FAU 38 @ Charlotte 9

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.72 | Odds: FAU -6.5, O/U 58.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Total Plays 5483
Total EPA 13.95-15.88
  Offensive EPA 12.44-14.72
  Special Teams EPA 3.75-3.86
  Penalty EPA -2.231.86
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.010.84
Production ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Scrimmage Plays 4971
  Yards 431338
  Yards/Play 8.804.76
  EPA 12.44-14.72
  EPA/Play 0.25-0.21
Passes 12 (24%)43 (61%)
  Yards 225274
  Yards/Play 18.756.37
  EPA 18.04-0.67
  EPA/Play 1.50-0.02
Rushes 37 (76%)28 (39%)
  Yards 20658
  Yards/Play 5.572.15
  EPA -5.60-14.05
  EPA/Play -0.15-0.50
Rushing ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Scrimmage Plays 4971
Rushes 37 (76%)28 (39%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)2 (7%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (22%)8 (29%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 17 (46%)17 (61%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 16 (43%)7 (25%)
OL Line Yards 28.525.2
  Per Carry 0.770.90
Highlight Yards 102.510
  Per Rush Opportunity 6.411.43
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Total Plays 5483
Scrimmage Plays 4971
Explosive Plays 6 (12%)5 (7%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 5 (42%)4 (9%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)1 (4%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -6.55-30.54
  EPA/Play -0.15-0.46
  When Passing 2.31-14.30
    EPA/Play 0.19-0.33
  When Rushing -8.86-16.24
    EPA/Play -0.25-0.60
Situational ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 25 (51%)26 (37%)
  When Passing 8 (67%)18 (42%)
  When Rushing 17 (46%)8 (29%)
  On Standard Downs 17 (53%)22 (49%)
  On Passing Downs 8 (47%)4 (15%)
  On Early Downs 19 (50%)18 (37%)
  On Late Downs 6 (55%)8 (36%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (75%)3 (50%)
Early Downs 3849
  First Downs Created 10 (26%)9 (18%)
  EPA 5.50-12.46
  EPA/Play 0.14-0.25
  Passes 7 (18%)28 (57%)
  Rushes 31 (82%)21 (43%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 5 (71%)13 (46%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (45%)5 (24%)
"Middle 8" Plays 46
  EPA 5.121.26
  EPA/play 1.280.21
  Passes 2 (50%)2 (33%)
  Rushes 2 (50%)4 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (100%)2 (100%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (50%)1 (25%)
Drives ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Total 1011
Avg Starting Field Position Own 35Own 24
Plays/Drive 6.889.18
Yards/Drive 47.3745.86
Available Yards % 73%61%
Defensive ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Scrimmage Plays 7149
Stop Rate 44%35%
Havoc Plays Created 11 (15%)8 (16%)
  Passing 7 (16%)1 (8%)
  Rushing 4 (14%)7 (19%)
TFLs Generated 98
  Passing 51
  Rushing 47
Sacks Generated 3 (7%)1 (8%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 20
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Turnovers 24
  Fumbles 43
  Fumbles Lost 22
  Fumbles Recovered 21
  Interceptions 02
Turnover Margin 2-2
Expected Turnovers 3.53.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.4-0.4
Turnover Luck (pts) 7.8-7.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 2226 ESPN team id 2429
Total Plays 5 12
Total EPA 3.75 -3.86
  Field Goal EPA 0.24 -2.85
  Punting EPA 0.8 -0.9
  Kickoff Return EPA 2.7 -0.11

Florida Atlantic [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
N'Kosi Perry 9/11, 225 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 84.2 xQBR 18.75 1.50 18.04 67% 38.0%
Rush attempts
Johnny Ford 8 carries, 92 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.50 0.41 3.31 62% -1.0%
Javion Posey 1 carry, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.31 1.31 100% 0.0%
LaJohntay Wester 1 carry, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 1.12 1.12 100% 1.0%
Malcolm Davidson 5 carries, 15 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 0.13 0.63 40% 8.0%
Larry McCammon III 1 carry, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.41 0.41 100% 0.0%
James Charles 6 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 0.00 -0.02 33% 1.0%
Willie Wright 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.42 -0.42 0% -1.0%
Kelvin Dean Jr. 3 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.46 -1.37 33% 0.0%
Nick Tronti 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) -1.00 -1.54 -3.08 0% 0.0%
N'Kosi Perry 9 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 3 Fum (1 lost) 3.00 -0.83 -7.49 44% -8.0%
Pass targets
Je'Quan Burton 2 catches (2 targets), 78 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 39.00 3.34 6.68 100% 12.0%
Brandon Robinson 2 catches (2 targets), 54 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 27.00 2.57 5.15 100% 8.0%
LaJohntay Wester 2 catches (2 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.50 1.68 3.36 100% 6.0%
TJ Chase 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 3.22 3.22 100% 5.0%
Johnny Ford 1 catch (1 target), 32 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.00 3.02 3.02 100% 11.0%
Zaire Mitchell-Paden 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.36 -0.36 0% 0.0%

Charlotte [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chris Reynolds 22/30, 219 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 2 Scks, 61.3 xQBR 6.84 0.18 5.81 47% 34.0%
James Foster 5/10, 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 14.4 xQBR 5.00 -0.59 -6.49 27% 100.0%
Rush attempts
ChaVon McEachern 3 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 0.51 1.54 33% 0.0%
Grant DuBose 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.13 0.13 100% 0.0%
James Foster 2 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.83 -1.66 0% 0.0%
Shadrick Byrd 9 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.11 -0.38 -3.46 22% -13.0%
Calvin Camp 6 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.50 -0.59 -3.56 17% -8.0%
Chris Reynolds 7 carries, 11 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (1 lost) 1.57 -1.01 -7.04 43% -14.0%
Pass targets
Victor Tucker 6 catches (6 targets), 105 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.50 1.76 10.55 100% 19.0%
Grant DuBose 5 catches (5 targets), 70 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.88 9.39 100% 17.0%
Ryan Carriere 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 2.52 2.52 100% 5.0%
Jairus Mack 1 catch (1 target), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.00 1.48 1.48 100% 3.0%
Taylor Thompson 3 catches (3 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.33 0.32 0.95 33% 2.0%
Calvin Camp 3 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.33 0.05 0.15 33% 0.0%
ChaVon McEachern 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.20 -0.41 50% 0.0%
Shadrick Byrd 3 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.25 -0.76 33% 1.0%
Elijah Spencer 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.91 -0.91 0% -1.0%
Bryce Kennon 2 catches (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.56 -1.13 50% 1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 2 at CLT 20) N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Charl 19 fumbled, recovered by Charl Markees Watts - FAU 0, CLT 0 -5.68 79.5% -11.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 81

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 4.82 = -5.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 32) Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 38 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph Brice - FAU 7, CLT 3 -5.64 28.1% -10.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.50 - 3.14 = -5.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 5 at FAU 34) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 30 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 4.61 32.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 4

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 1.01 = 4.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 5 at FAU 34) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 57 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST down - FAU 14, CLT 9 4.35 79.7% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 9

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 0.90 = 4.35

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.90)

Score Difference (End): 5 (10.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 11 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.79 25.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.10 = 3.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 10 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass intercepted by FAU Ahman Ross at the FAU41, intended for Grant Dubose. Ross return for 20 yards to the CLT39 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -3.72 0.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.24 - -0.52 = -3.72

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.52)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 7 at CLT 22) Calvin Camp rush middle for 29 yards to the FAU49. FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcel Southall) to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.40 30.3% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 0.16 = 3.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:42 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 39) Johnny Ford run for 60 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST down - FAU 31, CLT 9 3.26 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 1

Started Drive at: FAU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 2.50 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.50)

Score Difference (End): 22 (27.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & Goal at CLT 8) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 7, CLT 3 3.22 73.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 32) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 14, CLT 9 3.02 67.9% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.98 = 3.02

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 6) James Foster sacked by Tre Jackson for 0 yards to the FlAtl 13 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -2.70 0.1% 99.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 87

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 1.96 = -2.70

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-27.04)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 2 at CLT 20) N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Charl 19 fumbled, recovered by Charl Markees Watts - FAU 0, CLT 0 -5.68 79.5% -11.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 81

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 4.82 = -5.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 32) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 14, CLT 9 3.02 67.9% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.98 = 3.02

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 32) Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 38 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph Brice - FAU 7, CLT 3 -5.64 28.1% -10.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.50 - 3.14 = -5.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 6 at FAU 27) Jonathan Cruz 44 yd FG MISSED - FAU 0, CLT 0 -3.01 34.9% -10.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 73

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - 1.82 = -3.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.19)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 5 at FAU 34) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 30 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 4.61 32.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 4

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 1.01 = 4.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 11 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.79 25.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.10 = 3.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 5 at FAU 34) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 57 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST down - FAU 14, CLT 9 4.35 79.7% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 9

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 0.90 = 4.35

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.90)

Score Difference (End): 5 (10.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 7 at CLT 22) Calvin Camp rush middle for 29 yards to the FAU49. FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcel Southall) to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.40 30.3% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 0.16 = 3.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 1) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED) - FAU 7, CLT 9 2.71 36.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.29 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 6) Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOOD - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.16 39.2% -2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & Goal at CLT 8) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 7, CLT 3 3.22 73.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 1) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED) - FAU 7, CLT 9 2.71 36.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.29 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 32) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 14, CLT 9 3.02 67.9% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.98 = 3.02

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 9) Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 21, CLT 9 1.63 87.5% 5.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.37 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 5 (10.37)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 30) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 28, CLT 9 2.58 96.8% 2.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.42)

Score Difference (End): 19 (19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:09 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & Goal at CLT 9) Aaron Shahriari 27 yd FG GOOD - FAU 31, CLT 9 0.24 99.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.76)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:14 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 1) Johnny Ford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 38, CLT 9 0.50 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.50 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 22 (28.50)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 24) CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 19 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.65 28.1% -2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 81

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.71 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 15 at CLT 19) Chris Reynolds pass to the left incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU50. PENALTY FAU Pass Interference on Zyon Gilbert enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the CLT33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 0, CLT 0 1.53 26.2% 3.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 0.08 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 33) Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 34 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.55 29.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.59 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 9 at CLT 34) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 10 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 1.27 28.7% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 1.04 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 44) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 43 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.15 31.8% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 2.31 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 11 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.06 29.1% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.16 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 11 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.79 25.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.10 = 3.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 31) Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 33 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.21 34.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.89 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.3%

Win Probability (After): 32.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 12 at FAU 33) Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.83 32.8% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.68 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 11 at FAU 32) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.91 29.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 1.85 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 63 yds , Shadrick Byrd return for 22 yds to the Charl 24 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.15 28.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.86 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 6 at FAU 27) Jonathan Cruz 44 yd FG MISSED - FAU 0, CLT 0 -3.01 34.9% -10.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 73

Started Drive at: CLT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - 1.82 = -3.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.19)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 27) James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.50 71.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 1.49 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 7 at FAU 30) N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 1.18 71.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 61

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 0.99 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 39) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 33 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 2.16 73.9% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 28

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.18 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 28) James Charles run for 8 yds to the Charl 20 - FAU 0, CLT 0 0.55 76.1% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - 4.33 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 2 at CLT 20) N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Charl 19 fumbled, recovered by Charl Markees Watts - FAU 0, CLT 0 -5.68 79.5% -11.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 81

Started Drive at: FAU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 4.82 = -5.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 19) Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 22 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.51 31.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 78

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.66 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 7 at CLT 22) Calvin Camp rush middle for 29 yards to the FAU49. FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcel Southall) to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 3.40 30.3% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 0.16 = 3.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 39) Calvin Camp run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32 - FAU 0, CLT 0 0.51 38.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 3.56 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 3 at FAU 32) CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 37 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.14 38.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 37

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 4.06 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 8 at FAU 37) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.17 37.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 2.93 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 5 at FAU 34) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 30 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 0 4.61 32.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 4

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 1.01 = 4.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 4) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 0, CLT 0 -0.52 41.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 6.05 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & Goal at FAU 4) Chris Reynolds sacked by Romain Mungin and Caliph Brice for loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 6 - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.44 41.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 5.53 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & Goal at FAU 6) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 0, CLT 0 -1.29 39.1% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 4.09 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 6) Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOOD - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.16 39.2% -2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (Kickoff at FAU 35) Jonathan Cruz kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.00 62.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.70 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 62.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 25) Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 3 1.07 62.1% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.70 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 38) Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37 - FAU 0, CLT 3 -1.03 63.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 63

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.78 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.5%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 11 at FAU 37) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 21 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 3 2.34 61.7% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 42

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 0.75 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 42) Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the Charl 41 - FAU 0, CLT 3 -0.42 65.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 3.09 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 9 at CLT 41) Larry McCammon III run for 7 yds to the Charl 34 - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.41 65.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 34

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.66 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 2 at CLT 34) Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.85 65.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.07 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.7%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 30) Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Charl 24 - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.21 67.5% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 3.92 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 4 at CLT 24) N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the Charl 21 - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.15 71.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.11 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.11)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 1 at CLT 21) FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 26 - FAU 0, CLT 3 -1.26 71.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 26

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 4.26 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 6 at CLT 26) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 24 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST down - FAU 0, CLT 3 2.57 68.2% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 2

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 3.01 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 2) N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 8 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi Perry - FAU 0, CLT 3 -1.61 74.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 8

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 6.24 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & Goal at CLT 8) Johnny Ford run for no gain to the Charl 8 - FAU 0, CLT 3 -0.87 73.7% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.63 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & Goal at FAU 1) Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the FlAtl 1 - FAU 0, CLT 3 -0.37 50.7% -4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.88 - 6.24 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & Goal at FAU 1) Timeout FLA ATLANTIC, clock 13:15 - FAU 0, CLT 3 0.00 49.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.88 - 5.88 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.88)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 0, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & Goal at CLT 8) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 7, CLT 3 3.22 73.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 60 yds , Shadrick Byrd return for 18 yds to the Charl 23 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.18 22.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.84 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.16)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 23) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.08 22.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.74 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.26)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 36) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 23 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.48 25.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 41

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 1.82 = 1.48

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 41) Chris Reynolds rush middle for 6 yards to the FAU35, fumble by Reynolds, recovered by CLT Panda Askew. - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.26 27.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 3.30 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 4 at FAU 35) CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 40 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.74 28.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 40

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.56 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.44)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 9 at FAU 40) Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.88 27.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.83 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.17)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 7 at FAU 38) Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU12. PENALTY FAU Holding on Zyon Gilbert enforced 10 yards from the FAU38 to the FAU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 7, CLT 3 2.18 25.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 1.95 = 2.18

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.05)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 28) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 21 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.17 29.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 7

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.13 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.13)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 7) Shadrick Byrd rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the FAU5 (WILLIAMS, Eddie;SOUTHALL, Marcel). PENALTY CLT Holding on Panda Askew enforced 10 yards from the FAU7 to the FAU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.12 35.4% -4.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 17

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 5.50 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.50)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 17) Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU3. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on Grant Dubose enforced 15 yards to the FAU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.19 31.2% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.38 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 32) Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 38 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph Brice - FAU 7, CLT 3 -5.64 28.1% -10.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.50 - 3.14 = -5.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 38) N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.61 80.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: FAU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.19 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.19)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 10 at FAU 38) N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.21 79.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 63

Started Drive at: FAU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.58 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 11 at FAU 37) N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.08 77.6% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: FAU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - 0.38 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.38)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & 11 at FAU 37) Matt Hayball punt for 51 yds , Victor Tucker returns for no gain to the Charl 12 - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.72 74.8% 3.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 88

Started Drive at: FAU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.77 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.23)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 12) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.63 22.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.06 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.94)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 10 at CLT 12) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 4 yds to the Charl 16 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.24 21.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 84

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -0.57 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.6%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 6 at CLT 16) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 8 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.55 20.6% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 76

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - -0.82 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.82)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 24) Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 27 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.38 23.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.73 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.27)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 7 at CLT 27) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 10 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.31 23.2% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 0.35 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.65)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 37) Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 44 - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.47 25.6% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.65 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 3 at CLT 44) Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 45 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.75 27.1% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.12 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.88)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 2 at CLT 45) Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 46 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.24 24.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 1.37 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.63)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 1 at CLT 46) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 2.52 22.7% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 0.13 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.87)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 48) Grant DuBose run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 43 - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.13 28.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 2.65 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 5 at FAU 43) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -0.15 28.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.78 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 2 at FAU 40) Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.74 27.8% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.63 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 36) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 3 1.41 29.3% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 14

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 3.37 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.63)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 14) Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Victor Tucker, broken up by Caliph Brice at the FAU5. PENALTY FAU Holding on Zyon Gilbert enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the FAU14 to the FAU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.42 35.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 7

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 4.78 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:36 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 7) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 6 yds to the FlAtl 1 - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.63 37.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.07 - 5.44 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 1) Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 00:03 - FAU 7, CLT 3 0.00 42.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.07 - 6.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.07)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & Goal at FAU 1) Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the FlAtl 1 - FAU 7, CLT 3 -1.59 42.8% -6.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 4.95 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 3

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 1) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED) - FAU 7, CLT 9 2.71 36.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLT 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.29 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (Kickoff at FAU 35) Jonathan Cruz kickoff for 53 yds - FAU 7, CLT 9 2.70 59.3% 5.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 0.58 = 2.70

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.42)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 35) Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38 - FAU 7, CLT 9 -0.45 61.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.61 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.39)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 7 at FAU 38) N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 9 1.35 60.3% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 1.16 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.84)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at 50) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 18 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST down - FAU 7, CLT 9 1.20 63.6% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 32

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 2.51 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 7, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 32) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 14, CLT 9 3.02 67.9% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.98 = 3.02

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - FAU 14, CLT 9 0.00 23.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.67 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.33)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 25) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 8 yds to the Charl 33 - FAU 14, CLT 9 0.83 23.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 0.67 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.33)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 2 at CLT 33) Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 34 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -0.39 24.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.51 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.49)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 1 at CLT 34) Chris Reynolds run for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST down - FAU 14, CLT 9 1.24 23.2% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 53

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 1.12 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.88)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 47) Calvin Camp run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 41 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -1.55 26.2% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 2.36 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.64)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 16 at CLT 41) Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 10:13 - FAU 14, CLT 9 0.00 22.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.19)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 16 at CLT 41) Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 41 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -0.97 22.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.76 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.24)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 16 at CLT 41) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 1 yd to the Charl 42 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -1.15 21.3% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - -0.20 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.20)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 15 at CLT 42) Bailey Rice punt for 50 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 11 yds to the FlAtl 19 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -0.10 17.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 81

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -1.12 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.12)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.23)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 19) Johnny Ford run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST down - FAU 14, CLT 9 0.62 80.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 71

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.12 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.12)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 29) Johnny Ford rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU28 (ROGERS, Solomon). PENALTY FAU Holding on Desmond Noel enforced 10 yards from the FAU29 to the FAU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - FAU 14, CLT 9 -0.98 81.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 81

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.73 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.73)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 20 at FAU 19) Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 16 - FAU 14, CLT 9 -0.97 80.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 84

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 0.75 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.75)

Score Difference (End): 5 (4.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 23 at FAU 16) LaJohntay Wester run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 34 - FAU 14, CLT 9 1.12 78.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 66

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - -0.22 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.78)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:32 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 5 at FAU 34) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 57 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST down - FAU 14, CLT 9 4.35 79.7% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 9

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 0.90 = 4.35

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.90)

Score Difference (End): 5 (10.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 14, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 9) Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 21, CLT 9 1.63 87.5% 5.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.37 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 5 (10.37)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - FAU 21, CLT 9 0.00 6.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.94)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 25) Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 25 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.54 6.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.06 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.94)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 10 at CLT 25) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.88 6.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.48 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.48)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-13.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 10 at CLT 25) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 29 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.78 5.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - -1.37 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-13.37)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-14.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 6 at CLT 29) Bailey Rice punt for 42 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 29 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.19 5.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.35 - -2.16 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-14.16)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 29) James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.54 96.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.35 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.35)

Score Difference (End): 12 (13.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 8 at FAU 31) N'Kosi Perry run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST down - FAU 21, CLT 9 1.13 95.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.81 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.81)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 42) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.36 96.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.94 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 8 at FAU 44) James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.86 96.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.57 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.57)

Score Difference (End): 12 (13.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 7 at FAU 45) N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -1.41 95.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 1.71 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.71)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:10 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & 6 at FAU 46) Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 8 yds to the Charl 20 - FAU 21, CLT 9 0.08 94.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 80

Started Drive at: FAU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.21 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 12 (12.21)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:22 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 13 at CLT 17) Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 01:22 - FAU 21, CLT 9 0.00 5.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -1.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-13.22)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-13.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:22 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 20) Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 17 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -1.09 6.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.12 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.12)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-13.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:22 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 13 at CLT 17) Chris Reynolds pass incomplete - FAU 21, CLT 9 -0.83 5.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - -1.22 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-13.22)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-14.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:13 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 13 at CLT 17) Chris Reynolds pass intercepted by FAU Korel Smith, return for no gain to the Charl 30 - FAU 21, CLT 9 -2.38 5.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 30

Started Drive at: CLT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.42 - -2.04 = -2.38

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-14.04)

Score Difference (End): 12 (16.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 21, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 30) N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 28, CLT 9 2.58 96.8% 2.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.42)

Score Difference (End): 19 (19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - FAU 28, CLT 9 0.00 1.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.38)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 25) Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 34 - FAU 28, CLT 9 1.20 1.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - -0.38 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.38)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 1 at CLT 34) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 9 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST down - FAU 28, CLT 9 0.29 1.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.79 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.21)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the 50 yard line - FAU 28, CLT 9 0.58 1.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.05 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.95)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 3 at 50) Chris Reynolds sacked by Latrell Jean for 0 yards to the Charl 43 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -2.10 1.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 57

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 1.63 = -2.10

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.37)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 10 at CLT 43) Chris Reynolds pass intercepted by FAU Ahman Ross at the FAU41, intended for Grant Dubose. Ross return for 20 yards to the CLT39 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -3.72 0.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.24 - -0.52 = -3.72

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.52)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 39) Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 17 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST down - FAU 28, CLT 9 0.85 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 22

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 4.22 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.22)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at CLT 22) Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 21 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -0.55 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 21

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 5.08 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.08)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 15 at CLT 27) Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 12:00 - FAU 28, CLT 9 0.00 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 4.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.53)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 9 at CLT 21) Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 27 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -1.67 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 27

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 4.45 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.45)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 15 at CLT 27) Javion Posey run for 14 yds to the Charl 13 - FAU 28, CLT 9 1.31 99.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 13

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 2.78 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.78)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & 1 at CLT 13) James Charles run for 6 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST down - FAU 28, CLT 9 1.56 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 7

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.65 - 4.09 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.09)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 7) James Charles run for 2 yds to the Charl 5 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -0.23 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 5.77 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.77)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & Goal at CLT 5) N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 8 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi Perry - FAU 28, CLT 9 -1.40 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 8

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 5.54 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.54)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & Goal at CLT 8) N'Kosi Perry sacked by Kofi Wardlow and Derek Boykins for loss of 1 yard to the Charl 9 - FAU 28, CLT 9 -1.33 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 9

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 4.15 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.15)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 28, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:09 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & Goal at CLT 9) Aaron Shahriari 27 yd FG GOOD - FAU 31, CLT 9 0.24 99.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.76)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:01 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds , Shadrick Byrd return for 31 yds to the Charl 31 - FAU 31, CLT 9 0.47 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - -0.21 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.21)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:01 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 31) James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST down - FAU 31, CLT 9 1.77 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 0.26 = 1.77

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.74)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-19.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:01 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 43) James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38 - FAU 31, CLT 9 0.11 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.04 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-19.96)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-19.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:01 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 5 at FAU 38) James Foster pass incomplete - FAU 31, CLT 9 -0.94 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 2.15 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-19.85)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:46 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 6 at FAU 39) Timeout FLA ATLANTIC, clock 07:46 - FAU 31, CLT 9 0.00 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.79)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:46 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 5 at FAU 38) James Foster pass complete to Bryce Kennon for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 39 - FAU 31, CLT 9 -1.76 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 39

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 1.29 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.71)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:42 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 6 at FAU 39) James Foster pass incomplete - FAU 31, CLT 9 -2.02 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: CLT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -0.47 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.47)

Score Difference (End): 22 (24.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:42 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 39) Johnny Ford run for 60 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST down - FAU 31, CLT 9 3.26 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 1

Started Drive at: FAU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 2.50 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.50)

Score Difference (End): 22 (27.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 31, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:14 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & Goal at CLT 1) Johnny Ford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) - FAU 38, CLT 9 0.50 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: FAU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.50 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 22 (28.50)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:08 ESPN team id 2429 (Kickoff at CLT 35) Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds , Shadrick Byrd return for 15 yds to the Charl 15 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.26 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: CLT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.00 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-29.00)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-29.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:08 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at CLT 15) James Foster pass incomplete - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.44 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: CLT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - -0.26 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-29.26)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-29.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:08 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & 10 at CLT 15) James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 2 yds to the Charl 17 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.52 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.70 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-29.70)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-30.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:08 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 8 at CLT 17) James Foster pass incomplete - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.65 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -1.23 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.23)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-30.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 8 at CLT 17) Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 4 yds to the FAU50. PENALTY FAU Holding enforced 10 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the FAU50 to the FAU40. - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.61 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 60

Started Drive at: CLT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -1.65 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.88)

Score Difference (End): 29 (31.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 2226 (1st & 10 at FAU 40) Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.54 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59

Started Drive at: FAU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.26 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 29 (31.26)

Score Difference (End): 29 (30.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 2226 (2nd & 9 at FAU 41) Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.34 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 55

Started Drive at: FAU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.72 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 29 (30.72)

Score Difference (End): 29 (30.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:11 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & 2 at FAU 48) Timeout FLA ATLANTIC, clock 04:11 - FAU 38, CLT 9 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: FAU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 29 (30.38)

Score Difference (End): 29 (30.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:11 ESPN team id 2226 (3rd & 5 at FAU 45) Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.66 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: FAU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.93 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 29 (29.93)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2226 (4th & 2 at FAU 48) Nick Tronti run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 43 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -2.42 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 43

Started Drive at: FAU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 0.32 = -2.42

Score Difference (Before): 29 (29.32)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-26.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 43) James Foster pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST down - FAU 38, CLT 9 1.55 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 20

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.15 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-26.85)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-25.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & 10 at FAU 20) James Foster run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 18 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.37 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 18

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.70 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-25.30)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-25.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & 8 at FAU 18) ChaVon McEachern run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 12 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.14 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.53 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-26.47)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-26.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & 2 at FAU 12) ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST down - FAU 38, CLT 9 2.20 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 10

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 2.39 = 2.20

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-26.61)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-24.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (1st & Goal at FAU 10) ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.51 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 4.58 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-24.42)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-24.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (2nd & Goal at FAU 9) James Foster pass incomplete - FAU 38, CLT 9 -0.89 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 4.07 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-24.93)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-25.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 2429 (3rd & Goal at FAU 9) James Foster run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -1.29 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 3.18 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-25.82)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-27.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 2429 (4th & Goal at FAU 6) James Foster sacked by Tre Jackson for 0 yards to the FlAtl 13 - FAU 38, CLT 9 -2.70 0.1% 99.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 87

Started Drive at: FAU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 1.96 = -2.70

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-27.04)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: FAU 38, CLT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link