Tulane 26 @ SMU 55

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.94 | Odds: SMU -14, O/U 70.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Total Plays 7791
Total EPA 2.6929.27
  Offensive EPA 5.9927.87
  Special Teams EPA 0.254.42
  Penalty EPA -0.57-0.94
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -2.98-2.08
Production ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Scrimmage Plays 6482
  Yards 442605
  Yards/Play 6.917.38
  EPA 5.9927.87
  EPA/Play 0.090.34
Passes 26 (41%)45 (55%)
  Yards 234438
  Yards/Play 9.009.73
  EPA 3.6131.45
  EPA/Play 0.140.70
Rushes 38 (59%)37 (45%)
  Yards 202178
  Yards/Play 5.324.81
  EPA 2.37-3.57
  EPA/Play 0.06-0.10
Rushing ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Scrimmage Plays 6482
Rushes 38 (59%)37 (45%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 9 (24%)7 (19%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 13 (34%)16 (43%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 18 (47%)15 (41%)
OL Line Yards 64.657.3
  Per Carry 1.701.55
Highlight Yards 68.561
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.814.07
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Total Plays 7791
Scrimmage Plays 6482
Explosive Plays 8 (12%)9 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 5 (19%)8 (18%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (8%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -22.87-0.55
  EPA/Play -0.41-0.01
  When Passing -17.385.83
    EPA/Play -0.670.13
  When Rushing -5.49-6.38
    EPA/Play -0.16-0.18
Situational ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 27 (42%)40 (49%)
  When Passing 10 (38%)25 (56%)
  When Rushing 17 (45%)15 (41%)
  On Standard Downs 20 (49%)28 (49%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (30%)12 (48%)
  On Early Downs 22 (47%)31 (48%)
  On Late Downs 5 (29%)9 (53%)
  During "Middle 8" 5 (56%)5 (45%)
Early Downs 4765
  First Downs Created 9 (19%)17 (26%)
  EPA 9.7315.55
  EPA/Play 0.210.24
  Passes 18 (38%)31 (48%)
  Rushes 29 (62%)34 (52%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 7 (39%)16 (52%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 15 (52%)15 (44%)
"Middle 8" Plays 911
  EPA 7.100.38
  EPA/play 0.790.03
  Passes 4 (44%)5 (45%)
  Rushes 5 (56%)6 (55%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (75%)5 (100%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Total 1412
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 33
Plays/Drive 5.478.71
Yards/Drive 38.4457.95
Available Yards % 55%87%
Defensive ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Scrimmage Plays 8264
Stop Rate 9%48%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (7%)5 (8%)
  Passing 1 (2%)2 (8%)
  Rushing 5 (14%)3 (8%)
TFLs Generated 65
  Passing 12
  Rushing 53
Sacks Generated 1 (2%)1 (4%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2655 ESPN team id 2567
Total Plays 13 9
Total EPA 0.25 4.42
  Field Goal EPA 0 -1.13
  Punting EPA 0.46 -0.97
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.21 6.52

Tulane [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Michael Pratt 11/22, 234 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 73.0 xQBR 10.17 0.50 11.46 43% 7.0%
Kai Horton 0/2, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 13.5 xQBR 0.00 -1.87 -3.73 0% 0.0%
Ryan Wright 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 10.8 xQBR 0.00 -4.12 -4.12 0% -1.0%
Rush attempts
Tyjae Spears 14 carries, 85 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.07 0.22 3.06 43% 3.0%
Cameron Carroll 16 carries, 81 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.06 0.06 0.98 56% -2.0%
Michael Pratt 6 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.67 0.09 0.53 33% 1.0%
Jha'Quan Jackson 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% 0.0%
Ygenio Booker 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.69 -1.69 0% -1.0%
Pass targets
Jha'Quan Jackson 2 catches (2 targets), 93 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 46.50 4.03 8.06 100% 3.0%
Cameron Carroll 1 catch (1 target), 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 44.00 6.08 6.08 100% 0.0%
Shae Wyatt 4 catches (8 targets), 42 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 0.65 5.23 50% 7.0%
Duece Watts 3 catches (6 targets), 48 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 0.00 -0.02 33% 0.0%
Tyrick James 1 catch (3 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 -0.31 -0.94 33% 0.0%
Phat Watts 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -2.59 -2.59 0% -1.0%
Jaetavian Toles 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.77 -3.54 0% -1.0%
Will Wallace 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -4.12 -4.12 0% -1.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Tanner Mordecai 30/42, 427 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 87.0 xQBR 9.93 0.68 29.23 56% 20.0%
Preston Stone 1/2, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 86.7 xQBR 5.50 1.11 2.21 50% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Brandon Epton Jr. 11 carries, 41 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.73 0.09 0.94 45% 1.0%
Tyler Lavine 3 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.07 -0.20 67% -1.0%
Tanner Mordecai 6 carries, 38 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 -0.06 -0.39 33% 2.0%
Preston Stone 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.43 -0.43 0% 0.0%
Blake Bedwell 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.54 -0.54 0% 0.0%
Tre Siggers 15 carries, 81 yds, 2 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.40 -0.20 -2.96 40% -2.0%
Pass targets
Grant Calcaterra 7 catches (11 targets), 90 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.86 0.70 7.66 64% 7.0%
Danny Gray 8 catches (11 targets), 140 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.50 0.69 7.55 55% 7.0%
Reggie Roberson Jr. 3 catches (4 targets), 41 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.67 1.14 4.57 50% 1.0%
Tyler Lavine 1 catch (1 target), 44 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 44.00 4.09 4.09 100% 1.0%
Dylan Goffney 1 catch (1 target), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 2.51 2.51 100% 0.0%
Simon Gonzalez 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 2.38 2.38 100% 0.0%
Tommy McIntyre 1 catch (2 targets), 24 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.00 1.15 2.29 50% 1.0%
Roderick Daniels Jr. 3 catches (3 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.67 0.36 1.08 100% 0.0%
Rashee Rice 5 catches (7 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.15 1.07 29% 3.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.20 0.20 100% 0.0%
Brandon Epton Jr. 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.17 -0.17 0% 0.0%
Nolan Matthews-Harris 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.60 -0.60 0% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 10 at SMU 48) Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 44 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 38 6.08 0.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 4

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.85 - -0.23 = 6.08

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.23)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-19.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:37 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 7 at SMU 9) Ryan Wright pass incomplete to Will Wallace - TULN 13, SMU 31 -4.12 2.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 91

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - 2.23 = -4.12

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.77)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:01 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 44) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 48 4.09 99.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.91 = 4.09

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.91)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 41 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:55 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 42) Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 43 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 31 4.03 0.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 15

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 0.21 = 4.03

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.79)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:33 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 40) Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 50 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 17 4.03 2.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 10

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 0.88 = 4.03

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.12)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:10 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 9 at TULN 30) Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 42 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down - TULN 19, SMU 41 4.02 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 28

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - -0.98 = 4.02

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.98)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 6 at TULN 22) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 31 3.98 98.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.02 = 3.98

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.02)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 14 at SMU 18) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 43 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 31 3.88 98.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 39

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 0.45 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.45)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:08 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 1 at SMU 39) Tre Siggers run for no gain to the SMU 39 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -3.72 97.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 39

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 1.10 = -3.72

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.10)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 3 at TULN 12) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 0 3.25 85.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.08 - 2.82 = 3.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover on-side kick recovered by TULANE at the Tulan 48 - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.99 99.5% -70.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 52

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 2.74 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.74)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 3 at TULN 12) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 0 3.25 85.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.08 - 2.82 = 3.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:22 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 10) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 17 2.09 5.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.91 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.09)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:08 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 1) Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.73 89.2% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:20 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 19) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 36 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 2.16 84.9% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 45

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 1.15 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & Goal at TULN 4) Blake Mazza 22 yd FG GOOD - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.05 83.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:15 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 1) Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 4 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -1.78 89.3% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 6.27 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 14) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 1.12 89.0% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 3

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 5.04 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.04)

Score Difference (End): 3 (9.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:33 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 40) Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 50 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 17 4.03 2.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 10

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 0.88 = 4.03

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.12)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:42 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 10 at TULN 28) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 12 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 2.07 94.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 16

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 3.16 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.16)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & Goal at TULN 4) Blake Mazza 22 yd FG GOOD - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.05 83.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:08 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 1) Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.73 89.2% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:04 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 3) Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 0, SMU 17 1.08 96.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.92)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:22 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 10) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 17 2.09 5.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.91 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.09)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:25 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 7 at TULN 24) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 24 2.85 96.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.15 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.15)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 6 at TULN 22) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 31 3.98 98.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.02 = 3.98

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.02)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:18 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 6 at SMU 11) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - TULN 13, SMU 31 1.89 1.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.11 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-19.89)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 5 at TULN 9) Tre Siggers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 13, SMU 38 1.59 99.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 18 (23.41)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 4) Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.16 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-19.16)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 13 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:05 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 8 at TULN 20) Blake Mazza 38 yd FG GOOD - TULN 19, SMU 41 0.69 99.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.31 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.31)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:50 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & Goal at SMU 9) Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 41 2.86 0.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-17.86)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 19 (26) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:01 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 44) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 48 4.09 99.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.91 = 4.09

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.91)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 41 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:39 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 8 at TULN 9) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 55 2.80 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.20 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): 22 (26.20)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover kickoff for 61 yds , Bryan Massey return for 42 yds to the SMU 46 - TULN 0, SMU 0 1.60 83.8% 2.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 54

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.86 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:35 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 46) Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 48 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -0.70 86.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.60 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 8 at SMU 48) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 19 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 0 2.07 86.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 33

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 2.00 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:59 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 33) Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -0.64 87.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.13 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:45 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 8 at TULN 31) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice - TULN 0, SMU 0 -0.78 87.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.46 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:20 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 8 at TULN 31) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the Tulan 25 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -0.38 87.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.60 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:40 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 2 at TULN 25) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 0 2.41 87.7% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 19

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 2.35 = 2.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 19) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 6 yds to the Tulan 13 - TULN 0, SMU 0 0.20 90.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 13

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 4.79 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:11 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 4 at TULN 13) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra - TULN 0, SMU 0 -0.79 90.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 5.03 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 4 at TULN 13) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 1 yd to the Tulan 12 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -1.39 87.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 12

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 4.24 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 3 at TULN 12) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 0 3.25 85.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.08 - 2.82 = 3.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:55 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & Goal at TULN 4) Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the Tulan 1 - TULN 0, SMU 0 0.18 89.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 1

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 6.07 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:15 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 1) Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 4 - TULN 0, SMU 0 -1.78 89.3% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 6.27 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:59 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & Goal at TULN 4) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra - TULN 0, SMU 0 -1.58 86.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 4.54 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & Goal at TULN 4) Blake Mazza 22 yd FG GOOD - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.05 83.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: SMU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.00 14.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.73 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.27)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:51 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick James - TULN 0, SMU 3 -0.66 14.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.80 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.20)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:35 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 10 at TULN 25) Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30 - TULN 0, SMU 3 -0.22 13.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.23 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.77)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:50 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 5 at TULN 30) Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34 - TULN 0, SMU 3 -0.46 12.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - -0.05 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.05)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:38 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 1 at TULN 34) Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayleen Record at the SMU 19 - TULN 0, SMU 3 -0.47 12.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 81

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.66 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.66)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:20 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 19) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 36 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 2.16 84.9% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 45

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 1.15 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:55 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 45) Tre Siggers run for 19 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 1.10 90.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 26

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 3.29 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.29)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 26) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 12 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.67 90.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 14

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 4.33 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 14) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 3 1.12 89.0% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 3

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 5.04 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.04)

Score Difference (End): 3 (9.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:45 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & Goal at TULN 3) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1 - TULN 0, SMU 3 0.08 90.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.27 - 6.20 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.20)

Score Difference (End): 3 (9.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:08 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 1) Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.73 89.2% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:08 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.00 9.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.10 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.90)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:40 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31 - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.50 9.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.00 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.00)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:10 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 4 at TULN 31) Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 31 - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.81 10.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.40 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.60)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:20 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 4 at TULN 31) Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 2 yds to the Tulan 33 - TULN 0, SMU 10 -1.22 7.6% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - -0.41 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.41)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:11 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 2 at TULN 33) Ryan Wright punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jayleen Record at the SMU 12 - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.38 6.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 88

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.28 - -1.66 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.66)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:50 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 12) Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the SMU 16 - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.07 93.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 84

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.27 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.27)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:23 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 6 at SMU 16) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 12 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 1.05 92.9% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 72

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.14 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.14)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 28) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the SMU 33 - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.13 93.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.23 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.23)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:40 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 5 at SMU 33) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 9 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 0.79 93.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 58

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 2.14 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.14)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 42) Tre Siggers run for 30 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 1.64 94.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 28

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 2.90 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:06 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 28) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tommy McIntyre - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.56 95.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.54 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.54)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 28) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr. - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.82 94.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 3.99 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.99)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:42 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 10 at TULN 28) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 12 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 2.07 94.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 16

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 3.16 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.16)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:15 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 16) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Ajani Kerr) to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 10 1.07 96.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 3

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.30 - 5.23 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): 10 (16.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:07 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & Goal at TULN 3) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra - TULN 0, SMU 10 -0.36 96.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 6.29 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 10 (16.29)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:04 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & Goal at TULN 3) Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 0, SMU 17 1.08 96.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.92)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:04 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 0, SMU 17 0.00 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.40 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.40)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:45 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 17 1.27 2.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - -0.39 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.39)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:33 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 40) Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 50 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down - TULN 0, SMU 17 4.03 2.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 10

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 0.88 = 4.03

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.12)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 0, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:22 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 10) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 17 2.09 5.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.91 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.09)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:22 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover kickoff for 62 yds , Bryan Massey return for 58 yds to the Tulan 39 - TULN 7, SMU 17 1.91 93.2% 1.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 39

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 2.02 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.02)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 39) Brandon Epton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 40 - TULN 7, SMU 17 -0.97 94.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.89 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 11 at TULN 40) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray - TULN 7, SMU 17 -1.06 94.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.90 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 11 at TULN 40) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 13 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 17 2.64 93.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 27

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 1.89 = 2.64

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 27) Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Osborne) to the Tulan 32 - TULN 7, SMU 17 -0.65 95.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 4.50 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.54)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:35 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 15 at TULN 32) Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the Tulan 24 - TULN 7, SMU 17 0.24 95.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.88 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.88)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:25 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 7 at TULN 24) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 24 2.85 96.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.15 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.15)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:25 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.00 3.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.46)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Jha'Quan Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.51 3.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.46 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.46)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:40 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 8 at TULN 27) Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 27 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.96 3.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - -0.92 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.92)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 8 at TULN 27) Tyjae Spears run for 13 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 2.62 2.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 60

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - -1.78 = 2.62

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.78)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 40) Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.18 3.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 0.89 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.11)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 45) Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 42 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.34 3.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 2.07 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.93)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 7 at SMU 42) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.25 3.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.87 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.13)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:50 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 7 at SMU 42) Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the SMU 42 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.69 3.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - 0.82 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.18)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:24 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 7 at SMU 42) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat Watts - TULN 7, SMU 24 -2.59 3.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 58

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.22 - -0.63 = -2.59

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.63)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 42) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 13 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.67 97.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 3.10 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.10)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:01 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 45) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee Rice - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.54 98.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.76 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.76)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 45) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 22 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.63 97.5% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 23

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 3.19 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.19)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:27 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 23) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Nolan Matthews-Harris - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.60 98.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.27 - 4.87 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.87)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 23) Brandon Epton Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 23 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.71 97.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.24 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.24)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:52 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 10 at TULN 23) Timeout SMU, clock 08:52 - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.00 97.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.53)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 10 at TULN 23) Mordecai, Tanner pass complete to Rice, Rashee for 14 yards to the TULANE9, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Rice, Rashee) 15 yards to the TULANE38, NO PLAY. - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.81 97.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 38

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 3.37 = -1.81

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.37)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 25 at TULN 38) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 9 yds to the Tulan 29 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.05 97.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 29

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.56 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.56)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:43 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 16 at TULN 29) Blake Mazza 47 yd FG MISSED - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.87 97.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71

Started Drive at: SMU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 1.46 = -1.87

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.46)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:10 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 29) Michael Pratt sacked by Turner Coxe for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 22 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.54 4.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 78

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - 0.50 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.50)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:05 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 17 at TULN 22) TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the Tulan 17 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.25 3.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.98 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.98)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:30 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 22 at TULN 17) Tyjae Spears run for 20 yds to the Tulan 37 - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.58 3.6% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 63

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - -1.12 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.12)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 2 at TULN 37) Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 37 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -1.30 4.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 0.44 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.56)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 2 at TULN 37) TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the Tulan 32 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.86 3.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.69 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.69)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 7 at TULN 32) Ryan Wright punt for 59 yds, downed at the SMU 9 - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.55 2.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 91

Started Drive at: TULN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - -1.35 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.35)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:50 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 9) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 21 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.12 97.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 70

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 0.75 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.75)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:25 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 30) Tanner Mordecai run for 16 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.77 97.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 54

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 1.68 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.68)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:50 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 46) Tre Siggers run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 41 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.82 98.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 2.22 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.22)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:10 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 15 at SMU 41) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 47 - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.01 97.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.15 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.15)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:45 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 9 at SMU 47) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 10 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.45 97.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 43

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 0.96 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.96)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:20 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 43) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40 - TULN 7, SMU 24 -0.12 98.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.21 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.21)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:45 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 7 at TULN 40) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 14 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 24 1.44 97.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 1.81 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.81)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 26) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 4 yds to the Tulan 22 - TULN 7, SMU 24 0.00 98.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 22

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.02)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 6 at TULN 22) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 7, SMU 31 3.98 98.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.02 = 3.98

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.02)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 7, SMU 31 0.00 1.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.30 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.70)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 25 - TULN 7, SMU 31 0.05 1.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.15 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.85)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28 - TULN 7, SMU 31 0.01 1.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - -0.01 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.01)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 7, SMU 31 0.00 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.30 - -1.30 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.30)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27 - TULN 7, SMU 31 -0.56 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -1.21 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.21)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-25.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:27 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 8 at TULN 27) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt - TULN 7, SMU 31 -0.85 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.57 - -1.72 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-25.72)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-26.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:55 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 8 at TULN 27) Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33 - TULN 7, SMU 31 -0.14 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.72 - -2.58 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-26.58)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-26.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:20 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 2 at TULN 33) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 9 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 31 2.83 0.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 58

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - -2.60 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-26.60)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:55 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 42) Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 43 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down - TULN 7, SMU 31 4.03 0.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 15

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 0.21 = 4.03

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.79)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:30 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 15) Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SMU 11 - TULN 7, SMU 31 -0.17 1.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.24 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-19.76)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 7, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:18 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 6 at SMU 11) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - TULN 13, SMU 31 1.89 1.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.11 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-19.89)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:18 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover kickoff for 62 yds , Bryan Massey return for 27 yds to the SMU 30 - TULN 13, SMU 31 0.37 98.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 2.64 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.64)

Score Difference (End): 18 (21.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 30) Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 32 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.56 98.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.99 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.99)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:30 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 8 at SMU 32) Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the SMU 35 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.36 98.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.40 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.40)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:15 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 5 at SMU 35) Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the SMU 39 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.92 97.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 2.06 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.06)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:08 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 1 at SMU 39) Tre Siggers run for no gain to the SMU 39 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -3.72 97.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 39

Started Drive at: SMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 1.10 = -3.72

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.10)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:40 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 39) Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the SMU 32 - TULN 13, SMU 31 0.45 3.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 2.82 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.18)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:20 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 3 at SMU 32) Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Shaine Hailey) to the SMU 12 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 31 1.56 2.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 12

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 3.41 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 12) Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 9 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.24 3.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 4.78 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.22)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:45 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 7 at SMU 9) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.93 3.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 4.52 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:42 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 7 at SMU 9) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian Toles - TULN 13, SMU 31 -1.36 3.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 3.56 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:37 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 7 at SMU 9) Ryan Wright pass incomplete to Will Wallace - TULN 13, SMU 31 -4.12 2.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 91

Started Drive at: SMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - 2.23 = -4.12

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.77)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:10 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 9) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds to the SMU 12 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.54 98.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 88

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.90 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.90)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:45 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 7 at SMU 12) Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the SMU 14 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.43 98.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 86

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.39 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.39)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:25 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 5 at SMU 14) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 31 1.59 98.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 78

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 0.89 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.89)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:45 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 22) Tanner Mordecai sacked by JoJo Dorceus for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 18 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -1.19 98.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 82

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.54 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.54)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 14 at SMU 18) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant Calcaterra - TULN 13, SMU 31 -1.17 98.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.59 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.59)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 14 at SMU 18) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 43 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 31 3.88 98.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 39

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 0.45 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.45)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 39) Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 34 - TULN 13, SMU 31 0.01 99.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.28 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.28)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 5 at TULN 34) Brandon Epton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 36 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -1.43 99.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 36

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 4.30 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.30)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:15 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 7 at TULN 36) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 22 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 31 2.51 98.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 14

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 2.96 = 2.51

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.96)

Score Difference (End): 18 (23.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:45 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 14) Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9 - TULN 13, SMU 31 -0.07 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 5.47 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 18 (23.47)

Score Difference (End): 18 (23.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 5 at TULN 9) Tre Siggers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 13, SMU 38 1.59 99.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: SMU 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 18 (23.41)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 91 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 13, SMU 38 0.00 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.85)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) TULANE Penalty, False Start (Tyrick James) to the Tulan 20 - TULN 13, SMU 38 -0.61 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.46 - -0.85 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.85)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-26.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:05 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 15 at TULN 20) Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29 - TULN 13, SMU 38 0.52 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -1.45 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-26.45)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:45 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 6 at TULN 29) Cameron Carroll run for 23 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 38 2.39 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 48

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - -0.91 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.91)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-23.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:37 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 48) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt - TULN 13, SMU 38 -0.69 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.44 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-23.56)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-24.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:05 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 10 at SMU 48) Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the SMU 48 - TULN 13, SMU 38 -1.02 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 0.76 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.24)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 10 at SMU 48) Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 44 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST down - TULN 13, SMU 38 6.08 0.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 4

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.85 - -0.23 = 6.08

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.23)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-19.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 13, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 4) Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.16 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-19.16)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 13 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover on-side kick recovered by TULANE at the Tulan 48 - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.99 99.5% -70.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 52

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 2.74 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.74)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:51 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 48) Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 44 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.47 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 56

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.45 = -1.47

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.55)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 14 at TULN 44) Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 12 yds to the SMU 44 - TULN 19, SMU 38 1.41 0.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 44

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - -0.01 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.01)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-17.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:17 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 2 at SMU 44) TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the SMU 49 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.17 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 49

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.40 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-17.60)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 7 at SMU 49) Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.82 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - 0.18 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.82)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:54 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 8 at 50) Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the SMU 47 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.97 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 53

Started Drive at: TULN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.57 - -1.60 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.60)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.57)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at SMU 47) Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.36 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: SMU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.62 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.62)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:15 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 7 at 50) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.67 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: SMU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 3.03 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.03)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:09 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 7 at 50) Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny Gray - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.58 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: SMU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 2.26 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.26)

Score Difference (End): 19 (19.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 7 at 50) Matt Fraanje punt for 19 yds, downed at the Tulan 31 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.97 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 69

Started Drive at: SMU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 0.73 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 19 (19.73)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 31) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick James - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.80 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: TULN 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.22 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.78)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:42 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 10 at TULN 31) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.79 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: TULN 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - -0.61 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.61)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-20.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:10 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 10 at TULN 31) Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.96 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: TULN 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -1.42 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-20.42)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-21.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:01 ESPN team id 2655 (4th & 8 at TULN 33) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian Toles - TULN 19, SMU 38 -2.18 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 33

Started Drive at: TULN 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - -2.35 = -2.18

Score Difference (Before): -19 (-21.35)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 33) Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the Tulan 25 - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.44 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - 4.44 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.44)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:55 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 2 at TULN 25) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST down - TULN 19, SMU 38 0.17 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 4.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.83)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:40 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 22) Mordecai, Tanner pass complete to Calcaterra, Grant for 12 yards to the TULANE10, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Calcaterra, Grant) 15 yards to the TULANE37, NO PLAY. - TULN 19, SMU 38 -1.22 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 37

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 4.96 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.96)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 25 at TULN 37) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.75 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.63 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.63)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 23 at TULN 35) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the Tulan 28 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.17 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 2.87 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.87)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:15 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 16 at TULN 28) Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the Tulan 20 - TULN 19, SMU 38 -0.23 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.62 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.62)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:05 ESPN team id 2567 (4th & 8 at TULN 20) Blake Mazza 38 yd FG GOOD - TULN 19, SMU 41 0.69 99.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: TULN 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.31 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.31)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 38 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:05 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 63 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson return for 16 yds to the Tulan 18 - TULN 19, SMU 41 -0.21 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -0.20 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.20)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:25 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 18) Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 22 - TULN 19, SMU 41 -0.09 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.50 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.50)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:15 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 6 at TULN 22) Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST down - TULN 19, SMU 41 0.52 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 71

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.53 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.53)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:07 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 29) Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt - TULN 19, SMU 41 -0.72 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.21 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.79)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:50 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 10 at TULN 29) Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30 - TULN 19, SMU 41 -0.68 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 70

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - -0.41 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.41)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:10 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 9 at TULN 30) Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 42 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down - TULN 19, SMU 41 4.02 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 28

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - -0.98 = 4.02

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.98)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:00 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at SMU 28) Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Gary Wiley) to the SMU 9 for a 1ST down - TULN 19, SMU 41 1.79 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 9

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 3.26 = 1.79

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.96)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:54 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & Goal at SMU 9) Kai Horton pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt - TULN 19, SMU 41 -0.73 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.84 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-17.16)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 19, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 19 (19) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:50 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & Goal at SMU 9) Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 41 2.86 0.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-17.86)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 19 (26) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:50 ESPN team id 2567 (Kickoff at SMU 35) Casey Glover on-side kick recovered by SMU at the Tulan 44 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Touching (Macon Clark) to the Tulan 44 - TULN 26, SMU 41 1.64 99.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 44

Started Drive at: TULN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 1.99 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): 15 (7.40)

Score Difference (End): 15 (18.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:15 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 44) Brandon Epton Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 44 - TULN 26, SMU 41 -0.45 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: TULN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 3.61 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.61)

Score Difference (End): 15 (18.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:01 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 44) Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 48 4.09 99.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.91 = 4.09

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.91)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 41 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:01 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 26, SMU 48 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.16 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.84)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28 - TULN 26, SMU 48 -0.15 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.05 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.05)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 7 at TULN 28) Kai Horton pass intercepted Isaac Slade-Matautia return for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 37 - TULN 26, SMU 48 -3.00 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -0.01 = -3.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.01)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.01)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 37) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 14 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST down - TULN 26, SMU 48 1.20 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 23

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 3.01 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.01)

Score Difference (End): 22 (26.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:46 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 23) Preston Stone pass incomplete to Brandon Epton Jr. - TULN 26, SMU 48 -0.17 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.82 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.82)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 10 at TULN 23) Blake Bedwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 22 - TULN 26, SMU 48 -0.54 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 22

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 3.26 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.26)

Score Difference (End): 22 (24.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 2567 (3rd & 9 at TULN 22) Preston Stone pass complete to Simon Gonzalez for 11 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST down - TULN 26, SMU 48 2.38 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 11

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 2.57 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.57)

Score Difference (End): 22 (26.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:55 ESPN team id 2567 (1st & 10 at TULN 11) Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the Tulan 9 - TULN 26, SMU 48 -0.43 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.81 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 22 (26.81)

Score Difference (End): 22 (26.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 48

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:39 ESPN team id 2567 (2nd & 8 at TULN 9) Brandon Epton Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) - TULN 26, SMU 55 2.80 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: TULN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.20 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): 22 (26.20)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 48 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:39 ESPN team id 2655 (Kickoff at TULN 35) Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TULN 26, SMU 55 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.45)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:20 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 25) Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28 - TULN 26, SMU 55 -0.49 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.71 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.29)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:42 ESPN team id 2655 (2nd & 7 at TULN 28) Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 34 - TULN 26, SMU 55 0.22 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.32 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.68)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:14 ESPN team id 2655 (3rd & 1 at TULN 34) Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST down - TULN 26, SMU 55 0.52 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.45 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.55)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:14 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 37) TULANE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rashad Green) to the Tulan 22 - TULN 26, SMU 55 -0.65 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 78

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.78 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.22)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 22) Cameron Carroll run for 17 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down - TULN 26, SMU 55 0.76 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 61

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.14 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.86)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2655 (1st & 10 at TULN 39) Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37 - TULN 26, SMU 55 0.14 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: TULN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.08 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-28.92)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-28.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TULN 26, SMU 55

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 26 (26) Home Score: 55 (55)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3