Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.00 | Odds: UNC -14.5, O/U 65.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.10 24th %ile | 0.23 82nd %ile |
| Success Rate | 42% 50th %ile | 47% 73rd %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.55 38th %ile | 6.35 60th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.14 59th %ile | 0.12 56th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | -0.51 2nd %ile | 0.28 87th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 6.51 51st %ile | 6.65 54th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8% 44th %ile | 11% 76th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 47% 64th %ile | 21% 7th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 40% 51st %ile | 43% 57th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 14% 1st %ile | 26% 30th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 22% 95th %ile | 11% 57th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 88 | 73 |
| Total EPA | -13.86 | 13.6 |
| Offensive EPA | -7.24 | 14.42 |
| Special Teams EPA | -4.40 | 0.15 |
| Penalty EPA | -1.8 | 0.27 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.42 | -1.24 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 74 | 62 |
| Yards | 411 | 394 |
| Yards/Play | 5.55 | 6.35 |
| EPA | -7.24 | 14.42 |
| EPA/Play | -0.10 | 0.23 |
| Passes | 47 (64%) | 20 (32%) |
| Yards | 306 | 133 |
| Yards/Play | 6.51 | 6.65 |
| EPA | 6.56 | 2.48 |
| EPA/Play | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Rushes | 27 (36%) | 42 (68%) |
| Yards | 116 | 272 |
| Yards/Play | 4.30 | 6.48 |
| EPA | -13.80 | 11.94 |
| EPA/Play | -0.51 | 0.28 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 74 | 62 |
| Rushes | 27 (36%) | 42 (68%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 5 (19%) | 1 (2%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (40%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 7 (26%) | 6 (14%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 11 (41%) | 18 (43%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 13 (48%) | 19 (45%) |
| OL Line Yards | 36.5 | 65.3 |
| Per Carry | 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Highlight Yards | 35 | 134.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.69 | 7.08 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 88 | 73 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 74 | 62 |
| Explosive Plays | 6 (8%) | 7 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (6%) | 2 (10%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 3 (11%) | 5 (12%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -29.07 | -8.00 |
| EPA/Play | -0.43 | -0.15 |
| When Passing | -7.81 | -4.10 |
| EPA/Play | -0.17 | -0.20 |
| When Rushing | -21.25 | -3.90 |
| EPA/Play | -0.89 | -0.11 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 31 (42%) | 29 (47%) |
| When Passing | 19 (40%) | 10 (50%) |
| When Rushing | 12 (44%) | 19 (45%) |
| On Standard Downs | 24 (44%) | 25 (49%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (37%) | 4 (36%) |
| On Early Downs | 23 (40%) | 25 (50%) |
| On Late Downs | 8 (47%) | 4 (33%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 4 (31%) | 4 (40%) |
| Early Downs | 57 | 50 |
| First Downs Created | 11 (19%) | 11 (22%) |
| EPA | -11.60 | 17.99 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | 0.36 |
| Passes | 37 (65%) | 13 (26%) |
| Rushes | 20 (35%) | 37 (74%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 15 (41%) | 8 (62%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 8 (40%) | 17 (46%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 13 | 10 |
| EPA | -9.32 | 2.57 |
| EPA/play | -0.72 | 0.26 |
| Passes | 5 (38%) | 3 (30%) |
| Rushes | 8 (62%) | 7 (70%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 1 (20%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 3 (38%) | 4 (57%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 13 | 14 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 26 | Own 34 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.73 | 6.97 |
| Yards/Drive | 30.99 | 43.81 |
| Available Yards % | 42% | 66% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 74 |
| Stop Rate | 23% | 68% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 7 (11%) | 16 (22%) |
| Passing | 2 (10%) | 10 (21%) |
| Rushing | 5 (12%) | 6 (22%) |
| TFLs Generated | 7 | 14 |
| Passing | 2 | 10 |
| Rushing | 5 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (5%) | 8 (17%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 2 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -4 | 4 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -2.0 | 2.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -10.0 | 10.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 14 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -4.4 | 0.15 |
| Field Goal EPA | -2.4 | 1.61 |
| Punting EPA | -0.19 | -2.25 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -1.8 | 0.79 |
North Carolina [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Sam Howell | 25/39, 306 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 8 Scks, 41.1 xQBR, 0.51 DETMER | 6.51 | 0.14 | 6.56 | 40% | 27.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| D.J. Jones | 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Ty Chandler | 17 carries, 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.82 | -0.22 | -3.80 | 35% | -6.0% | |
| Sam Howell | 8 carries, 61 yds, 1 TD, 3 Fum (3 lost) | 7.62 | -1.26 | -10.07 | 62% | -27.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Emery Simmons | 3 catches (6 targets), 110 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 36.67 | 1.58 | 9.46 | 50% | 8.0% | |
| Kamari Morales | 7 catches (7 targets), 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.43 | 0.62 | 4.36 | 71% | 16.0% | |
| Josh Downs | 8 catches (13 targets), 53 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.62 | 0.19 | 2.49 | 38% | 11.0% | |
| Ty Chandler | 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| D.J. Jones | 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 50% | -3.0% | |
| Antoine Green | 2 catches (5 targets), 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 40% | 2.0% | |
| Khafre Brown | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.53 | -0.53 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Garrett Walston | 2 catches (4 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.50 | -0.26 | -1.03 | 25% | -2.0% | |
Georgia Tech [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Jeff Sims | 10/13, 112 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 88.6 xQBR, 0.14 DETMER | 8.62 | 0.57 | 7.41 | 62% | 7.0% | |
| Jordan Yates | 3/6, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 30.9 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 3.00 | -0.70 | -4.93 | 29% | -6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jeff Sims | 10 carries, 128 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.80 | 1.21 | 12.07 | 70% | 15.0% | |
| Dontae Smith | 6 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.67 | 0.24 | 1.45 | 67% | 4.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | 0.30 | 0.61 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Jordan Yates | 3 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.67 | 0.14 | 0.42 | 33% | -1.0% | |
| Jordan Mason | 8 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.25 | -0.09 | -0.71 | 25% | 0.0% | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 13 carries, 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.92 | -0.15 | -1.90 | 31% | -7.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Malachi Carter | 3 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | 1.59 | 4.78 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Kyric McGowan | 3 catches (6 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 0.26 | 1.57 | 33% | 2.0% | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.72 | 1.44 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Nate McCollum | 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.33 | 0.65 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| Kalani Norris | 1 catch (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | -0.18 | -0.54 | 33% | -3.0% | |
| Dontae Smith | 2 catches (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.50 | -0.69 | -1.38 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Dylan Leonard | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.42 | -1.42 | 0% | -2.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 11:50 | |
(3rd & 18 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 63 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 | 7.71 | 1.6% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 6 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - -2.55 = 7.71 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.55) Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 3.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 | -7.12 | 89.1% | -10.2% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -6.20 | 86.6% | -14.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 | 5.59 | 99.5% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59 Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 | 3.95 | 2.9% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47 Sam Howell fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie Thomas , return for 0 yards - UNC 22, GT 38 | -3.73 | 0.7% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 53 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - 1.70 = -3.73 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.30) Score Difference (End): 16 (18.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 | 3.52 | 92.4% | 6.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 | 3.45 | 56.9% | 4.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 1 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.50 - 3.06 = 3.45 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.06) Score Difference (End): 6 (12.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 11:25 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -3.41 | 55.6% | -11.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(4th & 3 at UNC 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 8 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 | 3.05 | 88.2% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 1.45 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.45) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 3:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -6.20 | 86.6% | -14.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:50 | |
(2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 | 2.17 | 11.5% | 12.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:25 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -3.41 | 55.6% | -11.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 | 3.95 | 2.9% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 | -7.12 | 89.1% | -10.2% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:53 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.51 | 62.0% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:41 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 | 2.44 | 28.5% | 8.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 | 3.52 | 92.4% | 6.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 4:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 28) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 21 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 | 2.11 | 9.1% | 5.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.33 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.67) Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 | 2.87 | 87.7% | 5.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 | 2.87 | 87.7% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:21 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 17) Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 3 | 0.44 | 12.9% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.56 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.44) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 15.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:34 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 15) Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.40 | 17.0% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.40) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:41 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 | 2.44 | 28.5% | 8.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:53 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.51 | 62.0% | 9.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:39 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 4) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 27 | 1.33 | 91.2% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.67) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:50 | |
(2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 | 2.17 | 11.5% | 12.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 | 3.52 | 92.4% | 6.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 | 3.95 | 2.9% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:07 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 14) Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOOD - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.76 | 98.2% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.24) Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 | 5.59 | 99.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59 Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 0, GT 0 | 0.00 | 82.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.7% Win Probability (After): 82.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.22 | 85.7% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.05 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:28 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 29) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 | -1.07 | 85.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.99 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:05 | |
(3rd & 6 at UNC 29) Sam Howell run for 16 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, GT 0 | 2.57 | 84.1% | 3.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 55 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - -0.05 = 2.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for no gain to the NCaro 45 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.64 | 87.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.52 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.94 | 87.4% | -2.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.86 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:17 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNC 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 | -1.65 | 86.2% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.89 = -1.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:09 | |
(4th & 10 at UNC 45) Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 5 yds to the GTech 19 - UNC 0, GT 0 | 0.03 | 85.5% | -5.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 81 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - -0.76 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.5% Win Probability (After): 80.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:45 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 19) Jordan Yates run for 4 yds to the GTech 23 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.27 | 20.5% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 77 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.78 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.5% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 23) Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the GTech 26 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.44 | 17.5% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.54 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:50 | |
(3rd & 3 at GT 26) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 28 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -1.26 | 15.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - 0.02 = -1.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:26 | |
(4th & 1 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt blocked by Giovanni Biggers - UNC 0, GT 0 | -2.27 | 14.1% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Blocked Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 40 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.56 - -1.29 = -2.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:15 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 40) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.65 | 90.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.56 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 40) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 14 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, GT 0 | 1.30 | 86.6% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 3.02 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 26) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the GTech 23 - UNC 0, GT 0 | -0.28 | 87.8% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.37 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 23) Sam Howell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, GT 0 | 2.87 | 87.7% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.13 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:23 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 0 | 0.00 | 6.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:54 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Jordan Yates run for 1 yd to the GTech 26 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.50 | 6.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.02 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.98) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:25 | |
(2nd & 9 at GT 26) Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 0 | 0.09 | 7.0% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.47 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.47) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:35 | |
(3rd & 4 at GT 31) Jordan Yates sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 20 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -2.62 | 6.5% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 80 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - -0.46 = -2.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:18 | |
(4th & 15 at GT 20) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds to the NCaro 27, Josh Downs returns for 7 yds to the NCaro 34 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ja'Qurious Conley) to the NCaro 19 - UNC 7, GT 0 | 1.15 | 5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 81 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -3.16 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.93) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.5% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 19) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 22 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.40 | 94.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 78 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.90 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.0% Win Probability (After): 93.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:35 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNC 22) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 14 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 | 1.37 | 94.1% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 64 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.47 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.47) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:05 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 36) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.08 | 95.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.93 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.93) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 95.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 | 0.62 | 94.1% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 2.87 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:45 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 48) Sam Howell sacked by Quez Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 47 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.96 | 94.0% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 53 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 3.44 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.0% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:10 | |
(2nd & 11 at UNC 47) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 45 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -1.11 | 93.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 55 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.47 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.47) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:40 | |
(3rd & 13 at UNC 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 12 yards to the NCaro 33 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -1.82 | 93.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 67 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 1.35 = -1.82 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.6% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:23 | |
(4th & 25 at UNC 33) Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyric McGowan at the GTech 20 - UNC 7, GT 0 | 0.77 | 92.4% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 80 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.46 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.54) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:58 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 20) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 29 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 | 2.14 | 8.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 51 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - -0.31 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.31) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 9.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:15 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 49) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.24 | 10.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.82 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.18) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.3% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNC 48) Jordan Yates run for 9 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 | 1.19 | 10.1% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.61 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.1% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:39 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Yates, Jordan pass incomplete to McGowan, Kyric, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Conley, Ja'Qurious) 15 yards to the UNC24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. - UNC 7, GT 0 | 1.06 | 11.4% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 24 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 2.80 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.20) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the NCaro 23 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.41 | 12.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.86 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.8% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:53 | |
(2nd & 9 at UNC 23) Jordan Yates pass complete to Kalani Norris for 13 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 0 | 1.49 | 13.2% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 3.45 = 1.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.55) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 14.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:18 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 10) Yates, Jordan pass incomplete to Gibbs, Jahmyr, PENALTY GATECH holding (Williams, Jordan) 10 yards to the UNC20, NO PLAY. - UNC 7, GT 0 | -1.14 | 16.4% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 20 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 4.96 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 13.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:38 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 20) Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 24 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -1.44 | 16.1% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 24 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 4.05 = -1.44 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.95) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.1% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the NCaro 24 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.75 | 13.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.87 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.8% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 24) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the NCaro 16 - UNC 7, GT 0 | -0.32 | 12.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 16 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.60 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.3% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:21 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 17) Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 3 | 0.44 | 12.9% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.56 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.44) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 15.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:21 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 3 | 0.00 | 89.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.55 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.55) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 89.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to NCaro 33, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Quez Jackson , return for 23 yds to the NCaro 10 - UNC 7, GT 3 | -7.12 | 89.1% | -10.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.60 - 1.52 = -7.12 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:50 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 10) Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the NCaro 9 - UNC 7, GT 3 | -0.50 | 20.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 5.05 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.05) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:42 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 9) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - UNC 7, GT 3 | -0.88 | 19.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 4.60 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.60) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 18.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:42 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 9) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 13:42 - UNC 7, GT 3 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 3.73 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.27) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.4% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:42 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 9) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Cochran) to the NCaro 14 - UNC 7, GT 3 | -0.68 | 18.8% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.74 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.26) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 16.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:38 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 14) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - UNC 7, GT 3 | -1.15 | 18.8% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 3.49 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.51) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:34 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 15) Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOOD - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.40 | 17.0% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.40) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:34 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.00 | 85.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 85.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 23 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -1.12 | 86.0% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 1.20 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.20) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.0% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:35 | |
(2nd & 12 at UNC 23) Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 12 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 | 1.84 | 83.8% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 65 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 0.19 = 1.84 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.19) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.8% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:07 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 35) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 36 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 | 2.04 | 85.4% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 29 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 2.05 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.05) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.4% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:43 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 29) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.53 | 87.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.02 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.02) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 87.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:01 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 29) Sam Howell sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 13 yards to the GTech 42 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -2.44 | 87.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 42 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 3.45 = -2.44 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:40 | |
(3rd & 23 at GT 42) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 11 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.06 | 84.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 0.97 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.97) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:05 | |
(4th & 12 at GT 31) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Ed Montilus) to the GTech 36 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.73 | 84.1% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 36 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.07 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:56 | |
(4th & 17 at GT 36) Grayson Atkins 53 yd FG MISSED - UNC 7, GT 6 | -2.40 | 83.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 0.34 = -2.40 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.34) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.5% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:56 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 36) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Cochran) to the GTech 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.66 | 18.2% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69 Started Drive at: GT 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.99 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:40 | |
(1st & 15 at GT 31) Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 36 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.19 | 16.3% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: GT 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.28 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.3% Win Probability (After): 18.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 36) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 38 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.51 | 16.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62 Started Drive at: GT 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.35 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.35) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:59 | |
(3rd & 8 at GT 38) Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard - UNC 7, GT 6 | -1.42 | 15.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: GT 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 0.71 = -1.42 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:53 | |
(4th & 8 at GT 38) David Shanahan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 25 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.44 | 13.3% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - -0.71 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.71) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 14.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.01 | 85.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 1.13 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.13) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 85.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNC 30) Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.60 | 85.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.12 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.4% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:30 | |
(3rd & 4 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 | 1.37 | 84.2% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.42 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.42) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:51 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 37) Ty Chandler run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 31 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -1.33 | 84.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 1.80 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.80) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:30 | |
(2nd & 16 at UNC 31) Sam Howell sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ja'Quon Griffin) to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 | 1.58 | 82.5% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 0.48 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.5% Win Probability (After): 84.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 42) Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 46 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.02 | 85.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.89 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.89) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 46) Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the GTech 49 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.40 | 84.9% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.55 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.55) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:15 | |
(3rd & 1 at GT 49) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the GTech 49 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -1.52 | 87.8% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 2.05 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.05) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:45 | |
(4th & 1 at GT 49) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 6 | 2.01 | 85.3% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 0.62 = 2.01 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.62) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:35 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.32 | 87.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.32 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.32) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 46) Sam Howell run for no gain to the GTech 46, Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Djimon Brooks, recovered by GTech Demetrius Knight II , return for 37 yds to the NCaro 17 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -6.20 | 86.6% | -14.6% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 17 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.39 - 1.81 = -6.20 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.81) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 17) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the NCaro 16 - UNC 7, GT 6 | -0.32 | 28.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: UNC 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 4.34 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.34) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:00 | |
(2nd & 9 at UNC 16) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonathan Adorno) to the NCaro 11 - UNC 7, GT 6 | 0.65 | 28.1% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11 Started Drive at: UNC 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.01 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.01) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:41 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 11) Jeff Sims run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 13 | 2.44 | 28.5% | 8.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.56 = 2.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.56) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:41 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 62 yds , Caleb Hood return for 18 yds to the NCaro 21 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.77 | 65.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.97 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.03) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 64.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:08 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 21) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 27 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.11 | 64.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 0.99 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.01) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 64.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:50 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 27) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.13 | 64.9% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.85 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:35 | |
(3rd & 1 at UNC 30) Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.70 | 63.4% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.48 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.52) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 65.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 32) Howell, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC holding (Anderson, Brian) 10 yards to the UNC22, NO PLAY. - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.73 | 61.1% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.05 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.95) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.1% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:00 | |
(1st & 20 at UNC 22) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 16 yds to the NCaro 38 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.84 | 57.6% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 62 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.31 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.69) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.6% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 38) Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 34 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.38 | 63.2% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.87 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(3rd & 8 at UNC 34) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 00:45 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.50 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.50) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:31 | |
(3rd & 8 at UNC 34) Sam Howell sacked by Kyle Kennard and Charlie Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 26 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.73 | 57.7% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 0.36 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.64) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.7% Win Probability (After): 52.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:31 | |
(4th & 16 at UNC 26) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:31 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.37 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.37) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(4th & 16 at UNC 26) Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 3 yds to the GTech 27 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.34 | 53.3% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73 Started Drive at: UNC 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -0.06 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.06) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.3% Win Probability (After): 58.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 27) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 25 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.03 | 40.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.03 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.03) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.7% Win Probability (After): 40.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 40.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:40 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.04 | 41.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.52 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.52) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.0% Win Probability (After): 40.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 30) Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.66 | 40.0% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 1.68 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.68) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:55 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 37) Jeff Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 35 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -1.00 | 43.3% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.35 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.35) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.3% Win Probability (After): 38.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:32 | |
(2nd & 12 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.99 | 42.5% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.35 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.5% Win Probability (After): 38.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:25 | |
(3rd & 12 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 | -1.00 | 40.0% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 0.34 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 6 (5.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 37.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:16 | |
(4th & 12 at GT 35) David Shanahan punt for 44 yds , Josh Downs returns for 11 yds to the NCaro 32 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.70 | 39.2% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.67 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.33) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.63) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.2% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 32) Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.81 | 63.1% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.39 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.1% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:30 | |
(2nd & 1 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.73 | 64.3% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.20 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.80) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.3% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at UNC 41) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 41 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -1.67 | 63.4% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.42 = -1.67 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.58) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:32 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 41) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 11:32 - UNC 7, GT 13 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.25) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.5% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:25 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 41) Sam Howell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 39 - UNC 7, GT 13 | -3.41 | 55.6% | -11.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 39 Started Drive at: UNC 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -0.31 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.31) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:19 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - UNC 7, GT 13 | -0.67 | 58.1% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.72 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.72) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 57.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 13 | 3.45 | 56.9% | 4.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 1 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.50 - 3.06 = 3.45 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.06) Score Difference (End): 6 (12.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 10:53 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 1) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction, declined, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.51 | 62.0% | 9.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.49 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.49) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 10:53 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.11 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.89) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.3% Win Probability (After): 33.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 7, GT 20 | -0.05 | 34.0% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.06 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.94) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.0% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:10 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 29) Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 30 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Tucker) to the NCaro 20 - UNC 7, GT 20 | -1.33 | 30.1% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.17 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.99) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 28.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:25 | |
(2nd & 15 at UNC 20) Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the NCaro 33 - UNC 7, GT 20 | 1.17 | 26.5% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 67 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -1.23 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.23) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:05 | |
(3rd & 2 at UNC 33) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 1 yd to the NCaro 34 - UNC 7, GT 20 | -0.99 | 28.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - 0.15 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.85) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.8% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:29 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 34) Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Kyric McGowan returns for 3 yds to the GTech 19 - UNC 7, GT 20 | -0.64 | 25.9% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 81 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.96 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.96) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.9% Win Probability (After): 22.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 19) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 24 - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.01 | 76.9% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.65 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.65) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.9% Win Probability (After): 77.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 7:45 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 16 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 | 1.16 | 75.8% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.64 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.64) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 78.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 7:25 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 40) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.64 | 79.2% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.67 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.67) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.2% Win Probability (After): 77.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 7:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 49) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the NCaro 45 - UNC 7, GT 20 | -0.34 | 79.2% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.30 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.30) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.2% Win Probability (After): 79.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 6:37 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 45) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.78 | 80.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 37 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.06 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.06) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 79.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 28 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 20 | 1.62 | 85.0% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 9 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.51 - 3.89 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.89) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:45 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 9) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the NCaro 4 - UNC 7, GT 20 | 0.14 | 90.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 5.54 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.54) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 20 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:39 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 4) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 7, GT 27 | 1.33 | 91.2% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.67) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:39 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, GT 27 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.48) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.6% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 11 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 | 1.02 | 8.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -0.49 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.49) Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 8.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:03 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 36) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 31 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 | 2.71 | 8.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 33 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.52 = 2.71 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.48) Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 33) D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 - UNC 7, GT 27 | 0.13 | 9.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 28 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.22 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.78) Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 28) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 21 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, GT 27 | 2.11 | 9.1% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.33 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.67) Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:56 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 7, GT 27 | -0.61 | 13.3% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.45 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-14.55) Score Difference (End): -20 (-15.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, GT 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 12.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:50 | |
(2nd & Goal at GT 7) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 14, GT 27 | 2.17 | 11.5% | 12.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-15.17) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:50 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 14, GT 27 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.90) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the GTech 29 - UNC 14, GT 27 | -0.07 | 86.4% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.92 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.92) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.4% Win Probability (After): 82.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 2:55 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 31 - UNC 14, GT 27 | -0.47 | 86.8% | -4.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.88 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.88) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 2:00 | |
(3rd & 4 at GT 31) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 12 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 | 1.51 | 86.5% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.43 = 1.51 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.43) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.5% Win Probability (After): 88.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:20 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 43) Jeff Sims run for 15 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 | 0.66 | 88.7% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.98 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.98) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.7% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 42) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 40 - UNC 14, GT 27 | -0.40 | 89.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.64 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.64) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 88.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNC 40) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38 - UNC 14, GT 27 | -0.66 | 89.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 3.19 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.19) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:40 | |
(3rd & 6 at UNC 38) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the NCaro 35 - UNC 14, GT 27 | -1.10 | 87.5% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.53 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.53) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 86.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:19 | |
(4th & 3 at UNC 35) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 14:19 - UNC 14, GT 27 | 0.00 | 88.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.44 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.44) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.3% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(4th & 3 at UNC 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 8 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 27 | 3.05 | 88.2% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 1.45 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.45) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 27 yds for a TD, (Peje' Harris pass to Dylan Leonard for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 14, GT 35 | 3.52 | 92.4% | 6.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.48 = 3.52 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.48) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:52 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 14, GT 35 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -1.24 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.24) Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:25 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 31 - UNC 14, GT 35 | 0.31 | 2.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - -1.26 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.26) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 2.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for 8 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 | 0.81 | 2.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.98 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.98) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:54 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 14, GT 35 | -0.70 | 2.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.16 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.16) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 31 - UNC 14, GT 35 | -1.87 | 2.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.66 - -0.79 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.79) Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:50 | |
(3rd & 18 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 63 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST down - UNC 14, GT 35 | 7.71 | 1.6% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 6 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - -2.55 = 7.71 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.55) Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 3.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:37 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 6) D.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the GTech 4 - UNC 14, GT 35 | -0.06 | 3.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 5.09 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-15.91) Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.5% Win Probability (After): 3.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(2nd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 14, GT 35 | -1.07 | 3.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.99 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.01) Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 14, GT 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.2% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 4) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Howell pass to Cayden Baker for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 22, GT 35 | 3.95 | 2.9% | 10.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.05 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 14 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 61 yds - UNC 22, GT 35 | 0.79 | 91.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.86 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.86) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:40 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 35) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 37 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -0.44 | 92.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.59 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.59) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:44 | |
(2nd & 8 at GT 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 5 yds to the GTech 42 - UNC 22, GT 35 | 0.40 | 93.3% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.58 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.58) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.3% Win Probability (After): 92.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:44 | |
(3rd & 3 at GT 42) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 09:44 - UNC 22, GT 35 | 0.00 | 93.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.98 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.98) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:38 | |
(3rd & 3 at GT 42) Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 | 1.08 | 93.7% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.55 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.55) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.7% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 49) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -0.18 | 96.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.54 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.54) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNC 48) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -0.25 | 95.4% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.10 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.10) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:40 | |
(3rd & 4 at UNC 45) Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 | 1.43 | 94.8% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 1.83 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.83) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34 - UNC 22, GT 35 | 0.03 | 96.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.40 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.40) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.9% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:10 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNC 34) Jordan Mason run for 29 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 35 | 2.22 | 97.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 5 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 3.50 = 2.22 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.50) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.4% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:45 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 5) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 3 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -0.08 | 98.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 5.65 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.65) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:15 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 3) Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 4 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -1.18 | 98.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 4 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 5.55 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.55) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 98.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 4) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 8 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -1.78 | 98.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 8 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 4.41 = -1.78 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.41) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:09 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 8) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 13 - UNC 22, GT 35 | -0.19 | 98.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 13 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.50 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.50) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 35 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:07 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 14) Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOOD - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.76 | 98.2% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13 Started Drive at: GT 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.24) Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 35 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:07 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Ty Chandler return for 19 yds to the NCaro 19 - UNC 22, GT 38 | -1.03 | 1.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.52 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.48) Score Difference (End): -16 (-16.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 19) Howell, Sam pass incomplete to Downs, Josh, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Morales, Kamari) 9 yards to the UNC10, NO PLAY. - UNC 22, GT 38 | -0.77 | 1.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 90 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.29 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.71) Score Difference (End): -16 (-16.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:41 | |
(1st & 19 at UNC 10) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 14 yds to the NCaro 24 - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.73 | 0.8% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 76 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - -0.47 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-16.47) Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 1.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:27 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNC 24) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 16 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 38 | 1.40 | 1.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 0.28 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.72) Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 1.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 40) Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NCaro 48 - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.31 | 1.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.63 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.37) Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(2nd & 2 at UNC 48) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 22, GT 38 | -0.52 | 1.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.81 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.19) Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:23 | |
(3rd & 2 at UNC 48) Sam Howell run for 7 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.81 | 0.8% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.32 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.68) Score Difference (End): -16 (-13.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 1.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:17 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston - UNC 22, GT 38 | -0.47 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.14 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-13.86) Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 45) Sam Howell sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47 Sam Howell fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie Thomas , return for 0 yards - UNC 22, GT 38 | -3.73 | 0.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 53 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - 1.70 = -3.73 Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.30) Score Difference (End): 16 (18.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:20 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 47) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - UNC 22, GT 38 | 0.11 | 99.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: GT 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.57 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.57) Score Difference (End): 16 (17.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at 50) Jeff Sims run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - UNC 22, GT 45 | 5.59 | 99.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.41 = 5.59 Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.41) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - UNC 22, GT 45 | 0.00 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 0.57 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.43) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 22, GT 45 | -0.19 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.58 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.42) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:02 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons - UNC 22, GT 45 | -0.21 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.31 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.69) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:22 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 20 - UNC 22, GT 45 | -0.46 | 0.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.05 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.95) Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:15 | |
(4th & 15 at UNC 20) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 22, GT 45 | -2.58 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 20 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -0.05 = -2.58 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.05) Score Difference (End): 23 (25.64) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 20) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 22 - UNC 22, GT 45 | 0.63 | 99.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 22 Started Drive at: UNC 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.04 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 23 (24.04) Score Difference (End): 23 (24.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 22, GT 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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