West Virginia 29 @ TCU 17

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.89 | Odds: TCU -4.5, O/U 58.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Total Plays 8071
Total EPA 12.18-1.93
  Offensive EPA 13.34-7.31
  Special Teams EPA 0.248.80
  Penalty EPA -2.23-3.41
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.83-0.01
Production ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Scrimmage Plays 7060
  Yards 498421
  Yards/Play 7.117.02
  EPA 13.34-7.31
  EPA/Play 0.19-0.12
Passes 30 (43%)28 (47%)
  Yards 264246
  Yards/Play 8.808.79
  EPA 6.62-10.53
  EPA/Play 0.22-0.38
Rushes 40 (57%)32 (53%)
  Yards 251185
  Yards/Play 6.285.78
  EPA 6.723.22
  EPA/Play 0.170.10
Rushing ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Scrimmage Plays 7060
Rushes 40 (57%)32 (53%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (5%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 2 (5%)0 (0%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 13 (32%)3 (9%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 19 (48%)22 (69%)
OL Line Yards 8795
  Per Carry 2.172.97
Highlight Yards 101.540
  Per Rush Opportunity 5.341.82
Explosiveness ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Total Plays 8071
Scrimmage Plays 7060
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)4 (7%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (7%)2 (7%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)2 (6%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -0.20-18.75
  EPA/Play 0.00-0.33
  When Passing 0.50-17.59
    EPA/Play 0.02-0.63
  When Rushing -0.70-1.16
    EPA/Play -0.02-0.04
Situational ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 33 (47%)30 (50%)
  When Passing 16 (53%)13 (46%)
  When Rushing 17 (43%)17 (53%)
  On Standard Downs 24 (50%)21 (50%)
  On Passing Downs 9 (41%)9 (50%)
  On Early Downs 24 (44%)23 (51%)
  On Late Downs 9 (56%)7 (47%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (50%)10 (63%)
Early Downs 5445
  First Downs Created 15 (28%)13 (29%)
  EPA 12.220.40
  EPA/Play 0.230.01
  Passes 22 (41%)19 (42%)
  Rushes 32 (59%)26 (58%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 12 (55%)10 (53%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 12 (38%)13 (50%)
"Middle 8" Plays 816
  EPA -0.219.24
  EPA/play -0.030.58
  Passes 5 (63%)4 (25%)
  Rushes 3 (38%)12 (75%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (60%)2 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (33%)8 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Total 1110
Avg Starting Field Position Own 26Own 23
Plays/Drive 8.637.50
Yards/Drive 54.6646.40
Available Yards % 74%60%
Defensive ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Scrimmage Plays 6070
Stop Rate 55%33%
Havoc Plays Created 5 (8%)1 (1%)
  Passing 5 (18%)1 (3%)
  Rushing 0 (0%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 21
  Passing 21
  Rushing 00
Sacks Generated 2 (7%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 20
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Turnovers 14
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 12
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 02
Turnover Margin 3-3
Expected Turnovers 1.51.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.4-0.4
Turnover Luck (pts) 12.8-12.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 277 ESPN team id 2628
Total Plays 10 11
Total EPA 0.24 8.8
  Field Goal EPA 0.4 0.52
  Punting EPA -0.52 1.07
  Kickoff Return EPA 0.37 7.21

West Virginia [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jarret Doege 21/28, 263 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 61.7 xQBR 9.07 0.27 7.92 55% 12.0%
Garrett Greene 1/1, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 79.6 xQBR 1.00 -1.30 -1.30 0% -3.0%
Rush attempts
Garrett Greene 2 carries, 69 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.50 2.20 4.40 50% 9.0%
Leddie Brown 24 carries, 113 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.71 0.17 4.19 38% 20.0%
Jarret Doege 2 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 0.42 0.84 100% 4.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. 12 carries, 61 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.08 -0.23 -2.71 42% 0.0%
Pass targets
Bryce Ford-Wheaton 6 catches (6 targets), 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.83 0.58 3.47 83% 5.0%
Sean Ryan 4 catches (6 targets), 81 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.25 0.58 3.46 50% 8.0%
Isaiah Esdale 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.84 1.84 100% 4.0%
Reese Smith 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.25 1.25 100% 1.0%
Winston Wright Jr. 4 catches (6 targets), 59 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.75 0.17 1.04 50% 0.0%
Mike O'Laughlin 4 catches (4 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.75 0.22 0.86 50% 1.0%
Sam James 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.08 -0.16 50% 1.0%
Leddie Brown 1 catch (3 targets), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -1.22 -3.65 0% -9.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Max Duggan 16/26, 246 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 2 Scks, 65.3 xQBR 8.79 -0.38 -10.53 46% 84.0%
Rush attempts
Max Duggan 5 carries, 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.40 0.93 4.67 80% 25.0%
Kendre Miller 6 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.65 3.92 100% 13.0%
Emari Demercado 2 carries, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.17 0.33 50% 0.0%
Zach Evans 18 carries, 78 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.33 -0.15 -2.77 33% 33.0%
Derius Davis 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -2.94 -2.94 0% -6.0%
Pass targets
Taye Barber 2 catches (2 targets), 28 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 2.66 5.32 100% 14.0%
Savion Williams 2 catches (2 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.04 2.07 100% 8.0%
Quincy Brown 2 catches (3 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.63 1.89 67% 4.0%
Zach Evans 3 catches (4 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.67 0.11 0.45 50% 1.0%
Marcel Brooks 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.11 -0.21 50% 0.0%
Blair Conwright 1 catch (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.17 -0.34 50% -2.0%
Quentin Johnston 5 catches (8 targets), 115 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 23.00 -0.20 -1.59 38% 1.0%
Derius Davis 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.97 -1.97 0% 98.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 4 at WVU 23) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 20, TCU 17 -6.98 53.3% -21.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - 3.53 = -6.98

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Evan Staley kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 100 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 0, TCU 7 5.97 62.8% 14.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.03 = 5.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 20) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 23, TCU 17 -5.60 32.6% -15.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.97 - 0.64 = -5.60

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 12 at WVU 6) Garrett Greene run for 67 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 10, TCU 7 4.91 52.8% 10.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 27

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - -0.56 = 4.91

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 3 at WVU 5) Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 13, TCU 14 4.19 48.1% 13.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.81 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 34) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 44 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down - WVU 0, TCU 7 3.35 26.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 22

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 0.82 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 28) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 29 yds Quentin Johnston fumbled, forced by Sean Mahone, recovered by WVirg Charles Woods - WVU 29, TCU 17 -3.07 4.6% -2.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57

Started Drive at: TCU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 1.03 = -3.07

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.97)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 3 at WVU 38) Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -2.94 55.4% -6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 2.52 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.48)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 6 at TCU 24) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 49 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 14 2.87 37.1% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 27

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.62 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 6 at WVU 17) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 27 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST down - WVU 23, TCU 17 2.77 70.2% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 56

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - -0.12 = 2.77

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.88)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 7 at WVU 45) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis - WVU 29, TCU 17 -1.97 1.6% 98.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.50 - 0.47 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.53)

Score Difference (End): 12 (13.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 2 at WVU 35) Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.03 10.0% 41.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 60

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.45 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 4 at WVU 23) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 20, TCU 17 -6.98 53.3% -21.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - 3.53 = -6.98

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 20) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 23, TCU 17 -5.60 32.6% -15.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.97 - 0.64 = -5.60

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Evan Staley kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 100 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 0, TCU 7 5.97 62.8% 14.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.03 = 5.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 3 at WVU 5) Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 13, TCU 14 4.19 48.1% 13.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.81 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 7 at WVU 24) Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 14 2.43 44.8% 11.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 7

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 2.78 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 6 at TCU 24) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 49 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 14 2.87 37.1% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 27

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.62 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 12 at WVU 6) Garrett Greene run for 67 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 10, TCU 7 4.91 52.8% 10.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 27

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - -0.56 = 4.91

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 33) Kendre Miller run for 28 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 1.94 48.1% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 39

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 1.39 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.61)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Evan Staley kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 100 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 0, TCU 7 5.97 62.8% 14.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.03 = 5.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 4 at TCU 11) Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOOD - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.37 28.6% 2.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.37)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:07 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 5) Leddie Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) - WVU 10, TCU 7 2.52 46.1% 5.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.48)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 4 at TCU 21) Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOOD - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.64 55.4% 6.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 65

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 3 at WVU 5) Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 13, TCU 14 4.19 48.1% 13.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.81 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:51 ESPN team id 277 (1st & Goal at TCU 1) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.73 54.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.27)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & Goal at WVU 7) Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.52 47.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 65

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:56 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 11 at TCU 32) Casey Legg 49 yd FG GOOD - WVU 23, TCU 17 1.87 63.4% 6.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 65

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.13 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 277 (1st & Goal at TCU 3) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.11 87.0% 5.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.11 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.11)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 23 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Evan Staley kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 100 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 0, TCU 7 5.97 62.8% 14.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.03 = 5.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 10) Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 18 - WVU 0, TCU 7 0.58 24.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 82

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.94 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 2 at WVU 18) Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST down - WVU 0, TCU 7 0.02 24.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - -0.35 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.7%

Win Probability (After): 25.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 22) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 28 - WVU 0, TCU 7 0.18 25.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -0.33 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 4 at WVU 28) Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST down - WVU 0, TCU 7 0.96 25.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - -0.15 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 34) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 44 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down - WVU 0, TCU 7 3.35 26.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 22

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 0.82 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 22) Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Ryan,Sean PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Ceasar,C.J.) 5 yards from TCU22 to TCU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - WVU 0, TCU 7 0.43 32.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 4.17 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 17) Leddie Brown run for no gain to the TCU 17 - WVU 0, TCU 7 -0.61 33.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.60 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.6%

Win Probability (After): 32.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (Kickoff at WVU 35) Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 10 yds to the WVirg 10 - WVU 0, TCU 7 -0.73 25.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -0.20 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 10 at TCU 17) Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 6 yds to the TCU 11 - WVU 0, TCU 7 -0.09 32.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 11

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 3.99 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:41 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 11) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan - WVU 0, TCU 7 -1.60 32.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.90 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 0, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 4 at TCU 11) Casey Legg 27 yd FG GOOD - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.37 28.6% 2.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: WVU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.37)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 43 yds - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.00 71.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.51 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 25) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 19 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 1.27 71.9% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 56

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 1.51 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 44) Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.17 74.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 2.77 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.77)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.3%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 4 at 50) Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.58 74.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.95 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.95)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 42) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.29 75.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.53 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 7 at WVU 39) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair Conwright - WVU 3, TCU 7 -1.06 75.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.24 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.24)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 7 at WVU 39) Max Duggan sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -2.49 73.4% -3.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 46

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 2.18 = -2.49

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.18)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 14 at WVU 46) Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.76 67.7% 2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 94

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - -0.25 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.75)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 69.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 6) Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.81 28.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 84

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - -0.44 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.44)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 16) Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.92 30.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 70

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.37 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.63)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 30) Doege,Jarret pass incomplete to Esdale,Isaiah PENALTY TCU Holding (Bethley,Corey) 10 yards from WVU30 to WVU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.61 31.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 60

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.29 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 33.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 40) Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.51 33.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.90 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 8 at WVU 42) Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 45 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.31 32.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.39 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.61)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 5 at WVU 45) Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 1.84 31.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.08 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.92)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 35.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 45) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.65 35.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 35

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 2.92 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.08)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 35) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the TCU 28 - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.53 36.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.57 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.43)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 3 at TCU 28) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.17 37.3% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 23

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 4.10 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 23) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the TCU 17 - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.44 38.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 4.28 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 4 at TCU 17) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr. - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.73 40.3% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.72 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 17) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 14 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.38 37.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.99 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.01)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 1 at TCU 14) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST down - WVU 3, TCU 7 1.37 36.1% 5.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 11

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.61 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.39)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 11) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 8 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.22 41.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 4.98 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:54 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 7 at TCU 8) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 5 - WVU 3, TCU 7 -0.38 40.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.76 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:11 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 7 at TCU 8) Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 00:11 - WVU 3, TCU 7 0.00 47.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 3, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:07 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 5) Leddie Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) - WVU 10, TCU 7 2.52 46.1% 5.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.48)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:07 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 54 yds - WVU 10, TCU 7 0.00 49.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 25) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down - WVU 10, TCU 7 1.24 49.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 58

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 0.81 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 42) Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 43 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.52 54.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 2.04 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.96)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 9 at TCU 43) Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down - WVU 10, TCU 7 1.43 54.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.51 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.49)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 45) Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.04 56.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 41

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 2.94 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.06)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 6 at WVU 41) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.39 56.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 38

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 2.91 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.3%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 3 at WVU 38) Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -2.94 55.4% -6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 2.52 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.48)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:34 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 3 at WVU 38) Timeout TCU, clock 12:34 - WVU 10, TCU 7 0.00 51.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - -0.42 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.42)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 8 at WVU 43) Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 8 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.10 48.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 92

Started Drive at: TCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - -0.23 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 8) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 11 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.35 54.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 89

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.42 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.4%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 7 at WVU 11) PENALTY WVU False Start (Yates,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU11 to WVU06. NO PLAY. - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.63 53.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 94

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.07 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 12 at WVU 6) Garrett Greene run for 67 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 10, TCU 7 4.91 52.8% 10.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 27

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - -0.56 = 4.91

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 27) Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the TCU 25 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.51 62.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 25

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 4.34 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 8 at TCU 25) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 22 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -0.12 62.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 3.84 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.84)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:27 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 5 at TCU 22) Garrett Greene pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd to the TCU 21 - WVU 10, TCU 7 -1.30 61.8% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 21

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 3.71 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 10, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 4 at TCU 21) Casey Legg 38 yd FG GOOD - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.64 55.4% 6.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 65

Started Drive at: WVU 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 41 yds - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.25 40.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 0.99 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 42.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 26) Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 22 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 7 1.31 42.4% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 52

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 1.24 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.76)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 46.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 48) Duggan,Max pass incomplete to Barber,Taye PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Woods,Charles) 15 yards from TCU48 to WVU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.96 46.0% 4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 2.55 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 37) Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.89 50.0% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 23

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 3.51 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.49)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 23) Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21 - WVU 13, TCU 7 -0.32 53.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.39 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.61)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 8 at WVU 21) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18 - WVU 13, TCU 7 -0.36 52.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 18

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 4.08 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 5 at WVU 18) Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 7 1.29 51.2% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 3.72 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 12) Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 7 - WVU 13, TCU 7 0.18 54.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.19 - 5.01 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.99)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 5 at WVU 7) Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5 - WVU 13, TCU 7 -0.45 55.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 5.19 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.81)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 3 at WVU 5) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston - WVU 13, TCU 7 -1.91 53.5% -4.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 4.74 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.26)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 3 at WVU 5) Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK) - WVU 13, TCU 14 4.19 48.1% 13.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.81 = 4.19

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (Kickoff at WVU 35) Griffin Kell kickoff for 58 yds - WVU 13, TCU 14 0.72 38.5% 1.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.18 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.18)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 35) Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 2 yds to the WVirg 37 - WVU 13, TCU 14 -0.44 40.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.90 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.90)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 8 at WVU 37) Jarret Doege run for 7 yds to the WVirg 44 - WVU 13, TCU 14 0.47 39.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.46 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.46)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 1 at WVU 44) Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 14 0.37 40.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.92 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 45) Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 40 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 14 2.31 43.4% 5.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 15

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 2.29 = 2.31

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.29)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 15) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down - WVU 13, TCU 14 1.72 49.0% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 1

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.33 - 4.60 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 13, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:51 ESPN team id 277 (1st & Goal at TCU 1) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.73 54.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WVU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.27)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 40 yds - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.15 37.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.98 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.02)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 20) Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 24 - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.21 37.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.83 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.17)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 6 at TCU 24) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 49 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 14 2.87 37.1% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 27

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.62 = 2.87

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 27) PENALTY TCU False Start (Coker,Andrew) 5 yards from WVU27 to WVU32. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.84 47.9% -5.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.49 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 15 at WVU 32) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29 - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.22 42.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.65 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.35)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 12 at WVU 29) Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24 - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.38 41.9% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.44 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 12 at WVU 29) Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 01:14 - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.00 43.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.82 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.18)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 7 at WVU 24) Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 14 2.43 44.8% 11.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 7

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 2.78 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & Goal at WVU 7) Evans,Zach rush for 4 yards gain to the WVU03 (Loe,Exree) PENALTY TCU Holding (Eze,Obinna) 10 yards from WVU07 to WVU17. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 14 -1.79 56.3% -7.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 17

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 5.21 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.79)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.3%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & Goal at WVU 17) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the WVirg 18 - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.80 49.3% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 18

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.43 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.57)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & Goal at WVU 17) Timeout TCU, clock 00:44 - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.00 47.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 18

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.62 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.38)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & Goal at WVU 18) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.41 47.1% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.71 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.29)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.1%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & Goal at WVU 18) Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the WVirg 2 - WVU 20, TCU 14 1.19 44.4% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 2

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 2.30 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.70)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & Goal at WVU 18) Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 00:18 - WVU 20, TCU 14 0.00 47.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 2

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 3.49 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.4%

Win Probability (After): 47.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & Goal at WVU 2) PENALTY TCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WVU02 to WVU07. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 14 -0.44 50.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 7

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.91 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.09)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.6%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & Goal at WVU 7) Griffin Kell 24 yd FG GOOD - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.52 47.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 65

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 277 (Kickoff at WVU 35) Griffin Kell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.00 61.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WVU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.13)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 25) Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.03 60.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: WVU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 35) Kell,Griffin kickoff 65 yards to the WVU00 Wright,Winston return 21 yards to the WVU21 (Foster,Josh) PENALTY TCU Offside (Brooks,Marcel) 5 yards from TCU35 to TCU30. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.41 50.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: WVU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.47 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.53)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (Kickoff at WVU 30) Griffin Kell kickoff for 61 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 23 yds to the WVirg 32 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.38 61.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.55 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.55)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 32) Brown,Leddie rush for 6 yards gain to the WVU38, out of bounds PENALTY WVU Holding (Milum,Wyatt) 10 yards from WVU32 to WVU22. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 17 -1.09 63.0% -3.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 2.15 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 20 at WVU 22) Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the WVirg 32 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.37 59.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 68

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.05 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.05)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 10 at WVU 32) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the WVirg 40 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.41 59.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.42 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.42)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 2 at WVU 40) Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 1.03 62.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.83 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.83)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 45) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr. - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.63 64.5% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.86 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.86)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 10 at WVU 45) Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 49 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.02 63.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 49

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.23 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:47 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 49) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie Brown - WVU 20, TCU 17 -2.06 63.4% -6.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 2.21 = -2.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.21)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:55 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 4 at TCU 49) Timeout TCU, clock 11:55 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.00 57.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.14)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.8%

Win Probability (After): 57.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 4 at TCU 49) Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds for a touchback - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.47 58.5% -4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 80

Started Drive at: WVU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.05 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.05)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.5%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 20) Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 29 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.94 45.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.35 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.65)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 1 at TCU 29) Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.10 48.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 67

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.29 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 33) Kendre Miller run for 28 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 1.94 48.1% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 39

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 1.39 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.61)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 39) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -1.48 56.6% -5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 3.33 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.33)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 13 at WVU 42) Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.37 51.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 1.85 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 6 at WVU 35) Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 1.70 51.4% 7.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 2.23 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.77)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 29) PENALTY TCU False Start (Coleman,Brandon) 5 yards from WVU29 to WVU34. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.90 59.3% -4.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 34

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 3.92 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 15 at WVU 34) Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27 - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.47 54.5% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 27

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 3.02 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 8 at WVU 27) Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.04 58.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 23

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.49 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.5%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 4 at WVU 23) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 20, TCU 17 -6.98 53.3% -21.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - 3.53 = -6.98

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 42) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down - WVU 20, TCU 17 0.65 68.8% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.45 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 31) Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 27 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.05 70.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 27

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.10 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.10)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 6 at TCU 27) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 26 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.66 70.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 4.05 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.05)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 5 at TCU 26) PENALTY WVU False Start (O'Laughlin,Mike) 5 yards from TCU26 to TCU31. NO PLAY. - WVU 20, TCU 17 -0.72 68.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 31

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 3.39 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.39)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:46 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 10 at TCU 31) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 32 - WVU 20, TCU 17 -1.51 67.2% -4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 32

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 2.67 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 20, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 63.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:56 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 11 at TCU 32) Casey Legg 49 yd FG GOOD - WVU 23, TCU 17 1.87 63.4% 6.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 65

Started Drive at: TCU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.13 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 45 yds , Derius Davis return for 11 yds to the TCU 31 - WVU 23, TCU 17 0.72 33.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: TCU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.70 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.30)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 31) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.77 34.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: TCU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.42 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.58)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 10 at TCU 31) Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 35 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.17 32.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: TCU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.65 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:50 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 6 at TCU 35) Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 1 yd to the TCU 36 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -1.66 31.7% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: TCU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 0.48 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-7.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 5 at TCU 36) Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 13 - WVU 23, TCU 17 0.41 29.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 87

Started Drive at: TCU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -1.16 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.16)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 13) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 2 yds to the WVirg 15 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.46 72.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 85

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.85 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 8 at WVU 15) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.51 72.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.39 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.39)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 6 at WVU 17) Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 27 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST down - WVU 23, TCU 17 2.77 70.2% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 56

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - -0.12 = 2.77

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.88)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 44) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.61 75.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.65 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.65)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 10 at WVU 44) Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 11 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down - WVU 23, TCU 17 1.25 77.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 45

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 2.01 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 45) Jarret Doege sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 48 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -1.48 78.5% -3.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 52

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 3.21 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 17 at WVU 48) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan - WVU 23, TCU 17 -1.02 75.4% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.73 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.73)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 17 at WVU 48) Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie Brown - WVU 23, TCU 17 -1.27 72.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.71 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:58 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 17 at WVU 48) Tyler Sumpter punt for 52 yds for a touchback - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.05 71.1% -2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 80

Started Drive at: WVU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - -0.56 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.44)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 20) Max Duggan pass intercepted - WVU 23, TCU 17 -5.60 32.6% -15.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 15

Started Drive at: TCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.97 - 0.64 = -5.60

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.36)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 15) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 14 - WVU 23, TCU 17 -0.57 82.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14

Started Drive at: TCU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 4.97 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.97)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 9 at TCU 14) Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST down - WVU 23, TCU 17 1.74 81.5% 5.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 3

Started Drive at: TCU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.14 - 4.40 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.40)

Score Difference (End): 6 (12.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 23, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 277 (1st & Goal at TCU 3) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.11 87.0% 5.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: TCU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.11 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.11)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 23 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (Kickoff at TCU 35) Casey Legg kickoff for 37 yds - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.40 10.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.17 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.83)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 28) Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the TCU 34 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.41 10.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.58 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.42)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.9%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 4 at TCU 34) Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.81 11.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 56

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.99 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.01)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 44) Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.25 12.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.80 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.20)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 4 at 50) Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.08 12.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.06 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.94)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 1 at WVU 47) Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.61 12.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.13 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.87)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 43) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach Evans - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.62 14.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.74 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.26)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 10 at WVU 43) Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.72 12.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 2.12 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.88)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.7%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:26 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 7 at WVU 40) Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.13 11.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.41 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.59)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 2 at WVU 35) Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.03 10.0% 41.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 60

Started Drive at: TCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.45 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 40) Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.10 97.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.37 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.37)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 6 at WVU 44) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 27 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 1.94 97.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 29

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 2.27 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.27)

Score Difference (End): 12 (16.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 29) Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 28 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.38 97.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 28

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.21 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.21)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 9 at TCU 28) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 3 yds to the TCU 31 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -1.73 97.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 31

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 3.83 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.83)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 12 at TCU 31) Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds to the TCU 21 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.70 97.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 21

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 2.10 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.10)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:39 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 2 at TCU 21) Casey Legg 38 yd FG MISSED - WVU 29, TCU 17 -2.48 98.0% -5.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 86

Started Drive at: WVU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 2.52 = -2.48

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.52)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:39 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 14) Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 14 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.86 4.1% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 72

Started Drive at: TCU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - -0.08 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.08)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 28) Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 29 yds Quentin Johnston fumbled, forced by Sean Mahone, recovered by WVirg Charles Woods - WVU 29, TCU 17 -3.07 4.6% -2.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57

Started Drive at: TCU 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 1.03 = -3.07

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.97)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at WVU 43) Leddie Brown run for 24 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 1.49 98.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 33

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 2.24 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.24)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 33) Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the TCU 28 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.25 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 28

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.74 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.74)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 5 at TCU 28) Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 25 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.29 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 25

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.99 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.99)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 2 at TCU 25) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.70 98.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 21

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 3.70 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.70)

Score Difference (End): 12 (16.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (1st & 10 at TCU 21) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 19 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.41 99.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.40 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.40)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 8 at TCU 19) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 17 yds to the TCU 2 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reese Smith) to the TCU 25 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.82 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 25

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 3.99 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.99)

Score Difference (End): 12 (15.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 14 at TCU 25) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 23 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.52 99.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.17 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.17)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 277 (2nd & 14 at TCU 25) Timeout TCU, clock 01:30 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 2.65 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.65)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 12 at TCU 23) Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the TCU 17 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.30 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.80 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.80)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:22 ESPN team id 277 (3rd & 12 at TCU 23) Timeout TCU, clock 01:22 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.10 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.10)

Score Difference (End): 12 (14.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 277 (4th & 6 at TCU 17) Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 17 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -2.34 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 83

Started Drive at: WVU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 2.13 = -2.34

Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.13)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 17) Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 23 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 1.12 0.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 60

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 0.15 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.85)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at TCU 40) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Marcel Brooks - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.25 1.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.28 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.72)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 10 at TCU 40) Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.72 1.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 48

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.02 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.98)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (1st & 10 at WVU 48) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quincy Brown - WVU 29, TCU 17 -0.26 1.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.74 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.26)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (2nd & 10 at WVU 48) Max Duggan pass complete to Marcel Brooks for 6 yds to the WVirg 42 - WVU 29, TCU 17 0.04 1.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.48 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.52)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2628 (3rd & 4 at WVU 42) Max Duggan sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 45 - WVU 29, TCU 17 -1.07 1.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 45

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.52 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.48)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2628 (4th & 7 at WVU 45) Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis - WVU 29, TCU 17 -1.97 1.6% 98.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55

Started Drive at: TCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.50 - 0.47 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.53)

Score Difference (End): 12 (13.50)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WVU 29, TCU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link