Georgia Tech 40 @ Virginia 48

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.29 | Odds: UVA -6.5, O/U 65.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Total Plays 9383
Total EPA 26.134.2
  Offensive EPA 25.5633.69
  Special Teams EPA -0.080.45
  Penalty EPA -0.090.41
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.71-0.35
Production ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Scrimmage Plays 7871
  Yards 597630
  Yards/Play 7.658.87
  EPA 25.5633.69
  EPA/Play 0.330.47
Passes 45 (58%)43 (61%)
  Yards 310388
  Yards/Play 6.899.02
  EPA 10.6020.41
  EPA/Play 0.240.47
Rushes 33 (42%)28 (39%)
  Yards 304256
  Yards/Play 9.219.14
  EPA 14.9613.28
  EPA/Play 0.450.47
Rushing ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Scrimmage Plays 7871
Rushes 33 (42%)28 (39%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 3 (9%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 0 (0%)2 (7%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 7 (21%)3 (11%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 21 (64%)23 (82%)
OL Line Yards 74.551
  Per Carry 2.261.82
Highlight Yards 152105
  Per Rush Opportunity 7.244.57
Explosiveness ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Total Plays 9383
Scrimmage Plays 7871
Explosive Plays 7 (9%)7 (10%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (9%)4 (9%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (9%)3 (11%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -3.6010.11
  EPA/Play -0.050.16
  When Passing -3.794.41
    EPA/Play -0.080.10
  When Rushing 0.205.70
    EPA/Play 0.010.23
Situational ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 42 (54%)38 (54%)
  When Passing 24 (53%)21 (49%)
  When Rushing 18 (55%)17 (61%)
  On Standard Downs 35 (60%)30 (59%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (35%)8 (40%)
  On Early Downs 35 (55%)31 (51%)
  On Late Downs 7 (50%)7 (70%)
  During "Middle 8" 2 (50%)10 (43%)
Early Downs 6461
  First Downs Created 15 (23%)23 (38%)
  EPA 15.9216.84
  EPA/Play 0.250.28
  Passes 37 (58%)36 (59%)
  Rushes 27 (42%)25 (41%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 20 (54%)16 (44%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 15 (56%)15 (60%)
"Middle 8" Plays 423
  EPA -0.402.39
  EPA/play -0.100.10
  Passes 3 (75%)15 (65%)
  Rushes 1 (25%)8 (35%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (33%)6 (40%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (100%)4 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Total 1311
Avg Starting Field Position Own 28Own 22
Plays/Drive 7.767.83
Yards/Drive 51.6566.75
Available Yards % 72%86%
Defensive ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Scrimmage Plays 7178
Stop Rate 7%21%
Havoc Plays Created 1 (1%)2 (3%)
  Passing 1 (2%)2 (4%)
  Rushing 0 (0%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 11
  Passing 11
  Rushing 00
Sacks Generated 1 (2%)1 (2%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Turnovers 10
  Fumbles 00
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 0.20.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 59 ESPN team id 258
Total Plays 15 12
Total EPA -0.08 0.45
  Field Goal EPA 1.74 0.64
  Punting EPA -1.82 0.5
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -0.69

Georgia Tech [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jeff Sims 27/44, 310 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 59.4 xQBR 6.89 0.24 10.60 53% -8.0%
Rush attempts
Jeff Sims 9 carries, 72 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.71 6.36 78% 3.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs 13 carries, 134 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.31 0.43 5.61 38% 18.0%
Jordan Mason 8 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.25 0.21 1.71 50% 5.0%
Dontae Smith 3 carries, 40 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.33 0.43 1.28 67% 1.0%
Pass targets
Adonicas Sanders 6 catches (7 targets), 79 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.17 1.29 9.03 86% 10.0%
Kyric McGowan 7 catches (12 targets), 86 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.29 0.35 4.21 58% -6.0%
Nate McCollum 3 catches (5 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.67 0.43 2.16 40% 7.0%
Kalani Norris 1 catch (4 targets), 37 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 37.00 0.51 2.03 25% -4.0%
Malachi Carter 2 catches (3 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.21 0.62 67% 0.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs 3 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.67 0.12 0.36 67% 1.0%
Jordan Mason 2 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.12 0.35 67% 4.0%
Peje' Harris 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.07 -0.14 50% -5.0%
Dylan Leonard 2 catches (3 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 -0.76 -2.28 0% -3.0%

Virginia [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brennan Armstrong 28/42, 388 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 107.2 xQBR 9.02 0.47 20.41 49% 52.0%
Rush attempts
Brennan Armstrong 8 carries, 97 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.12 0.55 4.37 62% 12.0%
B. Armstrong 2 carries, 18 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 2.14 4.28 100% 15.0%
Keytaon Thompson 7 carries, 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.29 0.42 2.94 71% -9.0%
Wayne Taulapapa 8 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.75 0.11 0.87 50% 2.0%
Devin Darrington 3 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.33 0.27 0.82 33% -1.0%
Pass targets
Dontayvion Wicks 6 catches (11 targets), 168 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 28.00 1.06 11.65 55% 42.0%
Keytaon Thompson 9 catches (12 targets), 89 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.89 0.48 5.72 50% 8.0%
Jelani Woods 3 catches (3 targets), 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 1.10 3.31 100% 6.0%
Billy Kemp IV 7 catches (11 targets), 42 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.17 1.89 45% 13.0%
Ra'Shaun Henry 1 catch (2 targets), 20 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 0.91 1.82 50% -2.0%
Grant Misch 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.58 -0.58 0% 0.0%
Wayne Taulapapa 2 catches (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.74 -1.48 0% -12.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to Jeff Sims for Two-Point Conversion) - GT 24, UVA 27 7.99 10.7% 19.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 0.01 = 7.99

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 21 6.92 52.3% 21.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.08 = 6.92

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at GT 44) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST down - GT 22, UVA 41 4.96 0.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 18

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - -0.73 = 4.96

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.73)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-14.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 37 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 34, UVA 48 4.95 0.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.05 = 4.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.95)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 28) Jeff Sims pass intercepted - GT 16, UVA 14 -4.83 53.8% -11.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 3.82 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 8 at GT 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 25 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down - GT 0, UVA 0 3.65 27.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - -0.74 = 3.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 37) Brennan Armstrong run for 45 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 7 3.30 40.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 18

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 1.29 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 16 at UVA 19) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 23 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 3.28 84.1% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 58

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - -0.75 = 3.28

Score Difference (Before): 8 (7.25)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 7, UVA 0 3.23 43.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.77 = 3.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 13) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 14 3.09 40.3% 19.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) kickoff for 14 yds - GT 34, UVA 48 0.66 99.4% -77.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.98 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.98)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) kickoff for 15 yds - GT 40, UVA 48 0.56 97.9% -74.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.20 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.20)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 21 6.92 52.3% 21.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.08 = 6.92

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to Jeff Sims for Two-Point Conversion) - GT 24, UVA 27 7.99 10.7% 19.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 0.01 = 7.99

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 13) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 14 3.09 40.3% 19.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 13, UVA 7 0.58 35.6% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) B. Armstrong run for 4 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK) - GT 24, UVA 34 2.47 74.9% 12.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 26 (24) Home Score: 27 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 28) Jeff Sims pass intercepted - GT 16, UVA 14 -4.83 53.8% -11.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 3.82 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at UVA 18) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the Virg 23 - GT 16, UVA 7 -0.82 47.4% -10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -0.02 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.02)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds , Billy Kemp IV return for 30 yds to the VIRGINIA 35 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Darrington) to the Virg 17 - GT 13, UVA 7 0.35 38.4% 10.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.28 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-12.98)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 16 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 7, UVA 0 3.23 43.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.77 = 3.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UVA 3) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia PAT BLOCKED) - GT 13, UVA 0 0.95 62.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 5.97 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.97)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 13, UVA 7 0.58 35.6% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at UVA 9) Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 7 0.19 59.5% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.81 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.81)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 13) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 14 3.09 40.3% 19.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 21 6.92 52.3% 21.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.08 = 6.92

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 258 (4th & Goal at GT 6) Brendan Farrell 24 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 24 0.49 80.9% 3.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.51 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.51)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 6 at GT 8) Brendan Farrell 26 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 27 0.14 89.1% 2.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to Jeff Sims for Two-Point Conversion) - GT 24, UVA 27 7.99 10.7% 19.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 0.01 = 7.99

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) B. Armstrong run for 4 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK) - GT 24, UVA 34 2.47 74.9% 12.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 26 (24) Home Score: 27 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 14) B. Armstrong run for 14 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK) - GT 24, UVA 41 1.81 95.6% 2.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.19 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.19)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 9 at UVA 17) Brent Cimaglia 34 Yd Field Goal - GT 27, UVA 41 1.55 0.7% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 22 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 20) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 20 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 27, UVA 48 2.71 99.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.29 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.29)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 96 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 37 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 34, UVA 48 4.95 0.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.05 = 4.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.95)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:22 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at UVA 5) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - GT 40, UVA 48 0.86 2.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.14 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.86)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 34 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 0, UVA 0 0.00 29.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - GT 0, UVA 0 -0.64 31.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 25) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 27 - GT 0, UVA 0 -0.96 29.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.22 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 8 at GT 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 25 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down - GT 0, UVA 0 3.65 27.8% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - -0.74 = 3.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 48) Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down - GT 0, UVA 0 0.73 36.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 36

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 2.91 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 0, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 7, UVA 0 3.23 43.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.77 = 3.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 7, UVA 0 0.00 49.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -0.19 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd to the Virg 26 - GT 7, UVA 0 -0.48 49.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - -0.19 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at UVA 26) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 1 yd to the Virg 27 - GT 7, UVA 0 -0.93 48.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.67 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 8 at UVA 27) VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declined - GT 7, UVA 0 -1.01 46.9% -2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -1.60 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 6 at UVA 29) Jacob Finn punt for 52 yds , Azende Rey returns for 2 yds to the GTech 21 - GT 7, UVA 0 0.47 44.5% 2.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 79

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.96 - -2.43 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 21) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 24 - GT 7, UVA 0 -0.46 52.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.99 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - GT 7, UVA 0 -1.12 52.1% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.53 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.1%

Win Probability (After): 50.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 7 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 14 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST down - GT 7, UVA 0 2.56 50.1% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 62

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 0.42 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 38) Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the GTech 46 - GT 7, UVA 0 0.49 55.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.98 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 2 at GT 46) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 47 - GT 7, UVA 0 -0.56 56.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.47 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at GT 47) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down - GT 7, UVA 0 0.54 55.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.90 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 48) Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the Virg 45 - GT 7, UVA 0 0.31 56.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 45

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 3.45 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 56.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at UVA 45) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 16 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down - GT 7, UVA 0 0.83 56.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 29

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 3.76 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 57.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 29) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the Virg 22 - GT 7, UVA 0 0.42 57.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 4.59 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at UVA 22) Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST down - GT 7, UVA 0 0.32 59.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 16

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 5.01 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.0%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 16) Sims,Jeff pass intercepted by Blount,Joey at UVA00 Blount,Joey return 42 yards to the UVA42 (Leonard,Dylan; Sanders,Adonicas) PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Taylor,Noah) 8 yards from UVA16 to UVA08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - GT 7, UVA 0 0.38 59.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.70 - 5.32 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UVA 8) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the Virg 3 - GT 7, UVA 0 0.26 60.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.97 - 5.70 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 7, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UVA 3) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia PAT BLOCKED) - GT 13, UVA 0 0.95 62.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 5.97 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.97)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds - GT 13, UVA 0 0.00 35.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.91)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 16 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 0 1.42 35.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 0.09 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.91)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 41) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - GT 13, UVA 0 -0.56 37.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.51 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.49)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 41) Brennan Armstrong run for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 0 1.73 36.6% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 42

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 0.95 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.05)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 42) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the GTech 35 - GT 13, UVA 0 0.56 38.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.68 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.32)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 38.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 3 at GT 35) Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 0 0.59 38.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 3.24 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-9.76)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 28) Keytaon Thompson run for 12 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 0 0.90 40.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 16

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 3.83 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-9.17)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 16) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the GTech 7 - GT 13, UVA 0 0.85 42.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 7

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 4.73 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.27)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-7.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 1 at GT 7) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 6 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 0 0.80 43.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.38 - 5.58 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-7.42)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-6.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 13, UVA 7 0.58 35.6% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.42 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 13, UVA 7 0.00 55.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.48)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 31 - GT 13, UVA 7 0.31 55.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.48 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.48)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at GT 31) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 34 - GT 13, UVA 7 -0.19 55.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.79 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.79)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at GT 34) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 35 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 7 0.65 55.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 1.59 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.59)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 17 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 7 0.88 56.1% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.25 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.25)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 48) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 2 yds to the Virg 46 - GT 13, UVA 7 -0.51 59.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.13 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:53 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at UVA 46) Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 7 1.04 58.4% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.62 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.62)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 11 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 7 0.74 62.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 26

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 3.61 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.61)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 26) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 8 yds to the Virg 18 - GT 13, UVA 7 0.61 59.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 18

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 4.30 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.30)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 2 at UVA 18) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST down - GT 13, UVA 7 0.09 60.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 4.92 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.92)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 14) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' Harris - GT 13, UVA 7 -0.58 61.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 5.01 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 14) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the Virg 9 - GT 13, UVA 7 -0.32 60.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 4.43 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at UVA 9) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - GT 13, UVA 7 -1.30 60.0% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 4.11 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.11)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at UVA 9) Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 7 0.19 59.5% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.81 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.81)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds , Billy Kemp IV return for 30 yds to the VIRGINIA 35 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Darrington) to the Virg 17 - GT 13, UVA 7 0.35 38.4% 10.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.28 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-12.98)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 16 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 17) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 1 yd to the Virg 18 - GT 13, UVA 7 -0.65 49.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 82

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.63 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.37)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 13, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at UVA 18) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the Virg 23 - GT 16, UVA 7 -0.82 47.4% -10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -0.02 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.02)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 4 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 14 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 7 2.14 36.6% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - -0.85 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.85)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 37) Brennan Armstrong run for 45 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 7 3.30 40.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 18

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 1.29 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 18) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson - GT 16, UVA 7 -0.65 48.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.59 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.41)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.6%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at GT 18) Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the GTech 13 - GT 16, UVA 7 -0.04 46.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 13

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 3.95 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.05)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.8%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 13) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 14 3.09 40.3% 19.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.91 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 16, UVA 14 0.00 47.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.18)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - GT 16, UVA 14 -0.54 47.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.18 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.18)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 25) Jordan Mason run for 21 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 14 1.82 46.9% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 54

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.64 = 1.82

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.64)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 46) Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 49 - GT 16, UVA 14 -0.44 50.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.46 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.46)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at GT 49) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 14 1.16 49.9% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 41

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 2.02 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.02)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 41) Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the Virg 32 - GT 16, UVA 14 0.87 52.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 32

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.18 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.18)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at UVA 32) Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 14 0.01 53.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 28

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.05 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.05)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 28) Jeff Sims pass intercepted - GT 16, UVA 14 -4.83 53.8% -11.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 3.82 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 18) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the Virg 23 - GT 16, UVA 14 -0.07 57.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.05 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.95)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 5 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun Henry - GT 16, UVA 14 -0.89 57.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.98 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.02)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 16, UVA 21 6.92 52.3% 21.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.08 = 6.92

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 16, UVA 21 0.00 26.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.97 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.03)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Gibbs,Jahmyr rush for 15 yards gain to the GT40 (Grant,Nick; Blount,Joey) PENALTY GT Holding (McGowan,Kyric) 10 yards from GT25 to GT15. NO PLAY. - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.81 26.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.97 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.03)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 20 at GT 15) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the GTech 10 - GT 16, UVA 21 -1.09 24.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 90

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 0.15 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.85)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 25 at GT 10) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 11 yds to the GTech 21 - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.04 23.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 79

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.93 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.93)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 14 at GT 21) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 26 - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.62 22.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 74

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.59 - -0.97 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.97)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 9 at GT 26) David Shanahan punt for 27 yds - GT 16, UVA 21 -1.05 22.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 53

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - -1.32 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.32)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 47) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.46 79.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.95 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.95)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 47) Wayne Taulapapa run for 15 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 21 1.35 78.4% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 38

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.49 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.49)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 38) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 28 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 21 1.97 80.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 10

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 2.84 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.84)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 10) Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the GTech 10 - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.52 83.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 4.81 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.81)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & Goal at GT 10) Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the GTech 6 - GT 16, UVA 21 -0.37 82.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.28 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.28)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 6) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - GT 16, UVA 21 -1.26 81.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.91 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.91)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 258 (4th & Goal at GT 6) Brendan Farrell 24 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 24 0.49 80.9% 3.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.51 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.51)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 16, UVA 24 0.00 17.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 0.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.43)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.8%

Win Probability (After): 17.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.65 17.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.57 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.43)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 40) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the GTech 45 - GT 16, UVA 24 0.03 19.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 1.22 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.78)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 45) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi Carter - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.32 19.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.25 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.75)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 45) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.76 18.6% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.92 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.08)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at GT 45) David Shanahan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 18 - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.55 16.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.15 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.85)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.40)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 18) Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 24 - GT 16, UVA 24 0.11 85.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 76

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.29 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.29)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 4 at UVA 24) Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.21 85.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.40 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.40)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:26 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 4 at UVA 24) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:26 - GT 16, UVA 24 0.00 85.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.62 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.62)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:26 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 30) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.02 84.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.41 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.41)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:26 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 30) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.09 84.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.38 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:26 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 10 at UVA 30) Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.35 84.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 58

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.30 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.30)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 10 at UVA 30) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:06 - GT 16, UVA 24 0.00 83.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 58

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 42) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.42 85.0% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 0.23 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.23)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 42) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:01 - GT 16, UVA 24 0.00 85.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 0.65 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.65)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.38 86.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.38 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 16, UVA 24 0.00 88.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.53)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Brennan Armstrong sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the Virg 11 - GT 16, UVA 24 -1.93 88.5% -2.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 89

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.53 = -1.93

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.53)

Score Difference (End): 8 (7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 24 at UVA 11) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the Virg 19 - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.35 85.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 81

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.40 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 8 (7.60)

Score Difference (End): 8 (7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 16 at UVA 19) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 23 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 3.28 84.1% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 58

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - -0.75 = 3.28

Score Difference (Before): 8 (7.25)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 42) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.90 90.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.53 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.53)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 4 yds to the GTech 40 - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.07 90.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 40

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.42 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.42)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 6 at GT 40) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.77 90.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 31

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 3.35 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.35)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 31) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 19 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST down - GT 16, UVA 24 0.83 90.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 12

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 4.13 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.13)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 12) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.58 91.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 4.95 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.95)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at GT 12) Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the GTech 14 - GT 16, UVA 24 -1.34 91.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 14

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 4.37 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.37)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 12 at GT 14) Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the GTech 8 - GT 16, UVA 24 -0.40 90.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 8

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.02 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.02)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 6 at GT 8) Brendan Farrell 26 yd FG GOOD - GT 16, UVA 27 0.14 89.1% 2.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 16, UVA 27 0.00 11.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.08 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.92)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the GTech 29 - GT 16, UVA 27 -0.07 11.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.08 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.92)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 16, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to Jeff Sims for Two-Point Conversion) - GT 24, UVA 27 7.99 10.7% 19.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 0.01 = 7.99

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 29) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 09:00 - GT 18, UVA 27 0.00 30.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 3

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 8.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.08)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 18, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 24 (18) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 18, UVA 27 0.00 86.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.78 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.78)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 18, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Keytaon Thompson run for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down - GT 26, UVA 27 0.70 86.4% -9.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 1.78 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.78)

Score Difference (End): 9 (11.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 76.5%

Away Score: 18 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 20 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - GT 26, UVA 27 1.18 67.2% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.12 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - GT 26, UVA 27 -0.63 70.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 3.29 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.29)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at GT 44) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Wesley Walker) to the GTech 21 for a 1ST down - GT 26, UVA 27 2.01 68.8% 4.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 21

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 2.66 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.66)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 21) Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down - GT 26, UVA 27 0.90 73.7% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 7

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 4.68 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.68)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 7) Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the GTech 7 - GT 26, UVA 27 -0.65 75.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 5.57 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.57)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & Goal at GT 7) Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the GTech 4 - GT 26, UVA 27 -0.41 74.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.93 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.93)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 26, UVA 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.1%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 4) B. Armstrong run for 4 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK) - GT 24, UVA 34 2.47 74.9% 12.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 26 (24) Home Score: 27 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 24, UVA 34 0.00 12.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.00)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - GT 24, UVA 34 0.13 12.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.00 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.00)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 30) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - GT 24, UVA 34 0.92 12.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 0.13 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.87)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the GTech 42 - GT 24, UVA 34 0.17 13.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.05 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.95)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 42) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - GT 24, UVA 34 -0.86 13.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.22 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.78)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 42) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard - GT 24, UVA 34 -1.66 12.4% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - 0.36 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.64)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at GT 42) David Shanahan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 23 - GT 24, UVA 34 -0.54 11.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -1.32 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.32)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 32 - GT 24, UVA 34 0.78 92.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 68

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.87 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.87)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 1 at UVA 32) Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down - GT 24, UVA 34 0.11 92.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 2.65 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.65)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 38) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 14 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down - GT 24, UVA 34 0.69 92.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.76 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.76)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 48) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - GT 24, UVA 34 -0.63 93.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.45 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.45)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at GT 48) Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the GTech 44 - GT 24, UVA 34 -0.55 93.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.82 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.82)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 6 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST down - GT 24, UVA 34 1.65 92.4% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 38

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 2.27 = 1.65

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.27)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 38) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 24 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST down - GT 24, UVA 34 1.31 94.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 14

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 3.92 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.92)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 34

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (34)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 14) B. Armstrong run for 14 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK) - GT 24, UVA 41 1.81 95.6% 2.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.19 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.19)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 34 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 24, UVA 41 0.00 1.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.38)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - GT 24, UVA 41 -0.60 1.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.39 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.39)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 25) Dontae Smith run for 28 yds to the VIRGINIA 47 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamal Camp) to the GTech 18 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.71 1.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -0.99 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.99)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 24 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 17 at GT 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 7 yds to the GTech 25 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.12 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -1.70 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.70)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jordan Mason - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.99 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.81 - -1.82 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.82)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-21.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:51 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 10 at GT 25) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 22 - GT 22, UVA 41 0.32 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.58 - -2.90 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-21.90)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:51 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 22) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.55 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: UVA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.49 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.49)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:51 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 22) Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Virg 29 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.04 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 71

Started Drive at: UVA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.94 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.94)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 3 at UVA 29) PENALTY UVA False Start (Oluwatimi,Olusegun) 5 yards from UVA29 to UVA24. NO PLAY. - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.94 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 76

Started Drive at: UVA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.89 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 19 (20.89)

Score Difference (End): 19 (19.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:51 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 8 at UVA 24) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - GT 22, UVA 41 -1.38 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: UVA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 0.95 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 19 (19.95)

Score Difference (End): 19 (18.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 8 at UVA 24) Jacob Finn punt for 45 yds , Azende Rey returns for 4 yds to the GTech 35 - GT 22, UVA 41 0.04 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - -0.54 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 19 (18.46)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 35) Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 39 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.29 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.54 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.46)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 39) Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 42 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.14 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.24 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.76)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at GT 42) Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 44 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.83 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.10 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.90)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at GT 44) Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST down - GT 22, UVA 41 4.96 0.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 18

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - -0.73 = 4.96

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.73)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-14.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 18) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Virg 19 - GT 22, UVA 41 -1.29 1.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 19

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 4.22 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-14.78)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-16.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 11 at UVA 19) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - GT 22, UVA 41 -1.05 1.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.93 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.07)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 11 at UVA 19) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Virg 17 - GT 22, UVA 41 -0.51 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 17

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.88 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.12)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 22, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 9 at UVA 17) Brent Cimaglia 34 Yd Field Goal - GT 27, UVA 41 1.55 0.7% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 65

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 22 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 35) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 08:59 - GT 24, UVA 41 0.00 4.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 96

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.08)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 27 (24) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Jude Kelley kickoff for 61 yds , Billy Kemp IV return for no gain to the Virg 4 - GT 24, UVA 41 -2.25 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 96

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 1.98 = -2.25

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.98)

Score Difference (End): 17 (16.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 24, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 4) Devin Darrington run for 5 yds to the Virg 9 - GT 27, UVA 41 -0.09 99.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 91

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 0.84 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 24 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 5 at UVA 9) Devin Darrington run for 14 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 41 1.19 98.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 0.75 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.75)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - GT 27, UVA 41 -0.61 98.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.94 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 20 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 41 1.58 98.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 1.33 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.33)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 43) Devin Darrington run for 3 yds to the Virg 46 - GT 27, UVA 41 -0.28 98.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 2.91 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.91)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 46) Keytaon Thompson run for 20 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 41 1.58 98.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 34

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 2.64 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 34) Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the GTech 27 - GT 27, UVA 41 0.41 98.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 27

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 4.22 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.22)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 3 at GT 27) Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 41 0.26 98.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 20

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 4.63 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.63)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 20) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 20 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) - GT 27, UVA 48 2.71 99.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.29 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.29)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 96 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 41 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GT 27, UVA 48 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.71)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims sacked by Elliott Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 18 - GT 27, UVA 48 -1.04 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.29 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.71)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 17 at GT 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 23 - GT 27, UVA 48 -0.42 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.74 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.74)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 12 at GT 23) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 14 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 48 2.32 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -1.16 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.16)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 48 0.59 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 52

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 1.16 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 48) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Virg 47 - GT 27, UVA 48 0.24 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.75 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.25)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at UVA 47) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 10 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down - GT 27, UVA 48 0.89 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 1.99 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.01)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 37) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan - GT 27, UVA 48 -0.50 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.88 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.12)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 27, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 37 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) - GT 34, UVA 48 4.95 0.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.05 = 4.95

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.95)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) kickoff for 14 yds - GT 34, UVA 48 0.66 99.4% -77.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.98 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.98)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Sims,Jeff pass incomplete to Carter,Malachi PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (Johnson,Anthony) 15 yards from GT49 to UVA36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - GT 34, UVA 48 1.06 1.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 36

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 1.51 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:16 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 7 yds to the Virg 29 - GT 34, UVA 48 0.57 1.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.56 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 01:00 - GT 34, UVA 48 0.00 1.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 3.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.86)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at UVA 29) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani Norris - GT 34, UVA 48 -0.50 1.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 3.11 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.89)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at UVA 29) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST down - GT 34, UVA 48 1.62 1.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 14

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 2.61 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 14) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the Virg 5 - GT 34, UVA 48 1.14 2.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 5

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 4.23 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:27 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 14) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:27 - GT 34, UVA 48 0.00 2.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 5

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 5.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.63)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 34, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:22 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at UVA 5) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - GT 40, UVA 48 0.86 2.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.14 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.86)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 34 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) kickoff for 15 yds - GT 40, UVA 48 0.56 97.9% -74.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.20 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.20)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at 50) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 7 yds to the Virg 43 - GT 40, UVA 48 0.46 1.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.65 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.35)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at UVA 43) Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 12 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down - GT 40, UVA 48 1.10 2.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 31

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 1.12 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.88)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 31) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Adonicas Sanders - GT 40, UVA 48 -0.09 3.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.22 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:05 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 31) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:05 - GT 40, UVA 48 0.00 4.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 31) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' Harris - GT 40, UVA 48 0.43 4.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.91 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GT 40, UVA 48

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 40 (40) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1