MTSU 44 @ UConn 13

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.35 | Odds: MTSU -14, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Total Plays 9378
Total EPA 12.32-18.04
  Offensive EPA 11.37-13.08
  Special Teams EPA -1.66-5.42
  Penalty EPA 4.380.46
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.770.00
Production ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Scrimmage Plays 8463
  Yards 515303
  Yards/Play 6.134.81
  EPA 11.37-13.08
  EPA/Play 0.14-0.21
Passes 41 (49%)37 (59%)
  Yards 355233
  Yards/Play 8.666.30
  EPA 11.71-3.94
  EPA/Play 0.29-0.11
Rushes 43 (51%)26 (41%)
  Yards 16570
  Yards/Play 3.842.69
  EPA -0.35-9.14
  EPA/Play -0.01-0.35
Rushing ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Scrimmage Plays 8463
Rushes 43 (51%)26 (41%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (2%)1 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 10 (23%)8 (31%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 18 (42%)14 (54%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 23 (53%)12 (46%)
OL Line Yards 66.311.7
  Per Carry 1.540.45
Highlight Yards 3218.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.391.54
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Total Plays 9378
Scrimmage Plays 8463
Explosive Plays 7 (8%)3 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (10%)3 (8%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (7%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -8.44-23.13
  EPA/Play -0.11-0.39
  When Passing 0.19-13.99
    EPA/Play 0.00-0.38
  When Rushing -8.62-9.14
    EPA/Play -0.22-0.35
Situational ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 41 (49%)27 (43%)
  When Passing 21 (51%)15 (41%)
  When Rushing 20 (47%)12 (46%)
  On Standard Downs 28 (50%)19 (46%)
  On Passing Downs 13 (46%)8 (36%)
  On Early Downs 32 (48%)21 (46%)
  On Late Downs 9 (50%)6 (35%)
  During "Middle 8" 10 (48%)4 (44%)
Early Downs 6646
  First Downs Created 16 (24%)9 (20%)
  EPA 4.73-4.93
  EPA/Play 0.07-0.11
  Passes 31 (47%)25 (54%)
  Rushes 35 (53%)21 (46%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 17 (55%)11 (44%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 15 (43%)10 (48%)
"Middle 8" Plays 219
  EPA 5.841.15
  EPA/play 0.280.13
  Passes 12 (57%)7 (78%)
  Rushes 9 (43%)2 (22%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 7 (58%)3 (43%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (33%)1 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Total 1212
Avg Starting Field Position Own 39Own 22
Plays/Drive 9.077.06
Yards/Drive 47.2740.79
Available Yards % 78%52%
Defensive ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Scrimmage Plays 6384
Stop Rate 51%7%
Havoc Plays Created 14 (22%)7 (8%)
  Passing 6 (16%)2 (5%)
  Rushing 8 (31%)5 (12%)
TFLs Generated 127
  Passing 42
  Rushing 85
Sacks Generated 2 (5%)1 (2%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 20
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Turnovers 03
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 11
  Interceptions 02
Turnover Margin 3-3
Expected Turnovers 1.51.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.4-0.4
Turnover Luck (pts) 12.8-12.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 2393 ESPN team id 41
Total Plays 9 15
Total EPA -1.66 -5.42
  Field Goal EPA -2.58 1.87
  Punting EPA 1.2 -1.39
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.28 -5.9

Middle Tennessee [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chase Cunningham 25/36, 334 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 81.3 xQBR 9.03 0.36 13.28 54% 10.0%
JaMichael Thompson 1/1, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 67.5 xQBR 5.00 0.24 0.24 100% 0.0%
Mike DiLiello 2/3, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 22.9 xQBR 5.33 -0.60 -1.81 0% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Chase Cunningham 8 carries, 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.12 0.73 5.80 88% 2.0%
Martell Pettaway 12 carries, 63 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.25 0.35 4.17 58% 3.0%
Jalen Jackson 4 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.13 -0.51 25% 0.0%
Jalen Montgomery 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.54 -0.54 0% 0.0%
Mike DiLiello 4 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.39 -1.56 50% -1.0%
Chaton Mobley 13 carries, 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.69 -0.42 -5.45 23% -2.0%
Pass targets
Jimmy Marshall 4 catches (4 targets), 61 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.25 1.74 6.96 100% 6.0%
Yusuf Ali 5 catches (5 targets), 80 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 0.98 4.91 60% 4.0%
CJ Windham 4 catches (4 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 1.01 4.04 100% 4.0%
Izaiah Gathings 3 catches (3 targets), 49 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.33 1.24 3.71 100% 6.0%
Jarrin Pierce 3 catches (4 targets), 77 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.25 0.85 3.38 50% 0.0%
Jaylin Lane 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.91 1.81 100% 1.0%
Chaton Mobley 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.85 0.85 100% 1.0%
Chase Cunningham 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.24 0.24 100% 0.0%
DJ England-Chisolm 3 catches (3 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 -0.27 -0.82 33% -2.0%
JaMichael Thompson 2 catches (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -1.15 -2.29 0% -1.0%

UConn [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Steven Krajewski 19/35, 233 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 2 Scks, 33.9 xQBR 6.30 -0.11 -3.94 41% 3.0%
Rush attempts
Steven Krajewski 5 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 1.40 -0.01 -0.05 60% -4.0%
Jalon Ferrell 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 -0.22 -0.66 67% 0.0%
Devontae Houston 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -1.35 -1.35 0% 0.0%
Kevin Mensah 9 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.38 -3.46 33% -4.0%
Nathan Carter 8 carries, 30 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 3.75 -0.45 -3.62 50% -4.0%
Pass targets
Keelan Marion 3 catches (3 targets), 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 2.08 6.24 100% 3.0%
Brandon Niemenski 4 catches (4 targets), 28 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.12 4.49 100% 6.0%
Kevens Clercius 1 catch (1 target), 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 57.00 3.30 3.30 100% 2.0%
Aaron Turner 2 catches (2 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 1.51 3.02 100% 4.0%
Devontae Houston 3 catches (3 targets), 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.67 0.83 2.49 100% 4.0%
Brian Brewton 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.26 0.26 100% 1.0%
Kevin Mensah 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.34 -0.68 50% -1.0%
Nathan Carter 3 catches (3 targets), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.61 -1.83 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 8 at CONN 31) Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 3.64 95.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 22

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 1.17 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.17)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 2 at MTSU 39) Nathan Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 44 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -3.55 17.3% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 56

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.07 = -3.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 8) Brandon Niemenski 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick) - MTSU 10, CONN 7 3.39 9.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.61 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 8 at CONN 24) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 35 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down - MTSU 44, CONN 13 3.36 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 41

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - -1.07 = 3.36

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-32.07)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-28.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 29) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 57 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 10 3.30 4.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 14

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 0.16 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 5 at CONN 18) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 24, CONN 10 3.24 95.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.76 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 4 at CONN 24) Zeke Rankin 42 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -3.03 84.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 2.16 = -3.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 5 at CONN 27) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (Durante Jones) to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down - MTSU 34, CONN 13 3.00 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 22

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 2.43 = 3.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.43)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 6 at MTSU 26) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -2.91 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - 1.09 = -2.91

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-29.91)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.82)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 12 at CONN 24) Jarrin Pierce 24 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick) - MTSU 41, CONN 13 2.88 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.12)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 2 at MTSU 39) Nathan Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 44 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -3.55 17.3% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 56

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.07 = -3.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 5 at MTSU 30) Joe McFadden 47 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.56 17.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:02 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 25) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD - MTSU 17, CONN 10 2.73 84.8% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 4.19 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 8) Brandon Niemenski 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick) - MTSU 10, CONN 7 3.39 9.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.61 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 34) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 31 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 7 1.85 15.9% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 35

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 1.54 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.46)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:37 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 1 at CONN 33) Joe McFadden punt for 42 yds - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.35 18.9% -4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 75

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.55 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 36) Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 28 fumbled, recovered by UConn Steven Krajewski - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.93 19.7% -3.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 72

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 1.93 = -1.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:46 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & Goal at CONN 3) Zeke Rankin 20 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 3, CONN 0 0.00 83.8% 3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 14) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.97 90.4% 3.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.03 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 2 at MTSU 48) Martell Pettaway run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.84 79.3% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 36

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 1.95 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:46 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & Goal at CONN 3) Zeke Rankin 20 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 3, CONN 0 0.00 83.8% 3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 14) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.97 90.4% 3.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.03 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 8) Brandon Niemenski 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick) - MTSU 10, CONN 7 3.39 9.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.61 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 5 at MTSU 30) Joe McFadden 47 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.56 17.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:02 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 25) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD - MTSU 17, CONN 10 2.73 84.8% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 4.19 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 5 at CONN 18) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 24, CONN 10 3.24 95.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.76 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 4) Joe McFadden 21 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 24, CONN 13 0.32 6.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & Goal at CONN 14) Zeke Rankin 32 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.41 95.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 65

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.59 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.59)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 24 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & Goal at CONN 1) Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.87 98.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.13 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 14 (20.13)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 108 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 12 at CONN 24) Jarrin Pierce 24 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick) - MTSU 41, CONN 13 2.88 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.12)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:16 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 3 at CONN 5) Zeke Rankin 22 Yd Field Goal - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.04 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.96 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.96)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:56 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 63 yds , Brian Brewton return for 22 yds to the UConn 24 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.33 15.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.44 - 0.89 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:56 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 24) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 5 yds to the UConn 29 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.28 15.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.77 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:56 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 5 at CONN 29) Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 31 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.66 15.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.04 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:56 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 3 at CONN 31) Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 33 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.32 15.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.38 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:37 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 1 at CONN 33) Joe McFadden punt for 42 yds - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.35 18.9% -4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 75

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.55 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:37 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.64 85.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 1.05 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:37 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at MTSU 25) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.03 84.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.40 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:37 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 10 at MTSU 25) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.37 82.5% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - -0.62 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 10 at MTSU 25) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 55 yds - MTSU 0, CONN 0 1.22 82.3% -2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - -1.98 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 79.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 20) Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the UConn 22 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.59 20.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.76 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 8 at CONN 22) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 10 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 1.56 18.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 68

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.17 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 32) Nathan Carter run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 1.38 19.7% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 47

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.73 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 47) Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.24 22.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 48

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 3.12 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 11 at MTSU 48) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.09 21.1% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.88 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 11 at MTSU 48) CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 47 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.47 18.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 53

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.79 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 16 at CONN 47) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 14 yds to the MTnSt 39 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.85 18.1% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 39

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.32 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 2 at MTSU 39) Nathan Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 44 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -3.55 17.3% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 56

Started Drive at: CONN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.07 = -3.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 44) Chaton Mobley run for 12 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.80 86.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 44

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 2.43 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 44) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 7 yds to the UConn 37 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.40 86.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 3.23 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 3 at CONN 37) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.46 86.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 3.63 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 30) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.60 86.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 4.09 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at CONN 30) Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the UConn 26 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.34 86.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.49 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 6 at CONN 26) Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the UConn 24 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.02 86.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 3.15 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 4 at CONN 24) Zeke Rankin 42 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -3.03 84.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 2.16 = -3.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 24) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.68 18.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.90 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 10 at CONN 24) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for 7 yds to the UConn 31 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.26 16.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.22 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 3 at CONN 31) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 5 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 1.46 17.3% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 0.48 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 36) Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 28 fumbled, recovered by UConn Steven Krajewski - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.93 19.7% -3.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 72

Started Drive at: CONN 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 1.93 = -1.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 33) Chase Cunningham run for 5 yds to the UConn 28 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.11 86.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 28

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 4.04 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 5 at CONN 28) Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 31 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.54 86.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 31

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 4.17 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 8 at CONN 31) Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 14 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 2.38 85.1% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 2.63 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 17) Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 9 yds to the UConn 8 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.68 87.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 8

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.69 - 5.01 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 1 at CONN 8) Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -0.02 88.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 5.69 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & Goal at CONN 3) Mike DiLiello run for 2 yds to the UConn 1 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 0.06 88.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.27 - 6.21 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & Goal at CONN 1) Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 3 - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.44 88.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 3

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 6.27 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & Goal at CONN 3) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 0, CONN 0 -1.84 87.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 4.82 = -1.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 0, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:46 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & Goal at CONN 3) Zeke Rankin 20 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 3, CONN 0 0.00 83.8% 3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Brewton return for 21 yds to the UConn 21 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -1.26 15.4% -2.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: CONN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.72 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 21) Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 18 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -1.11 14.9% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 82

Started Drive at: CONN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.55 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.45)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 13 at CONN 18) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 17 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -1.00 13.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 83

Started Drive at: CONN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -0.56 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 14 at CONN 17) Steven Krajewski sacked by Richard Kinley for 0 yards to the UConn 14 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -1.07 12.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 86

Started Drive at: CONN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.63 - -1.56 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 17 at CONN 14) Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds, downed at the MTnSt 49 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -0.39 11.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 51

Started Drive at: CONN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.94 - -2.56 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-5.56)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 49) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down - MTSU 3, CONN 0 0.72 87.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 40

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 2.96 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.96)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 40) Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the UConn 36 - MTSU 3, CONN 0 -0.20 88.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.68 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.68)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 6 at CONN 36) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 22 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST down - MTSU 3, CONN 0 1.63 87.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 14

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 3.43 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.43)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 3, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 14) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.97 90.4% 3.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.03 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 50 yds , Brian Brewton return for no gain to the UConn 15 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -1.43 7.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 0.24 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.76)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 15) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 14 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.96 7.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 86

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.14 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.14)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 11 at CONN 14) KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the left incomplete intended for GILL, Jahkai thrown to the UCO14. PENALTY Before the snap, MTS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCO14 to the UCO19. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 10, CONN 0 0.62 6.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 81

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -1.10 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.10)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 6.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 6 at CONN 19) Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.27 6.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 70

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - -0.48 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.48)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 30) Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 35 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 0.18 7.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.78 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.22)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 5 at CONN 35) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 26 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 0 2.02 7.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 39

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 0.97 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 39) Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.60 9.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.99 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.01)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 8 at MTSU 37) Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 0.58 8.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.39 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.61)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 2 at MTSU 31) Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.71 8.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.97 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 1 at MTSU 30) Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.56 8.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 2.26 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 26) CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 31 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.75 9.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 31

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.82 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 15 at MTSU 31) Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 0.21 8.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.07 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 9 at MTSU 25) KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the MTS0. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on PATTERSON, Decorian enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the MTS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 10, CONN 0 1.49 9.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 10

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 3.28 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.72)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & Goal at MTSU 8) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.82 9.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.42 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.58)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 41 (1st & Goal at MTSU 10) Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 8 - MTSU 10, CONN 0 -0.34 9.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.76 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.24)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 8) Brandon Niemenski 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick) - MTSU 10, CONN 7 3.39 9.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CONN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.61 = 3.39

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 2393 (Kickoff at MTSU 35) Joe McFadden kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.00 86.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.50)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 25) QB Keeper CUNNINGHAM, Chase rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MTS32, out of bounds. PENALTY MTS Holding on JOHNSON, Netori enforced 10 yards from the MTS25 to the MTS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.77 86.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.50 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.50)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 20 at MTSU 15) Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.48 85.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.73 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.73)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 16 at MTSU 19) Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 5 yds to the MTnSt 24 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.63 84.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - 0.25 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:28 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 2 at MTSU 33) Timeout CONNECTICUT, clock 08:28 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.00 83.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.62)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:28 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 11 at MTSU 24) Chaton Mobley run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.16 83.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.60 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 2 at MTSU 33) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 23 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.01 83.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 77

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.68 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.32)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 23) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 6 yds to the UConn 29 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.12 14.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 71

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.73 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.27)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 4 at CONN 29) Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.69 14.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.85 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 34) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 31 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 7 1.85 15.9% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 35

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 1.54 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.46)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 35) Steven Krajewski run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.27 20.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.39 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.39)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:27 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 5 at MTSU 30) Timeout CONNECTICUT, clock 06:27 - MTSU 10, CONN 7 0.00 22.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.66 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:27 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 5 at MTSU 30) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -0.79 23.5% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.76 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:27 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 5 at MTSU 30) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 10, CONN 7 -1.60 20.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.97 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.03)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 5 at MTSU 30) Joe McFadden 47 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.56 17.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (Kickoff at MTSU 35) Joe McFadden kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 10, CONN 10 0.00 78.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 25) CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for WINDHAM, CJ thrown to the MTS47. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on LUCIEN, Jeremy enforced 15 yards to the MTS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.08 78.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 1.22 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 40) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 10, CONN 10 -0.59 79.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.30 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at MTSU 40) Chase Cunningham run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 48 - MTSU 10, CONN 10 0.23 78.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.72 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 2 at MTSU 48) Martell Pettaway run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 10 1.84 79.3% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 36

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 1.95 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 36) Chase Cunningham run for 6 yds to the UConn 30 - MTSU 10, CONN 10 0.32 82.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.79 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 4 at CONN 30) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 10, CONN 10 -0.69 82.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 4.11 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 4 at CONN 30) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 5 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST down - MTSU 10, CONN 10 0.85 81.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.27 - 3.42 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 10, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:02 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 25) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD - MTSU 17, CONN 10 2.73 84.8% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 4.19 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 61 yds , Brian Brewton return for 9 yds to the UConn 13 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -1.39 11.9% -1.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 87

Started Drive at: CONN 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.64 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.36)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 13) Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 12 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -0.81 11.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 88

Started Drive at: CONN 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - 0.01 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 11 at CONN 12) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 9 yds to the UConn 21 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 0.62 9.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 79

Started Drive at: CONN 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -0.80 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 2 at CONN 21) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -1.35 10.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: CONN 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - -0.19 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 2 at CONN 21) Joe McFadden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 36 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -0.51 8.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 64

Started Drive at: CONN 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -1.25 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 36) Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 36 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -0.48 92.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.55 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at MTSU 36) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 22 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST down - MTSU 17, CONN 10 1.34 92.2% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 42

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.08 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 42) CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass up the middle incomplete intended for WINDHAM, CJ thrown to the UCO25. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on LUCIEN, Jeremy enforced 15 yards to the UCO27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 17, CONN 10 1.00 93.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 27

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.42 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 27) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 2 yds to the UConn 25 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 -0.17 94.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 25

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.42 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 8 at CONN 25) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 17 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Izaiah Gathings) to the UConn 23 for a 1ST down - MTSU 17, CONN 10 0.52 94.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 3.25 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:05 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 23) JaMichael Thompson pass complete to Chase Cunningham for 5 yds to the UConn 18 - MTSU 17, CONN 10 0.24 95.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 3.77 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 17, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 5 at CONN 18) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 24, CONN 10 3.24 95.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.76 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 64 yds , Brian Brewton return for 18 yds to the UConn 19 - MTSU 24, CONN 10 -0.58 4.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.64 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.36)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 19) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 4 yds to the UConn 23 - MTSU 24, CONN 10 0.07 3.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 77

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.33 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 6 at CONN 23) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 2 yds to the UConn 25 - MTSU 24, CONN 10 -0.18 3.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.39 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 4 at CONN 25) Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 10 0.64 3.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.22 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.78)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 14) Timeout CONNECTICUT, clock 00:15 - MTSU 24, CONN 10 0.00 5.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 29) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 57 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 10 3.30 4.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 14

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 0.16 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 14) KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the MTS0. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on RILEY, Quincy enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the MTS4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - MTSU 24, CONN 10 0.92 6.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 4

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 3.46 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (1st & Goal at MTSU 4) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 24, CONN 10 -0.41 6.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 5.02 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.98)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & Goal at MTSU 4) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 24, CONN 10 -0.72 6.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 4.61 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & Goal at MTSU 4) Joe McFadden 21 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 24, CONN 13 0.32 6.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (Kickoff at MTSU 35) Joe McFadden kickoff for 61 yds , Jaylin Lane return for 24 yds to the MTnSt 28 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.28 95.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.01 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.01)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 28) Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.46 95.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.26 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.26)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 8 at MTSU 30) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 14 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 1.34 95.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 56

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 1.80 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.80)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 44) Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - MTSU 24, CONN 13 0.15 95.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.14 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.14)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 4 at 50) Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 0.42 95.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.28 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.28)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 45) Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the UConn 45 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.61 95.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 3.70 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.70)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at CONN 45) Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jeremy Lucien) to the UConn 33 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 1.25 95.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.09 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.09)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 33) Chase Cunningham run for 3 yds to the UConn 30 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.41 96.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.34 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.34)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 7 at CONN 30) Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the UConn 30 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.98 95.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.92 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 7 at CONN 30) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Jahlil Ryles) to the UConn 35 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -1.10 95.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 35

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.94 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.94)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 12 at CONN 35) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 4 yds to the UConn 31 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.67 95.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 31

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.84 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.84)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 8 at CONN 31) Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 3.64 95.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 22

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 1.17 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.17)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 23 at CONN 35) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 25 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST down - MTSU 24, CONN 13 2.68 95.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 10

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 2.55 = 2.68

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.55)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & Goal at CONN 10) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.60 96.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 5.23 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.23)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & Goal at CONN 10) Chase Cunningham pass complete to JaMichael Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 14 - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -1.45 96.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 14

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.63 = -1.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.63)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & Goal at CONN 14) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -0.89 95.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.19 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.19)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 22) run for a loss of 13 yards to the UConn 35 fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Chase Cunningham - MTSU 24, CONN 13 -2.26 96.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 35

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 4.81 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.81)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 24, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & Goal at CONN 14) Zeke Rankin 32 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.41 95.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 65

Started Drive at: MTSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.59 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.59)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 24 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 62 yds - MTSU 27, CONN 13 1.03 4.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - -0.54 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 35) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -0.67 5.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.48 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 10 at CONN 35) Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -1.39 4.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -0.19 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.19)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 11 at CONN 34) Steven Krajewski sacked by Ja'Kerrius Wyatt for 0 yards to the UConn 34 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -1.09 3.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.66 - -1.57 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 11 at CONN 34) Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -0.15 3.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 71

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.70 - -2.55 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.55)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.70)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 29) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 37 yds to the MTnSt 29 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -0.67 97.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.81 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.81)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at MTSU 29) Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.54 97.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 62

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.15 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 1 at MTSU 38) Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST down - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.83 97.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 2.69 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.69)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 45) Martell Pettaway run for 11 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST down - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.53 97.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 44

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.52 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.52)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 44) Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 37 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.25 97.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.05 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.05)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 3 at CONN 37) Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST down - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.34 97.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 4.31 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 30) Chase Cunningham pass incomplete - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -0.59 97.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.65 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.65)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at CONN 30) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST down - MTSU 27, CONN 13 1.09 97.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 19

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 4.06 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.06)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 19) Chaton Mobley run for 10 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST down - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.37 98.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 9

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 5.15 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & Goal at CONN 9) Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the UConn 6 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 -0.29 98.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.62 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.62)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 102 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:11 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & Goal at CONN 6) Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the UConn 1 - MTSU 27, CONN 13 0.76 98.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 1

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.10 - 5.34 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.34)

Score Difference (End): 14 (20.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 27, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 107 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & Goal at CONN 1) Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.87 98.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.13 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 14 (20.13)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 108 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 56 yds - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.94 0.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -1.29 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.29)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 35) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 7 yds to the UConn 42 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.52 0.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - -0.35 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.35)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 3 at CONN 42) Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST down - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.34 0.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.16 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 47) Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 45 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -1.35 0.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 55

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.50 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 12 at CONN 45) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -0.95 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.85 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.85)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 12 at CONN 45) CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Sidney Walker) to the UConn 40 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -0.39 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 60

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - -1.79 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.79)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:20 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 17 at CONN 40) Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the MTnSt 44 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -2.14 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56

Started Drive at: CONN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.24 - -2.10 = -2.14

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.10)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:20 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 44) Chase Cunningham run for 7 yds to the UConn 49 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.12 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.30 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.30)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:20 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 3 at CONN 49) Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -0.92 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 4.42 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.42)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 4 at 50) Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 18 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down - MTSU 34, CONN 13 1.68 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 32

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 3.42 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.42)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 32) Chase Cunningham sacked by Travis Jones for 0 yards to the UConn 42 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -1.68 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 42

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 5.04 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.04)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 20 at CONN 42) Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 10 yds to the UConn 32 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 0.29 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 32

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 3.36 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.36)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 10 at CONN 32) Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the UConn 27 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -1.22 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 3.65 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.65)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 5 at CONN 27) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (Durante Jones) to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down - MTSU 34, CONN 13 3.00 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 22

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 2.43 = 3.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.43)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 22) Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24 - MTSU 34, CONN 13 -1.21 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 24

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 5.42 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.42)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 34, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 12 at CONN 24) Jarrin Pierce 24 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick) - MTSU 41, CONN 13 2.88 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: MTSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.12)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:23 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 58 yds , return for no gain to the UConn 22 , return for no gain to the UConn 22 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -1.04 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - -1.07 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.07)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:23 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 22) CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chase Lundt) declined - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.96 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.09 - -1.13 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.13)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:23 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 11 at CONN 21) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.83 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - -2.06 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-30.06)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 11 at CONN 21) Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 26 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -2.12 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 26

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.93 - -2.81 = -2.12

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-30.81)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 3 at CONN 19) Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST down - MTSU 41, CONN 13 2.80 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 12

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 2.77 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.77)

Score Difference (End): 28 (33.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 12) Jalen Montgomery run for no gain to the UConn 12 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.54 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 5.57 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 28 (33.57)

Score Difference (End): 28 (33.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at CONN 12) Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the UConn 11 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.78 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 5.03 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 28 (33.03)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at CONN 26) Mike DiLiello pass incomplete - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.56 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.98 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.98)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at CONN 26) Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the UConn 24 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.80 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.42 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.42)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 8 at CONN 24) Mike DiLiello pass complete to JaMichael Thompson for 5 yds to the UConn 19 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.85 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.62 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.62)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:10 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 14 at CONN 16) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 08:10 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.77 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.77)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:10 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 9 at CONN 11) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 16 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.60 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 16

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 4.00 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.00)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:10 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 14 at CONN 16) Mike DiLiello pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 11 yds to the UConn 5 - MTSU 41, CONN 13 -0.40 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 5

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.40 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.40)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 41, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:16 ESPN team id 2393 (4th & 3 at CONN 5) Zeke Rankin 22 Yd Field Goal - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.04 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 65

Started Drive at: CONN 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.96 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.96)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 41 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (Kickoff at CONN 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 61 yds , Robert Burns return for 18 yds to the UConn 22 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.84 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.05 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-30.95)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at CONN 22) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.43 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 0.00 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.00)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 10 at CONN 22) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 2 yds to the UConn 24 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.65 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - -0.43 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.43)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-32.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 8 at CONN 24) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 35 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down - MTSU 44, CONN 13 3.36 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 41

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - -1.07 = 3.36

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-32.07)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-28.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 41) Jalon Ferrell run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.30 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.29 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-28.71)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-28.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 4 at MTSU 35) Jalon Ferrell run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST down - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.31 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 2.59 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-28.41)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-28.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (2nd & 13 at MTSU 33) Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 7 yds to the MTnSt 26 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.43 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 26

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 1.63 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-29.37)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-28.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (3rd & 6 at MTSU 26) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -1.55 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 2.05 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-28.95)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-30.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:11 ESPN team id 41 (1st & 10 at MTSU 30) Jalon Ferrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 33 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -1.28 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 33

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.91 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-28.09)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-29.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 41 (4th & 6 at MTSU 26) Steven Krajewski pass incomplete - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -2.91 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: CONN 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - 1.09 = -2.91

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-29.91)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.82)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 26) Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 30 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.27 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.09 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.09)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 6 at MTSU 30) Jalen Jackson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.58 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.82 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.82)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 2393 (1st & 10 at MTSU 37) Mike DiLiello run for no gain to the MTnSt 37 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.37 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.40 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.40)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 2393 (2nd & 10 at MTSU 37) Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 -0.05 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.69 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.69)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 8 at MTSU 39) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 00:48 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.64)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2393 (3rd & 8 at MTSU 39) Mike DiLiello run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43 - MTSU 44, CONN 13 0.19 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: MTSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.08 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.08)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MTSU 44, CONN 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3