Miami (OH) 24 @ Ball State 17

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.98 | Odds: BALL -3.5, O/U 53.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 7472
Total EPA 6.42-0.06
  Offensive EPA 13.010.92
  Special Teams EPA -4.42-1.36
  Penalty EPA 0.683.18
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -2.85-2.80
Production ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 6461
  Yards 395325
  Yards/Play 6.175.33
  EPA 13.010.92
  EPA/Play 0.200.02
Passes 26 (41%)33 (54%)
  Yards 236198
  Yards/Play 9.086.00
  EPA 18.330.34
  EPA/Play 0.700.01
Rushes 38 (59%)28 (46%)
  Yards 157126
  Yards/Play 4.134.50
  EPA -5.310.58
  EPA/Play -0.140.02
Rushing ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 6461
Rushes 38 (59%)28 (46%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)3 (11%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)2 (67%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (13%)2 (7%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 18 (47%)10 (36%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (34%)12 (43%)
OL Line Yards 67.261.5
  Per Carry 1.772.20
Highlight Yards 41.524.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.192.04
Explosiveness ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 7472
Scrimmage Plays 6461
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)3 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (12%)2 (6%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)1 (4%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -0.53-7.57
  EPA/Play -0.01-0.13
  When Passing 7.64-6.31
    EPA/Play 0.29-0.19
  When Rushing -8.17-1.26
    EPA/Play -0.22-0.05
Situational ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 32 (50%)32 (52%)
  When Passing 17 (65%)18 (55%)
  When Rushing 15 (39%)14 (50%)
  On Standard Downs 22 (48%)26 (55%)
  On Passing Downs 10 (56%)6 (43%)
  On Early Downs 25 (49%)24 (51%)
  On Late Downs 7 (54%)8 (57%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (38%)8 (67%)
Early Downs 5147
  First Downs Created 13 (25%)11 (23%)
  EPA 6.76-5.62
  EPA/Play 0.13-0.12
  Passes 19 (37%)27 (57%)
  Rushes 32 (63%)20 (43%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (68%)15 (56%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 12 (38%)9 (45%)
"Middle 8" Plays 812
  EPA -1.862.45
  EPA/play -0.230.20
  Passes 3 (38%)7 (58%)
  Rushes 5 (63%)5 (42%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (33%)6 (86%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)2 (40%)
Drives ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Total 1110
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 29
Plays/Drive 8.138.10
Yards/Drive 50.0242.59
Available Yards % 67%60%
Defensive ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 6164
Stop Rate 43%22%
Havoc Plays Created 2 (3%)4 (6%)
  Passing 2 (6%)1 (4%)
  Rushing 0 (0%)3 (8%)
TFLs Generated 14
  Passing 11
  Rushing 03
Sacks Generated 1 (3%)1 (4%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Turnovers 01
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 0.50.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 3.9-3.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 193 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 10 11
Total EPA -4.42 -1.36
  Field Goal EPA -2.68 -0.06
  Punting EPA -2.55 -2.15
  Kickoff Return EPA 0.81 0.86

Miami (OH) [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brett Gabbert 20/24, 209 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 82.7 xQBR 8.36 0.65 16.13 64% 42.0%
Jalen Walker 1/1, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 76.6 xQBR 27.00 2.19 2.19 100% 5.0%
Rush attempts
Kevin Davis 2 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 0.18 0.36 50% 1.0%
Kenny Tracy 2 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 0.05 0.10 50% 0.0%
Brett Gabbert 3 carries, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 0.03 0.09 33% -1.0%
Keyon Mozee 13 carries, 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.54 -0.02 -0.30 38% 8.0%
Jaylon Bester 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.38 -0.38 0% 0.0%
Tyre Shelton 14 carries, 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.71 -0.36 -5.05 36% -14.0%
Pass targets
Jack Sorenson 8 catches (9 targets), 138 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.25 1.38 12.39 78% 26.0%
Nate Muersch 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 3.97 3.97 100% 14.0%
Mac Hippenhammer 5 catches (7 targets), 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.40 0.42 2.96 71% 8.0%
Andrew Homer 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 2.34 2.34 100% 6.0%
Devon Dorsey 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.62 0.62 100% 2.0%
Kevin Davis 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.36 0.36 100% 0.0%
Kenny Tracy 3 catches (4 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.33 -0.24 -0.94 25% -3.0%
Jalen Walker 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -1.06 -1.06 0% -1.0%

Ball State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Drew Plitt 21/32, 198 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 48.0 xQBR 6.00 0.01 0.34 55% 1.0%
Rush attempts
Drew Plitt 5 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.40 0.36 1.81 60% 5.0%
Jayshon Jackson 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.86 0.86 100% 1.0%
Carson Steele 11 carries, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.64 0.02 0.25 55% 9.0%
Justin Hall 4 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.75 -0.28 -1.11 25% -4.0%
Will Jones 7 carries, 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.17 -1.22 43% 0.0%
Pass targets
Jayshon Jackson 7 catches (9 targets), 92 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.14 0.59 5.33 78% 22.0%
Justin Hall 4 catches (6 targets), 32 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.35 2.08 50% 12.0%
Carson Steele 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.66 1.66 100% 3.0%
Yo'Heinz Tyler 5 catches (9 targets), 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.60 0.01 0.10 56% -1.0%
Cody Rudy 3 catches (4 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.33 -0.07 -0.29 50% -2.0%
Will Jones 1 catch (2 targets), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -1.25 -2.49 0% -5.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at M-OH 19) Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -4.40 26.4% -21.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 3.38 = -4.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 10 at BALL 35) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 4.05 38.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 21

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 0.50 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 6) Nate Muersch 6 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Brett Gabbert Pass to Andrew Homer for Two-Point Conversion) - M-OH 24, BALL 17 3.97 55.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.03 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 106 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at M-OH 47) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 38 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 0 3.73 61.9% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 9

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 1.25 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at M-OH 6) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 0, BALL 7 2.91 63.3% 14.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.09 = 2.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 22) Keyon Mozee run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brett Anderson II) to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 2.85 41.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.80 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.20)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 8 at M-OH 24) BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -2.83 70.0% -7.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 3.77 = -2.83

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.77)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 6 at BALL 48) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 24 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 2.67 49.8% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 24

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 1.66 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 3) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) - M-OH 7, BALL 7 2.34 35.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 7 at BALL 33) Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG MISSED - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -2.31 93.9% -14.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 1.11 = -2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 33) MIAMI OH Penalty, Kimpler,Ben at BSU31 Kimpler,Ben return UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the BalSt 46 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 1.20 78.1% -25.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 46

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.60 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at M-OH 19) Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -4.40 26.4% -21.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 3.38 = -4.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 10 at BALL 35) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 4.05 38.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 21

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 0.50 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at M-OH 6) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 0, BALL 7 2.91 63.3% 14.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.09 = 2.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:42 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & Goal at M-OH 4) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.53 49.4% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.47 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 7 at BALL 33) Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG MISSED - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -2.31 93.9% -14.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 1.11 = -2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 6) Nate Muersch 6 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Brett Gabbert Pass to Andrew Homer for Two-Point Conversion) - M-OH 24, BALL 17 3.97 55.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.03 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 106 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 22) Keyon Mozee run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brett Anderson II) to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 2.85 41.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.80 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.20)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at M-OH 47) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 38 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 0 3.73 61.9% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 9

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 1.25 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:13 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 4 at M-OH 21) Dom Dzioban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hassan Littles at the BalSt 38 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.63 76.4% -7.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 62

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -1.12 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at M-OH 6) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 0, BALL 7 2.91 63.3% 14.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.09 = 2.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 3) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) - M-OH 7, BALL 7 2.34 35.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 2 at BALL 8) Graham Nicholson 26 yd FG GOOD - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.37 57.3% -3.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 65

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.37 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 2 at M-OH 11) Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOOD - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.06 51.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.06 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:44 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & Goal at BALL 1) Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT MISSED) - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.03 65.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.03)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 8:42 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & Goal at M-OH 4) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.53 49.4% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.47 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 6) Nate Muersch 6 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Brett Gabbert Pass to Andrew Homer for Two-Point Conversion) - M-OH 24, BALL 17 3.97 55.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.03 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 106 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - M-OH 0, BALL 0 0.00 60.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 0 0.97 60.7% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.86 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 37) Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Tyler,Yo'Heinz PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Boswell,Cedric) 15 yards from BSU37 to MIA48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - M-OH 0, BALL 0 1.08 62.9% 3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 1.83 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 48) Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44 - M-OH 0, BALL 0 -0.14 66.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.91 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 6 at M-OH 44) Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47 - M-OH 0, BALL 0 -1.52 66.6% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 2.77 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at M-OH 47) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 38 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 0 3.73 61.9% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 9

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 1.25 = 3.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & Goal at M-OH 9) Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7 - M-OH 0, BALL 0 -0.49 69.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 4.98 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & Goal at M-OH 7) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the MiaOh 6 - M-OH 0, BALL 0 -0.85 69.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.49 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at M-OH 6) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 0, BALL 7 2.91 63.3% 14.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.09 = 2.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:29 ESPN team id 193 (Kickoff at M-OH 35) Jacob Lewis kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Walker return for 18 yds to the MiaOh 24 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -0.10 24.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: M-OH 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - -0.13 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:29 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 24) Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -0.38 24.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: M-OH 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - -0.24 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:29 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 8 at M-OH 26) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 0.36 24.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: M-OH 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.62 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:29 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 2 at M-OH 32) Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -1.19 24.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67

Started Drive at: M-OH 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.25 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.25)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:21 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 1 at M-OH 33) Dom Dzioban punt for 53 yds , Justin Hall returns for 7 yds to the BalSt 21 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -0.70 24.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 79

Started Drive at: M-OH 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -1.27 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:21 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 21) Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 26 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 0.03 76.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 74

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.01 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.3%

Win Probability (After): 76.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:21 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at BALL 26) Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 29 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -0.41 76.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.04 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.4%

Win Probability (After): 75.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:21 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 2 at BALL 29) Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 7 1.00 75.9% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 67

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.63 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 33) MIAMI OH Penalty, Kimpler,Ben at BSU31 Kimpler,Ben return UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the BalSt 46 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 1.20 78.1% -25.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 46

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.60 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 46) Kevin Davis run for 11 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 7 0.75 30.3% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 35

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 2.29 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 35) Jalen Walker pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 27 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST down - M-OH 0, BALL 7 2.19 31.9% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 8

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 3.04 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 193 (1st & Goal at BALL 8) Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BalSt 3 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 0.35 36.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 5.24 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:49 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & Goal at BALL 3) Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BalSt 3 - M-OH 0, BALL 7 -0.96 36.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 5.58 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 3) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) - M-OH 7, BALL 7 2.34 35.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - M-OH 7, BALL 7 0.00 53.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -0.63 53.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.07 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -1.01 52.2% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.44 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -1.32 48.9% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -0.57 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 7 at BALL 28) Nathan Snyder punt for 29 yds - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -0.43 46.2% 3.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -1.92 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 43) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 9 yds to the BalSt 48 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 0.97 52.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 48

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.35 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 1 at BALL 48) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down - M-OH 7, BALL 7 0.30 52.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 38

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.32 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 53.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 38) Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -0.28 53.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.62 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 7 at BALL 35) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down - M-OH 7, BALL 7 1.72 53.5% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 16

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 3.34 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 16) Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 12 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -0.25 57.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 5.06 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 6 at BALL 12) PENALTY MIA False Start (Paulson,Derek) 5 yards from BSU12 to BSU17. NO PLAY. - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -0.65 56.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 17

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 4.81 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 11 at BALL 17) Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the BalSt 8 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 0.76 54.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 8

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 4.16 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:31 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 2 at BALL 8) Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BalSt 8 - M-OH 7, BALL 7 -1.55 56.1% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 4.92 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 2 at BALL 8) Graham Nicholson 26 yd FG GOOD - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.37 57.3% -3.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 65

Started Drive at: M-OH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.37 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 54 yds - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.93 43.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 0.82 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 35) Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 43 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.51 44.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.73 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.27)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 2 at BALL 43) Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.28 49.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 2.22 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.78)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 49) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.86 50.8% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 40

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 2.50 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 40) Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.44 52.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.36 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.36)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 51.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at M-OH 37) Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.58 51.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 2.92 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 1 at M-OH 31) Will Jones run for no gain to the MiaOh 31 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.98 52.6% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 3.50 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.50)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 1 at M-OH 31) Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 7 1.40 50.1% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 2.52 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.48)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 54.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 30) Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 29 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.52 54.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 29

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 3.92 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 9 at M-OH 29) Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.86 53.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 3.40 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 1 at M-OH 21) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.34 54.3% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 4.26 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 19) Drew Plitt sacked by Sterling Weatherford for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 28 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -1.65 57.7% -6.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 28

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 4.60 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.60)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 19 at M-OH 28) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall - M-OH 10, BALL 7 -0.79 51.2% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 2.95 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.05)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 19 at M-OH 28) Will Jones run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 11 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.97 48.4% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 11

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.16 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.84)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:03 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 19 at M-OH 28) Timeout BALL ST, clock 09:03 - M-OH 10, BALL 7 0.00 48.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 11

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 3.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.4%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 2 at M-OH 11) Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOOD - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.06 51.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.06 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (Kickoff at M-OH 35) Jacob Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.00 47.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 25) Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -1.13 47.5% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 1.18 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 11 at M-OH 24) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 1.95 43.6% 6.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 63

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 0.05 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 37) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.69 50.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 52

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.01 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 51.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 48) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.64 51.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.69 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 50.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 10 at M-OH 48) Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.39 50.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 2.05 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 6 at BALL 48) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 24 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 2.67 49.8% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 24

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 1.66 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 24) Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the BalSt 15 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.90 55.2% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 4.33 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 1 at BALL 15) Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.28 57.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 13

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 5.23 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 13) Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.33 57.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.95 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 7 at BALL 10) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 4 yds to the BalSt 6 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 -0.07 55.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 4.62 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 3 at BALL 6) Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST down - M-OH 10, BALL 10 1.56 55.3% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.11 - 4.56 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:26 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 3 at BALL 6) Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 02:26 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.00 63.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.11 - 6.11 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:26 ESPN team id 193 (1st & Goal at BALL 3) Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.13 64.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.09 - 5.97 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.6%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:02 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 1) Timeout BALL ST, clock 02:02 - M-OH 10, BALL 10 0.00 57.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98

Started Drive at: M-OH 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.09 - 6.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 10, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:44 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & Goal at BALL 1) Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT MISSED) - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.03 65.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.03)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 62 yds , Justin Hall return for 18 yds to the BalSt 21 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.08 36.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.89 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.11)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 21) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 27 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.04 35.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.76 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.24)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 4 at BALL 27) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.41 36.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 0.80 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.20)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.38 37.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.21 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.79)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the BalSt 40 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.09 36.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.83 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.17)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:38 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 4 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.70 36.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.92 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.08)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 34.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 1 at BALL 43) Nathan Snyder punt for 56 yds - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.13 33.1% -2.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.11 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.89)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.1%

Win Probability (After): 30.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 1) Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.00 70.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98

Started Drive at: M-OH 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.96)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 9 at M-OH 2) run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 1 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.06 68.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.06 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 193 (Kickoff at M-OH 35) Jacob Lewis kickoff for 63 yds , Jalen Walker return for 18 yds to the MiaOh 20 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.31 69.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.43 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.43)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 20) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 31 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 10 1.94 68.8% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 49

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.21 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.21)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 49) Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.58 71.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 3.15 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 8 at BALL 47) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 1 yd to the BalSt 48 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -1.06 71.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 48

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 2.57 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.57)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 9 at BALL 48) Brett Gabbert sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 13 yards to the MiaOh 39 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Brett Gabbert , return for 0 yards - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -2.31 70.0% -4.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 61

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - 1.51 = -2.31

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.51)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 22 at M-OH 39) Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds , Justin Hall returns for 17 yds to the BalSt 33 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.64 68.0% -7.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 67

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.21 - -0.57 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.43)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 33) Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.36 37.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.43 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at BALL 36) Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 5 yds to the BalSt 41 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.09 37.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.07 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.93)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 2 at BALL 41) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 12 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 10 1.66 36.9% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.16 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.84)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 47) Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Steele,Carson PENALTY MIA Personal Foul (Hilton,Kobe) 15 yards from MIA47 to MIA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - M-OH 16, BALL 10 1.05 40.3% 3.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 32

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 2.82 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.18)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 44.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 32) Carson Steele run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.85 44.2% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.87 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 18) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the MiaOh 13 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 0.07 48.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 13

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 4.72 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at M-OH 13) Justin Hall run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 10 1.46 48.8% 5.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 2

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.26 - 4.79 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.21)

Score Difference (End): -6 (0.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:29 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & Goal at M-OH 2) Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4 - M-OH 16, BALL 10 -0.79 54.7% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 4

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 6.26 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -6 (0.26)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:42 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & Goal at M-OH 4) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.53 49.4% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.47 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 193 (Kickoff at M-OH 35) Jacob Lewis kickoff for 64 yds , Jalen Walker return for 41 yds to the MiaOh 42 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.23 42.0% 4.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 0.92 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.0%

Win Probability (After): 46.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 42) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.81 46.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 47

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.19 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.19)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.2%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 47) Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -1.16 47.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 48

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 3.00 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 11 at BALL 48) Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 45 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.35 45.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.84 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:34 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 8 at BALL 45) Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -1.82 44.5% -6.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 1.49 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 7 at BALL 44) Dom Dzioban punt for 24 yds - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.57 37.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 80

Started Drive at: M-OH 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - -0.31 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 20 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.36 63.9% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 0.91 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.91)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 40) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -1.02 66.7% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 61

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 2.27 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.27)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 11 at BALL 39) Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cedric Boswell) to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 1.84 63.0% 6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 0.29 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 47) Will Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 45 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.60 69.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 3.09 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:59 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 8 at M-OH 45) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.94 68.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.49 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 26) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.53 70.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 4.30 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.30)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 8 at M-OH 24) BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -2.83 70.0% -7.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 3.77 = -2.83

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.77)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 26 at M-OH 42) PENALTY BSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MIA42 to MIA47. NO PLAY. - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.11 62.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.94 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.94)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 31 at M-OH 47) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Will Jones - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -1.38 64.1% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.82 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 31 at M-OH 47) Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 9 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.46 61.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 91

Started Drive at: BALL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.51 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 9) Keyon Mozee run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.74 38.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 78

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.06 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.94)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 22) Keyon Mozee run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brett Anderson II) to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 2.85 41.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.80 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.20)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 35) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 6 yds to the BalSt 29 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.33 50.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.66 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.66)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 4 at BALL 29) Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -1.70 51.7% -5.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 34

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.99 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 9 at BALL 34) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 4 yds to the BalSt 30 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.84 47.9% -4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 2.28 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 5 at BALL 30) PENALTY MIA False Start (Nank,Peter) 5 yards from BSU30 to BSU35. NO PLAY. - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.98 43.4% -5.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.48 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.48)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 10 at BALL 35) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 4.05 38.4% 15.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 21

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 0.50 = 4.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 21) Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the BalSt 14 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.44 54.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 14

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 4.55 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.55)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 3 at BALL 14) Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.23 55.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 4.99 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 94 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 1 at BALL 12) Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST down - M-OH 16, BALL 17 0.47 54.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.22 - 4.76 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.76)

Score Difference (End): -1 (4.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 97 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (1st & Goal at BALL 9) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the BalSt 6 - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.27 55.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 5.22 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -1 (4.22)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 100 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & Goal at BALL 6) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kenny Tracy - M-OH 16, BALL 17 -0.94 55.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 4.96 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.96)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 16, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 100 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & Goal at BALL 6) Nate Muersch 6 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Brett Gabbert Pass to Andrew Homer for Two-Point Conversion) - M-OH 24, BALL 17 3.97 55.8% 13.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: M-OH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.03 = 3.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 106 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 16 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.00 28.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.62 28.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.24 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 3 at BALL 32) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.67 29.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 0.86 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 7 yds to the BalSt 47 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.51 31.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 1.53 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 3 at BALL 47) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.88 32.6% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 2.04 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 3 at BALL 47) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.83 30.3% -5.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 1.16 = -1.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:18 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 3 at BALL 47) Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 15 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.65 25.1% -1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 85

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -0.12 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:18 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 15) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.61 80.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.61 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:18 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 10 at M-OH 15) Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.46 77.7% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 87

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 1.00 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:18 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 12 at M-OH 13) Gabbert,Brett pass complete to Hippenhammer,Mac for 22 yards to the MIA35 (Uzodinma,Amechi), out of bounds PENALTY MIA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Shaffer,Caleb) 5 yards from MIA13 to MIA08. NO PLAY. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.54 74.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 92

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - -0.47 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:18 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 17 at M-OH 8) Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 21 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.29 73.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 79

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - -1.01 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:13 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 4 at M-OH 21) Dom Dzioban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hassan Littles at the BalSt 38 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.63 76.4% -7.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 62

Started Drive at: M-OH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -1.12 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:13 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 38) Justin Hall run for no gain to the BalSt 38 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.55 26.8% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: BALL 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.58 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:13 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 38) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody Rudy - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.75 22.4% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: BALL 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.04 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:13 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 10 at BALL 38) Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 3 yds to the BalSt 41 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.11 19.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59

Started Drive at: BALL 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.29 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 7 at BALL 41) Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 21 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.66 16.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 79

Started Drive at: BALL 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.43 - -0.77 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 21) Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.06 82.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 74

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.48 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 5 at M-OH 26) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 16 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 1.13 84.1% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 58

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 1.42 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 42) Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.25 87.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.55 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 7 at M-OH 45) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.41 86.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 49

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 2.31 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 1 at BALL 49) Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Paulson,Derek, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Uzodinma,Amechi) 13 yards from BSU49 to BSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 1.15 87.1% 3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 36

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 2.72 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.72)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at BALL 36) Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the BalSt 35 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.42 90.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 35

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.86 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 9 at BALL 35) Gabbert,Brett rush for 11 yards gain to the BSU24, End Of Play PENALTY MIA Holding (Vaughan,Sam) 10 yards from BSU35 to BSU45. NO PLAY. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.15 88.9% -2.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 45

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 3.44 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 19 at BALL 45) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Devon Dorsey for 12 yds to the BalSt 33 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.62 86.1% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.28 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.28)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:53 ESPN team id 193 (3rd & 7 at BALL 33) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -1.39 88.4% -4.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 2.90 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 193 (4th & 7 at BALL 33) Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG MISSED - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -2.31 93.9% -14.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 67

Started Drive at: M-OH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 1.11 = -2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 33) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.79 16.5% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.33 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 47) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.41 19.1% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 40

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 2.12 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 3 at M-OH 40) Will Jones run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.54 21.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 33

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.53 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 33) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the MiaOh 24 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.79 22.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 24

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 3.07 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 1 at M-OH 24) Will Jones run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.15 24.6% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.86 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at M-OH 19) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.44 27.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.00 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at M-OH 19) Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback. - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -4.40 26.4% -21.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: BALL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 3.38 = -4.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 20) Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.34 98.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.60 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:56 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 20) Timeout BALL ST, clock 00:56 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.00 98.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:56 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 2 at M-OH 28) Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST down - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.05 98.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.82 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 2 at M-OH 28) Timeout BALL ST, clock 00:48 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.00 98.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 31) run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 29 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 -0.39 98.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 71

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.81 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.81)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:46 ESPN team id 193 (1st & 10 at M-OH 31) Timeout BALL ST, clock 00:46 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.00 98.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 71

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.41)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 193 (2nd & 12 at M-OH 29) run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 28 - M-OH 24, BALL 17 0.21 96.8% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 72

Started Drive at: M-OH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.04 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: M-OH 24, BALL 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1