Oregon 34 @ UCLA 31

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.17 | Odds: UCLA -1, O/U 61.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Total Plays 67102
Total EPA -1.832.42
  Offensive EPA 3.942.17
  Special Teams EPA -3.91-1.80
  Penalty EPA 2.342.82
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -4.20-0.77
Production ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Scrimmage Plays 6193
  Yards 415412
  Yards/Play 6.804.43
  EPA 3.942.17
  EPA/Play 0.060.02
Passes 39 (64%)50 (54%)
  Yards 264272
  Yards/Play 6.775.44
  EPA -0.712.40
  EPA/Play -0.020.05
Rushes 22 (36%)43 (46%)
  Yards 121135
  Yards/Play 5.503.14
  EPA 4.65-0.24
  EPA/Play 0.21-0.01
Rushing ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Scrimmage Plays 6193
Rushes 22 (36%)43 (46%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 3 (14%)3 (7%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (100%)2 (67%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 4 (18%)10 (23%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 11 (50%)19 (44%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 10 (45%)19 (44%)
OL Line Yards 22.551
  Per Carry 1.021.19
Highlight Yards 61.524
  Per Rush Opportunity 6.151.26
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Total Plays 67102
Scrimmage Plays 6193
Explosive Plays 3 (5%)6 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (5%)5 (10%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (5%)1 (2%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -6.17-15.95
  EPA/Play -0.11-0.18
  When Passing -7.46-13.01
    EPA/Play -0.19-0.26
  When Rushing 1.29-2.94
    EPA/Play 0.06-0.07
Situational ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 36 (59%)45 (48%)
  When Passing 23 (59%)23 (46%)
  When Rushing 13 (59%)22 (51%)
  On Standard Downs 30 (61%)32 (53%)
  On Passing Downs 6 (50%)13 (39%)
  On Early Downs 30 (58%)30 (45%)
  On Late Downs 6 (67%)15 (56%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (67%)7 (39%)
Early Downs 5266
  First Downs Created 12 (23%)11 (17%)
  EPA 1.14-9.58
  EPA/Play 0.02-0.15
  Passes 35 (67%)32 (48%)
  Rushes 17 (33%)34 (52%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 20 (57%)14 (44%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 10 (59%)16 (47%)
"Middle 8" Plays 918
  EPA 8.96-2.85
  EPA/play 1.00-0.16
  Passes 7 (78%)11 (61%)
  Rushes 2 (22%)7 (39%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (57%)4 (36%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (100%)3 (43%)
Drives ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Total 1112
Avg Starting Field Position Own 31Own 34
Plays/Drive 7.7210.61
Yards/Drive 46.0745.12
Available Yards % 66%68%
Defensive ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Scrimmage Plays 9361
Stop Rate 33%23%
Havoc Plays Created 12 (13%)7 (11%)
  Passing 5 (10%)4 (10%)
  Rushing 7 (16%)3 (14%)
TFLs Generated 104
  Passing 31
  Rushing 73
Sacks Generated 3 (6%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 22
Fumbles Forced 01
Turnovers ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Turnovers 43
  Fumbles 33
  Fumbles Lost 21
  Fumbles Recovered 12
  Interceptions 22
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 3.43.4
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) -5.05.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 26
Total Plays 6 9
Total EPA -3.91 -1.8
  Field Goal EPA 0 -2.13
  Punting EPA -2.72 -0.66
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.19 0.98

Oregon [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Anthony Brown 28/38, 264 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 1 Sck, 45.3 xQBR 6.77 -0.02 -0.71 59% -15.0%
Rush attempts
Anthony Brown 4 carries, 84 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 1.29 5.15 75% 12.0%
Seven McGee 1 carry, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.37 1.37 100% 2.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -4.50 -0.08 -0.15 0% 7.0%
Travis Dye 14 carries, 36 yds, 4 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 2.57 -0.04 -0.53 64% 21.0%
Byron Cardwell 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -1.19 -1.19 0% -1.0%
Pass targets
Devon Williams 4 catches (4 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.29 5.17 100% 6.0%
Mycah Pittman 5 catches (6 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.20 0.65 3.92 50% 11.0%
Johnny Johnson III 4 catches (4 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.25 0.92 3.69 75% 9.0%
Travis Dye 4 catches (4 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.58 2.34 75% 0.0%
Troy Franklin 3 catches (4 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.67 0.32 1.30 75% 2.0%
Seven McGee 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.73 0.73 100% 3.0%
Terrance Ferguson 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.68 0.68 100% 0.0%
Jaylon Redd 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.32 0.64 100% 0.0%
Moliki Matavao 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.62 0.62 100% 0.0%
Spencer Webb 1 catch (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.23 -0.46 50% -1.0%
Kris Hutson 2 catches (2 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 11.50 -2.51 -5.03 50% -7.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Anthony Brown 1/1, 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 89.4 xQBR 32.00 2.55 2.55 100% -42.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson 22/41, 218 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 66.9 xQBR 4.95 0.04 1.81 45% 7.0%
Ethan Garbers 2/5, 22 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 24.0 xQBR 4.40 -0.39 -1.96 40% -9.0%
Rush attempts
Dorian Thompson-Robinson 12 carries, 53 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 4.42 0.49 5.87 75% 20.0%
Brittain Brown 13 carries, 47 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.62 0.11 1.39 54% 24.0%
Kazmeir Allen 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.03 -0.03 0% -1.0%
Anthony Brown 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.73 -0.73 0% 0.0%
Luke Akers 1 carry, -11 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) -11.00 -2.94 -2.94 0% -7.0%
Zach Charbonnet 15 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.27 -0.25 -3.79 40% 5.0%
Pass targets
Kyle Philips 8 catches (9 targets), 74 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.25 1.02 9.18 78% 21.0%
Greg Dulcich 4 catches (5 targets), 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.75 1.41 7.04 80% 4.0%
Kam Brown 3 catches (3 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.67 1.56 4.67 100% 22.0%
Zach Charbonnet 3 catches (3 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.88 2.63 100% 12.0%
Devon Williams 1 catch (1 target), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.00 2.55 2.55 100% -42.0%
Keegan Jones 1 catch (1 target), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 2.28 2.28 100% 3.0%
Chase Cota 3 catches (3 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.67 0.68 2.05 100% 3.0%
Kazmeir Allen 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.17 0.35 50% 2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 1:41 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at ORE 47) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jay Shaw , return for 24 yds to the Oregn 30 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -6.52 87.4% -10.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.52 - 3.00 = -6.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.00)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 14 at ORE 21) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Jordan Genmark Heath return for 20 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -5.08 91.6% -12.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.29 - 0.79 = -5.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:30 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted DJ James return for no gain to the UCLA 48 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -4.76 70.7% -9.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 48

Started Drive at: UCLA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - 2.61 = -4.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:52 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 29 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 17 4.20 41.6% 14.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 17

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 0.58 = 4.20

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 24) Anthony Brown pass intercepted, touchback. Jay Shaw return for no gain - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -4.06 91.0% -13.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 3.34 = -4.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:58 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 12 at ORE 45) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 17 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.88 2.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 28

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - -0.28 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.28)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:36 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 2 at UCLA 34) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -3.62 35.1% -6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 67

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 0.97 = -3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 39) Ethan Garbers pass intercepted DJ James return for 19 yds to the UCLA 46 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -3.47 24.6% -21.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 46

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.94 = -3.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 43) Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.37 92.0% 5.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.63 = 3.37

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:52 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 4 at ORE 22) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.19 2.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 13

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 1.49 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.51)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 14:29 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 32 yds to the OREGON 29 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Offside declined for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 14 2.55 86.7% -41.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 7

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 3.24 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.24)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 39) Ethan Garbers pass intercepted DJ James return for 19 yds to the UCLA 46 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -3.47 24.6% -21.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 46

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.94 = -3.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 8 at ORE 49) Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 2.09 16.7% 14.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 39

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.20 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.80)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:06 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 7 at UCLA 23) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 2.64 13.9% 14.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.87 = 2.64

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:52 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 29 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 17 4.20 41.6% 14.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 17

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 0.58 = 4.20

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 24) Anthony Brown pass intercepted, touchback. Jay Shaw return for no gain - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -4.06 91.0% -13.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 3.34 = -4.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 14 at ORE 21) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Jordan Genmark Heath return for 20 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -5.08 91.6% -12.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.29 - 0.79 = -5.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 31 1.06 18.2% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 18 at ORE 19) Nicholas Barr-Mira 37 Yd Field Goal - ORE 14, UCLA 17 0.77 55.5% 11.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 0, UCLA 7 0.47 55.9% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.53 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 0, UCLA 7 0.47 55.9% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.53 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:08 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 4) Kazmeir Allen 5 Yd pass from Dorian Thompson-Robinson (Nicholas Barr-Mira Kick) - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.75 77.3% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:46 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at UCLA 1) Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.99 25.4% 6.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.01 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:49 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 4) Travis Dye run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.21 46.5% 7.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 18 at ORE 19) Nicholas Barr-Mira 37 Yd Field Goal - ORE 14, UCLA 17 0.77 55.5% 11.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 1) Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 21, UCLA 17 0.56 60.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 5) Travis Dye run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis PAT MISSED) - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.04 74.5% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.96 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 21 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 43) Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.37 92.0% 5.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.63 = 3.37

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 2) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 24 0.91 4.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.09 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-10.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 31 1.06 18.2% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.00 45.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:55 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the UCLA 32 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.52 45.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 0.94 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:24 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 3 at UCLA 32) Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.37 46.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.62 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:03 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 38) UCLA Penalty, False Start (Jon Gaines II) to the UCLA 33 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 -0.80 49.3% -3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 67

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 2.11 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:50 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 15 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.10 46.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.36 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 39) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.78 46.9% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 53

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.42 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:56 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 1 at UCLA 47) Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.67 48.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.16 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:38 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at 50) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.78 50.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 40

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.82 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.4%

Win Probability (After): 52.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:11 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 40) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.57 52.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 29

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 3.61 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.1%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:35 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 29) Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Oregn 25 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 -0.12 52.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.17 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:02 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 6 at ORE 25) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.42 52.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 4.03 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 53.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:26 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 1 at ORE 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 0.54 52.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 14

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 4.47 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:53 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 14) Brittain Brown run for 13 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 0 1.41 54.1% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 1

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.51 - 5.11 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 0, UCLA 7 0.47 55.9% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.53 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds , Mykael Wright return for 23 yds to the Oregn 23 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -1.19 33.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 0.07 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:28 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 25 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 7 2.00 34.4% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - -0.09 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:57 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 48) Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the UCLA 45 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 0.50 38.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 1.89 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:34 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 3 at UCLA 45) Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 7 0.28 38.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.32 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:04 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 42) Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 3 yds to the UCLA 39 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.23 38.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.51 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at UCLA 39) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -1.08 38.9% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.24 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:12 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 7 at UCLA 39) Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.30 35.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.19 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.81)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:36 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 2 at UCLA 34) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -3.62 35.1% -6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 67

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 0.97 = -3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:30 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted DJ James return for no gain to the UCLA 48 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -4.76 70.7% -9.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 48

Started Drive at: UCLA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - 2.61 = -4.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:59 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 48) Anthony Brown sacked by Ale Kaho for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 47 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -1.51 38.6% -4.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 53

Started Drive at: UCLA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 2.13 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.87)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 47) OREGON Penalty, False Start (Devon Williams) to the Oregn 42 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.27 32.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: UCLA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.61 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 20 at ORE 42) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.94 31.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: UCLA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.34 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:13 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 20 at ORE 42) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -1.19 31.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: UCLA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.60 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:07 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 20 at ORE 42) Tom Snee punt blocked by Martell Irby blocked by Martell Irby Martell Irby return for 2 yds to the Oregn 30 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -2.72 29.3% -3.6%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 30

Started Drive at: UCLA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.55 - -1.83 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:03 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.56 74.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.55 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:38 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 30) Kazmeir Allen run for 6 yds to the Oregn 24 - ORE 0, UCLA 7 -0.03 74.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 3.99 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.3%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:20 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 4 at ORE 24) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 20 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 7 2.28 74.2% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.25 - 3.97 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:08 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 4) Kazmeir Allen 5 Yd pass from Dorian Thompson-Robinson (Nicholas Barr-Mira Kick) - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.75 77.3% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:08 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.00 15.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:08 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (-13 Yards) to the Oregn 12 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -1.04 15.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 88

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -0.53 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 12) Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 12 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -0.65 15.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - -1.02 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 12) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 9 yds to the Oregn 21 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.49 14.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 79

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -1.65 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.65)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:47 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 1 at ORE 21) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.56 14.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -1.16 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.16)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds Moliki Matavao fumbled, forced by Ale Kaho, recovered by Oregn Moliki Matavao - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.62 16.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - -0.50 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:20 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 2 at ORE 31) Byron Cardwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 30 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -1.19 17.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 70

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 0.21 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.79)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:53 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 3 at ORE 30) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 19 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 14 2.55 15.7% 5.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 51

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - -0.99 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.99)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 49) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer Webb - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -0.67 20.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.57 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 49) Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the UCLA 45 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.08 17.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.88 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:54 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 4 at UCLA 39) Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -0.73 85.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.27 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:29 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 32 yds to the OREGON 29 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Offside declined for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UCLA 14 2.55 86.7% -41.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 7

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 3.24 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.24)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 7) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the UCLA 1 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 0.73 25.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.01 - 5.28 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.72)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at UCLA 1) UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quentin Lake) to the UCLA 1 - ORE 0, UCLA 14 -0.02 25.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 6.00 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:46 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at UCLA 1) Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.99 25.4% 6.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.01 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:46 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.00 72.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:38 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 30 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.08 72.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.14 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:13 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 5 at UCLA 30) Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.61 71.5% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.24 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.24)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:46 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 36) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.44 72.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.75 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.5%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:20 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at UCLA 36) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.85 72.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 2.31 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:58 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 7 at UCLA 39) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 1.71 71.0% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 53

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 1.62 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:20 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 47) Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.31 74.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.30 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:20 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 7 at 50) Brittain Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard line - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.84 73.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.96 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:30 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 7 at 50) OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Oregn 45 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.90 74.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 2.09 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:49 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 2 at ORE 45) Brittain Brown run for 14 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 1.56 75.0% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 31

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 2.88 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 31) Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.72 76.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - 4.40 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:19 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 17) Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.48 78.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 15

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 5.15 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.8%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:48 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 8 at ORE 15) Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 16 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.66 77.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 16

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 4.55 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:12 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 9 at ORE 16) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -1.07 76.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.71 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.71)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:06 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 9 at ORE 16) Nicholas Barr-Mira 35 yd FG MISSED - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -2.90 75.0% -4.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 80

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 2.60 = -2.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:57 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 20) Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 28 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.40 30.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.31 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:20 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 2 at ORE 28) Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.56 31.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.74 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:53 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.52 32.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.35 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:44 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the Oregn 43 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.54 31.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.95 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:10 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 1 at ORE 43) Seven McGee run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 1.37 32.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 1.43 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 46) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 6 yds to the UCLA 40 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.54 35.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.53 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at UCLA 40) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.80 35.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.06 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 34.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:44 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 4 at UCLA 40) Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 1.42 34.6% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 2.30 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:14 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 30) Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 11 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.73 39.1% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 3.51 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:37 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 19) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 7, UCLA 14 -0.52 42.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 4.29 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at UCLA 19) UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 14 - ORE 7, UCLA 14 0.91 41.1% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 14

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 3.69 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 5 at UCLA 14) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 10 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 7, UCLA 14 1.28 42.9% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 4.56 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 7, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:49 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 4) Travis Dye run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.21 46.5% 7.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:49 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.00 50.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:49 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Timeout UCLA, clock 02:49 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.00 50.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:30 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 25 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.68 51.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.45 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:00 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at UCLA 25) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 6 yds to the UCLA 31 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.40 50.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.05 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:39 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 4 at UCLA 31) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.45 47.7% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 0.62 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 35) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the UCLA 44 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.73 51.5% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 1.64 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.64)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:10 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 1 at UCLA 44) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.01 53.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 51

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.27 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 49) Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.36 53.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.09 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 5 at ORE 46) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 47 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Zach Charbonnet Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Oregn 47 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.55 54.1% -2.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 47

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.33 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:52 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 6 at ORE 47) Timeout OREGON, clock 00:52 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.00 51.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.78 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 6 at ORE 47) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 13 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.61 52.3% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 34

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 1.76 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 34) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 41 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -1.49 58.7% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 41

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 3.28 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 17 at ORE 41) Timeout UCLA, clock 00:38 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.00 53.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.78 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:33 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 17 at ORE 41) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the Oregn 30 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.20 53.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 30

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.86 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 6 at ORE 30) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.76 55.7% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.97 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 6 at ORE 30) OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Oregn 25 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.68 52.3% 2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 2.24 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 1 at ORE 25) Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.05 54.6% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.65 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:10 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 23) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 12 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 14 1.38 58.7% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 11

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 2.93 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 11) Timeout UCLA, clock 00:09 - ORE 14, UCLA 14 0.00 61.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 61.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 11) Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 19 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for 0 yards - ORE 14, UCLA 14 -0.47 60.1% -2.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 19

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.24 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 14

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 18 at ORE 19) Nicholas Barr-Mira 37 Yd Field Goal - ORE 14, UCLA 17 0.77 55.5% 11.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 14, UCLA 17 0.00 41.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 3 yds to the Oregn 28 - ORE 14, UCLA 17 -0.49 43.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.50 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.50)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.1%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:23 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at ORE 28) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 16 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 17 1.87 43.0% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 0.19 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.81)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:55 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 44) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for no gain to the Oregn 44 - ORE 14, UCLA 17 -0.65 46.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.19 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.81)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:15 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 44) OREGON Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 39 - ORE 14, UCLA 17 -0.95 45.0% -3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 1.55 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.45)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:52 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 29 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 17 4.20 41.6% 14.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 17

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 0.58 = 4.20

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 55.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:32 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 17) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 16 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST down - ORE 14, UCLA 17 1.49 56.0% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.34 - 4.85 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 14, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 1) Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 21, UCLA 17 0.56 60.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 45 yds - ORE 21, UCLA 17 0.98 36.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: UCLA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 0.65 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:48 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 35) Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 33 - ORE 21, UCLA 17 -1.30 38.1% -4.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: UCLA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.57 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:18 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 12 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 21, UCLA 17 -0.96 34.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: UCLA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.22 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.78)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:13 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 12 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 21, UCLA 17 -1.05 32.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: UCLA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.73 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.73)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-5.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:06 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 12 at UCLA 33) Luke Akers run for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 22 Luke Akers fumbled, recovered by Oregn Korbin Williams - ORE 21, UCLA 17 -2.94 30.6% -6.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 22

Started Drive at: UCLA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.71 - -1.77 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.77)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:56 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 22) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the UCLA 20 - ORE 21, UCLA 17 -0.50 76.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.73 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.73)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:15 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at UCLA 20) Timeout OREGON, clock 10:15 - ORE 21, UCLA 17 0.00 75.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.23 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:59 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at UCLA 20) Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 5 yds to the UCLA 15 - ORE 21, UCLA 17 0.21 71.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 4.25 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.25)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:19 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 3 at UCLA 15) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 10 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST down - ORE 21, UCLA 17 1.53 72.0% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 5

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.97 - 4.44 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 21, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UCLA 5) Travis Dye run for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis PAT MISSED) - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.04 74.5% 4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.96 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 21 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.00 23.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.35 22.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - -0.01 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.01)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:55 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 7 at UCLA 28) Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 34 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.90 21.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - -0.39 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.39)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:37 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 1 at UCLA 34) Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 33 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -2.16 22.2% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 67

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - 0.54 = -2.16

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:57 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 2 at UCLA 33) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down - ORE 27, UCLA 17 2.70 17.5% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - -1.64 = 2.70

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:28 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 36) Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.58 22.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.08 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.92)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:06 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 37) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST down - ORE 27, UCLA 17 1.37 22.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 0.44 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.56)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:28 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 47) Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.50 22.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.77 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.23)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:57 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 48) UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 43 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.72 22.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.29 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.71)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:31 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 14 at UCLA 43) UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.50 19.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 62

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.56 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.44)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:58 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 19 at UCLA 38) Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.49 17.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 57

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.06 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.94)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:39 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 14 at UCLA 43) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -1.33 16.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -0.40 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.40)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 14 at UCLA 43) Luke Akers punt for 27 yds, downed at the Oregn 30 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.66 14.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 70

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -1.73 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.73)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:13 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 34 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.18 83.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.39 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.39)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.66 84.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 59

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.22 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.22)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:22 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 41) Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 47 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 0.10 86.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 2.89 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:41 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at ORE 47) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jay Shaw , return for 24 yds to the Oregn 30 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -6.52 87.4% -10.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.52 - 3.00 = -6.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.00)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:28 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -1.00 21.8% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.58 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:58 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 11 at ORE 31) Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.46 19.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.63 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.37)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:10 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 10 at ORE 30) Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 38 - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -2.93 18.6% -4.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 2.20 = -2.93

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.80)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:52 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 18 at ORE 38) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -2.07 12.3% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.76 - -0.69 = -2.07

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:42 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 27, UCLA 17 -0.59 91.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.79 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 19 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down - ORE 27, UCLA 17 1.56 90.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 43

Started Drive at: ORE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.12 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.12)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 27, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 43) Anthony Brown run for 43 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.37 92.0% 5.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.63 = 3.37

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.63)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 26 (Kickoff at UCLA 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 34, UCLA 17 0.00 2.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - -0.47 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.47)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:44 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 1.04 2.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - -0.46 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.46)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:25 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 37) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -0.68 2.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.58 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.42)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:20 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at UCLA 37) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -0.79 2.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.10 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.10)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 10 at UCLA 37) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 20 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.15 2.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 43

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -0.89 = 3.15

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.89)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:44 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 43) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -0.66 3.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 2.22 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.78)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:34 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 43) Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 45 - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -1.88 2.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 45

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 1.53 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.47)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:58 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 12 at ORE 45) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 17 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.88 2.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 28

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - -0.28 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.28)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:43 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 28) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -0.62 3.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.55 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:25 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 28) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds to the Oregn 22 - ORE 34, UCLA 17 0.24 3.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 22

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.90 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.10)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 4 at ORE 22) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 17 -1.76 3.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 3.19 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.81)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:52 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 4 at ORE 22) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 9 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 17 3.19 2.3% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 13

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 1.49 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.51)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-12.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:42 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 13) Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 11 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA. - ORE 34, UCLA 17 1.40 3.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 2

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.09 - 4.68 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-12.32)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 2) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 24 0.91 4.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UCLA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.09 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-10.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 34, UCLA 24 0.00 92.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.89 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:10 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -0.46 92.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.87 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.87)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:59 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 26) OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 21 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -0.50 91.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 1.41 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.41)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 14 at ORE 21) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Jordan Genmark Heath return for 20 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -5.08 91.6% -12.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.29 - 0.79 = -5.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:20 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -0.53 19.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 4.28 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.72)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:15 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -0.69 19.0% -4.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.76 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.24)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:09 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 10 at ORE 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 11 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 24 1.88 14.8% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 9

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.97 - 3.09 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 9) Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Oregn 4 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 0.21 20.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.17 - 4.96 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.04)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:45 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & Goal at ORE 4) Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 6 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 -1.34 19.1% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 5.11 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.89)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:28 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & Goal at ORE 6) Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete to Charbonnet, Zach, PENALTY OREGON holding 3 yards to the OREGON3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA. - ORE 34, UCLA 24 2.12 13.2% 7.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 3.72 = 2.12

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.28)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:58 ESPN team id 26 (1st & Goal at ORE 3) Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 1 - ORE 34, UCLA 24 0.08 18.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 5.86 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & Goal at ORE 1) Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) - ORE 34, UCLA 31 1.06 18.2% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:34 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.00 73.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.30 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.30)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:20 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown run for 28 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 1.69 74.2% 6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 47

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 1.29 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.29)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:32 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 47) Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.33 80.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.74 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 5 at UCLA 42) Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 4 yds to the UCLA 38 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.12 83.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.94 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:32 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 1 at UCLA 38) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.48 85.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 36

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.01 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:57 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 36) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 4 yds to the UCLA 32 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.26 89.0% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.17 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:57 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at UCLA 32) Timeout UCLA, clock 03:57 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.00 89.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:45 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at UCLA 32) Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 7 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.68 91.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 25

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 3.28 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:07 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 25) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the UCLA 24 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.18 91.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 3.73 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.73)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:07 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 24) Timeout UCLA, clock 03:07 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.00 90.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 3.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.55)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at UCLA 24) Anthony Brown pass intercepted, touchback. Jay Shaw return for no gain - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -4.06 91.0% -13.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 3.34 = -4.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:55 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.56 22.5% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.83 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:46 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at UCLA 20) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.06 19.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.31 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.69)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:30 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 2 at UCLA 28) UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 23 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.63 19.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 77

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.37 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:20 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 7 at UCLA 23) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -1.06 17.5% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.10 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.10)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:06 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 7 at UCLA 23) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 2.64 13.9% 14.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.87 = 2.64

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:50 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 39) Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.17 23.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 1.52 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.48)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:40 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 4 at UCLA 45) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.21 23.2% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 51

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.53 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.47)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:28 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at UCLA 49) UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 39 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.39 21.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.47 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.53)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:23 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 20 at UCLA 39) Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.28 19.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 0.86 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:15 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 20 at UCLA 39) Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kam Brown for 12 yds to the Oregn 49 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.41 18.5% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 49

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 0.64 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 26 (3rd & 8 at ORE 49) Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Greg Dulcich - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.78 19.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 1.02 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 8 at ORE 49) Timeout OREGON, clock 01:05 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 0.00 17.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 26 (4th & 8 at ORE 49) Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down - ORE 34, UCLA 31 2.09 16.7% 14.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 39

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.20 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.80)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:54 ESPN team id 26 (1st & 10 at ORE 39) Ethan Garbers pass incomplete - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.22 26.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.17 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.83)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 25.3%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 26 (2nd & 10 at ORE 39) Ethan Garbers pass intercepted DJ James return for 19 yds to the UCLA 46 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -3.47 24.6% -21.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 46

Started Drive at: UCLA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.94 = -3.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UCLA 46) TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 49 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.14 95.8% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51

Started Drive at: UCLA 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.90 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.90)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:05 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 49) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 45 - ORE 34, UCLA 31 -0.01 93.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 55

Started Drive at: UCLA 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.34 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 34, UCLA 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1