Ohio State 27 @ Michigan 42

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.93 | Odds: OSU -6.5, O/U 64.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Total Plays 9269
Total EPA 10.7223.84
  Offensive EPA 19.5524.86
  Special Teams EPA -2.39-2.71
  Penalty EPA -6.451.14
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.010.55
Production ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Scrimmage Plays 7961
  Yards 458507
  Yards/Play 5.808.31
  EPA 19.5524.86
  EPA/Play 0.250.41
Passes 53 (67%)20 (33%)
  Yards 394190
  Yards/Play 7.439.50
  EPA 26.082.24
  EPA/Play 0.490.11
Rushes 26 (33%)41 (67%)
  Yards 91297
  Yards/Play 3.507.24
  EPA -6.5322.62
  EPA/Play -0.250.55
Rushing ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Scrimmage Plays 7961
Rushes 26 (33%)41 (67%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (8%)4 (10%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (100%)3 (75%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 4 (15%)4 (10%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 13 (50%)14 (34%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 9 (35%)22 (54%)
OL Line Yards 35.674.1
  Per Carry 1.371.81
Highlight Yards 28125
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.115.68
Explosiveness ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Total Plays 9269
Scrimmage Plays 7961
Explosive Plays 9 (11%)6 (10%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 8 (15%)1 (5%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (4%)5 (12%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -11.099.65
  EPA/Play -0.160.18
  When Passing -2.37-1.17
    EPA/Play -0.04-0.06
  When Rushing -8.7110.81
    EPA/Play -0.350.30
Situational ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 38 (48%)40 (66%)
  When Passing 29 (55%)12 (60%)
  When Rushing 9 (35%)28 (68%)
  On Standard Downs 24 (50%)36 (69%)
  On Passing Downs 14 (45%)4 (44%)
  On Early Downs 27 (47%)34 (65%)
  On Late Downs 11 (52%)6 (67%)
  During "Middle 8" 7 (47%)4 (80%)
Early Downs 5852
  First Downs Created 13 (22%)13 (25%)
  EPA 8.9120.62
  EPA/Play 0.150.40
  Passes 36 (62%)17 (33%)
  Rushes 22 (38%)35 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 20 (56%)11 (65%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (32%)23 (66%)
"Middle 8" Plays 155
  EPA 1.716.80
  EPA/play 0.111.36
  Passes 9 (60%)0 (0%)
  Rushes 6 (40%)5 (100%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 5 (56%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (33%)4 (80%)
Drives ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Total 1011
Avg Starting Field Position Own 23Own 27
Plays/Drive 10.808.05
Yards/Drive 55.5359.90
Available Yards % 72%82%
Defensive ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Scrimmage Plays 6179
Stop Rate 18%29%
Havoc Plays Created 4 (7%)11 (14%)
  Passing 2 (10%)7 (13%)
  Rushing 2 (5%)4 (15%)
TFLs Generated 29
  Passing 05
  Rushing 24
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)4 (8%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Turnovers 01
  Fumbles 20
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 20
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 1.01.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 3.9-3.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 194 ESPN team id 130
Total Plays 13 8
Total EPA -2.39 -2.71
  Field Goal EPA 1.38 0
  Punting EPA -0.19 -0.93
  Kickoff Return EPA -3.57 -1.78

Ohio State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
C.J. Stroud 34/49, 394 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 78.7 xQBR, 0.66 DETMER 7.43 0.49 26.08 55% 61.0%
Rush attempts
TreVeyon Henderson 17 carries, 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.35 -0.05 -0.90 41% 0.0%
C.J. Stroud 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 -1.35 -2.69 0% -2.0%
Miyan Williams 7 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.86 -0.42 -2.94 29% -1.0%
Pass targets
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 11 catches (12 targets), 127 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.55 1.40 16.79 83% 42.0%
Garrett Wilson 10 catches (16 targets), 119 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.90 0.59 9.50 62% 14.0%
TreVeyon Henderson 5 catches (5 targets), 54 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.80 1.35 6.75 60% 17.0%
Chris Olave 7 catches (12 targets), 88 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.57 0.08 0.94 42% -1.0%
Miyan Williams 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.17 -0.35 50% 0.0%
Jeremy Ruckert 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.49 -0.49 0% -1.0%

Michigan [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
J.J. McCarthy 1/1, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.8 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 31.00 2.03 2.03 100% 4.0%
Cade McNamara 13/19, 159 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 47.0 xQBR, 0.20 DETMER 8.37 0.01 0.21 58% 5.0%
Rush attempts
Hassan Haskins 28 carries, 169 yds, 5 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.04 0.53 14.80 68% 22.0%
Blake Corum 6 carries, 87 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.50 0.71 4.27 67% 10.0%
A.J. Henning 1 carry, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.95 1.95 100% 6.0%
J.J. McCarthy 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.59 1.18 100% -1.0%
Cade McNamara 1 carry, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.47 0.47 100% 1.0%
Donovan Edwards 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.46 0.46 100% -1.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.26 -0.53 0% 1.0%
Pass targets
Cornelius Johnson 2 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.00 1.11 3.32 67% 11.0%
Roman Wilson 2 catches (2 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 27.50 1.61 3.23 100% 6.0%
Mike Sainristil 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 2.05 2.05 100% 7.0%
A.J. Henning 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.76 0.76 100% 0.0%
Luke Schoonmaker 2 catches (3 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 0.17 0.51 67% 3.0%
Andrel Anthony 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.19 0.19 100% 0.0%
Erick All 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 -0.25 -0.50 0% -2.0%
Donovan Edwards 2 catches (3 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.25 -0.76 67% -4.0%
Hassan Haskins 2 catches (3 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.45 -1.36 33% -4.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 8:44 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -5.19 56.6% -7.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78

Started Drive at: OSU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 4.76 3.0% 9.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:01 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 4.75 7.0% 8.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:43 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 12 at OSU 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 39 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 3.95 3.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -1.11 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.11)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 3.63 8.7% 8.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:46 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 7 at MICH 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 3.51 2.8% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.14 = 3.51

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.86)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:19 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 3.41 31.9% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:26 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 3.10 45.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:25 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 27 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 2.87 98.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 4

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 2.86 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86)

Score Difference (End): 8 (13.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:12 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 2.84 68.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 3:36 ESPN team id 194 (4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.70 54.1% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 1.27 15.9% 10.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:26 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 3.10 45.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:19 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 3.41 31.9% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 4.76 3.0% 9.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 3.63 8.7% 8.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:12 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 2.84 68.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:01 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 4.75 7.0% 8.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.67 64.9% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:44 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -5.19 56.6% -7.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78

Started Drive at: OSU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 14) A.J. Henning run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 0, MICH 7 1.95 39.4% 5.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.05 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:36 ESPN team id 194 (4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.70 54.1% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:12 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 2.84 68.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:51 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.85 42.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.15 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.15)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.67 64.9% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 21 1.99 55.4% 6.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.01 = 1.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.01)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:49 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.52 81.2% 4.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.48)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 1.27 15.9% 10.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:14 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.82 92.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.18 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.18)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 4.76 3.0% 9.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:17 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 42 1.37 98.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.00 28.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:55 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 0, MICH 0 -0.55 27.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.94 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.9%

Win Probability (After): 27.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:21 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at MICH 28) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 5 yds to the Mich 33 - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.24 27.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.56 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.9%

Win Probability (After): 27.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:55 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 2 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 1.89 29.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 51

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 0.86 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.6%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:30 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 49) MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Erick All) to the Mich 44 - OSU 0, MICH 0 -0.75 35.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 56

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.74 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:03 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 15 at MICH 44) Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the OhSt 48 - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.46 34.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.96 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at OSU 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 6 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.52 34.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 2.41 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:04 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 1 at OSU 42) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.67 36.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.93 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:35 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 40) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker - OSU 0, MICH 0 -0.64 36.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.61 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:28 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at OSU 40) Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the OhSt 31 - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.76 36.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 2.98 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:53 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 1 at OSU 31) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 10:53 - OSU 0, MICH 0 0.00 35.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.74 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:46 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 1 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 17 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 0 1.27 36.6% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 14

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 3.75 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 14) A.J. Henning run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 0, MICH 7 1.95 39.4% 5.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.05 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 61 yds , Julian Fleming return for no gain to the OhSt 4 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -2.25 52.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 96

Started Drive at: OSU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -0.15 = -2.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:05 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 4) C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the OhSt 5 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.50 51.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 95

Started Drive at: OSU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -1.38 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.38)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:38 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 9 at OSU 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 0, MICH 7 -1.06 49.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: OSU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - -1.72 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.72)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:35 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 9 at OSU 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.99 47.5% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: OSU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.54 - -2.55 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:25 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 9 at OSU 5) Jesse Mirco punt for 51 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 17 yds to the OhSt 39 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.63 43.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 39

Started Drive at: OSU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.18 - -3.55 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 24 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 1.20 55.2% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 15

Started Drive at: OSU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 4.13 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:44 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -5.19 56.6% -7.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 78

Started Drive at: OSU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 5.35 = -5.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:37 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 22) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.60 51.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.83 - -0.23 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:13 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 8 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 1.67 48.6% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - -0.76 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:47 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 0, MICH 7 0.91 55.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 0.92 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:23 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at OSU 43) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.25 58.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.78 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:58 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 44) TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Mich 49 - OSU 0, MICH 7 0.54 57.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.55 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.45)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:41 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 3 at MICH 49) TreVeyon Henderson run for 28 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 2.18 59.8% 4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 21

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 2.17 = 2.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 21) Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Mich 12 - OSU 0, MICH 7 0.79 64.3% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 12

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 4.36 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:31 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at MICH 12) Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 0, MICH 7 0.59 65.3% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 5.16 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 194 (1st & Goal at MICH 5) Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Mich 3 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.14 65.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 5.75 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.25)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:17 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & Goal at MICH 3) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.97 65.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 5.63 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:17 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & Goal at MICH 3) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 8 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -0.94 64.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 8

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.70 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:05 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & Goal at MICH 8) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 14 - OSU 0, MICH 7 -1.42 60.4% -2.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.75 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 0, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:36 ESPN team id 194 (4th & Goal at MICH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.70 54.1% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:36 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.00 42.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.50)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.5%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.49 42.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.54 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.5%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:49 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at MICH 28) Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 5 yds to the Mich 33 - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.19 41.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.09 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:18 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 2 at MICH 33) Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 1.32 41.5% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 59

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 1.28 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.28)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:48 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 41) Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.11 44.1% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.58 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:15 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 5 at MICH 46) J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.55 46.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 2.70 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.70)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:40 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.42 49.1% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.28 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.28)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:02 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at OSU 45) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the OhSt 45 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.95 48.5% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.82 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.82)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 7 at OSU 45) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - OSU 3, MICH 7 -1.88 42.4% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 1.86 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:48 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 7 at OSU 45) Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 3 MICHIGAN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 18 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.51 39.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 82

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.02 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.46)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:40 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 18) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 21 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.50 61.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 79

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.54 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.46)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:20 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 21) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 16 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.58 62.9% -4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.02 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.98)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:52 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 12 at OSU 16) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the OhSt 24 - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.73 60.4% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 76

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.63 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.63)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:34 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 2.43 64.1% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 51

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 0.05 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.95)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:09 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 49) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.64 67.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.51 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.49)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 49) Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.80 66.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.90 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 9 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave, broken up by David Ojabo - OSU 3, MICH 7 -1.88 64.7% -4.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 1.19 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.81)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:14 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 9 at 50) Jesse Mirco punt for 40 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 10 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by Mich A.J. Henning - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.09 59.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 90

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - -0.62 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.62)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:09 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 10) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 12 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.50 39.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 88

Started Drive at: MICH 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.67 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:37 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at MICH 12) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 13 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.66 37.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87

Started Drive at: MICH 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.01 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 7 at MICH 13) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards - OSU 3, MICH 7 -1.32 38.1% -4.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87

Started Drive at: MICH 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -0.68 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 4 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:51 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 7 at MICH 13) Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for 5 yds to the OhSt 44 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -0.42 36.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 56

Started Drive at: MICH 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.28 - -1.87 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 4 (2.13)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 0.66 63.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 46

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.29 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.71)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:03 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 46) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48 - OSU 3, MICH 7 -1.27 65.4% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 48

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 3.04 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.96)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:24 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 12 at MICH 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 23 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down - OSU 3, MICH 7 2.59 63.5% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 25

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 1.60 = 2.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 3, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:12 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 7 2.84 68.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:12 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 58 yds , A.J. Henning return for 11 yds to the Mich 18 - OSU 10, MICH 7 -1.37 25.5% -2.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.86 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan Haskins, broken up by Zach Harrison - OSU 10, MICH 7 -0.66 24.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.60 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:52 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 25 - OSU 10, MICH 7 -0.06 23.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.05 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.05)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 3 at MICH 25) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 1.79 22.9% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - -0.13 = 1.79

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:44 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 36) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 42 - OSU 10, MICH 7 0.11 28.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.66 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:10 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at MICH 42) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 0.44 28.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.91 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All - OSU 10, MICH 7 -0.44 30.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.40 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:28 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 10, MICH 7 0.63 30.3% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.95 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.05)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 1 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the OhSt 43 - OSU 10, MICH 7 -1.06 30.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.53 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.47)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 1 at OSU 43) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 05:30 - OSU 10, MICH 7 0.00 28.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.47 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.53)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:26 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 1 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 1.56 28.3% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.38 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.62)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:56 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 41) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39 - OSU 10, MICH 7 -0.33 31.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 3.06 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.06)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:19 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at OSU 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 7 3.41 31.9% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 2

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.76 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.24)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:06 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1 - OSU 10, MICH 7 -0.03 47.3% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 6.19 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:51 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.85 42.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.15 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.15)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:51 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.00 59.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.6%

Win Probability (After): 59.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:42 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.94 59.0% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 0.78 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:25 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 39) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.22 61.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.65 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:50 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the OhSt 44 - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.28 61.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.35 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.65)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 59.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:25 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 5 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 1.01 58.9% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.12 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.88)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.9%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:49 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 39 - OSU 10, MICH 14 1.07 63.2% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 1.87 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.2%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:36 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at MICH 39) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Thayer Munford) to the Mich 44 - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.86 65.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.67 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.33)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:20 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 6 at MICH 44) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson, broken up by DJ Turner - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.43 62.6% -3.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.71 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.6%

Win Probability (After): 59.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 6 at MICH 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 1.28 60.0% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.35 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.65)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:57 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down - OSU 10, MICH 14 1.18 64.4% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 20

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 2.50 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.50)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 20) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.32 69.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.63 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.37)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at MICH 20) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mich 17 - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.02 68.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.28 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.72)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 7 at MICH 17) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:32 - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.00 67.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:23 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 7 at MICH 17) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the Mich 13 - OSU 10, MICH 14 -0.66 66.7% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 13

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.24 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 3 at MICH 13) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:13 - OSU 10, MICH 14 0.00 63.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.58 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.42)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 10, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.6%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 3 at MICH 13) Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.67 64.9% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.33 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.67)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 51 yds , A.J. Henning return for 8 yds to the Mich 22 - OSU 13, MICH 14 -0.01 44.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.07 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 44.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 22) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 25 - OSU 13, MICH 14 -0.04 43.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.04 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.00 60.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 25) TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.18 61.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.78 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.22)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:21 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 5 at OSU 30) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33 - OSU 13, MICH 14 -0.37 60.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.11 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.11)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:57 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 2 at OSU 33) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 31 - OSU 13, MICH 14 -2.20 59.0% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 69

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 0.85 = -2.20

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.0%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:05 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at OSU 31) Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 19 - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.18 53.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 81

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -1.16 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:59 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 19) Blake Corum run for 13 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 0.90 44.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 68

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.94 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.94)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:26 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 32) Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 14 3.10 45.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 13

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 1.86 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.86)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 13) Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 21 1.99 55.4% 6.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.01 = 1.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.01)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.00 38.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.01)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 25) Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Ruckert, Jeremy for 6 yards to the OHIOST31, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Petit-Frere, Nicholas) 10 yards to the OHIOST15, NO PLAY. - OSU 13, MICH 21 -0.91 38.2% -2.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.06 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.94)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:21 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 20 at OSU 15) TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.54 35.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.95 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.95)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 9 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 1.81 36.8% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 58

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - -0.44 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.44)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:24 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.00 43.8% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.58 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.42)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:05 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 5 at OSU 47) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the OhSt 42 - OSU 13, MICH 21 -0.52 39.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.55 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.45)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:35 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 42) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43 - OSU 13, MICH 21 -1.05 39.4% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 1.08 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.92)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:56 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 9 at OSU 43) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 40 - OSU 13, MICH 21 -1.95 36.5% -4.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 60

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - 0.30 = -1.95

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.70)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:19 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 12 at OSU 40) Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 22 - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.34 31.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 78

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.43 - -1.78 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.78)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:14 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 22) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 28 - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.14 66.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.47 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.47)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:31 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at MICH 28) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 31 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 2.03 66.0% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 41

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 1.49 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.49)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.0%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:50 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 41) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 34 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 2.05 72.1% 6.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 7

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.55 - 3.50 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.50)

Score Difference (End): 8 (13.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:08 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 7) J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 1 - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.63 79.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.23 - 5.60 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.60)

Score Difference (End): 8 (14.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:06 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at OSU 1) OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 21 0.25 80.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.48 - 6.23 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.23)

Score Difference (End): 8 (14.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:49 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 1) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.52 81.2% 4.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.48)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:49 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 58 yds , Julian Fleming return for 11 yds to the OhSt 18 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -1.32 13.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -0.37 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.37)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 18) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.90 13.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 70

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - -0.72 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.72)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 30) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 13, MICH 28 -0.78 13.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 0.10 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.90)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:04 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 37 - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.59 11.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.73 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.73)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:37 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 3 at OSU 37) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 1.67 13.0% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 52

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.15 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.15)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:04 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 6 yds to the Mich 46 - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.47 14.3% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 46

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.50 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.50)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:04 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 4 at MICH 46) OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 49 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -1.07 16.5% -2.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 1.96 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.04)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:11 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 9 at OSU 49) Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -0.15 10.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.87 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.13)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:37 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 5 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 1.98 9.6% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 0.70 = 1.98

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.30)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:04 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 38) C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 43 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -1.87 11.7% -2.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.71 = -1.87

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.29)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:36 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 15 at MICH 43) Miyan Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 47 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -1.46 8.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 47

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.90 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.10)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:01 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 19 at MICH 47) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 4.75 7.0% 8.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 21

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - -0.45 = 4.75

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.45)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:31 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 21) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds to the Mich 16 - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.38 14.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.29 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.71)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:03 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 5 at MICH 16) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams - OSU 13, MICH 28 -0.82 14.4% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.65 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.35)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 5 at MICH 16) Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Mich 15 - OSU 13, MICH 28 -1.78 11.5% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 3.80 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.20)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down - OSU 13, MICH 28 3.63 8.7% 8.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 2.04 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.96)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 194 (1st & Goal at MICH 5) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy Ruckert - OSU 13, MICH 28 -0.49 16.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 5.74 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.26)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:35 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & Goal at MICH 5) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 1 - OSU 13, MICH 28 0.47 15.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 5.27 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.73)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 13, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 86 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & Goal at MICH 1) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 28 1.27 15.9% 10.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 53 yds , A.J. Henning return for 22 yds to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 28 -0.35 75.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.57 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.57)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 34) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 28 -0.61 76.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.18 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.18)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:02 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at MICH 34) Cade McNamara run for 9 yds to the Mich 43 - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.47 76.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.52 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.52)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 76.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:43 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 1 at MICH 43) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Steele Chambers) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.87 78.0% 3.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.97 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.97)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:33 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 49) Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 43 - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.53 83.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.80 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.80)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:05 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 2 at OSU 43) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.16 83.1% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 37

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.41 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.41)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:23 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 37) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the OhSt 31 - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.42 84.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 3.56 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:46 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29 - OSU 20, MICH 28 -0.36 85.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.93 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.93)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 2 at OSU 29) McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Wilson, Roman, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Burke, Denzel) 15 yards to the OHIOST14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. - OSU 20, MICH 28 1.34 85.3% 3.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 14

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 3.56 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:23 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 14) Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the OhSt 5 - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.91 89.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 5

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 4.89 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.89)

Score Difference (End): 8 (13.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:02 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 1 at OSU 5) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 28 0.40 90.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 5.79 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.79)

Score Difference (End): 8 (14.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:14 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 2) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.82 92.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.18 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 8 (14.18)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:14 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.00 4.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.02)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:08 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23 - OSU 20, MICH 35 -1.14 4.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - 0.00 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.00)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:43 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 12 at OSU 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 39 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 3.95 3.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 38

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -1.11 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.11)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:18 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 38) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 34 - OSU 20, MICH 35 -0.02 5.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.73 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.27)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:32 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 6 at MICH 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the Mich 29 - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.27 4.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 29

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.79 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.21)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:20 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 1 at MICH 29) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.40 4.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 27

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.22 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.78)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:06 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 27) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 20, MICH 35 -0.83 4.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.89 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.11)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:48 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at MICH 27) C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 31 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud - OSU 20, MICH 35 -2.19 4.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 31

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 3.36 = -2.19

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:18 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 14 at MICH 31) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the Mich 24 - OSU 20, MICH 35 -0.23 2.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.39 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.61)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:50 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 7 at MICH 24) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 05:50 - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.00 2.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.16 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.84)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:46 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 7 at MICH 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down - OSU 20, MICH 35 3.51 2.8% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.14 = 3.51

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.86)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:27 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at MICH 15) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 20, MICH 35 -0.55 4.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.65 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.35)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:17 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at MICH 15) OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the Mich 25 - OSU 20, MICH 35 -1.57 3.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 25

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 4.19 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.81)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:12 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 20 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson - OSU 20, MICH 35 -0.72 3.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.70 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.30)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:59 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 20 at MICH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the Mich 10 - OSU 20, MICH 35 0.29 2.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 10

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.02 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.98)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 20, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 5 at MICH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 35 4.76 3.0% 9.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.24 = 4.76

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 54 yds , A.J. Henning return for 26 yds to the Mich 37 - OSU 27, MICH 35 -0.05 91.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.94 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.94)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 37) Hassan Haskins run for 15 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 0.92 93.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.50 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.50)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:51 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42 - OSU 27, MICH 35 0.19 96.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.25 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:07 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at OSU 42) Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 1.22 97.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.10 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.10)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 31) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 03:00 - OSU 27, MICH 35 0.00 98.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.32)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:25 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 31) Hassan Haskins run for 27 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 35 2.87 98.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 4

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 2.86 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86)

Score Difference (End): 8 (13.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:17 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at OSU 4) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) - OSU 27, MICH 42 1.37 98.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:17 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OSU 27, MICH 42 0.00 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.99 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.01)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:12 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave - OSU 27, MICH 42 -0.42 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.97 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.03)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:57 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - OSU 27, MICH 42 1.16 0.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.55 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.45)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:32 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 41) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 46 - OSU 27, MICH 42 0.23 0.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.35 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.65)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 5 at OSU 46) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - OSU 27, MICH 42 -0.35 0.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.23 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.77)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 5 at OSU 46) C.J. Stroud sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 33 - OSU 27, MICH 42 -1.46 1.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.87 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.13)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 18 at OSU 33) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 01:05 - OSU 27, MICH 42 0.00 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.59 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.59)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 18 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 - OSU 27, MICH 42 -1.32 0.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 45

Started Drive at: OSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -0.39 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.39)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.70)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:54 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at OSU 45) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46 - OSU 27, MICH 42 -0.52 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 46

Started Drive at: OSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.58 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.58)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:23 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 11 at OSU 46) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 47 - OSU 27, MICH 42 -0.01 99.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 47

Started Drive at: OSU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.73 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.73)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OSU 27, MICH 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2