Utah 34 @ Oregon St 42

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.57 | Odds: UTAH -3, O/U 58.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 8364
Total EPA 2.1322.14
  Offensive EPA 4.4622.79
  Special Teams EPA -8.000.54
  Penalty EPA 5.68-3.24
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.012.05
Production ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 7256
  Yards 426472
  Yards/Play 5.928.43
  EPA 4.4622.79
  EPA/Play 0.060.41
Passes 35 (49%)20 (36%)
  Yards 263200
  Yards/Play 7.5110.00
  EPA -0.158.30
  EPA/Play 0.000.41
Rushes 37 (51%)36 (64%)
  Yards 163282
  Yards/Play 4.417.83
  EPA 4.6114.49
  EPA/Play 0.120.40
Rushing ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 7256
Rushes 37 (51%)36 (64%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (5%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (16%)3 (8%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 12 (32%)9 (25%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 18 (49%)22 (61%)
OL Line Yards 55.275.2
  Per Carry 1.492.09
Highlight Yards 47.5126
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.645.73
Explosiveness ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 8364
Scrimmage Plays 7256
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)8 (14%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (6%)3 (15%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)5 (14%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -5.95-3.33
  EPA/Play -0.09-0.07
  When Passing -5.48-3.25
    EPA/Play -0.16-0.16
  When Rushing -0.47-0.08
    EPA/Play -0.010.00
Situational ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 35 (49%)32 (57%)
  When Passing 16 (46%)11 (55%)
  When Rushing 19 (51%)21 (58%)
  On Standard Downs 32 (55%)25 (61%)
  On Passing Downs 3 (21%)7 (47%)
  On Early Downs 26 (48%)25 (56%)
  On Late Downs 9 (50%)7 (64%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (60%)9 (50%)
Early Downs 5445
  First Downs Created 12 (22%)11 (24%)
  EPA 8.857.50
  EPA/Play 0.160.17
  Passes 26 (48%)12 (27%)
  Rushes 28 (52%)33 (73%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (50%)7 (58%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 13 (46%)18 (55%)
"Middle 8" Plays 518
  EPA -0.04-1.02
  EPA/play -0.01-0.06
  Passes 1 (20%)9 (50%)
  Rushes 4 (80%)9 (50%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 0 (0%)5 (56%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (75%)4 (44%)
Drives ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Total 1010
Avg Starting Field Position Own 31Own 21
Plays/Drive 9.727.55
Yards/Drive 55.6057.57
Available Yards % 81%73%
Defensive ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 5672
Stop Rate 34%33%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (11%)4 (6%)
  Passing 3 (15%)0 (0%)
  Rushing 3 (8%)4 (11%)
TFLs Generated 64
  Passing 30
  Rushing 34
Sacks Generated 2 (10%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Turnovers 01
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 0.50.5
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 5.0-5.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 11 8
Total EPA -8 0.54
  Field Goal EPA -1.79 0
  Punting EPA -6.21 -0.34
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 0.88
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Cameron Rising 22/35, 263 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 50.3 xQBR 7.51 0.00 -0.15 46% 9.0%
Rush attempts
Cameron Rising 9 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.44 0.25 2.28 56% 3.0%
Tavion Thomas 20 carries, 65 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.25 0.10 2.07 50% 6.0%
Micah Bernard 2 carries, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.50 1.00 100% 5.0%
TJ Pledger 4 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.08 0.34 25% 0.0%
Britain Covey 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.24 0.24 100% 1.0%
Brant Kuithe 1 carry, -5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -5.00 -1.32 -1.32 0% -5.0%
Pass targets
Devaughn Vele 3 catches (3 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.67 1.41 4.22 100% 10.0%
Dalton Kincaid 2 catches (2 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 27.50 1.55 3.10 100% 4.0%
Micah Bernard 3 catches (3 targets), 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.67 0.65 1.94 67% 7.0%
Jaylen Dixon 1 catch (1 target), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 29.00 1.76 1.76 100% 7.0%
Britain Covey 5 catches (5 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.34 1.70 80% 1.0%
Theo Howard 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.36 1.36 100% 3.0%
Solomon Enis 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.22 1.22 100% 2.0%
Cole Fotheringham 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.59 1.18 50% 5.0%
TJ Pledger 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.23 -0.23 0% -1.0%
Brant Kuithe 3 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.33 -0.54 -1.61 33% -2.0%

Oregon State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chance Nolan 13/18, 200 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 75.3 xQBR 10.00 0.41 8.30 55% 24.0%
Rush attempts
Trey Lowe 3 carries, 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.67 2.31 6.94 100% 19.0%
B.J. Baylor 19 carries, 154 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.11 0.20 3.87 53% 12.0%
Trevon Bradford 2 carries, 20 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.40 2.79 100% 13.0%
Anthony Gould 2 carries, 17 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.90 1.81 50% 4.0%
Chance Nolan 2 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.46 0.92 100% 1.0%
Jesiah Irish 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.24 0.24 100% 0.0%
Deshaun Fenwick 7 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.30 -2.07 29% -9.0%
Pass targets
Trevon Bradford 6 catches (6 targets), 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.33 1.26 7.56 83% 25.0%
Tre'Shaun Harrison 3 catches (3 targets), 72 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.00 2.18 6.53 100% 3.0%
Tyjon Lindsey 1 catch (1 target), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 36.00 3.85 3.85 100% 8.0%
Trey Lowe 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.93 1.93 100% 7.0%
Jack Collet 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 0.75 0.75 100% 5.0%
Teagan Quitoriano 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.66 -0.66 0% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 10 at UTAH 37) Luke Musgrave 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Everett Hayes Kick) - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -6.21 64.1% -25.3%

Play Type: Blocked Punt Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:43 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 19 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -5.26 32.5% -11.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - 0.91 = -5.26

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 6) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 54 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 4.48 95.3% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - -0.68 = 4.48

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.32)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 68 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 7 4.45 14.0% 6.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 0.78 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.22)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 254 (4th & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -3.96 12.8% -5.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 98

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 3.48 = -3.96

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.52)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 8 at ORST 38) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 36 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 3.85 13.0% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - -0.31 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.31)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 3 at ORST 31) Trey Lowe run for 38 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 28 3.55 32.6% 15.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.34 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.66)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 11) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 21 3.22 21.1% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 13 at UTAH 22) Cameron Rising run for 21 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 2.89 66.6% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - -0.46 = 2.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.54)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (4th & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -2.72 76.5% -6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 3.36 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 10 at UTAH 37) Luke Musgrave 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Everett Hayes Kick) - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -6.21 64.1% -25.3%

Play Type: Blocked Punt Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 3 at ORST 31) Trey Lowe run for 38 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 28 3.55 32.6% 15.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.34 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.66)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 11) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 21 3.22 21.1% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:43 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 19 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -5.26 32.5% -11.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - 0.91 = -5.26

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at UTAH 10) Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 35 2.00 51.6% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.00 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & Goal at UTAH 8) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 42 1.60 82.2% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.40)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 8 at ORST 38) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 36 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 3.85 13.0% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - -0.31 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.31)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 31) RISING, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for KUITHE, Brant thrown to the UTA48. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on OLADAPO, Kitan enforced 15 yards to the UTA46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UTAH 0, ORST 0 2.22 56.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.24 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 49) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 35 1.93 65.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 1.77 = 1.93

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.77)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:01 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & Goal at ORST 1) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 28 0.80 60.8% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:02 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 14) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 14 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 7, ORST 0 2.00 71.2% 6.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.00 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 11) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 14, ORST 0 1.57 85.2% 4.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.43)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:52 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 14) Anthony Gould run for 14 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 14, ORST 7 2.34 16.0% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at ORST 11) Jordan Noyes 29 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 17, ORST 7 0.24 83.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.76)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 204 (1st & Goal at UTAH 1) Chance Nolan pass complete to Jack Colletto for 1 yd for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.75 22.7% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-3.75)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORST 3) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 14 1.34 80.3% 6.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.66 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.66)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 11) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 21 3.22 21.1% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 10 at UTAH 37) Luke Musgrave 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Everett Hayes Kick) - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -6.21 64.1% -25.3%

Play Type: Blocked Punt Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:01 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & Goal at ORST 1) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 28 0.80 60.8% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at UTAH 10) Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 35 2.00 51.6% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.00 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & Goal at UTAH 8) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 42 1.60 82.2% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.40)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:38 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 3 at ORST 15) Jordan Noyes 33 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 34, ORST 42 0.54 4.4% 2.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.46 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.54)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 34, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 31 (34) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 0, ORST 0 0.00 55.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Britain Covey run for 5 yds to the Utah 30 - UTAH 0, ORST 0 0.24 59.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 0.86 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 30) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 31 - UTAH 0, ORST 0 -0.86 60.8% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 1.10 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 31) RISING, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for KUITHE, Brant thrown to the UTA48. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on OLADAPO, Kitan enforced 15 yards to the UTA46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UTAH 0, ORST 0 2.22 56.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 0.24 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 46) UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 41 - UTAH 0, ORST 0 -0.87 64.2% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.59 - 2.46 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 15 at UTAH 41) Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 0, ORST 0 0.70 61.4% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.59 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at 50) TJ Pledger run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, ORST 0 1.23 63.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 2.29 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 37) OREGON ST Penalty, Face mask (9 yards) (Jaydon Grant) to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, ORST 0 1.17 65.9% 2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 14

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 3.52 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:02 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 14) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 14 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 7, ORST 0 2.00 71.2% 6.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.00 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 10) B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 9 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -1.09 22.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 91

Started Drive at: ORST 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -0.88 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.5%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:54 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 11 at ORST 9) B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 12 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -0.34 21.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 88

Started Drive at: ORST 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.29 - -1.95 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 8 at ORST 12) Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 1 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -1.65 21.1% -3.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.94 - -2.29 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 19 at ORST 1) Luke Loecher punt for 37 yds - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -0.25 17.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORST 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.13 - -3.88 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 38) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 14 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, ORST 0 0.63 82.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 4.16 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 24) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the OrgSt 23 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -0.47 83.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.79 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.79)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 82.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 9 at ORST 23) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 20 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 -0.38 82.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.32 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 6 at ORST 20) OREGON ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 15 - UTAH 7, ORST 0 1.13 82.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 3.94 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 1 at ORST 15) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, ORST 0 0.36 83.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 5.07 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 11) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 14, ORST 0 1.57 85.2% 4.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.43)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.00 9.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - -0.54 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 23 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 -1.17 9.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.71 - -0.54 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 12 at ORST 23) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 14 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 0 2.23 7.9% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - -1.71 = 2.23

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 37) B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 40 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 -0.40 11.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.52 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 7 at ORST 40) Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.80 10.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 0.13 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.87)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 1 at ORST 46) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 41 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 -1.36 11.3% -1.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 0.93 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 41) Trey Lowe run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 0 2.22 9.4% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 48

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - -0.43 = 2.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 48) B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.97 12.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 36

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 1.80 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.20)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 36) Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Utah 32 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.06 13.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.77 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 32) Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Utah 30 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 -0.42 13.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.83 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.17)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 30) Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 0 1.16 13.0% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 2.40 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.60)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 26) Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the Utah 19 - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.55 14.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.57 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:19 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 3 at UTAH 19) B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 0 0.41 15.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 14

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 4.12 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:52 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 14) Anthony Gould run for 14 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 14, ORST 7 2.34 16.0% 6.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:52 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 14, ORST 7 0.00 81.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:52 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the Utah 29 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.11 81.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.22 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 29) TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the Utah 32 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.41 80.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.09 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 32) Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 7 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 7 1.36 80.7% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 1.63 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 39) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 5 yds to the Utah 44 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 0.05 83.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 2.99 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.99)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 46 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.64 83.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.04 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 46) Tavion Thomas run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 7 1.70 83.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 2.40 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 39) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.58 84.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 4.10 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORST 39) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.24 83.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 3.52 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 5 at ORST 34) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.03 83.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.27 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at ORST 30) Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 7 1.46 82.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 3.24 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.24)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 27) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the OrgSt 19 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 0.45 85.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 4.70 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 2 at ORST 19) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.62 85.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 5.15 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 2 at ORST 19) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, ORST 7 0.77 85.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.53 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 16) TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 12 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.27 86.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 5.30 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at ORST 12) Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 11 - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -0.65 86.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 5.03 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 5 at ORST 11) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 14, ORST 7 -1.48 85.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 4.37 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at ORST 11) Jordan Noyes 29 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 17, ORST 7 0.24 83.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.76 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.76)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 17, ORST 7 0.00 13.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.54 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Jesiah Irish run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31 - UTAH 17, ORST 7 0.24 13.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.54 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 68 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 7 4.45 14.0% 6.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 1

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 0.78 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.22)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 204 (1st & Goal at UTAH 1) Chance Nolan pass complete to Jack Colletto for 1 yd for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.75 22.7% 5.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-3.75)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.00 70.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.39 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.39)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -0.96 70.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.39 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.39)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 13 at UTAH 22) Cameron Rising run for 21 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 2.89 66.6% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - -0.46 = 2.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.54)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 43) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 47 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -0.15 72.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.43 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.43)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 47) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 41 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 2.61 72.3% 6.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 2.28 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.28)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 78.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORST 8) Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 2 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.54 78.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.83 - 5.29 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.29)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -0.65 78.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 5.83 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.83)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -1.79 78.1% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 5.18 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (4th & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -2.72 76.5% -6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 3.36 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.64)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 1) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 9 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.69 28.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 91

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - -0.59 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.59)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 2 at ORST 9) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.14 29.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 87

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.10 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.90)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 13) Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 10 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -0.89 29.8% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 90

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.24 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.8%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:47 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 13 at ORST 10) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 15 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 1.49 26.3% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - -0.65 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.65)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:43 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 19 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -5.26 32.5% -11.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - 0.91 = -5.26

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:43 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 19) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.07 79.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.71 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 10 at ORST 19) Timeout UTAH, clock 01:00 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 0.00 79.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.78 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at ORST 16) Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 19 - UTAH 17, ORST 14 -0.92 79.0% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.74 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 10 at ORST 19) Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST down - UTAH 17, ORST 14 2.19 76.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 3

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 2.82 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 17, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORST 3) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 14 1.34 80.3% 6.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.66 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.66)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.00 14.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.71)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.37 14.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.29 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.71)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 6 at ORST 40) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 00:29 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.00 15.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.66 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 15.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 36) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.18 14.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.52 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.48)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 6 at ORST 40) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.16 14.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.70 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.30)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 40) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.36 13.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.54 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 6 at ORST 40) Luke Loecher punt for 55 yds, downed at the Utah 5 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.09 12.1% 2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 95

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.09 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.91)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.15)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.00 14.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 1.28 14.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - -0.06 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 1 at ORST 34) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.23 15.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 1.22 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.78)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 36) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.49 15.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.99 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.01)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 8 at ORST 38) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.81 14.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.50 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.50)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 8 at ORST 38) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 36 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 3.85 13.0% 8.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - -0.31 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.31)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 26) Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.79 21.1% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 3.53 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.47)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 16) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the Utah 7 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 0.76 22.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 7

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.32 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.68)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:27 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 1 at UTAH 7) B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tre'Shaun Harrison) to the Utah 12 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -1.75 25.2% -4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 12

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 5.38 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:27 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 12) Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Utah 11 - UTAH 24, ORST 14 -0.61 23.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.30 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.70)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 11) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 24, ORST 21 3.22 21.1% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 24, ORST 21 0.00 71.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.47 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 30 - UTAH 24, ORST 21 0.21 71.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.47 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 30) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the Utah 31 - UTAH 24, ORST 21 -0.77 71.0% -3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 1.67 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 6 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 21 1.42 67.8% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 0.91 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.91)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 37) Brant Kuithe run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 32 - UTAH 24, ORST 21 -1.32 73.1% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 2.33 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 15 at UTAH 32) Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 5 yds to the Utah 37 - UTAH 24, ORST 21 -0.23 68.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.01 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 10 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 24, ORST 21 -1.37 67.4% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.78 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.78)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 10 at UTAH 37) Luke Musgrave 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Everett Hayes Kick) - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -6.21 64.1% -25.3%

Play Type: Blocked Punt Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 24, ORST 28 0.00 43.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.62 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) OREGON ST Penalty, Targeting on GRANT, Jaydon enforced (Jaydon Grant) to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 28 2.27 43.0% 6.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 0.62 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 45) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41 - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -0.02 49.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.89 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.11)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at ORST 41) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 28 0.98 49.2% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 2.86 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.14)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 29 yds to the OrgSt 2 for a 1ST down - UTAH 24, ORST 28 1.76 52.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 3.85 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORST 2) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1 - UTAH 24, ORST 28 -0.08 60.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 6.25 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 24, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:01 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & Goal at ORST 1) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 28 0.80 60.8% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 63 yds , Champ Flemings return for 22 yds to the OrgSt 24 - UTAH 31, ORST 28 -0.10 34.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.72 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 34.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 24) B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 31 - UTAH 31, ORST 28 0.67 34.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.62 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.38)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 3 at ORST 31) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 28 -0.96 35.2% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 1.29 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 3 at ORST 31) Trey Lowe run for 38 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 28 3.55 32.6% 15.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 0.34 = 3.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.66)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 31) NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for BRADFORD, Trevon thrown to the UTA11 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UTA Targeting on LLOYD, Devin enforced 15 yards from the UTA31 to the UTA16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UTAH 31, ORST 28 1.02 47.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 3.89 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 16) B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the Utah 10 - UTAH 31, ORST 28 0.09 50.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 10

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 4.91 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.91)

Score Difference (End): -3 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at UTAH 10) Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 35 2.00 51.6% 10.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.00 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 62.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 31, ORST 35 0.00 41.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 0.68 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.32)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 32 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 0.57 41.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 0.68 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.32)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 3 at UTAH 32) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 35 0.40 42.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.25 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.75)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 36) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.61 43.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.65 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.7%

Win Probability (After): 42.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 36) OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alexander Skelton) to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 35 1.85 42.6% 5.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 46

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 1.04 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.96)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 46) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.64 48.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 2.90 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:58 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 9 at ORST 45) TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.21 46.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.25 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.75)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 5 at ORST 41) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 44 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -2.69 42.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 2.07 = -2.69

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.93)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:44 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 24) Cameron Rising run for no gain to the OrgSt 24 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.58 54.6% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.17 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.17)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:44 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORST 24) QB Keeper RISING, Cameron rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the OSU11 (JONES, Elijah). PENALTY UTA Holding on DANIELS, Braeden enforced 10 yards from the OSU24 to the OSU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -1.13 51.3% -5.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 3.61 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.39)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:44 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 20 at ORST 34) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.95 45.7% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.48 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 42.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:44 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 20 at ORST 34) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -1.20 42.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 1.53 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 20 at ORST 34) Jordan Noyes 52 yd FG MISSED - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -2.57 39.8% -5.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 66

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.32 - 0.26 = -2.57

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.74)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 34) Anthony Gould run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 37 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.53 68.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.34 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.2%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 45) B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.52 70.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.86 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 9 at ORST 46) Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49 - UTAH 31, ORST 35 -0.56 69.1% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.33 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.33)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 49) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 35 1.93 65.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 1.77 = 1.93

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.77)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 32 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 35 1.62 72.7% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 8

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 3.70 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.70)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & Goal at UTAH 8) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - UTAH 31, ORST 42 1.60 82.2% 8.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.40)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 35 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.00 11.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.54)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 1.22 11.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 0.46 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.54)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 1.02 13.0% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 1.68 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 45) Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.63 14.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.70 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.30)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 34) Micah Bernard run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.93 15.5% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 3.33 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.67)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 21) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 9 yds to the OrgSt 12 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.79 21.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 4.26 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.74)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-5.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 1 at ORST 12) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.20 22.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 5.06 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-5.94)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-5.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORST 5) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.53 24.3% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 5.62 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-5.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & Goal at ORST 5) Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 2 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.07 22.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - 5.09 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-5.91)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-5.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.6%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising run for no gain to the OrgSt 2 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -1.67 22.3% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 5.16 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 254 (4th & Goal at ORST 2) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -3.96 12.8% -5.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 98

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 3.48 = -3.96

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.52)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 2) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 6 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.08 95.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 94

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.19 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.19)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 6 at ORST 6) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 6 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.95 95.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 94

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 0.27 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.27)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at ORST 6) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 54 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 4.48 95.3% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - -0.68 = 4.48

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.32)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the Utah 45 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.86 97.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.80 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.80)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:04 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 14 at UTAH 44) Timeout UTAH, clock 04:04 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.00 98.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.94)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:04 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 15 at UTAH 45) Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Utah 44 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.45 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.42 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.42)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 11 at UTAH 41) Timeout UTAH, clock 04:00 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.00 98.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.96)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 14 at UTAH 44) B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Utah 41 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.37 99.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.97 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.97)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:54 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 5 at UTAH 35) Timeout UTAH, clock 03:54 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.00 98.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.60 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.60)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 11 at UTAH 41) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 6 yds to the Utah 35 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.66 98.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.61 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.61)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 5 at UTAH 35) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -2.46 98.5% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: ORST 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - 1.02 = -2.46

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.02)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 35) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 43 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST down - UTAH 31, ORST 42 2.72 5.2% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 1.44 = 2.72

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.56)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORST 22) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.47 8.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 4.15 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.85)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORST 22) UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 27 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.97 7.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 27

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 3.68 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 15 at ORST 27) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 31, ORST 42 -0.57 6.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.71 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.29)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 15 at ORST 27) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 12 yds to the OrgSt 15 - UTAH 31, ORST 42 0.39 5.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 15

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 2.14 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.86)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 31, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:38 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 3 at ORST 15) Jordan Noyes 33 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 34, ORST 42 0.54 4.4% 2.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.46 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.54)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 34, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 31 (34) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:37 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) kickoff for 10 yds , Akili Arnold return for no gain to the Utah 45 - UTAH 34, ORST 42 0.98 98.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 0.96 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.96)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 34, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:53 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 33) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 01:53 - UTAH 34, ORST 42 0.00 98.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: UTAH 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.94)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 34, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:53 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at UTAH 45) B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST down - UTAH 34, ORST 42 0.91 98.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33

Started Drive at: UTAH 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.75 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.75)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 34, ORST 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2