UTSA 45 @ Louisiana Tech 16

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 9.15 | Odds: UTSA -5.5, O/U 59.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Total Plays 6988
Total EPA 1.72-41.07
  Offensive EPA -0.99-29.7
  Special Teams EPA -1.78-11.54
  Penalty EPA -0.34-2.95
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 4.833.12
Production ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Scrimmage Plays 5973
  Yards 415472
  Yards/Play 7.036.47
  EPA -0.99-29.70
  EPA/Play -0.02-0.41
Passes 21 (36%)47 (64%)
  Yards 195382
  Yards/Play 9.298.13
  EPA 7.94-24.03
  EPA/Play 0.38-0.51
Rushes 38 (64%)26 (36%)
  Yards 214106
  Yards/Play 6.294.42
  EPA -8.93-5.67
  EPA/Play -0.24-0.22
Rushing ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Scrimmage Plays 5973
Rushes 38 (64%)26 (36%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (8%)4 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (26%)7 (27%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 19 (50%)11 (42%)
OL Line Yards 6837.8
  Per Carry 1.791.45
Highlight Yards 8930
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.682.73
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Total Plays 6988
Scrimmage Plays 5973
Explosive Plays 4 (7%)1 (1%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (10%)1 (2%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -16.82-34.19
  EPA/Play -0.31-0.47
  When Passing -2.53-28.52
    EPA/Play -0.12-0.61
  When Rushing -14.29-5.67
    EPA/Play -0.40-0.22
Situational ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 20 (34%)14 (19%)
  When Passing 11 (52%)11 (23%)
  When Rushing 9 (24%)3 (12%)
  On Standard Downs 19 (40%)11 (22%)
  On Passing Downs 1 (8%)3 (13%)
  On Early Downs 17 (35%)9 (16%)
  On Late Downs 3 (30%)5 (28%)
  During "Middle 8" 2 (18%)0 (0%)
Early Downs 4955
  First Downs Created 15 (31%)15 (27%)
  EPA 5.44-13.00
  EPA/Play 0.11-0.24
  Passes 16 (33%)31 (56%)
  Rushes 33 (67%)24 (44%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 9 (56%)7 (23%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (24%)2 (8%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1119
  EPA -2.35-17.50
  EPA/play -0.21-0.92
  Passes 5 (45%)12 (63%)
  Rushes 6 (55%)7 (37%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Total 1212
Avg Starting Field Position Own 27Own 25
Plays/Drive 9.638.19
Yards/Drive 49.8143.07
Available Yards % 68%57%
Defensive ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Scrimmage Plays 7359
Stop Rate 42%36%
Havoc Plays Created 17 (23%)6 (10%)
  Passing 13 (28%)3 (14%)
  Rushing 4 (15%)3 (8%)
TFLs Generated 124
  Passing 81
  Rushing 43
Sacks Generated 6 (13%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 20
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Turnovers 03
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 02
Turnover Margin 3-3
Expected Turnovers 0.50.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.4-0.4
Turnover Luck (pts) 12.8-12.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 2348
Total Plays 10 15
Total EPA -1.78 -11.54
  Field Goal EPA 1.5 -2.56
  Punting EPA -1.97 -1.57
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.31 -7.41
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Frank Harris 13/17, 194 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 80.5 xQBR 11.41 0.61 10.41 59% -12.0%
Rush attempts
Sincere McCormick 18 carries, 113 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.28 0.07 1.24 39% -20.0%
Josh Adkins 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.01 -0.01 0% 0.0%
Frank Harris 7 carries, 59 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.43 -0.26 -1.79 14% -8.0%
B.J. Daniels 8 carries, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.88 -0.65 -5.18 12% 0.0%
Pass targets
Zakhari Franklin 5 catches (7 targets), 118 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.60 1.17 8.21 57% 4.0%
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg 1 catch (3 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 1.14 3.42 67% -2.0%
Joshua Cephus 2 catches (4 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.25 0.04 0.15 75% -11.0%
Leroy Watson 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.02 -0.02 0% 0.0%
De'Corian Clark 2 catches (4 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.15 -0.59 50% -6.0%
Gavin Sharp 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 -1.49 -1.49 0% -5.0%
Oscar Cardenas UT 1 catch (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.73 -1.73 0% -4.0%

Louisiana Tech [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Aaron Allen 3/4, 60 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 27.1 xQBR 15.00 -0.45 -1.79 0% 0.0%
Austin Kendall 23/28, 322 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 6 Scks, 51.6 xQBR 9.47 -0.20 -6.76 32% -111.0%
TEAM 0/3, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 20.6 xQBR 0.00 -3.36 -10.07 0% -33.0%
Rush attempts
Austin Kendall 3 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.40 1.20 33% 1.0%
Aaron Allen 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.10 -0.21 0% 0.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks 3 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.33 -0.30 -0.91 0% -45.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. 12 carries, 66 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 -0.15 -1.77 17% -12.0%
Greg Garner 4 carries, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.25 -0.62 -2.47 0% -7.0%
Pass targets
Smoke Harris 7 catches (9 targets), 150 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.75 0.50 4.51 44% 10.0%
Samuel Emilus 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 1.69 1.69 100% -54.0%
Bub Means 4 catches (4 targets), 73 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.25 0.39 1.57 50% -9.0%
Isaiah Graham 4 catches (6 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.50 0.15 0.89 50% 1.0%
Kyle Maxwell 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% 0.0%
Praise Okorie 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% 0.0%
Jacob Adams 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.79 -0.79 0% -2.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks 2 catches (3 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 -0.28 -0.83 0% 0.0%
Tre Harris 1 catch (4 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 -0.41 -1.64 0% -28.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. 3 catches (4 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.59 -2.37 0% -21.0%
Griffin Hebert 2 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -1.03 -3.09 33% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 12:44 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 5 at LT 49) Dadrian Taylor 51 Yd Interception Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 28, LT 10 -8.40 36.0% -31.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.40 = -8.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 2 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:44 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 25) Zakhari Franklin 75 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, LT 7 6.73 65.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 1 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 47) Smoke Harris 47 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Jacob Barnes Kick) - UTSA 0, LT 7 4.49 38.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.51 = 4.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 18 at LT 49) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Kershawn Fisher) to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 4.49 54.8% 11.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - -0.85 = 4.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 16) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTSA 28, LT 10 3.75 99.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 0.02 = 3.75

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.02)

Score Difference (End): 18 (21.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:46 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at LT 47) Sincere McCormick 47 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 35, LT 10 3.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.52)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 35, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 44 (35) Home Score: 16 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:39 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 62 yds , Bub Means return for 19 yds to the LaTch 22 Bub Means fumbled, recovered by TexSA Tykee Ogle-Kellogg , return for no gain to the LaTch 22 - UTSA 1, LT 0 -3.36 0.4% 6.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Team Fumble Recovery

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.22 - -0.86 = -3.36

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.86)

Score Difference (End): 25 (20.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 35 (1) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 4 at UTSA 34) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 43 - UTSA 42, LT 16 -3.20 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 57

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - 0.82 = -3.20

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.18)

Score Difference (End): 26 (28.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:40 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 14 at UTSA 28) Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG MISSED - UTSA 1, LT 0 -3.02 31.7% -9.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 72

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.45 - 1.57 = -3.02

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.57)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:11 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 4 at LT 28) Cesar Barajas punt for 48 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Ezekiel Barnett) to the LaTch 48 - UTSA 1, LT 1 -2.71 28.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 48

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -1.59 = -2.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 1

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 1 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 2, LT 0 0.41 0.1% 99.9%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.33 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.67)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 45 (2) Home Score: 16 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:31 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 1 at UTSA 21) Samuel Emilus 21 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UTSA 42, LT 16 1.69 54.5% -54.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.31 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.31)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 2 (42) Home Score: 0 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:28 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 40) Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38 - UTSA 42, LT 16 -0.77 54.1% -44.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.04 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 2 (42) Home Score: 0 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:44 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 5 at LT 49) Dadrian Taylor 51 Yd Interception Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 28, LT 10 -8.40 36.0% -31.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.40 = -8.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 2 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 5 at UTSA 44) Cesar Barajas punt for 44 yds - UTSA 21, LT 10 -0.56 30.7% -25.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 80

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.56 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.44)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 2 (21) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:54 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 5 at LT 48) Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds - UTSA 28, LT 10 -0.37 63.7% 23.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.32 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 1 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 11 at LT 24) Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.07 48.9% -22.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.03 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 15) Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaTch 10 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -1.71 91.9% -20.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 1.71 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 20 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at LT 25) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.80 51.3% -17.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.90 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 0 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 8 at LT 29) Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 22 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 20, LT 11 -0.09 27.2% -16.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.02 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.98)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 20, LT 11

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 14 (20) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 47) Smoke Harris 47 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Jacob Barnes Kick) - UTSA 0, LT 7 4.49 38.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.51 = 4.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:44 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 25) Zakhari Franklin 75 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, LT 7 6.73 65.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 1 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:37 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 15 at UTSA 17) Jacob Barnes 35 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 7, LT 10 0.46 39.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 65

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.54)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:22 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at LT 2) Sincere McCormick 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, LT 10 0.71 85.5% -12.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.29 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 5 at LT 10) Zakhari Franklin 10 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 21, LT 10 2.27 84.8% 5.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.73)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:44 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 5 at LT 49) Dadrian Taylor 51 Yd Interception Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 28, LT 10 -8.40 36.0% -31.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.40 = -8.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 2 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:46 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at LT 47) Sincere McCormick 47 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 35, LT 10 3.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.52)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 35, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 44 (35) Home Score: 16 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at LT 1) Sincere McCormick 1 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 42, LT 10 0.55 84.3% 15.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.45 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 1 (7.45)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 1 (42) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:31 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 1 at UTSA 21) Samuel Emilus 21 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UTSA 42, LT 16 1.69 54.5% -54.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.31 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.31)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 2 (42) Home Score: 0 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 13 at LT 21) Hunter Duplessis 38 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 45, LT 16 1.50 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.50 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 26 (27.50)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 45, LT 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 42 (45) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 18) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, LT 0 0.73 36.6% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 68

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 0.84 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.6%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 32) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35 - UTSA 0, LT 0 -0.38 39.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.81 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at LT 35) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 40 - UTSA 0, LT 0 0.01 38.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.43 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 2 at LT 40) Austin Kendall run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, LT 0 1.40 39.1% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.44 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at 50) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47 - UTSA 0, LT 0 -0.30 41.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 2.84 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) nan - UTSA 0, LT 0 -0.64 65.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.16 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 22) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 25 - UTSA 0, LT 6 -0.08 37.0% 14.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.98 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at LT 25) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.80 51.3% -17.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.90 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 0 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 4 at LT 28) pass incomplete to Marcus Williams Jr. - UTSA 6, LT 6 -1.75 33.5% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - 0.11 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 48) Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.15 69.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: LT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 3.04 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 6 at LT 44) pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.99 69.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: LT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.89 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 6 at LT 44) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark, broken up by Cedric Woods - UTSA 6, LT 6 -1.99 67.9% -6.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: LT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.90 = -1.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 15) pass incomplete to Smoke Harris - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.78 35.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.72 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at LT 15) Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 11 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 6 1.52 33.1% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - -0.06 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.1%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 26) Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the LaTch 30 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.30 39.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.46 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 6 at LT 30) pass incomplete to Isaiah Graham - UTSA 6, LT 6 -1.01 36.7% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 1.15 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 6 at LT 30) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 24 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -2.22 33.3% -4.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 76

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - 0.14 = -2.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 30) Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 - UTSA 6, LT 6 0.15 67.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTSA 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.72 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 36) Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.22 67.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTSA 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.87 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 1 at UTSA 39) Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 36 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -2.43 67.2% -7.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTSA 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.65 = -2.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 15) Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the LaTch 20 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.13 35.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.72 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 5 at LT 20) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 19 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 6 1.55 35.4% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 61

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 0.59 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 39) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 37 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 6 2.24 40.6% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 24

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 2.14 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 24) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tariq Woolen) to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 6 0.69 44.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 12

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 4.38 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 12) nan - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.57 46.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.07 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 12) Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Jacob Adams, broken up by Rashad Wisdom - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.79 45.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 4.50 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 12) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Kellton Hollins) to the TexSA 17 - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.52 42.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 17

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 3.71 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 15 at UTSA 17) pass incomplete - UTSA 6, LT 6 -0.68 41.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.19 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 30 - UTSA 6, LT 6 0.15 65.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.16 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 5 at UTSA 30) Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 0.43 65.4% -4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.31 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 36) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 23 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 1.51 61.1% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 1.74 = 1.51

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.26)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 41) Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38 - UTSA 6, LT 9 -0.35 64.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.26 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.26)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at LT 38) Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Zakhari Franklin) to the TexSA 47 - UTSA 6, LT 9 -1.73 63.5% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 2.91 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.5%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 22 at UTSA 47) pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg - UTSA 6, LT 9 -0.92 59.7% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 1.18 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.82)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 22 at UTSA 47) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the LaTch 49 - UTSA 6, LT 9 -1.12 57.3% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.27 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.73)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 18 at LT 49) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Kershawn Fisher) to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 4.49 54.8% 11.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - -0.85 = 4.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 34) Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 0.96 65.8% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 3.64 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 19) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (Marcus Williams Jr.) to the LaTch 14 - UTSA 6, LT 9 0.58 69.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 14

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.19 - 4.60 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.60)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 5 at LT 14) Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12 - UTSA 6, LT 9 -0.21 70.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 5.19 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 3 at LT 12) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST down - UTSA 6, LT 9 0.61 70.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.59 - 4.98 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 6, LT 9

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:55 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 63 yds , Isaiah Graham return for 16 yds to the LaTch 18 - UTSA 0, LT 0 -1.75 37.8% -4.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 1.40 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 6 (0) Home Score: 9 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 47) Smoke Harris 47 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Jacob Barnes Kick) - UTSA 0, LT 7 4.49 38.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.51 = 4.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Cesar Barajas kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 0, LT 1 1.10 50.5% 15.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - -0.19 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, LT 1

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:44 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 25) Zakhari Franklin 75 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, LT 7 6.73 65.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 1 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:36 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 64 yds , Bub Means return for 21 yds to the LaTch 22 - UTSA 1, LT 1 -1.36 34.8% -2.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 1.05 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 1, LT 1

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 7 (1) Home Score: 7 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:11 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 4 at LT 28) Cesar Barajas punt for 48 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Ezekiel Barnett) to the LaTch 48 - UTSA 1, LT 1 -2.71 28.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 48

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -1.59 = -2.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 1

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 1 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:27 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 6 at LT 44) Lucas Dean punt for 29 yds - UTSA 7, LT 7 -0.59 65.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 85

Started Drive at: LT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - -0.14 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 1 (7) Home Score: 1 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 12 at LT 24) Cesar Barajas punt for 46 yds - UTSA 7, LT 7 0.69 28.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -2.29 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:49 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 4 at UTSA 36) Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LaTch 15 - UTSA 7, LT 7 0.33 61.3% 3.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTSA 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.85 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 7, LT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:37 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 15 at UTSA 17) Jacob Barnes 35 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 7, LT 10 0.46 39.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 65

Started Drive at: LT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.54)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:32 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Cesar Barajas kickoff for 63 yds , Dadrian Taylor return for 23 yds to the TexSA 25 - UTSA 1, LT 1 -0.71 61.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.70 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 1, LT 1

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 7 (1) Home Score: 10 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & Goal at LT 6) pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cedric Woods) to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST down - UTSA 1, LT 1 0.01 67.7% -8.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.93 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 1, LT 1

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 1 (1)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 25) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24 - UTSA 7, LT 11 -0.06 37.0% 11.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.03 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.03)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, LT 11

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 1 (7) Home Score: 1 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 11 at LT 24) Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.07 48.9% -22.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.03 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 38) Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 9 yds to the LaTch 47 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.10 27.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.09 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.91)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 1 at LT 47) Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Smoke Harris LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal formation (Marcus Williams Jr.) to the LaTch 42 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.02 27.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.28 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 6 at LT 42) Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the LaTch 45 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.17 27.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.15 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 3 at LT 45) Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Christian Clayton for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive holding (Tariq Woolen) to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.02 27.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.17 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.02)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 45) Greg Garner run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 48 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.53 29.4% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.49 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 13 at UTSA 48) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.32 27.1% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.29 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 9 at UTSA 44) Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.40 27.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.36 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.64)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 35) Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Antonio Parks - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.86 31.4% -5.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.82 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 35) Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 11 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.88 31.2% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.84 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 24) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the TexSA 22 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -1.61 35.0% -9.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.58 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.42)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 8 at UTSA 22) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -1.90 34.1% -11.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 1.86 = -1.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 28) Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 8 yds to the TexSA 36 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.02 71.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.03 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 2 at UTSA 36) Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.12 72.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.10 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.10)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 49 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.12 72.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.13 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.13)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 49) Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.34 73.2% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.32 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 39) nan - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.76 74.4% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.74 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 27) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.05 27.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.01 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 8 at LT 29) Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 22 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 20, LT 11 -0.09 27.2% -16.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.02 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.98)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 20, LT 11

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 14 (20) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 49) pass incomplete to Isaiah Graham - UTSA 20, LT 11 -0.43 12.2% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.36 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.64)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 20, LT 11

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 49) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 20, LT 11 -0.35 12.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.30 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.70)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 20, LT 11

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 20) nan - UTSA 20, LT 11 -0.05 86.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.02 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.02)

Score Difference (End): 9 (8.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 20, LT 11

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 15) Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaTch 10 - UTSA 14, LT 11 -1.71 91.9% -20.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 1.71 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 20 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at LT 39) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zeno Hannibal) to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -0.02 73.5% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.74 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 10 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 11 -1.49 76.4% -5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 1.47 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 11

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (11)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:22 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at LT 2) Sincere McCormick 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, LT 10 0.71 85.5% -12.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.29 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 11 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:22 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 1, LT 0 0.27 24.8% 5.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 0.79 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 14 (1) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:40 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 14 at UTSA 28) Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG MISSED - UTSA 1, LT 0 -3.02 31.7% -9.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 72

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.45 - 1.57 = -3.02

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.57)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:38 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 2 at UTSA 49) Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, LT 10 1.45 74.2% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.42 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, LT 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 1 (14) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 5 at LT 10) Zakhari Franklin 10 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 21, LT 10 2.27 84.8% 5.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.73)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 61 yds , Bub Means return for 23 yds to the LaTch 27 - UTSA 2, LT 0 -0.67 10.3% 9.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.77 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 21 (2) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:18 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 2 at UTSA 41) Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 44 - UTSA 2, LT 0 -1.22 34.9% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 44

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.76 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.24)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 30.9%

Away Score: 2 (2) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 5 at UTSA 44) Cesar Barajas punt for 44 yds - UTSA 21, LT 10 -0.56 30.7% -25.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 80

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.56 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.44)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 2 (21) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 12) Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 16 - UTSA 21, LT 10 -0.28 94.5% -3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 84

Started Drive at: UTSA 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.46 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.46)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 6 at UTSA 16) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Cedric Woods - UTSA 21, LT 10 -1.40 93.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84

Started Drive at: UTSA 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 0.43 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.43)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 44) Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 5 yds to the LaTch 49 - UTSA 21, LT 10 0.08 10.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 51

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.69 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.31)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 5 at LT 49) nan - UTSA 21, LT 10 -0.94 10.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.77 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 27) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 21 - UTSA 21, LT 10 -1.60 8.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 79

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 0.51 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.49)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 21, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 16 at LT 21) Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 12 yds to the LaTch 33 - UTSA 29, LT 10 0.94 7.3% -4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 67

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -1.10 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.10)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 21 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 4 at LT 33) Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 7 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 1.48 1.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 60

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - -0.69 = 1.48

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.69)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 40) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 32 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -1.81 1.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 68

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 0.79 = -1.81

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.21)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 18 at LT 32) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.29 1.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - -1.02 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.02)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 12 at LT 38) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 29 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -1.54 0.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 71

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.85 - -1.31 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.31)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-21.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 9) Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.30 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 87

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.06 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.06)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 6 at UTSA 13) Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.42 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.76 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.76)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 4 at UTSA 15) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 1.21 98.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 1.34 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.34)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 21) pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.57 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.56 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.56)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 21) Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.16 98.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.99 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.99)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 3 at UTSA 28) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 1.36 98.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 1.83 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.83)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 34) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 40 - UTSA 29, LT 10 0.01 99.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.19 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.19)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 40) Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 0.37 99.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.20 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.20)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 47) Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the LaTch 48 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.03 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.57 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.57)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 5 at LT 48) nan - UTSA 29, LT 10 -1.75 99.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 2.66 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.66)

Score Difference (End): 19 (19.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 20) Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.27 1.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -0.59 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.59)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 6 at LT 24) Greg Garner run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.28 1.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.85 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.85)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 3 at LT 27) Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 8 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 1.69 1.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - -1.13 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.13)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 35) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 29, LT 10 0.92 1.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 0.56 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.44)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 49) Greg Garner run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 46 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -1.36 1.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 54

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 1.48 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.52)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 13 at LT 46) pass incomplete - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.99 1.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - 0.12 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.88)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 13 at LT 46) Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.75 1.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.87 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.87)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 13) Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 16 - UTSA 29, LT 10 -0.45 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 84

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.25 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.25)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 29, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:58 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Cesar Barajas kickoff for 54 yds , Dadrian Taylor return for 1 yd to the TexSA 12 - UTSA 2, LT 0 -1.70 97.8% -11.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 88

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 2.82 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.82)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 29 (2) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:09 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 6 at UTSA 16) Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 8 yds to the LaTch 44 - UTSA 2, LT 0 -0.07 62.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTSA 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - -2.13 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 2 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 2 (2) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:44 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 5 at LT 49) Dadrian Taylor 51 Yd Interception Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 28, LT 10 -8.40 36.0% -31.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.40 = -8.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 2 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:36 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds , Bub Means return for 27 yds to the LaTch 27 - UTSA 1, LT 0 -0.95 3.5% 10.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - -0.56 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.56)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 28 (1) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:31 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 21 at LT 29) Cesar Barajas punt for 62 yds - UTSA 1, LT 0 1.52 25.0% 6.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 91

Started Drive at: LT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -1.82 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.82)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 1 (1) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:54 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 5 at LT 48) Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds - UTSA 28, LT 10 -0.37 63.7% 23.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTSA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.32 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 1 (28) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:22 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 10 at LT 49) Cesar Barajas punt for 38 yds - UTSA 28, LT 10 -0.52 1.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 87

Started Drive at: LT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.21 - -1.69 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.69)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 16) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTSA 28, LT 10 3.75 99.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 0.02 = 3.75

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.02)

Score Difference (End): 18 (21.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at 50) Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47 - UTSA 28, LT 10 -0.22 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.22 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.22)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 22) Frank Harris run for 21 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 28, LT 10 -1.16 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 1.18 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.18)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 28, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 25) Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 35, LT 10 -0.04 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.01 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.01)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 35, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 36) Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 11 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST down - UTSA 41, LT 10 -0.08 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.03 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.97)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 35 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 47) Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 8 yds to the LATECH 45 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Christian Clayton) to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down - UTSA 41, LT 10 0.00 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.05)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 30) pass incomplete to Tre Harris - UTSA 41, LT 10 -0.69 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.64 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.36)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 30) Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the TexSA 26 - UTSA 41, LT 10 -0.74 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.69 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.31)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 6 at UTSA 26) Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 20 yds to the TexSA 6 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Samuel Emilus) to the TexSA 21 - UTSA 41, LT 10 0.00 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.04)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & Goal at UTSA 3) Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert - UTSA 41, LT 10 -2.36 0.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 2.32 = -2.36

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-28.68)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26 - UTSA 41, LT 10 -0.02 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.03 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.03)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 9 at UTSA 26) B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.02 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.04 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.04)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at UTSA 28) Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.01 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.03 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.03)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 43) Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Lamonte McDougle) to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.02 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.13 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.02)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 40) pass incomplete to Keyon Henry-Brooks - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.75 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.71 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.29)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 8 at UTSA 38) Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the TexSA 34 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.68 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.64 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.36)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 29) B.J. Daniels run for 7 yds to the LaTch 22 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -1.00 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 1.02 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.02)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 3 at LT 22) B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST down - UTSA 41, LT 16 -1.32 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 1.31 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.31)

Score Difference (End): 25 (24.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at LT 18) B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -1.29 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 1.30 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.30)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 6 at LT 14) B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 16 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -1.65 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 1.66 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.66)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 8 at LT 16) B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 21 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -1.75 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 1.73 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.73)

Score Difference (End): 25 (24.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 25) Aaron Allen pass complete to Praise Okorie for 4 yds to the LaTch 29 - UTSA 41, LT 16 -0.04 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.00 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.00)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 41, LT 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 6 at LT 29) Aaron Allen run for 9 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down - UTSA 44, LT 16 -0.05 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.00 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.00)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 44, LT 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (44) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at LT 38) Aaron Allen run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 31 - UTSA 44, LT 16 -0.16 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.09 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.91)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 44, LT 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 17 at LT 31) Aaron Allen pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 14 yds to the LaTch 45 - UTSA 44, LT 16 -0.04 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.01 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.01)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 44, LT 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 3 at LT 45) Aaron Allen pass complete to Bub Means for 42 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST down - UTSA 44, LT 16 -0.18 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.13 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.87)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 44, LT 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2348 (1st & 10 at UTSA 13) Aaron Allen pass intercepted - UTSA 44, LT 16 -1.53 0.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 1.58 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.42)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 44, LT 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:46 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at LT 47) Sincere McCormick 47 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 35, LT 10 3.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.52)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 35, LT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 44 (35) Home Score: 16 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:39 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 62 yds , Bub Means return for 19 yds to the LaTch 22 Bub Means fumbled, recovered by TexSA Tykee Ogle-Kellogg , return for no gain to the LaTch 22 - UTSA 1, LT 0 -3.36 0.4% 6.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Team Fumble Recovery

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.22 - -0.86 = -3.36

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.86)

Score Difference (End): 25 (20.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 1, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 35 (1) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at LT 1) Sincere McCormick 1 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 42, LT 10 0.55 84.3% 15.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.45 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 1 (7.45)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 1 (42) Home Score: 0 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 2, LT 0 0.00 0.2% 8.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - -0.95 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-32.95)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-32.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 42 (2) Home Score: 10 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:31 ESPN team id 2348 (3rd & 1 at UTSA 21) Samuel Emilus 21 Yd pass from Austin Kendall (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UTSA 42, LT 16 1.69 54.5% -54.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: LT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.31 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.31)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 2 (42) Home Score: 0 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:31 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Cesar Barajas kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 2, LT 0 0.00 99.9% -3.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.43)

Score Difference (End): 26 (28.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 42 (2) Home Score: 16 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:58 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 4 at UTSA 31) Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 16 yds to the LaTch 43 - UTSA 2, LT 0 -1.28 62.8% -10.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - -1.10 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): 2 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 2 (2) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:28 ESPN team id 2348 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 40) Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38 - UTSA 42, LT 16 -0.77 54.1% -44.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.04 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 2 (42) Home Score: 0 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 2348 (4th & 4 at UTSA 34) Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 43 - UTSA 42, LT 16 -3.20 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 57

Started Drive at: LT 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - 0.82 = -3.20

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.18)

Score Difference (End): 26 (28.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 43) B.J. Daniels run for 28 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST down - UTSA 42, LT 16 1.87 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 29

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 1.98 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): 26 (27.98)

Score Difference (End): 26 (29.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 42, LT 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 13 at LT 21) Hunter Duplessis 38 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 45, LT 16 1.50 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTSA 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.50 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 26 (27.50)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 45, LT 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 42 (45) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 2348 (Kickoff at LT 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 2, LT 0 0.41 0.1% 99.9%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.33 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.67)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 2, LT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 45 (2) Home Score: 16 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3