Boston College 14 @ Louisville 28

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.45 | Odds: LOU -4, O/U 57.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Total Plays 7770
Total EPA -8.49-0.78
  Offensive EPA -16.96-2.39
  Special Teams EPA 1.87-0.53
  Penalty EPA 6.62.13
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.000.01
Production ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Scrimmage Plays 6763
  Yards 289437
  Yards/Play 4.316.94
  EPA -16.96-2.39
  EPA/Play -0.25-0.04
Passes 34 (51%)17 (27%)
  Yards 141107
  Yards/Play 4.156.29
  EPA -9.93-5.78
  EPA/Play -0.29-0.34
Rushes 33 (49%)46 (73%)
  Yards 148330
  Yards/Play 4.487.17
  EPA -7.023.39
  EPA/Play -0.210.07
Rushing ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Scrimmage Plays 6763
Rushes 33 (49%)46 (73%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (18%)9 (20%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 15 (45%)18 (39%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 15 (45%)22 (48%)
OL Line Yards 54.939
  Per Carry 1.660.85
Highlight Yards 37.5167
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.507.59
Explosiveness ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Total Plays 7770
Scrimmage Plays 6763
Explosive Plays 5 (7%)7 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (12%)1 (6%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)6 (13%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -33.71-21.15
  EPA/Play -0.54-0.38
  When Passing -24.77-8.30
    EPA/Play -0.73-0.49
  When Rushing -8.94-12.85
    EPA/Play -0.28-0.32
Situational ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 24 (36%)27 (43%)
  When Passing 10 (29%)7 (41%)
  When Rushing 14 (42%)20 (43%)
  On Standard Downs 14 (34%)19 (41%)
  On Passing Downs 10 (38%)8 (47%)
  On Early Downs 18 (36%)22 (42%)
  On Late Downs 6 (35%)5 (45%)
  During "Middle 8" 1 (33%)7 (50%)
Early Downs 5052
  First Downs Created 10 (20%)16 (31%)
  EPA -15.61-8.92
  EPA/Play -0.31-0.17
  Passes 19 (38%)12 (23%)
  Rushes 31 (62%)40 (77%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (21%)5 (42%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (45%)17 (43%)
"Middle 8" Plays 314
  EPA -0.315.65
  EPA/play -0.100.40
  Passes 3 (100%)2 (14%)
  Rushes 0 (0%)12 (86%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (33%)2 (100%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)5 (42%)
Drives ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Total 1314
Avg Starting Field Position Own 28Own 33
Plays/Drive 6.816.16
Yards/Drive 32.3343.13
Available Yards % 45%64%
Defensive ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Scrimmage Plays 6367
Stop Rate 27%53%
Havoc Plays Created 7 (11%)8 (12%)
  Passing 3 (18%)6 (18%)
  Rushing 4 (9%)2 (6%)
TFLs Generated 56
  Passing 14
  Rushing 42
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)3 (9%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 22
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Turnovers 34
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 12
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 22
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 1.91.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 5.0-5.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 103 ESPN team id 97
Total Plays 10 7
Total EPA 1.87 -0.53
  Field Goal EPA 0 -1.86
  Punting EPA -0.64 1.11
  Kickoff Return EPA 2.51 0.23

Boston College [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Dennis Grosel 16/31, 141 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 3 Scks, 37.8 xQBR 4.15 -0.29 -9.93 29% -20.0%
Rush attempts
Alec Sinkfield 9 carries, 53 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.89 0.26 2.37 67% 0.0%
Pat Garwo III 15 carries, 86 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.73 0.15 2.29 53% 0.0%
Zay Flowers 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.83 -0.83 0% -2.0%
Travis Levy 4 carries, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.75 -1.13 -4.51 0% -1.0%
Dennis Grosel 4 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 1.25 -1.59 -6.35 0% -6.0%
Pass targets
Trae Barry 2 catches (2 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.50 2.31 4.62 100% 4.0%
Jaden Williams 3 catches (3 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 1.45 4.34 67% 3.0%
Zay Flowers 4 catches (4 targets), 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.75 1.04 4.15 50% 12.0%
Jaelen Gill 3 catches (3 targets), 6 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 0.96 2.88 33% 4.0%
Joey Luchetti 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.44 0.89 50% 2.0%
Travis Levy 2 catches (2 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 0.40 0.80 100% 0.0%

Louisville [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Malik Cunningham 9/17, 107 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 0 Scks, 55.0 xQBR 6.29 -0.34 -5.78 41% -12.0%
Rush attempts
Malik Cunningham 16 carries, 133 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.31 0.58 9.29 56% 28.0%
Jalen Mitchell 10 carries, 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.60 0.40 3.97 40% 4.0%
Shai Werts 1 carry, -10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -10.00 -2.04 -2.04 0% -1.0%
Trevion Cooley 13 carries, 112 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 8.62 -0.21 -2.77 46% -6.0%
Hassan Hall 4 carries, 30 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 7.50 -1.05 -4.21 25% -2.0%
Pass targets
Marshon Ford 3 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.66 4.97 100% 11.0%
Jordan Watkins 2 catches (2 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.39 2.78 100% 4.0%
Josh Johnson 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.80 1.80 100% 1.0%
Justin Marshall 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.31 1.31 100% 0.0%
Tyler Harrell 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 -0.74 -0.74 0% 0.0%
Trevion Cooley 1 catch (1 target), -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -1.23 -1.23 0% -5.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 18 at BC 6) CARLSON, Grant punt 48 yards to the LOU46, WATKINS, Jordan return 44 yards to the BC.10 (DEPALMA, Vinny), out of bounds. PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BURKLEY, Maurice enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the BC.16 to the BC.31. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 14 6.25 16.9% 22.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 31

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - -2.67 = 6.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:17 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 27) Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the BC 25 - BC 7, LOU 7 -5.38 60.2% -5.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 75

Started Drive at: LOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - 4.33 = -5.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 31) Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 33 - BC 7, LOU 14 -5.18 83.2% -8.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 4.06 = -5.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & Goal at LOU 9) Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the Lvile 2 - BC 7, LOU 21 -5.00 7.2% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 98

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 4.32 = -5.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 103 (4th & Goal at LOU 6) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 14, LOU 21 4.64 3.1% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 42) Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 43 - BC 14, LOU 28 -4.18 1.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43

Started Drive at: BC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.45 - 1.73 = -4.18

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:10 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 14 at LOU 29) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 19 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 3.90 4.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 10

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 0.84 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 2) Trevion Cooley run for 28 yds to the Lvile 30 - BC 7, LOU 21 -3.70 98.4% -4.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 30

Started Drive at: LOU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.39 - 0.31 = -3.70

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.31)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:38 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 6 at BC 37) Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 49 - BC 7, LOU 14 -3.53 23.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 49

Started Drive at: BC 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - 0.66 = -3.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & Goal at BC 10) Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 7 3.45 45.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 18 at BC 6) CARLSON, Grant punt 48 yards to the LOU46, WATKINS, Jordan return 44 yards to the BC.10 (DEPALMA, Vinny), out of bounds. PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BURKLEY, Maurice enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the BC.16 to the BC.31. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 14 6.25 16.9% 22.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 31

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - -2.67 = 6.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:35 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 1) Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 14 0.83 67.9% 9.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.17 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:19 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 46) Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 11 - BC 7, LOU 7 -3.05 61.5% -9.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 89

Started Drive at: LOU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 2.66 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 6 at BC 41) Dennis Grosel sacked by Yasir Abdullah for 0 yards to the BC 33 - BC 0, LOU 0 -2.28 45.0% -9.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 0.90 = -2.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 31) Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 33 - BC 7, LOU 14 -5.18 83.2% -8.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 4.06 = -5.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & Goal at BC 10) Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 7 3.45 45.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:21 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 7 at BC 28) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 2.94 44.9% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 56

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - -0.45 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:59 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 9 at BC 48) CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left incomplete intended for WATKINS, Jordan thrown to the BC.15. PENALTY BC. Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the BC.33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 0 2.93 37.8% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 33

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 0.52 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 103 (4th & Goal at LOU 6) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 14, LOU 21 4.64 3.1% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:57 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 15 at BC 40) Jalen Mitchell run for 33 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 14 3.10 82.0% 6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 7

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 1.90 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 8:00 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 4 at LOU 11) Alec Sinkfield run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 7, LOU 0 1.92 53.3% 5.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & Goal at BC 10) Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 7 3.45 45.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:35 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 1) Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 14 0.83 67.9% 9.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.17 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 5) Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 21 2.16 89.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 103 (4th & Goal at LOU 6) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 14, LOU 21 4.64 3.1% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:53 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 3 at BC 14) Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 14, LOU 28 3.16 97.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.84 = 3.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:56 ESPN team id 103 (Kickoff at BC 35) Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Travis Levy return for 22 yds to the BC 22 - BC 0, LOU 0 1.52 38.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 0.89 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:39 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 22) Zay Flowers run for 1 yd to the BC 23 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.83 42.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.89 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.5%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:17 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 9 at BC 23) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down - BC 0, LOU 0 1.80 39.6% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.18 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:44 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 37) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the BC 41 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.12 45.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.97 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:12 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 6 at BC 41) Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 41 - BC 0, LOU 0 -1.00 45.8% -4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.87 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 6 at BC 41) Dennis Grosel sacked by Yasir Abdullah for 0 yards to the BC 33 - BC 0, LOU 0 -2.28 45.0% -9.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 0.90 = -2.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:52 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 14 at BC 33) Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds - BC 0, LOU 0 0.71 37.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 79

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -1.58 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 21) Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 24 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.68 57.8% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: LOU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.88 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 7 at LOU 24) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 0, LOU 0 -1.03 55.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: LOU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.25 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 7 at LOU 24) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 0, LOU 0 -1.38 51.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: LOU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.24 - -0.86 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:05 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 7 at LOU 24) Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 37 - BC 0, LOU 0 0.29 49.7% 2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 63

Started Drive at: LOU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -2.23 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:52 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 37) Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 38 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.65 47.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.98 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:23 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 9 at BC 38) Pat Garwo III run for 14 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down - BC 0, LOU 0 1.44 44.8% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 1.58 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:02 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 48) Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 44 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.05 48.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.06 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:32 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 6 at LOU 44) LOUISVILLE Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on GILLOTTE, Ashton enforced (Ashton Gillotte) to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down - BC 0, LOU 0 1.27 48.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 29

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 2.92 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:00 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 29) Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26 - BC 0, LOU 0 -0.25 50.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.21 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:32 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 7 at LOU 26) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 9 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down - BC 0, LOU 0 1.09 50.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 17

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 3.93 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:09 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 17) Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the Lvile 11 - BC 0, LOU 0 0.11 51.7% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 11

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 4.99 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 0, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:00 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 4 at LOU 11) Alec Sinkfield run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 7, LOU 0 1.92 53.3% 5.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: BC 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:00 ESPN team id 97 (Kickoff at LOU 35) Danny Longman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BC 7, LOU 0 0.00 36.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:45 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 25) Malik Cunningham run for 26 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 0 2.19 36.4% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 49

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - -0.07 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 49) Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 48 - BC 7, LOU 0 -0.59 42.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.08 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:06 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 9 at BC 48) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 0 -1.11 40.1% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.57 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:59 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 9 at BC 48) CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left incomplete intended for WATKINS, Jordan thrown to the BC.15. PENALTY BC. Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the BC.33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 0 2.93 37.8% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 33

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 0.52 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:47 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 33) Malik Cunningham run for 24 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 0 1.58 45.4% 4.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 9

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 3.42 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 97 (1st & Goal at BC 9) Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the BC 7 - BC 7, LOU 0 -0.37 50.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 5.15 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:44 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 7) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 10 - BC 7, LOU 0 -1.23 51.0% -5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 10

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.78 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & Goal at BC 10) Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 7 3.45 45.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.55 = 3.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 103 (Kickoff at BC 35) Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BC 7, LOU 7 0.00 45.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:16 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 25) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.63 45.5% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.07 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:02 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at BC 25) Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the BC 27 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.93 43.8% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.44 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:32 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 8 at BC 27) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -1.38 40.1% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - -0.49 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:25 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 8 at BC 27) Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds - BC 7, LOU 7 1.04 37.2% 5.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.90 - -1.94 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:12 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 22) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 1.92 57.0% 5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 50

Started Drive at: LOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 0.90 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:54 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at 50) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.65 61.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: LOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.80 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:38 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 10 at 50) Hassan Hall run for 23 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 2.19 59.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 27

Started Drive at: LOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.15 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:17 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 27) Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the BC 25 - BC 7, LOU 7 -5.38 60.2% -5.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 75

Started Drive at: LOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - 4.33 = -5.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:06 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 25) Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 28 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.47 47.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 1.07 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 7 at BC 28) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -1.09 48.0% -4.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.62 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:21 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 7 at BC 28) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 2.94 44.9% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 56

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - -0.45 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:45 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 44) Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 44 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.65 52.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.50 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:24 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at BC 44) BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 39 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.96 51.1% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.91 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.1%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 15 at BC 39) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.95 48.8% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 1.00 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:42 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 15 at BC 39) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 48 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.50 47.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 52

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 0.05 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:08 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 6 at BC 48) Grant Carlson punt for 19 yds, downed at the Lvile 33 - BC 7, LOU 7 -1.40 47.7% -3.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -0.46 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 33) Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 35 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.48 55.0% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 65

Started Drive at: LOU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.85 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:41 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 8 at LOU 35) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 11 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 1.22 57.6% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 54

Started Drive at: LOU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 1.40 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 60.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:19 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 46) Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 11 - BC 7, LOU 7 -3.05 61.5% -9.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 89

Started Drive at: LOU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 2.66 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 11) Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the BC 11 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.82 47.9% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: BC 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.36 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:33 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at BC 11) Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the BC 17 - BC 7, LOU 7 0.08 45.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 83

Started Drive at: BC 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - -0.47 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 4 at BC 17) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 7 -1.65 44.2% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: BC 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.02 - -0.36 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:49 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 4 at BC 17) Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 30 - BC 7, LOU 7 0.23 40.4% 2.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 70

Started Drive at: BC 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -1.97 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:33 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 30) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 0.53 56.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 59

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.76 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 58.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:05 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 41) Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 0.80 58.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 45

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.44 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.6%

Win Probability (After): 60.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:24 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 45) Trevion Cooley run for 19 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 1.11 60.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 26

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 3.25 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:58 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 26) Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 0.70 63.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 12

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.04 - 4.34 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:14 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 12) Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the BC 12 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.57 65.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 5.02 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:29 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 10 at BC 12) Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 7 1.16 65.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 1

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.59 - 4.43 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:11 ESPN team id 97 (1st & Goal at BC 1) Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the BC 1 - BC 7, LOU 7 -0.26 68.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 6.46 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:35 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 1) Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 14 0.83 67.9% 9.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.17 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 14) Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the BC 21 - BC 7, LOU 14 0.36 23.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 79

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - -0.05 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:46 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 3 at BC 21) Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 20 - BC 7, LOU 14 -1.02 23.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 80

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - 0.32 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:20 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 4 at BC 20) BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 15 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.67 22.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 85

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.30 - -0.63 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:55 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 9 at BC 15) Dennis Grosel sacked by Ryheem Craig for 0 yards to the BC 6 - BC 7, LOU 14 -1.61 20.8% -3.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 94

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - -1.26 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 18 at BC 6) CARLSON, Grant punt 48 yards to the LOU46, WATKINS, Jordan return 44 yards to the BC.10 (DEPALMA, Vinny), out of bounds. PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BURKLEY, Maurice enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the BC.16 to the BC.31. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 14 6.25 16.9% 22.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 31

Started Drive at: BC 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - -2.67 = 6.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 31) Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 33 - BC 7, LOU 14 -5.18 83.2% -8.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 4.06 = -5.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:38 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 33) Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 33 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.49 24.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: BC 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.03 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.97)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at BC 33) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 37 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.09 23.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63

Started Drive at: BC 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.63 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:38 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 6 at BC 37) Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 49 - BC 7, LOU 14 -3.53 23.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 49

Started Drive at: BC 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - 0.66 = -3.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:26 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 49) Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 46 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.31 80.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.70 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:51 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 7 at BC 46) Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line - BC 7, LOU 14 -1.14 80.7% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 50

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.21 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:46 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 5 at BC 44) Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 02:46 - BC 7, LOU 14 0.00 78.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:46 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 11 at 50) Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the BC 44 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.48 79.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.81 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.81)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:36 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 5 at BC 44) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 9 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 14 2.52 78.9% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 0.34 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:06 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 35) LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Renato Brown) to the BC 40 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.64 83.2% -1.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 40

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 2.72 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.72)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:57 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 15 at BC 40) Jalen Mitchell run for 33 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 14 3.10 82.0% 6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 7

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 1.90 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:40 ESPN team id 97 (1st & Goal at BC 7) Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the BC 5 - BC 7, LOU 14 -0.19 88.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 5.10 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & Goal at BC 5) Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 7, LOU 21 2.16 89.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: BC 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:06 ESPN team id 103 (Kickoff at BC 35) Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Travis Levy return for 22 yds to the BC 22 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.25 9.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.52 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:01 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 22) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.15 9.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.42 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.58)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at BC 22) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 9 yds to the BC 31 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.35 9.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.17 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.83)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 1 at BC 31) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.50 9.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.31 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.69)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 1 at BC 31) Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Lvile 20 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.14 8.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 80

Started Drive at: BC 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - -0.16 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:12 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 20) Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.09 90.6% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: LOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.09 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.09)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 97 (Kickoff at LOU 35) Danny Longman kickoff for 64 yds , Hassan Hall return for 25 yds to the Lvile 26 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.23 93.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 2.53 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:43 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 26) Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.70 93.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.79 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:05 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 8 at LOU 28) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 19 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 1.56 93.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 53

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 2.11 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.11)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:42 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 47) Trevion Cooley run for 17 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 0.86 94.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 36

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.61 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.61)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:08 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 36) Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the BC 29 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.27 94.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 4.41 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:31 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 3 at BC 29) Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 0.36 95.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.04 - 4.68 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.68)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:51 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 20) Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the BC 20 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.54 95.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 5.02 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.02)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 10 at BC 20) Shai Werts run for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 30 - BC 7, LOU 21 -2.04 95.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 30

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 4.48 = -2.04

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:29 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 20 at BC 30) CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left complete for -3 yards to WERTS, Shai caught at the BC.33 and advanced to the BC.33 (VALDEZ, Marcus). PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BROWN, Renato enforced 15 yards from the BC.30 to the BC.45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.88 94.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 45

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.63 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.63)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:48 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 35 at BC 45) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 11 yds to the BC 34 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.74 94.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 34

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.94 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:19 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 24 at BC 34) James Turner 52 yd FG MISSED - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.86 93.8% -3.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 66

Started Drive at: LOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 1.23 = -1.86

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 34) Pat Garwo III run for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 0.86 9.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 53

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.63 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.37)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:53 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 47) Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 49 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.07 10.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.43 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:39 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 6 at LOU 49) GROSEL, Dennis pass to the right incomplete intended for GILL, Jaelen thrown to the LOU31; QB hurried by ALDERMAN, Jaylin. PENALTY LOU Holding on JONES, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the LOU49 to the LOU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 21 1.39 9.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 39

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 1.32 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 39) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.75 10.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.64 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.36)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:26 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 10 at LOU 39) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.06 10.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.92 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.08)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:26 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 10 at LOU 39) Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 08:26 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.00 9.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:10 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 10 at LOU 39) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.37 7.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 0.84 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 6 at LOU 35) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -2.55 6.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: BC 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.06 - -0.51 = -2.55

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 35) Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.29 95.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 3.05 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.05)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 6 at LOU 39) Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 39 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.00 95.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.82 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.82)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:41 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 6 at LOU 39) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 1.80 95.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 54

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 1.76 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 46) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.71 96.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 3.58 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.58)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:35 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 10 at LOU 46) Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.86 96.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 3.01 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:14 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 8 at LOU 48) Malik Cunningham pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.54 95.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 2.13 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.13)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:07 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 8 at LOU 48) Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 10 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.64 95.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 90

Started Drive at: LOU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.52 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:49 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 10) Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 11 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.58 5.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 89

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -1.15 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:20 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 9 at BC 11) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.79 5.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - -1.74 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.74)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:05 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 9 at BC 11) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 17 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 2.36 4.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 72

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - -2.52 = 2.36

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 28) Dennis Grosel sacked by Dorian Jones and YaYa Diaby for 0 yards to the BC 22 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.62 5.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -0.15 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:01 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 16 at BC 22) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.88 4.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -1.77 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.77)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 4.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:43 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 16 at BC 22) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 12 yds to the BC 34 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.45 4.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 66

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.17 - -2.62 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:11 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 4 at BC 34) Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.07 4.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: BC 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.23 - -2.15 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.23)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:52 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 38) Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 41 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.36 96.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59

Started Drive at: LOU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 3.23 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.23)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 7 at LOU 41) Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.65 96.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: LOU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.89 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.89)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:32 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 5 at LOU 43) Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 46 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.30 96.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: LOU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 2.25 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 2 at LOU 46) LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Lvile 41 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.53 95.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: LOU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.94 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 97 (4th & 7 at LOU 41) Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 20 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.19 95.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 80

Started Drive at: LOU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.43 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:43 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 20) Alec Sinkfield run for 12 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 1.01 5.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 68

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - -0.66 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.66)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:17 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 32) Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds to the BC 41 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.99 6.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 0.27 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.73)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 1 at BC 41) Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 0.09 6.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.20 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:40 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 47) Pat Garwo III run for 17 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 1.43 6.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 36

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 1.33 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:10 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 36) Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Lvile 29 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.68 7.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.77 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:46 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 3 at LOU 29) Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.25 7.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 27

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 3.44 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.56)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 1 at LOU 27) BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 32 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.40 7.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 3.17 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.83)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 6 at LOU 32) Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.69 5.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 1.82 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:15 ESPN team id 103 (4th & 5 at LOU 31) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 3.35 5.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.30 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.70)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:48 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 25) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 29 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.64 7.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 29

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 3.66 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.34)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:24 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 14 at LOU 29) Dennis Grosel pass incomplete - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.19 6.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 2.00 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:10 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & 14 at LOU 29) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 19 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 3.90 4.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 10

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 0.84 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 103 (1st & Goal at LOU 10) Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 9 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.42 8.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 4.72 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.28)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & Goal at LOU 9) Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the Lvile 2 - BC 7, LOU 21 -5.00 7.2% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 98

Started Drive at: BC 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 4.32 = -5.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 2) Trevion Cooley run for 28 yds to the Lvile 30 - BC 7, LOU 21 -3.70 98.4% -4.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 30

Started Drive at: LOU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.39 - 0.31 = -3.70

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.31)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:39 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 30) Pat Garwo III run for 10 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 0.78 6.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 20

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.32 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:23 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at LOU 20) Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 16 - BC 7, LOU 21 0.24 7.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 16

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 3.99 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:11 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 6 at LOU 16) GARWO, Patrick rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the LOU14 (JONES, Dorian). PENALTY Before the snap, LOU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the LOU16 to the LOU11. NO PLAY (replay the down). - BC 7, LOU 21 0.71 7.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 4.25 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.75)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:47 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & 1 at LOU 11) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 2 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.20 7.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 5.01 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.99)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:33 ESPN team id 103 (1st & Goal at LOU 9) Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.39 7.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 4.98 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 103 (2nd & Goal at LOU 7) Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 4 - BC 7, LOU 21 -0.46 5.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.68 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.32)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:36 ESPN team id 103 (3rd & Goal at LOU 4) Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 6 - BC 7, LOU 21 -1.93 4.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 4.29 = -1.93

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 7, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 103 (4th & Goal at LOU 6) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) - BC 14, LOU 21 4.64 3.1% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:10 ESPN team id 97 (Kickoff at LOU 35) Danny Longman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BC 14, LOU 21 0.00 89.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 25) Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down - BC 14, LOU 21 0.89 90.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 1.33 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:14 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at LOU 39) Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 34 - BC 14, LOU 21 -1.11 93.6% -4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 2.16 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:27 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 15 at LOU 34) Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 14 yds to the Lvile 48 - BC 14, LOU 21 1.31 92.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 52

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 0.88 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:40 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 37) Timeout LOUISVILLE, clock 03:40 - BC 14, LOU 21 0.00 95.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.19 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:40 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 1 at LOU 48) Jalen Mitchell run for 15 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down - BC 14, LOU 21 1.35 94.3% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.77 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 37) BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaiden Woodbey) to the BC 21 for a 1ST down - BC 14, LOU 21 1.25 97.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 21

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 2.99 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:06 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 21) Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BC 17 - BC 14, LOU 21 0.27 98.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 3.90 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:06 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 6 at BC 17) Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 03:06 - BC 14, LOU 21 0.00 98.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 4.16 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 6 at BC 17) Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the BC 14 - BC 14, LOU 21 -0.17 98.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.08 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 3 at BC 14) Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 03:00 - BC 14, LOU 21 0.00 97.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 3.91 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.91)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:53 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 3 at BC 14) Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) - BC 14, LOU 28 3.16 97.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: LOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.84 = 3.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:47 ESPN team id 103 (Kickoff at BC 35) Brock Travelstead kickoff for 63 yds , Travis Levy return for 26 yds to the BC 28 - BC 14, LOU 28 0.75 1.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: BC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 0.73 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.27)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:34 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 42) Timeout LOUISVILLE, clock 02:34 - BC 14, LOU 28 0.00 1.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: BC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:34 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 28) Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 14 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down - BC 14, LOU 28 0.72 1.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 58

Started Drive at: BC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 0.99 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 103 (1st & 10 at BC 42) Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 43 - BC 14, LOU 28 -4.18 1.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43

Started Drive at: BC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.45 - 1.73 = -4.18

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:11 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 43) Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down - BC 14, LOU 28 0.94 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 29

Started Drive at: BC 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 2.26 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.26)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:22 ESPN team id 97 (1st & 10 at BC 29) Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 26 - BC 14, LOU 28 0.14 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26

Started Drive at: BC 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.92 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 97 (2nd & 7 at BC 26) run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27 - BC 14, LOU 28 -0.55 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 27

Started Drive at: BC 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 2.79 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:13 ESPN team id 97 (3rd & 8 at BC 27) run for no gain to the BC 27 - BC 14, LOU 28 -0.30 99.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: BC 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.07 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.07)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: BC 14, LOU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2