Oklahoma 35 @ Kansas 23

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.09 | Odds: OU -38.5, O/U 66.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Total Plays 6074
Total EPA 22.958.91
  Offensive EPA 26.4311.36
  Special Teams EPA 0.08-3.27
  Penalty EPA -2.750.08
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.810.74
Production ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Scrimmage Plays 5465
  Yards 415402
  Yards/Play 7.696.18
  EPA 26.4311.36
  EPA/Play 0.490.17
Passes 23 (43%)24 (37%)
  Yards 178246
  Yards/Play 7.7410.25
  EPA 9.0713.97
  EPA/Play 0.390.58
Rushes 31 (57%)41 (63%)
  Yards 236170
  Yards/Play 7.614.15
  EPA 17.35-2.61
  EPA/Play 0.56-0.06
Rushing ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Scrimmage Plays 5465
Rushes 31 (57%)41 (63%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (6%)3 (7%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (50%)3 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (10%)6 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (32%)19 (46%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 17 (55%)16 (39%)
OL Line Yards 58.472.4
  Per Carry 1.881.77
Highlight Yards 119.551
  Per Rush Opportunity 7.033.19
Explosiveness ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Total Plays 6074
Scrimmage Plays 5465
Explosive Plays 9 (17%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (17%)2 (8%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 5 (16%)2 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -1.641.89
  EPA/Play -0.040.03
  When Passing -1.028.75
    EPA/Play -0.040.36
  When Rushing -0.62-6.86
    EPA/Play -0.02-0.18
Situational ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 30 (56%)33 (51%)
  When Passing 13 (57%)17 (71%)
  When Rushing 17 (55%)16 (39%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (57%)24 (51%)
  On Passing Downs 9 (53%)9 (50%)
  On Early Downs 22 (54%)22 (43%)
  On Late Downs 8 (62%)11 (79%)
  During "Middle 8" 5 (36%)1 (50%)
Early Downs 4151
  First Downs Created 10 (24%)12 (24%)
  EPA 12.50-0.97
  EPA/Play 0.30-0.02
  Passes 14 (34%)16 (31%)
  Rushes 27 (66%)35 (69%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 8 (57%)11 (69%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (52%)11 (31%)
"Middle 8" Plays 142
  EPA 0.57-0.27
  EPA/play 0.04-0.14
  Passes 10 (71%)0 (0%)
  Rushes 4 (29%)2 (100%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 5 (50%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Total 89
Avg Starting Field Position Own 31Own 23
Plays/Drive 9.199.63
Yards/Drive 53.8957.66
Available Yards % 79%75%
Defensive ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Scrimmage Plays 6554
Stop Rate 12%26%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (9%)6 (11%)
  Passing 2 (8%)5 (22%)
  Rushing 4 (10%)1 (3%)
TFLs Generated 64
  Passing 23
  Rushing 41
Sacks Generated 1 (4%)3 (13%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 11
Turnovers ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Turnovers 11
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 1.1-1.1
Special Teams ESPN team id 201 ESPN team id 2305
Total Plays 6 9
Total EPA 0.08 -3.27
  Field Goal EPA 0 -1.84
  Punting EPA 0.08 -1.33
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -0.1

Oklahoma [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Caleb Williams 15/20, 178 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 84.6 xQBR 7.74 0.39 9.07 57% 38.0%
Rush attempts
Caleb Williams 5 carries, 86 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.20 1.88 9.38 80% 11.0%
Trevon West 1 carry, 66 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 66.00 4.82 4.82 100% 15.0%
Kennedy Brooks 24 carries, 79 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.29 0.12 2.98 46% 0.0%
Eric Gray 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.18 0.18 100% -1.0%
Pass targets
Jadon Haselwood 3 catches (3 targets), 38 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.67 2.45 7.36 100% 16.0%
Jeremiah Hall 3 catches (3 targets), 25 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 8.33 1.58 4.73 67% 9.0%
Drake Stoops 3 catches (3 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.24 3.72 100% 8.0%
Kennedy Brooks 1 catch (1 target), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.00 1.99 1.99 100% 5.0%
Eric Gray 3 catches (4 targets), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 0.42 1.69 75% 9.0%
Marvin Mims 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 0.86 0.86 100% 1.0%
Jalil Farooq 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.08 -0.08 0% 2.0%
Trevon West 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.56 -0.56 0% 0.0%
Austin Stogner 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% -2.0%

Kansas [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jason Bean 17/23, 246 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 74.8 xQBR 10.25 0.58 13.97 71% 7.0%
Rush attempts
Jason Bean 13 carries, 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.85 0.17 2.15 69% -6.0%
Trevor Wilson 2 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.58 -1.16 0% -2.0%
Devin Neal 23 carries, 100 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.35 -0.05 -1.23 30% 10.0%
Torry Locklin 3 carries, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.79 -2.37 0% -1.0%
Pass targets
Kwamie Lassiter II 7 catches (9 targets), 101 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.43 1.25 11.28 78% 8.0%
Lawrence Arnold 4 catches (6 targets), 73 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.25 0.77 4.62 83% -1.0%
Luke Grimm 3 catches (3 targets), 50 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.67 1.49 4.48 100% 14.0%
Steven McBride 3 catches (3 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 7.33 -1.35 -4.04 67% -11.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 3 at KU 40) Caleb Williams run for 40 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 28, KU 17 6.24 89.6% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.76 = 6.24

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:22 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 15 at OU 48) Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for a loss of 5 yards Steven McBride fumbled, forced by Key Lawrence, recovered by Okla Justin Broiles - OU 21, KU 17 -5.38 17.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.21 - 2.17 = -5.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.83)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Trevon West run for 66 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 17 4.82 49.9% 15.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 9

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 0.21 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:42 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 4) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 35, KU 23 2.85 99.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.15 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 3:47 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 5 at OU 49) Caleb Williams sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 39 - OU 0, KU 7 -2.75 92.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 61

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - 0.67 = -2.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 5) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 7, KU 10 2.68 77.5% 5.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.32 = 2.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:41 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at OU 36) Caleb Williams pass intercepted Ricky Thomas Jr. return for no gain to the Kans 20 - OU 0, KU 10 -2.68 86.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 80

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - 1.01 = -2.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.99)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:24 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 14 at KU 32) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 25 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down - OU 21, KU 17 2.65 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 43

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 0.44 = 2.65

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:26 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 8 at KU 22) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 2.58 2.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - -0.87 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:14 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & Goal at KU 8) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 14, KU 17 2.56 63.4% 7.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 1:30 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & Goal at OU 1) Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - OU 7, KU 17 2.02 30.5% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.98 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.98)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Trevon West run for 66 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 17 4.82 49.9% 15.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 9

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 0.21 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:22 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 15 at OU 48) Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for a loss of 5 yards Steven McBride fumbled, forced by Key Lawrence, recovered by Okla Justin Broiles - OU 21, KU 17 -5.38 17.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.21 - 2.17 = -5.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.83)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 3 at KU 40) Caleb Williams run for 40 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 28, KU 17 6.24 89.6% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.76 = 6.24

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:24 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 14 at KU 32) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 25 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down - OU 21, KU 17 2.65 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 43

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 0.44 = 2.65

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:14 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & Goal at KU 8) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 14, KU 17 2.56 63.4% 7.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:41 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 7 at KU 35) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.45 69.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 1.58 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:52 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 37 at OU 32) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 16 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jeremy Webb) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.41 78.7% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 37

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.53 = 2.41

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.54)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 11:47 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 12 at KU 23) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 13 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST down - OU 21, KU 17 1.92 10.1% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - -0.20 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.20)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:11 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 36) Devin Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 32 - OU 21, KU 17 -1.40 16.6% -5.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 68

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.79 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & Goal at OU 1) Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - OU 0, KU 7 0.48 5.8% 2.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:24 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & 10 at OU 11) Jacob Borcila 28 yd FG GOOD - OU 0, KU 10 0.21 13.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.79 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.79)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 5) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 7, KU 10 2.68 77.5% 5.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.32 = 2.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:30 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & Goal at OU 1) Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - OU 7, KU 17 2.02 30.5% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.98 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.98)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:14 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & Goal at KU 8) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 14, KU 17 2.56 63.4% 7.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:35 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at KU 1) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 21, KU 17 0.56 86.7% 2.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 3 at KU 40) Caleb Williams run for 40 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 28, KU 17 6.24 89.6% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.76 = 6.24

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 14) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - OU 28, KU 23 1.40 4.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.60 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.40)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:42 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 4) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 35, KU 23 2.85 99.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.15 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at KU 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. return for 20 yds to the Kans 20 - OU 0, KU 0 -0.32 1.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.86 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:52 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 20) Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 21 - OU 0, KU 0 -1.26 1.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 1.16 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:12 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 9 at KU 21) Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Kans 22 - OU 0, KU 0 -0.40 1.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.08 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:26 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 8 at KU 22) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 2.58 2.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - -0.87 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:47 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 31) Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 7 yds to the Kans 38 - OU 0, KU 0 0.35 2.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 62

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 1.76 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:07 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 3 at KU 38) Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 0.24 3.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 57

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.11 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:46 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 43) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Josh Ellison) to the Kans 48 - OU 0, KU 0 0.72 2.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.34 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 5 at KU 48) Trevor Wilson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - OU 0, KU 0 -0.22 2.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.03 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:44 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 3 at 50) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaiah Thomas) to the Okla 45 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 0.27 2.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.87 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 45) Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Okla 39 - OU 0, KU 0 0.31 2.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 3.24 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:35 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 4 at OU 39) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Okla 36 - OU 0, KU 0 -0.12 3.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.57 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:05 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 1 at OU 36) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 0.68 2.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.42 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:30 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 33) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Okla 30 - OU 0, KU 0 -0.33 3.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.03 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:55 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 7 at OU 30) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Okla 28 - OU 0, KU 0 -0.38 3.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.67 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 5 at OU 28) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 1.36 3.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 3.32 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 20) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brian Asamoah) to the Okla 15 - OU 0, KU 0 0.64 4.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 4.70 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:35 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 5 at OU 15) Jason Bean run for 14 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 0 1.17 4.6% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 1

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.52 - 5.36 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & Goal at OU 1) Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - OU 0, KU 7 0.48 5.8% 2.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - OU 0, KU 7 0.00 93.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.05 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:41 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 31 - OU 0, KU 7 0.44 93.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - -0.05 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:17 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at OU 31) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 7 1.15 93.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 56

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.39 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:54 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 44) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 45 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.52 93.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.54 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:21 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 9 at OU 45) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 49 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.34 92.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 51

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.01 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:47 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 5 at OU 49) Caleb Williams sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 39 - OU 0, KU 7 -2.75 92.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 61

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - 0.67 = -2.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 15 at OU 39) Michael Turk punt for 61 yds for a touchback - OU 0, KU 7 0.08 90.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 80

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - -2.06 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:54 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 20) Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Kans 23 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.40 9.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 2.02 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:12 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 7 at KU 23) Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Kans 24 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.81 9.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 76

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.60 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:27 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 6 at KU 24) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 7 1.85 8.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 0.81 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.81)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:44 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 33) Devin Neal run for 44 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 7 2.23 10.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 23

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 2.67 = 2.23

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:03 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 23) Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Okla 17 - OU 0, KU 7 0.34 12.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 4.88 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 4 at OU 17) Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Okla 16 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.56 11.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 5.17 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:14 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 3 at OU 16) Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 7 0.84 13.8% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.57 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.57)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:35 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 11) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Okla 8 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.32 14.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 5.42 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:53 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 7 at OU 8) Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Okla 3 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Ford Jr.) to the Okla 13 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.73 14.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 13

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 5.11 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:49 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 12 at OU 13) Torry Locklin run for 4 yds to the Okla 9 - OU 0, KU 7 -0.31 14.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 9

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.37 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:04 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 8 at OU 9) Torry Locklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 11 - OU 0, KU 7 -1.25 13.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 4.05 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:24 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & 10 at OU 11) Jacob Borcila 28 yd FG GOOD - OU 0, KU 10 0.21 13.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.79 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.79)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:24 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - OU 0, KU 10 0.00 85.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.39 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.61)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:17 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 0.92 85.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.48 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.52)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:52 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 36) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Trevon West - OU 0, KU 10 -0.56 86.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.52 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.48)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:41 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at OU 36) Caleb Williams pass intercepted Ricky Thomas Jr. return for no gain to the Kans 20 - OU 0, KU 10 -2.68 86.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 80

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - 1.01 = -2.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.99)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:36 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 20) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 0.92 15.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 65

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 1.69 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.69)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:59 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 35) Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 35 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.45 14.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.55 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.55)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:18 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 10 at KU 35) Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II - OU 0, KU 10 -0.52 15.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.74 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.74)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:10 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 10 at KU 35) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.25 15.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 0.76 = 2.25

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:32 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at 50) Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the Okla 42 - OU 0, KU 10 0.66 16.8% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 2.85 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.85)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:53 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 2 at OU 42) Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Okla 41 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.33 17.9% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.39 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.39)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:10 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 1 at OU 41) Timeout KANSAS, clock 07:10 - OU 0, KU 10 0.00 18.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.06)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:03 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 1 at OU 41) Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 0.50 19.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 3.14 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.14)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:32 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 39) Timeout KANSAS, clock 06:32 - OU 0, KU 10 0.00 20.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 3.63 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:27 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 39) Jason Bean pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II - OU 0, KU 10 -0.46 17.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 3.59 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.59)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:22 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 10 at OU 39) Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Okla 38 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.88 16.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 3.13 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.13)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:38 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 9 at OU 38) Jason Bean pass incomplete - OU 0, KU 10 -1.42 15.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.10 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:32 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & 9 at OU 38) Jacob Borcila 57 yd FG MISSED - OU 0, KU 10 -2.05 14.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 61

Started Drive at: KU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - 0.47 = -2.05

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.47)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:32 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 39) OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Anton Harrison) to the Okla 34 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.73 84.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.58 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:27 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 15 at OU 34) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 5 yds to the Okla 39 - OU 0, KU 10 0.13 83.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 0.97 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:12 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at OU 39) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 42 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.47 85.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.26 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.74)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:27 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 7 at OU 42) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 17 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.27 83.0% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 41

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 0.68 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.32)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 41) Williams, Caleb rush for 15 yards to the KANSAS26, PENALTY OKLAHOMA illegal block (Harrison, Anton) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA44, NO PLAY. - OU 0, KU 10 -1.41 86.3% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 56

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 2.81 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:28 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 25 at OU 44) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 47 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.33 83.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.50 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.50)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:23 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 22 at OU 47) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Marquis Hayes) to the Okla 32 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.65 82.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 68

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.11 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.89)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:52 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 37 at OU 32) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 16 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jeremy Webb) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.41 78.7% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 37

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.53 = 2.41

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.54)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:37 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 37) Caleb Williams sacked by TEAM for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 48 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Caleb Williams) to the Kans 48 - OU 0, KU 10 -1.58 83.9% -3.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 48

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.81 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.13)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.9%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:29 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 21 at KU 48) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 14 yds to the Kans 34 - OU 0, KU 10 0.86 81.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.27 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.73)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:16 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 7 at KU 34) OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Hall) to the Kans 39 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.77 82.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.09 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:47 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 12 at KU 39) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 6 yds to the Kans 33 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.02 82.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.22 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.78)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 6 at KU 33) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Eric Gray - OU 0, KU 10 -2.41 82.3% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: OU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - 1.13 = -2.41

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.87)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:56 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 34) Jason Bean run for 5 yds to the Kans 39 - OU 0, KU 10 0.15 17.1% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: KU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 0.90 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 5 at KU 39) Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the Kans 43 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.43 20.1% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: KU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 0.43 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OU 0, KU 10 0.00 73.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:57 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 26 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.27 74.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.28 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.28)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:22 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 9 at OU 26) Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Okla 30 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.49 74.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.53 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.53)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.1%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:34 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 5 at OU 30) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 11 yds Jeremiah Hall fumbled, forced by Rich Miller, recovered by Okla Jeremiah Hall for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.19 73.5% 2.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 59

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - -0.79 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:06 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 41) Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 43 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.40 72.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.36 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.64)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:48 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at OU 43) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 7 yds to the 50 yard line - OU 0, KU 10 0.57 72.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.97 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:16 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 1 at 50) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 12 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 1.30 73.5% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 38

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 1.54 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:55 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 38) Caleb Williams sacked by Gavin Potter for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 40 - OU 0, KU 10 -1.18 75.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 40

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.88 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.12)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:22 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 12 at KU 40) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 5 yds to the Kans 35 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.08 70.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.75 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.25)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:41 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 7 at KU 35) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 2.45 69.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 1.58 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:27 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 23) Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Kans 18 - OU 0, KU 10 0.18 76.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.02 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:50 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 5 at KU 18) Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST down - OU 0, KU 10 0.47 75.7% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 4.21 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:15 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 12) Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Kans 7 - OU 0, KU 10 0.16 78.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 4.69 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.31)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:38 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 5 at KU 7) Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Kans 5 - OU 0, KU 10 -0.50 79.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 4.85 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 0, KU 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 5) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 7, KU 10 2.68 77.5% 5.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.32 = 2.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at KU 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OU 7, KU 10 0.00 19.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:53 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 25) Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the Kans 34 - OU 7, KU 10 1.07 19.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 1.37 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 1 at KU 34) Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 10 -0.08 22.7% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 59

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.56 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.56)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:28 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 41) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 43 - OU 7, KU 10 -0.48 24.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.50 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.50)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 8 at KU 43) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Kelley) to the Kans 48 - OU 7, KU 10 0.98 24.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.95 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 25.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:32 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 3 at KU 48) Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 48 - OU 7, KU 10 -1.02 23.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.94 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:45 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 3 at KU 48) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 22 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 10 2.32 21.5% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 30

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 1.84 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:02 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 30) Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for 20 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 10 0.99 27.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 10

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - 4.17 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:26 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & Goal at OU 10) Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Okla 3 - OU 7, KU 10 0.65 30.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 3

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.82 - 5.17 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:48 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & Goal at OU 3) KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Spencer Roe) to the Okla 8 - OU 7, KU 10 -1.01 30.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 8

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 5.82 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:17 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & Goal at OU 8) Jason Bean pass incomplete - OU 7, KU 10 -0.85 29.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 4.82 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:12 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & Goal at OU 8) Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the Okla 1 - OU 7, KU 10 1.01 27.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 1

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.97 - 3.96 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.96)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:30 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & Goal at OU 1) Devin Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - OU 7, KU 17 2.02 30.5% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.98 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.98)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:30 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OU 7, KU 17 0.00 50.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 50.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Trevon West run for 66 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST down - OU 7, KU 17 4.82 49.9% 15.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 9

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 0.21 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:51 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at KU 9) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kans 8 - OU 7, KU 17 -0.54 64.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 5.01 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.99)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 7, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:14 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & Goal at KU 8) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 14, KU 17 2.56 63.4% 7.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:14 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at KU 30) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 62 yds , Kyler Pearson return for 18 yds to the Kans 26 - OU 14, KU 17 0.22 27.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 74

Started Drive at: KU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 1.50 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.50)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 26) Devin Neal run for no gain to the Kans 26 - OU 14, KU 17 -0.75 27.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: KU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.71 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 10 at KU 26) Trevor Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kans 28 - OU 14, KU 17 -0.94 26.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: KU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.96 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.96)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 8 at KU 28) Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence Arnold - OU 14, KU 17 -1.42 27.0% -5.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: KU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - 0.01 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (1.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:03 ESPN team id 2305 (4th & 8 at KU 28) Reis Vernon punt for 36 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 16 yds to the Kans 48 - OU 14, KU 17 -1.33 23.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 48

Started Drive at: KU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - -1.41 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 3 (1.59)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:56 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 48) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin Stogner - OU 14, KU 17 -0.63 77.1% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: KU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.81 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.1%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:46 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at KU 48) Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 24 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST down - OU 14, KU 17 1.99 75.3% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 24

Started Drive at: KU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 2.19 = 1.99

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.81)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:54 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 24) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 23 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down - OU 14, KU 17 2.24 81.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 1

Started Drive at: KU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.43 - 4.20 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.20)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 14, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:35 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at KU 1) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 21, KU 17 0.56 86.7% 2.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:35 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at 50) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 50 yds for a touchback - OU 21, KU 17 0.00 14.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 75

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.83 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.17)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:30 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 23 - OU 21, KU 17 -0.96 13.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.76 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.24)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:47 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 12 at KU 23) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 13 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST down - OU 21, KU 17 1.92 10.1% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - -0.20 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.20)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:11 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 36) Devin Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 32 - OU 21, KU 17 -1.40 16.6% -5.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 68

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.79 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:24 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 14 at KU 32) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 25 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down - OU 21, KU 17 2.65 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 43

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 0.44 = 2.65

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:57 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 43) KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Earl Bostick Jr.) to the Okla 48 - OU 21, KU 17 -0.78 19.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 48

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 3.15 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:22 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 15 at OU 48) Jason Bean pass complete to Steven McBride for a loss of 5 yards Steven McBride fumbled, forced by Key Lawrence, recovered by Okla Justin Broiles - OU 21, KU 17 -5.38 17.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.21 - 2.17 = -5.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.83)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:17 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 47) Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Kans 39 - OU 21, KU 17 0.63 92.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 39

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.11 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.11)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:45 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 2 at KU 39) Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 40 - OU 21, KU 17 -0.85 92.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 3.61 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.61)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:03 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 40) Caleb Williams pass incomplete - OU 21, KU 17 -1.82 92.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 2.61 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.61)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:03 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 3 at KU 40) Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 08:03 - OU 21, KU 17 0.00 90.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.80 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.80)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 21, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 3 at KU 40) Caleb Williams run for 40 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 28, KU 17 6.24 89.6% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.76 = 6.24

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:53 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at KU 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - OU 28, KU 17 0.00 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:45 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 28 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 17 2.11 2.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 47

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 0.38 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:04 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 47) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 17 0.43 3.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 36

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.65 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.35)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:38 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 36) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Okla 33 - OU 28, KU 17 -0.17 3.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 3.25 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.75)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 7 at OU 33) Jason Bean pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 19 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 17 1.54 3.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 14

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 3.08 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.92)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at OU 14) Jason Bean pass complete to Luke Grimm for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - OU 28, KU 23 1.40 4.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.60 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.40)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OU 28, KU 23 0.00 90.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.99 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.99)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:47 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Caleb Williams run for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 23 0.94 90.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 0.79 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.79)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:21 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 37) Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 43 - OU 28, KU 23 -0.12 93.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.73 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.73)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:48 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at OU 43) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 46 - OU 28, KU 23 -0.10 95.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.80 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.80)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:09 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 1 at OU 46) Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 46 - OU 28, KU 23 -1.19 95.3% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.42 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.42)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:20 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 1 at OU 46) Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 49 for a 1ST down Caleb Williams for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 23 2.12 94.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 0.14 = 2.12

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.14)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:09 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 49) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kans 48 - OU 28, KU 23 -0.31 95.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 1.95 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.95)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:07 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 9 at KU 48) Timeout KANSAS, clock 03:07 - OU 28, KU 23 0.00 95.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 1.64 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.64)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:59 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 9 at KU 48) Caleb Williams run for 23 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 23 1.95 95.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 25

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 1.53 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.53)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:18 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 25) Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 18 - OU 28, KU 23 0.74 97.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.31 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.31)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:17 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 3 at KU 18) Timeout KANSAS, clock 02:17 - OU 28, KU 23 0.00 97.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.05 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.05)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 3 at KU 18) Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST down - OU 28, KU 23 0.68 97.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 11

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 3.87 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.87)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:32 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at KU 11) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 8 - OU 28, KU 23 0.00 98.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.26)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 7 at KU 8) Timeout KANSAS, clock 01:30 - OU 28, KU 23 0.00 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.26 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.26)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:28 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 7 at KU 8) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Kans 4 - OU 28, KU 23 0.08 98.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 4.04 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 28, KU 23

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:42 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at KU 4) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - OU 35, KU 23 2.85 99.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.15 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): 5 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:42 ESPN team id 2305 (Kickoff at KU 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OU 35, KU 23 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.83)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:34 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Kans 31 - OU 35, KU 23 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.34 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.66)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:29 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 4 at KU 31) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST down - OU 35, KU 23 0.43 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 62

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.39 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.61)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:21 ESPN team id 2305 (1st & 10 at KU 38) Jason Bean sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 34 - OU 35, KU 23 -0.10 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 66

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.40 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.60)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:04 ESPN team id 2305 (2nd & 14 at KU 34) Jason Bean pass incomplete to Lawrence Arnold - OU 35, KU 23 0.02 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.11 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.89)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2305 (3rd & 14 at KU 34) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 29 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST down - OU 35, KU 23 1.03 0.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 37

Started Drive at: KU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 0.06 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.94)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: OU 35, KU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1