Rice 30 @ UAB 24

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.98 | Odds: UAB -23.5, O/U 44.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Total Plays 8164
Total EPA -1.36-0.19
  Offensive EPA -0.476.28
  Special Teams EPA -2.05-4.72
  Penalty EPA 1.24-2.86
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.081.11
Production ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Scrimmage Plays 6954
  Yards 355436
  Yards/Play 5.148.07
  EPA -0.476.28
  EPA/Play -0.010.12
Passes 27 (39%)35 (65%)
  Yards 205318
  Yards/Play 7.599.09
  EPA 2.64-0.07
  EPA/Play 0.100.00
Rushes 42 (61%)19 (35%)
  Yards 170152
  Yards/Play 4.058.00
  EPA -3.106.35
  EPA/Play -0.070.33
Rushing ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Scrimmage Plays 6954
Rushes 42 (61%)19 (35%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 4 (10%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (75%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 4 (10%)2 (11%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 19 (45%)7 (37%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (33%)9 (47%)
OL Line Yards 8533.5
  Per Carry 2.021.76
Highlight Yards 42.576
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.048.44
Explosiveness ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Total Plays 8164
Scrimmage Plays 6954
Explosive Plays 5 (7%)6 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (15%)3 (9%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)3 (16%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -16.31-13.96
  EPA/Play -0.25-0.29
  When Passing -8.71-12.19
    EPA/Play -0.32-0.35
  When Rushing -7.60-1.77
    EPA/Play -0.19-0.11
Situational ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 27 (39%)22 (41%)
  When Passing 14 (52%)13 (37%)
  When Rushing 13 (31%)9 (47%)
  On Standard Downs 16 (35%)18 (45%)
  On Passing Downs 11 (48%)4 (29%)
  On Early Downs 14 (29%)18 (43%)
  On Late Downs 13 (62%)4 (33%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (46%)2 (25%)
Early Downs 4842
  First Downs Created 7 (15%)9 (21%)
  EPA -15.0710.26
  EPA/Play -0.310.24
  Passes 17 (35%)26 (62%)
  Rushes 31 (65%)16 (38%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 7 (41%)10 (38%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (23%)8 (50%)
"Middle 8" Plays 138
  EPA 4.38-3.36
  EPA/play 0.34-0.42
  Passes 6 (46%)4 (50%)
  Rushes 7 (54%)4 (50%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (50%)2 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (43%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Total 1112
Avg Starting Field Position Own 32Own 32
Plays/Drive 9.356.54
Yards/Drive 50.9336.72
Available Yards % 75%54%
Defensive ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Scrimmage Plays 5469
Stop Rate 46%25%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (11%)5 (7%)
  Passing 5 (14%)5 (19%)
  Rushing 1 (5%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 45
  Passing 35
  Rushing 10
Sacks Generated 3 (9%)5 (19%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Turnovers 22
  Fumbles 21
  Fumbles Lost 21
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 1.51.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -1.11.1
Special Teams ESPN team id 242 ESPN team id 5
Total Plays 12 10
Total EPA -2.05 -4.72
  Field Goal EPA 0.35 -2.57
  Punting EPA -4.27 -1.78
  Kickoff Return EPA 1.87 -0.37
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Wiley Green 17/22, 205 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 73.5 xQBR 7.88 0.33 8.71 54% 28.0%
Luke McCaffrey 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 11.1 xQBR 0.00 -6.07 -6.07 0% -16.0%
Rush attempts
Jaeger Bull 1 carry, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 30.00 4.50 4.50 100% 7.0%
Wiley Green 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.42 0.85 50% 0.0%
Cameron Montgomery 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.26 -0.52 0% -2.0%
Luke McCaffrey 3 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.32 -0.95 33% -2.0%
Jordan Myers 11 carries, 24 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.18 -0.12 -1.30 36% -6.0%
Khalan Griffin 7 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.57 -0.32 -2.21 29% -7.0%
Ari Broussard 16 carries, 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.44 -0.22 -3.47 25% -4.0%
Pass targets
Jake Bailey 6 catches (6 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 1.10 6.62 83% 10.0%
August Pitre III 6 catches (9 targets), 108 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 0.58 5.26 56% 13.0%
Cedric Patterson III 2 catches (4 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.50 0.59 2.35 50% 10.0%
Jaeger Bull 2 catches (2 targets), 3 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.50 0.80 1.60 50% 10.0%
Jordan Myers 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.33 1.33 100% 1.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Dylan Hopkins 19/32, 318 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 38.5 xQBR 9.09 0.00 -0.07 37% 131.0%
Rush attempts
DeWayne McBride 8 carries, 95 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.88 1.02 8.16 62% 13.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 7 carries, 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.29 0.06 0.39 43% 8.0%
Lucious Stanley 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.92 -0.92 0% -4.0%
Dylan Hopkins 3 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.43 -1.28 33% -5.0%
Pass targets
Trea Shropshire 3 catches (7 targets), 68 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.67 0.55 3.82 43% 16.0%
Gerrit Prince 5 catches (9 targets), 127 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.40 0.39 3.53 44% 113.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 5 catches (6 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.49 2.92 50% 8.0%
TJ Jones 1 catch (1 target), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 1.65 1.65 100% 2.0%
Samario Rudolph 2 catches (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.04 -0.08 50% 11.0%
Hayden Pittman 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.49 -0.49 0% -1.0%
RaJae' Johnson-Sanders 3 catches (4 targets), 42 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 14.00 -0.95 -3.81 25% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:53 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 28) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 72 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 21 6.52 36.5% 27.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.48 = 6.52

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 45) Luke McCaffrey sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 47 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by UAB Justin Thomas , return for 0 yards - RICE 27, UAB 21 -6.07 49.4% -16.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.84 - 3.23 = -6.07

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.23)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 9 at RICE 37) Wiley Green sacked by Devodric Bynum for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 33 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by UAB Antonio Moultrie , return for 0 yards - RICE 13, UAB 7 -5.49 18.2% -8.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 33

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.86 - 1.63 = -5.49

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.63)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 5 at RICE 40) Jaeger Bull run for 30 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down - RICE 20, UAB 14 4.50 31.5% 6.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 30

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - -0.31 = 4.50

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.69)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at RICE 26) DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 13, UAB 14 3.55 84.8% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.45 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 23) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 28 yds RaJae' Johnson-Sanders fumbled, forced by Gabe Taylor, recovered by Rice Antonio Montero - RICE 7, UAB 0 -3.38 83.4% -3.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 51

Started Drive at: UAB 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.48 - -0.11 = -3.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 10 at RICE 16) Matt Quinn 33 yd FG MISSED - RICE 13, UAB 14 -3.33 91.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 80

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.54 = -3.33

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.54)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 6 at RICE 20) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 27, UAB 21 -3.27 59.4% -5.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.17 - 2.10 = -3.27

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.90)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.17)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 35 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 21 3.03 16.1% 8.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 0.12 = 3.03

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.88)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 2 at UAB 42) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - RICE 0, UAB 0 2.89 5.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 0.66 = 2.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 23 at UAB 47) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.83 10.1% 89.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.20 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.80)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:53 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 28) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 72 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 21 6.52 36.5% 27.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.48 = 6.52

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (4th & Goal at RICE 16) Matt Quinn 33 yd FG GOOD - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.76 12.8% 23.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback UAB Penalty, False Start. (-65 Yards) - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.08 79.8% 16.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.89 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 6 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 45) Luke McCaffrey sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 47 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by UAB Justin Thomas , return for 0 yards - RICE 27, UAB 21 -6.07 49.4% -16.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.84 - 3.23 = -6.07

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.23)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 12 at RICE 28) Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 23 yds to the Rice 46 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -1.71 74.8% -13.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 46

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.32 - -0.60 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.68)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 4 at RICE 45) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 24 1.70 26.4% 13.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 0.53 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 242 (4th & Goal at UAB 1) Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 14 2.05 40.5% 12.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.95 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.95)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 4 at RICE 34) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 26 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 21 1.73 24.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 8

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 3.45 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.55)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 1 at UAB 34) Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 13 yds to the Rice 25 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.91 64.7% 10.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 0.02 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.98)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:40 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & Goal at UAB 1) Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 7, UAB 0 1.05 11.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.95 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 242 (1st & Goal at UAB 2) Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle PAT MISSED) - RICE 13, UAB 0 -0.44 25.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.44 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.44)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:20 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 12) DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 13, UAB 7 2.13 78.1% 7.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at RICE 26) DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 13, UAB 14 3.55 84.8% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.45 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 8 at UAB 11) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 20, UAB 14 2.76 17.9% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.24 = 2.76

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 242 (4th & Goal at UAB 1) Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 14 2.05 40.5% 12.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.95 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.95)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:53 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 28) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 72 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 21 6.52 36.5% 27.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.48 = 6.52

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 7 at UAB 9) Christian VanSickle 27 yd FG GOOD - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.35 79.0% 8.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.65)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 27 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (4th & Goal at RICE 16) Matt Quinn 33 yd FG GOOD - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.76 12.8% 23.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds , Juma Otoviano return for 50 yds to the 50 yard line - RICE 0, UAB 0 1.68 4.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 1.02 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at 50) Wiley Green pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson III - RICE 0, UAB 0 -0.66 6.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.80 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 10 at 50) Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the UAB 47 - RICE 0, UAB 0 -0.68 5.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 2.14 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 7 at UAB 47) Wiley Green pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson III - RICE 0, UAB 0 -2.03 5.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 1.46 = -2.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 2 at UAB 42) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - RICE 0, UAB 0 2.89 5.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 0.66 = 2.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 37) Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the UAB 33 - RICE 0, UAB 0 0.12 6.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 33

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 3.62 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 6 at UAB 33) Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre III - RICE 0, UAB 0 -0.91 6.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.75 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 6 at UAB 33) Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the UAB 28 - RICE 0, UAB 0 0.11 6.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 28

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.83 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 1 at UAB 28) Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST down - RICE 0, UAB 0 1.39 6.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 25

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.94 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) Ari Broussard run for 19 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST down - RICE 0, UAB 0 1.30 7.2% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 6

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 4.33 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (1st & Goal at UAB 6) Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 3 - RICE 0, UAB 0 0.00 8.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 5.63 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & Goal at UAB 3) Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 1 - RICE 0, UAB 0 -0.15 9.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 5.63 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 0, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:40 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & Goal at UAB 1) Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 7, UAB 0 1.05 11.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.95 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:33 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 22 yds to the UAB 23 - RICE 7, UAB 0 -0.06 84.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: UAB 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.01 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 23) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 28 yds RaJae' Johnson-Sanders fumbled, forced by Gabe Taylor, recovered by Rice Antonio Montero - RICE 7, UAB 0 -3.38 83.4% -3.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 51

Started Drive at: UAB 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.48 - -0.11 = -3.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 49) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the UAB 46 - RICE 7, UAB 0 0.05 19.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.48 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 5 at UAB 46) Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 48 - RICE 7, UAB 0 -1.39 19.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 48

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.52 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 7 at UAB 48) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - RICE 7, UAB 0 2.02 18.5% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 37

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 2.14 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 37) Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre III - RICE 7, UAB 0 -0.60 20.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.16 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 10 at UAB 37) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 35 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST down - RICE 7, UAB 0 2.88 19.7% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 2

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.44 - 3.56 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 7, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 242 (1st & Goal at UAB 2) Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle PAT MISSED) - RICE 13, UAB 0 -0.44 25.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.44 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.44)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 60 yds - RICE 13, UAB 0 0.00 74.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.93)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 0 1.65 74.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 55

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.07 = 1.65

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.93)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 45) Dylan Hopkins run for 7 yds to the Rice 48 - RICE 13, UAB 0 0.62 76.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 1.73 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.27)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:54 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 3 at RICE 48) DeWayne McBride run for 36 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 0 2.44 76.1% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 12

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 2.34 = 2.44

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.66)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:20 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 12) DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 13, UAB 7 2.13 78.1% 7.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:13 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 59 yds , Juma Otoviano return for 20 yds to the Rice 26 - RICE 13, UAB 7 0.22 23.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.56 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.56)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:13 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 26) Griffin,Khalan rush for 3 yards gain to the RIC29 (Bynum,Devodric), out of bounds PENALTY RIC Holding offsetting UAB Holding offsetting. NO PLAY. - RICE 13, UAB 7 0.00 23.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.77 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.77)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:13 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 26) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 7 0.57 23.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 1.77 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.77)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:13 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 36) Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 37 - RICE 13, UAB 7 -0.61 25.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.34 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.34)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 9 at RICE 37) Wiley Green sacked by Devodric Bynum for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 33 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by UAB Antonio Moultrie , return for 0 yards - RICE 13, UAB 7 -5.49 18.2% -8.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 33

Started Drive at: RICE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.86 - 1.63 = -5.49

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.63)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 33) Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Pittman,Hayden QB hurried by Enechukwu,Ikenna PENALTY UAB Holding (Rykard,Will) 10 yards from RIC33 to RIC43. NO PLAY. - RICE 13, UAB 7 -1.32 87.1% -2.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 43

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.86 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 20 at RICE 43) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the Rice 29 - RICE 13, UAB 7 1.15 84.1% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 29

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.54 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.46)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 6 at RICE 29) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rice 26 - RICE 13, UAB 7 -0.26 86.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.69 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.31)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at RICE 26) DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 13, UAB 14 3.55 84.8% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.45 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - RICE 13, UAB 14 0.00 9.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 25) Ari Broussard run for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 0.93 9.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.02 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 37) Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 40 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.34 10.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 1.96 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.96)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 7 at RICE 40) Wiley Green sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 38 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -1.01 11.2% -2.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.62 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.62)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 9 at RICE 38) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 6 yds to the Rice 44 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.98 8.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 0.62 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.38)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 3 at RICE 44) Charlie Mendes punt for 56 yds for a touchback - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.59 10.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 80

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.34 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.34)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 20) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 24 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.24 88.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.88 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 6 at UAB 24) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 2.57 89.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 42

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 0.64 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.64)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 42) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Rice 42 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.62 91.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.21 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.21)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at RICE 42) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 16 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 1.64 90.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 26

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 2.59 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 26) DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 0.69 91.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 4.23 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 16) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.57 92.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 4.92 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at RICE 16) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.74 91.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 4.35 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.35)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 10 at RICE 16) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders - RICE 13, UAB 14 -1.05 91.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 3.61 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.61)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 10 at RICE 16) Matt Quinn 33 yd FG MISSED - RICE 13, UAB 14 -3.33 91.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 80

Started Drive at: UAB 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.54 = -3.33

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.54)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 20) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 32 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 2.05 10.4% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 48

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 0.85 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 48) Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 49 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.93 12.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 49

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.90 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.90)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 11 at UAB 49) Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the UAB 42 - RICE 13, UAB 14 0.30 11.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 1.97 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.97)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 4 at UAB 42) Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UAB 39 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.23 11.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.27 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.27)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 1 at UAB 39) Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 1.40 11.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 2.04 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 37) Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 35 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.36 13.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 3.44 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 8 at UAB 35) Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 32 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.13 13.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 32

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.08 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 5 at UAB 32) Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 1.20 12.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 26

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 2.96 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.96)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 25 at UAB 41) Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the UAB 41 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.64 15.1% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.79 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.79)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 25 at UAB 41) Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 35 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.35 14.5% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 2.27 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.27)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 19 at UAB 35) Wiley Green pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 22 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST down - RICE 13, UAB 14 2.81 13.5% 4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 13

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 1.93 = 2.81

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 13) Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 11 - RICE 13, UAB 14 -0.41 17.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 11

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.74 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 13, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 86 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 8 at UAB 11) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 20, UAB 14 2.76 17.9% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.24 = 2.76

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.00 71.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.82 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.18)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 5 yds to the UAB 30 - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.01 71.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.82 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.18)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 5 at UAB 30) DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 31 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.52 71.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.83 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.17)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 4 at UAB 31) Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 34 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.78 69.8% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.31 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 1 at UAB 34) Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 13 yds to the Rice 25 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.91 64.7% 10.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 0.02 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.98)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 25) Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 26 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.17 31.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.79 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.79)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 9 at RICE 26) Jordan Myers run for 7 yds to the Rice 33 - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.06 31.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 0.62 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.62)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 30.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 2 at RICE 33) Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 34 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.76 30.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.68 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.68)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 2 at RICE 33) Timeout RICE, clock 00:45 - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.00 30.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - -0.08 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:33 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 1 at RICE 34) Charlie Mendes punt for 44 yds - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.42 28.3% 2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 78

Started Drive at: RICE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - 0.08 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.08)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:33 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 22) DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 23 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.03 69.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.35 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.65)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 9 at UAB 23) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.01 66.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.01 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.99)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 65 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 24 yds to the UAB 24 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.21 73.7% -3.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.41 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.59)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 24) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 7 yds to the UAB 31 - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.71 73.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 0.31 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 3 at UAB 31) DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 31 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.97 75.6% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 1.02 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.98)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at UAB 31) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 1 yd to the UAB 32 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -1.78 73.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - 0.05 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.95)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-7.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 2 at UAB 32) Kyle Greenwell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 35 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.87 67.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.22 - -1.34 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.34)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 35) Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 35 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.63 34.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.33 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.33)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 10 at RICE 35) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the Rice 40 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.35 33.9% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.69 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.69)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 5 at RICE 40) Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre III - RICE 20, UAB 14 -1.65 35.1% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 1.35 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 5 at RICE 40) Jaeger Bull run for 30 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down - RICE 20, UAB 14 4.50 31.5% 6.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 30

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - -0.31 = 4.50

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.69)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 30) Khalan Griffin run for 7 yds to the UAB 23 - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.42 38.3% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 23

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 4.19 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.19)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 3 at UAB 23) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 13 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST down - RICE 20, UAB 14 0.52 39.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 4.61 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.61)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (1st & Goal at UAB 10) Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the UAB 7 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -0.24 41.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 7

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 5.13 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.13)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & Goal at UAB 7) Wiley Green sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 11 - RICE 20, UAB 14 -1.40 41.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 11

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 4.89 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.89)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & Goal at UAB 11) Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 10 yds to the UAB 1 - RICE 20, UAB 14 1.33 38.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 1

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 3.49 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.49)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 20, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 242 (4th & Goal at UAB 1) Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 14 2.05 40.5% 12.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: RICE 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.95 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.95)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 23 yds to the UAB 24 - RICE 27, UAB 14 -0.11 37.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.01 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.99)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 24) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire - RICE 27, UAB 14 -0.58 36.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.11 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.11)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 24) Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UAB 26 UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (RaJae' Johnson-Sanders) to the UAB 13 - RICE 27, UAB 14 -1.12 35.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 87

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - -0.69 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.69)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 21 at UAB 13) Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Prince,Gerrit PENALTY RIC Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 15 yards from UAB13 to UAB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - RICE 27, UAB 14 2.22 33.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 72

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - -1.81 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.81)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.7%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:53 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 28) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 72 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - RICE 27, UAB 21 6.52 36.5% 27.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.48 = 6.52

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:47 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 64 yds , Juma Otoviano return for 22 yds to the Rice 23 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.10 37.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: RICE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.54 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.54)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:47 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 23) Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 27 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.20 37.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 73

Started Drive at: RICE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.46 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.46)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:47 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 6 at RICE 27) Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 32 - RICE 27, UAB 21 0.22 37.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: RICE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.26 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.26)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:47 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 1 at RICE 32) Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 32 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -1.73 36.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: RICE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.48 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.48)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:34 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 1 at RICE 32) Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 1 yd to the UAB 27 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.78 38.1% -2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 73

Started Drive at: RICE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - -0.29 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.71)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:34 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 27) Dylan Hopkins sacked by DJ Arkansas for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 19 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -1.71 64.0% -5.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81

Started Drive at: UAB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 1.05 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.95)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:46 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 18 at UAB 19) Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted - RICE 27, UAB 21 -2.65 57.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.31 - -0.67 = -2.65

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.67)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 45) Luke McCaffrey sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 47 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by UAB Justin Thomas , return for 0 yards - RICE 27, UAB 21 -6.07 49.4% -16.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAB 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.84 - 3.23 = -6.07

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.23)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 47) DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the Rice 38 - RICE 27, UAB 21 0.86 64.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.84 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.16)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 1 at RICE 38) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.11 65.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.70 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 35) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Rice 30 - RICE 27, UAB 21 0.21 65.5% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 3.58 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.42)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 66.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 5 at RICE 30) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 0.41 66.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 3.79 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.21)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 24) Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the Rice 25 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.92 68.5% -4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 25

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 4.19 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.81)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 11 at RICE 25) Dylan Hopkins sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -1.11 58.9% 2.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 27

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.29 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 13 at RICE 27) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 7 yds to the Rice 20 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.09 57.6% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 20

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.18 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.82)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 6 at RICE 20) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 27, UAB 21 -3.27 59.4% -5.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80

Started Drive at: RICE 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.17 - 2.10 = -3.27

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.90)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.17)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 20) Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.26 45.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.17 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.17)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 6 at RICE 24) Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 1.20 45.5% 4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 65

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 0.92 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.92)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 35) Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the Rice 40 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.03 49.9% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 2.12 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 5 at RICE 40) Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 41 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.75 51.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.08 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 4 at RICE 41) Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 1.44 49.8% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 50

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 1.33 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.33)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at 50) UAB Penalty, Targeting (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 32 for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 1.16 54.7% 1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 32

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 2.77 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.77)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 32) Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UAB 29 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.29 56.4% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.93 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.93)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 7 at UAB 29) Ari Broussard run for no gain to the UAB 29 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.87 55.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 3.64 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.64)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 7 at UAB 29) Wiley Green pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 17 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST down - RICE 27, UAB 21 2.23 53.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 12

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 2.76 = 2.23

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.76)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at UAB 12) Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the UAB 11 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.49 60.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.00 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.00)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 9 at UAB 11) Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 8 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -0.52 58.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.50 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.50)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 6 at UAB 8) Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 9 - RICE 27, UAB 21 -1.24 57.6% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 9

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.99 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.99)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:57 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 6 at UAB 8) Timeout RICE, clock 05:57 - RICE 27, UAB 21 0.00 82.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 9

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 2.75 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.75)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 27, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 7 at UAB 9) Christian VanSickle 27 yd FG GOOD - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.35 79.0% 8.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: RICE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.65)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 27 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Christian VanSickle kickoff for 40 yds - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.00 17.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.61 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.39)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman - RICE 30, UAB 21 -0.49 17.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.61 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.39)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 35 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 21 3.03 16.1% 8.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 0.12 = 3.03

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.88)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 40) Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Palmer,Tejhaun broken up by Dunbar,Jordan PENALTY UAB Holding (Telfort,Kadeem) 10 yards from RIC40 to RIC50. NO PLAY. - RICE 30, UAB 21 -1.35 24.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 50

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 3.15 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.85)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 20 at 50) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 16 yds to the Rice 34 - RICE 30, UAB 21 1.64 19.2% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 34

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 1.81 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 4 at RICE 34) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 26 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 21 1.73 24.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 8

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 3.45 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.55)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (1st & Goal at RICE 8) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Rice 5 - RICE 30, UAB 21 -0.05 36.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 5.18 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-3.82)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & Goal at RICE 5) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire - RICE 30, UAB 21 -0.99 36.4% -6.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 5.13 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-3.87)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & Goal at RICE 5) Dylan Hopkins sacked by Naeem Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 16 - RICE 30, UAB 21 -1.88 29.5% -10.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 4.14 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.86)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 5 (4th & Goal at RICE 16) Matt Quinn 33 yd FG GOOD - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.76 12.8% 23.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback UAB Penalty, False Start. (-65 Yards) - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.08 79.8% 16.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.89 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 6 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (Kickoff at RICE 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) - RICE 30, UAB 21 0.00 96.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.97 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.42)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:23 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 30) Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 32 - RICE 30, UAB 21 -0.50 96.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.21 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.21)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:17 ESPN team id 242 (1st & 10 at RICE 30) Timeout UAB, clock 03:17 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.00 96.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.71)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:17 ESPN team id 242 (2nd & 8 at RICE 32) Wiley Green sacked by Dy'jonn Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 30 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.56 79.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 70

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.74 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.74)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:17 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 10 at RICE 30) Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 28 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -1.20 78.1% -7.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 72

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - 0.18 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.18)

Score Difference (End): 6 (4.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.7%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:22 ESPN team id 242 (3rd & 10 at RICE 30) Timeout UAB, clock 02:22 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.00 77.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 72

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -1.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (4.97)

Score Difference (End): 6 (4.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 12 at RICE 28) Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 23 yds to the Rice 46 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -1.71 74.8% -13.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 46

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.32 - -0.60 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.68)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 242 (4th & 12 at RICE 28) Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 23 yds to the UAB 32 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.77 74.8% -8.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: RICE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - -0.60 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 3 at UAB 32) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.59 34.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.80 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.20)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 3 at UAB 32) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr. - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.57 34.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.20 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.80)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at UAB 32) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 17 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 24 1.32 31.4% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 51

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.64 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.36)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 49) Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Shropshire,Trea PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Prince,Gerrit) 15 yards from UAB49 to UAB34. NO PLAY. - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.90 35.9% -4.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.96 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.04)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 25 at UAB 34) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 42 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.01 31.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.06 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.94)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 31.7%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 25 at UAB 34) Timeout UAB, clock 01:19 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.00 24.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.96)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 17 at UAB 42) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the Rice 44 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.76 25.1% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 44

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.73 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.27)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at RICE 44) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Rice 45 - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.96 31.4% -5.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.49 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.51)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 4 at RICE 45) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down - RICE 30, UAB 24 1.70 26.4% 13.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 0.53 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at RICE 40) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.27 39.5% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.23 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.77)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:11 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 20 at 50) PENALTY UAB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from RIC50 to UAB35. NO PLAY. - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.40 8.4% 10.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.38 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.62)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:11 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 20 at 50) Timeout RICE, clock 00:11 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.00 8.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 65

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.02)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:11 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 35 at UAB 35) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 12 yds to the UAB 47 - RICE 30, UAB 24 0.08 7.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 53

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.07 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.93)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 23 at UAB 47) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince - RICE 30, UAB 24 -0.83 10.1% 89.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.20 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.80)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: RICE 30, UAB 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 30 (30) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link