Oklahoma St 21 @ Iowa State 24

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.50 | Odds: ISU -7, O/U 47.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 6876
Total EPA -4.543.99
  Offensive EPA 2.832.83
  Special Teams EPA -7.60-2.09
  Penalty EPA 0.226.18
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.01-2.93
Production ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 5666
  Yards 332359
  Yards/Play 5.935.44
  EPA 2.832.83
  EPA/Play 0.050.04
Passes 27 (48%)35 (53%)
  Yards 225307
  Yards/Play 8.338.77
  EPA 6.4212.56
  EPA/Play 0.240.36
Rushes 29 (52%)31 (47%)
  Yards 12287
  Yards/Play 4.212.81
  EPA -3.59-9.73
  EPA/Play -0.12-0.31
Rushing ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 5666
Rushes 29 (52%)31 (47%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)2 (6%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (24%)12 (39%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 9 (31%)19 (61%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 15 (52%)9 (29%)
OL Line Yards 56.340
  Per Carry 1.941.29
Highlight Yards 24.523.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.632.61
Explosiveness ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 6876
Scrimmage Plays 5666
Explosive Plays 3 (5%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (11%)3 (9%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -7.02-7.46
  EPA/Play -0.13-0.12
  When Passing -3.434.25
    EPA/Play -0.130.12
  When Rushing -3.59-11.71
    EPA/Play -0.12-0.39
Situational ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 26 (46%)32 (48%)
  When Passing 14 (52%)22 (63%)
  When Rushing 12 (41%)10 (32%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (50%)27 (51%)
  On Passing Downs 5 (36%)5 (38%)
  On Early Downs 23 (51%)26 (53%)
  On Late Downs 3 (27%)6 (35%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (40%)5 (50%)
Early Downs 4549
  First Downs Created 10 (22%)10 (20%)
  EPA 9.9111.98
  EPA/Play 0.220.24
  Passes 22 (49%)24 (49%)
  Rushes 23 (51%)25 (51%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (59%)17 (71%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 10 (43%)9 (36%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1010
  EPA 2.312.30
  EPA/play 0.230.23
  Passes 3 (30%)9 (90%)
  Rushes 7 (70%)1 (10%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (67%)4 (44%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (29%)1 (100%)
Drives ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Total 1212
Avg Starting Field Position Own 31Own 25
Plays/Drive 5.687.94
Yards/Drive 34.3047.73
Available Yards % 50%63%
Defensive ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 6656
Stop Rate 44%46%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (9%)5 (9%)
  Passing 2 (6%)3 (11%)
  Rushing 4 (13%)2 (7%)
TFLs Generated 65
  Passing 23
  Rushing 42
Sacks Generated 2 (6%)3 (11%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Turnovers 01
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 0.50.5
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 5.0-5.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 197 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 12 10
Total EPA -7.6 -2.09
  Field Goal EPA -8.01 0.35
  Punting EPA -0.58 -1.92
  Kickoff Return EPA 0.99 -0.52

Oklahoma State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Spencer Sanders 15/24, 225 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 59.3 xQBR 8.33 0.24 6.42 52% 33.0%
Rush attempts
Spencer Sanders 8 carries, 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.03 0.26 62% -2.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -5.00 -0.03 -0.03 0% 0.0%
Dominic Richardson 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.24 -0.49 0% -2.0%
Jaylen Warren 18 carries, 76 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.22 -0.19 -3.34 39% -10.0%
Pass targets
Tay Martin 4 catches (5 targets), 80 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 1.23 6.17 80% 43.0%
Brennan Presley 6 catches (9 targets), 84 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 0.40 3.63 56% 8.0%
Rashod Owens 3 catches (4 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.67 0.40 1.61 75% 6.0%
Blaine Green 1 catch (1 target), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.93 0.93 100% 4.0%
Jaylen Warren 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.85 0.85 100% 1.0%
Jaden Bray 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.47 -0.47 0% -3.0%
Braden Cassity 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.97 -0.97 0% -4.0%

Iowa State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brock Purdy 27/33, 307 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 83.6 xQBR 8.77 0.36 12.56 63% 57.0%
Rush attempts
TEAM 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 0.13 0.26 50% 4.0%
Jirehl Brock 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.23 0.23 100% 0.0%
Brock Purdy 7 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 2.00 -0.73 -5.09 14% -20.0%
Breece Hall 21 carries, 70 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.33 -0.24 -5.14 33% -6.0%
Pass targets
Xavier Hutchinson 12 catches (12 targets), 125 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.42 1.12 13.49 92% 39.0%
Breece Hall 2 catches (2 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.50 1.38 2.77 100% 10.0%
Tarique Milton 2 catches (2 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.50 1.33 2.67 50% 22.0%
Jared Rus 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.89 1.78 100% 5.0%
Jaylin Noel 2 catches (2 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.39 0.78 50% 4.0%
Darren Wilson Jr. 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.14 0.14 100% 0.0%
Sean Shaw Jr. 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.65 -0.65 0% -2.0%
Charlie Kolar 6 catches (9 targets), 69 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.50 -0.33 -2.94 44% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 1 at ISU 15) Tanner Brown 32 yd FG MISSED - OKST 14, ISU 14 -4.62 51.5% -12.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 3.85 = -4.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 1 at OKST 32) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for no gain to the OKSt 32 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -4.58 72.7% -9.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - 2.82 = -4.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 42 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 7 4.45 49.6% 13.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:14 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 2 at ISU 33) Tanner Brown 50 yd FG MISSED - OKST 7, ISU 0 -3.39 59.3% -6.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - 2.42 = -3.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:41 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at OKST 42) Brock Purdy run for no gain to the OKSt 42 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -3.18 74.4% -10.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 58

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 1.07 = -3.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 46) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 51 yds to the IOWAST 3 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavier Hutchinson) to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 7 3.14 41.8% 7.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 18

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 1.23 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 25 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.90 50.3% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 37) Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 33 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.75 43.4% 20.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 4

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.89 - 3.15 = 2.75

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:10 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 10 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 2.50 58.0% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 41

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 1.55 = 2.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at ISU 17) Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 30 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.42 31.1% 9.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 53

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - -0.14 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 37) Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 33 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.75 43.4% 20.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 4

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.89 - 3.15 = 2.75

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 25 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.90 50.3% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 42 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 7 4.45 49.6% 13.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:50 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 7 at ISU 45) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 20 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 1.86 37.8% 12.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 25

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 2.29 = 1.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 1 at ISU 15) Tanner Brown 32 yd FG MISSED - OKST 14, ISU 14 -4.62 51.5% -12.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 3.85 = -4.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:09 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 2 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the IowSt 41 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -2.07 19.7% -11.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 59

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 0.72 = -2.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:41 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at OKST 42) Brock Purdy run for no gain to the OKSt 42 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -3.18 74.4% -10.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 58

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 1.07 = -3.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at ISU 17) Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 30 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.42 31.1% 9.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 53

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - -0.14 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 10 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 19 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -1.41 29.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - 0.45 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 1 at OKST 32) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for no gain to the OKSt 32 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -4.58 72.7% -9.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - 2.82 = -4.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 5:55 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & Goal at ISU 5) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 7, ISU 0 1.60 45.9% 6.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:39 ESPN team id 66 (4th & Goal at OKST 1) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - OKST 7, ISU 7 2.35 52.6% 6.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.65 = 2.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 42 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 7 4.45 49.6% 13.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 10:21 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at OKST 9) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 14 2.13 48.0% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:41 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 8 at OKST 12) Andrew Mevis 29 yd FG GOOD - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.35 65.5% 9.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.65)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 25 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.90 50.3% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:29 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at OKST 4) Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 24 1.16 65.9% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.84 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.00 69.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.3%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 34 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ISU 0 2.36 68.9% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 41

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 1.05 = 2.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 41) Breece Hall run for no gain to the OKSt 41 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.68 75.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.55 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:00 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at OKST 41) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 7 yds to the OKSt 34 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.31 73.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 34

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 2.88 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:30 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at OKST 34) Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.20 73.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.11 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 1 at OKST 32) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for no gain to the OKSt 32 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -4.58 72.7% -9.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - 2.82 = -4.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:50 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 33) Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 38 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.14 37.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.73 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 5 at OKST 38) Jaylen Warren run for 10 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.82 38.9% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.83 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:40 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 48) Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.21 39.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 2.77 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:33 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 6 at ISU 48) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braden Cassity - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.97 40.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.66 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:29 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 6 at ISU 48) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 0, ISU 0 -1.96 37.3% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.71 = -1.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:21 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 6 at ISU 48) Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, downed at the IowSt 7 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.26 32.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 93

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.16 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 7) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 12 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.27 66.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 88

Started Drive at: ISU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - -0.13 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 12) Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 12 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.96 60.7% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: ISU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.02 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:16 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 5 at ISU 12) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar - OKST 0, ISU 0 -1.39 59.4% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: ISU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.45 - -1.05 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:09 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 5 at ISU 12) Andrew Mevis punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the IowSt 48 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.59 57.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 48

Started Drive at: ISU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.05 - -2.45 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.0%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:45 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 48) Spencer Sanders run for 18 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ISU 0 1.14 42.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 30

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.01 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:06 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 30) Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the IowSt 24 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.21 43.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 4.12 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:50 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 24) Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 21 - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.13 44.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 4.31 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 1 at ISU 21) Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ISU 0 0.96 44.8% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.44 - 4.48 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:30 ESPN team id 197 (1st & Goal at ISU 8) Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 5 - OKST 0, ISU 0 -0.07 46.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 5.47 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:55 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & Goal at ISU 5) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 7, ISU 0 1.60 45.9% 6.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:55 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 59 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 16 yds to the IowSt 22 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.14 46.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.03 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:20 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 22) Brock Purdy sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 12 yards to the IowSt 10 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -1.78 47.2% -3.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 90

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -0.19 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.2%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:40 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 22 at ISU 10) Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 15 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.37 44.9% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 85

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - -1.97 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.97)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:50 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 17 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 25 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.44 41.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.76 - -2.33 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.4%

Win Probability (After): 42.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:42 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 7 at ISU 25) IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 20 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.32 41.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.09 - -2.77 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:30 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 12 at ISU 20) Andrew Mevis punt for 50 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 26 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.69 39.3% 4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: ISU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -3.08 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.3%

Win Probability (After): 43.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:16 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 26) Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the OKSt 31 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.06 56.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.38 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 56.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:35 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 5 at OKST 31) Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.64 58.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 62

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.34 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:24 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.56 61.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 3.01 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 10 at OKST 38) Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 38 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.91 60.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.44 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:10 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 10 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 2.50 58.0% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 41

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 1.55 = 2.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 41) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the IowSt 33 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.58 62.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 33

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.04 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 2 at ISU 33) Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the IowSt 33 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.62 64.8% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.57 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.57)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 2 at ISU 33) Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the IowSt 33 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -1.42 61.4% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 3.90 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:14 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 2 at ISU 33) Tanner Brown 50 yd FG MISSED - OKST 7, ISU 0 -3.39 59.3% -6.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - 2.42 = -3.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 33) Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 33 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.71 47.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.96 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at ISU 33) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 42 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.96 47.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 58

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.20 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:20 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at ISU 42) Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.32 48.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.28 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:05 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 43) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tanner McCalister) to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.68 48.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 47

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 1.76 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:40 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 47) Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 48 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.96 49.3% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 48

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.43 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:55 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 11 at OKST 48) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 11 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 1.27 47.0% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 37

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 1.70 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:43 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 37) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 10:43 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.00 53.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.97 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:15 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 37) Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.67 52.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 29

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.20 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.0%

Win Probability (After): 55.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 2 at OKST 29) Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.87 51.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 30

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.83 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.17)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at OKST 30) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 1.06 47.7% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 2.88 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.12)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 24) Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.17 52.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.89 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:40 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 6 at OKST 20) Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the OKSt 15 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.45 54.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 3.99 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at OKST 15) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 8 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.92 54.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 7

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 4.45 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 58.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at OKST 7) Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the OKSt 1 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.71 58.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.05 - 5.34 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:40 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at OKST 1) Breece Hall run for no gain to the OKSt 1 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -0.31 58.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.69 - 6.00 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:23 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & Goal at OKST 1) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 05:23 - OKST 7, ISU 0 0.00 57.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.69 - 5.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:53 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & Goal at OKST 1) Brock Purdy run for no gain to the OKSt 1 - OKST 7, ISU 0 -1.04 56.7% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 5.72 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:39 ESPN team id 66 (4th & Goal at OKST 1) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - OKST 7, ISU 7 2.35 52.6% 6.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.65 = 2.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:39 ESPN team id 197 (Kickoff at OKST 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 7, ISU 7 0.00 43.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:10 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.34 43.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 1.14 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:30 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 7 at OKST 28) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Hunter Anthony) to the OKSt 14 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -1.32 41.7% -6.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 86

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.78 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 21 at OKST 14) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod Owens - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.68 36.2% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 86

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.35 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:50 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 21 at OKST 14) Jaylen Warren run for 10 yds to the OKSt 24 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.54 33.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 76

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -1.02 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:33 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 11 at OKST 24) Tom Hutton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 40 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.89 32.2% 2.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.30 - -1.41 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 40) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the IowSt 45 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.15 65.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: ISU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 2.40 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:57 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 45) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr. - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.65 65.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: ISU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.33 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 5 at ISU 45) Brock Purdy sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 37 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -1.94 63.6% -8.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 63

Started Drive at: ISU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 1.52 = -1.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 13 at ISU 37) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 01:50 - OKST 7, ISU 7 0.00 55.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: ISU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - -0.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:45 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 13 at ISU 37) Andrew Mevis punt for 35 yds , Brennan Presley returns for no gain to the OKSt 28 Brennan Presley fumbled, recovered by OKSt Brennan Presley - OKST 7, ISU 7 -1.10 55.3% -1.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.50 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.3%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:30 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 28) Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 27 - OKST 7, ISU 7 -0.50 45.7% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 73

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.31 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 11 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 25 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ISU 7 1.56 42.3% 6.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 48

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 0.83 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:08 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 48) Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the IowSt 42 - OKST 7, ISU 7 0.19 50.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.49 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:08 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 42) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 01:08 - OKST 7, ISU 7 0.00 52.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 7, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 4 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 42 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 7 4.45 49.6% 13.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.00 39.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 39.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:54 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 32 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.35 39.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.42 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:49 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 3 at ISU 32) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.20 40.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.65 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at ISU 32) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.61 39.0% -3.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 0.33 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.0%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:34 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 3 at ISU 32) Andrew Mevis punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the IOWAST 33 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Korie Black) to the OKSt 23 - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.13 35.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 77

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -0.05 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.29)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 23) TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 18 - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.03 63.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 82

Started Drive at: OKST 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 197 (Kickoff at OKST 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 60 yds , Brennan Presley return for 27 yds to the OKSt 32 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.47 63.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.01 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 32) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33 - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.75 65.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.59 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:45 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 9 at OKST 33) Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the OKSt 40 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.38 64.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 60

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.90 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:20 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 2 at OKST 40) Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 40 - OKST 14, ISU 7 -1.77 66.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 2.29 = -1.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.29)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:02 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 2 at OKST 40) Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 12 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.16 63.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 88

Started Drive at: OKST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.62 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 13) Breece Hall run for 28 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 7 1.98 37.4% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 59

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - -0.74 = 1.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 41) Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 46 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.14 41.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.24 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 46) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 51 yds to the IOWAST 3 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavier Hutchinson) to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 7 3.14 41.8% 7.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 18

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 1.23 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 18) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the OKSt 12 - OKST 14, ISU 7 0.25 49.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 4.46 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.54)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:50 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 4 at OKST 12) Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the OKSt 9 - OKST 14, ISU 7 -0.01 49.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.78 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:21 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at OKST 9) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) - OKST 14, ISU 14 2.13 48.0% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 87 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:21 ESPN team id 197 (Kickoff at OKST 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 63 yds , Brennan Presley return for 24 yds to the OKSt 26 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.30 44.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.22 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.3%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:00 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 26) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 22 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 1.39 46.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 52

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.44 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.2%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:10 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 48) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 13 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.93 48.0% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 39

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 2.72 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 39) Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 39 - OKST 14, ISU 14 -0.58 51.7% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.59 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:16 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 10 at ISU 39) IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Johnson Jr.) to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 1.37 49.4% 4.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 24

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 2.99 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 24) Jaylen Warren run for 5 yds to the IowSt 19 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.24 52.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.38 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 5 at ISU 19) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - OKST 14, ISU 14 -0.84 53.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.59 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:00 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 5 at ISU 19) Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 15 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.03 52.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 3.78 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 1 at ISU 15) Tanner Brown 32 yd FG MISSED - OKST 14, ISU 14 -4.62 51.5% -12.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: OKST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 3.85 = -4.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.85)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:15 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 20) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 10 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.86 61.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 70

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 0.79 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 30) Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 36 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.18 64.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.64 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.64)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:43 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 4 at ISU 36) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Christian Holmes) to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 1.19 64.6% 2.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 1.82 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 49) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the OKSt 40 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.93 66.1% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 40

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.00 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 1 at OKST 40) Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 6 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 -0.08 69.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 34

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 3.94 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 69.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 34) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 7 yds to the OKSt 27 - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.52 69.5% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 27

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 3.87 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 3 at OKST 27) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrick Bernard-Converse) to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 14 0.67 70.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 14

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 4.38 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 14) Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12 - OKST 14, ISU 14 -0.48 72.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 5.06 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at OKST 12) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar - OKST 14, ISU 14 -0.78 71.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.57 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:46 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 8 at OKST 12) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - OKST 14, ISU 14 -1.14 69.5% -4.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.79 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:41 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 8 at OKST 12) Andrew Mevis 29 yd FG GOOD - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.35 65.5% 9.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: ISU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.65 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.65)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:41 ESPN team id 197 (Kickoff at OKST 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.00 32.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.72 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:20 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 25) Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.48 32.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.73 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.27)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:50 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 8 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 7 yds to the OKSt 34 - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.85 31.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 66

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.26 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.74)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:20 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 1 at OKST 34) IOWA ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.65 31.8% 3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.17 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.83)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:00 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 39) Spencer Sanders sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 35 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -1.19 35.5% -5.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 65

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 1.88 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.12)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:45 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 14 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.87 30.4% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.70 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:35 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 14 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete - OKST 14, ISU 17 -1.17 28.5% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - -0.17 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:28 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 14 at OKST 35) Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 23 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.07 25.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: OKST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -1.33 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.7%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 23) Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.50 70.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.40 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.40)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at ISU 25) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Collin Oliver) to the IowSt 30 - OKST 14, ISU 17 1.04 70.3% 2.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 0.88 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.88)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 3 at ISU 30) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.59 74.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 60

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 1.92 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.92)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:20 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 40) Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 7 yds to the IowSt 47 - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.35 76.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.53 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 3 at ISU 47) Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 47 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.94 76.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.85 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.85)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.3%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at ISU 47) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 1.11 75.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 1.88 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.88)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:10 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at 50) Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the OKSt 44 - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.23 76.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 2.98 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.98)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:40 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 4 at OKST 44) Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.72 78.9% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 43

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.21 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.21)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:29 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at OKST 43) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 11:29 - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.00 75.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 2.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.50)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at OKST 43) Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -1.46 75.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 2.49 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:41 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at OKST 42) Brock Purdy run for no gain to the OKSt 42 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -3.18 74.4% -10.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 58

Started Drive at: ISU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 1.07 = -3.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:05 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 42) Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.13 37.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.19 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.81)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:20 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 6 at OKST 46) Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 0.95 35.8% 6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 1.96 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.04)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 48) Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45 - OKST 14, ISU 17 -0.36 40.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.75 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 39.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:50 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 7 at ISU 45) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 20 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ISU 17 1.86 37.8% 12.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 25

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 2.29 = 1.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 14, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 25 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.90 50.3% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OKST 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 15 yds to the IowSt 15 - OKST 21, ISU 17 -0.38 37.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.80 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17 - OKST 21, ISU 17 -0.65 37.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.46 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.54)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:30 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at ISU 17) Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 30 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.42 31.1% 9.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 53

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - -0.14 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 47) Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - OKST 21, ISU 17 -0.40 40.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.35 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.65)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:20 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 7 at 50) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 1.33 39.1% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 37

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 2.05 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.95)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at OKST 37) Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 33 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 17 2.75 43.4% 20.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 4

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.89 - 3.15 = 2.75

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:29 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at OKST 4) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 05:29 - OKST 21, ISU 17 0.00 67.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.89 - 5.89 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.89)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:29 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at OKST 4) Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - OKST 21, ISU 24 1.16 65.9% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.84 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:29 ESPN team id 197 (Kickoff at OKST 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 54 yds , Brennan Presley return for 16 yds to the OKSt 27 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.21 30.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 0.71 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.29)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:24 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.77 30.6% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 1.03 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 10 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 19 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -1.41 29.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - 0.45 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 18 at OKST 19) Spencer Sanders sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 16 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.99 18.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 84

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -0.89 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:21 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 21 at OKST 16) Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 35 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.05 12.7% 7.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 65

Started Drive at: OKST 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -1.80 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.80)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 35) Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 35 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.38 83.5% -5.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.73 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.73)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:32 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at ISU 35) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 40 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.04 78.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.15 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:32 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 5 at ISU 40) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 03:32 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.00 79.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.11 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.11)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:25 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 5 at ISU 40) Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 43 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -1.05 81.9% -6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 1.04 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.04)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 75.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:25 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at ISU 43) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 03:25 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.00 76.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.99)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at ISU 43) Andrew Mevis punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 24 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.79 77.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 76

Started Drive at: ISU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.04 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 24) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKSt 31 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.17 23.1% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.88 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.12)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:40 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 3 at OKST 31) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 4 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.41 24.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.03 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:25 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.50 26.4% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.50 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.50)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:19 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 10 at 50) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Tay Martin) to the OKSt 45 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.48 30.4% -3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 55

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.99 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:45 ESPN team id 197 (1st & 15 at OKST 45) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 10 yds to the IowSt 45 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.68 22.5% 8.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.32 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:39 ESPN team id 197 (2nd & 5 at ISU 45) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden Bray - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.47 27.1% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.80 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.20)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:25 ESPN team id 197 (3rd & 5 at ISU 45) Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 42 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.64 22.2% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 1.25 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.75)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:09 ESPN team id 197 (4th & 2 at ISU 42) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the IowSt 41 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -2.07 19.7% -11.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 59

Started Drive at: OKST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.35 - 0.72 = -2.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 41) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 39 - OKST 21, ISU 24 -0.04 96.1% -4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 61

Started Drive at: ISU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.78 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 12 at ISU 39) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 38 - OKST 21, ISU 24 0.30 92.1% 7.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 62

Started Drive at: ISU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.09 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OKST 21, ISU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1