Colorado 3 @ California 26

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.76 | Odds: CAL -8.5, O/U 44.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Total Plays 6082
Total EPA -14.130.29
  Offensive EPA -16.927.07
  Special Teams EPA 1.19-2.71
  Penalty EPA 1.59-5.17
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.011.10
Production ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Scrimmage Plays 4670
  Yards 124460
  Yards/Play 2.706.57
  EPA -16.927.07
  EPA/Play -0.370.10
Passes 24 (52%)31 (44%)
  Yards 73233
  Yards/Play 3.047.52
  EPA -15.666.15
  EPA/Play -0.650.20
Rushes 22 (48%)39 (56%)
  Yards 87231
  Yards/Play 3.955.92
  EPA -1.260.92
  EPA/Play -0.060.02
Rushing ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Scrimmage Plays 4670
Rushes 22 (48%)39 (56%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 3 (14%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 2 (9%)3 (8%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 9 (41%)15 (38%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 9 (41%)17 (44%)
OL Line Yards 4986
  Per Carry 2.232.21
Highlight Yards 15.580
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.724.71
Explosiveness ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Total Plays 6082
Scrimmage Plays 4670
Explosive Plays 2 (4%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (4%)3 (10%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (5%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -22.06-6.61
  EPA/Play -0.50-0.10
  When Passing -18.89-3.54
    EPA/Play -0.79-0.11
  When Rushing -3.17-3.07
    EPA/Play -0.15-0.08
Situational ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 15 (33%)32 (46%)
  When Passing 6 (25%)15 (48%)
  When Rushing 9 (41%)17 (44%)
  On Standard Downs 10 (36%)26 (55%)
  On Passing Downs 5 (28%)6 (26%)
  On Early Downs 9 (27%)25 (46%)
  On Late Downs 6 (46%)7 (44%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (40%)9 (69%)
Early Downs 3354
  First Downs Created 3 (9%)14 (26%)
  EPA -14.982.52
  EPA/Play -0.450.05
  Passes 16 (48%)21 (39%)
  Rushes 17 (52%)33 (61%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (25%)12 (57%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 5 (29%)13 (39%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1013
  EPA -2.545.13
  EPA/play -0.250.39
  Passes 7 (70%)10 (77%)
  Rushes 3 (30%)3 (23%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (43%)7 (70%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (33%)2 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 26
Plays/Drive 5.508.37
Yards/Drive 14.3744.29
Available Yards % 21%60%
Defensive ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Scrimmage Plays 7046
Stop Rate 36%85%
Havoc Plays Created 1 (1%)7 (15%)
  Passing 1 (3%)7 (29%)
  Rushing 0 (0%)0 (0%)
TFLs Generated 16
  Passing 16
  Rushing 00
Sacks Generated 1 (3%)6 (25%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Turnovers 20
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 0.70.5
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -8.98.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 38 ESPN team id 25
Total Plays 14 12
Total EPA 1.19 -2.71
  Field Goal EPA 0.39 0.27
  Punting EPA -2.13 -3.88
  Kickoff Return EPA 2.94 0.9

Colorado [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Drew Carter 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 11.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.74 -0.74 0% 0.0%
Brendon Lewis 9/17, 73 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 6 Scks, 21.7 xQBR 3.17 -0.65 -14.92 26% -10.0%
Rush attempts
Brendon Lewis 3 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.68 2.03 67% 6.0%
Deion Smith 3 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.06 -0.17 33% 0.0%
Jarek Broussard 11 carries, 40 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 3.64 -0.12 -1.27 45% -3.0%
Alex Fontenot 5 carries, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.20 -0.37 -1.85 20% -1.0%
Pass targets
Jarek Broussard 3 catches (4 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.33 0.38 1.50 50% 0.0%
Brady Russell 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.64 1.28 100% 0.0%
Montana Lemonious-Craig 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.05 -0.05 0% 0.0%
Alex Fontenot 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.55 -0.55 0% 0.0%
Brenden Rice 1 catch (3 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.35 -1.06 33% -3.0%
Chris Carpenter 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.17 -1.17 0% 0.0%
Daniel Arias 1 catch (3 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.45 -1.35 33% 0.0%
Chase Penry 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.69 -1.38 0% -3.0%

California [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chase Garbers 22/30, 233 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 72.2 xQBR 7.52 0.20 6.15 48% 13.0%
Rush attempts
Chase Garbers 9 carries, 100 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.11 0.97 8.69 78% 12.0%
Nikko Remigio 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.54 -0.54 0% -1.0%
Damien Moore 7 carries, 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.57 -0.11 -0.79 43% 0.0%
Christopher Brooks 12 carries, 61 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.08 -0.13 -1.50 50% -3.0%
Chris Street 5 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.80 -0.31 -1.53 20% -1.0%
Marcel Dancy 5 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.40 -0.68 -3.40 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Gavin Reinwald 1 catch (1 target), 31 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 31.00 3.86 3.86 100% 4.0%
Kekoa Crawford 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.99 1.99 100% 3.0%
Damien Moore 3 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.67 0.63 1.88 67% 0.0%
Jeremiah Hunter 1 catch (2 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 0.83 1.65 50% 4.0%
Christopher Brooks 2 catches (2 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.65 1.31 50% 1.0%
Jermaine Terry II 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.00 1.00 100% 0.0%
Nikko Remigio 4 catches (4 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.25 0.06 0.22 75% 0.0%
Keleki Latu 3 catches (4 targets), 36 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.02 0.07 25% 8.0%
Trevon Clark 4 catches (6 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.75 -0.19 -1.11 50% -2.0%
Marcel Dancy 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.45 -1.45 0% -2.0%
Jake Tonges 2 catches (4 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.76 -3.04 0% -4.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 10 at COLO 20) Longhetto,Dario field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD block by Gonzalez,Christian, clock 05:01 recovered by COL Perry,Mark at COL30 Perry,Mark return 70 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:01 PENALTY COL Offside (Gonzalez,Christian) 5 yards from COL20 to COL15. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 23 -4.37 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - 1.95 = -4.37

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.95)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 6 at CAL 30) Chase Garbers run for 38 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 3.99 70.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 32

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 0.09 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 33) Brendon Lewis pass intercepted - COLO 3, CAL 23 -3.93 0.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 55

Started Drive at: COLO 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.56 - 0.37 = -3.93

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.63)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 31 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 3, CAL 20 3.86 91.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 99

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.14)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 4 at COLO 32) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 3.24 88.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 1.90 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 8 at COLO 27) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 21 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 3.23 13.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 52

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -1.36 = 3.23

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.36)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds , Brenden Rice return for 67 yds to the Cal 33 - COLO 0, CAL 13 3.08 8.1% 3.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 33

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.57 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 24) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 0, CAL 10 2.58 81.7% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.42)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 8 at CAL 31) Lewis,Brendon pass incomplete to Russell,Brady PENALTY CAL Holding (Hearns III,Lu-Magia) 10 yards from CAL31 to CAL21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - COLO 0, CAL 13 2.27 9.5% 3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 21

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 2.27 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.73)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 8 at COLO 39) Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 29 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -2.09 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 71

Started Drive at: COLO 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 0.02 = -2.09

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.98)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-22.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 9 at COLO 31) Dario Longhetto 49 yd FG GOOD - COLO 0, CAL 3 1.67 69.1% 10.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.33 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 24) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 0, CAL 10 2.58 81.7% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.42)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 6 at CAL 30) Chase Garbers run for 38 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 3.99 70.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 32

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 0.09 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 25) Brendon Lewis run for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 1.73 25.5% 5.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 0.22 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 1 at COLO 48) Josh Watts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 16 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.96 31.1% -4.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 84

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.56 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 39) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 2 yds to the Colo 37 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -1.48 28.8% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 1.26 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 20 at COLO 49) Josh Watts punt for 51 yds for a touchback - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.38 13.9% -4.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 80

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -1.36 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.36)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 4 at COLO 32) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 3.24 88.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 1.90 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 31 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 3, CAL 20 3.86 91.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 99

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.14)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 5 at CAL 39) Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 15 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 13 1.99 88.5% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 46

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.16 = 1.99

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 9 at COLO 31) Dario Longhetto 49 yd FG GOOD - COLO 0, CAL 3 1.67 69.1% 10.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.33 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 24) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 0, CAL 10 2.58 81.7% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.42)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 5 at COLO 12) Dario Longhetto 30 yd FG GOOD - COLO 0, CAL 13 0.30 92.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.70)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:41 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 4 at CAL 15) Cole Becker 33 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 13 0.39 10.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.39)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 31 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 3, CAL 20 3.86 91.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 99

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.14)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 10 at COLO 33) Dario Longhetto 51 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 23 2.04 96.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.96 = 2.04

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.96)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:56 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 5 at COLO 15) Dario Longhetto 33 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 26 0.61 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.39 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.39)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - COLO 0, CAL 0 0.00 25.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 25) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Brenden Rice - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.64 27.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 25) Brendon Lewis run for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 1.73 25.5% 5.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 0.22 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 39) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chase Penry - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.69 30.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.95 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 39) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 2 yds to the Colo 37 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -1.48 28.8% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 1.26 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 12 at COLO 37) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 11 yds to the Colo 48 - COLO 0, CAL 0 0.32 24.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 52

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.22 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 1 at COLO 48) Josh Watts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 16 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.96 31.1% -4.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 84

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.56 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 16) Damien Moore run for 10 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 0.72 72.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 74

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.67 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 26) Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 30 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.27 73.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.39 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 6 at CAL 30) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges - COLO 0, CAL 0 -1.03 73.0% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 1.12 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 6 at CAL 30) Chase Garbers run for 38 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 0 3.99 70.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 32

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 0.09 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 9 at COLO 31) Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the Colo 31 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.89 77.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.48 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 75.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 9 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark - COLO 0, CAL 0 -1.43 75.9% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 2.59 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:54 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 32) Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Colo 31 - COLO 0, CAL 0 -0.60 77.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.07 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 9 at COLO 31) Dario Longhetto 49 yd FG GOOD - COLO 0, CAL 3 1.67 69.1% 10.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.33 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - COLO 0, CAL 3 0.00 25.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 25) Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 28 - COLO 0, CAL 3 -0.41 25.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.86 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.5%

Win Probability (After): 25.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 7 at COLO 28) Jarek Broussard run for 14 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 3 1.68 25.1% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 58

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 0.45 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 42) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jarek Broussard - COLO 0, CAL 3 -0.57 27.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 2.12 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.88)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 42) Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 42 - COLO 0, CAL 3 -0.87 26.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 1.55 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.45)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:42 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 10 at COLO 42) Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the Cal 49 - COLO 0, CAL 3 0.30 25.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.68 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.32)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 1 at CAL 49) Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - COLO 0, CAL 3 1.91 27.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 0.76 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.24)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at 50) Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 8 yds to the Colo 42 - COLO 0, CAL 3 0.59 81.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 2.93 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.93)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 2 at COLO 42) Christopher Brooks run for 18 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 3 0.85 82.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 24

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.52 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.52)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:11 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 2 at COLO 42) Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 06:11 - COLO 0, CAL 3 0.00 80.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 24

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 4.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 24) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 0, CAL 10 2.58 81.7% 8.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.42 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.42)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.00 15.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 25) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Brenden Rice - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.56 15.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - 0.02 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 10 at COLO 25) Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 27 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.82 14.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.36 - -0.55 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 8 at COLO 27) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 21 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 3.23 13.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 52

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -1.36 = 3.23

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.36)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 48) Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Cal 47 - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.19 16.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.87 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.13)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 5 at CAL 47) Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Cal 43 - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.09 16.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 2.06 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.94)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 1 at CAL 43) Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.58 16.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.16 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.84)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at CAL 41) Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Cal 42 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -1.16 17.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 42

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.74 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.26)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 11 at CAL 42) Brendon Lewis sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 45 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -1.37 16.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 45

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.58 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 14 at CAL 45) Brendon Lewis sacked by Darius Long for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 49 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -1.70 15.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 51

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.49 - 0.21 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 20 at COLO 49) Josh Watts punt for 51 yds for a touchback - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.38 13.9% -4.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 80

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -1.36 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.36)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 20) Brooks,Christopher rush for 8 yards gain to the CAL28 (Perry,Quinn), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Holding (Moore,Collin) 10 yards from CAL20 to CAL10. NO PLAY. - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.98 88.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 90

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.81 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.81)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 20 at CAL 10) Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the Cal 18 - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.05 88.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 82

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.84 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.84)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 12 at CAL 18) Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 15 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 1.59 87.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 67

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 0.89 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 33) Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 0.89 86.9% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 50

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.45 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.45)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at 50) Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 47 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.36 90.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.31 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.31)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at COLO 47) Chris Street run for 2 yds to the Colo 45 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.62 89.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.94 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.94)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 5 at COLO 45) Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 1.56 88.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.33 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 38) Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the Colo 38 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.61 91.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.89 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 10 at COLO 38) Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Colo 37 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.97 90.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 37

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 3.28 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.28)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 9 at COLO 37) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the Colo 32 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.41 88.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.31 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.31)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 4 at COLO 32) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down - COLO 0, CAL 10 3.24 88.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 1.90 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 17) Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 14 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.40 93.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 5.14 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.14)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at COLO 14) Nikko Remigio run for 2 yds to the Colo 12 - COLO 0, CAL 10 -0.54 92.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.75 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.75)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 5 at COLO 12) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Marcel Dancy - COLO 0, CAL 10 -1.45 92.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 4.20 = -1.45

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.20)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 5 at COLO 12) Dario Longhetto 30 yd FG GOOD - COLO 0, CAL 13 0.30 92.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.70)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds , Brenden Rice return for 67 yds to the Cal 33 - COLO 0, CAL 13 3.08 8.1% 3.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 33

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 0.57 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at CAL 33) Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Cal 36 - COLO 0, CAL 13 -1.58 11.1% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 36

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 3.66 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 13 at CAL 36) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Cal 31 - COLO 0, CAL 13 0.19 9.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.08 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.92)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 8 at CAL 31) Lewis,Brendon pass incomplete to Russell,Brady PENALTY CAL Holding (Hearns III,Lu-Magia) 10 yards from CAL31 to CAL21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - COLO 0, CAL 13 2.27 9.5% 3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 21

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 2.27 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.73)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at CAL 21) Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Cal 17 - COLO 0, CAL 13 0.00 12.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 4.54 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.46)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 6 at CAL 17) Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Cal 13 - COLO 0, CAL 13 -0.07 12.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 13

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 4.54 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.46)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-8.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 2 at CAL 13) Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Cal 15 - COLO 0, CAL 13 -1.97 12.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 15

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 4.47 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.53)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 0, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:41 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 4 at CAL 15) Cole Becker 33 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 13 0.39 10.6% 1.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.39)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (Kickoff at CAL 35) Cole Becker kickoff for 65 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 34 yds to the Cal 34 - COLO 3, CAL 13 0.64 89.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.45 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 34) Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 36 - COLO 3, CAL 13 -0.44 90.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 2.03 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 8 at CAL 36) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 3 yds to the Cal 39 - COLO 3, CAL 13 -0.43 90.4% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.59 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.59)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 5 at CAL 39) Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 15 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 13 1.99 88.5% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 46

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.16 = 1.99

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 46) Chase Garbers run for 9 yds to the Colo 37 - COLO 3, CAL 13 0.75 92.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 3.15 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.15)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 1 at COLO 37) Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 13 0.12 92.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 3.90 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.90)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 31 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) - COLO 3, CAL 20 3.86 91.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 99

Started Drive at: CAL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.14 = 3.86

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.14)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.00 5.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.56)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 25) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 6 yds to the Colo 31 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.14 5.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.44 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.56)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:21 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 4 at COLO 31) Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 34 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.00 5.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.59 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.41)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:08 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 4 at COLO 31) Timeout COLORADO, clock 02:08 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.00 5.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.58 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.42)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:08 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 1 at COLO 34) Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.59 5.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.74 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.26)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:08 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 36) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 8 yds to the Colo 44 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.29 5.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 56

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 1.33 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.67)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:08 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 2 at COLO 44) Brendon Lewis sacked by Elijah Hicks for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 36 - COLO 3, CAL 20 -1.19 6.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.62 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.38)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 2 at COLO 44) Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 01:16 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.00 5.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.57)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 10 at COLO 36) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chase Penry - COLO 3, CAL 20 -0.69 4.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.46 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.54)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 10 at COLO 36) Josh Watts punt for 45 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the Cal 17 - COLO 3, CAL 20 -0.33 4.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 83

Started Drive at: COLO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.20 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.20)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 17) Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 12 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.39 95.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 71

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.39 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.39)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 29) Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the Cal 36 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.14 96.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.78 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.78)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 29) Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 00:31 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.00 96.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.91 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.91)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 3 at CAL 36) Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.19 96.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.62 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.62)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 43) Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the Cal 48 - COLO 3, CAL 20 0.16 96.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.81 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.81)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 5 at CAL 48) Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 19 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 20 1.36 96.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 33

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 0.98 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.98)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 33) Chase Garbers pass incomplete - COLO 3, CAL 20 1.11 97.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 1.12 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.12)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 10 at COLO 33) Dario Longhetto 51 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 23 2.04 96.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.96 = 2.04

Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.96)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 20 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (Kickoff at CAL 35) Cole Becker kickoff for 58 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 19 yds to the Cal 26 - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.27 98.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 2.82 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.82)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 26) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.58 98.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 3.03 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.03)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 10 at CAL 26) Chris Street run for no gain to the Cal 26 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.99 98.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 2.44 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.44)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 10 at CAL 26) Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 11 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 1.97 98.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 1.45 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.45)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 37) Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 43 - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.09 98.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.42 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.42)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 4 at CAL 43) Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 1 yd to the Cal 42 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.99 98.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 58

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 3.52 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.52)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 5 at CAL 42) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.59 98.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.53 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.53)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 5 at CAL 42) Jamieson Sheahan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chase Penry at the Colo 23 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.44 98.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 77

Started Drive at: CAL 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.11 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.11)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 23) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 13 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 1.10 1.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - -0.63 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.63)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 36) Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 40 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.21 1.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: COLO 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.47 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.53)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 6 at COLO 40) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Daniel Arias - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.90 1.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: COLO 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 0.25 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.75)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 6 at COLO 40) Brendon Lewis sacked by JH Tevis for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 38 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.67 1.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62

Started Drive at: COLO 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.31 - -0.64 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.64)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-22.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 8 at COLO 38) Josh Watts punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 17 yds to the Cal 22 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.48 1.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 78

Started Drive at: COLO 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.79 - -2.32 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-22.32)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 22) Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 11 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.52 99.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 67

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.80 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.80)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 33) Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 7 yds to the Cal 40 - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.32 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 60

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.32 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.32)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 3 at CAL 40) Chase Garbers run for 11 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.47 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.64 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.64)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 49) Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the Colo 41 - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.37 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 41

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 4.11 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.11)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 2 at COLO 41) Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Colo 40 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.51 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 40

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 4.48 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.48)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 1 at COLO 40) Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.50 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 3.96 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.96)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 38) Moore,Damien rush for 4 yards gain to the COL34 (Wray,Max) PENALTY CAL Holding (Mettauer,McKade) 10 yards from COL38 to COL48. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.73 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 48

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 4.46 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.46)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 20 at COLO 48) Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the Cal 49 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.88 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 51

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.72 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.72)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 23 at CAL 49) Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 11 yds to the Colo 40 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.41 99.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 40

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.84 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.84)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:04 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 12 at COLO 40) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Keleki Latu - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.38 99.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 2.43 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.43)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:16 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 12 at COLO 40) Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds for a touchback - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.11 99.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 80

Started Drive at: CAL 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.70 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.70)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:16 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 20) Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 19 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.07 0.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 81

Started Drive at: COLO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -0.69 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.69)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-21.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:16 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 11 at COLO 19) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the Colo 24 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.05 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76

Started Drive at: COLO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - -1.76 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-21.76)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-21.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:16 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 6 at COLO 24) Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chris Carpenter - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.17 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: COLO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.98 - -1.81 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-21.81)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-22.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 6 at COLO 24) Josh Watts punt for 52 yds - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.34 0.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: COLO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -2.98 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-22.98)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.65)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 24) Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.63 99.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.67 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.67)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 34) Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Cal 35 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.51 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.29 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.29)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 9 at CAL 35) Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 5 yds to the Cal 40 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.28 99.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.78 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.78)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 4 at CAL 40) Garbers,Chase pass complete to Moore,Collin for 26 yards to the COL34, End Of Play PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (Moore,Collin) 15 yards from CAL40 to CAL25. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.54 99.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 75

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 2.49 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.49)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 19 at CAL 25) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 5 yds to the Cal 30 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.99 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.95 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.95)

Score Difference (End): 20 (19.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:54 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 14 at CAL 30) Jamieson Sheahan punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 33 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.43 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67

Started Drive at: CAL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.03 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.03)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 33) Brendon Lewis pass intercepted - COLO 3, CAL 23 -3.93 0.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 55

Started Drive at: COLO 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.56 - 0.37 = -3.93

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.63)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 45) Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 48 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.42 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: CAL 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.52 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.52)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at CAL 48) Chase Garbers sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 44 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.36 99.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 56

Started Drive at: CAL 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 3.10 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.10)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 11 at CAL 44) Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 7 yds to the Colo 49 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.72 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49

Started Drive at: CAL 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.74 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.74)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:47 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 4 at COLO 49) PENALTY CAL False Start (Jerningan,Myles) 5 yards from COL49 to CAL46. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.37 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54

Started Drive at: CAL 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.02 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.02)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 9 at CAL 46) Jamieson Sheahan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CALIFORNIA 22 CALIFORNIA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Slater Zellers) to the Colo 37 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.23 99.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 63

Started Drive at: CAL 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.53 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.65)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 37) Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the Colo 39 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.55 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: COLO 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.58 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.42)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 8 at COLO 39) Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 29 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -2.09 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 71

Started Drive at: COLO 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 0.02 = -2.09

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.98)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-22.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 18 at COLO 29) Brendon Lewis sacked by Orin Patu for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 22 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.93 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 78

Started Drive at: COLO 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -2.06 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-22.06)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 25 at COLO 22) Josh Watts punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 7 yds to the Cal 28 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.10 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72

Started Drive at: COLO 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.63 - -2.53 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-22.53)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 28) Chris Street run for 1 yd to the Cal 29 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.46 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 71

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.60 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.60)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 9 at CAL 29) Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 31 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.72 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 2.14 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.14)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 7 at CAL 31) Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 1.63 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 62

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 1.42 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.42)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 38) Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.32 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.04 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.04)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 48) Chris Street run for 18 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.78 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 34

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 3.37 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.37)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 34) Chris Street run for 3 yds to the Colo 31 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.23 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 31

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.14 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.14)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at COLO 31) Chase Garbers pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 11 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down - COLO 3, CAL 23 1.00 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 20

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 3.91 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.91)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at COLO 20) Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Colo 17 - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.18 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 4.91 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.91)

Score Difference (End): 20 (24.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:28 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at COLO 17) Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark - COLO 3, CAL 23 -0.78 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.73 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.73)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:29 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 7 at COLO 17) Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 05:29 - COLO 3, CAL 23 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 3.95 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.95)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:22 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 7 at COLO 17) Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds - COLO 3, CAL 23 -1.53 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 20

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 3.49 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.49)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 10 at COLO 20) Longhetto,Dario field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD block by Gonzalez,Christian, clock 05:01 recovered by COL Perry,Mark at COL30 Perry,Mark return 70 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:01 PENALTY COL Offside (Gonzalez,Christian) 5 yards from COL20 to COL15. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 23 -4.37 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - 1.95 = -4.37

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.95)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 23

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:56 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 5 at COLO 15) Dario Longhetto 33 yd FG GOOD - COLO 3, CAL 26 0.61 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: CAL 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.39 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.39)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 38 (Kickoff at COLO 35) Dario Longhetto kickoff for 64 yds , Brenden Rice return for 20 yds to the Colo 21 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.14 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.50 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.50)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 21) Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 24 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.43 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.43 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.57)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 7 at COLO 24) Smith,Deion rush for 3 yards gain to the COL27 (Woodie III,Raymond), out of bounds PENALTY COL Holding (Pell,Alec) 10 yards from COL24 to COL14. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.68 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 86

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 0.00 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.00)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 38 (2nd & 17 at COLO 14) Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Colo 20 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.15 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 80

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - -0.68 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.68)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 38 (3rd & 11 at COLO 20) Drew Carter pass incomplete to Daniel Arias - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.74 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - -0.84 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.84)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-24.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 38 (4th & 11 at COLO 20) Josh Watts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 36 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.23 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 64

Started Drive at: COLO 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -1.37 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-24.37)

Score Difference (End): 23 (24.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 10 at CAL 36) Dancy,Marcel rush for 21 yards gain to the COL43 (Woods,Trevor), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Holding (Mojarro,Elijah) 10 yards from CAL36 to CAL26. NO PLAY. - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.44 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 74

Started Drive at: CAL 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.51 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 23 (24.51)

Score Difference (End): 23 (24.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 25 (1st & 20 at CAL 26) Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the Cal 28 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.42 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72

Started Drive at: CAL 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.07 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 23 (24.07)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 25 (2nd & 18 at CAL 28) Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the Cal 27 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.43 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 73

Started Drive at: CAL 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.66 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 23 (23.66)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 25 (3rd & 19 at CAL 27) Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Cal 24 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -0.84 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 76

Started Drive at: CAL 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.23 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 23 (23.23)

Score Difference (End): 23 (22.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:26 ESPN team id 25 (4th & 22 at CAL 24) Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 49 , Chase Penry returns for 16 yds to the Colo 49 - COLO 3, CAL 26 -1.90 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 51

Started Drive at: CAL 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - 0.02 = -1.90

Score Difference (Before): 23 (23.02)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-21.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 38 (1st & 10 at COLO 49) Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 49 - COLO 3, CAL 26 0.41 0.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: COLO 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.30 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.70)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: COLO 3, CAL 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2