LSU 17 @ Ole Miss 31

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.62 | Odds: MISS -9, O/U 77.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Total Plays 7983
Total EPA -0.5818.04
  Offensive EPA -5.3315.9
  Special Teams EPA 0.145.49
  Penalty EPA 1.29-5.04
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 3.321.69
Production ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Scrimmage Plays 6874
  Yards 356469
  Yards/Play 5.246.34
  EPA -5.3315.90
  EPA/Play -0.080.21
Passes 38 (56%)27 (36%)
  Yards 249204
  Yards/Play 6.557.56
  EPA -2.527.58
  EPA/Play -0.070.28
Rushes 30 (44%)47 (64%)
  Yards 113284
  Yards/Play 3.776.04
  EPA -2.828.31
  EPA/Play -0.090.18
Rushing ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Scrimmage Plays 6874
Rushes 30 (44%)47 (64%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (17%)9 (19%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (33%)18 (38%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 15 (50%)28 (60%)
OL Line Yards 61.967.9
  Per Carry 2.061.44
Highlight Yards 13115
  Per Rush Opportunity 0.874.11
Explosiveness ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Total Plays 7983
Scrimmage Plays 6874
Explosive Plays 3 (4%)7 (9%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (8%)1 (4%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)6 (13%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -13.37-6.23
  EPA/Play -0.21-0.09
  When Passing -10.564.25
    EPA/Play -0.280.16
  When Rushing -2.82-10.48
    EPA/Play -0.09-0.26
Situational ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 32 (47%)36 (49%)
  When Passing 19 (50%)15 (56%)
  When Rushing 13 (43%)21 (45%)
  On Standard Downs 26 (51%)26 (52%)
  On Passing Downs 6 (35%)10 (42%)
  On Early Downs 27 (49%)28 (48%)
  On Late Downs 5 (38%)8 (50%)
  During "Middle 8" 2 (29%)9 (53%)
Early Downs 5558
  First Downs Created 13 (24%)14 (24%)
  EPA 3.652.78
  EPA/Play 0.070.05
  Passes 30 (55%)23 (40%)
  Rushes 25 (45%)35 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 16 (53%)13 (57%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 11 (44%)15 (43%)
"Middle 8" Plays 717
  EPA -5.279.95
  EPA/play -0.750.59
  Passes 2 (29%)6 (35%)
  Rushes 5 (71%)11 (65%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 0 (0%)6 (100%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)3 (27%)
Drives ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 21Own 32
Plays/Drive 9.257.95
Yards/Drive 50.0648.43
Available Yards % 63%71%
Defensive ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Scrimmage Plays 7468
Stop Rate 31%25%
Havoc Plays Created 11 (15%)10 (15%)
  Passing 4 (15%)7 (18%)
  Rushing 7 (15%)3 (10%)
TFLs Generated 108
  Passing 45
  Rushing 63
Sacks Generated 3 (11%)5 (13%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 14
Turnovers ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Turnovers 31
  Fumbles 41
  Fumbles Lost 21
  Fumbles Recovered 20
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 2.72.5
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -8.98.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 99 ESPN team id 145
Total Plays 11 9
Total EPA 0.14 5.49
  Field Goal EPA 0.68 1.59
  Punting EPA -0.44 1.58
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.1 2.32
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Garrett Nussmeier 7/12, 103 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 87.9 xQBR 7.92 0.41 5.28 54% 1.0%
Max Johnson 13/21, 146 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 16.0 xQBR 5.84 -0.31 -7.80 48% -3.0%
Rush attempts
Corey Kiner 10 carries, 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.90 0.10 1.01 40% -5.0%
Max Johnson 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.40 0.80 50% 1.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 0.01 0.01 100% 0.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price 17 carries, 53 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.12 -0.27 -4.63 41% -10.0%
Pass targets
Jack Bech 4 catches (5 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.25 1.03 5.15 80% 3.0%
Malik Nabers 4 catches (5 targets), 30 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 0.72 3.59 80% -1.0%
Jaray Jenkins 4 catches (6 targets), 52 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.43 2.56 67% 0.0%
Trey Palmer 3 catches (4 targets), 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.33 0.52 2.07 50% 5.0%
Brian Thomas Jr. 2 catches (4 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.50 0.31 1.23 50% 6.0%
Jontre Kirklin 2 catches (3 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 0.35 1.05 67% 0.0%
Devonta Lee 1 catch (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.26 0.52 50% 0.0%

Ole Miss [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Matt Corral 18/23, 185 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 55.7 xQBR 7.12 0.24 6.21 54% -2.0%
Dontario Drummond 1/1, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 87.2 xQBR 19.00 1.37 1.37 100% 4.0%
Rush attempts
Jerrion Ealy 12 carries, 97 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.08 0.61 7.30 42% 19.0%
Matt Corral 9 carries, 43 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.78 0.41 3.67 56% 14.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. 10 carries, 32 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.20 0.01 0.13 30% -4.0%
John Rhys Plumlee 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.38 -0.38 0% 0.0%
Snoop Conner 14 carries, 116 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 8.29 -0.08 -1.15 57% 4.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -5.00 -1.27 -1.27 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Dontario Drummond 8 catches (9 targets), 93 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.62 0.97 8.77 78% 14.0%
Casey Kelly 2 catches (2 targets), 8 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 0.90 1.79 100% 3.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. 2 catches (2 targets), 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 0.70 1.40 50% -2.0%
Matt Corral 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 1.37 1.37 100% 4.0%
Miles Battle 1 catch (1 target), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 1.33 1.33 100% 3.0%
Jahcour Pearson 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.35 0.69 50% 1.0%
John Rhys Plumlee 1 catch (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.12 -0.25 50% 0.0%
JJ Henry 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% -2.0%
Jerrion Ealy 1 catch (1 target), -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.98 -0.98 0% -4.0%
Jadon Jackson 1 catch (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.53 -1.06 50% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 5:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 3 at LSU 13) Snoop Conner run for 12 yds Snoop Conner fumbled, forced by Damone Clark, recovered by LSU - LSU 10, MISS 31 -5.12 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 80

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 5.32 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.32)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:50 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 49) Max Johnson sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 42 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Cedric Johnson, recovered by Miss Jake Springer , return for 0 yards OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sam Williams) to the Miss 42 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -4.90 3.0% -1.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 58

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.34 - 1.58 = -4.90

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.44)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 12 at LSU 36) Jerrion Ealy 36 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 31 4.66 98.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.34 = 4.66

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.34)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:10 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 19 at LSU 31) Jerrion Ealy run for 29 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 4.45 60.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 2

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 1.75 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.25)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 0:54 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 7 at LSU 45) Max Johnson sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 43 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Sam Williams, recovered by Miss Cedric Johnson , return for 0 yards - LSU 7, MISS 31 -3.52 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.24 - -0.72 = -3.52

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.72)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 5 at LSU 38) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 5 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 3.34 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 33

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 1.23 = 3.34

Score Difference (Before): 24 (25.23)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:28 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 26 at MISS 29) Cade York 47 Yd Field Goal - LSU 10, MISS 31 3.15 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.15 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.15)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:40 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 10 at MISS 13) Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Tavius Robinson for a loss of 16 yards to the Miss 29 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -3.09 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 2.83 = -3.09

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.17)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 6 at LSU 35) Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 44 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 3.01 31.0% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 21

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 1.65 = 3.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 12 at LSU 34) Snoop Conner run for 13 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 17 2.93 92.2% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 21

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 1.94 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.94)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 10:44 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 23 at LSU 25) Caden Costa 43 Yd Field Goal - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.59 48.8% 13.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.59)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:10 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 19 at LSU 31) Jerrion Ealy run for 29 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 4.45 60.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 2

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 1.75 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.25)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:19 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 3 at LSU 32) Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Bech, Jack, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Reese, Otis) 15 yards to the LSU47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. - LSU 7, MISS 3 2.01 38.5% 9.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 53

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.86 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:45 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 4 at MISS 31) Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 30 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.84 54.7% -8.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 70

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.31 - -0.47 = -1.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 13 at MISS 22) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 15 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 2.16 70.3% 7.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 63

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - -0.18 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 18 at LSU 20) Matt Corral sacked by Damone Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 29 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.59 59.3% -6.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 29

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 3.20 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:50 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 3 at LSU 17) Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 14 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 2.21 26.2% 6.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 69

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - -0.46 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 9 at MISS 38) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 27 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.70 72.7% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 35

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 0.81 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 6 at LSU 35) Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 44 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 3.01 31.0% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 21

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 1.65 = 3.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at LSU 40) Jerrion Ealy run for 11 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.32 57.4% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 29

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.25 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 8:29 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & Goal at MISS 1) Tyrion Davis-Price 1 Yd Run (Cade York Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.75 41.6% 2.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:44 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 23 at LSU 25) Caden Costa 43 Yd Field Goal - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.59 48.8% 13.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.59)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & Goal at LSU 2) Casey Kelly 2 Yd pass from Matt Corral (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.13 73.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.87 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.87)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 2 at LSU 3) Matt Corral 3 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 17 2.01 83.9% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.99 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.99)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 8:59 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & Goal at LSU 5) Henry Parrish Jr. 5 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 24 1.52 95.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.48 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.48)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 12 at LSU 36) Jerrion Ealy 36 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 31 4.66 98.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.34 = 4.66

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.34)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:28 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 26 at MISS 29) Cade York 47 Yd Field Goal - LSU 10, MISS 31 3.15 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.15 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.15)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & Goal at MISS 9) Malik Nabers 9 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Cade York Kick) - LSU 17, MISS 31 2.49 0.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.51 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 145 (Kickoff at MISS 35) Avery Atkins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.00 74.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.3%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:38 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 25) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 7 yds to the Miss 32 - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.43 76.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.03 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:28 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 3 at MISS 32) Parrish Jr., Henry rush for 3 yards to the OLEMISS35, PENALTY OLEMISS illegal block 10 yards to the OLEMISS22, NO PLAY. - LSU 0, MISS 0 -1.86 75.9% -3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 1.62 = -1.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 13 at MISS 22) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 15 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 2.16 70.3% 7.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 63

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - -0.18 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:43 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 37) Matt Corral sacked by BJ Ojulari for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 35 - LSU 0, MISS 0 -1.05 74.8% -2.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.97 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 12 at MISS 35) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the Miss 41 - LSU 0, MISS 0 -0.02 71.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 0.89 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:13 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 6 at MISS 41) Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jadon Jackson - LSU 0, MISS 0 -1.62 71.2% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.89 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:12 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 6 at MISS 41) OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Dontario Drummond) to the Miss 36 - LSU 0, MISS 0 -0.39 70.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 64

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.74 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:02 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 11 at MISS 36) Mac Brown punt for 53 yds , Trey Palmer returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 10 - LSU 0, MISS 0 1.00 69.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 90

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -1.12 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.12)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 10) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 13 - LSU 0, MISS 0 -0.54 28.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 87

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.13 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:05 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 7 at LSU 13) Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 4 yds to the LSU 17 - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.02 27.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 83

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.40 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:50 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 3 at LSU 17) Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 14 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 2.21 26.2% 6.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 69

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - -0.46 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 31) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 35 - LSU 0, MISS 0 -0.17 30.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.70 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 6 at LSU 35) Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 44 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 3.01 31.0% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 21

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 1.65 = 3.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:59 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 21) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the Miss 14 - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.39 38.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 14

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.70 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 3 at MISS 14) Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 9 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST down - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.82 41.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 5

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.91 - 5.09 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:45 ESPN team id 99 (1st & Goal at MISS 5) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Miss 1 - LSU 0, MISS 0 0.34 40.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.27 - 5.93 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 0, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:29 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & Goal at MISS 1) Tyrion Davis-Price 1 Yd Run (Cade York Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.75 41.6% 2.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:29 ESPN team id 145 (Kickoff at MISS 35) Avery Atkins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.00 51.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - -0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 25) Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dontario Drummond - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.55 50.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - -0.09 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 50.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:25 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at MISS 25) OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 20 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.71 49.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.36 - -0.65 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:10 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 15 at MISS 20) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 11 yds to the Miss 31 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.85 47.8% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - -1.34 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:45 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 4 at MISS 31) Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 30 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.84 54.7% -8.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 70

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.31 - -0.47 = -1.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 5 at MISS 30) Mac Brown punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 27 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.07 52.3% -3.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 73

Started Drive at: MISS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -2.29 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.29)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 27) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 35 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.56 51.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.42 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:25 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 2 at LSU 35) Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.06 51.5% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.95 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 54.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:13 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 39) Max Johnson pass incomplete - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.45 54.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.86 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at LSU 39) Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Jenkins, Jaray, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Johnson, Tysheem) 11 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.94 53.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 50

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.43 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at 50) Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the Miss 45 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.01 55.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.52 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 5 at MISS 45) Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.97 57.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.51 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 56.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 33) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr. - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.55 53.7% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.50 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.50)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at MISS 33) Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 13 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.10 53.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 20

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 3.95 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:35 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 20) Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for no gain to the Miss 20 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.54 55.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 5.03 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at MISS 20) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.78 55.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 4.50 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.50)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.3%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 10 at MISS 20) Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 9 yds Jaray Jenkins fumbled, forced by AJ Finley, recovered by LSU Jaray Jenkins - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.59 53.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 11

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.73 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:45 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 1 at MISS 11) OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 6 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.66 53.6% 3.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 4.32 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:15 ESPN team id 99 (1st & Goal at MISS 6) Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Miss 6 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.62 56.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 5.97 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & Goal at MISS 6) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Miss 2 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.29 56.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 2

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.64 - 5.35 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 55.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:20 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & Goal at MISS 2) Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 3 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -2.48 56.3% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 5.65 = -2.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.65)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 99 (4th & Goal at MISS 3) Timeout LSU, clock 00:57 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.00 53.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 3.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:51 ESPN team id 99 (4th & Goal at MISS 3) Max Johnson pass intercepted Tysheem Johnson return for no gain to the Miss 1 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.84 56.2% -4.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 3.16 = -1.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 51.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:33 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 1) Snoop Conner run for 13 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.06 48.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 86

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - -1.32 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 14) Snoop Conner run for 9 yds to the Miss 23 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.69 49.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 77

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - -0.26 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 50.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 1 at MISS 23) Snoop Conner run for 23 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.39 48.5% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 54

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.42 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:46 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 46) Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 45 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.98 57.2% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.84 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:23 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 11 at MISS 45) Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Drummond, Dontario, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Ryan, Sage) 15 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS. - LSU 7, MISS 0 2.02 55.7% 4.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 0.89 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 40) Matt Corral pass incomplete to JJ Henry - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.51 61.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.79 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at LSU 40) Jerrion Ealy run for 11 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 1.32 57.4% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 29

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.25 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 29) Matt Corral run for 8 yds to the LSU 21 - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.84 60.5% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 3.62 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.38)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 2 at LSU 21) Matt Corral run for 1 yd to the LSU 20 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.38 62.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 20

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.47 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:19 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 1 at LSU 20) Matt Corral run for 8 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 0 0.77 60.6% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 12

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 4.09 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 12) Matt Corral sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 20 OLE MISS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Matt Corral) to the LSU 20 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.70 62.9% -3.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 20

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 4.85 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 18 at LSU 20) Matt Corral sacked by Damone Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 29 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -1.59 59.3% -6.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 29

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 3.20 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 27 at LSU 29) Matt Corral pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 4 yds to the LSU 25 - LSU 7, MISS 0 -0.31 52.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.64 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.36)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:44 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 23 at LSU 25) Caden Costa 43 Yd Field Goal - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.59 48.8% 13.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: MISS 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.59)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:44 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 3 0.00 44.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.56)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:22 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 25) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 30 - LSU 7, MISS 3 0.11 44.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.59 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:02 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 5 at LSU 30) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 32 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.60 43.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.77 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.77)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:19 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 3 at LSU 32) Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Bech, Jack, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Reese, Otis) 15 yards to the LSU47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. - LSU 7, MISS 3 2.01 38.5% 9.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 53

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.86 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 47) Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the Miss 47 - LSU 7, MISS 3 0.22 42.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 2.69 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.69)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:28 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 4 at MISS 47) Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 48 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.93 45.3% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 48

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.78 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.3%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:37 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 5 at MISS 48) Max Johnson run for 9 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.71 43.9% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 1.76 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.76)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 39) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the Miss 37 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.63 48.0% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.53 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:45 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 8 at MISS 37) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.82 46.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 3.07 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.07)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:29 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 8 at MISS 37) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jack Bech - LSU 7, MISS 3 -1.53 45.3% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.22 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.22)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:29 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 8 at MISS 37) Timeout LSU, clock 06:29 - LSU 7, MISS 3 0.00 41.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.69)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:23 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 8 at MISS 37) Cade York 55 yd FG MISSED - LSU 7, MISS 3 -2.48 41.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 63

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - 0.69 = -2.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.69)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 37) Dontario Drummond pass complete to Matt Corral for 19 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.37 59.1% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 44

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:44 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 44) Snoop Conner run for 22 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 1.55 63.0% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 22

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 2.69 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 22) Snoop Conner run for no gain to the LSU 22 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.57 67.8% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.21 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:38 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at LSU 22) Matt Corral pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 1 yd to the LSU 21 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.61 66.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 21

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.66 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 64.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:20 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 9 at LSU 21) Ealy, Jerrion rush for 21 yards to the LSU0, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Rhodes, Jordan) 10 yards to the LSU31, NO PLAY. - LSU 7, MISS 3 -1.39 64.4% -4.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 31

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 3.24 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:10 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 19 at LSU 31) Jerrion Ealy run for 29 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 3 4.45 60.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 2

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 1.75 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.25)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & Goal at LSU 2) Ealy, Jerrion rush for loss of 2 yards to the LSU4, PENALTY LSU substitution infraction 1 yards to the LSU1, NO PLAY. - LSU 7, MISS 3 0.14 73.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.31 - 6.16 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:19 ESPN team id 145 (1st & Goal at LSU 1) Matt Corral run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 2 - LSU 7, MISS 3 -0.47 73.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 2

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.86 - 6.33 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & Goal at LSU 2) Casey Kelly 2 Yd pass from Matt Corral (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.13 73.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.87 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.87)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 10 0.00 27.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 25) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 26 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.52 28.1% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.91 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:31 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 9 at LSU 26) Max Johnson sacked by MoMo Sanogo for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 24 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.87 26.6% -3.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 0.52 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.48)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.6%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:31 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 11 at LSU 24) Timeout OLE MISS, clock 02:31 - LSU 7, MISS 10 0.00 22.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.35)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:21 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 11 at LSU 24) Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 27 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.90 23.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - -0.16 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.16)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:21 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 8 at LSU 27) Timeout OLE MISS, clock 02:21 - LSU 7, MISS 10 0.00 21.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - -1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:20 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 8 at LSU 27) Avery Atkins punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Dontario Drummond at the Miss 20 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.22 21.4% 4.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 80

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - -0.83 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.83)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:11 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 20) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the Miss 24 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.15 73.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.01 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 6 at MISS 24) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 26 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.32 72.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.81 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:32 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 4 at MISS 26) Matt Corral pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 11 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.30 71.6% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 0.25 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 37) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the Miss 38 - LSU 7, MISS 10 -0.21 73.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.18 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 9 at MISS 38) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 27 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.70 72.7% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 35

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 0.81 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 35) Matt Corral pass complete to Casey Kelly for 6 yds to the LSU 29 - LSU 7, MISS 10 0.66 78.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 2.36 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 4 at LSU 29) Matt Corral pass complete to Miles Battle for 18 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.33 79.8% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 11

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.00 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 11) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 8 yds to the LSU 3 - LSU 7, MISS 10 1.37 82.2% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 3

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 3.98 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.98)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 83.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 2 at LSU 3) Matt Corral 3 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 17 2.01 83.9% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.99 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.99)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 63 yds , Trey Palmer return for 14 yds to the LSU 16 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -0.10 9.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: LSU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.11 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.89)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 16) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 15 - LSU 7, MISS 17 0.01 8.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85

Started Drive at: LSU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.01 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.01)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 17 0.00 8.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:41 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 25) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 28 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -0.43 10.5% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.03 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 7 at LSU 28) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 32 - LSU 7, MISS 17 0.14 10.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - -0.42 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:50 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 3 at LSU 32) Max Johnson sacked by Chance Campbell for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 22 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Chance Campbell, recovered by LSU - LSU 7, MISS 17 -2.69 10.2% -1.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.92 - -0.24 = -2.69

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.24)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-12.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:10 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 13 at LSU 22) Avery Atkins punt for 55 yds , Dontario Drummond returns for 11 yds to the Miss 34 - LSU 7, MISS 17 0.31 7.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 66

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -2.96 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-12.96)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.65)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 34) Matt Corral pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 34 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 17 1.70 92.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 32

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.62 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.62)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:35 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 32) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 28 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -0.11 93.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 28

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.33 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 6 at LSU 28) Snoop Conner run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 34 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -2.23 93.9% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 34

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 4.23 = -2.23

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.23)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 12 at LSU 34) Snoop Conner run for 13 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 17 2.93 92.2% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 21

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 1.94 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.94)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:15 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 21) Snoop Conner run for 4 yds to the LSU 17 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -0.07 95.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.87 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.87)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 6 at LSU 17) Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the LSU 16 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -0.64 95.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.84 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.84)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:30 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 5 at LSU 16) Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the LSU 14 - LSU 7, MISS 17 -1.32 94.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 4.22 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.22)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:50 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 3 at LSU 14) Matt Corral run for 4 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 17 2.43 93.1% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 10

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 2.91 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.91)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & Goal at LSU 10) Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the LSU 5 - LSU 7, MISS 17 0.19 95.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.51 - 5.32 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.32)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:59 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & Goal at LSU 5) Henry Parrish Jr. 5 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 24 1.52 95.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.48 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.48)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:59 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.00 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - -0.30 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.30)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 25) Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the LSU 30 - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.24 2.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.45 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:15 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 5 at LSU 30) Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 19 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 24 1.90 2.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 51

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - -0.34 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.34)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:50 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 49) Max Johnson sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 42 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Cedric Johnson, recovered by Miss Jake Springer , return for 0 yards OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sam Williams) to the Miss 42 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -4.90 3.0% -1.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 58

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.34 - 1.58 = -4.90

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.44)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:30 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 42) Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Miss 44 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -0.36 98.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: MISS 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.25 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.25)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:00 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 8 at MISS 44) Jerrion Ealy run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - LSU 7, MISS 24 -0.06 98.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: MISS 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.95 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.95)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:50 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 2 at 50) Jerrion Ealy run for no gain to the 50 yard line - LSU 7, MISS 24 -1.86 98.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: MISS 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 3.00 = -1.86

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.00)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 2 at 50) Mac Brown punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 8 - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.26 98.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 92

Started Drive at: MISS 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.21 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.21)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.47)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:09 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 8) Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds to the LSU 16 - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.83 2.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 84

Started Drive at: LSU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -1.44 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.44)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 2 at LSU 16) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr. - LSU 7, MISS 24 -0.82 2.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84

Started Drive at: LSU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.63 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.63)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:48 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 2 at LSU 16) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 17 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -1.15 2.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 83

Started Drive at: LSU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - -1.45 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-19.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:08 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 1 at LSU 17) Avery Atkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dontario Drummond at the Miss 38 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -0.53 2.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 62

Started Drive at: LSU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.20 - -2.67 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-19.67)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 38) Matt Corral pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.56 98.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.22 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.22)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:34 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at 50) Snoop Conner run for 9 yds to the LSU 41 - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.64 98.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 41

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 3.81 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.81)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:20 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 1 at LSU 41) Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 24 0.04 98.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 34

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 4.46 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.46)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 34) TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 39 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -1.27 98.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 4.48 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.48)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 15 at LSU 39) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 3 yds to the LSU 36 - LSU 7, MISS 24 -0.92 98.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.22 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.22)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 12 at LSU 36) Jerrion Ealy 36 Yd Run (Caden Costa Kick) - LSU 7, MISS 31 4.66 98.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: MISS 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.34 = 4.66

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.34)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 99 (Kickoff at LSU 35) Caden Costa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 31 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.93)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 25) Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 5 yds to the LSU 30 - LSU 7, MISS 31 0.08 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - -0.88 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.88)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:35 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 5 at LSU 30) Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 12 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 1.24 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 58

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -0.75 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.75)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 42) Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jontre Kirklin - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.60 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.48 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.52)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at LSU 42) Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 45 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.61 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.12 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.12)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:54 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 7 at LSU 45) Max Johnson sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 43 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Sam Williams, recovered by Miss Cedric Johnson , return for 0 yards - LSU 7, MISS 31 -3.52 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43

Started Drive at: LSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.24 - -0.72 = -3.52

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.72)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:29 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 43) Jerrion Ealy run for no gain to the LSU 43 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.54 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 4.24 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.24)

Score Difference (End): 24 (27.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at LSU 43) Jerrion Ealy run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 46 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -1.37 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 46

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.60 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 24 (27.60)

Score Difference (End): 24 (26.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 13 at LSU 46) Matt Corral run for 8 yds to the LSU 38 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.78 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 38

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 2.10 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 24 (26.10)

Score Difference (End): 24 (25.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 5 at LSU 38) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 5 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 3.34 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 33

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 1.23 = 3.34

Score Difference (Before): 24 (25.23)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:59 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 33) Timeout OLE MISS, clock 13:59 - LSU 7, MISS 31 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 4.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.56)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:43 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 33) Parrish Jr., Henry rush for 11 yards to the LSU22, PENALTY OLEMISS holding 10 yards to the LSU43, NO PLAY. - LSU 7, MISS 31 -1.08 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 43

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 4.46 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.46)

Score Difference (End): 24 (27.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:36 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 20 at LSU 43) Matt Corral pass incomplete to John Rhys Plumlee - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.68 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.46 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 24 (27.46)

Score Difference (End): 24 (26.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:13 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 20 at LSU 43) Jerrion Ealy run for 1 yd to the LSU 42 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.94 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.76 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 24 (26.76)

Score Difference (End): 24 (25.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:10 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 19 at LSU 42) OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rhodes) to the LSU 47 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.09 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 47

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.79 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 24 (25.79)

Score Difference (End): 24 (25.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:50 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 24 at LSU 47) Matt Corral run for 7 yds to the LSU 40 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.93 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 40

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 1.61 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 24 (25.61)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:05 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 17 at LSU 40) Mac Brown punt for 40 yds for a touchback - LSU 7, MISS 31 0.39 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 80

Started Drive at: LSU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 0.68 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 24 (24.68)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:25 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 20) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the LSU 29 - LSU 7, MISS 31 0.62 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -0.81 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.81)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:15 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 1 at LSU 29) Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.11 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.11 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.89)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:06 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 32) Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Devonta Lee - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.73 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.22 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.78)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:59 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at LSU 32) Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.70 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -0.54 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.54)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:36 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 10 at LSU 32) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 2.12 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 57

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - -1.18 = 2.12

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.18)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 43) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 23 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 1.58 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 34

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 1.09 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-22.91)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-21.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:15 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 34) Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey Palmer - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.65 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.68 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.32)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-21.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:00 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at MISS 34) Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the Miss 29 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.20 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.04 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.96)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-22.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 5 at MISS 29) Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 1.58 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 1.69 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-22.31)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-20.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:04 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 24) Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down - LSU 7, MISS 31 1.07 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 13

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 3.13 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-20.87)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:52 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 13) Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.62 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.24 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-19.76)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-20.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:30 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 10 at MISS 13) Corey Kiner run for no gain to the Miss 13 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -0.96 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.72 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-20.28)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-21.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:40 ESPN team id 99 (3rd & 10 at MISS 13) Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Tavius Robinson for a loss of 16 yards to the Miss 29 - LSU 7, MISS 31 -3.09 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 2.83 = -3.09

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.17)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 7, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:28 ESPN team id 99 (4th & 26 at MISS 29) Cade York 47 Yd Field Goal - LSU 10, MISS 31 3.15 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.15 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.15)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:28 ESPN team id 145 (Kickoff at MISS 35) Preston Stafford on-side kick recovered by OLE MISS at the LSU 45 - LSU 10, MISS 31 1.40 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 45

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 2.46 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.46)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:20 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 45) Matt Corral pass incomplete - LSU 10, MISS 31 -0.62 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.93 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 10 at LSU 45) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 13 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down - LSU 10, MISS 31 1.21 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 32

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 3.35 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.35)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:45 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 32) Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 12 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down - LSU 10, MISS 31 0.56 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 20

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 4.54 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.54)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 20) Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the LSU 13 - LSU 10, MISS 31 0.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 13

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.93 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:55 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 3 at LSU 13) Snoop Conner run for 12 yds Snoop Conner fumbled, forced by Damone Clark, recovered by LSU - LSU 10, MISS 31 -5.12 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 80

Started Drive at: LSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 5.32 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.32)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:30 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 20) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down - LSU 10, MISS 31 0.57 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - -0.15 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.15)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:22 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at LSU 31) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down - LSU 10, MISS 31 1.73 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 47

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 0.56 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.58)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 99 (1st & 10 at MISS 47) Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Miss 42 - LSU 10, MISS 31 -0.06 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.41 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.59)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:21 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & 5 at MISS 42) Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 33 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST down - LSU 10, MISS 31 2.54 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 9

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 2.49 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.51)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:03 ESPN team id 99 (1st & Goal at MISS 9) Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik Nabers - LSU 10, MISS 31 -0.56 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 5.12 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-15.88)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 10, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 99 (2nd & Goal at MISS 9) Malik Nabers 9 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Cade York Kick) - LSU 17, MISS 31 2.49 0.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: LSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.51 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 145 (Kickoff at MISS 35) Preston Stafford on-side kick recovered by OLE MISS at the Miss 46 - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.92 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 54

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.48 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at MISS 46) Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 5 yds to the LSU 49 - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.43 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 2.12 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:30 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 5 at LSU 49) Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.55 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 44

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 2.00 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.00)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:23 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 44) John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the LSU 43 - LSU 17, MISS 31 -0.38 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 43

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.35 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:23 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 9 at LSU 43) Timeout LSU, clock 02:23 - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.98 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.98)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:40 ESPN team id 145 (2nd & 9 at LSU 43) Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45 - LSU 17, MISS 31 -0.64 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 45

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.71 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.71)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 145 (3rd & 11 at LSU 45) Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the LSU 41 - LSU 17, MISS 31 -0.42 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 41

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.91 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.91)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:53 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 7 at LSU 41) Timeout OLE MISS, clock 00:53 - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.49 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.49)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 145 (4th & 7 at LSU 41) Jerrion Ealy run for 9 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down - LSU 17, MISS 31 2.32 99.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 32

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 0.48 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 145 (1st & 10 at LSU 32) Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the LSU 30 - LSU 17, MISS 31 0.10 99.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 30

Started Drive at: MISS 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.47 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.47)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: LSU 17, MISS 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2