Clemson 17 @ Pittsburgh 27

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.50 | Odds: PITT -3.5, O/U 47.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Total Plays 7492
Total EPA -1.414.84
  Offensive EPA -7.668.25
  Special Teams EPA 5.090.92
  Penalty EPA 1.15-1.09
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.01-3.24
Production ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Scrimmage Plays 6282
  Yards 380479
  Yards/Play 6.135.84
  EPA -7.668.25
  EPA/Play -0.120.10
Passes 33 (53%)41 (50%)
  Yards 151303
  Yards/Play 4.587.39
  EPA -13.298.27
  EPA/Play -0.400.20
Rushes 29 (47%)41 (50%)
  Yards 166174
  Yards/Play 5.724.24
  EPA 5.64-0.02
  EPA/Play 0.190.00
Rushing ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Scrimmage Plays 6282
Rushes 29 (47%)41 (50%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)1 (2%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 2 (7%)6 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (34%)17 (41%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 16 (55%)17 (41%)
OL Line Yards 57.273.8
  Per Carry 1.971.80
Highlight Yards 4848
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.002.82
Explosiveness ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Total Plays 7492
Scrimmage Plays 6282
Explosive Plays 2 (3%)5 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (3%)3 (7%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)2 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -13.44-8.05
  EPA/Play -0.22-0.10
  When Passing -17.03-4.11
    EPA/Play -0.52-0.10
  When Rushing 3.59-3.94
    EPA/Play 0.13-0.10
Situational ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 27 (44%)34 (41%)
  When Passing 12 (36%)18 (44%)
  When Rushing 15 (52%)16 (39%)
  On Standard Downs 20 (48%)21 (40%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (35%)13 (43%)
  On Early Downs 23 (45%)22 (35%)
  On Late Downs 4 (36%)12 (60%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (29%)6 (50%)
Early Downs 5162
  First Downs Created 13 (25%)13 (21%)
  EPA -6.56-7.80
  EPA/Play -0.13-0.13
  Passes 24 (47%)29 (47%)
  Rushes 27 (53%)33 (53%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 8 (33%)13 (45%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 15 (56%)9 (27%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1412
  EPA -10.599.21
  EPA/play -0.760.77
  Passes 8 (57%)9 (75%)
  Rushes 6 (43%)3 (25%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (25%)5 (56%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (33%)1 (33%)
Drives ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Total 1110
Avg Starting Field Position Own 26Own 20
Plays/Drive 6.9410.29
Yards/Drive 38.4253.01
Available Yards % 52%66%
Defensive ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Scrimmage Plays 8262
Stop Rate 30%35%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (10%)8 (13%)
  Passing 4 (10%)5 (15%)
  Rushing 4 (10%)3 (10%)
TFLs Generated 75
  Passing 33
  Rushing 42
Sacks Generated 2 (5%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 02
Fumbles Forced 11
Turnovers ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 20
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.41.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.40.4
Turnover Luck (pts) -2.82.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 221
Total Plays 12 10
Total EPA 5.09 0.92
  Field Goal EPA 2.38 1.45
  Punting EPA 1.08 -0.06
  Kickoff Return EPA 1.63 -0.47

Clemson [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Taisun Phommachanh 3/7, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 48.8 xQBR 3.29 0.02 0.12 43% 1.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei 12/25, 128 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 Sck, 27.9 xQBR 4.92 -0.52 -13.42 35% -46.0%
Rush attempts
D.J. Uiagalelei 7 carries, 52 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 7.43 0.61 4.30 71% 14.0%
Will Shipley 10 carries, 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.20 0.21 2.06 40% 6.0%
Phil Mafah 3 carries, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 0.48 1.43 100% 4.0%
Taisun Phommachanh 2 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 -0.18 -0.36 50% -1.0%
Kobe Pace 7 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.71 -0.26 -1.80 29% -5.0%
Pass targets
Justyn Ross 5 catches (8 targets), 59 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.80 0.39 3.12 62% -5.0%
Ajou Ajou 1 catch (4 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 36.00 0.44 1.78 25% 2.0%
Will Brown 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.38 1.38 100% 2.0%
Will Shipley 1 catch (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.34 0.69 50% 1.0%
Kobe Pace 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.67 0.67 100% 1.0%
Braden Galloway 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% -2.0%
Dacari Collins 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.65 -0.65 0% 0.0%
Davis Allen 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 -0.42 -0.83 50% -2.0%
Beaux Collins 5 catches (10 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.60 -0.50 -5.00 20% -12.0%

Pittsburgh [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Kenny Pickett 25/39, 303 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 96.9 xQBR 7.39 0.20 8.27 44% 39.0%
Rush attempts
Kenny Pickett 5 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.40 1.13 5.64 100% 12.0%
Rodney Hammond Jr. 11 carries, 66 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.29 3.20 45% -3.0%
Taysir Mack 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.84 -0.84 0% -2.0%
Israel Abanikanda 9 carries, 56 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.22 -0.20 -1.80 33% -19.0%
TEAM 3 carries, -9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -0.85 -2.54 0% 0.0%
Vincent Davis 12 carries, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.31 -3.68 25% -6.0%
Pass targets
Taysir Mack 3 catches (4 targets), 59 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.67 1.72 6.89 75% 21.0%
Jordan Addison 5 catches (7 targets), 84 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.80 0.89 6.23 43% 21.0%
Jared Wayne 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 2.24 4.49 100% 9.0%
Vincent Davis 3 catches (4 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.34 1.35 75% 3.0%
Gavin Bartholomew 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.41 0.82 50% 3.0%
Shocky Jacques-Louis 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.34 0.67 100% 0.0%
Israel Abanikanda 3 catches (5 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.25 0.10 0.50 40% 2.0%
Melquise Stovall 2 catches (4 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 -0.05 -0.21 25% 0.0%
Jaylon Barden 1 catch (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.52 -1.04 0% -2.0%
Lucas Krull 2 catches (4 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 14.50 -1.38 -5.51 25% -7.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at PITT 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -8.56 28.1% -19.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.56 = -8.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 14 5.85 56.4% 21.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.15 = 5.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:04 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 26) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Damarri Mathis return for 15 yds to the Pitt 20 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -5.10 54.3% -8.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 4.34 = -5.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:06 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 49) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 16 yds Lucas Krull fumbled, forced by Nolan Turner, recovered by Clem Etinosa Reuben - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -4.89 33.3% -4.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - 1.98 = -4.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 23) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 7 4.05 39.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.95 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:14 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 36 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 3.73 48.7% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 22

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 0.92 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:46 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 10 at PITT 21) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 13 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 2.48 32.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 66

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - -1.05 = 2.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:01 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 37) Kenny Pickett sacked by Baylon Spector for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 46 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -2.46 35.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 46

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - 1.49 = -2.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 34) Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Justyn Ross for 14 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 21 2.39 8.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 52

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.88 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:56 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 12 at PITT 25) B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 21 2.38 8.3% 6.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.62 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.38)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 14 5.85 56.4% 21.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.15 = 5.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at PITT 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -8.56 28.1% -19.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.56 = -8.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 23) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 7 4.05 39.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.95 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:49 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 12 at CLEM 24) Will Shipley run for 14 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 2.05 64.3% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 0.73 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:14 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 36 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 3.73 48.7% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 22

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 0.92 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:04 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 26) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Damarri Mathis return for 15 yds to the Pitt 20 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -5.10 54.3% -8.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 4.34 = -5.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at PITT 6) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.59 2.2% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-11.59)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:09 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 2 at PITT 28) Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.33 53.3% 7.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 0.37 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at PITT 49) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -2.02 49.2% -6.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.62 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:42 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 44) Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.61 57.1% -6.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.85 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 1:29 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at PITT 1) Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.70 62.2% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 23) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 7 4.05 39.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.95 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 14 5.85 56.4% 21.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.15 = 5.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at PITT 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -8.56 28.1% -19.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.56 = -8.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:56 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 12 at PITT 25) B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 21 2.38 8.3% 6.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.62 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.38)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 10 at CLEM 26) Sam Scarton 44 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 24 1.10 92.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.90 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.90)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 11 at CLEM 16) Sam Scarton 34 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.35 98.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.65)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at PITT 6) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.59 2.2% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-11.59)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 221 (Kickoff at PITT 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 61 yds , Jaylon Barden return for 11 yds to the Pitt 15 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.47 60.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.86 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:51 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 15) Taysir Mack run for 4 yds to the Pitt 19 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.84 60.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.94 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:31 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 6 at PITT 19) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 3 yds to the Pitt 22 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.06 58.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 78

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.30 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:12 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 3 at PITT 22) PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Marquis Williams) to the Pitt 17 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.74 54.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.29 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:52 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 8 at PITT 17) Kenny Pickett sacked by Trenton Simpson for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 14 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.54 53.6% -2.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 86

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.50 - -0.96 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:18 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 11 at PITT 14) Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 47 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.29 49.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 53

Started Drive at: PITT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.67 - -2.38 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 46 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.09 51.2% -3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 54

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.61 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:48 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at CLEM 46) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the Pitt 44 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.27 47.2% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 44

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.52 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.2%

Win Probability (After): 51.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:22 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 1 at PITT 44) CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Matt Bockhorst) to the Pitt 49 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.18 50.3% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 2.80 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:56 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at PITT 49) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -2.02 49.2% -6.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.62 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:50 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at PITT 49) Will Spiers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 9 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.35 41.2% 6.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 91

Started Drive at: CLEM 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - -0.47 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:43 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 9) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas Krull - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.90 53.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: PITT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - 0.07 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 51.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 9) Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 9 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.95 52.6% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: PITT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -0.80 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:01 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 10 at PITT 9) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 6 yds to the Pitt 15 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.46 49.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 85

Started Drive at: PITT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - -1.74 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:20 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 4 at PITT 15) Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 37 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.06 48.1% 4.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 63

Started Drive at: PITT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -2.02 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:16 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 37) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Braden Galloway - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.63 47.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.10 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:08 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 37) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 15 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.73 44.6% 4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 1.38 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:44 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 48) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.57 50.5% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 3.12 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:14 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at PITT 46) Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.16 50.0% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.53 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:44 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.62 50.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.62 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:37 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at PITT 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Brown for 12 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.38 50.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 26

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 2.99 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:04 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 26) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Damarri Mathis return for 15 yds to the Pitt 20 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -5.10 54.3% -8.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 4.34 = -5.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:00 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 20) Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.25 54.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 0.75 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:40 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 4 at PITT 26) Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.71 57.9% -5.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.98 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:09 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 2 at PITT 28) Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.33 53.3% 7.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 0.37 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:41 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 32) Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 35 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.35 58.3% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.75 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.3%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:13 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 7 at PITT 35) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan Addison - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.91 55.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.36 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 53.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:07 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at PITT 35) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 9 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 2.01 53.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.46 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:44 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 44) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -0.62 58.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 2.48 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.6%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:42 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 44) Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.61 57.1% -6.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.85 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:07 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 12 at PITT 42) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas Krull - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.24 49.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.24 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:58 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 12 at PITT 42) Kirk Christodoulou punt for 58 yds for a touchback - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.23 46.6% 6.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 80

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -1.01 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:52 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 18 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 1.30 47.0% 4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 0.79 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 38) Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Clem 44 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.29 51.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.08 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 44) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 42 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 -1.43 52.4% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.36 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.4%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:14 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 36 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 3.73 48.7% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 22

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 0.92 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:51 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 22) Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Pitt 15 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.44 57.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 15

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.11 - 4.67 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:17 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 3 at PITT 15) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.85 61.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.95 - 5.11 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:49 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at PITT 5) Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Pitt 1 - CLEM 0, PITT 0 0.35 62.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.29 - 5.94 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:29 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at PITT 1) Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.70 62.2% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:29 ESPN team id 221 (Kickoff at PITT 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.00 34.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 25) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Vincent Davis - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.55 34.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.14 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:18 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 25) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 1.55 31.7% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - -0.41 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.41)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 36) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the Pitt 40 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.15 31.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.17 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:27 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 6 at PITT 40) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 9 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.97 31.5% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.03 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.97)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:06 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 49) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 16 yds Lucas Krull fumbled, forced by Nolan Turner, recovered by Clem Etinosa Reuben - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -4.89 33.3% -4.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - 1.98 = -4.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 35) Kobe Pace run for 12 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.48 70.8% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 53

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 2.88 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 47) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 49 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.50 71.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 3.35 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:26 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at CLEM 49) Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.78 70.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 50

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.84 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.84)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:50 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at 50) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn Ross - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -1.71 70.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 2.04 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:44 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at 50) Will Spiers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 11 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.16 67.9% -2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 89

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.34 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:35 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 11) Israel Abanikanda run for 24 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 1.63 35.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.49 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:10 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 35) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 25 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 1.78 35.8% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 40

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 1.13 = 1.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:42 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 40) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.61 41.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 2.87 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:37 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 40) Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Clem 37 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.99 38.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.33 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:01 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 37) Kenny Pickett sacked by Baylon Spector for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 46 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -2.46 35.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 46

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - 1.49 = -2.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:19 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 16 at CLEM 46) Kirk Christodoulou punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 2 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.06 29.9% 2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 98

Started Drive at: PITT 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.63 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:16 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 2) Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 5 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.26 67.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 95

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.58 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:46 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at CLEM 5) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 1.37 67.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 85

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 0.31 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.31)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:26 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 15) Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 19 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.32 69.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.72 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.72)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at CLEM 19) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 7 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.92 69.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 74

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 1.38 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:28 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 26) D.J. Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 24 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.99 71.1% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.14 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:49 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 12 at CLEM 24) Will Shipley run for 14 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 2.05 64.3% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 0.73 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:23 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will Shipley - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.42 68.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.25 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the Clem 44 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.16 67.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.79 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.79)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:46 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 44) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis Allen - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -1.75 67.8% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.72 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.72)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:37 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 4 at CLEM 44) Will Spiers punt for 45 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 10 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.42 65.0% 3.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 90

Started Drive at: CLEM 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - -0.10 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.0%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:33 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 10) Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 13 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.39 31.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 87

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - -0.33 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:06 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 7 at PITT 13) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 19 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.31 31.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 81

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.68 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:44 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 1 at PITT 19) Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.59 30.8% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - -0.18 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:14 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 21) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan Addison - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.40 33.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.43 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 21) Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 21 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.86 32.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - -0.09 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:46 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 10 at PITT 21) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 13 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 2.48 32.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 66

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - -1.05 = 2.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:24 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 34) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 8 yds to the Pitt 42 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.32 35.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.33 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 2 at PITT 42) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.68 35.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 1.93 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:54 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 2 at PITT 42) Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.73 34.7% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 1.32 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:20 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 45) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 29 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 0 1.93 35.9% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 2.06 = 1.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 26) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.31 41.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.81 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 26) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 03:59 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 0.00 40.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:52 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 26) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 3 yds to the Clem 23 - CLEM 7, PITT 0 -0.44 41.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.37 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 23) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 7 4.05 39.6% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.95 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.00 50.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.62 50.9% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 1.31 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:09 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 25) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.75 48.3% -4.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.68 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:09 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at CLEM 25) Timeout PITTSBURGH, clock 03:09 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.00 43.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:03 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at CLEM 25) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn Ross - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -1.30 44.2% -5.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - -0.08 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:52 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 10 at CLEM 25) Will Spiers punt for 51 yds, downed at the Pitt 24 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.12 39.2% 5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -1.37 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:46 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 24) Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.51 55.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.32 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:27 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 8 at PITT 26) Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Wayne, Jared, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Simpson, Trenton) 9 yards to the PITTSBURGH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH. - CLEM 7, PITT 7 1.05 53.9% 3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 65

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.91 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:21 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 35) Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Warren, Carter) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH25, NO PLAY. - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.97 57.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 2.10 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:15 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 20 at PITT 25) Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.48 54.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.23 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:48 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 18 at PITT 27) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Baylon Spector) to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 7 1.72 53.5% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 0.58 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:44 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 42) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 7 yds to the Pitt 49 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.10 60.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.25 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:22 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 3 at PITT 49) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 7 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.54 60.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 2.25 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 44) Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the Clem 39 - CLEM 7, PITT 7 0.37 61.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 2.69 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:52 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jaylon Barden - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -0.42 62.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.98 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda - CLEM 7, PITT 7 -1.24 60.7% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 2.51 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 5 at CLEM 39) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 14 5.85 56.4% 21.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 99

Started Drive at: PITT 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.15 = 5.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 62 yds , Will Shipley return for 32 yds to the Clem 35 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.30 24.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.28 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.72)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 35) D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 -0.17 24.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.45 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 12 at CLEM 33) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 00:20 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.00 23.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:15 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 12 at CLEM 33) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou - CLEM 7, PITT 14 -0.03 21.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.15 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:10 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 12 at CLEM 33) Kobe Pace run for 8 yds to the Clem 41 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 -0.08 20.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.08 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.00 20.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the Clem 31 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.40 22.8% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.39 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:33 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 31) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 9 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.67 23.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.25 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:57 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 40) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the Clem 46 D.J. Uiagalelei fumbled, forced by Brandon Hill, recovered by Clem Ajou Ajou - CLEM 7, PITT 14 0.35 25.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.11 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.89)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:16 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 46) Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the Clem 47 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 -0.77 28.3% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.48 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:36 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at CLEM 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 14 1.32 27.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 0.71 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:11 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 49) Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47 - CLEM 7, PITT 14 -0.55 29.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 2.01 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at PITT 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD, (Sam Scarton KICK) - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -8.56 28.1% -19.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.56 = -8.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 62 yds , Will Shipley return for 27 yds to the Clem 30 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 0.56 9.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - -0.49 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:19 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 30) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 32 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -0.50 9.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - -0.04 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:49 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at CLEM 32) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 34 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -0.42 9.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.91 - -0.48 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.48)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 34) Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Justyn Ross for 14 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 21 2.39 8.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 52

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.88 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:37 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 48) Taisun Phommachanh run for 17 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 21 1.25 11.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.55 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:18 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 35) Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Pitt 32 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -0.18 11.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 32

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 2.98 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:43 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at PITT 32) Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Pitt 28 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 0.21 11.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 2.65 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.35)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at PITT 28) Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST down - CLEM 7, PITT 21 1.11 11.1% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 23

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.69 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.31)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:41 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 23) Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Justyn Ross - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -0.70 11.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 3.81 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.19)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.9%

Win Probability (After): 11.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:37 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at PITT 23) Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -0.84 11.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.14 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.86)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at PITT 23) Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 25 - CLEM 7, PITT 21 -1.61 9.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.30 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.70)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 7, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:56 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 12 at PITT 25) B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 21 2.38 8.3% 6.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: CLEM 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.62 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.38)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:56 ESPN team id 221 (Kickoff at PITT 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - CLEM 10, PITT 21 0.00 92.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.07)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:51 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 25) Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 0.23 92.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.09 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.09)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:15 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 4 at PITT 31) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 7 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 21 0.61 92.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 62

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.30 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 38) Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.59 92.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 61

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.89 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.89)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:21 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 9 at PITT 39) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 21 1.25 92.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 48

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 2.34 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.34)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:58 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 48) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jaylon Barden for no gain to the Clem 48 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.62 93.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.60 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.60)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:22 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 48) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 22 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 21 1.72 92.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 3.00 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.00)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:56 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 26) Pickett, Kenny rush for 3 yards to the CLEMSON23, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Kradel, Jake) 10 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY. - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.97 94.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 36

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 4.71 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.71)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:35 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 20 at CLEM 36) Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Clem 34 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.66 93.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 34

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.72 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.72)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:09 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 18 at CLEM 34) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 7 yds to the Clem 27 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (Vincent Davis) to the Clem 42 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.74 92.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 42

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.07 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.06)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 26 at CLEM 42) Israel Abanikanda run for 16 yds to the Clem 26 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 0.98 92.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.34 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.34)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:02 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 10 at CLEM 26) Pickett, Kenny pass complete to Jacques-Louis, Shocky for 12 yards to the CLEMSON14, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Minor, Marcus) 10 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY. - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -1.41 93.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 36

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 3.35 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.35)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 20 at CLEM 36) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 10 yds to the Clem 26 - CLEM 10, PITT 21 -0.07 92.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.98 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 10 at CLEM 26) Sam Scarton 44 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 24 1.10 92.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.90 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.90)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds , Will Shipley return for 29 yds to the Clem 29 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 0.46 7.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: CLEM 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - -0.42 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 29) Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the Clem 32 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.49 7.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 0.04 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:34 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at CLEM 32) Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.87 6.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.45 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 32) Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -1.17 6.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.47 - -1.31 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.31)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at CLEM 32) Will Spiers punt for 48 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for no gain to the Pitt 20 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 0.04 5.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -2.47 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.47)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:13 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 20) Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 24 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.31 95.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.42 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.42)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 6 at PITT 24) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 18 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 24 1.24 95.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 58

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.09 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.09)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:33 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 42) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 46 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.21 96.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.37 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.37)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:02 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 6 at PITT 46) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 49 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.38 96.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.12 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:31 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 3 at PITT 49) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 13 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 24 1.52 95.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 38

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 2.70 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.70)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:53 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 38) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 10 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 24 0.57 97.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 4.18 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:16 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 28) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 13 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 24 0.62 97.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 15

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.31 - 4.70 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.70)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:42 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 15) Hammond Jr., Rodney rush for 2 yards to the CLEMSON13, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Houy, Gabe) 10 yards to the CLEMSON25, NO PLAY. - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -1.01 98.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 25

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 5.27 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:15 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 20 at CLEM 25) Hammond Jr., Rodney rush for 6 yards to the CLEMSON19, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON30, NO PLAY. - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.29 98.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 30

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 4.26 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.26)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:49 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 25 at CLEM 30) Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Clem 28 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.69 98.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 4.01 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:16 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 23 at CLEM 28) Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 12 yds to the Clem 16 - CLEM 10, PITT 24 0.37 98.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 16

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.27 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:34 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 11 at CLEM 16) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall - CLEM 10, PITT 24 -0.95 98.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 3.60 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 221 (4th & 11 at CLEM 16) Sam Scarton 34 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.35 98.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: PITT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.65)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Ben Sauls kickoff for 56 yds , Will Shipley return for 19 yds to the Clem 28 - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.31 1.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - -0.05 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.05)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:17 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 27 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 27 2.07 1.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 45

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 0.25 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.75)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:57 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 45) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Dacari Collins - CLEM 10, PITT 27 -0.65 1.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.29 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.71)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:52 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at PITT 45) Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete to Ajou, Ajou, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Bright, Cam) 12 yards to the PITTSBURGH33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON. - CLEM 10, PITT 27 1.64 1.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 1.57 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.43)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 33) Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Mathis, Damarri) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON. - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.69 1.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 23

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.11 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.89)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:41 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at PITT 23) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the Pitt 16 - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.83 2.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 16

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 3.82 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.18)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:12 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 3 at PITT 16) Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST down - CLEM 10, PITT 27 0.75 2.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 4.64 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.36)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-11.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 10, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at PITT 6) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.59 2.2% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-11.59)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 221 (Kickoff at PITT 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 94.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.46)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:50 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 25) Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.52 94.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 1.45 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:47 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 10 at PITT 25) Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.82 93.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.90 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:01 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 7 at PITT 28) Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.96 93.9% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 0.14 = 1.96

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.14)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 36) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.36 96.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.18 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.18)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:42 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 7 at PITT 39) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 40 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.26 96.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.37 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.37)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 6 at PITT 40) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 05:40 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 96.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.11 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.11)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 6 at PITT 40) Timeout PITTSBURGH, clock 05:40 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 96.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.81)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:36 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 6 at PITT 40) Kenny Pickett run for 7 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST down - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.25 96.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 0.97 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.97)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:59 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at PITT 47) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Clem 47 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.22 98.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.41 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.41)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 47) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 45 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.14 98.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.40 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.40)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:12 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 2 at CLEM 45) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 04:12 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 98.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.26)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 2 at CLEM 45) Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST down - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.01 98.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 1.97 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.97)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:26 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 39) Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Clem 38 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.26 99.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 2.81 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.81)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:25 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 9 at CLEM 38) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 03:25 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 99.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 2.54 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.54)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:20 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 9 at CLEM 38) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Clem 34 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.05 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.35 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:28 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 5 at CLEM 34) Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Justin Mascoll) to the Clem 17 for a 1ST down - CLEM 17, PITT 27 1.96 99.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 17

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 2.15 = 1.96

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.29)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:03 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 17) Timeout PITTSBURGH, clock 02:03 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 0.00 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.26)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:00 ESPN team id 221 (1st & 10 at CLEM 17) TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 20 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -1.57 99.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 20

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 4.02 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.02)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:22 ESPN team id 221 (2nd & 13 at CLEM 20) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 22 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.24 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 22

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.19 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.19)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 221 (3rd & 15 at CLEM 22) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 26 - CLEM 17, PITT 27 -0.74 99.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 26

Started Drive at: PITT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.03 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 17, PITT 27

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1