East Carolina 24 @ Houston 31

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.83 | Odds: HOU -13.5, O/U 56.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Total Plays 8480
Total EPA -19.92-10.5
  Offensive EPA -22.29-11.62
  Special Teams EPA -2.010.41
  Penalty EPA 5.430.71
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.050.00
Production ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Scrimmage Plays 7265
  Yards 349256
  Yards/Play 4.853.94
  EPA -22.29-11.62
  EPA/Play -0.31-0.18
Passes 41 (57%)34 (52%)
  Yards 278169
  Yards/Play 6.784.97
  EPA -14.39-6.50
  EPA/Play -0.35-0.19
Rushes 31 (43%)31 (48%)
  Yards 97138
  Yards/Play 3.134.45
  EPA -7.90-5.12
  EPA/Play -0.25-0.17
Rushing ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Scrimmage Plays 7265
Rushes 31 (43%)31 (48%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (26%)10 (32%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 16 (52%)16 (52%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 11 (35%)13 (42%)
OL Line Yards 47.637.8
  Per Carry 1.541.22
Highlight Yards 1848
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.643.69
Explosiveness ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Total Plays 8480
Scrimmage Plays 7265
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (10%)3 (9%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -34.85-24.97
  EPA/Play -0.51-0.41
  When Passing -26.95-15.03
    EPA/Play -0.66-0.44
  When Rushing -7.90-9.94
    EPA/Play -0.25-0.33
Situational ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 27 (38%)23 (35%)
  When Passing 16 (39%)12 (35%)
  When Rushing 11 (35%)11 (35%)
  On Standard Downs 24 (46%)15 (38%)
  On Passing Downs 3 (15%)8 (31%)
  On Early Downs 26 (46%)19 (37%)
  On Late Downs 1 (7%)4 (31%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (36%)4 (40%)
Early Downs 5752
  First Downs Created 13 (23%)10 (19%)
  EPA 0.43-6.14
  EPA/Play 0.01-0.12
  Passes 32 (56%)27 (52%)
  Rushes 25 (44%)25 (48%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 16 (50%)10 (37%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 10 (40%)9 (36%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1110
  EPA -5.10-0.17
  EPA/play -0.46-0.02
  Passes 7 (64%)4 (40%)
  Rushes 4 (36%)6 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (29%)1 (25%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (50%)3 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Total 1616
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 33
Plays/Drive 5.446.25
Yards/Drive 28.1325.35
Available Yards % 40%38%
Defensive ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Scrimmage Plays 6572
Stop Rate 38%73%
Havoc Plays Created 14 (22%)10 (14%)
  Passing 7 (21%)6 (15%)
  Rushing 7 (23%)4 (13%)
TFLs Generated 138
  Passing 65
  Rushing 73
Sacks Generated 5 (15%)4 (10%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 15
Turnovers ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Turnovers 41
  Fumbles 61
  Fumbles Lost 41
  Fumbles Recovered 20
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin -33
Expected Turnovers 3.53.5
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) -15.015.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 151 ESPN team id 248
Total Plays 12 15
Total EPA -2.01 0.41
  Field Goal EPA 0.42 -6.21
  Punting EPA -2.26 -0.09
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.17 6.71

East Carolina [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Holton Ahlers 23/37, 278 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 29.3 xQBR 6.78 -0.35 -14.39 39% 95.0%
Rush attempts
Chad Stephens 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 0.24 0.24 100% 0.0%
Holton Ahlers 7 carries, 20 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 2.86 -0.03 -0.23 43% -15.0%
Tyler Snead 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.49 -0.49 0% 0.0%
Keaton Mitchell 11 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.45 -0.33 -3.66 36% -27.0%
Rahjai Harris 11 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.34 -3.75 27% 5.0%
Pass targets
Audie Omotosho 4 catches (4 targets), 34 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 1.14 4.55 100% 19.0%
Jsi Hatfield 2 catches (2 targets), 45 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.50 1.78 3.57 100% 12.0%
C.J. Johnson 3 catches (3 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.33 0.95 2.85 33% 7.0%
Tyler Snead 7 catches (8 targets), 114 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 16.29 0.19 1.52 62% -2.0%
Shane Calhoun 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.38 0.77 100% 1.0%
Ryan Jones 4 catches (4 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 6.50 0.09 0.35 50% 90.0%
Rahjai Harris 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -1.55 -1.55 0% -1.0%

Houston [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Clayton Tune 19/29, 169 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 Scks, 38.6 xQBR 4.97 -0.19 -6.50 35% -31.0%
Rush attempts
Mulbah Car 4 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.25 0.27 1.09 75% 0.0%
Clayton Tune 3 carries, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.33 0.27 0.81 67% 2.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry 12 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.26 -3.11 25% 4.0%
Alton McCaskill 12 carries, 60 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.33 -3.90 25% 3.0%
Pass targets
Nathaniel Dell 4 catches (4 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.25 0.92 3.68 75% 9.0%
KeSean Carter 2 catches (2 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.69 3.38 100% 18.0%
Seth Green 1 catch (1 target), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 2.67 2.67 100% 3.0%
Jake Herslow 2 catches (2 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 0.85 1.70 100% 8.0%
Christian Trahan 6 catches (6 targets), 68 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 11.33 0.05 0.29 67% -1.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.42 -0.42 0% -3.0%
Jeremy Singleton 1 catch (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.56 -0.56 0% 0.0%
Alton McCaskill 2 catches (2 targets), -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 -0.96 -1.91 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 5:34 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Jones return for 98 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 10 7.05 66.2% 11.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.05 = 7.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:25 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 38) Holton Ahlers sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 32 Holton Ahlers fumbled, forced by David Anenih, recovered by Houst David Anenih , return for 0 yards - ECU 10, HOU 10 -6.16 21.9% -4.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 32

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.07 - 2.08 = -6.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:44 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 10) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds Christian Trahan fumbled, forced by Teagan Wilk, recovered by ECaro Suirad Ware - ECU 17, HOU 24 -5.44 90.6% -13.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 16

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.69 - 0.75 = -5.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:34 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 15 at ECU 29) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds Tyler Snead fumbled, forced by Jayce Rogers, recovered by Houst Deontay Anderson , return for 23 yds to the ECaro 13 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -4.95 13.8% -7.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 13

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.79 - 0.16 = -4.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

OT ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) Alton McCaskill run for 25 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 31 4.82 88.7% 9.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 11 at ECU 21) Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 39 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 3 3.78 21.9% 7.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 40

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - -0.17 = 3.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:21 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 7 at ECU 32) Dalton Witherspoon 49 yd FG MISSED - ECU 24, HOU 24 -3.58 77.3% -35.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 1.78 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:09 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 4 at HOU 30) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 -3.47 5.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - 0.61 = -3.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:46 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 40 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 3 3.41 29.2% 9.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 14) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 14 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 24 3.17 93.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.83)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
OT ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 22) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for a loss of 2 yards Ryan Jones fumbled, forced by Donavan Mutin, recovered by Houst JoVanni Stewart - ECU 24, HOU 31 -1.68 10.6% 89.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.66 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:21 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 7 at ECU 32) Dalton Witherspoon 49 yd FG MISSED - ECU 24, HOU 24 -3.58 77.3% -35.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 1.78 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:57 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 2 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.10 70.7% -25.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 0.86 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 7 at ECU 48) Jonn Young punt for 40 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 11 yds to the Houst 23 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.37 46.9% -24.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 77

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 0.35 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:37 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 5 at ECU 27) Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.98 45.0% -24.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.56 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:21 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 7 at ECU 48) Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 48 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.34 61.7% -19.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 1.49 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:43 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 13) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 13 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 24 2.70 20.1% 18.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.30 = 2.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:11 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 13 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down - ECU 24, HOU 24 2.28 55.0% 16.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 59

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 0.02 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:31 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 4 at ECU 28) Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 28 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.95 36.4% -14.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.01 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Houst 30 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.79 66.4% 14.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.04 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 9 at HOU 15) Owen Daffer 33 yd FG GOOD - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.42 21.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.58 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:56 ESPN team id 248 (4th & Goal at ECU 4) Dalton Witherspoon 21 yd FG GOOD - ECU 3, HOU 3 0.17 78.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:46 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 40 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 3 3.41 29.2% 9.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:34 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Jones return for 98 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 10 7.05 66.2% 11.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.05 = 7.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:38 ESPN team id 248 (1st & Goal at ECU 2) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 2 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.64 84.3% 3.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 14) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 14 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 24 3.17 93.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.83)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 151 (1st & Goal at HOU 1) Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 17, HOU 24 0.74 5.8% 3.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:43 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 13) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 13 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 24 2.70 20.1% 18.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.30 = 2.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

OT ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) Alton McCaskill run for 25 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 31 4.82 88.7% 9.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 151 (Kickoff at ECU 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ECU 0, HOU 0 0.00 18.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:59 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derek Parish) to the ECaro 30 - ECU 0, HOU 0 0.84 20.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.07 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.2%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 5 at ECU 30) Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 30 - ECU 0, HOU 0 -0.75 21.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 2.04 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:21 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 5 at ECU 30) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Damarion Williams) to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down - ECU 0, HOU 0 1.25 23.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.25 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:14 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 45) Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 49 - ECU 0, HOU 0 -0.16 26.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 51

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.49 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:48 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 6 at ECU 49) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jayce Rogers) to the Houst 46 - ECU 0, HOU 0 1.14 24.4% 2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 2.35 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:25 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 1 at HOU 46) Keaton Mitchell run for 11 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down - ECU 0, HOU 0 0.36 25.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 35

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 3.48 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:51 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 35) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 7 yds to the Houst 28 - ECU 0, HOU 0 0.57 27.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.80 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 3 at HOU 28) Keaton Mitchell run for 12 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST down - ECU 0, HOU 0 0.63 26.2% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 16

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 4.36 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:14 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 16) Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Houst 15 - ECU 0, HOU 0 -0.60 28.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 5.05 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:47 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 9 at HOU 15) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 0, HOU 0 -0.77 24.0% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.46 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:42 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 9 at HOU 15) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead - ECU 0, HOU 0 -1.09 22.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.68 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 0, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 9 at HOU 15) Owen Daffer 33 yd FG GOOD - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.42 21.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.58 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 62 yds , Marcus Jones return for 23 yds to the Houst 26 - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.31 79.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 0.69 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 26) Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 15 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 0 1.10 79.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.87 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 80.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 41) Alton McCaskill run for 8 yds to the Houst 49 - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.54 80.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 51

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 1.91 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 2 at HOU 49) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 9 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.51 78.6% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 42

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.55 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:51 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 42) Alton McCaskill run for 12 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 0 0.74 79.4% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 30

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 3.17 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:10 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 30) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 31 - ECU 3, HOU 0 -1.00 80.8% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 31

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.98 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:45 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 31) Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29 - ECU 3, HOU 0 -0.33 78.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.92 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:07 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 9 at ECU 29) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 20 yds to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 0 2.69 76.5% 7.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 9

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 2.54 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.46)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:44 ESPN team id 248 (1st & Goal at ECU 9) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 3, HOU 0 -0.66 81.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 5.19 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:38 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & Goal at ECU 9) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 3, HOU 0 -0.86 80.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 4.56 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:11 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & Goal at ECU 9) Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the ECaro 4 - ECU 3, HOU 0 -0.89 79.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.72 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:56 ESPN team id 248 (4th & Goal at ECU 4) Dalton Witherspoon 21 yd FG GOOD - ECU 3, HOU 3 0.17 78.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:56 ESPN team id 151 (Kickoff at ECU 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler Snead return for 22 yds to the ECaro 22 - ECU 3, HOU 3 -0.17 25.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 1.06 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 22) EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ECaro 17 - ECU 3, HOU 3 -0.61 26.0% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.89 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:45 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 15 at ECU 17) Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 21 - ECU 3, HOU 3 -0.51 23.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 79

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.32 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 11 at ECU 21) Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 39 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down - ECU 3, HOU 3 3.78 21.9% 7.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 40

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - -0.17 = 3.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 3, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:46 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 40 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 3 3.41 29.2% 9.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:34 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Jones return for 98 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 10 7.05 66.2% 11.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.05 = 7.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:34 ESPN team id 151 (Kickoff at ECU 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ECU 10, HOU 10 0.00 25.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:25 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 7 yds to the ECaro 32 - ECU 10, HOU 10 0.53 25.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.07 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 3 at ECU 32) Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 10 0.47 26.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.62 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:25 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 38) Holton Ahlers sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 32 Holton Ahlers fumbled, forced by David Anenih, recovered by Houst David Anenih , return for 0 yards - ECU 10, HOU 10 -6.16 21.9% -4.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 32

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.07 - 2.08 = -6.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:10 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 32) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 33 - ECU 10, HOU 10 -0.97 83.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 33

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 4.07 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:20 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 33) HOUSTON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Patrick Paul) to the ECaro 38 - ECU 10, HOU 10 -0.71 80.2% 1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 3.09 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 16 at ECU 38) Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 22 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 10 2.67 79.9% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 16

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 2.39 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:45 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 16) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for no gain to the ECaro 16 - ECU 10, HOU 10 -0.56 83.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.06 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:20 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at ECU 16) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 17 - ECU 10, HOU 10 -1.07 83.7% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 4.49 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 11 at ECU 17) EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Warren Saba) to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 10 2.94 81.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.36 - 3.42 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:38 ESPN team id 248 (1st & Goal at ECU 2) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 2 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.64 84.3% 3.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:38 ESPN team id 151 (Kickoff at ECU 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.00 13.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:38 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (D'Anthony Jones) to the ECaro 30 - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.99 13.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.09 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:05 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 5 at ECU 30) Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34 - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.21 14.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.11 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.89)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:45 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 1 at ECU 34) Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.23 14.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.38 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 36) Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 36 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.59 15.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.15 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 10 at ECU 36) Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.45 12.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.58 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 6 at ECU 40) Holton Ahlers sacked by Atlias Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 32 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -2.28 13.8% -3.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 68

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - 0.17 = -2.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:33 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 14 at ECU 32) Jonn Young punt for 50 yds , Marcus Jones returns for no gain to the Houst 18 - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.26 11.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 82

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -2.16 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:02 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 18) Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for no gain to the Houst 18 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.58 89.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.87 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.87)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:40 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 18) Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Houst 21 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.90 88.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 79

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.26 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.26)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:47 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 7 at HOU 21) HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Cam'Ron Johnson) to the Houst 16 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.50 86.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.44 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 12 at HOU 16) Alton McCaskill run for 9 yds to the Houst 25 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.56 85.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - -0.11 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:59 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 3 at HOU 25) Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 33 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.47 86.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.61 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.92)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:59 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 33) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Latrell Bankston) to the ECaro 38 - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.72 13.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.25 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 5 at ECU 38) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 26 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 17 1.25 13.9% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 36

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 2.01 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:49 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 36) Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 38 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -1.18 19.8% -6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 38

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 3.26 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:16 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 12 at HOU 38) Holton Ahlers run for 10 yds to the Houst 28 - ECU 10, HOU 17 1.33 13.0% 6.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 1.96 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 2 at HOU 28) Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 31 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -2.37 15.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 31

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 3.32 = -2.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:16 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 5 at HOU 31) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 17 -2.90 13.2% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69

Started Drive at: ECU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 0.85 = -2.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune sacked by Aaron Ramseur for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 22 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -1.31 87.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 78

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 1.92 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:27 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 19 at HOU 22) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 24 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 17 2.15 86.6% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 54

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 0.64 = 2.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:51 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 46) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 47 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.50 89.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.83 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 9 at HOU 47) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 47 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.78 89.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.27 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:41 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 9 at HOU 47) Clayton Tune sacked by Jeremy Lewis and Elijah Morris for a loss of 12 yards to the Houst 35 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -1.75 88.8% -3.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 65

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 1.10 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:06 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 21 at HOU 35) Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 21 - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.49 86.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: HOU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.69 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 21) Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 3 yds to the ECaro 24 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.47 14.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.61 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:25 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at ECU 24) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 16 yds to the ECaro 40 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bruce Bivens) to the ECaro 30 - ECU 10, HOU 17 1.03 14.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 0.12 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 1 at ECU 30) Chad Stephens run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 17 0.24 15.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.14 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:45 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 34) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.53 16.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.34 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:45 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 10 at ECU 34) EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Avery Jones) to the ECaro 29 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.69 15.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 71

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.82 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:34 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 15 at ECU 29) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds Tyler Snead fumbled, forced by Jayce Rogers, recovered by Houst Deontay Anderson , return for 23 yds to the ECaro 13 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -4.95 13.8% -7.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 13

Started Drive at: ECU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.79 - 0.16 = -4.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:25 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 13) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 14 - ECU 10, HOU 17 -0.73 94.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 14

Started Drive at: ECU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 4.64 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 14) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 14 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 10, HOU 24 3.17 93.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.83)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 151 (Kickoff at ECU 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.00 6.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.66 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.34)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:51 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.26 6.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.74 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.26)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:41 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 6 at ECU 29) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.94 6.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 62

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.56 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:26 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 38) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.60 6.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.56 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:26 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 10 at ECU 38) EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Noah Henderson) to the ECaro 33 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.72 6.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 67

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 1.06 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.94)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:13 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 15 at ECU 33) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 4 yds to the ECaro 37 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.22 5.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.49 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.51)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:44 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 11 at ECU 37) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.78 5.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.27 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.73)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:35 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 11 at ECU 37) Jonn Young punt for 50 yds , Marcus Jones returns for no gain to the Houst 13 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.18 4.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 87

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.51 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:25 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 13) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 16 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.74 94.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 71

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.45 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.45)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 29) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 9 yds to the Houst 38 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.47 94.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 62

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 0.94 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:59 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 1 at HOU 38) Timeout EAST CAROLINA, clock 00:59 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.00 94.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 1 at HOU 38) Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.04 95.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.20 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.20)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Clayton Tune sacked by Jireh Wilson for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 29 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.56 95.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 71

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.99 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.99)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 21 at HOU 29) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Houst 31 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.04 94.4% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.04 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 50 yds , Ta'Zhawn Henry return for 10 yds to the Houst 25 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.00 96.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.56)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for no gain to the Houst 25 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.51 96.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.53 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:00 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 25) Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 25 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.07 96.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 2.03 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.03)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:25 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 10 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 15 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.66 96.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.94 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (13.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:50 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 20 at HOU 15) Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 41 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.07 94.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 59

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.81 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.19)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:28 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 41) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 7 yds to the ECaro 48 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.56 5.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 0.88 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 3 at ECU 48) Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.35 5.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.43 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:07 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 1 at 50) Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.86 5.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.06 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.94)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:50 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 47) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 3 yds to the Houst 44 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.53 5.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 44

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 2.03 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.97)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:56 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 44) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 8 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 1.22 5.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 36

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.65 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.35)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:06 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 36) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 5 yds to the Houst 31 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.21 5.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.92 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.08)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:45 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 5 at HOU 31) Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Houst 31 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.83 5.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 3.04 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:21 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 5 at HOU 31) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the Houst 30 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.55 5.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 2.09 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:09 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 4 at HOU 30) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 -3.47 5.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 70

Started Drive at: ECU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - 0.61 = -3.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:09 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 30) HOUSTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Houst 15 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.02 96.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 85

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.84 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.84)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 15) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Houst 20 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.16 96.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.17 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.17)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:45 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 5 at HOU 20) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.01 96.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.99 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.99)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 5 at HOU 20) Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 24 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.25 96.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 1.03 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.03)

Score Difference (End): 14 (13.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:42 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 1 at HOU 24) Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds, downed at the ECaro 26 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.41 96.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - -0.29 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.12)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:10 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 26) Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 24 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.51 4.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.11 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.11)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:09 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 12 at ECU 24) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.92 4.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.53 - -1.61 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 12 at ECU 24) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.83 3.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.36 - -2.52 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:58 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 12 at ECU 24) Jonn Young punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 40 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.05 3.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60

Started Drive at: ECU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.29 - -3.34 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-17.34)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:41 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 16 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.76 97.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 44

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.29 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.29)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:21 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 44) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 45 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.98 98.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 45

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 4.04 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.04)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:40 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 11 at ECU 45) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds to the ECaro 38 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.25 97.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.06 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.06)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 4 at ECU 38) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 42 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -2.63 97.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 42

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 3.30 = -2.63

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.30)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:34 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 8 at ECU 42) Laine Wilkins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 12 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.39 96.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 88

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 0.64 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.64)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:27 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 12) HOUSTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.86 3.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 73

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -1.00 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:00 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 27) Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 35 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.74 4.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - -0.14 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:47 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 2 at ECU 35) Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 36 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.47 4.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.58 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 1 at ECU 36) EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Avery Jones) to the ECaro 31 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.34 4.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - 0.10 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 6 at ECU 31) Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 31 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.31 3.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.51 - -1.20 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.20)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:27 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 6 at ECU 31) Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 24 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.07 3.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - -2.41 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 24) Clayton Tune sacked by Gerard Stringer for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 15 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.29 96.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 85

Started Drive at: HOU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 2.50 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.50)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:40 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 19 at HOU 15) Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 15 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.97 96.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: HOU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 1.22 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.22)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 19 at HOU 15) Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 12 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.33 96.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 88

Started Drive at: HOU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 0.22 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.22)

Score Difference (End): 14 (12.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:54 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 22 at HOU 12) Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 46 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.25 95.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 54

Started Drive at: HOU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - -1.09 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (12.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:40 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 46) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 13 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 1.16 5.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 41

Started Drive at: ECU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 1.32 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 41) Tyler Snead run for 2 yds to the Houst 39 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.49 5.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39

Started Drive at: ECU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 2.42 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.58)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:56 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 8 at HOU 39) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.07 5.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: ECU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.88 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 8 at HOU 39) Holton Ahlers sacked by Mannie Nunnery for 0 yards to the Houst 38 Holton Ahlers fumbled, forced by Mannie Nunnery, recovered by ECaro Fernando Frye , return for 0 yards - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.89 4.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38

Started Drive at: ECU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 0.79 = -1.89

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.21)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:01 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 7 at HOU 38) Holton Ahlers sacked by Elijah Gooden and D'Anthony Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 40 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -2.20 3.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 60

Started Drive at: ECU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.27 - -1.07 = -2.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.07)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Houst 47 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.31 98.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.17 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.17)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 3 at HOU 47) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 2 yds to the Houst 49 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.44 98.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.50 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.50)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 1 at HOU 49) Mulbah Car run for 14 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 1.09 98.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 37

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 3.14 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.14)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 37) Mulbah Car run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 39 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.96 99.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 39

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 4.18 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:31 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 12 at ECU 39) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -1.02 98.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.16 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.16)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:47 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 12 at ECU 39) Mulbah Car run for 10 yds to the ECaro 29 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.65 98.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 29

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 2.01 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:39 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 2 at ECU 29) Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG MISSED - ECU 10, HOU 24 -2.80 98.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 2.49 = -2.80

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:15 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 29) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 36 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 2.67 2.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 35

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 0.27 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.73)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:36 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 35) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 7 yds to the Houst 28 - ECU 10, HOU 24 0.75 3.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.86 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.9%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:18 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 3 at HOU 28) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.75 4.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.52 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.48)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:00 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 3 at HOU 28) Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Houst 26 - ECU 10, HOU 24 -0.57 3.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 26

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.78 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:32 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 1 at HOU 26) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (TEAM) to the Houst 21 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 1.96 3.2% 2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 21

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 2.16 = 1.96

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:16 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 21) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 20 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST down - ECU 10, HOU 24 2.06 3.7% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 1

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.23 - 4.16 = 2.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.84)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 10, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 151 (1st & Goal at HOU 1) Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 17, HOU 24 0.74 5.8% 3.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Owen Daffer kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremy Singleton return for 10 yds to the Houst 10 - ECU 17, HOU 24 -0.90 92.1% -1.9%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.63 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:44 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 10) Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds Christian Trahan fumbled, forced by Teagan Wilk, recovered by ECaro Suirad Ware - ECU 17, HOU 24 -5.44 90.6% -13.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 16

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.69 - 0.75 = -5.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:30 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 16) Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Houst 13 Holton Ahlers fumbled, forced by Donavan Mutin, recovered by ECaro Fernando Frye - ECU 17, HOU 24 -0.31 21.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13

Started Drive at: HOU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 4.67 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 17, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:43 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 13) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 13 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 24 2.70 20.1% 18.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.30 = 2.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:43 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 20) Owen Daffer kickoff for 70 yds , Nathaniel Dell return for 18 yds to the Houst 28 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.25 64.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.95 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:33 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.93 65.8% -4.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.37 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:28 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.97 62.6% -10.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.79 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:11 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 13 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down - ECU 24, HOU 24 2.28 55.0% 16.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 59

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 0.02 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 41) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.62 72.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.38 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:50 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 41) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 12 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down - ECU 24, HOU 24 1.45 71.3% 7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 47

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 1.75 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:21 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 47) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the ECaro 44 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.35 80.5% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 44

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.21 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:35 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 7 at ECU 44) Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down - ECU 24, HOU 24 1.10 80.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.75 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:12 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 35) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.27 83.9% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.58 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:12 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 9 at ECU 34) Timeout EAST CAROLINA, clock 03:12 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.00 81.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:55 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 9 at ECU 34) Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 2 yds to the ECaro 32 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.42 84.6% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.27 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 7 at ECU 32) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.02 83.4% -7.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.79 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:21 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 7 at ECU 32) Dalton Witherspoon 49 yd FG MISSED - ECU 24, HOU 24 -3.58 77.3% -35.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 1.78 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:18 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 32) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.60 59.4% -6.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.93 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 10 at ECU 32) Rahjai Harris run for 13 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down - ECU 24, HOU 24 1.22 55.0% 10.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 55

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 1.34 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:44 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 45) Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 48 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.19 68.7% -5.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.40 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:37 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at ECU 48) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.49 66.4% -5.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.98 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:21 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 7 at ECU 48) Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 48 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.34 61.7% -19.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 1.49 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:21 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 7 at ECU 48) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 01:21 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.00 43.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 7 at ECU 48) Jonn Young punt for 40 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 11 yds to the Houst 23 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.37 46.9% -24.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 77

Started Drive at: ECU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 0.35 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:07 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 23) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the Houst 31 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.44 77.7% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 1.18 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:07 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 2 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.56 82.3% -6.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.63 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:57 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 2 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -1.10 70.7% -25.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 0.86 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:51 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 2 at HOU 31) Laine Wilkins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 22 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.59 45.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 78

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - -0.22 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.81)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at ECU 22) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 5 yds to the ECaro 27 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.16 45.3% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 73

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.80 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:42 ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 5 at ECU 27) Holton Ahlers pass incomplete - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.19 45.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.80 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:37 ESPN team id 151 (3rd & 5 at ECU 27) Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.98 45.0% -24.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.56 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:37 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 4 at ECU 28) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 00:37 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.00 20.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - -0.42 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:31 ESPN team id 151 (4th & 4 at ECU 28) Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 28 - ECU 24, HOU 24 -0.95 36.4% -14.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ECU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.01 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Houst 30 - ECU 24, HOU 24 0.79 66.4% 14.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.04 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at ECU 25) Alton McCaskill run for 25 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - ECU 24, HOU 31 4.82 88.7% 9.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: ECU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 151 (1st & 10 at HOU 25) Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Houst 22 - ECU 24, HOU 31 0.32 7.9% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: ECU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.34 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

OT ESPN team id 151 (2nd & 7 at HOU 22) Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for a loss of 2 yards Ryan Jones fumbled, forced by Donavan Mutin, recovered by Houst JoVanni Stewart - ECU 24, HOU 31 -1.68 10.6% 89.4%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 76

Started Drive at: ECU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.66 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ECU 24, HOU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2