Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 2.97 | Odds: SDSU -6.5, O/U 49.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 83 | 84 |
| Total EPA | 11.13 | -18.49 |
| Offensive EPA | 9.75 | -19.32 |
| Special Teams EPA | -0.41 | -1.35 |
| Penalty EPA | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 1.28 | 1.49 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 69 |
| Yards | 438 | 315 |
| Yards/Play | 6.17 | 4.57 |
| EPA | 9.75 | -19.32 |
| EPA/Play | 0.14 | -0.28 |
| Passes | 45 (63%) | 34 (49%) |
| Yards | 318 | 167 |
| Yards/Play | 7.07 | 4.91 |
| EPA | 10.28 | -12.94 |
| EPA/Play | 0.23 | -0.38 |
| Rushes | 26 (37%) | 34 (49%) |
| Yards | 79 | 175 |
| Yards/Play | 3.04 | 5.15 |
| EPA | -0.52 | -7.74 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | -0.23 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 69 |
| Rushes | 26 (37%) | 34 (49%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (4%) | 2 (6%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 1 (50%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 8 (31%) | 7 (21%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 15 (58%) | 16 (47%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 8 (31%) | 14 (41%) |
| OL Line Yards | 28.8 | 48.3 |
| Per Carry | 1.11 | 1.42 |
| Highlight Yards | 19 | 74.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.38 | 5.32 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 83 | 84 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 69 |
| Explosive Plays | 8 (11%) | 2 (3%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 6 (13%) | 0 (0%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (8%) | 2 (6%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -14.38 | -25.54 |
| EPA/Play | -0.23 | -0.38 |
| When Passing | -8.10 | -12.94 |
| EPA/Play | -0.18 | -0.38 |
| When Rushing | -6.28 | -13.97 |
| EPA/Play | -0.26 | -0.44 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 31 (44%) | 25 (36%) |
| When Passing | 21 (47%) | 12 (35%) |
| When Rushing | 10 (38%) | 12 (35%) |
| On Standard Downs | 24 (49%) | 17 (40%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (32%) | 8 (30%) |
| On Early Downs | 20 (38%) | 22 (44%) |
| On Late Downs | 11 (61%) | 3 (16%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 8 (62%) | 3 (30%) |
| Early Downs | 53 | 50 |
| First Downs Created | 8 (15%) | 13 (26%) |
| EPA | -0.93 | -2.36 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| Passes | 32 (60%) | 22 (44%) |
| Rushes | 21 (40%) | 28 (56%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 13 (41%) | 12 (55%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 7 (33%) | 10 (36%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 13 | 10 |
| EPA | 6.88 | -1.06 |
| EPA/play | 0.53 | -0.11 |
| Passes | 10 (77%) | 5 (50%) |
| Rushes | 3 (23%) | 4 (40%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 7 (70%) | 1 (20%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (33%) | 1 (25%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 14 | 13 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 42 | Own 31 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.06 | 7.04 |
| Yards/Drive | 37.41 | 38.52 |
| Available Yards % | 64% | 56% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 69 | 71 |
| Stop Rate | 52% | 25% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 10 (14%) | 7 (10%) |
| Passing | 5 (15%) | 3 (7%) |
| Rushing | 5 (15%) | 4 (15%) |
| TFLs Generated | 10 | 6 |
| Passing | 5 | 2 |
| Rushing | 5 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 5 (15%) | 2 (4%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 3 |
| Fumbles | 0 | 4 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 3 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | 2 | -2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 11.1 | -11.1 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 12 | 15 |
| Total EPA | -0.41 | -1.35 |
| Field Goal EPA | -3.99 | -1.31 |
| Punting EPA | 1.47 | -1.61 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 2.11 | 1.57 |
Utah State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Logan Bonner | 29/42, 318 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 73.2 xQBR, 0.99 DETMER | 7.23 | 0.22 | 9.87 | 45% | 7.0% | |
| TEAM | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.0 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 0.00 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jordan Nathan | 1 carry, 0 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | 3.54 | 3.54 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Logan Bonner | 1 carry, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 2.21 | 2.21 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Deven Thompkins | 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -3.00 | -1.22 | -1.22 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Calvin Tyler Jr. | 16 carries, 41 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.56 | -0.14 | -2.31 | 44% | -5.0% | |
| Elelyon Noa | 7 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.14 | -0.39 | -2.74 | 14% | -3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Brandon Bowling | 8 catches (9 targets), 154 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.25 | 1.23 | 11.11 | 56% | 16.0% | |
| Justin McGriff | 3 catches (4 targets), 42 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.15 | 4.59 | 75% | 1.0% | |
| Calvin Tyler Jr. | 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 2.19 | 2.19 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Derek Wright | 6 catches (10 targets), 57 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.50 | 0.17 | 1.70 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| Deven Thompkins | 9 catches (12 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.11 | 0.06 | 0.68 | 42% | -7.0% | |
| Carson Terrell | 1 catch (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.02 | -0.05 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Elelyon Noa | 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | -0.48 | -0.48 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Josh Sterzer | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.86 | -0.86 | 0% | 0.0% | |
San Diego State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Jalen Mayden | 5/6, 50 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 77.3 xQBR, 0.06 DETMER | 7.14 | 0.43 | 2.99 | 71% | 100.0% | |
| Jordon Brookshire | 11/23, 117 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 16.3 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 4.33 | -0.59 | -15.93 | 26% | -20.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jalen Mayden | 3 carries, 44 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 14.67 | 1.61 | 4.84 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Chance Bell | 6 carries, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 0.25 | 1.53 | 33% | 2.0% | |
| Kaegun Williams | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.49 | -0.49 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Jordan Byrd | 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.63 | -0.63 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Jaylon Armstead | 5 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.80 | -0.29 | -1.47 | 40% | 0.0% | |
| Jordon Brookshire | 7 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.43 | -0.24 | -1.65 | 29% | -4.0% | |
| Greg Bell | 11 carries, 50 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) | 4.55 | -0.90 | -9.88 | 36% | -13.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jesse Matthews | 8 catches (11 targets), 82 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.25 | 0.27 | 2.92 | 64% | 7.0% | |
| Elijah Kothe | 2 catches (3 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | 0.38 | 1.15 | 33% | 2.0% | |
| Darius De Los Reyes | 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| BJ Busbee | 3 catches (5 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.33 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 60% | -1.0% | |
| Kaegun Williams | 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.49 | -0.49 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Jordan Byrd | 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.66 | -0.66 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Greg Bell | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.01 | -1.01 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Mekhi Shaw | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.28 | -1.28 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Isaiah Richardson | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.63 | -1.63 | 0% | 1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 9:55 | |
(2nd & 20 at USU 39) Logan Bonner pass intercepted Patrick McMorris return for 25 yds to the SANDIEGOST 36 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keshawn Banks) to the UthSt 40 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -5.23 | 95.6% | -5.1% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.53 - 2.69 = -5.23 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.69) Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.47) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:39 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 22) Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 20 Greg Bell fumbled, recovered by UthSt Marcus Moore - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -4.66 | 1.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 20 Started Drive at: SDSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.14 - -0.48 = -4.66 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.48) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:09 | |
(4th & 2 at USU 41) Jalen Mayden run for 33 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST down - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 4.37 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 8 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 0.46 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.54) Score Difference (End): -33 (-28.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:19 | |
(4th & 4 at USU 31) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 33 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 35 Jordan Byrd fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jaden Smith - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 4.32 | 93.9% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 35 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 0.11 = 4.32 Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.11) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 42) Brandon Bowling 58 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 21, SDSU 3 | 4.26 | 74.8% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.74 = 4.26 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.74) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:06 | |
(4th & 1 at USU 12) Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -4.25 | 70.3% | -11.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 87 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 3.89 = -4.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:21 | |
(4th & 3 at SDSU 9) Justin McGriff 9 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 3.90 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.10 = 3.90 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.10) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 32 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:01 | |
(4th & 2 at USU 18) Brookshire, Jordon pass incomplete to Kothe, Elijah, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Lampkin, Cam) 15 yards to the UTAHST3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST. - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 3.78 | 8.8% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 3 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 2.20 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.80) Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 13.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:58 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Jordan Nathan 0 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 3.54 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.46 = 3.54 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.46) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:29 | |
(4th & 12 at SDSU 29) Connor Coles 46 yd FG MISSED - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -3.04 | 42.6% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - 1.40 = -3.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 40.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 9) Jalen Mayden sacked by Justin Rice for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 17 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -2.03 | 0.4% | 99.6% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 83 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 1.80 = -2.03 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.20) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:38 | |
(4th & 9 at SDSU 16) Team Safety - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 1.36 | 8.4% | 59.8% |
|
Play Type: Safety Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -3.36 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-21.36) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 21 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:06 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 5) Derek Wright 5 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.19 | 48.5% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.81 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:06 | |
(4th & 1 at USU 12) Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -4.25 | 70.3% | -11.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 87 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 3.89 = -4.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:01 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 6) Matt Araiza 23 Yd Field Goal - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.43 | 26.7% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.7% Win Probability (After): 37.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 42) Brandon Bowling 58 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 21, SDSU 3 | 4.26 | 74.8% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.74 = 4.26 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.74) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:26 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 29) Jordon Brookshire sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 26 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.74 | 62.1% | -7.1% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -0.19 = -1.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(2nd & 2 at SDSU 44) Greg Bell run for 16 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.11 | 44.6% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 40 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 1.99 = 1.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 51.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:57 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. 1 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.64 | 72.0% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 29) Jordon Brookshire sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 20 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.91 | 60.1% | -6.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 1.63 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 9:06 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 5) Derek Wright 5 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.19 | 48.5% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.81 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:57 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. 1 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.64 | 72.0% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:01 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 6) Matt Araiza 23 Yd Field Goal - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.43 | 26.7% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.7% Win Probability (After): 37.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 42) Brandon Bowling 58 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 21, SDSU 3 | 4.26 | 74.8% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.74 = 4.26 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.74) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:38 | |
(4th & 9 at SDSU 16) Team Safety - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 1.36 | 8.4% | 59.8% |
|
Play Type: Safety Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -3.36 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-21.36) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 21 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:58 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 19) Matt Araiza 36 Yd Field Goal - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 0.85 | 7.8% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.15 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.85) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:54 | |
(3rd & 4 at SDSU 18) Brandon Bowling 18 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles PAT blocked) - USU 29, SDSU 6 | 2.45 | 97.2% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 4.47 = 2.45 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.47) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 23 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:40 | |
(4th & Goal at SDSU 3) Connor Coles 20 Yd Field Goal - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.10 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.10) Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 29 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:21 | |
(4th & 3 at SDSU 9) Justin McGriff 9 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 3.90 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.10 = 3.90 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.10) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 32 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:22 | |
(1st & Goal at USU 5) Jesse Matthews 5 Yd pass from Jalen Mayden (Matt Araiza Kick) - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 1.59 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-27.59) Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:58 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Jordan Nathan 0 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 3.54 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.46 = 3.54 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.46) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 51 yds , Elijah Kothe return for 13 yds to the SDSt 27 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.35 | 66.3% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73 Started Drive at: SDSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 0.86 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 66.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:54 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 31 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.26 | 69.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: SDSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.28 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:20 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 31) Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.97 | 68.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.18 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.4% Win Probability (After): 66.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:46 | |
(3rd & 5 at SDSU 32) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.68 | 65.9% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - 0.28 = -1.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.9% Win Probability (After): 62.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:24 | |
(4th & 5 at SDSU 32) Matt Araiza punt for 57 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 21 yds to the SANDIEGOST 47 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 37 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.57 | 62.5% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63 Started Drive at: SDSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -1.23 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.5% Win Probability (After): 60.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:24 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 37) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.57 | 40.5% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.97 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.5% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:47 | |
(2nd & 8 at USU 39) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 6 yds to the UthSt 45 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.28 | 39.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.42 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 39.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:21 | |
(3rd & 2 at USU 45) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 46 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.27 | 39.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.70 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 37.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:48 | |
(4th & 1 at USU 46) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 13 yds to the SDSt 24 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.38 | 35.5% | -4.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 76 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.43 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.5% Win Probability (After): 31.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:48 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the SDSt 26 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.46 | 69.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 0.93 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:17 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 26) Jordon Brookshire run for no gain to the SDSt 26 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.01 | 67.2% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.42 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:36 | |
(3rd & 8 at SDSU 26) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Isaiah Richardson - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.63 | 60.3% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.07 - -0.44 = -1.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.3% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:17 | |
(4th & 8 at SDSU 26) Matt Araiza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 33 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.07 | 56.5% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: SDSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - -1.80 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.87) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:17 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 33) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.76 | 38.6% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: USU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.91 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.91) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 36.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 33) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.50 | 40.6% | -5.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64 Started Drive at: USU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 1.08 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:51 | |
(3rd & 7 at USU 36) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brandon Bowling - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.57 | 37.8% | -3.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: USU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 0.59 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:34 | |
(4th & 7 at USU 36) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 45 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 14 yds to the SDSt 33 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.90 | 33.4% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 67 Started Drive at: USU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.92 - -1.02 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.92) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 33.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:34 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 33) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.92 | 65.7% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 52 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 1.86 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.7% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:01 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 48) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.49 | 68.9% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.72 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 66.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:29 | |
(2nd & 8 at 50) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 10 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 1.50 | 67.3% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 40 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 2.12 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 70.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:55 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 40) Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.49 | 72.3% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.59 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 69.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at USU 37) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 1.56 | 72.4% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 21 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 3.13 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.4% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:31 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 21) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.57 | 74.9% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.69 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.9% Win Probability (After): 74.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 21) Jordon Brookshire run for 7 yds to the UthSt 14 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.22 | 74.2% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 14 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 4.12 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.2% Win Probability (After): 74.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:47 | |
(3rd & 3 at USU 14) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 12 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.48 | 73.5% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 4.34 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.5% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:06 | |
(4th & 1 at USU 12) Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -4.25 | 70.3% | -11.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 87 Started Drive at: SDSU 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 3.89 = -4.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:06 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 13) Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 17 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.14 | 40.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 83 Started Drive at: USU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.36 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:44 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 17) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Justin McGriff - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.94 | 38.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83 Started Drive at: USU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 0.23 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 36.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:36 | |
(3rd & 6 at USU 17) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.41 | 35.6% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83 Started Drive at: USU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - -0.71 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 32.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:27 | |
(4th & 6 at USU 17) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 48 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.58 | 32.1% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 52 Started Drive at: USU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.70 - -2.12 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.1% Win Probability (After): 30.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:27 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 48) Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 49 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.63 | 69.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 51 Started Drive at: SDSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.70 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 68.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:09 | |
(2nd & 9 at SDSU 49) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 2 yds to the UthSt 49 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.66 | 67.8% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 2.07 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.8% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:42 | |
(3rd & 7 at USU 49) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.93 | 61.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 1.40 = -1.93 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.1% Win Probability (After): 60.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:26 | |
(4th & 7 at USU 49) Matt Araiza punt for 49 yds for a touchback - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.24 | 55.5% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -0.54 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 60.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:26 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 20) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 41 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 2.82 | 39.6% | 6.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 0.78 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 46.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:50 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 39) Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.63 | 46.1% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.61 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.1% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:18 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 37) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.96 | 45.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.99 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.1% Win Probability (After): 44.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:09 | |
(3rd & 8 at SDSU 37) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 10 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 2.34 | 43.7% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 27 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 1.99 = 2.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.7% Win Probability (After): 47.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:53 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the SDSt 24 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.40 | 47.2% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 24 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.34 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.2% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at SDSU 24) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.86 | 49.3% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 3.98 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.3% Win Probability (After): 44.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:14 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 24) Logan Bonner sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 29 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.73 | 46.7% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 29 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 3.13 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.7% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:29 | |
(4th & 12 at SDSU 29) Connor Coles 46 yd FG MISSED - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -3.04 | 42.6% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71 Started Drive at: USU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - 1.40 = -3.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 40.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 29) Jordon Brookshire sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 20 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.91 | 60.1% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 1.63 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 19 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 29 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.07 | 58.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.28 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 58.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:26 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 29) Jordon Brookshire sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 26 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.74 | 62.1% | -7.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -0.19 = -1.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:35 | |
(4th & 13 at SDSU 26) Matt Araiza punt for 27 yds, downed at the UthSt 47 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.72 | 59.3% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 53 Started Drive at: SDSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.68 - -1.95 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.3% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:35 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 47 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.63 | 44.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.66 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.4% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:59 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 47) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.95 | 43.6% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 2.05 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.6% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:51 | |
(3rd & 10 at USU 47) Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 9 yds to the SDSt 44 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 0.35 | 39.9% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 44 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.11 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.9% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:15 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 44) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 2.11 | 40.1% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 1.54 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.1% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:46 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 39) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 40 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -1.02 | 44.5% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.66 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.5% Win Probability (After): 42.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:23 | |
(2nd & 11 at SDSU 40) Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 7 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Patrick McMorris) to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 2.19 | 42.3% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 18 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 2.67 = 2.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.65) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.3% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:02 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 18) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 19 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.96 | 48.0% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 4.81 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.81) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.0% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:26 | |
(2nd & 11 at SDSU 19) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 2 yds to the SDSt 17 - USU 0, SDSU 0 | -0.21 | 47.8% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 17 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.84 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.8% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:51 | |
(3rd & 9 at SDSU 17) Logan Bonner run for 12 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST down - USU 0, SDSU 0 | 2.21 | 48.7% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 5 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 3.63 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.7% Win Probability (After): 51.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:06 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 5) Derek Wright 5 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.19 | 48.5% | 11.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.81 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:06 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 56 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 27 yds to the SDSt 36 - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 0.92 | 43.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.58 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 44.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:59 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 36) Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSt 44 - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 0.70 | 45.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 56 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 1.48 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.3% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(2nd & 2 at SDSU 44) Greg Bell run for 16 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.11 | 44.6% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 40 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 1.99 = 1.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 51.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:49 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 40) Greg Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 44 - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -1.52 | 46.8% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 44 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 3.00 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.00) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.8% Win Probability (After): 43.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:11 | |
(2nd & 14 at USU 44) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -0.11 | 42.1% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.76 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:42 | |
(3rd & 7 at USU 37) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -1.73 | 40.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 1.93 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 39.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:28 | |
(4th & 7 at USU 37) Matt Araiza 54 yd FG MISSED - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -2.58 | 38.0% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 63 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - 0.25 = -2.58 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.0% Win Probability (After): 35.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:28 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 37) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 15 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 0.90 | 66.0% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.28 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.28) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:17 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 48) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 49 - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -0.84 | 66.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 49 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.16 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(2nd & 11 at SDSU 49) Logan Bonner pass incomplete - USU 7, SDSU 0 | -0.52 | 64.9% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.95 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.95) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:39 | |
(3rd & 11 at SDSU 49) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 16 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 2.55 | 63.0% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 33 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 1.24 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.24) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:23 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 33) Bonner, Logan pass incomplete to Wright, Derek, PENALTY SANDIEGOST roughing passer (Thomas, Cameron) 15 yards to the SANDIEGOST18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST. - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 0.91 | 66.9% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 18 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 3.76 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.9% Win Probability (After): 69.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 18) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 17 yds to the SDSt 1 for a 1ST down - USU 7, SDSU 0 | 1.70 | 69.7% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 1 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.38 - 4.68 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:57 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. 1 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.64 | 72.0% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:57 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 42 yds , Brady Anderson return for 9 yds to the SDSt 44 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Vai Kaho) to the SDSt 17 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | -0.36 | 23.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.46 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-21.92) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.8% Win Probability (After): 23.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:53 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 17) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to BJ Busbee for 10 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.55 | 23.0% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 0.14 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.86) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:28 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 33 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.30 | 23.2% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.49 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.2% Win Probability (After): 23.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:04 | |
(2nd & 4 at SDSU 33) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 25 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 1.83 | 22.9% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 42 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 0.72 = 1.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.28) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:24 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 42) Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | -0.06 | 24.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.44 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.56) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:55 | |
(2nd & 8 at USU 40) Jordon Brookshire run for 10 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 1.06 | 24.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 30 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.23 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.77) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.5% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:19 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 30) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 18 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 1.68 | 25.3% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 12 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 3.17 = 1.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.83) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.3% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:02 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 12) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 02:02 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 4.85 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.15) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 28.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:01 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 12) Brookshire, Jordon pass incomplete to Kothe, Elijah, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Bond, Shaq) 7 yards to the UTAHST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST. - USU 14, SDSU 0 | 1.02 | 30.1% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 4.65 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:58 | |
(1st & Goal at USU 5) Jordon Brookshire sacked by AJ Vongphachanh for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 10 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | -1.27 | 31.7% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 10 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 5.48 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 29.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:26 | |
(2nd & Goal at USU 10) Jordon Brookshire run for 4 yds to the UthSt 6 - USU 14, SDSU 0 | -0.06 | 29.9% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.99 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.01) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:08 | |
(3rd & Goal at USU 6) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw - USU 14, SDSU 0 | -1.28 | 30.0% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 3.84 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.0% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:01 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 6) Matt Araiza 23 Yd Field Goal - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.43 | 26.7% | 10.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.7% Win Probability (After): 37.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:01 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.00 | 75.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.82 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.82) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 25) Elelyon Noa run for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.33 | 75.8% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 0.80 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.80) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 36) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 15 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.69 | 76.3% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 0.87 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.87) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.3% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:22 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 49) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 7 yds to the SDSt 42 - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.90 | 76.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 0.91 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.91) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 76.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(2nd & 3 at SDSU 42) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 00:16 - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.00 | 76.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 1.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.81) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:15 | |
(2nd & 3 at SDSU 42) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 8 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.82 | 75.6% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.14 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.14) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:07 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 34) TEAM pass incomplete - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.41 | 76.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.42 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.42) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 76.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 34) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 14, SDSU 3 | -0.09 | 76.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.44 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.44) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 34) Connor Coles 51 yd FG MISSED - USU 14, SDSU 3 | -0.85 | 75.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 67 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.85 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.85) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.91) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.0% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.96 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.96) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:59 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 25) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 9 yds to the UthSt 34 - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.76 | 74.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 2.11 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.11) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 74.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:40 | |
(2nd & 1 at USU 34) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 34 - USU 14, SDSU 3 | -0.82 | 75.1% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.00 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.00) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 73.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:04 | |
(3rd & 1 at USU 34) Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 4 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down - USU 14, SDSU 3 | 0.73 | 74.4% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.20 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.20) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.4% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:40 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 38) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 42 - USU 14, SDSU 3 | -0.18 | 75.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 2.94 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.94) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 75.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 42) Brandon Bowling 58 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 21, SDSU 3 | 4.26 | 74.8% | 10.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.74 = 4.26 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.74) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 45 yds , Kaegun Williams return for 5 yds to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SDSt 15 - USU 21, SDSU 3 | -0.40 | 12.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.64 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-26.02) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.4% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:56 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 15) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18 - USU 21, SDSU 3 | -0.55 | 13.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 82 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - -0.98 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.98) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.1% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:31 | |
(2nd & 7 at SDSU 18) Jordon Brookshire sacked by Marcus Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 16 - USU 21, SDSU 3 | -0.93 | 11.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 84 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - -1.45 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.45) Score Difference (End): -18 (-20.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.0% Win Probability (After): 10.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:53 | |
(3rd & 9 at SDSU 16) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Greg Bell - USU 21, SDSU 3 | -1.01 | 10.1% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.33 - -2.32 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-20.32) Score Difference (End): -18 (-21.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 21, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.1% Win Probability (After): 9.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:38 | |
(4th & 9 at SDSU 16) Team Safety - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 1.36 | 8.4% | 59.8% |
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Play Type: Safety Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -3.36 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-21.36) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 21 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:38 | |
(Kickoff at USU 20) Matt Araiza kickoff for 72 yds , Savon Scarver return for 21 yds to the UthSt 29 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 0.33 | 94.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.75 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.75) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 29) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds to the UthSt 34 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.05 | 94.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.10 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.10) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:08 | |
(2nd & 5 at USU 34) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 34 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.87 | 96.0% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 3.08 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.08) Score Difference (End): 20 (22.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:44 | |
(3rd & 5 at USU 34) Bonner, Logan pass incomplete to Bowling, Brandon, PENALTY SANDIEGOST roughing passer (Shawcroft, Michael) 15 yards to the UTAHST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST. - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 1.52 | 95.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 51 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.32 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.32) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:31 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 49) Tyler Jr., Calvin rush for 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST46, PENALTY UTAHST holding (Terrell, Carson) 10 yards to the UTAHST39, NO PLAY. - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.64 | 96.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 61 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.92 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.92) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(1st & 20 at USU 39) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.55 | 95.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.24 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.24) Score Difference (End): 20 (22.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:55 | |
(2nd & 20 at USU 39) Logan Bonner pass intercepted Patrick McMorris return for 25 yds to the SANDIEGOST 36 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keshawn Banks) to the UthSt 40 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -5.23 | 95.6% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40 Started Drive at: USU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.53 - 2.69 = -5.23 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.69) Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.47) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:55 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 40) Greg Bell run for 14 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 0.92 | 9.7% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.66 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.34) Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.7% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:26 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 26) Jordon Brookshire run for 1 yd to the UthSt 25 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.71 | 11.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.65 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.35) Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 10.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:42 | |
(2nd & 9 at USU 25) Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the UthSt 18 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 0.90 | 9.3% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 2.90 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.10) Score Difference (End): -20 (-16.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:08 | |
(3rd & 2 at USU 18) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to BJ Busbee - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -1.57 | 10.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 3.73 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-16.27) Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.3% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:01 | |
(4th & 2 at USU 18) Brookshire, Jordon pass incomplete to Kothe, Elijah, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Lampkin, Cam) 15 yards to the UTAHST3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST. - USU 23, SDSU 3 | 3.78 | 8.8% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 3 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 2.20 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.80) Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 13.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:58 | |
(1st & Goal at USU 3) Chance Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 4 - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.62 | 12.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 4 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 5.98 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-14.02) Score Difference (End): -20 (-14.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & Goal at USU 4) Brookshire, Jordon pass incomplete to Dedeaux, Ethan, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference (Matthews, Jesse) 15 yards to the UTAHST19, NO PLAY. - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -2.63 | 11.8% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 5.34 = -2.63 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-14.66) Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 9.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:13 | |
(2nd & Goal at USU 19) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to BJ Busbee - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.96 | 8.4% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 2.82 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.18) Score Difference (End): -20 (-18.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:09 | |
(3rd & Goal at USU 19) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete - USU 23, SDSU 3 | -0.96 | 7.0% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 1.87 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-18.13) Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 5.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:58 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 19) Matt Araiza 36 Yd Field Goal - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 0.85 | 7.8% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: USU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.15 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.85) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:58 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 0.00 | 95.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 2.46 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.46) Score Difference (End): 17 (19.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 95.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:57 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 25) Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -0.43 | 95.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.46 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.46) Score Difference (End): 17 (19.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:36 | |
(2nd & 8 at USU 27) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -0.23 | 95.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.06 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.06) Score Difference (End): 17 (18.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:04 | |
(3rd & 4 at USU 31) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for no gain to the UthSt 31 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -1.69 | 95.0% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 1.83 = -1.69 Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.83) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:19 | |
(4th & 4 at USU 31) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 33 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 35 Jordan Byrd fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jaden Smith - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 4.32 | 93.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Team Fumble Recovery Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 35 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 0.11 = 4.32 Score Difference (Before): 17 (17.11) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 35) Logan Bonner sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 44 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -1.54 | 96.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 44 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.42 = -1.54 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.42) Score Difference (End): 17 (19.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:34 | |
(2nd & 19 at SDSU 44) Logan Bonner pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 8 yds to the SDSt 36 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -0.48 | 95.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 36 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.91 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.91) Score Difference (End): 17 (19.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 95.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:48 | |
(3rd & 11 at SDSU 36) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 12 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 2.41 | 96.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 24 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 2.47 = 2.41 Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.47) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:26 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 9 yds to the SDSt 15 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | 0.82 | 97.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.69 - 4.88 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.88) Score Difference (End): 17 (22.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:52 | |
(2nd & 1 at SDSU 15) Deven Thompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 18 - USU 23, SDSU 6 | -1.22 | 97.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 18 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 5.71 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): 17 (22.71) Score Difference (End): 17 (21.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 23, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 96.9% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:54 | |
(3rd & 4 at SDSU 18) Brandon Bowling 18 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles PAT blocked) - USU 29, SDSU 6 | 2.45 | 97.2% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 4.47 = 2.45 Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.47) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 23 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:54 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 60 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 17 yds to the SDSt 22 - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -0.08 | 1.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78 Started Drive at: SDSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.40 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.40) Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.6% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:39 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 22) Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 20 Greg Bell fumbled, recovered by UthSt Marcus Moore - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -4.66 | 1.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 20 Started Drive at: SDSU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.14 - -0.48 = -4.66 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.48) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:39 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 20) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDSt 13 - USU 29, SDSU 6 | 0.36 | 99.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 13 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.51 - 5.15 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): 23 (28.15) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:58 | |
(2nd & 3 at SDSU 13) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDSt 11 - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -0.04 | 99.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 5.49 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 23 (28.49) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at SDSU 11) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST down - USU 29, SDSU 6 | 0.58 | 99.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 7 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.88 - 5.30 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 23 (28.30) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 7) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDSt 6 - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -0.48 | 99.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 5.77 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 23 (28.77) Score Difference (End): 23 (28.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:32 | |
(2nd & Goal at SDSU 6) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Josh Sterzer - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -0.86 | 99.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 5.22 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 23 (28.22) Score Difference (End): 23 (27.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at SDSU 6) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 3 yds to the SDSt 3 - USU 29, SDSU 6 | -1.20 | 99.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 4.33 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): 23 (27.33) Score Difference (End): 23 (26.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 29, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:40 | |
(4th & Goal at SDSU 3) Connor Coles 20 Yd Field Goal - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.10 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.10) Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 29 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:40 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 39 yds , Sefo Mailangi return for 8 yds to the SDSt 34 - USU 32, SDSU 6 | 0.96 | 1.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: SDSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - -0.74 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.74) Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.3% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:32 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 34) Jordon Brookshire run for no gain to the SDSt 34 - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.69 | 1.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: SDSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.20 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.80) Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 34) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.78 | 0.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: SDSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.27 - -0.49 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.49) Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.9% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:53 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 34) Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 40 - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.76 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60 Started Drive at: SDSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.92 - -1.17 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-27.17) Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:22 | |
(4th & 4 at SDSU 40) Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -2.31 | 0.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 40 Started Drive at: SDSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.13 - -1.82 = -2.31 Score Difference (Before): -26 (-27.82) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.13) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:22 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 40) Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 24 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down - USU 32, SDSU 6 | 1.28 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.15 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): 26 (30.15) Score Difference (End): 26 (31.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:40 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 16) Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the SDSt 15 - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.51 | 99.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 5.40 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 26 (31.40) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:07 | |
(2nd & 9 at SDSU 15) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Carson Terrell - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.78 | 99.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 4.85 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 26 (30.85) Score Difference (End): 26 (30.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:01 | |
(3rd & 9 at SDSU 15) Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the SDSt 9 - USU 32, SDSU 6 | -0.96 | 99.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 4.09 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 26 (30.09) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 32, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:21 | |
(4th & 3 at SDSU 9) Justin McGriff 9 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 3.90 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.10 = 3.90 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.10) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 32 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:21 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 60 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 15 yds to the SDSt 20 - USU 39, SDSU 6 | -0.12 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.33 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-33.33) Score Difference (End): -33 (-33.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:14 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 20) Chance Bell run for 27 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 1.71 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 53 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - -0.46 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-33.46) Score Difference (End): -33 (-31.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:44 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 47) Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48 - USU 39, SDSU 6 | -0.37 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.15 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.85) Score Difference (End): -33 (-32.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:11 | |
(2nd & 9 at SDSU 48) Jalen Mayden pass complete to BJ Busbee for 11 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 1.39 | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 41 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 0.63 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.37) Score Difference (End): -33 (-30.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:43 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 41) Jalen Mayden pass complete to BJ Busbee for 13 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST down - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 1.01 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 28 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.86 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.14) Score Difference (End): -33 (-30.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:16 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 28) Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the UthSt 22 - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 0.51 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 22 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.85 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-30.15) Score Difference (End): -33 (-29.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:42 | |
(2nd & 4 at USU 22) Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the UthSt 19 - USU 39, SDSU 6 | -0.04 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 19 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.38 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-29.62) Score Difference (End): -33 (-29.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:03 | |
(3rd & 1 at USU 19) Jalen Mayden run for 14 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST down - USU 39, SDSU 6 | 1.86 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 5 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 3.48 = 1.86 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-29.52) Score Difference (End): -33 (-27.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:22 | |
(1st & Goal at USU 5) Jesse Matthews 5 Yd pass from Jalen Mayden (Matt Araiza Kick) - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 1.59 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-27.59) Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:22 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Matt Araiza on-side kick recovered by UTAH ST at the SDSt 43 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 38 - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 1.78 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 38 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 1.64 = 1.78 Score Difference (Before): 26 (18.51) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:18 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 38) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDSt 33 - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 0.06 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 33 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 3.42 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.42) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:37 | |
(2nd & 5 at SDSU 33) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30 - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 0.39 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.12 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.12) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:51 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 30) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 04:51 - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 0.00 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.51) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:50 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 30) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down - USU 39, SDSU 13 | 0.88 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 2.94 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): 26 (28.94) Score Difference (End): 26 (29.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 39, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (39) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:58 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 27) Jordan Nathan 0 Yd Run (Connor Coles Kick) - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 3.54 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.46 = 3.54 Score Difference (Before): 26 (29.46) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 39 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:58 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 40 yds , Elijah Kothe return for 7 yds to the SDSt 32 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 0.29 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.29 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.71) Score Difference (End): -33 (-32.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 32) Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 0.08 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.56 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.44) Score Difference (End): -33 (-32.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:23 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 36) Jalen Mayden pass complete to Darius De Los Reyes for 15 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 1.14 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 0.56 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.44) Score Difference (End): -33 (-31.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 49) Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the UthSt 48 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -0.40 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.52 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.48) Score Difference (End): -33 (-31.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:17 | |
(2nd & 9 at USU 48) Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 0.05 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.06 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.94) Score Difference (End): -33 (-31.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:42 | |
(3rd & 5 at USU 44) Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -0.35 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 0.90 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.10) Score Difference (End): -33 (-32.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:09 | |
(4th & 2 at USU 41) Jalen Mayden run for 33 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST down - USU 46, SDSU 13 | 4.37 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 8 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 0.46 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-32.54) Score Difference (End): -33 (-28.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:59 | |
(1st & Goal at USU 8) Jalen Mayden pass incomplete - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -0.62 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 4.74 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-28.26) Score Difference (End): -33 (-28.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:54 | |
(2nd & Goal at USU 8) Jalen Mayden run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 11 Jalen Mayden fumbled, recovered by SDSt Jalen Mayden - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -1.39 | 0.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 4.10 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-28.90) Score Difference (End): -33 (-30.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:38 | |
(3rd & Goal at USU 11) Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the UthSt 9 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -0.86 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.73 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-30.27) Score Difference (End): -33 (-31.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at USU 9) Jalen Mayden sacked by Justin Rice for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 17 - USU 46, SDSU 13 | -2.03 | 0.4% | 99.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 83 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 1.80 = -2.03 Score Difference (Before): -33 (-31.20) Score Difference (End): 33 (33.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 46, SDSU 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 46 (46) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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