North Carolina 22 @ Georgia Tech 45

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.00 | Odds: UNC -14.5, O/U 65.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8873
Total EPA -13.8613.87
  Offensive EPA -7.2414.42
  Special Teams EPA -4.400.42
  Penalty EPA -1.80.27
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.42-1.24
Production ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7462
  Yards 411394
  Yards/Play 5.556.35
  EPA -7.2414.42
  EPA/Play -0.100.23
Passes 47 (64%)20 (32%)
  Yards 306133
  Yards/Play 6.516.65
  EPA 6.562.48
  EPA/Play 0.140.12
Rushes 27 (36%)42 (68%)
  Yards 116272
  Yards/Play 4.306.48
  EPA -13.8011.94
  EPA/Play -0.510.28
Rushing ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7462
Rushes 27 (36%)42 (68%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 5 (19%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (40%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (26%)6 (14%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 11 (41%)18 (43%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (48%)19 (45%)
OL Line Yards 36.565.3
  Per Carry 1.351.55
Highlight Yards 35134.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.697.08
Explosiveness ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8873
Scrimmage Plays 7462
Explosive Plays 6 (8%)7 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (6%)2 (10%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (11%)5 (12%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -29.07-8.00
  EPA/Play -0.43-0.15
  When Passing -7.81-4.10
    EPA/Play -0.17-0.20
  When Rushing -21.25-3.90
    EPA/Play -0.89-0.11
Situational ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 31 (42%)29 (47%)
  When Passing 19 (40%)10 (50%)
  When Rushing 12 (44%)19 (45%)
  On Standard Downs 24 (44%)25 (49%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (37%)4 (36%)
  On Early Downs 23 (40%)25 (50%)
  On Late Downs 8 (47%)4 (33%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (31%)4 (40%)
Early Downs 5750
  First Downs Created 11 (19%)11 (22%)
  EPA -11.6017.99
  EPA/Play -0.200.36
  Passes 37 (65%)13 (26%)
  Rushes 20 (35%)37 (74%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 15 (41%)8 (62%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (40%)17 (46%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1310
  EPA -9.322.57
  EPA/play -0.720.26
  Passes 5 (38%)3 (30%)
  Rushes 8 (62%)7 (70%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (20%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (38%)4 (57%)
Drives ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Total 1314
Avg Starting Field Position Own 26Own 34
Plays/Drive 6.736.97
Yards/Drive 30.9943.81
Available Yards % 42%66%
Defensive ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 6274
Stop Rate 23%68%
Havoc Plays Created 7 (11%)16 (22%)
  Passing 2 (10%)10 (21%)
  Rushing 5 (12%)6 (22%)
TFLs Generated 714
  Passing 210
  Rushing 54
Sacks Generated 1 (5%)8 (17%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 02
Turnovers ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Turnovers 40
  Fumbles 40
  Fumbles Lost 40
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin -44
Expected Turnovers 2.02.0
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) -20.020.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 153 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 14 11
Total EPA -4.4 0.42
  Field Goal EPA -2.4 1.88
  Punting EPA -0.19 -2.25
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.8 0.79

North Carolina [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Sam Howell 25/39, 306 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 8 Scks, 41.1 xQBR 6.51 0.14 6.56 40% 27.0%
Rush attempts
D.J. Jones 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 0.03 0.07 50% 1.0%
Ty Chandler 17 carries, 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.82 -0.22 -3.80 35% -6.0%
Sam Howell 8 carries, 61 yds, 1 TD, 3 Fum (3 lost) 7.62 -1.26 -10.07 62% -27.0%
Pass targets
Emery Simmons 3 catches (6 targets), 110 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 36.67 1.58 9.46 50% 8.0%
Kamari Morales 7 catches (7 targets), 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.43 0.62 4.36 71% 16.0%
Josh Downs 8 catches (13 targets), 53 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.62 0.19 2.49 38% 11.0%
Ty Chandler 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.84 1.84 100% 2.0%
D.J. Jones 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 0.22 0.43 50% -3.0%
Antoine Green 2 catches (5 targets), 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 -0.01 -0.03 40% 2.0%
Khafre Brown 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.53 -0.53 0% 0.0%
Garrett Walston 2 catches (4 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 -0.26 -1.03 25% -2.0%

Georgia Tech [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jeff Sims 10/13, 112 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 88.6 xQBR 8.62 0.57 7.41 62% 7.0%
Jordan Yates 3/6, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 30.9 xQBR 3.00 -0.70 -4.93 29% -6.0%
Rush attempts
Jeff Sims 10 carries, 128 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.80 1.21 12.07 70% 15.0%
Dontae Smith 6 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 0.24 1.45 67% 4.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 0.30 0.61 50% 0.0%
Jordan Yates 3 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 0.14 0.42 33% -1.0%
Jordan Mason 8 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.25 -0.09 -0.71 25% 0.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs 13 carries, 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.92 -0.15 -1.90 31% -7.0%
Pass targets
Malachi Carter 3 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.59 4.78 100% 9.0%
Kyric McGowan 3 catches (6 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.26 1.57 33% 2.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.72 1.44 50% -1.0%
Nate McCollum 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.33 0.65 100% -1.0%
Kalani Norris 1 catch (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 -0.18 -0.54 33% -3.0%
Dontae Smith 2 catches (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -0.69 -1.38 50% -2.0%
Dylan Leonard 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.42 -1.42 0% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 11:50 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 18 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 63 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 7.71 1.6% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 6

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - -2.55 = 7.71

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.55)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 -7.12 89.1% -10.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 -6.20 86.6% -14.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 5.59 99.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 3.95 2.9% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:04 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47 Sam Howell fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie Thomas , return for 0 yards - UNC 22, GT 38 -3.73 0.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 53

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - 1.70 = -3.73

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.30)

Score Difference (End): 16 (18.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 3.52 92.4% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:09 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 3.45 56.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 1

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.50 - 3.06 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.06)

Score Difference (End): 6 (12.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:25 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 -3.41 55.6% -11.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 3 at UNC 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 8 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 3.05 88.2% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 1.45 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.45)

Score Difference (End): 13 (17.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 -6.20 86.6% -14.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 2.17 11.5% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:25 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 -3.41 55.6% -11.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 3.95 2.9% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 -7.12 89.1% -10.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 0.51 62.0% 9.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:41 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 2.44 28.5% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 3.52 92.4% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 5 at GT 28) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 21 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 2.11 9.1% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 7

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.33 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.67)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 2.87 87.7% 5.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 2.87 87.7% 5.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:21 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 16) Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 3 0.41 12.8% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.59 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.41)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:34 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 14) Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 6 0.70 16.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.70)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:41 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 2.44 28.5% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 0.51 62.0% 9.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UNC 4) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 27 1.33 91.2% 4.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.67)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 2.17 11.5% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 3.52 92.4% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 3.95 2.9% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:07 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 13) Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOOD - UNC 22, GT 38 0.77 98.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 5.59 99.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 0, GT 0 0.00 82.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:42 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.22 85.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.05 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:28 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 6 at UNC 29) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 -1.07 85.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.99 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 6 at UNC 29) Sam Howell run for 16 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, GT 0 2.57 84.1% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - -0.05 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for no gain to the NCaro 45 - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.64 87.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.52 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.94 87.4% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.86 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:17 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 -1.65 86.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.89 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:09 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 10 at UNC 45) Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 5 yds to the GTech 19 - UNC 0, GT 0 0.03 85.5% -5.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 81

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - -0.76 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:45 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 19) Jordan Yates run for 4 yds to the GTech 23 - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.27 20.5% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.78 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 23) Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the GTech 26 - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.44 17.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.54 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:50 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at GT 26) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 28 - UNC 0, GT 0 -1.26 15.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - 0.02 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:26 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt blocked by Giovanni Biggers - UNC 0, GT 0 -2.27 14.1% -3.1%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 40

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.56 - -1.29 = -2.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 40) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.65 90.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.56 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:45 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 40) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 14 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, GT 0 1.30 86.6% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 3.02 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 26) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the GTech 23 - UNC 0, GT 0 -0.28 87.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.37 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 2.87 87.7% 5.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:23 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 0 0.00 6.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:54 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jordan Yates run for 1 yd to the GTech 26 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.50 6.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.02 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.98)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:25 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at GT 26) Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 0 0.09 7.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.47 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 4 at GT 31) Jordan Yates sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 20 - UNC 7, GT 0 -2.62 6.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 80

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - -0.46 = -2.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:18 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 15 at GT 20) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds to the NCaro 27, Josh Downs returns for 7 yds to the NCaro 34 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ja'Qurious Conley) to the NCaro 19 - UNC 7, GT 0 1.15 5.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 81

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -3.16 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:50 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 19) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 22 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.40 94.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 78

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.90 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:35 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 7 at UNC 22) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 14 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 1.37 94.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.47 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:05 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 36) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.08 95.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.93 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.93)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:35 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 5 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 0.62 94.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 2.87 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 48) Sam Howell sacked by Quez Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 47 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.96 94.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 53

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 3.44 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:10 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 11 at UNC 47) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 45 - UNC 7, GT 0 -1.11 93.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.47 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:40 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 13 at UNC 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 12 yards to the NCaro 33 - UNC 7, GT 0 -1.82 93.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 67

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 1.35 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:23 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 25 at UNC 33) Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyric McGowan at the GTech 20 - UNC 7, GT 0 0.77 92.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 80

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.46 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.54)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:58 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 20) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 29 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 2.14 8.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - -0.31 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.24 10.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.82 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:05 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at UNC 48) Jordan Yates run for 9 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 1.19 10.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.61 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 39) Yates, Jordan pass incomplete to McGowan, Kyric, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Conley, Ja'Qurious) 15 yards to the UNC24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. - UNC 7, GT 0 1.06 11.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 24

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 2.80 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:10 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the NCaro 23 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.41 12.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.86 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:53 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at UNC 23) Jordan Yates pass complete to Kalani Norris for 13 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 1.49 13.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 3.45 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:18 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 10) Yates, Jordan pass incomplete to Gibbs, Jahmyr, PENALTY GATECH holding (Williams, Jordan) 10 yards to the UNC20, NO PLAY. - UNC 7, GT 0 -1.14 16.4% -2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 20

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 4.96 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:38 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 20) Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 24 - UNC 7, GT 0 -1.44 16.1% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 24

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 4.05 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the NCaro 24 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.75 13.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.87 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the NCaro 16 - UNC 7, GT 0 -0.32 12.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 16

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.60 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:21 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 16) Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 3 0.41 12.8% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.59 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.41)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:21 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 3 0.00 89.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.55)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:09 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 -7.12 89.1% -10.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 10) Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the NCaro 9 - UNC 7, GT 3 -0.50 20.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 5.05 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:42 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UNC 9) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - UNC 7, GT 3 -0.88 19.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 4.60 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.60)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:42 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UNC 9) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 13:42 - UNC 7, GT 3 0.00 18.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 3.73 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:42 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UNC 9) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Cochran) to the NCaro 14 - UNC 7, GT 3 -0.68 18.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 14

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.74 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.26)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:38 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UNC 14) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - UNC 7, GT 3 -1.15 18.8% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 3.49 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.51)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:34 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 14) Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 6 0.70 16.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: UNC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.70)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:34 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 6 0.00 85.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 23 - UNC 7, GT 6 -1.12 86.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 1.20 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:35 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 12 at UNC 23) Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 12 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 1.84 83.8% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 65

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 0.19 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 35) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 36 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 2.04 85.4% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 29

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 2.05 = 2.04

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.05)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:43 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 29) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.53 87.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.02 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.02)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:01 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 29) Sam Howell sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 13 yards to the GTech 42 - UNC 7, GT 6 -2.44 87.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 42

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 3.45 = -2.44

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.45)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 23 at GT 42) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 11 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.06 84.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 0.97 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:05 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 12 at GT 31) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Ed Montilus) to the GTech 36 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.73 84.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 36

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.07 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.07)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 83.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:56 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 17 at GT 36) Grayson Atkins 53 yd FG MISSED - UNC 7, GT 6 -2.40 83.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 0.34 = -2.40

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:56 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 36) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Cochran) to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.66 18.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.99 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 15 at GT 31) Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 36 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.19 16.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: GT 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.28 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:25 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 36) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 38 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.51 16.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62

Started Drive at: GT 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.35 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.35)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:59 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 8 at GT 38) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard - UNC 7, GT 6 -1.42 15.4% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: GT 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 0.71 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:53 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 8 at GT 38) David Shanahan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 25 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.44 13.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - -0.71 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.71)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:30 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.01 85.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 1.13 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.13)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 5 at UNC 30) Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.60 85.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.12 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.12)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:30 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 4 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 1.37 84.2% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.42 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:51 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 37) Ty Chandler run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 -1.33 84.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 69

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 1.80 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:30 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 16 at UNC 31) Sam Howell sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ja'Quon Griffin) to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 1.58 82.5% 2.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 0.48 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.47)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 42) Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 46 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.02 85.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.89 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 6 at UNC 46) Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the GTech 49 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.40 84.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.55 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:15 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 1 at GT 49) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the GTech 49 - UNC 7, GT 6 -1.52 87.8% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 2.05 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.05)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:45 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at GT 49) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 2.01 85.3% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 0.62 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:35 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.32 87.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.32 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 -6.20 86.6% -14.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:10 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 17) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the NCaro 16 - UNC 7, GT 6 -0.32 28.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16

Started Drive at: UNC 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 4.34 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.34)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at UNC 16) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonathan Adorno) to the NCaro 11 - UNC 7, GT 6 0.65 28.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11

Started Drive at: UNC 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.01 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:41 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 2.44 28.5% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:41 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 62 yds , Caleb Hood return for 18 yds to the NCaro 21 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.77 65.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.97 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.03)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:08 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 21) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 27 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.11 64.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 0.99 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 4 at UNC 27) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.13 64.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.85 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:35 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 1 at UNC 30) Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 0.70 63.4% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.48 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 32) Howell, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC holding (Anderson, Brian) 10 yards to the UNC22, NO PLAY. - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.73 61.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.05 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.95)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 20 at UNC 22) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 16 yds to the NCaro 38 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.84 57.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 62

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.31 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 61.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 4 at UNC 38) Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 34 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.38 63.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 66

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.87 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 8 at UNC 34) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 00:45 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.00 60.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.50)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 8 at UNC 34) Sam Howell sacked by Kyle Kennard and Charlie Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 26 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.73 57.7% -5.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 74

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 0.36 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.64)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 16 at UNC 26) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:31 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.00 53.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.37)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:23 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 16 at UNC 26) Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 3 yds to the GTech 27 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.34 53.3% 5.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73

Started Drive at: UNC 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -0.06 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.06)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 27) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 25 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.03 40.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.03)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 13 0.00 40.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:40 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.04 41.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.52 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.52)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 30) Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 0.66 40.0% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 1.68 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.68)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.0%

Win Probability (After): 42.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:55 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 37) Jeff Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 35 - UNC 7, GT 13 -1.00 43.3% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.35 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:32 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 12 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.99 42.5% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.35 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:25 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 12 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 -1.00 40.0% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 0.34 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:16 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 12 at GT 35) David Shanahan punt for 44 yds , Josh Downs returns for 11 yds to the NCaro 32 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.70 39.2% -2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.67 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.33)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:50 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 32) Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.81 63.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.39 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.1%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:30 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 1 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.73 64.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.20 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.80)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 1 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 -1.67 63.4% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.42 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.58)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:32 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at UNC 41) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 11:32 - UNC 7, GT 13 0.00 60.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.25 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.25)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.5%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:25 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 -3.41 55.6% -11.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNC 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:19 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 -0.67 58.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.72 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.72)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.1%

Win Probability (After): 57.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:09 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 3.45 56.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 1

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.50 - 3.06 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.06)

Score Difference (End): 6 (12.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 10:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 0.51 62.0% 9.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 10:53 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 20 0.00 33.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.11 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.89)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:20 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 7, GT 20 -0.05 34.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.06 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.94)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:10 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 6 at UNC 29) Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 30 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Tucker) to the NCaro 20 - UNC 7, GT 20 -1.33 30.1% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.17 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.99)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:25 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 15 at UNC 20) Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the NCaro 33 - UNC 7, GT 20 1.17 26.5% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 67

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -1.23 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.23)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:05 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 2 at UNC 33) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 1 yd to the NCaro 34 - UNC 7, GT 20 -0.99 28.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - 0.15 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.85)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:29 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 1 at UNC 34) Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 3 yds to the GTech 19 - UNC 7, GT 20 -0.64 25.9% -3.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 81

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.96 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.96)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 19) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 24 - UNC 7, GT 20 0.01 76.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.65 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.65)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:45 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 16 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 1.16 75.8% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.64 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.64)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 78.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:25 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 40) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 0.64 79.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.67 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.67)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 49) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the NCaro 45 - UNC 7, GT 20 -0.34 79.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.30 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.30)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at UNC 45) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 0.78 80.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.06 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.06)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 28 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 1.62 85.0% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.51 - 3.89 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.89)

Score Difference (End): 13 (18.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:45 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 9) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the NCaro 4 - UNC 7, GT 20 0.14 90.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 5.54 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.54)

Score Difference (End): 13 (18.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 20

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UNC 4) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 27 1.33 91.2% 4.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.67)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 27 0.00 8.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.48)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:20 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 11 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 1.02 8.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -0.49 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.49)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:03 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 36) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 31 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 2.71 8.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 33

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.52 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.48)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 33) D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 - UNC 7, GT 27 0.13 9.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 28

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.22 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.78)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 5 at GT 28) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 21 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 2.11 9.1% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 7

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.33 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.67)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:56 ESPN team id 153 (1st & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 7, GT 27 -0.61 13.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.45 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-14.55)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-15.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 7, GT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 2.17 11.5% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 14, GT 27 0.00 83.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.90)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.1%

Win Probability (After): 83.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the GTech 29 - UNC 14, GT 27 -0.07 86.4% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.92 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.92)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 14, GT 27 -0.47 86.8% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.88 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.88)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 4 at GT 31) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 12 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 1.51 86.5% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.43 = 1.51

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.43)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 43) Jeff Sims run for 15 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 0.66 88.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.98 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.98)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:40 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 42) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 40 - UNC 14, GT 27 -0.40 89.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.64 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.64)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at UNC 40) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38 - UNC 14, GT 27 -0.66 89.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 3.19 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.19)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:40 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 6 at UNC 38) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the NCaro 35 - UNC 14, GT 27 -1.10 87.5% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.53 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.53)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:19 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 3 at UNC 35) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 14:19 - UNC 14, GT 27 0.00 88.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.44)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 3 at UNC 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 8 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 3.05 88.2% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 1.45 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.45)

Score Difference (End): 13 (17.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 3.52 92.4% 6.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 14, GT 35 0.00 2.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -1.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.24)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:25 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 31 - UNC 14, GT 35 0.31 2.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - -1.26 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.26)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:00 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 4 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for 8 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 0.81 2.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.98 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.98)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:54 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 14, GT 35 -0.70 2.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.16 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.16)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 31 - UNC 14, GT 35 -1.87 2.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 69

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.66 - -0.79 = -1.87

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.79)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:50 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 18 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 63 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 7.71 1.6% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 6

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - -2.55 = 7.71

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.55)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:37 ESPN team id 153 (1st & Goal at GT 6) D.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the GTech 4 - UNC 14, GT 35 -0.06 3.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 5.09 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-15.91)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 14, GT 35 -1.07 3.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.99 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.01)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 3.95 2.9% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 61 yds - UNC 22, GT 35 0.79 91.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.86 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.86)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:40 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 35) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 37 - UNC 22, GT 35 -0.44 92.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.59 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.59)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:44 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at GT 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 5 yds to the GTech 42 - UNC 22, GT 35 0.40 93.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.58 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.58)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:44 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at GT 42) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 09:44 - UNC 22, GT 35 0.00 93.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.98 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.98)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:38 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at GT 42) Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 1.08 93.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.55 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.55)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 22, GT 35 -0.18 96.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.54 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.54)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at UNC 48) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45 - UNC 22, GT 35 -0.25 95.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.10 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.10)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:40 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 4 at UNC 45) Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 1.43 94.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 1.83 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.83)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:30 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 39) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34 - UNC 22, GT 35 0.03 96.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.40 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.40)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at UNC 34) Jordan Mason run for 29 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 2.22 97.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 5

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 3.50 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.50)

Score Difference (End): 13 (18.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:45 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UNC 5) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 3 - UNC 22, GT 35 -0.08 98.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 5.65 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.65)

Score Difference (End): 13 (18.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UNC 3) Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 4 - UNC 22, GT 35 -1.18 98.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 4

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 5.55 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.55)

Score Difference (End): 13 (17.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UNC 4) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 8 - UNC 22, GT 35 -1.78 98.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 4.41 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.41)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:09 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 8) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 13 - UNC 22, GT 35 -0.19 98.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 13

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.50 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.50)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:07 ESPN team id 59 (4th & Goal at UNC 13) Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOOD - UNC 22, GT 38 0.77 98.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:07 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Ty Chandler return for 19 yds to the NCaro 19 - UNC 22, GT 38 -1.03 1.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.52 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.48)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-16.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:54 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 19) Howell, Sam pass incomplete to Downs, Josh, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Morales, Kamari) 9 yards to the UNC10, NO PLAY. - UNC 22, GT 38 -0.77 1.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 90

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.29 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.71)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-16.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:41 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 19 at UNC 10) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 14 yds to the NCaro 24 - UNC 22, GT 38 0.73 0.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 76

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - -0.47 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-16.47)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:27 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 5 at UNC 24) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 16 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 38 1.40 1.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 0.28 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.72)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 40) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 22, GT 38 0.31 1.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.63 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.37)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:41 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 2 at UNC 48) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 22, GT 38 -0.52 1.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.81 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.19)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:23 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 2 at UNC 48) Sam Howell run for 7 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 38 0.81 0.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 45

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.32 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.68)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-13.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:17 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston - UNC 22, GT 38 -0.47 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.14 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-13.86)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:04 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47 Sam Howell fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie Thomas , return for 0 yards - UNC 22, GT 38 -3.73 0.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 53

Started Drive at: UNC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - 1.70 = -3.73

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.30)

Score Difference (End): 16 (18.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 47) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - UNC 22, GT 38 0.11 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: GT 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.57 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.57)

Score Difference (End): 16 (17.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 5.59 99.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 153 (Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - UNC 22, GT 45 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 0.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.43)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:09 ESPN team id 153 (1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 22, GT 45 -0.19 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.58 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.42)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:02 ESPN team id 153 (2nd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 22, GT 45 -0.21 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.31 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.69)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:22 ESPN team id 153 (3rd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 20 - UNC 22, GT 45 -0.46 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.05 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.95)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:15 ESPN team id 153 (4th & 15 at UNC 20) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 22, GT 45 -2.58 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 20

Started Drive at: UNC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -0.05 = -2.58

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.05)

Score Difference (End): 23 (25.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UNC 20) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 22 - UNC 22, GT 45 0.63 99.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 22

Started Drive at: UNC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.04 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 23 (24.04)

Score Difference (End): 23 (24.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNC 22, GT 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2