Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 6.43 | Odds: OKST -7, O/U 45.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 98 |
| Total EPA | -13.06 | -15.1 |
| Offensive EPA | -9.95 | -24.96 |
| Special Teams EPA | -4.31 | 6.57 |
| Penalty EPA | -3.44 | 0.37 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 4.64 | 2.92 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 61 | 87 |
| Yards | 242 | 381 |
| Yards/Play | 3.97 | 4.38 |
| EPA | -9.95 | -24.96 |
| EPA/Play | -0.16 | -0.29 |
| Passes | 34 (56%) | 49 (56%) |
| Yards | 180 | 263 |
| Yards/Play | 5.29 | 5.37 |
| EPA | -2.95 | -9.84 |
| EPA/Play | -0.09 | -0.20 |
| Rushes | 27 (44%) | 38 (44%) |
| Yards | 118 | 91 |
| Yards/Play | 4.37 | 2.39 |
| EPA | -7.00 | -15.12 |
| EPA/Play | -0.26 | -0.40 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 61 | 87 |
| Rushes | 27 (44%) | 38 (44%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (7%) | 3 (8%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 1 (33%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 8 (30%) | 14 (37%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 12 (44%) | 22 (58%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 14 (52%) | 12 (32%) |
| OL Line Yards | 37.2 | 46.7 |
| Per Carry | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Highlight Yards | 36.5 | 14 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.61 | 1.17 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 98 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 61 | 87 |
| Explosive Plays | 2 (3%) | 4 (5%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 2 (6%) | 4 (8%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -15.97 | -36.39 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | -0.44 |
| When Passing | -8.97 | -21.27 |
| EPA/Play | -0.26 | -0.43 |
| When Rushing | -7.00 | -15.12 |
| EPA/Play | -0.26 | -0.40 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 29 (48%) | 33 (38%) |
| When Passing | 15 (44%) | 22 (45%) |
| When Rushing | 14 (52%) | 11 (29%) |
| On Standard Downs | 26 (57%) | 22 (37%) |
| On Passing Downs | 3 (20%) | 11 (39%) |
| On Early Downs | 23 (50%) | 21 (32%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (40%) | 12 (57%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 8 (53%) | 4 (36%) |
| Early Downs | 46 | 66 |
| First Downs Created | 9 (20%) | 10 (15%) |
| EPA | -6.32 | -32.36 |
| EPA/Play | -0.14 | -0.49 |
| Passes | 24 (52%) | 36 (55%) |
| Rushes | 22 (48%) | 30 (45%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 12 (50%) | 14 (39%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 11 (50%) | 7 (23%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 15 | 11 |
| EPA | 1.69 | -5.26 |
| EPA/play | 0.11 | -0.48 |
| Passes | 9 (60%) | 7 (64%) |
| Rushes | 6 (40%) | 4 (36%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (33%) | 2 (29%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 5 (83%) | 2 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 13 | 13 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 36 | Own 29 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.72 | 9.89 |
| Yards/Drive | 29.54 | 45.45 |
| Available Yards % | 46% | 64% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 87 | 61 |
| Stop Rate | 33% | 49% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 13 (15%) | 12 (20%) |
| Passing | 7 (14%) | 7 (21%) |
| Rushing | 6 (16%) | 5 (19%) |
| TFLs Generated | 9 | 11 |
| Passing | 3 | 7 |
| Rushing | 6 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (4%) | 6 (18%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 2 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 5 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 3 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 4 |
| Turnover Margin | 4 | -4 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 15.6 | -15.6 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 12 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -4.31 | 6.57 |
| Field Goal EPA | -4.28 | 0.84 |
| Punting EPA | 2.24 | 5.73 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -2.27 | 0 |
Baylor [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Blake Shapen | 23/28, 180 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 5 Scks, 44.2 xQBR, 0.34 DETMER | 5.45 | -0.02 | -0.62 | 45% | -27.0% | |
| Tyquan Thornton | 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 23.6 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 0.00 | -2.33 | -2.33 | 0% | -6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Blake Shapen | 4 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.51 | 2.04 | 50% | 12.0% | |
| Dillon Doyle | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Abram Smith | 17 carries, 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.71 | -0.24 | -4.11 | 53% | -18.0% | |
| Trestan Ebner | 5 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 3.40 | -1.10 | -5.50 | 40% | -13.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Tyquan Thornton | 6 catches (8 targets), 71 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.83 | 0.96 | 7.67 | 62% | 6.0% | |
| Ben Sims | 4 catches (5 targets), 34 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 0.48 | 2.42 | 60% | -1.0% | |
| Drew Estrada | 6 catches (6 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.50 | 0.30 | 1.81 | 67% | 7.0% | |
| Trestan Ebner | 3 catches (3 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 33% | 1.0% | |
| R.J. Sneed | 1 catch (2 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Drake Dabney | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Gavin Yates | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Grant Miller | 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.19 | -1.19 | 0% | -4.0% | |
Oklahoma State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Brennan Presley | 1/1, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 90.8 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 6.00 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Spencer Sanders | 31/46, 257 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT, 2 Scks, 54.5 xQBR, 0.51 DETMER | 5.35 | -0.24 | -11.52 | 44% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Spencer Sanders | 11 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 4.91 | 0.12 | 1.29 | 55% | 2.0% | |
| Brennan Presley | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.33 | -0.33 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Dominic Richardson | 7 carries, 2 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.29 | -0.55 | -3.87 | 14% | 2.0% | |
| Dezmon Jackson | 19 carries, 31 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (1 lost) | 1.63 | -0.64 | -12.21 | 21% | -67.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Tay Martin | 9 catches (12 targets), 88 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.78 | 0.73 | 8.72 | 58% | 27.0% | |
| Brennan Presley | 2 catches (3 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 1.16 | 3.47 | 67% | 11.0% | |
| Dominic Richardson | 2 catches (2 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | 0.97 | 1.94 | 50% | 5.0% | |
| Dezmon Jackson | 7 catches (7 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.57 | 0.25 | 1.72 | 57% | 6.0% | |
| Spencer Sanders | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| John Paul Richardson | 5 catches (5 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.60 | 0.26 | 1.30 | 60% | 12.0% | |
| Jaden Bray | 3 catches (4 targets), 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.33 | 0.30 | 1.21 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| Tyler Lacy | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.96 | -0.96 | 0% | -18.0% | |
| Braden Cassity | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.02 | -1.02 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Blaine Green | 3 catches (6 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.67 | -0.26 | -1.56 | 33% | 5.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 12:47 | |
(4th & 11 at OKST 20) Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 30 Trestan Ebner fumbled, recovered by OKSt Korie Black - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 6.33 | 14.3% | 20.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - -2.61 = 6.33 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-10.61) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Brayden Utley return for 15 yds to the OKSt 22 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -5.92 | 28.9% | -10.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.66 - 1.26 = -5.92 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.74) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.66) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:48 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 23) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted JT Woods return for 33 yds to the OKSt 11 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -5.72 | 74.8% | -13.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 11 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - 0.68 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:48 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 37) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Matt Jones return for no gain to the OKSt 37 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | -5.49 | 53.1% | -7.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 37 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.78 - 1.71 = -5.49 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 45.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:14 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 30) Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26 Trestan Ebner fumbled, forced by Malcolm Rodriguez, recovered by OKSt Tyler Lacy - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -5.20 | 42.0% | -11.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 74 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 3.82 = -5.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 30.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 40) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Jairon McVea return for no gain to the Bayl 27 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -4.70 | 21.3% | -5.6% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 73 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 1.93 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.07) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:24 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -4.50 | 46.9% | -43.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.49 = -4.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.51) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.01) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 3.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:29 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 36) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -3.74 | 84.5% | -6.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.83 - 0.91 = -3.74 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.91) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.17) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 78.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at OKST 13) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 13 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 3.32 | 76.8% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.68 = 3.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.68) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:00 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 26) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 3.11 | 16.6% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 15 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 1.60 = 3.11 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.40) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 0:24 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -4.50 | 46.9% | -43.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.49 = -4.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.51) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.01) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 3.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:27 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 6) BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mark Milton) to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 1.71 | 48.3% | 22.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 2 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 4.26 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 12:47 | |
(4th & 11 at OKST 20) Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 30 Trestan Ebner fumbled, recovered by OKSt Korie Black - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 6.33 | 14.3% | 20.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - -2.61 = 6.33 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-10.61) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 1) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler Lacy - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.96 | 68.7% | -17.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 5.52 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.52) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:17 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 3) Tanner Brown 20 yd FG GOOD - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.24 | 25.8% | 16.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.24) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:48 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 23) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted JT Woods return for 33 yds to the OKSt 11 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -5.72 | 74.8% | -13.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 11 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - 0.68 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:14 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 30) Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26 Trestan Ebner fumbled, forced by Malcolm Rodriguez, recovered by OKSt Tyler Lacy - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -5.20 | 42.0% | -11.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 74 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 3.82 = -5.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 30.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:54 | |
(1st & Goal at OKST 4) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.89 | 55.7% | 10.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.11 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.11) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:40 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 3 Dezmon Jackson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Brennan Presley - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -2.98 | 38.3% | -10.1% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 5.79 = -2.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.21) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.3% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Brayden Utley return for 15 yds to the OKSt 22 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -5.92 | 28.9% | -10.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.66 - 1.26 = -5.92 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.74) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.66) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 7:52 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 6) Tanner Brown 23 yd FG GOOD - BAY 0, OKST 3 | 0.18 | 73.8% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.82 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.8% Win Probability (After): 78.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(3rd & 1 at OKST 2) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 1.37 | 40.9% | 5.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.63) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.9% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:54 | |
(1st & Goal at OKST 4) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.89 | 55.7% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.11 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.11) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at OKST 13) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 13 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 3.32 | 76.8% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.68 = 3.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.68) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:34 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 6) Tanner Brown 23 yd FG GOOD - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.42 | 24.6% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.58 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.42) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 28.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:09 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 4) Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.22 | 24.4% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.78 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.22) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:17 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 3) Tanner Brown 20 yd FG GOOD - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.24 | 25.8% | 16.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.24) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:51 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 22 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 1.41 | 32.2% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 53 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.08 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.2% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:29 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 47) BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Drake Dabney) to the Bayl 42 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.44 | 36.5% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.63 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:01 | |
(1st & 15 at BAY 42) Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the OKSt 48 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 0.94 | 35.5% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 48 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 1.83 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.5% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:28 | |
(2nd & 5 at OKST 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 1.18 | 38.2% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 2.77 = 1.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 39.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:48 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 34) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Yates for 4 yds to the OKSt 30 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.04 | 41.6% | -2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 3.87 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.87) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:14 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 30) Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26 Trestan Ebner fumbled, forced by Malcolm Rodriguez, recovered by OKSt Tyler Lacy - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -5.20 | 42.0% | -11.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 74 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 3.82 = -5.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 30.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:07 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 26) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Blaine Green - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.86 | 69.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.36 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 26) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by OKSt Spencer Sanders - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -1.05 | 68.7% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.53 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:18 | |
(3rd & 8 at OKST 28) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 8 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 2.59 | 65.6% | 6.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - -0.59 = 2.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.59) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.6% Win Probability (After): 71.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:01 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 36) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.61 | 71.2% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.95 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 69.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:43 | |
(2nd & 8 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braden Cassity - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -1.02 | 69.2% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 1.49 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:26 | |
(3rd & 8 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 10 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 2.16 | 67.4% | 5.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 0.60 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 72.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:11 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 48) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the Bayl 44 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 0.68 | 72.7% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.77 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.7% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:52 | |
(2nd & 2 at BAY 44) Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the Bayl 44 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.98 | 69.4% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 3.53 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 44) Dezmon Jackson run for 10 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 1.47 | 67.9% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 2.51 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.9% Win Probability (After): 69.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:08 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 34) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 26 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, OKST 0 | 1.56 | 70.7% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 8 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.89 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 73.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:48 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 8) Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 7 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.50 | 74.8% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 7 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 5.45 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 73.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:14 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 7) Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 6 - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -0.85 | 71.0% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.95 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:56 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 6) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Blaine Green - BAY 0, OKST 0 | -1.28 | 75.2% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 4.11 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.2% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:52 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 6) Tanner Brown 23 yd FG GOOD - BAY 0, OKST 3 | 0.18 | 73.8% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.82 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.8% Win Probability (After): 78.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:52 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 21 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -1.28 | 29.0% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.70 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.0% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:36 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 21) Blake Shapen pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Bayl 29 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | 0.62 | 28.2% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 0.52 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.48) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.2% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:30 | |
(2nd & 2 at BAY 29) Abram Smith run for no gain to the Bayl 29 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -0.95 | 28.9% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 1.10 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.90) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:16 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 29) Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 30 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -1.39 | 27.1% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.21 - 0.18 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.82) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.1% Win Probability (After): 25.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 5:40 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 30) Issac Power punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 22 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -0.13 | 24.5% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 78 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - -1.14 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.14) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.5% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:10 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 1 yd to the OKSt 23 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -0.61 | 75.1% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.27 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.27) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 73.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:48 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 23) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted JT Woods return for 33 yds to the OKSt 11 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -5.72 | 74.8% | -13.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 11 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - 0.68 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:34 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 11) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 9 yds to the OKSt 2 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | 1.04 | 41.7% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.09 - 5.05 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.05) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.7% Win Probability (After): 38.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:46 | |
(2nd & 1 at OKST 2) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the OKSt 2 - BAY 0, OKST 3 | -0.45 | 41.8% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.64 - 6.09 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.8% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(3rd & 1 at OKST 2) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 2 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 1.37 | 40.9% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.63) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.9% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.67 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.33) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.9% Win Probability (After): 55.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:12 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | -0.05 | 55.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.69 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 55.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:41 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 29) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 2 yds to the OKSt 31 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | -0.46 | 50.7% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.65 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.35) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 53.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:19 | |
(3rd & 4 at OKST 31) Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 1.47 | 49.4% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 0.21 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.79) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 53.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:48 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 37) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Matt Jones return for no gain to the OKSt 37 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | -5.49 | 53.1% | -7.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 37 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.78 - 1.71 = -5.49 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 45.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:41 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 37) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrick Bernard-Converse) to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 0.96 | 54.1% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 22 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 3.78 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.78) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 22) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kody Walterscheid) to the OKSt 17 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 0.69 | 55.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.74 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.74) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:45 | |
(1st & 5 at OKST 17) Blake Shapen sacked by Tre Sterling for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 25 - BAY 7, OKST 3 | -1.94 | 57.4% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 25 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 5.42 = -1.94 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.42) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:02 | |
(2nd & 13 at OKST 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 21 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down - BAY 7, OKST 3 | 2.70 | 55.5% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 4 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 3.45 = 2.70 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.45) Score Difference (End): 4 (10.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 7, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:54 | |
(1st & Goal at OKST 4) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.89 | 55.7% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.11 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.11) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:54 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.87) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.5% Win Probability (After): 31.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:30 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Dezmon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.93 | 34.3% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - 0.07 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.93) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 29.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:05 | |
(2nd & 11 at OKST 24) Dezmon Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 20 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -1.18 | 32.2% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.09 - -0.91 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.91) Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.2% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(3rd & 15 at OKST 20) Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.80 | 29.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -2.09 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.09) Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 27.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:06 | |
(4th & 13 at OKST 22) Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 31 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.15 | 28.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.75 - -2.90 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.90) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 29.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:57 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 31) Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for no gain to the Bayl 31 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.66 | 70.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.65 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.65) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 69.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:18 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 31) Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.99 | 69.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 2.07 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.07) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:38 | |
(3rd & 9 at BAY 32) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 7 yds to the Bayl 39 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.49 | 68.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 1.12 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.12) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.5% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:07 | |
(4th & 2 at BAY 39) Issac Power punt for 53 yds, downed at the OKSt 8 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.22 | 69.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 92 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.75 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.75) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.97) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 68.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 10:57 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 8) Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 7 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.83 | 31.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 93 Started Drive at: OKST 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.78 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.78) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:17 | |
(2nd & 11 at OKST 7) Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 6 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.98 | 28.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 94 Started Drive at: OKST 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.51 - -1.53 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.53) Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 27.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:46 | |
(3rd & 12 at OKST 6) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.61 | 24.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 94 Started Drive at: OKST 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.05 - -2.44 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.44) Score Difference (End): -11 (-14.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 25.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:38 | |
(4th & 12 at OKST 6) Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the OKLAST 48 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 47 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.53 | 22.9% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 47 Started Drive at: OKST 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.58 - -3.06 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-14.05) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.58) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 24.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:25 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 47) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 5 yds to the OKSt 42 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.01 | 73.3% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.52 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.52) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.3% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:33 | |
(2nd & 5 at OKST 42) Abram Smith run for 12 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST down - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 1.12 | 72.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 3.35 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.35) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.9% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 30) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST down - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.66 | 73.5% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 19 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 4.25 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.25) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.5% Win Probability (After): 75.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:48 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 19) Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the OKSt 14 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.13 | 75.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 14 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 4.81 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.81) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.4% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:30 | |
(2nd & 5 at OKST 14) Abram Smith run for 4 yds to the OKSt 10 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.07 | 75.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 10 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 4.93 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.93) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.3% Win Probability (After): 75.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:43 | |
(3rd & 1 at OKST 10) Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST down - BAY 14, OKST 3 | 0.76 | 77.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.78 - 5.02 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.02) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 76.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:15 | |
(1st & Goal at OKST 6) Blake Shapen sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 15 yards to the OKSt 21 BAYLOR Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Blake Shapen) to the OKSt 21 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -2.33 | 78.7% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 5.77 = -2.33 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.78) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at OKST 21) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 8 yds to the OKSt 13 - BAY 14, OKST 3 | -0.10 | 75.6% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 13 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 3.46 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.46) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 14, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 76.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at OKST 13) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 13 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 3.32 | 76.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.68 = 3.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.68) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:29 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.75) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.6% Win Probability (After): 21.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:22 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 6 yds to the OKSt 31 - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 0.07 | 21.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.38 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.62) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.4% Win Probability (After): 21.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:04 | |
(2nd & 4 at OKST 31) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Bray for 25 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 1.92 | 21.1% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 0.66 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.34) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.1% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:51 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - BAY 21, OKST 3 | -0.49 | 25.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.67 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.33) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 44) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for no gain to the Bayl 44 - BAY 21, OKST 3 | -0.61 | 24.1% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 2.06 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.94) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 22.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:20 | |
(3rd & 10 at BAY 44) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 16 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 2.17 | 22.8% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 28 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 1.50 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.50) Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.8% Win Probability (After): 27.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 28) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 7 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 0.77 | 28.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.60 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.40) Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:55 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 21) BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Al Walcott) to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 3 | 1.25 | 28.4% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 4.22 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.78) Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.4% Win Probability (After): 29.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:51 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 6) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - BAY 21, OKST 3 | -0.47 | 30.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 5.49 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.51) Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.5% Win Probability (After): 29.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:46 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 6) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - BAY 21, OKST 3 | -0.90 | 29.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 5.01 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.99) Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.8% Win Probability (After): 28.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:38 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 6) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden Bray - BAY 21, OKST 3 | -1.67 | 27.8% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 4.16 = -1.67 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.84) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.8% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:34 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 6) Tanner Brown 23 yd FG GOOD - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.42 | 24.6% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.58 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.42) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 28.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:34 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds , Trestan Ebner return for 19 yds to the Bayl 19 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.99 | 80.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.36 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.36) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.3% Win Probability (After): 80.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:23 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 19) Abram Smith run for 12 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.53 | 80.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 69 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.08 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.08) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.0% Win Probability (After): 80.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 31) Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Bayl 36 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.02 | 81.1% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.55 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.55) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.1% Win Probability (After): 80.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(2nd & 5 at BAY 36) Blake Shapen pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 5 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.49 | 81.0% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.48 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.48) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.0% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 41) Abram Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 48 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.07 | 83.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.90 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.90) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.8% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:21 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 1 yd to the Bayl 49 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.09 | 83.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 51 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.52 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.52) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 49) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 17 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 1.60 | 84.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.05 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.05) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 34) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:46 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.00 | 85.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 2.65 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.65) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:31 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 34) Blake Shapen run for 8 yds to the OKSt 26 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.95 | 84.6% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 26 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.33 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.33) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 85.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(2nd & 2 at OKST 26) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.32 | 85.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 3.08 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.08) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.6% Win Probability (After): 84.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at OKST 26) Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.39 | 84.5% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 2.62 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.62) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:14 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 21) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.03 | 85.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.77 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.77) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.5% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 21) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben Sims - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.13 | 84.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.31 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.31) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:10 | |
(3rd & 10 at OKST 21) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:10 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.00 | 83.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.44 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.44) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.9% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(3rd & 10 at OKST 21) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.15 | 83.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.07 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.07) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(4th & 10 at OKST 21) Isaiah Hankins 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Korie Black - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -1.94 | 81.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Blocked Field Goal Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.94 = -1.94 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.94) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.97) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 80.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - -0.61 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.61) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.0% Win Probability (After): 20.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 1.01 | 22.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - -0.54 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.54) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.5% Win Probability (After): 22.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:31 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 36) Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.67 | 23.9% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.55 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.45) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.9% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:00 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 37) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 7 yds to the OKSt 44 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.55 | 20.8% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - -0.10 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.10) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:47 | |
(3rd & 2 at OKST 44) Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 1.04 | 22.6% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 0.46 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.54) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.6% Win Probability (After): 24.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 48) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 43 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -1.62 | 22.1% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 1.44 = -1.62 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.56) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 19.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:54 | |
(2nd & 15 at OKST 43) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 17 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 2.86 | 17.2% | 5.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - -0.23 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.23) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 22.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:27 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 40) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 40 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.70 | 21.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.63 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.37) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 21.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 40) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Jairon McVea return for no gain to the Bayl 27 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -4.70 | 21.3% | -5.6% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 73 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 1.93 = -4.70 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.07) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:04 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 27) Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 25 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -1.02 | 84.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 2.81 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.81) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.4% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:37 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 5 yds to the Bayl 30 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.34 | 83.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.68 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.68) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.4% Win Probability (After): 83.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:02 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 30) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 6 yds to the Bayl 36 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.54 | 83.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.25 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.25) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:29 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 36) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -3.74 | 84.5% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.83 - 0.91 = -3.74 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.91) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.17) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 78.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 36) Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the Bayl 36 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.61 | 20.3% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.79 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.21) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:33 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 36) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the Bayl 27 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.97 | 18.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 2.25 = 0.97 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.75) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 20.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:26 | |
(3rd & 1 at BAY 27) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 0.43 | 22.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 25 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.36 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.64) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.5% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 30 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -1.77 | 23.1% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 3.79 = -1.77 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.21) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:10 | |
(2nd & 15 at BAY 30) Brennan Presley run for 4 yds to the Bayl 26 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -0.33 | 18.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.02 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.98) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:00 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 26) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 3.11 | 16.6% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 15 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 1.60 = 3.11 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.40) Score Difference (End): -15 (-10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 15) Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the Bayl 4 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 1.10 | 23.9% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 4 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 4.69 = 1.10 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.31) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.9% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:30 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 4) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Josh Sills) to the Bayl 19 - BAY 21, OKST 6 | -2.06 | 25.1% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 19 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 5.76 = -2.06 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.24) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 22.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:13 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 19) BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Al Walcott) to the Bayl 4 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 6 | 1.72 | 22.9% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 4 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.76 - 4.04 = 1.72 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-10.96) Score Difference (End): -15 (-9.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 25.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:09 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 4) Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.22 | 24.4% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.78 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-9.22) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:09 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 1.59 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.59) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.1% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:58 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen run for 28 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.62 | 67.0% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 47 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 1.57 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.0% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:40 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 47) Abram Smith run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 0.71 | 72.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 3.15 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.15) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.5% Win Probability (After): 72.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:55 | |
(2nd & 1 at OKST 38) Abram Smith run for no gain to the OKSt 38 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.67 | 73.4% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.83 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:20 | |
(3rd & 1 at OKST 38) Dillon Doyle run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 0.57 | 73.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 3.15 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.15) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 73.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:47 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 36) Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.47 | 76.6% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.71 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.71) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 73.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:40 | |
(2nd & 8 at OKST 34) Tyquan Thornton sacked by Jason Taylor II for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 45 BAYLOR Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tyquan Thornton) to the OKSt 45 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -2.33 | 74.3% | -5.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 3.23 = -2.33 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.24) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:00 | |
(3rd & 19 at OKST 45) Abram Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 48 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -1.71 | 67.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 48 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.95 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.95) Score Difference (End): 8 (7.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:29 | |
(4th & 22 at OKST 48) Issac Power punt for 48 yds for a touchback - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 0.89 | 67.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - -0.74 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 8 (7.26) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.15) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 67.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:22 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 20) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Michalski) to the OKSt 10 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.99 | 30.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 90 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.15 - -0.17 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.17) Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.8% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:14 | |
(1st & 20 at OKST 10) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the OKSt 10 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.68 | 29.1% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -1.13 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.13) Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.1% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:44 | |
(2nd & 20 at OKST 10) BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kalon Barnes) to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.64 | 25.3% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -1.79 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.79) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.3% Win Probability (After): 30.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:38 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 20) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 4 yds to the OKSt 24 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.20 | 30.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - -0.14 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.14) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 30.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:01 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 24) Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 27 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.34 | 29.3% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - -0.27 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.27) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 29.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:44 | |
(3rd & 3 at OKST 27) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.69 | 27.4% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -0.51 = 1.69 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.51) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 30.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Brayden Utley return for 15 yds to the OKSt 22 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -5.92 | 28.9% | -10.0% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22 Started Drive at: OKST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.66 - 1.26 = -5.92 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.74) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.66) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:20 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 22) Abram Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 24 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -1.28 | 81.5% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 4.67 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.67) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:36 | |
(2nd & 12 at OKST 24) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 5 yds to the OKSt 19 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 0.10 | 79.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.38 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.38) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 79.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:01 | |
(3rd & 7 at OKST 19) Blake Shapen pass complete to Grant Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 21 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -1.19 | 80.1% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 3.45 = -1.19 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.45) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.1% Win Probability (After): 76.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:55 | |
(4th & 9 at OKST 21) Isaiah Hankins 39 yd FG MISSED - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -2.34 | 74.9% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 79 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 2.22 = -2.34 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.22) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.9% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 21) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for no gain to the OKSt 21 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.60 | 26.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.13 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:46 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 21) Spencer Sanders sacked by Terrel Bernard and Siaki Ika for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 12 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -1.60 | 23.8% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 88 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -0.53 = -1.60 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.53) Score Difference (End): -8 (-10.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.8% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:23 | |
(3rd & 19 at OKST 12) Spencer Sanders run for 8 yds to the OKSt 20 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.57 | 17.6% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - -2.17 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-10.17) Score Difference (End): -8 (-10.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:47 | |
(4th & 11 at OKST 20) Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 30 Trestan Ebner fumbled, recovered by OKSt Korie Black - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 6.33 | 14.3% | 20.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - -2.61 = 6.33 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-10.61) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 30) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for no gain to the Bayl 30 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.65 | 34.2% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 3.74 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.26) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 32.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:48 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 30) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 5 yds to the Bayl 25 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.12 | 32.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.15 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.85) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.8% Win Probability (After): 32.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at BAY 25) Brennan Presley pass complete to Spencer Sanders for 6 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.68 | 32.6% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 19 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 2.90 = 1.68 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.10) Score Difference (End): -8 (-3.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:14 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 19) Spencer Sanders sacked by Chidi Ogbonnaya for a loss of 12 yards to the Bayl 31 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Bayl 31 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -2.37 | 38.2% | -6.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 31 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 4.60 = -2.37 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-3.42) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 31.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:02 | |
(2nd & 22 at BAY 31) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 14 yds to the Bayl 17 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 1.15 | 31.7% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 2.39 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.61) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:39 | |
(3rd & 8 at BAY 17) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 16 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 13 | 2.86 | 33.6% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 3.56 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.44) Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 41.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:05 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.25 | 40.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 6.42 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-1.58) Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.9% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:20 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -0.29 | 40.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.85 - 6.14 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-1.86) Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:40 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 3 Dezmon Jackson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Brennan Presley - BAY 21, OKST 13 | -2.98 | 38.3% | -10.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 5.79 = -2.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.21) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.3% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:17 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 3) Tanner Brown 20 yd FG GOOD - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.24 | 25.8% | 16.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.24) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 72.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.11 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.11) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.7% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:01 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drew Estrada for 8 yds to the Bayl 33 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.41 | 73.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.15 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.15) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 73.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:41 | |
(2nd & 2 at BAY 33) Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.40 | 77.0% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.56 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.56) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 78.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 38) Blake Shapen sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 32 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -1.45 | 78.4% | -6.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.99 = -1.45 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.99) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:37 | |
(2nd & 16 at BAY 32) Abram Smith run for 3 yds to the Bayl 35 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.32 | 75.1% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.52 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.52) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 71.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:15 | |
(3rd & 13 at BAY 35) Blake Shapen sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 13 yards to the Bayl 22 Blake Shapen fumbled, forced by Collin Oliver, recovered by Bayl Abram Smith , return for 0 yards - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -1.85 | 73.9% | -9.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - 0.18 = -1.85 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.18) Score Difference (End): 5 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.9% Win Probability (After): 64.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:27 | |
(4th & 26 at BAY 22) Issac Power punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 25 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.41 | 68.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - -1.42 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 5 (3.58) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 68.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:18 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.53 | 26.9% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.97 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.03) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.65 | 26.3% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.49 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.51) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 22.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:33 | |
(3rd & 7 at OKST 28) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 3 yds to the OKSt 31 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.78 | 23.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - -0.16 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.16) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.2% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:51 | |
(4th & 4 at OKST 31) Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, downed at the Bayl 27 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.23 | 18.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 73 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - -0.92 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.92) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:46 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 27) Abram Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 25 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.75 | 86.4% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 1.06 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.06) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.4% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:45 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 25) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 03:45 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 81.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.31 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.31) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 81.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:40 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen sacked by Brendon Evers for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 22 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.71 | 83.2% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 0.28 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.28) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 78.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:39 | |
(3rd & 15 at BAY 22) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 03:39 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - -0.43 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.57) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.0% Win Probability (After): 78.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:33 | |
(3rd & 15 at BAY 22) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Bayl 29 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.58 | 79.2% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -0.40 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.60) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.2% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:32 | |
(4th & 8 at BAY 29) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 03:32 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 73.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -0.98 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.02) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:23 | |
(4th & 8 at BAY 29) Issac Power punt for 61 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.84 | 74.5% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 90 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - -0.99 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.01) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 76.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:14 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 10) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 10 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.36 | 23.4% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.37 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.63) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:11 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 20) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Blaine Green - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.40 | 24.6% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.81 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.19) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 22.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 20) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 10 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.81 | 21.0% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 70 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 0.37 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.63) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 30) Dezmon Jackson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.58 | 25.6% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.25 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.75) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 26.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:42 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 40) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 3 yds to the OKSt 43 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.34 | 26.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.80 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.20) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.4% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at OKST 43) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 13 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.87 | 25.6% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 1.49 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 29.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 9 yds to the Bayl 35 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.93 | 28.6% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 2.34 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.66) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:05 | |
(2nd & 1 at BAY 35) Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.08 | 33.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.21 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.79) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 35.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:56 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 30) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Blaine Green for 6 yds to the Bayl 24 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.50 | 33.7% | 5.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 3.25 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.75) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.7% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:51 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 24) Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.09 | 35.9% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.60 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.40) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.9% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:50 | |
(3rd & 1 at BAY 21) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 01:50 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.69 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.31) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(3rd & 1 at BAY 21) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.84 | 37.9% | 9.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 13 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 3.51 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.49) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.9% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 13) Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 10 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.12 | 48.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.37 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.63) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 47.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:37 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 10) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 01:37 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.7% Win Probability (After): 48.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:33 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 10) Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 6 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.05 | 49.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.26 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:31 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 6) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 01:31 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.32 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.68) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.7% Win Probability (After): 48.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:27 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 6) BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mark Milton) to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down - BAY 21, OKST 16 | 1.71 | 48.3% | 22.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 2 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 4.26 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:19 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 2) Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.12 | 71.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 5.97 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.97) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.4% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:53 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.35 | 69.8% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.50 - 5.85 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.85) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.8% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 1) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler Lacy - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.96 | 68.7% | -17.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 5.52 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.52) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:24 | |
(4th & Goal at BAY 1) Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -4.50 | 46.9% | -43.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 4.49 = -4.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.51) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.01) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 3.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 1) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 21, OKST 16 | -0.08 | 91.2% | 8.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - -0.03 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.97) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 21, OKST 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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