New Mexico 14 @ Wyoming 3

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.22 | Odds: WYO -20, O/U 40.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Total Plays 6268
Total EPA -10.41-17.7
  Offensive EPA -5.99-14.38
  Special Teams EPA -3.36-1.57
  Penalty EPA -1.05-1.75
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.010.00
Production ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Scrimmage Plays 5360
  Yards 239277
  Yards/Play 4.514.62
  EPA -5.99-14.38
  EPA/Play -0.11-0.24
Passes 10 (19%)29 (48%)
  Yards 100147
  Yards/Play 10.005.07
  EPA 1.28-7.97
  EPA/Play 0.13-0.27
Rushes 43 (81%)31 (52%)
  Yards 139130
  Yards/Play 3.234.19
  EPA -7.28-6.41
  EPA/Play -0.17-0.21
Rushing ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Scrimmage Plays 5360
Rushes 43 (81%)31 (52%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 5 (12%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (60%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (14%)3 (10%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 22 (51%)10 (32%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (33%)19 (61%)
OL Line Yards 84.675.2
  Per Carry 1.972.43
Highlight Yards 1914
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.360.74
Explosiveness ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Total Plays 6268
Scrimmage Plays 5360
Explosive Plays 3 (6%)3 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (10%)2 (7%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -17.32-21.80
  EPA/Play -0.35-0.38
  When Passing -5.38-13.53
    EPA/Play -0.54-0.47
  When Rushing -11.94-8.28
    EPA/Play -0.29-0.28
Situational ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 16 (30%)27 (45%)
  When Passing 3 (30%)14 (48%)
  When Rushing 13 (30%)13 (42%)
  On Standard Downs 14 (39%)25 (61%)
  On Passing Downs 2 (12%)2 (11%)
  On Early Downs 9 (26%)23 (51%)
  On Late Downs 7 (39%)4 (27%)
  During "Middle 8" 1 (25%)0 (0%)
Early Downs 3545
  First Downs Created 4 (11%)11 (24%)
  EPA -4.61-2.36
  EPA/Play -0.13-0.05
  Passes 5 (14%)18 (40%)
  Rushes 30 (86%)27 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)12 (67%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (23%)11 (41%)
"Middle 8" Plays 43
  EPA -1.03-2.57
  EPA/play -0.26-0.86
  Passes 0 (0%)1 (33%)
  Rushes 4 (100%)2 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (25%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Total 1010
Avg Starting Field Position Own 37Own 20
Plays/Drive 6.428.23
Yards/Drive 32.7732.35
Available Yards % 52%41%
Defensive ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Scrimmage Plays 6053
Stop Rate 63%64%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (10%)4 (8%)
  Passing 3 (10%)2 (20%)
  Rushing 3 (10%)2 (5%)
TFLs Generated 54
  Passing 22
  Rushing 32
Sacks Generated 2 (7%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Turnovers 13
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 12
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 2-2
Expected Turnovers 1.51.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 8.9-8.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 167 ESPN team id 2751
Total Plays 9 8
Total EPA -3.36 -1.57
  Field Goal EPA -2.27 0.64
  Punting EPA -1.09 -2.21
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 0

New Mexico [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Isaiah Chavez 9/10, 100 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 40.7 xQBR 10.00 0.13 1.28 30% 2.0%
Rush attempts
Aaron Dumas 12 carries, 35 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.92 0.37 4.41 50% -12.0%
Luke Wysong 7 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.43 0.41 2.89 57% 5.0%
Trae Hall 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.38 -0.38 0% 0.0%
Bobby Wooden 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.48 -0.48 0% 0.0%
Bobby Cole 6 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.67 -0.61 -3.66 0% -23.0%
Isaiah Chavez 16 carries, 49 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 3.06 -0.63 -10.06 19% -18.0%
Pass targets
Trace Bruckler 1 catch (1 target), 43 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 43.00 6.66 6.66 100% 12.0%
Kyle Jarvis 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 1.88 1.88 100% 4.0%
Trae Hall 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.81 -0.81 0% -6.0%
Zarak Scruggs Jr. 4 catches (4 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.25 -0.51 -2.05 25% -4.0%
Luke Wysong 2 catches (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -1.46 -2.93 0% -2.0%

Wyoming [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Levi Williams 3/7, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 50.2 xQBR 7.29 -0.10 -0.67 43% -4.0%
Sean Chambers 11/20, 96 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 51.3 xQBR 4.36 -0.33 -7.30 50% 4.0%
Rush attempts
Titus Swen 5 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.40 0.29 1.46 60% 1.0%
Sean Chambers 7 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.19 1.35 43% 0.0%
Levi Williams 5 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.60 -0.03 -0.14 40% 0.0%
Xazavian Valladay 13 carries, 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.08 -0.33 -4.24 38% -9.0%
Isaiah Neyor 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) -2.00 -4.83 -4.83 0% -15.0%
Pass targets
Ayden Eberhardt 2 catches (2 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.50 2.10 4.20 100% 11.0%
Isaiah Neyor 2 catches (2 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.50 1.54 3.08 100% 6.0%
Joshua Cobbs 2 catches (2 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 1.33 2.65 100% 6.0%
Parker Christensen 3 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.51 1.53 100% 4.0%
Jackson Marcotte 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.43 0.43 100% 0.0%
Rome Weber 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.28 0.28 100% 0.0%
Treyton Welch 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.11 0.11 100% 0.0%
Xazavian Valladay 2 catches (2 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.04 -0.08 50% 1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 43) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 7, WYO 0 6.66 14.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.34 = 6.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18 fumbled, recovered by NMex Cody Moon - UNM 14, WYO 3 -4.83 28.8% -14.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 18

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - -0.21 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.21)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 1 at WYO 19) Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 19 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -3.42 71.1% -16.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 81

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 3.80 = -3.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.80)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 11 at WYO 40) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Collier) to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 3.19 86.5% 3.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.14 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 4 at WYO 49) Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 3.14 19.2% 10.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - -0.71 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.71)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 8 at UNM 44) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -3.02 13.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.32 - -0.30 = -3.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 9 at UNM 41) Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 23 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -2.88 91.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 77

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 1.96 = -2.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:36 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 12 at UNM 38) Sean Chambers sacked for 0 yards to the Wyom 46 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.71 4.3% -2.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - 0.38 = -2.71

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 49) Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 38 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 2.42 74.1% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 11

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 2.48 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 2 at WYO 34) Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 2.40 63.8% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 28

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 2.29 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 1 at WYO 19) Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 19 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -3.42 71.1% -16.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 81

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 3.80 = -3.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.80)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18 fumbled, recovered by NMex Cody Moon - UNM 14, WYO 3 -4.83 28.8% -14.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 18

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - -0.21 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.21)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 5 at WYO 13) Andrew Shelley 30 yd FG MISSED - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.27 84.3% -12.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 87

Started Drive at: WYO 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 2.78 = -2.27

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.78)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 9 at UNM 35) Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 36 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.84 83.3% -12.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.22 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.22)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 43) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 7, WYO 0 6.66 14.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.34 = 6.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 4 at WYO 49) Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 3.14 19.2% 10.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - -0.71 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.71)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 167 (1st & Goal at WYO 2) Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.17 45.9% -9.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.83 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 8 at UNM 36) Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 39 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.15 79.1% -8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 1.31 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.31)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 4 at UNM 46) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 8 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.82 57.7% -8.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 92

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 0.45 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 5 at UNM 47) Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 12 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.81 69.8% 7.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 88

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.73 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 43) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 7, WYO 0 6.66 14.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.34 = 6.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 9 at UNM 10) John Hoyland 27 yd FG GOOD - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.64 70.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 65

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.64)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 167 (1st & Goal at WYO 2) Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.17 45.9% -9.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.83 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (Kickoff at UNM 35) John Hoyland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNM 0, WYO 0 0.00 10.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 25) Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 28 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.47 11.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.86 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 7 at UNM 28) Luke Wysong run for 9 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 1.44 11.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.39 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 37) Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 39 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.58 11.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.83 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.9%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 8 at UNM 39) Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the NMex 39 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.91 11.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 1.26 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 8 at UNM 39) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 36 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -1.74 10.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.39 - 0.34 = -1.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:32 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 11 at UNM 36) RODRIGUEZ, Aaron punt 64 yards to the WYO0, Touchback. PENALTY WYO Offsides enforced 5 yards from the UNM36 to the UNM41. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UNM 0, WYO 0 0.11 8.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - -1.17 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 6 at UNM 41) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 14 - UNM 0, WYO 0 0.23 9.0% 3.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 86

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.79 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 14) Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 20 - UNM 0, WYO 0 0.10 87.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 80

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.53 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at WYO 20) Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.66 87.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.62 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 2 at WYO 22) Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 4 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 1.41 86.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - -0.04 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 26) Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the Wyom 35 - UNM 0, WYO 0 0.93 87.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 65

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 1.37 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 1 at WYO 35) Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.05 88.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 2.30 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 10 at WYO 41) Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -1.45 88.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 60

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 1.59 = -1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 11 at WYO 40) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Collier) to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 3.19 86.5% 3.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.14 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 42) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.67 90.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 3.33 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 10 at UNM 42) Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the NMex 41 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.76 89.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.66 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 9 at UNM 41) Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 23 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -2.88 91.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 77

Started Drive at: WYO 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 1.96 = -2.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 23) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 16 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 1.17 15.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 0.93 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 39) Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 40 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.56 16.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.10 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 9 at UNM 40) Isaiah Chavez run for 5 yds to the NMex 45 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.10 15.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.54 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 4 at UNM 45) Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 48 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.88 15.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.43 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 1 at UNM 48) Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UNM 0, WYO 0 2.26 15.0% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 0.56 = 2.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at 50) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 47 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -1.29 17.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 53

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.82 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 13 at UNM 47) Luke Wysong run for 6 yds to the Wyom 47 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -0.03 15.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.53 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 7 at WYO 47) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the Wyom 43 - UNM 0, WYO 0 -1.19 15.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 1.49 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 0, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 43) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 7, WYO 0 6.66 14.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.34 = 6.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 2751 (Kickoff at WYO 35) George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.00 70.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 25) Titus Swen run for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 1.00 70.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 0.14 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 36) Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.42 70.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.14 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 7 at WYO 39) Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 44 - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.31 70.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.73 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 2 at WYO 44) Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.91 72.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 1.02 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.98)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 48) Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the NMex 48 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.05 74.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.93 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 6 at UNM 48) Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the NMex 47 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.76 74.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.88 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.12)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 5 at UNM 47) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 7, WYO 0 -1.92 73.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 1.12 = -1.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 5 at UNM 47) Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 12 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.81 69.8% 7.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 88

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.73 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 12) Aaron Dumas run for 5 yds to the NMex 17 - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.08 25.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.44 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.6%

Win Probability (After): 25.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 5 at UNM 17) Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 21 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.14 25.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 79

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.52 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 1 at UNM 21) Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.64 24.6% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 1.38 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 24) Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 27 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.35 26.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.02 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:29 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 7 at UNM 27) Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 30 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.11 29.2% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.54 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.54)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:29 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 4 at UNM 30) Timeout NEW MEXICO, clock 09:29 - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.00 28.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.42 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:29 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 4 at UNM 30) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 1 yd to the NMex 31 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -1.52 26.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 1.30 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at UNM 31) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 28 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.25 23.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72

Started Drive at: UNM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - -0.63 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.12)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 28) Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34 - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.30 72.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.82 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at WYO 34) Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.67 72.6% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 59

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.12 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 41) Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46 - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.10 73.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.79 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 5 at WYO 46) Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 0.59 73.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 1.89 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 49) Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 38 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 0 2.42 74.1% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 11

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 2.48 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 11) Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the NMex 9 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.43 79.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 4.90 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 8 at UNM 9) WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 14 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.72 78.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 14

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 4.47 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 13 at UNM 14) Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the NMex 10 - UNM 7, WYO 0 -0.20 77.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 10

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.75 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 9 at UNM 10) Levi Williams pass incomplete - UNM 7, WYO 0 -1.10 76.5% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 3.54 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 9 at UNM 10) John Hoyland 27 yd FG GOOD - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.64 70.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 65

Started Drive at: WYO 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.64)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (Kickoff at UNM 35) John Hoyland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.00 22.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.23 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 25) Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 27 - UNM 7, WYO 3 -0.48 22.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.23 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 8 at UNM 27) Luke Wysong run for 8 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 3 1.12 22.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 0.75 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.75)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 35) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 34 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 3 1.88 23.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 31

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 1.87 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.87)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 31) Isaiah Chavez run for 7 yds to the Wyom 24 - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.47 27.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 3.75 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.75)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 3 at WYO 24) Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 25 - UNM 7, WYO 3 -0.72 27.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 25

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.23 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 4 at WYO 25) Isaiah Chavez run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.84 26.0% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 3.51 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.51)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) WYOMING Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JONES, Victor enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST down - UNM 7, WYO 3 1.10 28.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 4

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 4.35 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 167 (1st & Goal at WYO 4) WYOMING Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the Wyom 2 - UNM 7, WYO 3 0.24 29.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 2

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 5.92 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.92)

Score Difference (End): 4 (10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 7, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 167 (1st & Goal at WYO 2) Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.17 45.9% -9.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UNM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.83 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 2751 (Kickoff at WYO 35) George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 47.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.28 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.72)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 25) WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.28 47.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.28 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.72)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (Kickoff at WYO 35) George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 47.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - -0.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.24)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 25) Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 24 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.03 47.7% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - -0.24 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.24)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 45.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 11 at WYO 24) Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 28 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.35 45.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 72

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -1.26 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.26)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 7 at WYO 28) Levi Williams pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.19 44.9% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.80 - -1.61 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.61)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 7 at WYO 28) Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 3 yds to the NMex 40 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.20 47.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60

Started Drive at: WYO 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.91 - -2.71 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.71)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.91)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 45.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 40) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NMex 38 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.99 58.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 3.03 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.03)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 12 at UNM 38) Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 40 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.23 57.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 2.69 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.69)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 10 at UNM 40) Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the NMex 45 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.38 57.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.46 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.46)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 5 at UNM 45) Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 46 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.59 57.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 54

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 2.07 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.07)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 4 at UNM 46) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 8 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.82 57.7% -8.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 92

Started Drive at: UNM 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 0.45 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.45)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 8) Levi Williams pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 6 yds to the Wyom 14 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.43 45.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 86

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - -1.23 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at WYO 14) Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 17 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.25 45.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 83

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.80 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.80)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 1 at WYO 17) SWEN, Titus rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WYO23 (COLLIER, Tony). PENALTY WYO Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the WYO17 to the WYO8. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.68 44.8% -7.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 92

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.72 - -1.04 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.04)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.8%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:57 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 9 at WYO 9) Levi Williams pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.92 38.0% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.44 - -2.52 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.52)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-14.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 35.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 9 at WYO 9) Ralph Fawaz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the Wyom 42 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.64 35.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.89 - -3.25 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-14.25)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 42) DUMAS, Aaron rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the WYO38 (GANDY, Esaias;GIBBS, Easton). PENALTY UNM Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO42 to the UNM48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.88 66.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 52

Started Drive at: WYO 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.92 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 20 at UNM 48) NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tony Collier) to the NMex 43 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.35 62.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.04 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.04)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 25 at UNM 43) Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 42 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.59 61.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 58

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.69 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.69)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 26 at UNM 42) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trae Hall for 5 yds to the NMex 47 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.81 60.1% -5.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.10 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 2 at WYO 34) Timeout NEW MEXICO, clock 07:05 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 64.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 21 at UNM 47) Isaiah Chavez run for 19 yds to the Wyom 34 - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.09 58.6% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 34

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.20 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.20)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.6%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 2 at WYO 34) Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 2.40 63.8% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 28

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 2.29 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 28) Luke Wysong run for 8 yds to the Wyom 20 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.44 67.1% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 4.69 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.69)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 2 at WYO 20) Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.37 68.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 5.13 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.13)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:05 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 1 at WYO 19) Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the Wyom 19 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.97 67.4% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.77 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 1 at WYO 19) Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 19 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -3.42 71.1% -16.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 81

Started Drive at: WYO 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 3.80 = -3.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.80)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 19) Levi Williams run for 9 yds to the Wyom 28 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.88 35.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 72

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - -0.43 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.43)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 1 at WYO 28) Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.46 38.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.45 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 34) Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.56 39.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.91 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.09)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 8 at WYO 36) WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 27 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.26 37.9% -5.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 73

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.91 - 0.35 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.65)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 17 at WYO 27) Levi Williams pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.97 34.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.91 - -0.94 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.94)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.7%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:26 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 17 at WYO 27) Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.48 32.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -1.91 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.91)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:22 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 13 at WYO 31) Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 15 yds to the NMex 34 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.55 25.9% 4.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: WYO 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - -2.22 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.22)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:22 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 34) Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 35 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.51 80.4% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.79 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.79)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 9 at UNM 35) Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 36 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.84 83.3% -12.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.22 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.22)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 8 at UNM 36) Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 39 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.15 79.1% -8.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 1.31 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.31)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 5 at UNM 39) NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tony Collier) to the NMex 34 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.29 70.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 0.16 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:57 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 10 at UNM 34) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 20 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.39 69.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 80

Started Drive at: UNM 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - -0.26 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.74)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.13)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18 fumbled, recovered by NMex Cody Moon - UNM 14, WYO 3 -4.83 28.8% -14.8%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 18

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.04 - -0.21 = -4.83

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.21)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 18) Luke Wysong run for 4 yds to the Wyom 14 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.17 85.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14

Started Drive at: WYO 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 5.04 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.04)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 6 at WYO 14) Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 13 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.66 86.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13

Started Drive at: WYO 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.87 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 5 at WYO 13) Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.46 85.1% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: WYO 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 4.20 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.20)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 5 at WYO 13) Andrew Shelley 30 yd FG MISSED - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.27 84.3% -12.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 87

Started Drive at: WYO 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 2.78 = -2.27

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.78)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 28 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.52 20.1% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - -0.15 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.15)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 2 at WYO 28) Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 15 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.24 21.7% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 0.37 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.63)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 10 at WYO 43) Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.74 24.0% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.06 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.94)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 9 at WYO 44) Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.03 20.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 51

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 0.32 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.68)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 4 at WYO 49) Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 3.14 19.2% 10.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - -0.71 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.71)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 46) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.58 29.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.43 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.57)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 10 at UNM 46) Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the NMex 44 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.84 27.0% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.84 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.16)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 8 at UNM 44) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.74 23.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 1.00 = -1.74

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.00)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.7%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 8 at UNM 44) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -3.02 13.7% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.32 - -0.30 = -3.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at UNM 44) Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 3 yds to the NMex 47 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.42 93.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.82 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.82)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 7 at UNM 47) Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the Wyom 47 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.45 92.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.41 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.41)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 1 at WYO 47) Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.56 93.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 46

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.86 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.86)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 46) Bobby Wooden run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.48 93.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.42 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.42)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 8 at WYO 44) Isaiah Chavez run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.65 93.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.94 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.94)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:08 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 39) Timeout WYOMING, clock 05:08 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 94.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:08 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 6 at WYO 42) Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.19 94.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 2.18 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.18)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 3 at WYO 39) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 39 yds for a touchback - UNM 14, WYO 3 -1.54 94.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 80

Started Drive at: UNM 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 1.06 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 4 yds to the Wyom 24 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.24 9.0% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.55 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.45)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 6 at WYO 24) Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.87 7.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - -0.41 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.41)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 34) Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 5 yds to the Wyom 39 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.07 10.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.46 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.54)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 5 at WYO 39) Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 13 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.15 11.3% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 48

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 1.53 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.47)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 48) Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 6 yds to the NMex 42 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.16 14.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.68 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at UNM 42) Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.51 15.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 36

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 2.85 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.15)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 36) Sean Chambers pass complete to Rome Weber for 6 yds to the NMex 30 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.28 15.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.36 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.64)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:01 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at UNM 30) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.59 15.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.64 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.36)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:45 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 12 at UNM 38) Timeout WYOMING, clock 02:45 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 6.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.05 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.95)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:45 ESPN team id 2751 (3rd & 4 at UNM 30) Sean Chambers sacked by Joey Noble and Cody Moon for 0 yards to the NMex 38 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.34 8.8% -4.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 38

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 2.69 = -2.34

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.31)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:36 ESPN team id 2751 (4th & 12 at UNM 38) Sean Chambers sacked for 0 yards to the Wyom 46 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -2.71 4.3% -2.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 46

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - 0.38 = -2.71

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.34)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:32 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 9 at WYO 45) Timeout WYOMING, clock 02:32 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 98.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:32 ESPN team id 167 (1st & 10 at WYO 46) Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.46 98.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.32 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.32)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:32 ESPN team id 167 (2nd & 9 at WYO 45) Luke Wysong run for no gain to the Wyom 45 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.54 98.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.87 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:04 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 8 at WYO 44) Timeout NEW MEXICO, clock 01:04 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.00 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 1.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.32)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:04 ESPN team id 167 (3rd & 9 at WYO 45) Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44 - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.72 98.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.17 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.17)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 167 (4th & 8 at WYO 44) Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds for a touchback - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.74 98.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 80

Started Drive at: WYO 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.42 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.42)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 20) Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the Wyom 26 - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.11 1.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.30 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.70)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 4 at WYO 26) Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 6 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.31 2.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.41 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.59)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at WYO 32) Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 26 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down - UNM 14, WYO 3 1.06 2.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.71 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.29)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 2751 (1st & 10 at UNM 42) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 -0.21 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.77 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2751 (2nd & 10 at UNM 42) Sean Chambers pass incomplete - UNM 14, WYO 3 0.69 3.1% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WYO 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.53 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.47)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UNM 14, WYO 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2