Coast Carolina 27 @ Appalachian St 30

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 6.05 | Odds: CCU -4.5, O/U 60.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Total Plays 6477
Total EPA 9.7611.85
  Offensive EPA 5.411.24
  Special Teams EPA 5.01-2.13
  Penalty EPA 1.23-1.16
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.883.90
Production ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Scrimmage Plays 5269
  Yards 331565
  Yards/Play 6.378.19
  EPA 5.4011.24
  EPA/Play 0.100.16
Passes 26 (50%)28 (41%)
  Yards 291347
  Yards/Play 11.1912.39
  EPA 12.3518.09
  EPA/Play 0.480.65
Rushes 26 (50%)41 (59%)
  Yards 70228
  Yards/Play 2.695.56
  EPA -6.96-6.85
  EPA/Play -0.27-0.17
Rushing ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Scrimmage Plays 5269
Rushes 26 (50%)41 (59%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (4%)2 (5%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (27%)6 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 14 (54%)16 (39%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 9 (35%)22 (54%)
OL Line Yards 26.677.5
  Per Carry 1.021.89
Highlight Yards 1182
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.223.73
Explosiveness ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Total Plays 6477
Scrimmage Plays 5269
Explosive Plays 2 (4%)8 (12%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (8%)6 (21%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)2 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -3.99-18.66
  EPA/Play -0.08-0.31
  When Passing 2.96-5.36
    EPA/Play 0.11-0.19
  When Rushing -6.96-13.30
    EPA/Play -0.27-0.34
Situational ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 24 (46%)33 (48%)
  When Passing 16 (62%)14 (50%)
  When Rushing 8 (31%)19 (46%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (58%)23 (47%)
  On Passing Downs 3 (19%)10 (50%)
  On Early Downs 21 (49%)26 (46%)
  On Late Downs 3 (33%)7 (54%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (43%)5 (56%)
Early Downs 4356
  First Downs Created 13 (30%)14 (25%)
  EPA 1.243.92
  EPA/Play 0.030.07
  Passes 22 (51%)21 (38%)
  Rushes 21 (49%)35 (63%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 14 (64%)9 (43%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (33%)17 (49%)
"Middle 8" Plays 79
  EPA -1.830.15
  EPA/play -0.260.02
  Passes 3 (43%)6 (67%)
  Rushes 4 (57%)3 (33%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (100%)3 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)2 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Total 1011
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 25
Plays/Drive 6.656.71
Yards/Drive 40.4249.61
Available Yards % 54%66%
Defensive ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Scrimmage Plays 6952
Stop Rate 59%46%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (12%)8 (15%)
  Passing 1 (4%)3 (12%)
  Rushing 7 (17%)5 (19%)
TFLs Generated 78
  Passing 03
  Rushing 75
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)3 (12%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Turnovers 03
  Fumbles 03
  Fumbles Lost 03
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin 3-3
Expected Turnovers 1.51.5
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 15.0-15.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 324 ESPN team id 2026
Total Plays 12 8
Total EPA 5.01 -2.13
  Field Goal EPA 3.22 0.22
  Punting EPA 0.63 -0.75
  Kickoff Return EPA 1.16 -1.6

Coastal Carolina [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Grayson McCall 15/23, 291 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 73.5 xQBR 11.19 0.48 12.35 62% 33.0%
Rush attempts
Shermari Jones 10 carries, 28 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.80 -0.01 -0.12 40% 17.0%
Reese White 9 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 -0.20 -1.76 33% -24.0%
Braydon Bennett 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 -1.05 -2.10 0% -9.0%
Grayson McCall 5 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.40 -0.60 -2.98 20% -11.0%
Pass targets
Kameron Brown 3 catches (4 targets), 98 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.67 1.62 6.47 75% 15.0%
Jaivon Heiligh 6 catches (9 targets), 103 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.17 0.71 6.37 67% 21.0%
Isaiah Likely 2 catches (2 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.08 2.15 100% 6.0%
Reese White 2 catches (3 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 0.66 1.99 67% 3.0%
Braydon Bennett 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.27 1.27 100% 7.0%
Aaron Bedgood 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.46 0.46 100% 1.0%
Shermari Jones 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 0.29 0.29 100% 1.0%
Greg Latushko 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.17 -1.17 0% -3.0%

Appalachian State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chase Brice 18/28, 347 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 83.1 xQBR 12.39 0.65 18.09 50% 52.0%
Rush attempts
Camerun Peoples 7 carries, 58 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.29 0.47 3.32 57% 10.0%
Malik Williams 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.63 0.63 100% 2.0%
Chase Brice 5 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.80 0.11 0.54 60% 8.0%
Daetrich Harrington 12 carries, 46 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 3.83 -0.37 -4.46 50% -25.0%
Nate Noel 16 carries, 82 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 5.12 -0.43 -6.88 31% -29.0%
Pass targets
Malik Williams 10 catches (14 targets), 206 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.60 1.07 15.02 57% 34.0%
Corey Sutton 6 catches (6 targets), 113 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 18.83 1.05 6.28 67% 24.0%
Daetrich Harrington 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.72 0.72 100% 3.0%
Henry Pearson 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.71 -0.71 0% -3.0%
Thomas Hennigan 1 catch (4 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.00 -0.25 -0.99 25% 5.0%
Christian Wells 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.11 -2.22 0% -11.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at CCU 47) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 14 6.22 21.9% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:11 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 3 at CCU 26) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 74 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 14, APP 0 5.62 80.7% 11.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.38 = 5.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:12 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at APP 22) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 45 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 0 5.30 7.3% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 33

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - -2.01 = 5.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:52 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & Goal at CCU 6) Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. Brewer - CCU 27, APP 27 -4.98 68.9% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 93

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 4.90 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:44 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 10 at CCU 28) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 28 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 3.77 64.1% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - -0.43 = 3.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:22 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 1 at CCU 47) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48 - CCU 14, APP 14 -3.71 41.7% -11.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.23 = -3.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:36 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 10 at APP 12) Nate Noel run for 39 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 3.52 32.5% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 49

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - -0.50 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:35 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 3 at CCU 28) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - CCU 0, APP 0 -3.21 38.2% -7.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 72

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - 1.80 = -3.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:35 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 4 at APP 49) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 32 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 3.15 54.8% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 19

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 1.52 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:11 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 2 at APP 44) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for no gain Corey Sutton fumbled, forced by Teddy Gallagher, recovered by CCaro Manny Stokes Jr. , return for 15 yds to the AppSt 29 - CCU 17, APP 14 -2.99 30.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.53 - 0.47 = -2.99

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes on-side kick recovered by APPALACHIAN ST at the CCaro 48 - CCU 14, APP 7 1.45 85.3% -45.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.13 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:52 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & Goal at CCU 6) Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. Brewer - CCU 27, APP 27 -4.98 68.9% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 93

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 4.90 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 28) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 20, APP 21 2.80 32.0% 19.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.20 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:05 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 9 at CCU 8) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 2.19 46.1% 17.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 74

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - -0.63 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at CCU 47) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 14 6.22 21.9% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:43 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 43) Camerun Peoples run for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - CCU 27, APP 27 2.93 29.0% 13.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 6 at CCU 7) Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD - CCU 27, APP 30 0.22 87.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.78 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:36 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 27, APP 21 0.75 67.7% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.25)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:23 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 13 at APP 33) Massimo Biscardi 50 yd FG GOOD - CCU 17, APP 14 1.56 62.0% 11.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:11 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 3 at CCU 26) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 74 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 14, APP 0 5.62 80.7% 11.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.38 = 5.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:46 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 7, APP 0 0.73 74.6% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:11 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 3 at CCU 26) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 74 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 14, APP 0 5.62 80.7% 11.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.38 = 5.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:02 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & Goal at CCU 1) Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 7 1.00 14.9% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.00 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at CCU 47) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 14 6.22 21.9% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:23 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 13 at APP 33) Massimo Biscardi 50 yd FG GOOD - CCU 17, APP 14 1.56 62.0% 11.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 10 at APP 29) Massimo Biscardi 46 yd FG GOOD - CCU 20, APP 14 1.66 77.4% 4.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.34 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 28) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 20, APP 21 2.80 32.0% 19.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.20 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:36 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 27, APP 21 0.75 67.7% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.25)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:43 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 43) Camerun Peoples run for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - CCU 27, APP 27 2.93 29.0% 13.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 6 at CCU 7) Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD - CCU 27, APP 30 0.22 87.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.78 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2026 (Kickoff at APP 35) Kieran Colahan kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for 22 yds to the APP STATE 22 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the AppSt 12 - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.77 36.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 88

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.86 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 12) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.99 34.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - 0.29 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:36 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 10 at APP 12) Nate Noel run for 39 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 3.52 32.5% 8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 49

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - -0.50 = 3.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:11 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 49) Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42 - CCU 0, APP 0 0.37 40.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.00 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:35 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 3 at CCU 42) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 7 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 0.46 41.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 3.36 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.5%

Win Probability (After): 42.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:04 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 35) Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30 - CCU 0, APP 0 0.19 42.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.81 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.3%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 5 at CCU 30) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.89 40.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.99 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:21 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 5 at CCU 30) Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the CCaro 28 - CCU 0, APP 0 -1.35 38.9% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 3.10 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:35 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 3 at CCU 28) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - CCU 0, APP 0 -3.21 38.2% -7.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 72

Started Drive at: APP 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - 1.80 = -3.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:31 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 28) Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 28 - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.90 70.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.43 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:51 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 10 at CCU 28) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Greg Latushko - CCU 0, APP 0 -1.17 68.3% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.67 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:44 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 10 at CCU 28) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 28 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 3.77 64.1% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - -0.43 = 3.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:17 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 44) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.67 71.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.35 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:12 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 10 at APP 44) Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41 - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.63 70.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.70 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 69.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:25 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 7 at APP 41) McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Heiligh, Jaivon, PENALTY APP STATE pass interference (Cone, Madison) 15 yards to the APP STATE26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR. - CCU 0, APP 0 2.39 68.1% 4.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 26

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 2.00 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 72.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:18 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 26) Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 0.66 71.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 14

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.04 - 4.37 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:46 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 14) Grayson McCall pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 7 yds to the AppSt 7 - CCU 0, APP 0 0.46 72.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 7

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.51 - 5.06 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:02 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 3 at APP 7) Reese White run for 6 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST down - CCU 0, APP 0 1.03 73.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.52 - 5.49 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 324 (1st & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for no gain to the AppSt 1 - CCU 0, APP 0 -0.25 75.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.25 - 6.50 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 0, APP 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:46 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 7, APP 0 0.73 74.6% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.27 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:46 ESPN team id 2026 (Kickoff at APP 35) Kieran Colahan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CCU 7, APP 0 0.00 20.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - -0.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 25) Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27 - CCU 7, APP 0 -0.44 20.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - -0.03 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:06 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 8 at APP 27) Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31 - CCU 7, APP 0 0.07 19.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - -0.50 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:26 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 4 at APP 31) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down - CCU 7, APP 0 1.63 19.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - -0.43 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:55 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 40) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - CCU 7, APP 0 -0.60 21.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.21 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:48 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 10 at APP 40) Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 27 - CCU 7, APP 0 -1.56 21.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 73

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.61 = -1.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.38)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:18 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 23 at APP 27) Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32 - CCU 7, APP 0 -0.46 20.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.95 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:32 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 18 at APP 32) Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the AppSt 40 - CCU 7, APP 0 -0.33 18.5% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -1.40 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:49 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 10 at APP 40) Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 19 - CCU 7, APP 0 -0.23 18.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 81

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.96 - -1.73 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:45 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 19) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the CCaro 28 - CCU 7, APP 0 0.71 82.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 72

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 1.98 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:04 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 1 at CCU 28) Grayson McCall sacked by Caleb Spurlin for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 26 - CCU 7, APP 0 -1.32 83.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 74

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.69 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 7, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:11 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 3 at CCU 26) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 74 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 14, APP 0 5.62 80.7% 11.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.38 = 5.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:11 ESPN team id 2026 (Kickoff at APP 35) Kieran Colahan kickoff for 63 yds , Milan Tucker return for 19 yds to the AppSt 21 - CCU 14, APP 0 -0.16 8.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.42 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:03 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 21) Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22 - CCU 14, APP 0 -0.58 7.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.58 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.58)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:20 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 9 at APP 22) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - CCU 14, APP 0 -0.89 7.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - -1.16 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:12 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at APP 22) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 45 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 0 5.30 7.3% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 33

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - -2.01 = 5.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 33) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 32 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 0 2.99 11.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 1

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.26 - 3.26 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.74)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:28 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & Goal at CCU 1) Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the CCaro 1 - CCU 14, APP 0 -0.33 15.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.96 - 6.29 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:02 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & Goal at CCU 1) Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 7 1.00 14.9% 5.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.00 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes on-side kick recovered by APPALACHIAN ST at the CCaro 48 - CCU 14, APP 7 1.45 85.3% -45.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.13 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:57 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 48) Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47 - CCU 14, APP 7 -0.54 22.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.29 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:27 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 9 at CCU 47) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - CCU 14, APP 7 -0.93 23.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.74 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at CCU 47) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 14, APP 14 6.22 21.9% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CCU 14, APP 14 0.00 66.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.16 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:11 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 25) Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 21 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 14 1.47 65.5% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 54

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.18 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:38 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 46) Reese White run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.23 69.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.71 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:56 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 6 at 50) Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45 - CCU 14, APP 14 0.28 67.3% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.56 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.3%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:19 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 1 at APP 45) Reese White run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 14 0.58 66.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.84 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.9%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 43) Shermari Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 45 - CCU 14, APP 14 -1.14 68.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 45

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.37 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.2%

Win Probability (After): 66.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:06 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 12 at APP 45) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh - CCU 14, APP 14 -1.06 66.5% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 2.23 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:06 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 12 at APP 45) COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.46 63.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 50

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.23 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:06 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 17 at 50) COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 35 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.45 62.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 65

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.76 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:39 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 32 at CCU 35) Reese White run for 12 yds to the CCaro 47 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.70 62.7% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 53

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.12 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:57 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 20 at CCU 47) Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 18 - CCU 14, APP 14 0.05 58.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 82

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.90 - -0.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:53 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 18) Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 21 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.47 38.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 79

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.81 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:09 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 7 at APP 21) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 23 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 14 2.00 37.2% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 56

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 0.45 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:25 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 44) Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 37 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.88 45.2% -4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 63

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.57 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.2%

Win Probability (After): 40.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:56 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 17 at APP 37) Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.62 42.8% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.67 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:29 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 16 at APP 38) Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 45 - CCU 14, APP 14 0.09 39.9% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.09 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:49 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 9 at APP 45) Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the CCaro 47 - CCU 14, APP 14 0.33 39.2% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 0.93 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:22 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 1 at CCU 47) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48 - CCU 14, APP 14 -3.71 41.7% -11.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52

Started Drive at: APP 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.23 = -3.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 30.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:14 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 48) Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 26 yds to the APP STATE 26 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 14 0.89 67.9% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 41

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.68 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:56 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 41) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down - CCU 14, APP 14 0.57 69.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 30

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 3.47 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:31 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 30) Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.31 70.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 4.05 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:52 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 8 at APP 28) Reese White run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 30 - CCU 14, APP 14 -0.66 69.9% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 30

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.68 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:09 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 10 at APP 30) Grayson McCall run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 33 - CCU 14, APP 14 -1.50 67.1% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 33

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.87 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 14, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.1%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:23 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 13 at APP 33) Massimo Biscardi 50 yd FG GOOD - CCU 17, APP 14 1.56 62.0% 11.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: CCU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.44 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:23 ESPN team id 2026 (Kickoff at APP 35) Kieran Colahan kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for 24 yds to the APP STATE 41 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jourdan Heilig) to the AppSt 14 - CCU 17, APP 14 -0.57 29.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.98 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:11 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 14) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 21 - CCU 17, APP 14 0.13 28.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 79

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.59 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.41)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 3 at APP 21) Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down - CCU 17, APP 14 0.51 29.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 74

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 0.68 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.32)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:34 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 26) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 3 yds to the AppSt 29 - CCU 17, APP 14 -0.15 31.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.82 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 7 at APP 29) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the AppSt 31 - CCU 17, APP 14 -0.46 30.1% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.72 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 5 at APP 31) Chase Brice pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 5 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down - CCU 17, APP 14 0.72 28.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 0.42 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.58)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 36) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 00:28 - CCU 17, APP 14 0.00 31.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 31.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 36) Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the AppSt 44 - CCU 17, APP 14 0.51 29.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 56

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.37 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:22 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 2 at APP 44) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 00:22 - CCU 17, APP 14 0.00 31.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:11 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 2 at APP 44) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for no gain Corey Sutton fumbled, forced by Teddy Gallagher, recovered by CCaro Manny Stokes Jr. , return for 15 yds to the AppSt 29 - CCU 17, APP 14 -2.99 30.0% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.53 - 0.47 = -2.99

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 29) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Shermari Jones - CCU 17, APP 14 0.29 77.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 1.64 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.64)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 10 at APP 29) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 00:04 - CCU 17, APP 14 0.00 79.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 1.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.93)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 17, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 10 at APP 29) Massimo Biscardi 46 yd FG GOOD - CCU 20, APP 14 1.66 77.4% 4.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: APP 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.34 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CCU 20, APP 14 0.00 81.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:51 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 25) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 19 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 14 1.03 83.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 56

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 1.60 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.60)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:21 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 44) Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46 - CCU 20, APP 14 -0.01 84.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.74 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.74)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 8 at CCU 46) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds to the AppSt 49 - CCU 20, APP 14 0.01 84.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.20 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.20)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:01 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 3 at APP 49) McCall, Grayson pass complete to Ivy Jr., Turon for 3 yards to the APP STATE46, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Heiligh, Jaivon) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR36, NO PLAY. - CCU 20, APP 14 -1.97 83.6% -2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 64

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 2.20 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.20)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 18 at CCU 36) Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38 - CCU 20, APP 14 -0.98 80.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.33 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.33)

Score Difference (End): 6 (5.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:53 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 16 at CCU 38) Charles Ouverson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25 - CCU 20, APP 14 0.21 79.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 75

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -0.85 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 6 (5.15)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:43 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 25) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 40 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 14 2.98 23.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 35

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 0.60 = 2.98

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:05 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 35) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 36 - CCU 20, APP 14 -1.09 28.6% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 36

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 3.53 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:39 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 11 at CCU 36) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan - CCU 20, APP 14 -1.11 24.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.48 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.52)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:36 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 11 at CCU 36) Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the CCaro 30 - CCU 20, APP 14 -0.27 23.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.46 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.54)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:47 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 5 at CCU 30) Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Sutton, Corey, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Boykin, Lance) 2 yards to the COASTALCAR28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE. - CCU 20, APP 14 2.74 25.8% 4.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 1.34 = 2.74

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.66)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 28) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) - CCU 20, APP 21 2.80 32.0% 19.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.20 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 64 yds , Manny Stokes Jr. return for 16 yds to the CCaro 17 - CCU 20, APP 21 -0.30 55.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 1.00 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.00)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:26 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 17) Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 21 0.68 56.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 72

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.66 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 28) Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 31 - CCU 20, APP 21 -0.29 56.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 1.24 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.24)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:11 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 7 at CCU 31) Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 11 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 21 1.27 52.4% 6.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 0.90 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.10)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:57 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 42) Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45 - CCU 20, APP 21 -0.26 57.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.15 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:14 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 7 at CCU 45) Reese White run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 21 0.97 56.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.89 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:26 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 48) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 32 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 21 2.05 57.9% 6.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 16

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 2.89 = 2.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.89)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:53 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at APP 16) Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 14 yds to the AppSt 2 for a 1ST down - CCU 20, APP 21 1.36 65.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 2

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.30 - 4.94 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.94)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:10 ESPN team id 324 (1st & Goal at APP 2) White, Reese rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE1, PENALTY APP STATE offside (Jones Jr., Steven) 1 yards to the APP STATE1, NO PLAY. - CCU 20, APP 21 0.18 67.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.49 - 6.31 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.31)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:41 ESPN team id 324 (1st & Goal at APP 1) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Reese White - CCU 20, APP 21 -0.27 67.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 6.51 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): -1 (5.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 20, APP 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:36 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & Goal at APP 1) Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) - CCU 27, APP 21 0.75 67.7% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: CCU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -1 (5.25)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:36 ESPN team id 2026 (Kickoff at APP 35) Kieran Colahan kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for 23 yds to the AppSt 23 - CCU 27, APP 21 -0.10 25.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 0.70 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.30)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:24 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 23) Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 21 1.04 24.5% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 66

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 0.59 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.41)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:05 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 34) Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39 - CCU 27, APP 21 -0.08 26.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.63 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.37)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:29 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 5 at APP 39) Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 21 0.64 26.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.55 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.45)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:56 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 44) Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - CCU 27, APP 21 0.15 27.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.19 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.81)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:12 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 4 at 50) Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 21 0.73 27.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.34 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.66)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:43 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 43) Camerun Peoples run for 43 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) - CCU 27, APP 27 2.93 29.0% 13.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: APP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 21 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:43 ESPN team id 324 (Kickoff at CCU 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - CCU 27, APP 27 0.00 58.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:40 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 25) Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.36 58.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.12 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:01 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 4 at CCU 31) Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 5 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 0.50 59.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.50 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:30 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 36) Grayson McCall sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 31 - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.49 61.5% -3.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 2.04 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 15 at CCU 31) Grayson McCall sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 23 - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.70 57.2% -8.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 77

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 0.54 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 23 at CCU 23) Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 28 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.78 49.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -1.15 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 44.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:14 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 18 at CCU 28) Charles Ouverson punt for 41 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 28 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 16 - CCU 27, APP 27 1.20 45.7% 4.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 84

Started Drive at: CCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - -1.91 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:11 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 16) Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 17 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.71 49.4% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 83

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.76 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:32 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 9 at APP 17) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 26 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 2.37 45.0% 9.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 57

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 0.06 = 2.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:06 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 43) Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.37 54.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.48 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:29 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 7 at APP 46) Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45 - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.01 54.6% -4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 2.18 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:40 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 8 at APP 45) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.64 50.5% -10.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 1.18 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:34 ESPN team id 2026 (4th & 8 at APP 45) Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 20 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.52 40.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 80

Started Drive at: APP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.41 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:31 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 20) Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 17 - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.20 59.7% -7.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 83

Started Drive at: CCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.96 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:54 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 13 at CCU 17) Grayson McCall pass incomplete - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.96 52.0% -5.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.23 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.0%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:46 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 13 at CCU 17) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.85 45.5% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - -1.23 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 42.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:40 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 13 at CCU 17) Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 43 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.29 42.2% 2.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 57

Started Drive at: CCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - -2.12 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:33 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 43) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.58 56.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.42 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 10 at APP 43) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 6 yds to the AppSt 49 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.13 55.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.82 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:35 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 4 at APP 49) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 32 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 3.15 54.8% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 19

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 1.52 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:04 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 19) Malik Williams run for 8 yds to the CCaro 11 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.63 65.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 11

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 4.56 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:33 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 2 at CCU 11) Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 0.44 68.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 5.13 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & Goal at CCU 6) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Henry Pearson - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.71 70.8% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - 5.59 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:52 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & Goal at CCU 6) Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. Brewer - CCU 27, APP 27 -4.98 68.9% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 93

Started Drive at: APP 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 4.90 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:49 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 7) Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 8 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.71 54.2% -7.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 92

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.12 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.2%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:05 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 9 at CCU 8) Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 2.19 46.1% 17.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 74

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - -0.63 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:35 ESPN team id 324 (1st & 10 at CCU 26) Reese White run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24 - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.25 62.6% -8.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 1.31 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.6%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:48 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 12 at CCU 24) Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 04:48 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.00 54.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:48 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 12 at CCU 24) COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Reese White) to the CCaro 19 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.32 56.4% -4.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 81

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.34 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:42 ESPN team id 324 (2nd & 17 at CCU 19) Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 24 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.52 52.4% -6.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.04 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:57 ESPN team id 324 (3rd & 12 at CCU 24) Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh - CCU 27, APP 27 -1.01 44.0% -7.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.59 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:53 ESPN team id 324 (4th & 12 at CCU 24) Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 38 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.55 36.7% 2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 62

Started Drive at: CCU 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - -1.55 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at APP 38) Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.41 61.1% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.16 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:14 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 8 at APP 40) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 16 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 1.50 60.9% 8.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 44

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 1.76 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:36 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 44) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 19 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 1.13 72.0% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 25

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 2.98 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 76.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 25) Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.37 80.1% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 4.04 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:07 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 9 at CCU 24) Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 02:07 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.00 79.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 3.67 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.3%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:04 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 9 at CCU 24) Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the CCaro 16 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.66 79.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 16

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.66 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:04 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 1 at CCU 16) Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 02:04 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.00 79.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 4.33 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:59 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 1 at CCU 16) Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST down - CCU 27, APP 27 0.49 78.6% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 11

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 4.34 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:21 ESPN team id 2026 (1st & 10 at CCU 11) Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the CCaro 6 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.29 86.8% -5.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 4.67 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:34 ESPN team id 2026 (2nd & 5 at CCU 6) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 7 - CCU 27, APP 27 -0.89 93.1% -7.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 7

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 4.76 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:03 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 6 at CCU 7) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 00:03 - CCU 27, APP 27 0.00 85.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 27

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2026 (3rd & 6 at CCU 7) Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD - CCU 27, APP 30 0.22 87.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: APP 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.78 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CCU 27, APP 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 27 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3