Wake Forest 70 @ Army 56

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.62 | Odds: WAKE -3, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 6195
Total EPA 42.3841.15
  Offensive EPA 42.0238.57
  Special Teams EPA 0.850.02
  Penalty EPA 0.969.07
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.45-6.51
Production ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 5283
  Yards 657710
  Yards/Play 12.638.55
  EPA 42.0238.57
  EPA/Play 0.810.46
Passes 29 (56%)14 (17%)
  Yards 458179
  Yards/Play 15.7912.79
  EPA 30.7310.37
  EPA/Play 1.060.74
Rushes 23 (44%)69 (83%)
  Yards 184422
  Yards/Play 8.006.12
  EPA 11.2928.19
  EPA/Play 0.490.41
Rushing ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 5283
Rushes 23 (44%)69 (83%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (9%)8 (12%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (50%)7 (88%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (13%)10 (14%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 9 (39%)26 (38%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (57%)34 (49%)
OL Line Yards 36129.4
  Per Carry 1.571.88
Highlight Yards 88173.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 6.775.10
Explosiveness ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 6195
Scrimmage Plays 5283
Explosive Plays 9 (17%)13 (16%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 5 (17%)5 (36%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 4 (17%)8 (12%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 4.38-9.31
  EPA/Play 0.10-0.13
  When Passing 5.17-11.20
    EPA/Play 0.18-0.80
  When Rushing -0.791.89
    EPA/Play -0.040.03
Situational ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 28 (54%)44 (53%)
  When Passing 17 (59%)8 (57%)
  When Rushing 11 (48%)36 (52%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (50%)33 (54%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (70%)11 (50%)
  On Early Downs 20 (47%)31 (50%)
  On Late Downs 8 (89%)13 (62%)
  During "Middle 8" 5 (45%)6 (67%)
Early Downs 4362
  First Downs Created 10 (23%)11 (18%)
  EPA 25.5226.53
  EPA/Play 0.590.43
  Passes 26 (60%)9 (15%)
  Rushes 17 (40%)53 (85%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 14 (54%)6 (67%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 6 (35%)25 (47%)
"Middle 8" Plays 119
  EPA 4.5910.10
  EPA/play 0.421.12
  Passes 7 (64%)0 (0%)
  Rushes 4 (36%)9 (100%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (57%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (25%)6 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Total 1112
Avg Starting Field Position Own 27Own 28
Plays/Drive 6.319.07
Yards/Drive 68.2359.96
Available Yards % 94%84%
Defensive ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 8352
Stop Rate 17%8%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (7%)1 (2%)
  Passing 2 (14%)1 (3%)
  Rushing 4 (6%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 41
  Passing 11
  Rushing 30
Sacks Generated 1 (7%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Turnovers 12
  Fumbles 13
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 02
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 2.02.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 3.9-3.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 9 12
Total EPA 0.85 0.02
  Field Goal EPA 0 0
  Punting EPA 0 -0.35
  Kickoff Return EPA 0.85 0.37

Wake Forest [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Sam Hartman 23/29, 458 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 89.6 xQBR 15.79 1.06 30.73 59% 90.0%
Rush attempts
Christian Beal-Smith 8 carries, 71 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.88 0.64 5.12 50% 8.0%
Justice Ellison 5 carries, 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.20 1.00 5.02 40% -2.0%
Christian Turner 5 carries, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.60 0.38 1.91 40% 7.0%
TEAM 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 0.74 0.74 100% 0.0%
Sam Hartman 4 carries, 22 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.50 -0.37 -1.50 50% -4.0%
Pass targets
Jaquarii Roberson 8 catches (10 targets), 157 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.62 1.25 12.55 50% 45.0%
A.T. Perry 6 catches (9 targets), 146 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.33 1.06 9.57 56% 26.0%
Ke'Shawn Williams 2 catches (2 targets), 93 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 46.50 2.94 5.87 100% 12.0%
Taylor Morin 1 catch (1 target), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 1.45 1.45 100% 4.0%
Christian Beal-Smith 3 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.32 0.95 67% 4.0%
Donald Stewart 2 catches (3 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.12 0.36 67% 0.0%
Justice Ellison 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.01 -0.01 0% -1.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jabari Laws 9/11, 140 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 97.2 xQBR 11.67 1.28 15.32 58% 26.0%
Christian Anderson 1/1, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 88.3 xQBR 39.00 3.21 3.21 100% -8.0%
Cade Ballard 0/1, 0 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 10.9 xQBR 0.00 -8.16 -8.16 0% -19.0%
Rush attempts
Tyhier Tyler 15 carries, 104 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 6.93 0.59 8.91 53% 19.0%
Tyrell Robinson 11 carries, 98 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.91 0.67 7.37 73% 13.0%
Anthony Adkins 10 carries, 93 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.30 0.60 6.02 40% 11.0%
Brandon Walters 4 carries, 40 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.41 5.66 75% 11.0%
Jakobi Buchanan 7 carries, 14 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 0.50 3.51 71% 18.0%
A.J. Howard 4 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.35 1.40 75% 2.0%
Reikan Donaldson 1 carry, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.85 0.85 100% 0.0%
Tyson Riley 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.79 0.79 100% 2.0%
Cade Barnard 4 carries, 16 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.00 0.00 0.02 50% 2.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -0.01 -0.01 0% 2.0%
Braheam Murphy 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.02 -0.02 0% 0.0%
Christian Anderson 1 carry, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -4.00 -1.55 -1.55 0% -2.0%
Jabari Laws 9 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 2.22 -0.53 -4.76 11% 1.0%
Pass targets
Isaiah Alston 6 catches (6 targets), 107 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.83 2.71 16.26 100% 23.0%
Brandon Walters 1 catch (1 target), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 39.00 3.21 3.21 100% -8.0%
Tyrell Robinson 3 catches (4 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.41 1.64 25% 7.0%
Braheam Murphy 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.52 -0.52 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 5 at WAKE 28) Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 -8.16 24.3% -18.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.16 = -8.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 130 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Anthony Adkins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 35 7.69 6.7% 14.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.69 = 7.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 6.86 56.2% 24.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 9 at WAKE 21) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 5.80 7.2% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.20 = 5.80

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 39) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 39 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 56 5.23 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.77 = 5.23

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 46) Justice Ellison run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 4.99 99.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.01 = 4.99

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 63 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 54 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 4.85 63.7% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 4.84 83.4% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.16 = 4.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 42 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 4.81 63.9% 14.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.19 = 4.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 5) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 50 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 4.19 57.4% 9.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 45

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - -1.03 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 6.86 56.2% 24.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at ARMY 3) ARMY Penalty, Personal Foul (Malkelm Morrison) to the 50 yard line - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -3.35 84.7% -20.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 50

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 5.03 = -3.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 5 at WAKE 28) Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 -8.16 24.3% -18.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.16 = -8.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 130 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 54 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 4.85 63.7% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 4.81 63.9% 14.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.19 = 4.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Anthony Adkins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 35 7.69 6.7% 14.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.69 = 7.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 24) Tyhier Tyler run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 3.63 26.0% 13.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 9 at WAKE 21) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 5.80 7.2% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.20 = 5.80

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 4.84 83.4% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.16 = 4.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 42 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 13) Christian Beal-Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 2.81 72.8% 9.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.19 = 2.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at ARMY 3) Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 2.22 69.8% 9.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.78 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.78)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:02 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & Goal at WAKE 6) Brandon Walters run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 3.09 28.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 4.81 63.9% 14.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.19 = 4.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:55 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 3) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 1.67 32.0% 7.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.33 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 54 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 4.85 63.7% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 24) Tyhier Tyler run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 3.63 26.0% 13.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 13) Christian Beal-Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 2.81 72.8% 9.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.19 = 2.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at WAKE 1) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 28, ARMY 28 0.91 39.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.09 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 6.86 56.2% 24.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 5 at WAKE 28) Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 -8.16 24.3% -18.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.16 = -8.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 130 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Anthony Adkins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 35 7.69 6.7% 14.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.69 = 7.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 4.84 83.4% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.16 = 4.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 42 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 9 at WAKE 21) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 5.80 7.2% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.20 = 5.80

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 2) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 0.65 89.7% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 49 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 3.42 7.5% 8.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.58 = 3.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 8) Sam Hartman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 1.50 93.6% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.50 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.50)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 56 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 46) Justice Ellison run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 4.99 99.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.01 = 4.99

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 63 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 39) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 39 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 56 5.23 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.77 = 5.23

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 55 yds , Christian Beal-Smith return for 27 yds to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 0.97 55.2% 2.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.86 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:40 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 37) Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42 - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -0.03 65.7% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.99 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 17 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 1.45 65.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 41

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 2.07 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:45 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 12 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kwabena Bonsu) to the Army 14 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 1.44 67.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 14

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 3.50 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 14) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 5 yds to the Army 9 - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -0.07 70.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 4.97 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:05 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 5 at ARMY 9) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Army 7 - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -0.54 72.1% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.98 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:45 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at ARMY 7) ARMY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andre Carter II) to the Army 3 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 1.61 70.1% 3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 3

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 4.53 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 3) Christian Turner run for no gain to the Army 3 - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -0.48 72.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.71 - 6.19 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:00 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & Goal at ARMY 3) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -1.05 71.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 5.78 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at ARMY 3) Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 2.22 69.8% 9.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.78 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.78)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at ARMY 3) ARMY Penalty, Personal Foul (Malkelm Morrison) to the 50 yard line - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 -3.35 84.7% -20.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 50

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 5.03 = -3.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at 50) Ivan Mora kickoff for 50 yds for a touchback - WAKE 0, ARMY 0 0.00 42.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.10 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 39 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ja'Sir Taylor) to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 3.21 39.8% -7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 21

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 1.09 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:10 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 21) Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 19 - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 -0.47 30.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 4.31 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 19) Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 -0.06 28.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 3.82 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:50 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 16) Brandon Walters run for 8 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 1.42 28.2% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 8

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 3.82 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:15 ESPN team id 349 (1st & Goal at WAKE 8) Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 6 - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 -0.39 31.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 5.25 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:10 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at WAKE 6) Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 6 - WAKE 7, ARMY 0 -0.94 31.5% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 4.85 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:02 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & Goal at WAKE 6) Brandon Walters run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 3.09 28.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:02 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 62 yds , Nasir Greer return for no gain to the WFrst 3 - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 -1.62 62.4% -3.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 97

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 1.04 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:45 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 3) Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 5 - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 -0.45 59.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 95

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.57 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 5) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 50 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 4.19 57.4% 9.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 45

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - -1.03 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 45) Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Army 41 - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 -0.08 65.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 41

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 3.19 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:53 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald Stewart - WAKE 7, ARMY 7 -0.95 65.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.13 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at ARMY 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 4.81 63.9% 14.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.19 = 4.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.00 23.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - -0.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:10 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the Army 25 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.56 23.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.02 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:49 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 21 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -1.55 22.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 79

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - -0.60 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 14 at ARMY 21) Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 2 yds to the Army 23 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.86 20.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -2.15 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:53 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 12 at ARMY 23) Zach Harding punt for 31 yds, downed at the WFrst 46 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.35 18.8% -2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 54

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.34 - -3.00 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for no gain to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.60 84.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.37 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:10 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 43 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -1.50 83.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 57

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.78 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.78)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:40 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 13 at WAKE 43) Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the Army 45 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.68 81.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.27 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:30 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at ARMY 45) Sam Hartman run for no gain to the Army 45 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -3.50 82.1% -7.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - 1.93 = -3.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:10 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 45) Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 47 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.44 25.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.56 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:25 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at ARMY 47) Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.75 25.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 46

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.12 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 46) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.47 25.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 1.92 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:05 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 44) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.20 27.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 38

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 2.52 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:40 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at WAKE 38) Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.05 31.0% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.81 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 35) Jabari Laws run for no gain to the WFrst 35 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -1.13 27.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.82 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:35 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 1 at WAKE 35) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 1.71 23.8% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 1.77 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 33) Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 26 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.38 26.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.47 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 3 at WAKE 26) Tyhier Tyler run for 14 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.98 29.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 12

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 3.84 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WFrst 9 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 -0.26 33.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 4.87 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:10 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 9) Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the WFrst 3 - WAKE 14, ARMY 7 0.79 31.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 3

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 4.58 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:55 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 3) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 1.67 32.0% 7.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.33 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:55 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 63 yds , Ke'Shawn Williams return for 27 yds to the WFrst 29 - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 0.48 61.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.25 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:43 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 29) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 -0.71 62.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.66 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:25 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 14 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 1.54 59.7% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.92 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 43) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 3 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 14, ARMY 14 -0.30 64.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.46 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 46) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 54 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 4.85 63.7% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.00 23.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:48 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Timeout ARMY, clock 10:48 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.00 23.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.55 22.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.44 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:05 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 25) Reikan Donaldson run for 9 yds to the Army 34 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.85 22.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.11 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.89)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at ARMY 34) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.60 22.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 1.01 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 36) Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the Army 42 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.36 21.7% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.48 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at ARMY 42) Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.63 21.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.65 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:35 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 48) Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.09 23.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.19 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.81)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 48) A.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 43 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.07 23.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.31 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:30 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 43) Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 0.57 23.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.57 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 40) A.J. Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.24 24.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 2.94 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:10 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 9 at WAKE 39) Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.86 24.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.66 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 8 at WAKE 38) Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 6 yds to the WFrst 32 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.38 22.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.89 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.6%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:11 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at WAKE 32) Tyler, Tyhier rush for loss of 3 yards to the WAKEFOREST35, PENALTY WAKEFOREST 12 men on the field 6 yards to the WAKEFOREST26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 2.43 22.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 1.47 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 26) Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the WFrst 24 - WAKE 21, ARMY 14 -0.46 27.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.84 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 24) Tyhier Tyler run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 3.63 26.0% 13.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 62 yds , Ke'Shawn Williams return for 9 yds to the WFrst 12 - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.74 62.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 88

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.40 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 0.99 60.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 74

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.55 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:53 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 26) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.76 63.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.53 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:35 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 26) Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30 - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.47 60.3% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.89 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:02 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at WAKE 30) Hartman, Sam pass incomplete to Chapman, Brandon, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Smith, Arik) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST. - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 1.93 59.3% 5.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 0.59 = 1.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:59 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.44 65.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.57 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:40 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 1.45 64.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 37

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 1.97 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 37) Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for 3 yds to the Army 34 - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.01 69.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.22 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:52 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at ARMY 34) Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Army 32 - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.18 68.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.23 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 5 at ARMY 32) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 0.85 67.7% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 23

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 3.09 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:41 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 23) Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 15 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 1.02 71.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 8

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 3.91 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:41 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 8) WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Michael Jurgens) to the Army 13 - WAKE 21, ARMY 21 -0.68 75.1% -4.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 13

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.91 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 21, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 13) Christian Beal-Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 2.81 72.8% 9.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.19 = 2.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 0.00 22.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23 - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 -0.01 21.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.01 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 0.00 23.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyhier Tyler run for 22 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 1.58 24.3% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 53

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - -0.22 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:35 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 47) Brandon Walters run for 23 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 1.85 26.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 30

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 1.57 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:15 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 30) Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 -0.44 28.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.43 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:20 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 28) Tyrell Robinson run for 19 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST down - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 2.03 29.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 9

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 3.00 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 349 (1st & Goal at WAKE 9) Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the WFrst 1 - WAKE 28, ARMY 21 1.01 34.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 1

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.08 - 5.07 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at WAKE 1) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 28, ARMY 28 0.91 39.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.09 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Ke'Shawn Williams return for 13 yds to the WFrst 18 - WAKE 28, ARMY 28 -0.32 59.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.05 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:15 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 18) Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20 - WAKE 28, ARMY 28 -0.65 57.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 80

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.70 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:50 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 20) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 5 yds to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 28, ARMY 28 -0.18 56.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.16 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 28, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 6.86 56.2% 24.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 0.00 22.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 25 - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -0.41 21.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -0.19 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 28 - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -0.99 21.5% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - -0.55 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:11 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 7 at ARMY 28) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 29 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST down - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 3.91 19.2% 9.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 43

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - -1.37 = 3.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:46 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 43) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -0.52 28.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.43 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 43) Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST down - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 1.57 27.3% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 1.82 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 33) Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29 - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -0.23 29.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 29

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.41 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:07 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 29) Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Army Mason Kolinchak - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -1.37 28.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 31

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 3.24 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:25 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 8 at WAKE 31) Brandon Walters run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 35, ARMY 28 -0.70 25.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 28

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.90 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 35, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 5 at WAKE 28) Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 -8.16 24.3% -18.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.16 = -8.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 130 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 0.00 7.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - -0.45 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:52 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 29 - WAKE 42, ARMY 28 -0.13 7.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - -0.47 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.47)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Anthony Adkins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 42, ARMY 35 7.69 6.7% 14.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.69 = 7.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 42, ARMY 35 0.00 83.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.15 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 42, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 4.84 83.4% 11.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.16 = 4.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 42 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 0.00 7.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Army 34 - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 1.29 7.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - -0.53 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:10 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 1 at ARMY 34) Tyrell Robinson run for 13 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 0.58 8.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 53

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.75 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.25)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:06 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 47) ARMY Penalty, False Start (Connor Finucane) to the Army 42 - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 -0.97 8.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.32 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 15 at ARMY 42) Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 0.59 7.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 50

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.36 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.64)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.5%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:40 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 7 at 50) Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the 50 yard line - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 -0.96 7.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.95 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.05)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:11 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 7 at 50) Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Smenda Jr.) to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST down - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 3.27 6.9% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - -0.03 = 3.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:46 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 32) Robinson, Tyrell pass pass intercepted by Andersen, Nick at the WAKEFOREST5, Andersen, Nick return 0 yards to the WAKEFOREST5, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding (Taylor, Ja'Sir) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 0.76 9.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 22

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.29 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:25 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 22) Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21 - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 -0.61 10.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 21

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 4.07 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:31 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 9 at WAKE 21) Jabari Laws sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 -2.05 10.3% -2.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 25

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 3.47 = -2.05

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 13 at WAKE 25) Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the WFrst 21 - WAKE 49, ARMY 35 -0.02 7.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 21

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.36 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.64)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 9 at WAKE 21) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 5.80 7.2% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.20 = 5.80

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 0.00 84.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Christian Beal-Smith run for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 0.97 84.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 2.15 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:55 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 9 yds to the Army 49 - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 0.78 86.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 3.05 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 1 at ARMY 49) Christian Turner run for no gain to the Army 49 - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 -0.69 87.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.80 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:45 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 1 at ARMY 49) Christian Turner run for 18 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST down - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 1.39 86.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 31

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.09 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:28 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 31) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 8 yds to the Army 23 - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 0.52 89.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 23

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 4.44 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:22 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 2 at ARMY 23) Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 -0.63 89.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.94 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:55 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 2 at ARMY 23) Christian Beal-Smith run for 21 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down - WAKE 49, ARMY 42 2.06 87.9% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 2

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.38 - 4.32 = 2.06

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 49, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 49 (49) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 2) Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 0.65 89.7% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 49 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 0.00 6.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:37 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 25 ARMY Penalty, Illegal Shift (Brandon Walters) declined - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 -0.61 6.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.11 - -0.50 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:05 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 25) Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 2.45 4.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 50

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - -0.89 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.89)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:45 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at 50) Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45 - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 0.07 7.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.82 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 45) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44 - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 -0.86 7.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 2.13 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.87)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:25 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 4 at WAKE 44) Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST down - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 1.50 4.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 38

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.33 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:40 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 38) A.J. Howard run for 13 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST down - WAKE 56, ARMY 42 0.97 6.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 25

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.67 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.33)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 3.42 7.5% 8.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.58 = 3.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 42 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 12 yds - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 1.66 86.0% 3.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 47

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 1.51 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:15 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 47) Christian Beal-Smith run for 7 yds to the Army 40 - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 0.49 89.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 40

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.19 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:45 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 3 at ARMY 40) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 0.68 90.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 3.73 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:15 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 26) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 18 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down - WAKE 56, ARMY 49 1.03 92.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 8

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 4.45 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 56, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 56 (56) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at ARMY 8) Sam Hartman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 1.50 93.6% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.50 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.50)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 56 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 0.00 3.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 28 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.64 3.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.24 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.76)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:15 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 7 at ARMY 28) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the Army 34 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 0.77 2.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - -0.21 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.21)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:50 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at ARMY 34) Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 1.00 2.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.46 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:20 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 40) Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the Army 46 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.01 2.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.60 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.40)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at ARMY 46) Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 47 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.58 3.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.78 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 3 at ARMY 47) Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 49 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.82 2.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.19 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.81)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 1 at ARMY 49) Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 2.30 1.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 0.20 = 2.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.80)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 47) Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.08 2.3% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.43 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:41 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 42) Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 0.64 2.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 36

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.48 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:05 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 36) Jabari Laws run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 39 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Army Jabari Laws Jabari Laws run for no gain to the WFrst 39 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Army Jabari Laws - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -1.59 1.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 39

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.93 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:58 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 13 at WAKE 39) Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 38 Cade Barnard fumbled, forced by Chase Jones, recovered by WFrst Chase Jones - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -3.20 1.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 62

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - 1.32 = -3.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:53 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 38) Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.15 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.87 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.87)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:53 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 42) Timeout ARMY, clock 02:53 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.73 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.73)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:48 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 42) Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 -0.46 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.64 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:48 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 43) Timeout ARMY, clock 02:48 - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 0.00 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.17)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:05 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 43) Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down - WAKE 63, ARMY 49 1.11 99.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.22 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.22)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 63, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 63 (63) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at ARMY 46) Justice Ellison run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 4.99 99.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.01 = 4.99

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 63 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 62 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 32 yds to the Army 35 - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 0.37 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.67 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.33)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:23 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 35) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the Army 41 - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 0.35 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.83 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.17)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:14 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at ARMY 41) Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Taylor, Ja'Sir) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 0.67 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.03 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.97)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at WAKE 44) A.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 0.61 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 1.54 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.46)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 39) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 39 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) - WAKE 70, ARMY 56 5.23 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.77 = 5.23

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 5 at ARMY 35) Talley, Cole kickoff 10 yards to the ARMY45, on-side kick, recovered by ARMY on ARMY45, PENALTY ARMY offside 5 yards to the ARMY30, NO PLAY. - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 -0.33 0.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: ARMY 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.44 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.56)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 56 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 30) Cole Talley on-side kick recovered by WAKE FOREST at the WFrst 37 - WAKE 70, ARMY 49 0.43 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.56 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.56)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 49

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 37) TEAM run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 70, ARMY 56 0.74 99.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: WAKE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.10 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.10)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 70, ARMY 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 70 (70) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2