Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 2.25 | Odds: MICH -23.5, O/U 51.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.27 7th %ile | 0.06 51st %ile |
| Success Rate | 33% 13th %ile | 50% 85th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 4.65 16th %ile | 5.31 31st %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.34 14th %ile | -0.19 23rd %ile |
| EPA/Rush | -0.16 22nd %ile | 0.21 79th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 4.03 13th %ile | 4.94 26th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 5% 15th %ile | 5% 15th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 25% 12th %ile | 59% 88th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 0% 5th %ile | 44% 58th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 8% 0th %ile | 32% 57th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 3% 8th %ile | 15% 75th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 70 | 94 |
| Total EPA | -21.56 | 4.29 |
| Offensive EPA | -14.87 | 4.76 |
| Special Teams EPA | -7.83 | -0.62 |
| Penalty EPA | 1.14 | 0.15 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 55 | 86 |
| Yards | 256 | 457 |
| Yards/Play | 4.65 | 5.31 |
| EPA | -14.87 | 4.76 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | 0.06 |
| Passes | 33 (60%) | 33 (38%) |
| Yards | 133 | 163 |
| Yards/Play | 4.03 | 4.94 |
| EPA | -11.32 | -6.24 |
| EPA/Play | -0.34 | -0.19 |
| Rushes | 22 (40%) | 53 (62%) |
| Yards | 112 | 304 |
| Yards/Play | 5.09 | 5.74 |
| EPA | -3.55 | 11.00 |
| EPA/Play | -0.16 | 0.21 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 55 | 86 |
| Rushes | 22 (40%) | 53 (62%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (9%) | 2 (4%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 2 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 7 (32%) | 4 (8%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 16 (73%) | 16 (30%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 6 (27%) | 30 (57%) |
| OL Line Yards | 13.3 | 107.8 |
| Per Carry | 0.60 | 2.03 |
| Highlight Yards | 76.5 | 88.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 12.75 | 2.95 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 70 | 94 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 55 | 86 |
| Explosive Plays | 3 (5%) | 4 (5%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 2 (6%) | 2 (6%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (5%) | 2 (4%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -26.76 | -5.32 |
| EPA/Play | -0.51 | -0.06 |
| When Passing | -17.27 | -11.51 |
| EPA/Play | -0.52 | -0.35 |
| When Rushing | -9.48 | 6.19 |
| EPA/Play | -0.45 | 0.12 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 18 (33%) | 43 (50%) |
| When Passing | 11 (33%) | 14 (42%) |
| When Rushing | 7 (32%) | 29 (55%) |
| On Standard Downs | 9 (29%) | 33 (52%) |
| On Passing Downs | 9 (38%) | 10 (45%) |
| On Early Downs | 13 (33%) | 30 (46%) |
| On Late Downs | 5 (31%) | 13 (62%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 2 (67%) | 11 (52%) |
| Early Downs | 39 | 65 |
| First Downs Created | 3 (8%) | 12 (18%) |
| EPA | -9.01 | -3.98 |
| EPA/Play | -0.23 | -0.06 |
| Passes | 21 (54%) | 22 (34%) |
| Rushes | 18 (46%) | 43 (66%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 7 (33%) | 9 (41%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 6 (33%) | 21 (49%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 3 | 21 |
| EPA | 5.95 | 0.58 |
| EPA/play | 1.98 | 0.03 |
| Passes | 0 (0%) | 8 (38%) |
| Rushes | 3 (100%) | 13 (62%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 3 (38%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (67%) | 8 (62%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 13 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 24 | Own 33 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.18 | 9.69 |
| Yards/Drive | 24.82 | 48.31 |
| Available Yards % | 33% | 72% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 86 | 55 |
| Stop Rate | 37% | 53% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 3 (3%) | 8 (15%) |
| Passing | 2 (6%) | 4 (12%) |
| Rushing | 1 (2%) | 4 (18%) |
| TFLs Generated | 2 | 7 |
| Passing | 1 | 3 |
| Rushing | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (3%) | 1 (3%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 1 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 3 | 2 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.7 | 0.7 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 3.6 | -3.6 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 15 | 8 |
| Total EPA | -7.83 | -0.62 |
| Field Goal EPA | -3.74 | -0.86 |
| Punting EPA | -3.21 | 0.16 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -0.89 | 0.08 |
Northwestern [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Carl Richardson | 2/3, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 15.9 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 6.33 | 1.01 | 3.04 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Ryan Hilinski | 14/29, 114 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 31.3 xQBR, 0.14 DETMER | 3.80 | -0.48 | -14.36 | 27% | -6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Evan Hull | 6 carries, 81 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.50 | 0.34 | 2.04 | 17% | 3.0% | |
| Marcus Cisco | 3 carries, 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.33 | 0.51 | 1.53 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Malik Washington | 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Ryan Hilinski | 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Andrew Clair | 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Jake Arthurs | 2 carries, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -0.50 | -0.54 | -1.08 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -7 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | -3.50 | -0.64 | -1.28 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Anthony Tyus III | 4 carries, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.75 | -0.37 | -1.49 | 25% | 0.0% | |
| Carl Richardson | 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | -2.00 | -3.78 | -3.78 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Evan Hull | 2 catches (2 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.50 | 1.18 | 2.37 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Malik Washington | 6 catches (6 targets), 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.50 | 0.37 | 2.22 | 67% | 3.0% | |
| Anthony Tyus III | 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Marshall Lang | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Jordan Mosley | 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Jacob Gill | 1 catch (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | -0.17 | -0.51 | 33% | 1.0% | |
| Trey Pugh | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.55 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Genson Hooper Price | 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.49 | -0.98 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Wayne Dennis Jr. | 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.07 | -1.07 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| JJ Jefferson | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.87 | -1.74 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Stephon Robinson Jr. | 2 catches (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.50 | -1.03 | -2.06 | 0% | -4.0% | |
Michigan [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Cade McNamara | 20/27, 129 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 55.9 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 4.61 | -0.10 | -2.79 | 43% | -2.0% | |
| J.J. McCarthy | 3/5, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 45.9 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 6.80 | -0.69 | -3.45 | 40% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Blake Corum | 19 carries, 119 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.26 | 0.27 | 5.20 | 53% | 11.0% | |
| Hassan Haskins | 23 carries, 110 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.78 | 0.21 | 4.73 | 57% | 4.0% | |
| J.J. McCarthy | 2 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 18.00 | 1.08 | 2.15 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| A.J. Henning | 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Cornelius Johnson | 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Andrel Anthony | 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Cade McNamara | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.35 | -0.35 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Donovan Edwards | 5 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.60 | -0.16 | -0.79 | 40% | 1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Cornelius Johnson | 3 catches (6 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.61 | 3.64 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Blake Corum | 4 catches (4 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.75 | 0.36 | 1.43 | 75% | 3.0% | |
| Erick All | 5 catches (6 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.80 | 0.21 | 1.23 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| A.J. Henning | 2 catches (2 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.50 | 0.19 | 0.37 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Luke Schoonmaker | 2 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Roman Wilson | 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.52 | -1.05 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Daylen Baldwin | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.11 | -2.22 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Mike Sainristil | 4 catches (6 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 8.25 | -0.49 | -2.95 | 33% | -7.0% | |
| Donovan Edwards | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 11.00 | -4.70 | -4.70 | 0% | 0.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Evan Hull run for 75 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) - NU 7, MICH 10 | 5.93 | 4.1% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.07 = 5.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:46 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 30) Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted DJ Turner return for 23 yds to the Nwest 15 - NU 7, MICH 27 | -4.70 | 0.4% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 15 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.41 - -0.70 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.70) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 45) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 11 yds Donovan Edwards fumbled, forced by Coco Azema, recovered by Nwest A.J. Hampton Jr. - NU 7, MICH 33 | -4.70 | 100.0% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 56 Started Drive at: MICH 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - 3.46 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.46) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:15 | |
(3rd & Goal at NU 3) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 1 yd Mike Sainristil fumbled, recovered by Nwest - NU 7, MICH 10 | -4.12 | 92.7% | -5.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 98 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.10 = -4.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:08 | |
(4th & 1 at MICH 47) Carl Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 49 Carl Richardson fumbled, recovered by Mich - NU 7, MICH 33 | -3.78 | 0.1% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 51 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.38 - 0.40 = -3.78 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.60) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(4th & 12 at MICH 22) Charlie Kuhbander 39 yd FG MISSED - NU 7, MICH 17 | -3.74 | 5.2% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 79 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - 2.01 = -3.74 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.99) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:42 | |
(3rd & 16 at NU 14) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 26 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 3.53 | 4.5% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 60 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - -2.30 = 3.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-12.30) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 6.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:01 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 31) Derek Adams punt blocked by Cornelius Johnson blocked by Cornelius Johnson Caden Kolesar return for 9 yds to the Nwest 24 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -2.73 | 4.3% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Blocked Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 24 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.61 - -1.89 = -2.73 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.89) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:22 | |
(3rd & 11 at NU 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 7 | 2.72 | 94.7% | 1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 36 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 1.12 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 12:15 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 45) Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 2.61 | 89.6% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 1.52 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 0:15 | |
(3rd & Goal at NU 3) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 1 yd Mike Sainristil fumbled, recovered by Nwest - NU 7, MICH 10 | -4.12 | 92.7% | -5.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 98 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.10 = -4.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Evan Hull run for 75 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) - NU 7, MICH 10 | 5.93 | 4.1% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.07 = 5.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(4th & 10 at NU 34) Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 21 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.31 | 7.7% | 4.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 79 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -1.16 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.85) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 11.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:55 | |
(4th & 11 at MICH 28) Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for 9 yds to the Nwest 33 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.18 | 88.0% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -2.00 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:11 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 26) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.91 | 87.2% | 3.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - -0.11 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:13 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 47) Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds for a touchback - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.74 | 91.8% | -3.4% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - -0.04 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:27 | |
(2nd & 9 at NU 21) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 8 yds to the Nwest 29 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.67 | 8.4% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.16 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 11.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:15 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 45) Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 2.61 | 89.6% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 1.52 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 34) MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 1.14 | 6.4% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 19 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.20 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.80) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 9.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:40 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 33) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.21 | 9.1% | -2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: NU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 1.75 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 6.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 12:49 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 1) Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.49 | 92.0% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.0% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(4th & 2 at NU 3) Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOOD - NU 0, MICH 10 | -0.18 | 95.6% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.18 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.18) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 97.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Evan Hull run for 75 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) - NU 7, MICH 10 | 5.93 | 4.1% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.07 = 5.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 11:36 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 5) Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 7, MICH 17 | 1.09 | 93.8% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.91) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.8% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:50 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 7, MICH 24 | 1.75 | 97.8% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.25 = 1.75 Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.25) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:40 | |
(4th & 3 at NU 27) Jake Moody 44 yd FG GOOD - NU 7, MICH 27 | 0.74 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.26 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.26) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.17 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.17 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 20 (26.17) Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 61 yds for a touchback - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:57 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 29 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 2.43 | 4.9% | 1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 46 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 0.64 = 2.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.9% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 46) Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Mich 44 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.01 | 6.4% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 3.17 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at MICH 44) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 47 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.85 | 6.4% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 2.67 = -1.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:22 | |
(3rd & 11 at MICH 47) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.43 | 6.6% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - 0.88 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 4.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:10 | |
(4th & 11 at MICH 47) Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, downed at the Mich 2 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.45 | 6.0% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 98 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - -0.57 = 1.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.88) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:06 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 2) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 4 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.16 | 91.8% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 96 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.83 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 92.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:51 | |
(2nd & 8 at MICH 4) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 6 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.64 | 91.1% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 94 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -1.05 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:14 | |
(3rd & 6 at MICH 6) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the Mich 12 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.99 | 90.4% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 88 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - -1.67 = 1.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:51 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 12) A.J. Henning run for 5 yds to the Mich 17 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.18 | 91.2% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.22 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at MICH 17) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.08 | 91.6% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 71 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 0.39 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.39) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 29) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 32 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.67 | 93.9% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.63 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at MICH 32) Cade McNamara sacked by Brandon Joseph for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 22 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -2.34 | 94.1% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - 1.12 = -2.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:28 | |
(3rd & 17 at MICH 22) Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Mich 28 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.57 | 91.5% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -1.24 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:55 | |
(4th & 11 at MICH 28) Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for 9 yds to the Nwest 33 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.18 | 88.0% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -2.00 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:40 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 33) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.21 | 9.1% | -2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: NU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 1.75 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 6.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:20 | |
(2nd & 6 at NU 37) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.96 | 8.5% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: NU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.58 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:13 | |
(3rd & 6 at NU 37) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 2 yds to the Nwest 39 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.41 | 8.3% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: NU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.68 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.68) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:30 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 39) Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mich 26 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.54 | 7.3% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 74 Started Drive at: NU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.36 - -0.83 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.3% Win Probability (After): 9.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:19 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 26) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 33 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.27 | 92.2% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.34 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.2% Win Probability (After): 90.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:49 | |
(2nd & 3 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 14 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.90 | 93.0% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 53 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 1.70 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 93.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:24 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 47) Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 06:24 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.00 | 93.4% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.59 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.59) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.4% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:17 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 47) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.64 | 93.6% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.62 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.6% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 47) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.95 | 93.2% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.98 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.2% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:43 | |
(3rd & 10 at MICH 47) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 6 yds to the Nwest 47 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.06 | 92.2% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.03 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.2% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:13 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 47) Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds for a touchback - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.74 | 91.8% | -3.4% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - -0.04 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:05 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 20) Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.62 | 12.0% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.78 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 11.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:27 | |
(2nd & 9 at NU 21) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 8 yds to the Nwest 29 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.67 | 8.4% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.16 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 11.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:16 | |
(3rd & 1 at NU 29) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 04:16 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.00 | 8.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.83 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:54 | |
(3rd & 1 at NU 29) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Marshall Lang for 5 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.10 | 8.2% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 0.82 = 1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.2% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:45 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 34) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.68 | 9.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.92 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 34) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to JJ Jefferson - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.92 | 8.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.24 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 8.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(3rd & 10 at NU 34) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jacob Gill - NU 0, MICH 0 | -1.47 | 8.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 0.31 = -1.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.0% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(4th & 10 at NU 34) Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 21 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.31 | 7.7% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 79 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -1.16 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.85) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 11.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:15 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 21) Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 22 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.66 | 89.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.86 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.2% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:39 | |
(2nd & 9 at MICH 22) Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 26 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.35 | 89.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - 0.22 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:11 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 26) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.91 | 87.2% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - -0.11 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 1:29 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 19 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.16 | 90.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 1.86 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 0:42 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 48) Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Nwest 43 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.08 | 90.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.06 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 0:28 | |
(2nd & 5 at NU 43) Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 14 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 1.05 | 90.5% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 29 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 3.14 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 29) Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Nwest 23 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.26 | 92.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.19 = 0.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:25 | |
(2nd & 4 at NU 23) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Nwest 21 - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.25 | 90.1% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 4.45 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:36 | |
(3rd & 2 at NU 21) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.65 | 90.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 18 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 4.20 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 18) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - NU 0, MICH 0 | -0.64 | 90.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.87 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.87) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 18) Cornelius Johnson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 12 - NU 0, MICH 0 | 0.06 | 90.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.23 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:52 | |
(3rd & 4 at NU 12) Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Nwest 1 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 0 | 2.20 | 90.7% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 1 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.51 - 4.31 = 2.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:49 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 1) Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.49 | 92.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.0% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:49 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.9% Win Probability (After): 5.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:44 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Trey Pugh - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.55 | 6.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.13 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.1% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 25) Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.89 | 5.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.34 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:29 | |
(3rd & 8 at NU 27) Ryan Hilinski sacked by Mike Morris and Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 12 yards to the Nwest 15 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -1.88 | 5.1% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 85 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - -0.98 = -1.88 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.98) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 4.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:17 | |
(4th & 20 at NU 15) Derek Adams punt for 42 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 43 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.49 | 3.9% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 57 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.09 - -2.61 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.09) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 4.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:10 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 43) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.49 | 96.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.07 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.07) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:51 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 43) Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 4 yds to the Mich 47 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.54 | 95.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 53 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.58 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:05 | |
(3rd & 6 at MICH 47) Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 7 | 1.57 | 94.4% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.03 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:52 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 47) MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 48 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.60 | 95.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.51 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:18 | |
(1st & 15 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for no gain to the Mich 48 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.51 | 95.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.67 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:35 | |
(2nd & 15 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara run for 4 yds to the Nwest 48 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.35 | 95.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.82 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.82) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:22 | |
(3rd & 11 at NU 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 7 | 2.72 | 94.7% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 36 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 1.12 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:42 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 36) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.27 | 95.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.80 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:42 | |
(2nd & 7 at NU 33) Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Nwest 27 - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.29 | 95.1% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 27 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 3.74 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:12 | |
(3rd & 1 at NU 27) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.57 | 95.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 21 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 4.12 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 21) Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Nwest 16 - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.38 | 96.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 4.46 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 96.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:24 | |
(2nd & 5 at NU 16) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Nwest 14 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.41 | 96.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.70 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.70) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:51 | |
(3rd & 3 at NU 14) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST down - NU 0, MICH 7 | 1.19 | 96.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 8 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.38 - 4.19 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:02 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 8) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Nwest 4 - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.17 | 97.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 5.25 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.25) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 97.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:25 | |
(2nd & Goal at NU 4) Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the Nwest 3 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -0.68 | 96.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 3 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 5.39 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.8% Win Probability (After): 96.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:51 | |
(3rd & Goal at NU 3) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 1 yd to the Nwest 2 - NU 0, MICH 7 | -1.22 | 96.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 4.62 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:36 | |
(4th & Goal at NU 2) Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 02:36 - NU 0, MICH 7 | 0.00 | 96.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 3.40 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(4th & 2 at NU 3) Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOOD - NU 0, MICH 10 | -0.18 | 95.6% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.18 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.18) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 97.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - NU 0, MICH 10 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.94 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 0, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.7% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Evan Hull run for 75 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) - NU 7, MICH 10 | 5.93 | 4.1% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.07 = 5.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:16 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Charlie Kuhbander kickoff for 65 yds , Mike Sainristil return for 23 yds to the Mich 23 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.06 | 88.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.23 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.23) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:05 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 23) Blake Corum run for 20 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.74 | 88.6% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.11 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.11) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:46 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 43) Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.27 | 89.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.59 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.59) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 89.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:34 | |
(2nd & 3 at 50) Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.31 | 89.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.56 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:25 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 46) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 10 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.80 | 90.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 36 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 1.70 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.70) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:19 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 36) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.32 | 91.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 2.48 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.48) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 36) Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Nwest 30 - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.19 | 90.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.25 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.25) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:01 | |
(3rd & 4 at NU 30) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 3 yds to the Nwest 27 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.39 | 90.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.46 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.46) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:54 | |
(4th & 1 at NU 27) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 1.38 | 89.3% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 25 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 1.98 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.98) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.3% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 16 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 1.27 | 91.3% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 9 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 3.34 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:31 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 9) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 3 yds to the Nwest 6 - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.04 | 93.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.47 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.47) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 93.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(2nd & Goal at NU 6) Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Nwest 3 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.13 | 93.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.45 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.45) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.1% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(3rd & Goal at NU 3) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:23 - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.00 | 92.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.32 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.32) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:15 | |
(3rd & Goal at NU 3) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 1 yd Mike Sainristil fumbled, recovered by Nwest - NU 7, MICH 10 | -4.12 | 92.7% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 98 Started Drive at: MICH 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.10 = -4.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:10 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 2) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 1 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.06 | 13.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - -0.02 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.02) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 11.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 11 at NU 1) Ryan Hilinski run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2 - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.09 | 11.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98 Started Drive at: NU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.09 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Charlie Kuhbander kickoff for 57 yds , Blake Corum return for 18 yds to the Mich 26 - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.14 | 91.0% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.41 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.41) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:32 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 26) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 27 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.74 | 90.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 1.66 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.66) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at MICH 27) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 30 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.43 | 89.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.95 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.95) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:38 | |
(3rd & 6 at MICH 30) NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 2.02 | 89.1% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 60 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 0.53 = 2.02 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.53) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:19 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 40) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 40 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.62 | 90.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.52 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 40) Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 45 - NU 7, MICH 10 | -0.33 | 90.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.90 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.90) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:15 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 45) Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 2.61 | 89.6% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 1.52 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:56 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 31) McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Johnson, Cornelius, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.92 | 91.3% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 16 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.04 - 4.12 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.12) Score Difference (End): 3 (8.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:44 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 16) Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 10 | 0.87 | 92.2% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 5 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.91 - 5.04 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.04) Score Difference (End): 3 (8.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.2% Win Probability (After): 93.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:36 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 5) Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 7, MICH 17 | 1.09 | 93.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.91) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.8% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 61 yds , Raymond Niro III return for 16 yds to the Nwest 20 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.21 | 6.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.02 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:59 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 20) TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Nwest Ryan Hilinski - NU 7, MICH 17 | -1.21 | 6.1% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 86 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - -0.30 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.30) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.1% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(2nd & 16 at NU 14) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to JJ Jefferson - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.82 | 5.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 86 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.40 - -1.58 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.58) Score Difference (End): -10 (-12.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:42 | |
(3rd & 16 at NU 14) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 26 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 3.53 | 4.5% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 60 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - -2.30 = 3.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-12.30) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 6.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 40) Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.28 | 5.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.19 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.81) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.7% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:58 | |
(2nd & 8 at NU 42) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.90 | 5.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.84 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.16) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:33 | |
(3rd & 8 at NU 42) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 13 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 2.18 | 5.0% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 0.12 = 2.18 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.88) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 6.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:15 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 45) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 7 yds to the Mich 38 - NU 7, MICH 17 | 0.53 | 6.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 2.46 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.54) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.3% Win Probability (After): 6.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:02 | |
(2nd & 3 at MICH 38) Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 0.30 | 6.4% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.97 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.03) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 34) MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | 1.14 | 6.4% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 19 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.20 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.80) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 9.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 19) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Wayne Dennis Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 21 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -1.07 | 8.9% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 4.35 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.65) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:07 | |
(2nd & 12 at MICH 21) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.66 | 6.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.28 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.72) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 5.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:05 | |
(3rd & 12 at MICH 21) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.59 | 5.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.61 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.39) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.9% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(4th & 12 at MICH 22) Charlie Kuhbander 39 yd FG MISSED - NU 7, MICH 17 | -3.74 | 5.2% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 79 Started Drive at: NU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - 2.01 = -3.74 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.99) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:50 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 21) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.60 | 95.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.71 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.71) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 21) Andrel Anthony run for 6 yds to the Mich 27 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.19 | 95.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.09 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.09) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:04 | |
(3rd & 4 at MICH 27) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin - NU 7, MICH 17 | -1.90 | 95.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - 1.02 = -1.90 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.02) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.3% Win Probability (After): 95.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:56 | |
(4th & 4 at MICH 27) Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 25 - NU 7, MICH 17 | 0.72 | 95.0% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75 Started Drive at: MICH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.79 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.21) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.93) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 95.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:40 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the Nwest 30 - NU 7, MICH 17 | 0.13 | 5.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.04 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.96) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(2nd & 5 at NU 30) Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 31 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.55 | 5.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - 0.17 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.83) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:13 | |
(3rd & 4 at NU 31) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Genson Hooper Price - NU 7, MICH 17 | -1.51 | 5.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -0.36 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.36) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 4.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:01 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 31) Derek Adams punt blocked by Cornelius Johnson blocked by Cornelius Johnson Caden Kolesar return for 9 yds to the Nwest 24 - NU 7, MICH 17 | -2.73 | 4.3% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Blocked Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 24 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.61 - -1.89 = -2.73 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.89) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:21 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 24) Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Nwest 15 - NU 7, MICH 17 | 0.82 | 97.6% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15 Started Drive at: NU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 4.63 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.63) Score Difference (End): 10 (15.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:12 | |
(2nd & 1 at NU 15) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 17 | -0.25 | 97.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 13 Started Drive at: NU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 5.47 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.47) Score Difference (End): 10 (15.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 97.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:50 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - NU 7, MICH 24 | 1.75 | 97.8% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.25 = 1.75 Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.25) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:43 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 63 yds , Raymond Niro III return for 16 yds to the Nwest 18 - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.31 | 1.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82 Started Drive at: NU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -0.51 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.51) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 1.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:38 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 18) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.59 | 1.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82 Started Drive at: NU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.82 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.82) Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:21 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 18) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 22 - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.48 | 1.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78 Started Drive at: NU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -1.42 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.42) Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:45 | |
(3rd & 6 at NU 22) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the Nwest 23 - NU 7, MICH 24 | -1.16 | 1.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77 Started Drive at: NU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.06 - -1.89 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.89) Score Difference (End): -17 (-20.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:12 | |
(4th & 5 at NU 23) Derek Adams punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 19 yds to the Mich 44 - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.44 | 0.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 56 Started Drive at: NU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.51 - -3.07 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-20.07) Score Difference (End): 17 (20.51) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:46 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 44) J.J. McCarthy run for 23 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 24 | 1.10 | 99.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 33 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 3.53 = 1.10 Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.53) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:29 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 33) J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.57 | 99.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.63 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.63) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 33) McNamara, Cade pass complete to Anthony, Andrel for 9 yards to the NORTHWSTRN24, PENALTY MICHIGAN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NORTHWSTRN38, NO PLAY. - NU 7, MICH 24 | -0.84 | 99.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 4.06 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.06) Score Difference (End): 17 (20.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:52 | |
(2nd & 15 at NU 38) J.J. McCarthy run for 13 yds to the Nwest 25 - NU 7, MICH 24 | 1.05 | 99.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 25 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 3.21 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.21) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:10 | |
(3rd & 2 at NU 25) Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 26 - NU 7, MICH 24 | -2.03 | 99.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 26 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 4.27 = -2.03 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.27) Score Difference (End): 17 (19.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:40 | |
(4th & 3 at NU 27) Jake Moody 44 yd FG GOOD - NU 7, MICH 27 | 0.74 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26 Started Drive at: MICH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.26 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.26) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:33 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 64 yds , Andrew Clair return for 14 yds to the Nwest 15 - NU 7, MICH 27 | -0.37 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - -0.36 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.36) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:21 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 15) Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 15 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 27 | 0.89 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 70 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - -0.73 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.73) Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 30) Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 30 - NU 7, MICH 27 | -0.82 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.15 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.85) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:46 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 30) Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted DJ Turner return for 23 yds to the Nwest 15 - NU 7, MICH 27 | -4.70 | 0.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 15 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.41 - -0.70 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.70) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:22 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 15) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 9 - NU 7, MICH 27 | 0.05 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.44 - 5.39 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): 20 (25.39) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:08 | |
(2nd & 4 at NU 9) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7 - NU 7, MICH 27 | -0.11 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.27 - 5.38 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): 20 (25.38) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:34 | |
(3rd & 2 at NU 7) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 27 | 0.92 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 5.24 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 20 (25.24) Score Difference (End): 20 (26.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(1st & Goal at NU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.17 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: NU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.17 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 20 (26.17) Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(Kickoff at NU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.75 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.75) Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:09 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 25) Malik Washington run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.39 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - -0.74 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.74) Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:51 | |
(2nd & 4 at NU 31) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.76 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.34 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.34) Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:46 | |
(3rd & 4 at NU 31) Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jacob Gill - NU 7, MICH 33 | -1.22 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - -1.05 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-27.05) Score Difference (End): -26 (-28.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:36 | |
(4th & 4 at NU 31) Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 32 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.78 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: NU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.96 - -2.18 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-28.18) Score Difference (End): 26 (28.96) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:19 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 32) Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the Mich 40 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.41 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60 Started Drive at: MICH 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.00 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.00) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:47 | |
(2nd & 2 at MICH 40) Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the Mich 40 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.83 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: MICH 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.48 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.48) Score Difference (End): 26 (28.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:14 | |
(3rd & 2 at MICH 40) Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.98 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55 Started Drive at: MICH 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.59 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.59) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 45) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 11 yds Donovan Edwards fumbled, forced by Coco Azema, recovered by Nwest A.J. Hampton Jr. - NU 7, MICH 33 | -4.70 | 100.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 56 Started Drive at: MICH 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - 3.46 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.46) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:34 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 44) Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.42 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.39 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.61) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:30 | |
(2nd & 8 at NU 46) Carl Richardson pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 7 yds Jordan Mosley fumbled, recovered by Nwest - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.77 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 0.97 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.03) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:49 | |
(3rd & 1 at MICH 47) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 09:49 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.74 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.26) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:30 | |
(3rd & 1 at MICH 47) Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the Mich 47 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -1.02 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.56 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.44) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:08 | |
(4th & 1 at MICH 47) Carl Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 49 Carl Richardson fumbled, recovered by Mich - NU 7, MICH 33 | -3.78 | 0.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 51 Started Drive at: NU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.38 - 0.40 = -3.78 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.60) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 49) Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.10 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.93 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.93) Score Difference (End): 26 (28.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:16 | |
(2nd & 7 at NU 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 8 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 33 | 1.21 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 40 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.49 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.49) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:47 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 40) Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.55 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.55 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.55) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:15 | |
(2nd & 9 at NU 39) J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.90 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 3.07 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.07) Score Difference (End): 26 (28.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:06 | |
(3rd & 9 at NU 39) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 18 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 33 | 2.55 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 21 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 2.28 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.28) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:16 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 21) Blake Corum run for no gain to the Nwest 21 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.40 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 4.73 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 26 (30.73) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:32 | |
(2nd & 10 at NU 21) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 5 yds to the Nwest 16 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.16 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 3.91 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.91) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:11 | |
(3rd & 5 at NU 16) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Nwest 14 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -1.22 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.84 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.84) Score Difference (End): 26 (28.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:25 | |
(4th & 3 at NU 14) McCarthy, J.J. pass complete to Selzer, Carter for 7 yards to the NORTHWSTRN7, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN29, NO PLAY. - NU 7, MICH 33 | -1.35 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 29 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.45 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.45) Score Difference (End): 26 (27.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:17 | |
(4th & 18 at NU 30) Jake Moody 47 yd FG MISSED - NU 7, MICH 33 | -1.41 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 71 Started Drive at: MICH 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.67 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 26 (26.67) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:05 | |
(1st & 10 at NU 29) Marcus Cisco run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.27 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 67 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.71 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.29) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:33 | |
(2nd & 6 at NU 33) Jake Arthurs run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.24 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.50 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.50) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:29 | |
(3rd & 5 at NU 34) Marcus Cisco run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 33 | 1.57 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 50 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.28 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.72) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:19 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the 50 yard line - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.44 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.81 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.19) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at 50) Marcus Cisco run for 5 yds to the Mich 45 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.23 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.06 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.94) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:04 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 45) Jake Arthurs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 47 - NU 7, MICH 33 | -0.84 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 47 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 1.01 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.99) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:29 | |
(4th & 7 at MICH 47) Carl Richardson pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 12 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down - NU 7, MICH 33 | 2.05 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 35 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 0.34 = 2.05 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.66) Score Difference (End): -26 (-23.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:16 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 35) Carl Richardson pass incomplete - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.22 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.60 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.40) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 35) Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the Mich 34 - NU 7, MICH 33 | 0.38 | 0.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34 Started Drive at: NU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.15 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.85) Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: NU 7, MICH 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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