

Started Drive at: ARK 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.24 - 1.11 = -4.35

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.89)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 29) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 38 4.16 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.84 = 4.16

Score Difference (Before): 31 (33.84)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 9 at UAPB 26) Kierre Crossley run for 28 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.97 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 46

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - -1.85 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.85)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 9 at ARK 13) Cam Little 31 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.90 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.90 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:32 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 4 at ARK 27) Skyler Perry sacked by Andrew Parker for 0 yards to the Ark 32 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -3.89 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.34 - 0.55 = -3.89

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-44.45)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 13 at ARK 49) Skyler Perry run for 12 yds to the Ark 37 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 1.31 2.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 37

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 0.77 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (Kickoff at ARK 35) Zack Piwniczka kickoff for 42 yds - UAPB 0, ARK 0 0.64 99.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 2.58 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.58)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 9 at ARK 13) Cam Little 31 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.90 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.90 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 46) ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal use of the hands enforced (Paul Reeves) to the ArkPB 32 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 0 1.45 97.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 2.62 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & Goal at ARK 3) Skyler Perry pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -5.88 0.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 96

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - 4.60 = -5.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.40)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 32) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -0.58 98.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 4.07 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 46) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 49 - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -1.33 3.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 3.20 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 13 at ARK 49) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -1.11 2.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.88 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at UAPB 32) Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the ArkPB 24 - UAPB 0, ARK 0 0.32 98.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 3.49 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 2 at UAPB 24) Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 0 1.05 98.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 3.81 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 7 2.17 99.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 49) Treylon Burks run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 14 3.35 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.65)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 9 at ARK 13) Cam Little 31 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.90 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.90 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 24 3.31 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.69)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 2 at UAPB 33) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 80 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -5.61 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.39 = -5.61

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.39)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 29) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 38 4.16 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.84 = 4.16

Score Difference (Before): 31 (33.84)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 4 at UAPB 39) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 39 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 45 6.42 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 38 (38.58)

Score Difference (End): 45 (45.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 5 at ARK 15) Zack Piwniczka 32 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 3, ARK 45 1.33 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.33)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-42.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 7 2.17 99.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 7 0.00 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 28 - UAPB 0, ARK 7 -0.39 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -0.21 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 7 at UAPB 28) Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 30 - UAPB 0, ARK 7 -0.34 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - -0.60 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 5 at UAPB 30) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 7 -1.41 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -0.95 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 5 at UAPB 30) Josh Sanchez punt for 35 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 16 yds to the ArkPB 49 - UAPB 0, ARK 7 -1.24 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.62 - -2.39 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 49) Treylon Burks run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 14 3.35 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.65)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.00 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 42 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 3.79 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 33

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - -0.57 = 3.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 33) Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the Ark 31 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.67 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 3.22 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.78)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 8 at ARK 31) ARKANSAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the Ark 26 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 1.09 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 26

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.55 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 3 at ARK 26) Skyler Perry run for 10 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.97 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 3.64 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.36)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 16) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 17 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -1.05 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.61 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 11 at ARK 17) Skyler Perry sacked by Myles Slusher and Joe Foucha for 0 yards to the Ark 25 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -2.23 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 25

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 3.55 = -2.23

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 19 at ARK 25) ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Ark 20 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.59 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.32 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:16 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 14 at ARK 20) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.87 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.91 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.09)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 14 at ARK 20) Zack Piwniczka 37 yd FG MISSED - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -3.58 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 1.14 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.86)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 20) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.63 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.32 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.32)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at ARK 20) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 1.56 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 60

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 1.69 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.69)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 40) Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 44 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.16 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 3.25 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 6 at ARK 44) Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 46 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.62 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 3.11 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.11)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 4 at ARK 46) Timeout ARK PINE BLUFF, clock 07:15 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.00 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.49 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.49)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 4 at ARK 46) Trelon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -2.08 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 56

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 2.51 = -2.08

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:16 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 6 at ARK 44) Reid Bauer punt for 56 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.26 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 80

Started Drive at: ARK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.44 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:16 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 20) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.61 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: UAPB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - -0.67 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:16 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 10 at UAPB 20) Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 7 yds to the ArkPB 27 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.04 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73

Started Drive at: UAPB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -1.28 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.28)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:16 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 3 at UAPB 27) Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 27 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -1.52 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: UAPB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.76 - -1.24 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 3 at UAPB 27) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the ARKANSAS 40 ARKANSAS Penalty, Holding Holding on ZIMOS, Zach enforced ( Yards) declined - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.58 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 84

Started Drive at: UAPB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.24 - -2.82 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.82)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 9 at ARK 16) Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 23 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.12 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 77

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.50 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.50)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 2 at ARK 23) Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.22 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 71

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.62 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.62)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 29) KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.50 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.84 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 42) KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 12 yds to the ArkPB 46 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.67 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 46

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 3.34 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.34)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 46) De'Vion Warren run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 41 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.05 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 41

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 4.01 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 5 at UAPB 41) Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.47 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 3.96 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.96)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 35) Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 26 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.53 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 4.43 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.43)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 1 at UAPB 26) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the ArkPB 14 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.43 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 14

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 4.96 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.96)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 14) Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 13 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.54 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.39 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 9 at UAPB 13) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -0.82 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 4.84 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 9 at UAPB 13) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 14 -1.28 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 4.03 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.03)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 3 at UAPB 27) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the Ark 16 - UAPB 0, ARK 14 0.55 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 84

Started Drive at: UAPB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - -2.82 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.82)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 9 at ARK 13) Cam Little 31 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.90 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.90 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.40 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.40)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 1 yd to the ArkPB 26 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.55 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -0.40 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.40)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 9 at UAPB 26) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.90 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -0.94 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.94)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:12 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 9 at UAPB 26) Kierre Crossley run for 28 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 3.97 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 46

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - -1.85 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.85)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (Kickoff at ARK 35) Zack Piwniczka kickoff for 42 yds - UAPB 0, ARK 0 0.64 99.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 2.58 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.58)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 35) KJ Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 0 0.61 97.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 54

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.02 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 46) ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal use of the hands enforced (Paul Reeves) to the ArkPB 32 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 0 1.45 97.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 2.62 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 46) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 49 - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -1.33 3.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 3.20 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at UAPB 32) Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the ArkPB 24 - UAPB 0, ARK 0 0.32 98.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 3.49 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 2 at UAPB 24) Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 0 1.05 98.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 3.81 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 32) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -0.58 98.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARK 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 4.07 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 13 at ARK 49) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 0 -1.11 2.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.88 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 13 at ARK 49) Skyler Perry run for 12 yds to the Ark 37 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 1.31 2.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 37

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 0.77 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 1 at ARK 37) ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 42 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -2.30 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 42

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.11 - 1.19 = -2.30

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.81)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 6 at ARK 42) Josh Sanchez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 9 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.82 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 91

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -1.11 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.11)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 9) Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 16 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.32 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 84

Started Drive at: ARK 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 1.84 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.84)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 3 at ARK 16) Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.17 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 81

Started Drive at: ARK 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.16 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.16)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 19) Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 21 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.56 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79

Started Drive at: ARK 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.33 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.33)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 8 at ARK 21) KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Ark 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -4.86 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARK 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.25 - 1.61 = -4.86

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.61)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 33) ARKANSAS Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RIDGEWAY, John enforced half the distance from the goal (John Ridgeway) to the Ark 10 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 1.60 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 10

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 3.24 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.76)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & Goal at ARK 10) Kierre Crossley run for 3 yds to the Ark 7 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.08 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 7

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.85 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.15)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & Goal at ARK 7) ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (Joe Foucha) to the Ark 3 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.79 0.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 3

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.55 - 4.77 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.23)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & Goal at ARK 3) Timeout ARK PINE BLUFF, clock 10:45 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.00 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.55 - 5.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-11.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & Goal at ARK 3) Skyler Perry run for no gain to the Ark 3 - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.91 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 5.50 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-11.50)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & Goal at ARK 3) Skyler Perry pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -5.88 0.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 96

Started Drive at: ARK 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - 4.60 = -5.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.40)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 5) Dominique Johnson run for 34 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 1.71 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 61

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 1.42 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.42)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 39) Dominique Johnson run for 22 yds to the ArkPB 39 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 1.04 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 39

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 3.13 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.13)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 39) Dominique Johnson run for 11 yds to the ArkPB 28 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.52 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 28

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 4.17 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.17)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 28) KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 17 0.51 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 4.69 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (22.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.61 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 5.20 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 17 (22.20)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:35 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 17 -0.80 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 4.59 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.59)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 10 at UAPB 18) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 24 3.31 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.69)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 24 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.29)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 24 - UAPB 0, ARK 24 -0.84 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - -0.29 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.29)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 11 at UAPB 24) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 24 -0.73 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -1.12 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.12)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:12 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 2 at UAPB 33) Timeout ARK PINE BLUFF, clock 07:12 - UAPB 0, ARK 24 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -1.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.85)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:12 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 11 at UAPB 24) Skyler Perry run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 24 0.22 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - -1.57 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.57)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 2 at UAPB 33) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 80 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -5.61 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.39 = -5.61

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.39)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 31 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.96)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-30.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Xzavier Vaughn run for 15 yds to the ArkPB 40 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 31 0.94 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.04 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.96)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-30.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 40) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkPB 35 - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -1.09 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.99 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.01)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 15 at UAPB 35) Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the ArkPB 40 - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -0.01 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - -0.10 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.10)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 10 at UAPB 40) Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Zach Williams for 0 yards to the ArkPB 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -1.50 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 67

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.11 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.11)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-32.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 17 at UAPB 33) Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) to the Ark 32 - UAPB 0, ARK 31 -0.24 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -1.13 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-32.62)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 32) Dominique Johnson run for 13 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 31 0.43 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 55

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.20 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.20)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 45) KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 26 yds to the ArkPB 29 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 31 1.44 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 29

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 1.63 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.63)

Score Difference (End): 31 (34.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 29) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 38 4.16 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.84 = 4.16

Score Difference (Before): 31 (33.84)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 38 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.20 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.80)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.22 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.20 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.80)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 10 at UAPB 25) Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.29 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.32 - -0.02 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.02)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 10 at UAPB 25) Xzavier Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29 - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.39 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - -0.32 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.32)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 2:59 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 6 at UAPB 29) ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Sanchez) to the ArkPB 24 - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.16 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.71 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.71)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 11 at UAPB 24) Josh Sanchez punt for 39 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 18 yds to the ArkPB 45 - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.88 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.49 - -0.60 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.60)

Score Difference (End): 38 (39.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 45) Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 46 - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.54 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 46

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.32 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 38 (39.32)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 11 at UAPB 46) Treylon Burks run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 39 - UAPB 0, ARK 38 0.39 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 39

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 0.78 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 38 (38.78)

Score Difference (End): 38 (39.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 4 at UAPB 39) KJ Jefferson pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 38 -0.66 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 1.17 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 38 (39.17)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 4 at UAPB 39) KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 39 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK) - UAPB 0, ARK 45 6.42 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAPB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 38 (38.58)

Score Difference (End): 45 (45.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.20 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-44.80)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 27 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.04 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.20 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-44.80)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 8 at UAPB 27) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 26 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.02 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 74

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.02 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-45.02)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2029 (Kickoff at UAPB 35) Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.25 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -1.88 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.88)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-47.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 25) Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.02 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -1.88 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.88)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 6 at UAPB 29) Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 29 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.80 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.70 - -1.90 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.90)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-47.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:56 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 4 at UAPB 31) Timeout ARKANSAS, clock 09:56 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.70 - -2.70 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-47.70)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-47.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:56 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 6 at UAPB 29) Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 31 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.58 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - -2.49 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-47.49)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-48.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:43 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 4 at UAPB 31) Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 27 yds to the ArkPB 44 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.67 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 44

Started Drive at: UAPB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.59 - -2.92 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-47.92)

Score Difference (End): 45 (49.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:43 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 44) Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Ark 37 ARKANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ark 48 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.06 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 52

Started Drive at: UAPB 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 4.62 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 45 (49.59)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:18 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 18 at ARK 48) T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -4.46 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAPB 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 3.48 = -4.46

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.48)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 47) Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ark 13 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -4.35 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 87

Started Drive at: ARK 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.24 - 1.11 = -4.35

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.89)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 13) AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Ark 18 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.05 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 82

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.12 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.12)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 5 at ARK 18) AJ Green run for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.61 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 3.07 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.07)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 26) Malik Hornsby pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.53 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.68 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.68)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at ARK 26) AJ Green run for 29 yds to the ArkPB 45 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 1.39 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 45

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 3.15 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.15)

Score Difference (End): 45 (49.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 45) Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 38 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.17 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 4.54 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 45 (49.54)

Score Difference (End): 45 (49.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 3 at UAPB 38) Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 34 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.16 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 4.71 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 45 (49.71)

Score Difference (End): 45 (49.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at UAPB 34) Malik Hornsby sacked for 0 yards to the Ark 49 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.59 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 51

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 4.86 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): 45 (49.86)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 27 at ARK 49) Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 46 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.74 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 3.28 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.28)

Score Difference (End): 45 (47.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:57 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 22 at UAPB 46) Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jaquayln Crawford for 19 yds to the ArkPB 27 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.23 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 27

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.53 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 45 (47.53)

Score Difference (End): 45 (47.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 3 at UAPB 27) Malik Hornsby pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.49 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 73

Started Drive at: ARK 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.56 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 45 (47.56)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 27) Kierre Crossley run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 28 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.63 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - -1.03 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.03)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 9 at UAPB 28) Kierre Crossley run for 13 yds to the ArkPB 41 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 1.54 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 59

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -1.66 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.66)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-45.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 41) Skyler Perry pass incomplete for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jayden Johnson) to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 1.40 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 44

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - -0.12 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-45.12)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-43.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 44) Kierre Crossley run for 4 yds to the Ark 40 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.28 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.29 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.71)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-43.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 6 at ARK 40) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.10 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 1.57 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.43)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:06 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 6 at ARK 40) Skyler Perry run for 1 yd to the Ark 39 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.71 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - 0.47 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-44.53)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:55 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 5 at ARK 39) PERRY, Skyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for HILL, Dalyn thrown to the ARK34; QB hurried by SOLI, Mataio. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on CHAVIS, Malik enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ARK33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UAPB 0, ARK 45 3.70 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - -1.12 = 3.70

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.12)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-42.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:55 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 33) Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the Ark 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.65 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.59 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-42.41)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-43.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:55 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 10 at ARK 33) Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 6 yds to the Ark 27 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.27 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 27

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 1.94 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.06)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-42.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:55 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 4 at ARK 27) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.70 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 2.22 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-42.78)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-44.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:32 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 4 at ARK 27) Skyler Perry sacked by Andrew Parker for 0 yards to the Ark 32 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -3.89 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAPB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.34 - 0.55 = -3.89

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-44.45)

Score Difference (End): 45 (48.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:20 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 32) AJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 31 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.68 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 69

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.42 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 45 (48.42)

Score Difference (End): 45 (47.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:20 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 11 at ARK 31) Malik Hornsby pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.76 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.73 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 45 (47.73)

Score Difference (End): 45 (46.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 11 at ARK 31) Malik Hornsby run for 3 yds to the Ark 34 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -0.44 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.75 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 45 (46.75)

Score Difference (End): 45 (46.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 8 at ARK 34) Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Wilkes at the ArkPB 24 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.22 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 76

Started Drive at: ARK 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.83 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 45 (45.83)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 24) Skyler Perry run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 30 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.31 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.86 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-45.86)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-45.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 4 at UAPB 30) Dalyn Hill run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.48 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.55 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-45.55)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-45.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 35) Skyler Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkPB 33 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.03 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.07 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-45.07)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-46.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 12 at UAPB 33) Skyler Perry pass complete to Dalyn Hill for 32 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 3.21 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 35

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - -1.10 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-46.10)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-42.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 35) Dalyn Hill run for 15 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down - UAPB 0, ARK 45 1.35 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 20

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.10 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-42.90)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-41.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at ARK 20) Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 21 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.13 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.46 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-41.54)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-42.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:53 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 11 at ARK 21) Skyler Perry pass complete to Trey Harrell for 6 yds to the Ark 15 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.86 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 15

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 2.33 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-42.67)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-41.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:37 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 5 at ARK 15) Timeout ARKANSAS, clock 06:37 - UAPB 0, ARK 45 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-41.82)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-41.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:37 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 5 at ARK 15) Skyler Perry pass incomplete - UAPB 0, ARK 45 -1.60 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 3.26 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-41.74)

Score Difference (End): -45 (-43.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 0, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 5 at ARK 15) Zack Piwniczka 32 yd FG GOOD - UAPB 3, ARK 45 1.33 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAPB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -45 (-43.33)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-42.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 8 (Kickoff at ARK 35) Zack Piwniczka kickoff for 44 yds , AJ Green return for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 18 fumbled, recovered by Ark AJ Green - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.14 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.18 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 42 (43.18)

Score Difference (End): 42 (43.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 18) Malik Hornsby run for 15 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down - UAPB 3, ARK 45 0.30 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 67

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.05 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 42 (43.05)

Score Difference (End): 42 (43.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 33) AJ Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 30 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.54 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 70

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.35 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 42 (43.35)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 13 at ARK 30) AJ Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 26 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.49 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.81 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 42 (42.81)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 17 at ARK 26) Malik Hornsby pass incomplete - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.43 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.31 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 42 (42.31)

Score Difference (End): 42 (41.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:02 ESPN team id 8 (4th & 17 at ARK 26) Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declined - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.05 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: ARK 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - -0.21 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 42 (41.79)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-41.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:02 ESPN team id 2029 (1st & 10 at UAPB 30) Omar Allen Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 0.18 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAPB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.33 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-41.67)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-41.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:02 ESPN team id 2029 (2nd & 5 at UAPB 35) Omar Allen Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 34 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.46 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAPB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.51 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-41.49)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-41.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:02 ESPN team id 2029 (3rd & 6 at UAPB 34) Xzavier Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkPB 34 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.68 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAPB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 0.05 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-41.95)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-42.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:44 ESPN team id 2029 (4th & 6 at UAPB 34) Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 19 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.16 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 81

Started Drive at: UAPB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -0.43 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-42.43)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:44 ESPN team id 8 (1st & 10 at ARK 19) AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 19 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.15 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81

Started Drive at: ARK 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.54 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 42 (42.54)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:44 ESPN team id 8 (2nd & 10 at ARK 19) AJ Green run for 2 yds to the Ark 21 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.17 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79

Started Drive at: ARK 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.39 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 42 (42.39)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 8 (3rd & 8 at ARK 21) AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 21 - UAPB 3, ARK 45 -0.16 100.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: ARK 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 0.02 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 42 (42.02)

Score Difference (End): 42 (41.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAPB 3, ARK 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3