UMass 3 @ Florida State 59

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 0.26 | Odds: FSU -35.5, O/U 59.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Total Plays 7763
Total EPA -20.2436.32
  Offensive EPA -29.930.66
  Special Teams EPA 7.124.11
  Penalty EPA 2.041.54
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.500.01
Production ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Scrimmage Plays 6059
  Yards 321587
  Yards/Play 5.359.95
  EPA -29.9030.66
  EPA/Play -0.500.52
Passes 36 (60%)16 (27%)
  Yards 127221
  Yards/Play 3.5313.81
  EPA -28.4314.53
  EPA/Play -0.790.91
Rushes 24 (40%)43 (73%)
  Yards 134370
  Yards/Play 5.588.60
  EPA -1.4716.13
  EPA/Play -0.060.38
Rushing ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Scrimmage Plays 6059
Rushes 24 (40%)43 (73%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (21%)7 (16%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 12 (50%)16 (37%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 10 (42%)24 (56%)
OL Line Yards 3051.7
  Per Carry 1.251.20
Highlight Yards 49190
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.907.92
Explosiveness ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Total Plays 7763
Scrimmage Plays 6059
Explosive Plays 1 (2%)10 (17%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (3%)4 (25%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)6 (14%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -33.261.47
  EPA/Play -0.560.03
  When Passing -31.792.14
    EPA/Play -0.880.13
  When Rushing -1.47-0.68
    EPA/Play -0.06-0.02
Situational ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 19 (32%)30 (51%)
  When Passing 10 (28%)9 (56%)
  When Rushing 9 (38%)21 (49%)
  On Standard Downs 9 (26%)18 (45%)
  On Passing Downs 10 (38%)12 (63%)
  On Early Downs 16 (35%)24 (49%)
  On Late Downs 3 (21%)6 (60%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (44%)6 (67%)
Early Downs 4649
  First Downs Created 9 (20%)13 (27%)
  EPA -20.2015.95
  EPA/Play -0.440.33
  Passes 25 (54%)12 (24%)
  Rushes 21 (46%)37 (76%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 8 (32%)5 (42%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (38%)19 (51%)
"Middle 8" Plays 99
  EPA -9.596.85
  EPA/play -1.070.76
  Passes 5 (56%)3 (33%)
  Rushes 4 (44%)6 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)1 (33%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (50%)5 (83%)
Drives ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Total 1211
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 18
Plays/Drive 6.776.44
Yards/Drive 31.1565.88
Available Yards % 44%81%
Defensive ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Scrimmage Plays 5960
Stop Rate 15%77%
Havoc Plays Created 4 (7%)6 (10%)
  Passing 1 (6%)6 (17%)
  Rushing 3 (7%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 34
  Passing 14
  Rushing 20
Sacks Generated 1 (6%)4 (11%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 02
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Turnovers 31
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 01
  Interceptions 20
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 1.91.5
Expected Turnover Margin -0.40.4
Turnover Luck (pts) -7.87.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 113 ESPN team id 52
Total Plays 17 4
Total EPA 7.12 4.11
  Field Goal EPA 1.72 0.6
  Punting EPA -0.23 0.55
  Kickoff Return EPA 5.64 2.96

UMass [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Zamar Wise 3/6, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 35.6 xQBR 2.10 -0.64 -6.40 20% 0.0%
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 8.8 xQBR 0.00 -8.61 -8.61 0% 0.0%
Brady Olson 11/25, 106 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 19.8 xQBR 4.24 -0.54 -13.43 32% -4.0%
Rush attempts
Zamar Wise 8 carries, 70 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.75 0.52 4.17 62% 0.0%
Melvin Hill 1 carry, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.64 1.64 100% 0.0%
Jared Chisari 1 carry, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.24 1.24 100% 0.0%
Brady Olson 4 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.25 -0.39 -1.56 25% 0.0%
Ellis Merriweather 10 carries, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.30 -0.70 -6.96 10% 0.0%
Pass targets
Ellis Merriweather 4 catches (5 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.25 0.88 4.40 80% 0.0%
Rico Arnold 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.60 0.60 100% 0.0%
Jared Chisari 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.28 0.28 100% 0.0%
Melvin Hill 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.42 -0.42 0% 0.0%
Jaret Pallotta 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.49 -0.49 0% 0.0%
Josiah Johnson 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.95 -0.95 0% 0.0%
Zamar Wise 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -1.23 -1.23 0% -1.0%
Onuma Dieke 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.82 -1.65 0% 0.0%
Tray Pettway 2 catches (4 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.49 -1.95 25% 0.0%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. 2 catches (5 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.50 -0.50 -2.51 20% 0.0%
Eric Collins 2 catches (7 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.43 -2.98 29% -1.0%

Florida State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chubba Purdy 5/5, 98 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 91.2 xQBR 19.60 1.49 7.45 100% 0.0%
Jordan Travis 5/10, 123 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 74.1 xQBR 11.18 0.64 7.08 36% 1.0%
Rush attempts
Jashaun Corbin 11 carries, 127 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.55 0.63 6.93 82% 1.0%
Lawrance Toafili 4 carries, 63 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.75 1.17 4.69 75% 0.0%
D.J. Williams 4 carries, 31 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.75 0.86 3.44 25% 0.0%
Treshaun Ward 7 carries, 54 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.71 0.42 2.92 57% 2.0%
Jordan Travis 8 carries, 86 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 10.75 0.30 2.44 50% 1.0%
Chubba Purdy 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% 0.0%
Ja'Khi Douglas 6 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 1.33 -0.61 -3.69 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Andrew Parchment 2 catches (2 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.50 2.23 4.47 100% 0.0%
Camren McDonald 3 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.67 1.30 3.90 67% 1.0%
Malik McClain 1 catch (2 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 51.00 1.62 3.24 50% 0.0%
Ontaria Wilson 1 catch (3 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 35.00 0.67 2.00 33% 0.0%
Jordan Young 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 1.09 1.09 100% 0.0%
Darion Williamson 1 catch (1 target), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 0.59 0.59 100% 0.0%
Keyshawn Helton 1 catch (3 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 0.17 0.51 33% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at FSU 36) Jarvis Brownlee Jr. 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) - MASS 3, FSU 38 -8.61 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.61 = -8.61

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.39)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & Goal at FSU 4) Brady Olson pass intercepted, touchback. - MASS 3, FSU 17 -7.31 2.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 80

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 5.21 = -7.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 25 yds to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 45 4.40 0.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 25

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - -1.39 = 4.40

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-43.39)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-38.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 9 at MASS 23) D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 31 3.86 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.14)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:36 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 4 at FSU 12) Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 51 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 10 3.64 98.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 0.47 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 9 at FSU 46) Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 35 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 7 3.48 98.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 19

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 1.35 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.35)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:41 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at MASS 25) Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 33 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 3.35 0.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 42

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - -1.11 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.11)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 9 at FSU 41) FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kevin Knowles II) to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 3.13 1.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 20

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 0.96 = 3.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:52 ESPN team id 52 (Kickoff at FSU 35) kickoff for 65 yds , return for 27 yds to the FlaSt 26 - MASS 0, FSU 0 2.96 98.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 26

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 1.14 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:31 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 29) Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 17 2.96 98.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.04 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 25 yds to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 45 4.40 0.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 25

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - -1.39 = 4.40

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-43.39)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-38.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:53 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 12 at FSU 28) Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOOD - MASS 3, FSU 0 1.72 2.3% 2.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & Goal at FSU 4) Brady Olson pass intercepted, touchback. - MASS 3, FSU 17 -7.31 2.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 80

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 5.21 = -7.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:52 ESPN team id 52 (Kickoff at FSU 35) kickoff for 65 yds , return for 27 yds to the FlaSt 26 - MASS 0, FSU 0 2.96 98.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 26

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 1.14 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 25) Jordan Travis run for 39 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 0 2.94 96.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 36

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 0.63 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:05 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 10 at MASS 15) Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 0 2.60 97.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 3

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.13 - 3.52 = 2.60

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:27 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 7 at FSU 23) PENALTY UMA False Start (Fagundes,Helber) 5 yards from FSU23 to FSU28. NO PLAY. - MASS 0, FSU 0 -0.82 3.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 28

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.01 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 17) Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 24 2.61 99.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.39)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:31 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 29) Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 17 2.96 98.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.04 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:10 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at MASS 15) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson - MASS 3, FSU 0 -0.78 98.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 4.31 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 13:53 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 12 at FSU 28) Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOOD - MASS 3, FSU 0 1.72 2.3% 2.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:37 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 3) Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.88 98.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.12 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:45 ESPN team id 52 (4th & 9 at MASS 18) Ryan Fitzgerald 36 yd FG GOOD - MASS 3, FSU 10 0.60 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:31 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 29) Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 17 2.96 98.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.04 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 17) Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 24 2.61 99.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.39)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 9 at MASS 23) D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 31 3.86 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.14)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at FSU 36) Jarvis Brownlee Jr. 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) - MASS 3, FSU 38 -8.61 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.61 = -8.61

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.39)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:02 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 12) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 45 1.30 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.70 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 35 (40.70)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:44 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 10) Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 52 1.23 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.77 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 42 (47.77)

Score Difference (End): 49 (49.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:53 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 5) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Young for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.09 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 49 (54.91)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:52 ESPN team id 52 (Kickoff at FSU 35) kickoff for 65 yds , return for 27 yds to the FlaSt 26 - MASS 0, FSU 0 2.96 98.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 26

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 1.14 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 26) Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23 - MASS 0, FSU 0 -0.18 3.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 4.33 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:27 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 7 at FSU 23) PENALTY UMA False Start (Fagundes,Helber) 5 yards from FSU23 to FSU28. NO PLAY. - MASS 0, FSU 0 -0.82 3.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 28

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.01 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:58 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 12 at FSU 28) Brady Olson pass incomplete - MASS 0, FSU 0 -0.99 2.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.26 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:56 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 12 at FSU 28) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke - MASS 0, FSU 0 -1.05 2.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.33 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 0, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:53 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 12 at FSU 28) Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOOD - MASS 3, FSU 0 1.72 2.3% 2.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.28 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:53 ESPN team id 52 (Kickoff at FSU 35) CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 0 0.00 96.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:38 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 25) Jordan Travis run for 39 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 0 2.94 96.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 36

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 0.63 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:08 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 36) Jashaun Corbin run for 21 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 0 1.33 98.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 15

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 3.49 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:29 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 15) Jordan Travis run for no gain to the UMass 15 - MASS 3, FSU 0 -0.67 98.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.90 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.90)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:10 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at MASS 15) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson - MASS 3, FSU 0 -0.78 98.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 4.31 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:05 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 10 at MASS 15) Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 0 2.60 97.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 3

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.13 - 3.52 = 2.60

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:37 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 3) Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.88 98.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.12 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:32 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 60 yds , Eric Collins return for 23 yds to the UMass 28 - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.30 1.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 0.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.30)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:19 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 28) Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the UMass 35 - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.78 1.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 65

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.93 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.07)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:41 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 3 at MASS 35) Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.59 1.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 53

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 1.64 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.36)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:58 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 47) Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UMass 49 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -0.41 1.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.19 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.81)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:41 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 8 at MASS 49) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. - MASS 3, FSU 7 -1.17 1.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.96 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.04)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:27 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 8 at MASS 49) Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 1 yd to the UMass 48 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -1.66 1.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 52

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - 0.97 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.03)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:56 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 9 at MASS 48) George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 7 - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.51 1.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 93

Started Drive at: MASS 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.76 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.76)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.25)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:44 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 7) Lawrance Toafili run for 38 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 7 2.61 98.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 55

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 0.23 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:10 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 45) Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 45 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -0.65 98.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.79 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.79)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:31 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at FSU 45) Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 46 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -0.79 98.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 2.09 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.09)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 9 at FSU 46) Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 35 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 7 3.48 98.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 19

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 1.35 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.35)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:25 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 19) Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the UMass 21 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -1.06 98.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.85 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.85)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:08 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 12 at MASS 21) Jordan Travis sacked by Te'Rai Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 7 -1.26 98.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 25

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.80 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.80)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:45 ESPN team id 52 (4th & 9 at MASS 18) Ryan Fitzgerald 36 yd FG GOOD - MASS 3, FSU 10 0.60 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:45 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 16 at MASS 25) Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the UMass 18 Jordan Travis fumbled, forced by Gerrell Johnson, recovered by FlaSt Jashaun Corbin - MASS 3, FSU 7 -0.41 98.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18

Started Drive at: FSU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.81 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.81)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:39 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 62 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 24 yds to the UMass 27 - MASS 3, FSU 7 0.35 1.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.69 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:39 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 27) Brady Olson pass complete to Zamar Wise for 3 yds to the UMass 30 - MASS 3, FSU 10 -1.23 1.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 1.04 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:44 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 7 at MASS 30) Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the UMass 31 - MASS 3, FSU 10 -0.50 1.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - -0.20 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:09 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 6 at MASS 31) Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 10 2.05 1.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 59

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - -0.71 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:34 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 41) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins - MASS 3, FSU 10 -0.57 2.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.34 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:25 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at MASS 41) Zamar Wise run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 10 1.33 1.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 49

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 0.78 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:43 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 49) Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 49 - MASS 3, FSU 10 -1.34 1.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 51

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 2.17 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:06 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 12 at MASS 49) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins - MASS 3, FSU 10 -1.13 1.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.98 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:58 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 12 at MASS 49) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather - MASS 3, FSU 10 -1.36 1.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.02 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 12 at MASS 49) George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 6 - MASS 3, FSU 10 0.23 1.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 94

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -1.36 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:41 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 6) Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 7 - MASS 3, FSU 10 -0.70 98.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 93

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.12 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 9 at FSU 7) Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 12 - MASS 3, FSU 10 0.04 98.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 88

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.41 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.41)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:36 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 4 at FSU 12) Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 51 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 10 3.64 98.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 0.47 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 37) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton - MASS 3, FSU 10 -0.47 98.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.02 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:02 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at MASS 37) Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the UMass 29 - MASS 3, FSU 10 0.49 98.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 29

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.49 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.49)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:31 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 29) Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 17 2.96 98.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.04 = 2.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:31 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 17 0.00 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:16 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Zamar Wise run for no gain to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 17 -0.60 0.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - -0.52 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:41 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at MASS 25) Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 33 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 3.35 0.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 42

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - -1.11 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.11)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:03 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 42) Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41 - MASS 3, FSU 17 -0.58 1.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 2.28 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.72)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:18 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 9 at FSU 41) Brady Olson run for no gain to the FlaSt 41 - MASS 3, FSU 17 -1.07 1.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.86 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 9 at FSU 41) FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kevin Knowles II) to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 3.13 1.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 20

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 0.96 = 3.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:20 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 20) Melvin Hill run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 1.64 2.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 4

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.74 - 4.10 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:50 ESPN team id 113 (1st & Goal at FSU 4) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret Pallotta - MASS 3, FSU 17 -0.49 2.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.22 - 5.71 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.29)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & Goal at FSU 4) Brady Olson pass intercepted, touchback. - MASS 3, FSU 17 -7.31 2.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 80

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 5.21 = -7.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:32 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 20) Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 0.44 99.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 68

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.19 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.19)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 32) Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34 - MASS 3, FSU 17 0.01 99.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.31 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:06 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 8 at FSU 34) Treshaun Ward run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 1.83 99.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 43

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 1.85 = 1.83

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.85)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:43 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 43) MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Da'Shon Ross) to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 17 0.93 99.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 25

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 3.61 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.61)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:03 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the UMass 20 - MASS 3, FSU 17 0.00 98.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:37 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 5 at MASS 20) Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the UMass 17 - MASS 3, FSU 17 -0.07 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.58 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.58)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 2 at MASS 17) Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 24 2.61 99.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.39)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 24 0.00 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - -0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.09)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:32 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 24 - MASS 3, FSU 24 -0.99 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.04 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.04)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 11 at MASS 24) Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 9 yds to the UMass 33 - MASS 3, FSU 24 0.47 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.67 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.67)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:17 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 2 at MASS 33) Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 33 - MASS 3, FSU 24 -1.28 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.09 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.09)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 2 at MASS 33) George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24 - MASS 3, FSU 24 -0.42 0.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 76

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -1.30 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.30)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.72)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:34 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 24) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain - MASS 3, FSU 24 -0.40 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.69 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.69)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:29 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at FSU 24) Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 20 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 24 1.34 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 56

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.15 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.15)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:03 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 44) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton - MASS 3, FSU 24 -0.36 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.34 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.34)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:53 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at FSU 44) Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 24 1.04 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 42

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.83 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.83)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:21 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 42) Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the UMass 36 - MASS 3, FSU 24 0.41 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 36

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 2.50 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.50)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:53 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 4 at MASS 36) Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 01:53 - MASS 3, FSU 24 0.00 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 24

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 2.91 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.91)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 4 at MASS 36) Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 24 1.00 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 24

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 2.86 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.86)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:35 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 24) D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 23 - MASS 3, FSU 24 -0.31 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.62 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.62)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 9 at MASS 23) D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 31 3.86 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.14)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 52 yds to the FlaSt 48 - MASS 3, FSU 31 1.09 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 0.38 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.62)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 48) Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 31 1.10 0.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 36

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 1.16 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.84)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:34 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 36) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway - MASS 3, FSU 31 -0.14 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.02 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.98)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at FSU 36) Jarvis Brownlee Jr. 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick) - MASS 3, FSU 38 -8.61 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.61 = -8.61

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.39)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.91)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.02 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.02 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.02)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -2.36 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.36)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:37 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.89 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.79 - -1.90 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.90)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 9 at MASS 26) Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 11 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 38 1.34 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - -2.36 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.36)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:29 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 37) Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 37 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.60 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -1.01 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.01)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:48 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at MASS 37) Zamar Wise run for 6 yds to the UMass 43 - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.34 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -1.58 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.58)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:20 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 4 at MASS 43) Zamar Wise sacked by DJ Lundy for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 38 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -2.15 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 62

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.35 - -1.20 = -2.15

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.20)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-38.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:40 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 9 at MASS 38) George Georgopoulos punt for 57 yds - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.45 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 95

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - -3.31 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-38.31)

Score Difference (End): 35 (37.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:21 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 5) Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 12 - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.28 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 88

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.85 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.85)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 3 at FSU 12) Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.32 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 77

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.21 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.21)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:24 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 23) Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.70 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 3.85 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.85)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:59 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at FSU 23) Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30 - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.24 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 70

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.10 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.10)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:54 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 3 at FSU 30) (09:56) Travis,Jordan pass complete to Helton,Keyshawn for 8 yards to the FSU38, out of bounds PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (McClain,Malik) 15 yards from FSU30 to FSU15. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 38 -1.40 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 85

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 3.05 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.05)

Score Difference (End): 35 (36.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:28 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 18 at FSU 15) Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.68 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.74 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.74)

Score Difference (End): 35 (36.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:49 ESPN team id 52 (4th & 7 at FSU 26) Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 27 - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.55 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73

Started Drive at: FSU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.81 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.81)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:44 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 27) Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.72 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -1.04 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.04)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:32 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at MASS 27) Zamar Wise run for 5 yds to the UMass 32 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.12 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -1.70 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.70)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:07 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 5 at MASS 32) Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. - MASS 3, FSU 38 -1.14 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.95 - -1.81 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.81)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:07 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 5 at MASS 32) George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for no gain to the FlaSt 31 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.78 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 69

Started Drive at: MASS 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.73 - -2.95 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.95)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:50 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 31) Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 31 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.54 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 3.70 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.70)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:06 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at FSU 31) Jashaun Corbin run for 25 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 38 1.29 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 44

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 3.20 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.20)

Score Difference (End): 35 (39.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 44) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Darion Williamson for 16 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.59 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 28

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.11 - 4.52 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.52)

Score Difference (End): 35 (40.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:09 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 28) Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the UMass 24 - MASS 3, FSU 38 -0.34 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 5.13 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 35 (40.13)

Score Difference (End): 35 (39.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:40 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 6 at MASS 24) Lawrance Toafili run for 12 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 38 0.91 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 12

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.71 - 4.79 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.79)

Score Difference (End): 35 (40.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:02 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 12) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 45 1.30 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.70 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 35 (40.70)

Score Difference (End): 42 (42.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 25 yds to the UMass 25 - MASS 3, FSU 45 4.40 0.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 25

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - -1.39 = 4.40

Score Difference (Before): -42 (-43.39)

Score Difference (End): -42 (-38.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:46 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) (04:55) Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete to McClain,Malik PENALTY UMA Pass Interference (Mahoney,Jordan) 15 yards from UMA25 to UMA10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 45 0.64 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 10

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.77 - 5.13 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 42 (47.13)

Score Difference (End): 42 (47.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:44 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 10) Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 52 1.23 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.77 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 42 (47.77)

Score Difference (End): 49 (49.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 45 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:44 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MASS 3, FSU 52 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.15 - -1.15 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-50.15)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-50.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Zamar Wise run for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 52 0.92 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -1.17 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-50.17)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-49.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:11 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 37) Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 34 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.97 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 66

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.25 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-49.25)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-50.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:11 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 13 at MASS 34) Zamar Wise sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -1.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 67

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.22 - -1.22 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-50.22)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-51.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 14 at MASS 33) Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Eric Collins - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.78 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.96 - -2.18 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-51.18)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-51.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:48 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 14 at MASS 33) George Georgopoulos punt for 53 yds - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.22 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 86

Started Drive at: MASS 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.16 - -2.94 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-51.94)

Score Difference (End): 49 (52.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 14) Ja'Khi Douglas run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.40 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 85

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.87 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 49 (51.87)

Score Difference (End): 49 (51.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:54 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 9 at FSU 15) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 38 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 52 1.80 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 47

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 2.38 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): 49 (51.38)

Score Difference (End): 49 (53.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 47) Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the UMass 47 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.58 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.18 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 49 (53.18)

Score Difference (End): 49 (52.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:41 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 10 at MASS 47) Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the UMass 42 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.51 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.63 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 49 (52.63)

Score Difference (End): 49 (52.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 5 at MASS 42) (00:18) Douglas,Ja'Khi rush for 2 yards loss to the UMA44 (Logan,Nahji) PENALTY UMA Offside (Wooden,Billy) 5 yards from UMA42 to UMA37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 52 1.36 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 2.80 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 49 (51.80)

Score Difference (End): 49 (53.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:36 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at MASS 37) Ja'Khi Douglas run for 3 yds to the UMass 34 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.34 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.13 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 49 (53.13)

Score Difference (End): 49 (52.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:59 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 7 at MASS 34) Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the UMass 32 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.56 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 49 (52.56)

Score Difference (End): 49 (52.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:23 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 5 at MASS 32) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 27 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 52 2.66 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 5

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 3.18 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): 49 (52.18)

Score Difference (End): 49 (54.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:53 ESPN team id 52 (1st & Goal at MASS 5) Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Young for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.09 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 49 (54.91)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:49 ESPN team id 113 (Kickoff at MASS 35) Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Jamir Roberts return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the UMass 8 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.51 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 92

Started Drive at: FSU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.21 - -0.70 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-63.70)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-50.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:49 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 8) Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 9 - MASS 3, FSU 52 -0.24 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 91

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -1.32 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-50.32)

Score Difference (End): -49 (-50.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 52

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (52)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:58 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 9 at MASS 9) Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 7 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.89 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 93

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -1.56 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -49 (-50.56)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-58.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 52 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 11 at MASS 7) Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.49 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 75

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -2.12 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-58.12)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-56.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:19 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 25) Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 27 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.47 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.10 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-56.10)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-56.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:44 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 8 at MASS 27) Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.32 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 55

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - -0.34 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-56.34)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:04 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at MASS 45) Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.59 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 57

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.84 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.16)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:24 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 12 at MASS 43) Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48 - MASS 3, FSU 59 0.60 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 48

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.18 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.82)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:38 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 3 at FSU 48) Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.20 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.80 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.20)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:06 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 34) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.59 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.22 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-53.78)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at FSU 34) Brady Olson pass complete to Jared Chisari for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28 - MASS 3, FSU 59 0.28 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 28

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.81 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.19)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-53.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:12 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 4 at FSU 28) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins - MASS 3, FSU 59 -1.54 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 2.34 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-53.66)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:11 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 4 at FSU 28) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins - MASS 3, FSU 59 -2.20 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 72

Started Drive at: MASS 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - 0.97 = -2.20

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.03)

Score Difference (End): 56 (57.23)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:54 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 28) D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.02 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: FSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.03 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 56 (57.03)

Score Difference (End): 56 (57.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:04 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 4 at FSU 34) D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.08 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: FSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.84 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 56 (56.84)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:18 ESPN team id 52 (3rd & 3 at FSU 35) Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.25 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: FSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.55 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 56 (56.55)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:51 ESPN team id 52 (4th & 1 at FSU 37) Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the FlaSt 37 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -1.91 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - 0.19 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): 56 (56.19)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:34 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 37) (03:45) Olson,Brady pass complete to Johnson,Jermaine for 32 yards to the FSU05 (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) PENALTY UMA Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.23 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 42

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.39 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.61)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:12 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 15 at FSU 42) Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37 - MASS 3, FSU 59 0.25 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 0.92 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.08)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:44 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 10 at FSU 37) PENALTY UMA False Start (Chisari,Jared) 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.20 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 42

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.94 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.06)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 15 at FSU 42) (02:29) Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Johnson,Jermaine PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) 11 yard from FSU42 to FSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 59 0.81 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.59 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.41)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:11 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 31) Jared Chisari run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST down - MASS 3, FSU 59 1.24 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 1.45 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.55)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-53.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:33 ESPN team id 113 (1st & 10 at FSU 17) Zamar Wise pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the FlaSt 18 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.95 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 18

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.66 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-53.34)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:10 ESPN team id 113 (2nd & 11 at FSU 18) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin Hill - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.42 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.63 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.37)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 11 at FSU 18) PENALTY UMA False Start (Tomlison,Dalton) 4 yards from FSU18 to FSU22. NO PLAY. - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.15 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 22

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.26 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.74)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-54.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 113 (3rd & 15 at FSU 22) Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.40 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.12 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-54.88)

Score Difference (End): -56 (-55.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 113 (4th & 15 at FSU 22) Brady Olson run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 10 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.87 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 90

Started Drive at: FSU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.69 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -56 (-55.31)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:45 ESPN team id 52 (1st & 10 at FSU 10) run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 8 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.08 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 92

Started Drive at: FSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.12 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 56 (56.12)

Score Difference (End): 56 (56.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 52 (2nd & 12 at FSU 8) run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 6 - MASS 3, FSU 59 -0.01 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 99

Started Drive at: FSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.00 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 56 (56.00)

Score Difference (End): 56 (55.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MASS 3, FSU 59

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 59 (59)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3