Kansas State 25 @ Texas Tech 24

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 6.50 | Odds: KSU -1, O/U 60.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Total Plays 6563
Total EPA 4.67-7.48
  Offensive EPA 13.58-11.14
  Special Teams EPA -1.433.33
  Penalty EPA -8.964.57
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 1.48-4.24
Production ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Scrimmage Plays 5754
  Yards 375295
  Yards/Play 6.585.46
  EPA 13.58-11.14
  EPA/Play 0.24-0.21
Passes 31 (54%)21 (39%)
  Yards 278136
  Yards/Play 8.976.48
  EPA 10.86-8.36
  EPA/Play 0.35-0.40
Rushes 26 (46%)32 (59%)
  Yards 107159
  Yards/Play 4.124.97
  EPA 2.720.82
  EPA/Play 0.100.03
Rushing ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Scrimmage Plays 5754
Rushes 26 (46%)32 (59%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 4 (15%)4 (12%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (75%)3 (75%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (19%)8 (25%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 14 (54%)17 (53%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 11 (42%)11 (34%)
OL Line Yards 34.149.5
  Per Carry 1.311.55
Highlight Yards 31.576
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.866.91
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Total Plays 6563
Scrimmage Plays 5754
Explosive Plays 4 (7%)5 (9%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (6%)3 (14%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (8%)2 (6%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 1.15-25.09
  EPA/Play 0.02-0.51
  When Passing 4.20-16.66
    EPA/Play 0.14-0.79
  When Rushing -3.05-4.83
    EPA/Play -0.13-0.16
Situational ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 28 (49%)18 (33%)
  When Passing 17 (55%)7 (33%)
  When Rushing 11 (42%)11 (34%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (55%)14 (39%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (37%)4 (22%)
  On Early Downs 21 (49%)11 (28%)
  On Late Downs 7 (50%)7 (47%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (38%)1 (11%)
Early Downs 4339
  First Downs Created 9 (21%)7 (18%)
  EPA 6.22-7.04
  EPA/Play 0.14-0.18
  Passes 23 (53%)13 (33%)
  Rushes 20 (47%)25 (64%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 14 (61%)4 (31%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (35%)7 (28%)
"Middle 8" Plays 89
  EPA 2.02-4.99
  EPA/play 0.25-0.55
  Passes 4 (50%)5 (56%)
  Rushes 4 (50%)3 (33%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (75%)1 (20%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Total 910
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 32
Plays/Drive 8.567.61
Yards/Drive 51.4739.28
Available Yards % 73%58%
Defensive ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Scrimmage Plays 5457
Stop Rate 48%39%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (15%)6 (11%)
  Passing 5 (24%)3 (10%)
  Rushing 3 (9%)3 (12%)
TFLs Generated 76
  Passing 43
  Rushing 33
Sacks Generated 3 (14%)2 (6%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Turnovers 02
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 2-2
Expected Turnovers 0.50.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 8.9-8.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2306 ESPN team id 2641
Total Plays 8 9
Total EPA -1.43 3.33
  Field Goal EPA 0.48 0.52
  Punting EPA -0.98 0.55
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.93 2.27

Kansas State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Skylar Thompson 23/29, 278 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 77.6 xQBR 8.97 0.35 10.86 55% 56.0%
Rush attempts
Deuce Vaughn 15 carries, 64 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.27 0.21 3.22 53% 26.0%
Malik Knowles 2 carries, 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.58 1.15 50% 3.0%
Skylar Thompson 5 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.60 -0.05 -0.27 20% -1.0%
Joe Ervin 4 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.25 -0.35 -1.38 25% -1.0%
Pass targets
Kade Warner 2 catches (2 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.50 2.57 5.13 100% 9.0%
Phillip Brooks 5 catches (5 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.40 0.75 3.75 60% 4.0%
Tyrone Howell 1 catch (1 target), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 30.00 2.93 2.93 100% 3.0%
Daniel Imatorbhebhe 1 catch (1 target), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.00 2.19 2.19 100% 3.0%
Landry Weber 2 catches (2 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.50 1.01 2.02 100% 4.0%
Deuce Vaughn 7 catches (7 targets), 68 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.71 0.28 1.95 57% 18.0%
Jax Dineen 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 1.21 1.21 100% 2.0%
Chabastin Taylor 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.15 1.15 100% 5.0%
Malik Knowles 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.56 0.56 100% 1.0%
Sammy Wheeler 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.51 0.51 100% 4.0%
Nick Lenners 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 -2.14 -2.14 0% 17.0%

Texas Tech [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Kaylon Geiger 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 11.9 xQBR 0.00 -1.05 -1.05 0% -1.0%
Henry Colombi 9/17, 136 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 20.6 xQBR 6.80 -0.37 -7.31 35% -13.0%
Rush attempts
SaRodorick Thompson 10 carries, 50 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.34 3.42 40% 27.0%
Erik Ezukanma 2 carries, 45 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.50 1.59 3.19 50% 8.0%
Tahj Brooks 4 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.25 0.20 0.80 25% 5.0%
Xavier White 3 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.30 -0.89 0% 1.0%
Myles Price 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.62 -1.24 0% -6.0%
Donovan Smith 5 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.35 -1.76 60% -13.0%
Henry Colombi 6 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 0.83 -0.45 -2.70 33% 0.0%
Pass targets
Myles Price 4 catches (4 targets), 64 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 0.88 3.52 100% 3.0%
Travis Koontz 1 catch (1 target), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 48.00 3.31 3.31 100% 4.0%
SaRodorick Thompson 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 2.28 2.28 100% 3.0%
Kaylon Geiger 2 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 0.59 1.17 50% 16.0%
Erik Ezukanma 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.28 -0.28 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & Goal at TTU 1) QB Keeper THOMPSON, Skylar rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU1 (HUTCHINGS, Jaylon). PENALTY TTU Offsides on WILSON, Tyree enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the TTU1 to the TTU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 0, TTU 14 -7.92 25.2% -8.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - 5.59 = -7.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.41)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 10 at TTU 20) Henry Colombi pass intercepted return for no gain to the TexTc 35 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -4.13 84.3% -4.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 35

Started Drive at: TTU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.28 - 0.85 = -4.13

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.85)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.72)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 34 at KSU 22) TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Drew) to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 4.12 26.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 45

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - -1.00 = 4.12

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.00)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 45) Erik Ezukanma run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 0, TTU 7 3.80 55.5% 8.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 15 at KSU 20) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 21 3.73 15.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 54

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - -2.16 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 4) Team Safety - KSU 12, TTU 24 -3.60 88.9% -42.6%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 1.60 = -3.60

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 8 at TTU 27) Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 48 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, TTU 21 3.31 81.0% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 25

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 0.30 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 4 at TTU 29) Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 14 3.22 23.1% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 0.82 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Knowles) to the KanSt 20 - KSU 19, TTU 24 3.17 49.1% 40.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 1.09 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 25 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 15 at KSU 30) KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HENTZ II, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, TTU 21 3.12 83.3% 4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 1.48 = 3.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 25, TTU 24 -0.64 80.7% -43.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.97 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.97)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.5%

Away Score: 19 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 4) Team Safety - KSU 12, TTU 24 -3.60 88.9% -42.6%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 1.60 = -3.60

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Knowles) to the KanSt 20 - KSU 19, TTU 24 3.17 49.1% 40.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 1.09 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 25 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 20 at TTU 15) SaRodorick Thompson run for 28 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 1.85 37.5% 18.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 57

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 0.32 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 8 at KSU 44) Henry Colombi sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for 0 yards to the TexTc 48 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -2.26 53.9% -17.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 52

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 1.76 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2306 (0th & Goal at KSU 35) ZENTNER, Ty kickoff 60 yards to the TTU5, MARTINEZ, Nehemiah return 23 yards to the TTU28 (MOORE, Austin;DANIELS, Omar). PENALTY KSU Offsides on MUNOZ, Eric enforced 5 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 19, TTU 24 2.14 28.7% 17.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 30

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 1.77 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.23)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.09)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:31 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 5 at TTU 26) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 7 yds to the TexTc 28 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -2.14 36.9% 17.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 72

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 3.26 = -2.14

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.74)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 2 at KSU 49) Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 2.49 40.6% 16.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 0.35 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.65)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 3 at TTU 22) Deuce Vaughn 22 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KSU 25, TTU 24 1.58 41.8% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.42 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.58)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 19 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 4 at TTU 42) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 0.56 87.0% 13.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: TTU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 1.74 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 45) Erik Ezukanma run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 0, TTU 7 3.80 55.5% 8.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & Goal at KSU 1) SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 0, TTU 14 1.80 72.4% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.20 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.20)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & Goal at TTU 1) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK) - KSU 7, TTU 14 1.33 26.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 98 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & Goal at KSU 4) SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 7, TTU 21 0.88 78.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.12 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & Goal at TTU 6) Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, TTU 21 0.48 17.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.48)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & Goal at KSU 9) Jonathan Garibay 27 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, TTU 24 0.52 85.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 4) Team Safety - KSU 12, TTU 24 -3.60 88.9% -42.6%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 1.60 = -3.60

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 1 at TTU 2) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK) - KSU 19, TTU 24 2.56 24.2% 12.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.56)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.8%

Away Score: 12 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 3 at TTU 22) Deuce Vaughn 22 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KSU 25, TTU 24 1.58 41.8% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.42 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.58)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 19 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 0, TTU 0 0.00 49.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Felix Anudike-Uzomah) declined for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 0 -1.10 49.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.86 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 45) Erik Ezukanma run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 0, TTU 7 3.80 55.5% 8.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2306 (Kickoff at KSU 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 63 yds , Malik Knowles return for 21 yds to the KanSt 23 - KSU 0, TTU 7 -0.63 40.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -0.20 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 38.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 23) SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22 - KSU 0, TTU 7 -0.46 71.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 22

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.88 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 9 at KSU 22) Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 7 1.07 71.2% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 8

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 4.42 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & Goal at KSU 8) SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6 - KSU 0, TTU 7 -0.48 73.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 5.61 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 72.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:11 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & Goal at KSU 3) Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 12:11 - KSU 0, TTU 7 0.00 71.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 5.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:11 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & Goal at KSU 6) Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 3 yds to the KanSt 3 - KSU 0, TTU 7 -0.28 73.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 5.33 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:11 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & Goal at KSU 3) Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1 - KSU 0, TTU 7 0.19 72.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 5.05 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & Goal at KSU 1) SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 0, TTU 14 1.80 72.4% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.20 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.20)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2306 (Kickoff at KSU 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 59 yds , Malik Knowles return for 20 yds to the KanSt 26 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.31 22.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: KSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - -0.49 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 26) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.87 22.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: KSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.15 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 10 at KSU 26) Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 21 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -1.73 21.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: KSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.75 - -1.02 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 15 at KSU 21) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.83 18.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: KSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.57 - -2.75 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.75)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 15 at KSU 21) Ty Zentner punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for 27 yds to the KanSt 48 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.39 16.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 48

Started Drive at: KSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.95 - -3.56 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-17.56)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 48) Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 48 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.58 82.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: KSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 4.02 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.02)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 10 at KSU 48) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.96 82.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: KSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 3.44 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 10 at KSU 48) Henry Colombi sacked by Nate Matlack for 0 yards to the TexTc 46 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -2.18 81.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 54

Started Drive at: KSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 2.48 = -2.18

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.1%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 16 at TTU 46) Austin McNamara punt for 32 yds - KSU 0, TTU 14 0.58 80.5% -2.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 78

Started Drive at: KSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.09 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.09)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 22) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.62 21.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.51 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 9 at KSU 23) KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 18 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.66 21.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 82

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -1.13 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.13)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 14 at KSU 18) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 14 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 14 2.26 19.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 68

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - -1.79 = 2.26

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.79)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 32) Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.38 22.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.47 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 7 at KSU 35) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 30 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 14 2.93 22.2% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 35

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 0.09 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 35) Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.51 24.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.02 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.98)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 9 at TTU 34) ERVIN, Joe rush to the right for no gain to the TTU34 (SCHOOLER, Colin). PENALTY KSU Holding on RIVAS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the TTU34 to the TTU44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 0, TTU 14 -1.64 24.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 44

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 2.51 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 19 at TTU 44) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 12 yds to the TexTc 32 - KSU 0, TTU 14 0.89 22.1% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 32

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.87 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.13)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 4 at TTU 29) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 03:29 - KSU 0, TTU 14 0.00 22.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.77 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 7 at TTU 32) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the TexTc 29 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.79 24.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.61 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 4 at TTU 29) Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 14 3.22 23.1% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 0.82 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 22) KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 27 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -1.04 27.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 27

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 4.04 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 15 at TTU 27) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22 - KSU 0, TTU 14 0.39 26.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 22

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.00 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 10 at TTU 22) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.74 26.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.39 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 8 at TTU 20) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, TTU 14 2.20 25.5% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 9

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 2.65 = 2.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.35)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & Goal at TTU 9) Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 10 - KSU 0, TTU 14 -0.79 26.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 10

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 4.95 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.05)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & Goal at TTU 10) Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the TexTc 1 - KSU 0, TTU 14 1.47 25.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 1

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.59 - 4.12 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & Goal at TTU 1) QB Keeper THOMPSON, Skylar rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU1 (HUTCHINGS, Jaylon). PENALTY TTU Offsides on WILSON, Tyree enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the TTU1 to the TTU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 0, TTU 14 -7.92 25.2% -8.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - 5.59 = -7.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.41)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 0, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & Goal at TTU 1) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK) - KSU 7, TTU 14 1.33 26.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.67 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 98 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 7, TTU 14 0.00 70.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds to the TexTc 32 - KSU 7, TTU 14 0.38 70.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.13 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 3 at TTU 32) Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34 - KSU 7, TTU 14 -0.33 70.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.51 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 1 at TTU 34) Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 14 0.64 70.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.18 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 35) Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 38 - KSU 7, TTU 14 -0.39 71.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.82 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 72.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 7 at TTU 38) Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 40 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 14 2.50 72.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 22

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 2.43 = 2.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 22) Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the KanSt 16 - KSU 7, TTU 14 0.25 74.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 16

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 4.93 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.93)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 4 at KSU 16) Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 13 - KSU 7, TTU 14 -0.15 75.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 5.18 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 1 at KSU 13) Donovan Smith run for no gain to the KanSt 13 - KSU 7, TTU 14 -0.98 74.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 5.03 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 1 at KSU 13) SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 14 1.76 73.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 4

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.82 - 4.05 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & Goal at KSU 4) SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) - KSU 7, TTU 21 0.88 78.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.12 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2306 (Kickoff at KSU 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 7, TTU 21 0.00 20.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 25) Deuce Vaughn run for 14 yds to the KanSt 39 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 17 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -1.46 19.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 83

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - -0.10 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 18 at KSU 17) Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 08:50 - KSU 7, TTU 21 0.00 17.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - -1.58 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.58)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 18 at KSU 17) Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.36 16.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 79

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - -0.93 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 14 at KSU 21) Joe Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.88 16.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 80

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - -1.29 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.29)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 15 at KSU 20) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 21 3.73 15.0% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 54

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - -2.16 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 46) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the 50 yard line - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.20 19.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.57 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 6 at 50) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.89 19.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.37 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.63)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 6 at 50) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 7, TTU 21 -1.56 18.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - 0.48 = -1.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:19 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 6 at 50) Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds for a touchback - KSU 7, TTU 21 -1.32 15.3% 2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -0.46 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:19 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 20) Erik Ezukanma run for no gain to the TexTc 20 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.61 83.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: TTU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.71 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.71)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.6%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 10 at TTU 20) Henry Colombi pass intercepted return for no gain to the TexTc 35 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -4.13 84.3% -4.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 35

Started Drive at: TTU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.28 - 0.85 = -4.13

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.85)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.72)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 35) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the TexTc 30 - KSU 7, TTU 21 0.29 19.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.16 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.4%

Win Probability (After): 19.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 5 at TTU 30) Malik Knowles run for 22 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, TTU 21 1.51 19.6% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 8

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 3.45 = 1.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & Goal at TTU 8) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 9 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.78 22.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 5.16 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & Goal at TTU 9) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the TexTc 6 - KSU 7, TTU 21 -0.45 21.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.38 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & Goal at TTU 6) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 7, TTU 21 -1.44 19.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 3.93 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 7, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & Goal at TTU 6) Taiten Winkel 24 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, TTU 21 0.48 17.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65

Started Drive at: TTU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.48)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 10, TTU 21 0.00 82.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.36 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.36)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) Henry Colombi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24 - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.73 82.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.36 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.36)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 11 at TTU 24) SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 27 - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.33 81.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.62 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.62)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 8 at TTU 27) Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 48 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, TTU 21 3.31 81.0% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 25

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 0.30 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 13 at KSU 28) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 01:00 - KSU 10, TTU 21 0.00 84.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.60 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.60)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 25) Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 28 - KSU 10, TTU 21 -1.32 85.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 28

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 3.30 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 13 at KSU 28) Henry Colombi sacked by Tyrone Taleni for 0 yards to the KanSt 30 - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.50 84.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 30

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.98 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 15 at KSU 30) KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HENTZ II, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, TTU 21 3.12 83.3% 4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 1.48 = 3.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & Goal at KSU 9) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.64 87.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.76 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & Goal at KSU 9) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 00:08 - KSU 10, TTU 21 0.00 86.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.12)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & Goal at KSU 9) Henry Colombi run for no gain to the KanSt 9 - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.43 87.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.68 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.68)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & Goal at KSU 9) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 10, TTU 21 -0.74 86.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.25 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.25)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & Goal at KSU 9) Jonathan Garibay 27 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, TTU 24 0.52 85.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (Kickoff at KSU 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 10, TTU 24 0.00 14.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - -0.62 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 25) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26 - KSU 10, TTU 24 -0.53 14.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.62 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 9 at KSU 26) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 27 - KSU 10, TTU 24 -0.87 14.1% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -1.16 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 8 at KSU 27) Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 - KSU 10, TTU 24 -0.26 11.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.29 - -2.03 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.03)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:47 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 2 at KSU 33) Ty Zentner punt for 63 yds, downed at the TexTc 4 - KSU 10, TTU 24 0.73 11.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 96

Started Drive at: KSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -2.21 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.21)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 10, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 4) Team Safety - KSU 12, TTU 24 -3.60 88.9% -42.6%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 99

Started Drive at: TTU 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 1.60 = -3.60

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 31) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 32 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down - KSU 12, TTU 24 2.19 20.5% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 37

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 0.71 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.29)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 12 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 37) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 26 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST down - KSU 12, TTU 24 1.91 23.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 11

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 2.90 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.10)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-7.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 12 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 11) Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the TexTc 11 - KSU 12, TTU 24 -0.60 27.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.82 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.18)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-7.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 12 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 10 at TTU 11) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 9 yds to the TexTc 2 - KSU 12, TTU 24 1.21 26.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.22 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.78)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-6.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 12 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 1 at TTU 2) Joe Ervin run for no gain to the TexTc 2 - KSU 12, TTU 24 -1.02 27.8% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 5.43 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-6.57)

Score Difference (End): -12 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 12, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 12 (12) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2306 (4th & 1 at TTU 2) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taiten Winkel KICK) - KSU 19, TTU 24 2.56 24.2% 12.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.44 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.56)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.8%

Away Score: 12 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.00 67.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.35)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 23 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.01 67.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.35 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.35)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 12 at TTU 23) Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 21 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 2.28 66.2% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 56

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 0.35 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.35)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 44) Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.17 69.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.63 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.63)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 6 at TTU 48) KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Eli Huggins) to the KanSt 47 - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.04 69.3% 2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 2.45 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.45)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 1 at KSU 47) SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.23 71.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.49 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.49)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 45) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.64 71.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.26 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.26)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.5%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 10 at KSU 45) TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.85 69.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 50

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.62 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.62)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 15 at 50) Kaylon Geiger pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.05 68.1% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.78 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.78)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 66.7%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 15 at 50) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.34 66.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - 0.73 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.73)

Score Difference (End): 5 (4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 15 at 50) Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds for a touchback - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.03 65.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.56 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.44)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 20) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 28 - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.56 35.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 0.51 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.49)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 2 at KSU 28) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.56 35.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 71

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.08 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.92)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 1 at KSU 29) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.98 34.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.52 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.48)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 31) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.12 36.5% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 50

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 1.50 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.50)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at 50) Joe Ervin run for 9 yds to the TexTc 41 - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.03 38.6% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 41

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.62 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.38)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 42.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 1 at TTU 41) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 10 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.34 42.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.64 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.36)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 31) THOMPSON, Skylar pass to the left incomplete dropped by WEBER, Landry thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY KSU Holding on SINNOTT, Ben enforced 10 yards from the TTU31 to the TTU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.19 43.8% -5.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 41

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 3.99 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 20 at TTU 41) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 14 yds to the TexTc 27 - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.15 38.6% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 27

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 2.79 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.21)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.0%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 6 at TTU 27) Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.71 44.0% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.95 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.05)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:31 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 5 at TTU 26) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 7 yds to the TexTc 28 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -2.14 36.9% 17.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 72

Started Drive at: KSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 3.26 = -2.14

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.74)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 28) Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33 - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.04 72.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.63 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.63)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.5%

Win Probability (After): 72.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 5 at TTU 33) Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.64 71.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.65 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.65)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 72.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 39) Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.29 72.9% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 38

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 2.29 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.29)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 38) Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.30 78.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.57 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.57)

Score Difference (End): 5 (8.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 7 at KSU 35) COLOMBI, Henry pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to KOONTZ, Travis caught at the KSU37 and advanced to the KSU32 (MCPHERSON, Jahron). PENALTY TTU Holding on STORMENT, T.J. enforced 10 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.24 77.7% -4.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 45

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 3.28 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 5 (8.28)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 17 at KSU 45) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.04 73.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 2.04 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.04)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 17 at KSU 45) Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 11 yds to the KanSt 34 - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.00 71.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 34

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.99 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.99)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 6 at KSU 34) Henry Colombi pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -2.86 73.3% -6.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 66

Started Drive at: TTU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - 1.03 = -2.86

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.03)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 34) Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.65 33.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 54

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 1.88 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.12)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at KSU 46) KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jax Dineen) to the KanSt 41 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.77 35.1% -2.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.53 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 15 at KSU 41) Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 37 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.82 32.5% -2.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 63

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 1.75 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 19 at KSU 37) KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 32 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.53 29.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.93 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.07)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 24 at KSU 32) Skylar Thompson sacked by Tyree Wilson for 0 yards to the KanSt 22 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -1.40 28.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.40 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.60)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 34 at KSU 22) TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Drew) to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 4.12 26.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 45

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - -1.00 = 4.12

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.00)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 45) Skylar Thompson pass incomplete - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.58 36.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.12 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.88)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 10 at TTU 45) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 7 yds to the TexTc 38 - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.20 35.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.54 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (3rd & 3 at TTU 38) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST down - KSU 19, TTU 24 1.40 36.0% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 29

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 2.74 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.26)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 29) Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 7 yds to the TexTc 22 - KSU 19, TTU 24 0.51 40.1% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 4.14 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 3 at TTU 22) Deuce Vaughn 22 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KSU 25, TTU 24 1.58 41.8% 16.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.42 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.58)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 19 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik Knowles) to the KanSt 20 - KSU 19, TTU 24 3.17 49.1% 40.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 1.09 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 5 (9.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 25 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2306 (0th & Goal at KSU 35) ZENTNER, Ty kickoff 60 yards to the TTU5, MARTINEZ, Nehemiah return 23 yards to the TTU28 (MOORE, Austin;DANIELS, Omar). PENALTY KSU Offsides on MUNOZ, Eric enforced 5 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 19, TTU 24 2.14 28.7% 17.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 30

Started Drive at: KSU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 1.77 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.23)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.09)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (Kickoff at TTU 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 61 yds , Nehemiah Martinez return for 21 yds to the TexTc 25 - KSU 19, TTU 24 -0.90 80.7% -1.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.97 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.97)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 19, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 25) THOMPSON, SaRodorick rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the TTU38 (FLETCHER, Cody). PENALTY TTU Holding on KOONTZ, Travis enforced 10 yards from the TTU25 to the TTU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KSU 25, TTU 24 -0.64 80.7% -43.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.97 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.97)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.5%

Away Score: 19 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 20 at TTU 15) SaRodorick Thompson run for 28 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 1.85 37.5% 18.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 57

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 0.32 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at TTU 43) SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -0.36 56.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.17 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.17)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 8 at TTU 45) Myles Price run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -0.21 54.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 51

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.82 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.82)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 4 at TTU 49) Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -1.26 52.8% -12.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.61 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.61)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 2 at KSU 49) Henry Colombi pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 2.49 40.6% 16.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 0.35 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.65)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (1st & 10 at KSU 46) Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -0.04 57.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 2.84 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.84)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (2nd & 6 at KSU 42) Myles Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 44 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -1.04 57.6% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 44

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.79 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.79)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 2641 (3rd & 8 at KSU 44) Henry Colombi sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for 0 yards to the TexTc 48 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -2.26 53.9% -17.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 52

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 1.76 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 2641 (4th & 16 at TTU 48) Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TexTc 48 - KSU 25, TTU 24 -2.66 28.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: TTU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.51 - 0.15 = -2.66

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.85)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 2306 (1st & 10 at TTU 48) Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the TexTc 42 - KSU 25, TTU 24 0.17 87.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: TTU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.58 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 2306 (2nd & 4 at TTU 42) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down - KSU 25, TTU 24 0.56 87.0% 13.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: TTU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 1.74 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KSU 25, TTU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3