Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.93 | Odds: OSU -6.5, O/U 64.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.25 85th %ile | 0.41 95th %ile |
| Success Rate | 48% 79th %ile | 66% 99th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.80 45th %ile | 8.31 91st %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.49 87th %ile | 0.11 55th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | -0.25 11th %ile | 0.55 98th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 7.43 67th %ile | 9.50 86th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 11% 76th %ile | 10% 67th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 42% 51st %ile | 64% 93rd %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 33% 32nd %ile | 83% 96th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 10% 0th %ile | 15% 2nd %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 14% 72nd %ile | 7% 24th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 92 | 69 |
| Total EPA | 10.72 | 23.84 |
| Offensive EPA | 19.55 | 24.86 |
| Special Teams EPA | -2.39 | -2.71 |
| Penalty EPA | -6.45 | 1.14 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.01 | 0.55 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 79 | 61 |
| Yards | 458 | 507 |
| Yards/Play | 5.80 | 8.31 |
| EPA | 19.55 | 24.86 |
| EPA/Play | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| Passes | 53 (67%) | 20 (33%) |
| Yards | 394 | 190 |
| Yards/Play | 7.43 | 9.50 |
| EPA | 26.08 | 2.24 |
| EPA/Play | 0.49 | 0.11 |
| Rushes | 26 (33%) | 41 (67%) |
| Yards | 91 | 297 |
| Yards/Play | 3.50 | 7.24 |
| EPA | -6.53 | 22.62 |
| EPA/Play | -0.25 | 0.55 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 79 | 61 |
| Rushes | 26 (33%) | 41 (67%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (8%) | 4 (10%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 3 (75%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 4 (15%) | 4 (10%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 13 (50%) | 14 (34%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 9 (35%) | 22 (54%) |
| OL Line Yards | 35.6 | 74.1 |
| Per Carry | 1.37 | 1.81 |
| Highlight Yards | 28 | 125 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.11 | 5.68 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 92 | 69 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 79 | 61 |
| Explosive Plays | 9 (11%) | 6 (10%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 8 (15%) | 1 (5%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (4%) | 5 (12%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -11.09 | 9.65 |
| EPA/Play | -0.16 | 0.18 |
| When Passing | -2.37 | -1.17 |
| EPA/Play | -0.04 | -0.06 |
| When Rushing | -8.71 | 10.81 |
| EPA/Play | -0.35 | 0.30 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 38 (48%) | 40 (66%) |
| When Passing | 29 (55%) | 12 (60%) |
| When Rushing | 9 (35%) | 28 (68%) |
| On Standard Downs | 24 (50%) | 36 (69%) |
| On Passing Downs | 14 (45%) | 4 (44%) |
| On Early Downs | 27 (47%) | 34 (65%) |
| On Late Downs | 11 (52%) | 6 (67%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 7 (47%) | 4 (80%) |
| Early Downs | 58 | 52 |
| First Downs Created | 13 (22%) | 13 (25%) |
| EPA | 8.91 | 20.62 |
| EPA/Play | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| Passes | 36 (62%) | 17 (33%) |
| Rushes | 22 (38%) | 35 (67%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 20 (56%) | 11 (65%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 7 (32%) | 23 (66%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 15 | 5 |
| EPA | 1.71 | 6.80 |
| EPA/play | 0.11 | 1.36 |
| Passes | 9 (60%) | 0 (0%) |
| Rushes | 6 (40%) | 5 (100%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 5 (56%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (33%) | 4 (80%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 10 | 11 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 23 | Own 27 |
| Plays/Drive | 10.80 | 8.05 |
| Yards/Drive | 55.53 | 59.90 |
| Available Yards % | 72% | 82% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 61 | 79 |
| Stop Rate | 18% | 29% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 4 (7%) | 11 (14%) |
| Passing | 2 (10%) | 7 (13%) |
| Rushing | 2 (5%) | 4 (15%) |
| TFLs Generated | 2 | 9 |
| Passing | 0 | 5 |
| Rushing | 2 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 0 (0%) | 4 (8%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 1 | -1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -1.0 | 1.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 10.0 | -10.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 13 | 8 |
| Total EPA | -2.39 | -2.71 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.38 | 0 |
| Punting EPA | -0.19 | -0.93 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -3.57 | -1.78 |
Ohio State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| C.J. Stroud | 34/49, 394 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 78.7 xQBR, 0.66 DETMER | 7.43 | 0.49 | 26.08 | 55% | 61.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| TreVeyon Henderson | 17 carries, 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.35 | -0.05 | -0.90 | 41% | 0.0% | |
| C.J. Stroud | 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (0 lost) | -1.50 | -1.35 | -2.69 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Miyan Williams | 7 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.86 | -0.42 | -2.94 | 29% | -1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 11 catches (12 targets), 127 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.55 | 1.40 | 16.79 | 83% | 42.0% | |
| Garrett Wilson | 10 catches (16 targets), 119 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.90 | 0.59 | 9.50 | 62% | 14.0% | |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 5 catches (5 targets), 54 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.80 | 1.35 | 6.75 | 60% | 17.0% | |
| Chris Olave | 7 catches (12 targets), 88 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.57 | 0.08 | 0.94 | 42% | -1.0% | |
| Miyan Williams | 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.17 | -0.35 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.49 | -0.49 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Michigan [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| J.J. McCarthy | 1/1, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.8 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 31.00 | 2.03 | 2.03 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Cade McNamara | 13/19, 159 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 47.0 xQBR, 0.20 DETMER | 8.37 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 58% | 5.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Hassan Haskins | 28 carries, 169 yds, 5 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.04 | 0.53 | 14.80 | 68% | 22.0% | |
| Blake Corum | 6 carries, 87 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 0.71 | 4.27 | 67% | 10.0% | |
| A.J. Henning | 1 carry, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.95 | 1.95 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| J.J. McCarthy | 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.59 | 1.18 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| Cade McNamara | 1 carry, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Donovan Edwards | 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.26 | -0.53 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Cornelius Johnson | 2 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 24.00 | 1.11 | 3.32 | 67% | 11.0% | |
| Roman Wilson | 2 catches (2 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 27.50 | 1.61 | 3.23 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Mike Sainristil | 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 34.00 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| A.J. Henning | 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Luke Schoonmaker | 2 catches (3 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.50 | 0.17 | 0.51 | 67% | 3.0% | |
| Andrel Anthony | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Erick All | 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.25 | -0.50 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Donovan Edwards | 2 catches (3 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.25 | -0.76 | 67% | -4.0% | |
| Hassan Haskins | 2 catches (3 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.50 | -0.45 | -1.36 | 33% | -4.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 8:44 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -5.19 | 56.6% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78 Started Drive at: OSU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.6% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 4.76 | 3.0% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 4.75 | 7.0% | 8.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:43 | |
(2nd & 12 at OSU 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 39 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 3.95 | 3.5% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -1.11 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.11) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.5% Win Probability (After): 5.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:53 | |
(4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 3.63 | 8.7% | 8.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:46 | |
(4th & 7 at MICH 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 3.51 | 2.8% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.14 = 3.51 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.86) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.8% Win Probability (After): 5.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:19 | |
(2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 3.41 | 31.9% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:26 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 3.10 | 45.5% | 9.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:25 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 27 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 2.87 | 98.5% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 4 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 2.86 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 2.84 | 68.1% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 3:36 | |
(4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.70 | 54.1% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:05 | |
(3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 1.27 | 15.9% | 10.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:26 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 3.10 | 45.5% | 9.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:19 | |
(2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 3.41 | 31.9% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 4.76 | 3.0% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:53 | |
(4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 3.63 | 8.7% | 8.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 2.84 | 68.1% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 4.75 | 7.0% | 8.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:09 | |
(4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.67 | 64.9% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:44 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -5.19 | 56.6% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78 Started Drive at: OSU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.6% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:12 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 14) A.J. Henning run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 1.95 | 39.4% | 5.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.05 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:36 | |
(4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.70 | 54.1% | 10.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 2.84 | 68.1% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:51 | |
(2nd & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.85 | 42.4% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.15 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.15) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 44.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:09 | |
(4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.67 | 64.9% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 1.99 | 55.4% | 6.7% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.01 = 1.99 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.01) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:49 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.52 | 81.2% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.48 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.48) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 85.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:05 | |
(3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 1.27 | 15.9% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:14 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.82 | 92.6% | 3.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.18 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.18) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 4.76 | 3.0% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:17 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 1.37 | 98.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | -0.55 | 27.9% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.94 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.9% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at MICH 28) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 5 yds to the Mich 33 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.24 | 27.9% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.56 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.9% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:55 | |
(3rd & 2 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 1.89 | 29.6% | 3.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 51 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 0.86 = 1.89 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:30 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 49) MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Erick All) to the Mich 44 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | -0.75 | 35.0% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 56 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.74 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.0% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:03 | |
(1st & 15 at MICH 44) Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the OhSt 48 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.46 | 34.8% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.96 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:25 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 6 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.52 | 34.9% | 1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 2.41 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:04 | |
(3rd & 1 at OSU 42) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.67 | 36.8% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.93 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.8% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:35 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 40) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker - OSU 0, MICH 0 | -0.64 | 36.6% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.61 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:28 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 40) Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the OhSt 31 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.76 | 36.0% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 2.98 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.0% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:53 | |
(3rd & 1 at OSU 31) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 10:53 - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.74 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 35.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:46 | |
(3rd & 1 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 17 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 | 1.27 | 36.6% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 14 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 3.75 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.75) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 39.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:12 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 14) A.J. Henning run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 1.95 | 39.4% | 5.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.05 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:12 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 61 yds , Julian Fleming return for no gain to the OhSt 4 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -2.25 | 52.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 96 Started Drive at: OSU 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -0.15 = -2.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.1% Win Probability (After): 51.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:05 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 4) C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the OhSt 5 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.50 | 51.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 95 Started Drive at: OSU 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -1.38 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.38) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 50.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -1.06 | 49.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95 Started Drive at: OSU 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - -1.72 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.72) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 49.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:35 | |
(3rd & 9 at OSU 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.99 | 47.5% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95 Started Drive at: OSU 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.54 - -2.55 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.55) Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 43.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:25 | |
(4th & 9 at OSU 5) Jesse Mirco punt for 51 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 17 yds to the OhSt 39 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.63 | 43.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 39 Started Drive at: OSU 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.18 - -3.55 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.9% Win Probability (After): 45.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 24 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 1.20 | 55.2% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 15 Started Drive at: OSU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 4.13 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 57.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:44 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -5.19 | 56.6% | -7.5% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78 Started Drive at: OSU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.6% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:37 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 22) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.60 | 51.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.83 - -0.23 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.23) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.4% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:13 | |
(2nd & 8 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 1.67 | 48.6% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - -0.76 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.6% Win Probability (After): 52.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 7:47 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 0.91 | 55.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 0.92 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 7:23 | |
(2nd & 1 at OSU 43) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.25 | 58.2% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.78 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.22) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 57.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:58 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 44) TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Mich 49 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 0.54 | 57.4% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.55 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.45) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 58.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:41 | |
(2nd & 3 at MICH 49) TreVeyon Henderson run for 28 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 2.18 | 59.8% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 21 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 2.17 = 2.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.8% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:02 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 21) Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Mich 12 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 0.79 | 64.3% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 12 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 4.36 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.64) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.3% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:31 | |
(2nd & 1 at MICH 12) Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 | 0.59 | 65.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 5.16 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:00 | |
(1st & Goal at MICH 5) Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Mich 3 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.14 | 65.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 5.75 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.25) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:17 | |
(2nd & Goal at MICH 3) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.97 | 65.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 5.63 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 63.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:17 | |
(3rd & Goal at MICH 3) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 8 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -0.94 | 64.0% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 8 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.70 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.0% Win Probability (After): 62.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:05 | |
(3rd & Goal at MICH 8) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 14 - OSU 0, MICH 7 | -1.42 | 60.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.75 = -1.42 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.25) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 0, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.4% Win Probability (After): 58.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:36 | |
(4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.70 | 54.1% | 10.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:36 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.50 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.50) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.5% Win Probability (After): 42.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:28 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.49 | 42.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.54 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.5% Win Probability (After): 41.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:49 | |
(2nd & 7 at MICH 28) Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 5 yds to the Mich 33 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.19 | 41.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.09 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.09) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.9% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:18 | |
(3rd & 2 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 1.32 | 41.5% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 59 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 1.28 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.28) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.5% Win Probability (After): 45.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:48 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 41) Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.11 | 44.1% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.58 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.1% Win Probability (After): 45.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at MICH 46) J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.55 | 46.6% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 2.70 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.70) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.6% Win Probability (After): 45.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:40 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.42 | 49.1% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.28 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.28) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 47.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:02 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 45) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the OhSt 45 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.95 | 48.5% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.82 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.82) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:56 | |
(3rd & 7 at OSU 45) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -1.88 | 42.4% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 1.86 = -1.88 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.86) Score Difference (End): 4 (3.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 39.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:48 | |
(4th & 7 at OSU 45) Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 3 MICHIGAN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 18 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.51 | 39.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 82 Started Drive at: MICH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.02 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.46) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.8% Win Probability (After): 39.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:40 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 18) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 21 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.50 | 61.7% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 79 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.54 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.46) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.7% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 21) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 16 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.58 | 62.9% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.02 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.98) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.9% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(2nd & 12 at OSU 16) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the OhSt 24 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.73 | 60.4% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 76 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.63 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.63) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.4% Win Probability (After): 63.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:34 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 2.43 | 64.1% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 51 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 0.05 = 2.43 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.95) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.1% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:09 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 49) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.64 | 67.2% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.51 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.49) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 67.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:01 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 49) Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.80 | 66.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.90 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.10) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.2% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:22 | |
(3rd & 9 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave, broken up by David Ojabo - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -1.88 | 64.7% | -4.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 1.19 = -1.88 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.81) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.7% Win Probability (After): 59.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:14 | |
(4th & 9 at 50) Jesse Mirco punt for 40 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 10 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by Mich A.J. Henning - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.09 | 59.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 90 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - -0.62 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.62) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.71) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.7% Win Probability (After): 60.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:09 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 10) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 12 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.50 | 39.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 88 Started Drive at: MICH 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.67 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.67) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 39.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:37 | |
(2nd & 8 at MICH 12) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 13 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.66 | 37.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87 Started Drive at: MICH 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.01 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.01) Score Difference (End): 4 (3.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.7% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at MICH 13) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -1.32 | 38.1% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: MICH 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -0.68 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.32) Score Difference (End): 4 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:51 | |
(4th & 7 at MICH 13) Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for 5 yds to the OhSt 44 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -0.42 | 36.9% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 56 Started Drive at: MICH 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.28 - -1.87 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 4 (2.13) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.9% Win Probability (After): 35.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 0.66 | 63.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 46 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.29 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.71) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.5% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:03 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 46) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48 - OSU 3, MICH 7 | -1.27 | 65.4% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 48 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 3.04 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.96) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:24 | |
(2nd & 12 at MICH 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 23 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 | 2.59 | 63.5% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 25 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 1.60 = 2.59 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.40) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 3, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.5% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 2.84 | 68.1% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:12 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 58 yds , A.J. Henning return for 11 yds to the Mich 18 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -1.37 | 25.5% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.86 = -1.37 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.5% Win Probability (After): 22.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:02 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan Haskins, broken up by Zach Harrison - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -0.66 | 24.8% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.60 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.8% Win Probability (After): 23.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:52 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 25 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -0.06 | 23.3% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 75 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.05 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.05) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 22.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:15 | |
(3rd & 3 at MICH 25) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 1.79 | 22.9% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - -0.13 = 1.79 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.13) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:44 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 36) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 42 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 0.11 | 28.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.66 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.34) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:10 | |
(2nd & 4 at MICH 42) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 0.44 | 28.6% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.91 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:36 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -0.44 | 30.6% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.40 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 28.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:28 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 0.63 | 30.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 43 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.95 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.05) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 31.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:01 | |
(3rd & 1 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the OhSt 43 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -1.06 | 30.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.53 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.47) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.9% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:30 | |
(4th & 1 at OSU 43) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 05:30 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.47 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.53) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:26 | |
(4th & 1 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 1.56 | 28.3% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.38 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.62) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 31.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:56 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 41) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -0.33 | 31.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 3.06 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.06) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 31.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:19 | |
(2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 | 3.41 | 31.9% | 9.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:06 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1 - OSU 10, MICH 7 | -0.03 | 47.3% | -5.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 6.19 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.19) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.3% Win Probability (After): 42.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:51 | |
(2nd & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.85 | 42.4% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.15 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.15) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 44.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:51 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.00 | 59.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 59.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:42 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.94 | 59.0% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 0.78 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.0% Win Probability (After): 62.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:25 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 39) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.22 | 61.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.65 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.35) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.7% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:50 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the OhSt 44 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.28 | 61.0% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.35 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.65) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:25 | |
(3rd & 5 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 1.01 | 58.9% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.12 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.88) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.9% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:49 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 39 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 1.07 | 63.2% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 1.87 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.13) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 65.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:36 | |
(2nd & 1 at MICH 39) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Thayer Munford) to the Mich 44 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.86 | 65.0% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.67 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.33) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.0% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:20 | |
(2nd & 6 at MICH 44) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson, broken up by DJ Turner - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.43 | 62.6% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.71 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.6% Win Probability (After): 59.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:13 | |
(3rd & 6 at MICH 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 1.28 | 60.0% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.35 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.65) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:57 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 1.18 | 64.4% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 20 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 2.50 = 1.18 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.50) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.4% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 20) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.32 | 69.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.63 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.37) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 67.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 20) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mich 17 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.02 | 68.6% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.28 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.72) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.6% Win Probability (After): 66.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(3rd & 7 at MICH 17) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:32 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(3rd & 7 at MICH 17) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the Mich 13 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | -0.66 | 66.7% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 13 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.24 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 63.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:13 | |
(4th & 3 at MICH 13) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:13 - OSU 10, MICH 14 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.58 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.42) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 10, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.6% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:09 | |
(4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.67 | 64.9% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:09 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 51 yds , A.J. Henning return for 8 yds to the Mich 22 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | -0.01 | 44.0% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.07 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 44.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 22) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 25 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | -0.04 | 43.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.04 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.04) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.0% Win Probability (After): 44.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.4% Win Probability (After): 60.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 25) TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.18 | 61.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.78 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.22) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.8% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:21 | |
(2nd & 5 at OSU 30) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | -0.37 | 60.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.11 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.11) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.9% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:57 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 33) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 31 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | -2.20 | 59.0% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 69 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 0.85 = -2.20 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.15) Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.0% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:05 | |
(4th & 4 at OSU 31) Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 19 - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.18 | 53.6% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 81 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -1.16 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.98) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.6% Win Probability (After): 54.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 19) Blake Corum run for 13 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 0.90 | 44.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 68 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.94 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.94) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.9% Win Probability (After): 45.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:26 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 | 3.10 | 45.5% | 9.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 1.99 | 55.4% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.01 = 1.99 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.01) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:50 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.01) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 25) Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Ruckert, Jeremy for 6 yards to the OHIOST31, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Petit-Frere, Nicholas) 10 yards to the OHIOST15, NO PLAY. - OSU 13, MICH 21 | -0.91 | 38.2% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.06 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.94) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:21 | |
(1st & 20 at OSU 15) TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.54 | 35.3% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.95 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.95) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.3% Win Probability (After): 36.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:57 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 1.81 | 36.8% | 4.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 58 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - -0.44 = 1.81 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.44) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.8% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:24 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.00 | 43.8% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.58 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.42) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.8% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(2nd & 5 at OSU 47) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the OhSt 42 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | -0.52 | 39.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.55 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.45) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.8% Win Probability (After): 40.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 42) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | -1.05 | 39.4% | -4.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 1.08 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.92) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:56 | |
(3rd & 9 at OSU 43) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 40 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | -1.95 | 36.5% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 60 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - 0.30 = -1.95 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.70) Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:19 | |
(4th & 12 at OSU 40) Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 22 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.34 | 31.4% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 78 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.43 - -1.78 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.78) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 32.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:14 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 22) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.14 | 66.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.47 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.47) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 66.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:31 | |
(2nd & 4 at MICH 28) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 31 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 2.03 | 66.0% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 41 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 1.49 = 2.03 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.49) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 69.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 41) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 34 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 2.05 | 72.1% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 7 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.55 - 3.50 = 2.05 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.50) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.1% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:08 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 7) J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 1 - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.63 | 79.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.23 - 5.60 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.60) Score Difference (End): 8 (14.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.4% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:06 | |
(2nd & Goal at OSU 1) OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 | 0.25 | 80.3% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.48 - 6.23 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.23) Score Difference (End): 8 (14.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.3% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:49 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.52 | 81.2% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.48 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.48) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 85.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:49 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 58 yds , Julian Fleming return for 11 yds to the OhSt 18 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -1.32 | 13.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -0.37 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.37) Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.4% Win Probability (After): 11.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:39 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 18) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.90 | 13.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 70 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - -0.72 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.72) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.1% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 30) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -0.78 | 13.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 0.10 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.90) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 13.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 37 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.59 | 11.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.73 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.73) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 13.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:37 | |
(3rd & 3 at OSU 37) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 1.67 | 13.0% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 52 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.15 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.15) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 16.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:04 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 6 yds to the Mich 46 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.47 | 14.3% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 46 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.50 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.50) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:04 | |
(2nd & 4 at MICH 46) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 49 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -1.07 | 16.5% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 1.96 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.04) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 13.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:11 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 49) Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -0.15 | 10.7% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.87 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.13) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:37 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 1.98 | 9.6% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 0.70 = 1.98 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.30) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.6% Win Probability (After): 14.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:04 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 38) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 43 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -1.87 | 11.7% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.71 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.29) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 9.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:36 | |
(2nd & 15 at MICH 43) Miyan Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 47 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -1.46 | 8.2% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 47 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.90 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.10) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.2% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 4.75 | 7.0% | 8.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:31 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 21) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds to the Mich 16 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.38 | 14.5% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.29 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.71) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:03 | |
(2nd & 5 at MICH 16) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -0.82 | 14.4% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.65 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.35) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.4% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:01 | |
(3rd & 5 at MICH 16) Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Mich 15 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -1.78 | 11.5% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 3.80 = -1.78 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.20) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:53 | |
(4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 3.63 | 8.7% | 8.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:45 | |
(1st & Goal at MICH 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy Ruckert - OSU 13, MICH 28 | -0.49 | 16.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 5.74 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.26) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.8% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at MICH 5) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 1 - OSU 13, MICH 28 | 0.47 | 15.7% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 5.27 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.73) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 13, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 86 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:05 | |
(3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 1.27 | 15.9% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:05 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 53 yds , A.J. Henning return for 22 yds to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | -0.35 | 75.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.57 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 75.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:53 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 34) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | -0.61 | 76.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.18 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.18) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.7% Win Probability (After): 75.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:02 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 34) Cade McNamara run for 9 yds to the Mich 43 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.47 | 76.0% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.52 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.52) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:43 | |
(3rd & 1 at MICH 43) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Steele Chambers) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.87 | 78.0% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.97 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.97) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.0% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:33 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 49) Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.53 | 83.2% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.80 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.80) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 84.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:05 | |
(2nd & 2 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.16 | 83.1% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 37 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.41 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.41) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 85.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:23 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 37) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the OhSt 31 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.42 | 84.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 3.56 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:46 | |
(2nd & 4 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | -0.36 | 85.6% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.93 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.93) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.6% Win Probability (After): 83.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:30 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 29) McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Wilson, Roman, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Burke, Denzel) 15 yards to the OHIOST14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 1.34 | 85.3% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 14 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 3.56 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:23 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 14) Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the OhSt 5 - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.91 | 89.0% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 5 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 4.89 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.89) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:02 | |
(2nd & 1 at OSU 5) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 | 0.40 | 90.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 5.79 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.79) Score Difference (End): 8 (14.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:14 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.82 | 92.6% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.18 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.18) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:14 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.02) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:08 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -1.14 | 4.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - 0.00 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.00) Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 3.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:43 | |
(2nd & 12 at OSU 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 39 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 3.95 | 3.5% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -1.11 = 3.95 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.11) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.5% Win Probability (After): 5.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:18 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 38) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -0.02 | 5.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.73 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.27) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.3% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:32 | |
(2nd & 6 at MICH 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the Mich 29 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.27 | 4.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 29 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.79 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.21) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.9% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:20 | |
(3rd & 1 at MICH 29) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.40 | 4.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 27 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.22 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.78) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:06 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 27) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -0.83 | 4.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.89 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.11) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:48 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 27) C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 31 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -2.19 | 4.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 31 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 3.36 = -2.19 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.64) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.4% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:18 | |
(3rd & 14 at MICH 31) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the Mich 24 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -0.23 | 2.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.39 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.61) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.8% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:50 | |
(4th & 7 at MICH 24) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 05:50 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.00 | 2.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.16 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.84) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.7% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:46 | |
(4th & 7 at MICH 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 3.51 | 2.8% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.14 = 3.51 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.86) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.8% Win Probability (After): 5.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -0.55 | 4.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.65 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.35) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 4.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:17 | |
(2nd & 10 at MICH 15) OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the Mich 25 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -1.57 | 3.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 25 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 4.19 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.81) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:12 | |
(2nd & 20 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 20, MICH 35 | -0.72 | 3.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.70 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.30) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:59 | |
(3rd & 20 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the Mich 10 - OSU 20, MICH 35 | 0.29 | 2.7% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 10 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.02 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.98) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 20, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.7% Win Probability (After): 3.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 4.76 | 3.0% | 9.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 54 yds , A.J. Henning return for 26 yds to the Mich 37 - OSU 27, MICH 35 | -0.05 | 91.8% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.94 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.94) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:12 | |
(1st & 10 at MICH 37) Hassan Haskins run for 15 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 0.92 | 93.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.50 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.50) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.5% Win Probability (After): 93.3% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:51 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 0.19 | 96.5% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.25 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.25) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.5% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(2nd & 4 at OSU 42) Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 1.22 | 97.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.10 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.10) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 31) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 03:00 - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 0.00 | 98.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.32 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.32) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:25 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 27 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 | 2.87 | 98.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 4 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 2.86 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:17 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 1.37 | 98.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: MICH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:17 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 0.00 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.99 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.01) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:12 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -0.42 | 0.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.97 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.03) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 1.16 | 0.7% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.55 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.45) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:32 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 41) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 46 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 0.23 | 0.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.35 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.65) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.9% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:19 | |
(2nd & 5 at OSU 46) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -0.35 | 0.9% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.23 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.77) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.9% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(3rd & 5 at OSU 46) C.J. Stroud sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 33 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -1.46 | 1.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.87 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.13) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(4th & 18 at OSU 33) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 01:05 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | 0.00 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.59 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.59) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:58 | |
(4th & 18 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -1.32 | 0.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 45 Started Drive at: OSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -0.39 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.39) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.70) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 45) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -0.52 | 99.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 46 Started Drive at: OSU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.58 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.58) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:23 | |
(2nd & 11 at OSU 46) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 47 - OSU 27, MICH 42 | -0.01 | 99.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 47 Started Drive at: OSU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.73 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.73) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OSU 27, MICH 42 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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