Oregon 10 @ Utah 38

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.41 | Odds: UTAH -3, O/U 57.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Total Plays 6570
Total EPA -20.685.34
  Offensive EPA -11.329.87
  Special Teams EPA -6.154.10
  Penalty EPA -6-8.64
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 2.790.01
Production ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Scrimmage Plays 5364
  Yards 258383
  Yards/Play 4.875.98
  EPA -11.329.87
  EPA/Play -0.210.15
Passes 28 (53%)25 (39%)
  Yards 147170
  Yards/Play 5.256.80
  EPA -12.70-2.29
  EPA/Play -0.45-0.09
Rushes 25 (47%)39 (61%)
  Yards 95195
  Yards/Play 3.805.13
  EPA 1.3812.16
  EPA/Play 0.060.31
Rushing ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Scrimmage Plays 5364
Rushes 25 (47%)39 (61%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (8%)3 (8%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (100%)3 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (12%)5 (13%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 12 (48%)11 (28%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 10 (40%)19 (49%)
OL Line Yards 35.290.1
  Per Carry 1.412.31
Highlight Yards 24.557
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.453.00
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Total Plays 6570
Scrimmage Plays 5364
Explosive Plays 2 (4%)7 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (4%)2 (8%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (4%)5 (13%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -16.20-8.30
  EPA/Play -0.32-0.15
  When Passing -15.63-8.83
    EPA/Play -0.56-0.35
  When Rushing -0.570.53
    EPA/Play -0.020.02
Situational ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 22 (42%)33 (52%)
  When Passing 10 (36%)12 (48%)
  When Rushing 12 (48%)21 (54%)
  On Standard Downs 17 (52%)25 (50%)
  On Passing Downs 5 (25%)8 (57%)
  On Early Downs 18 (45%)24 (50%)
  On Late Downs 4 (31%)9 (56%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (44%)7 (54%)
Early Downs 4048
  First Downs Created 8 (20%)8 (17%)
  EPA -0.674.64
  EPA/Play -0.020.10
  Passes 19 (48%)19 (40%)
  Rushes 21 (53%)29 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 9 (47%)10 (53%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 9 (43%)14 (48%)
"Middle 8" Plays 913
  EPA -1.157.36
  EPA/play -0.130.57
  Passes 4 (44%)8 (62%)
  Rushes 5 (56%)5 (38%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (50%)4 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)3 (60%)
Drives ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Total 1010
Avg Starting Field Position Own 23Own 38
Plays/Drive 7.218.77
Yards/Drive 36.8146.95
Available Yards % 48%76%
Defensive ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Scrimmage Plays 6453
Stop Rate 9%42%
Havoc Plays Created 7 (11%)12 (23%)
  Passing 4 (16%)10 (36%)
  Rushing 3 (8%)2 (8%)
TFLs Generated 36
  Passing 24
  Rushing 12
Sacks Generated 1 (4%)4 (14%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 22
Fumbles Forced 20
Turnovers ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Turnovers 22
  Fumbles 12
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 12
  Interceptions 22
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 1.91.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 0.00.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 254
Total Plays 12 6
Total EPA -6.15 4.1
  Field Goal EPA -0.91 2.1
  Punting EPA -1.53 0.91
  Kickoff Return EPA -3.71 1.09

Oregon [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, -0.9 xQBR 0.00 -6.21 -6.21 0% -16.0%
Anthony Brown 13/23, 147 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 28.3 xQBR 5.44 -0.24 -6.49 37% -5.0%
Rush attempts
Travis Dye 15 carries, 82 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.47 0.44 6.57 60% 0.0%
Seven McGee 2 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 0.08 0.16 50% 1.0%
Byron Cardwell 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.66 -0.66 0% 0.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -13 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) -13.00 -2.26 -2.26 0% 0.0%
Anthony Brown 6 carries, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 -0.41 -2.44 33% -4.0%
Pass targets
Isaah Crocker 3 catches (4 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.79 3.17 50% 0.0%
Seven McGee 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 1.77 1.77 100% 2.0%
Devon Williams 1 catch (3 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.33 0.98 33% 0.0%
Terrance Ferguson 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.58 0.58 100% 0.0%
Byron Cardwell 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.36 0.36 100% 0.0%
Kris Hutson 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.19 -0.38 50% 0.0%
Travis Dye 4 catches (5 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.75 -0.43 -2.17 20% 0.0%
Troy Franklin 1 catch (5 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 -0.60 -3.01 40% -4.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Cameron Rising 15/24, 170 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 Sck, 49.5 xQBR 6.80 -0.09 -2.29 48% 1.0%
Rush attempts
Cameron Rising 8 carries, 69 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 8.62 1.03 8.25 62% 3.0%
Micah Bernard 6 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 0.40 2.40 67% 0.0%
TJ Pledger 5 carries, 16 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.20 0.25 1.25 60% -1.0%
Tavion Thomas 18 carries, 63 yds, 2 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 0.01 0.23 44% 4.0%
Chris Curry 2 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 0.01 0.02 50% 0.0%
Pass targets
Dalton Kincaid 4 catches (5 targets), 61 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.25 1.34 6.71 60% 8.0%
Britain Covey 5 catches (7 targets), 72 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.40 0.53 3.74 71% 0.0%
Solomon Enis 1 catch (1 target), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.81 0.81 100% 3.0%
Theo Howard 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.38 0.76 50% 1.0%
Brant Kuithe 1 catch (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.23 -0.45 50% 0.0%
Cole Fotheringham 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.75 -0.75 0% -2.0%
Devaughn Vele 2 catches (3 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.40 -1.20 33% -1.0%
Tavion Thomas 1 catch (1 target), -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -4.00 -1.48 -1.48 0% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 35) UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sataoa Laumea) to the Utah 20 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -7.77 99.9% -38.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.84 - 3.93 = -7.77

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.93)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:16 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at ORE 30) Devin Lloyd 34 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -6.21 29.2% -16.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:51 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 8 at ORE 29) Cameron Rising pass intercepted Noah Sewell return for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -4.57 89.6% -4.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.23 = -4.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:40 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Cameron Rising pass intercepted Verone McKinley III return for no gain to the Oregn 20 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -4.15 90.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 4.10 = -4.15

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.10)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 14 at ORE 40) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 3.49 89.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 0.94 = 3.49

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 7 at UTAH 26) Camden Lewis 44 yd FG MISSED - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -3.15 11.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.63 - 0.52 = -3.15

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:50 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 12 at ORE 17) Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Dixon, Jaylen, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Wright, Mykael) 15 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. - ORE 0, UTAH 0 3.11 60.9% 5.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.32 - 3.21 = 3.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 11) Dalton Kincaid 11 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Team PAT failed) - ORE 0, UTAH 20 3.05 94.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.87 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.87)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 33 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 2.93 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 5

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 2.54 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-32.46)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-29.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:45 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 45) Cameron Rising run for 41 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 23 2.73 99.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.26 - 3.53 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.53)

Score Difference (End): 20 (26.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 35) UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sataoa Laumea) to the Utah 20 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -7.77 99.9% -38.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.84 - 3.93 = -7.77

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.93)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:16 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at ORE 30) Devin Lloyd 34 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -6.21 29.2% -16.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:47 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 2) Tavion Thomas 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.66 66.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:59 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 48) Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 0 2.27 54.7% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 0.56 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:50 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 12 at ORE 17) Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Dixon, Jaylen, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Wright, Mykael) 15 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. - ORE 0, UTAH 0 3.11 60.9% 5.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.32 - 3.21 = 3.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 14 at ORE 40) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 3.49 89.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 0.94 = 3.49

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:51 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 8 at ORE 29) Cameron Rising pass intercepted Noah Sewell return for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -4.57 89.6% -4.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.23 = -4.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 45 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 -0.91 59.2% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.29 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 56.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 11) Dalton Kincaid 11 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Team PAT failed) - ORE 0, UTAH 20 3.05 94.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.87 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.87)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at 50) Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 0 0.81 59.3% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 2.82 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:47 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 2) Tavion Thomas 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.66 66.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:16 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at ORE 30) Devin Lloyd 34 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -6.21 29.2% -16.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 11) Dalton Kincaid 11 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Team PAT failed) - ORE 0, UTAH 20 3.05 94.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.87 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.87)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at ORE 32) Jadon Redding 50 Yd Field Goal - ORE 0, UTAH 23 2.10 98.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.90 = 2.10

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.90)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 12 at UTAH 24) Camden Lewis 42 Yd Field Goal - ORE 3, UTAH 23 2.24 0.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.76 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.24)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 4) TJ Pledger 4 Yd Run (Cameron Rising Run for Two-Point Conversion) - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.74 99.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 6.26 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): 20 (26.26)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:21 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 3) Tavion Thomas 3 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.74 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 28 (34.26)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:17 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at UTAH 2) Travis Dye 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) - ORE 10, UTAH 38 1.40 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.60 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-29.40)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds , Britain Covey return for 39 yds to the Utah 39 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 0.04 53.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.86 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 39) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 5 yds to the Utah 44 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 0.09 58.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.08 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 45 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 -0.91 59.2% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.29 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 56.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:34 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 45) Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the Utah 48 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 -1.15 55.8% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 1.42 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 53.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:59 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 48) Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 0 2.27 54.7% 5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 0.56 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at 50) Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 0 0.81 59.3% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 2.82 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:09 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 22 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 0 1.42 61.4% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 15

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 3.63 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 15) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 17 - ORE 0, UTAH 0 -1.06 64.3% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 5.06 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:54 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 12 at ORE 17) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Cole Fotheringham - ORE 0, UTAH 0 -0.75 62.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.97 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:50 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 12 at ORE 17) Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Dixon, Jaylen, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Wright, Mykael) 15 yards to the OREGON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. - ORE 0, UTAH 0 3.11 60.9% 5.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.32 - 3.21 = 3.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.9%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:47 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 2) Tavion Thomas 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.66 66.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:47 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 58 yds , Seven McGee return for 19 yds to the Oregn 26 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.92 27.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.05 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:36 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 26) Brown, Anthony rush for 1 yard to the OREGON27, PENALTY UTAH offside 5 yards to the OREGON31, NO PLAY. - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.79 28.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 0.31 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:17 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 5 at ORE 31) Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.22 27.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.26 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:44 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 2 at ORE 34) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.12 27.6% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.14 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:14 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.55 28.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 1.16 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:08 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Oregn 39 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.80 29.0% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 0.56 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:30 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 9 at ORE 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 5 yds to the Oregn 44 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.76 26.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - -0.36 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.36)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:51 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 4 at ORE 44) Tom Snee punt for 49 yds , Britain Covey returns for 10 yds to the UTAH 46 OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (DJ James) to the Utah 32 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -1.47 26.2% -2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 68

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - -1.21 = -1.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:32 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 32) Pledger, TJ rush for 5 yards to the UTAH37, PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the UTAH22, NO PLAY. - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.84 74.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.53 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:17 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 20 at UTAH 22) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the Utah 35 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.54 74.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.74 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:34 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 35) Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 40 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.01 75.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.35 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 76.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:09 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 2 at UTAH 40) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Sataoa Laumea) to the Utah 35 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.93 76.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 2.33 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:41 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 7 at UTAH 35) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Britain Covey - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -1.42 73.5% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 1.40 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:32 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 7 at UTAH 35) Michael Williams punt for 53 yds , Seven McGee returns for 3 yds to the Oregn 15 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.39 71.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTAH 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.03 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:25 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 15) Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 7 0.36 29.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.41 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.41)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:57 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.55 30.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -0.05 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.7%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:43 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 5 yds to the Oregn 30 - ORE 0, UTAH 7 -0.19 29.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -0.59 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:16 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at ORE 30) Devin Lloyd 34 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -6.21 29.2% -16.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.79 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:16 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds , Seven McGee return for 20 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.24 12.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -0.54 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.9%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 20) Anthony Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 19 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.09 12.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 81

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -0.73 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:25 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 11 at ORE 19) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the Oregn 25 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.17 11.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -1.79 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.79)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:52 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at ORE 25) Brown, Anthony pass complete to Hutson, Kris for 8 yards to the OREGON33, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Thornton, Dont'e) 12 yards to the OREGON13, NO PLAY. - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.30 11.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 87

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.91 - -1.62 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:23 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 17 at ORE 13) Anthony Brown sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 6 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.07 10.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 94

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.99 - -2.92 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.92)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 24 at ORE 6) Tom Snee punt for 41 yds , Britain Covey returns for 2 yds to the Oregn 45 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.08 9.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.00 - -3.92 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-17.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 45) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 14 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.61 89.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.01 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:56 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 31) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.48 89.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.60 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:14 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 8 at ORE 29) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Oregn 29 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.84 89.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 4.10 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.10)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:51 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 8 at ORE 29) Cameron Rising pass intercepted Noah Sewell return for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -4.57 89.6% -4.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.23 = -4.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:44 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 46) Seven McGee run for 6 yds to the Utah 48 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.35 14.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.32 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 15.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:19 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at UTAH 48) Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 19 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 1.77 15.2% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 29

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 1.64 = 1.77

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.36)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:41 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 29) Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Utah 23 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.31 18.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 3.41 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.59)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:04 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at UTAH 23) Seven McGee run for 2 yds to the Utah 21 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.19 18.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.72 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.28)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 2 at UTAH 21) OREGON Penalty, False Start (T.J. Bass) to the Utah 26 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.43 16.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 3.50 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:05 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 7 at UTAH 26) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.65 14.6% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 2.12 = -1.65

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 7 at UTAH 26) Camden Lewis 44 yd FG MISSED - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -3.15 11.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.63 - 0.52 = -3.15

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:53 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 26) TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the Utah 29 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.52 89.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.64 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 29) TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the Utah 32 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.26 89.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.06 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.06)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:34 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at UTAH 32) Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 6 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 1.35 88.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 1.76 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:57 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for no gain to the Utah 38 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.33 89.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.95 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.95)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:19 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 38) Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 45 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.07 88.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.25 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 45) Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 1.36 88.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 1.99 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.99)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:06 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 49) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Tavion Thomas) to the Utah 44 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.68 88.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 3.17 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.17)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:34 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 15 at UTAH 44) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the Oregn 42 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 1.47 88.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 2.44 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:49 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 1 at ORE 42) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Oregn 42 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.79 89.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.99 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.99)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:12 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 1 at ORE 42) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn Vele - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.12 89.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 3.32 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.32)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:03 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at ORE 42) Cameron Rising run for 12 yds to the Oregn 30 Cameron Rising fumbled, forced by Trikweze Bridges, recovered by Utah - ORE 0, UTAH 14 2.48 88.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 30

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 1.91 = 2.48

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.91)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:40 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Cameron Rising pass intercepted Verone McKinley III return for no gain to the Oregn 20 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -4.15 90.2% -2.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 4.10 = -4.15

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.10)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 20) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.77 11.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 0.09 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:29 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 20) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 24 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.42 11.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.44 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:46 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 6 at ORE 24) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the Oregn 26 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.14 10.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -0.63 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.63)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:04 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 4 at ORE 26) Tom Snee punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 26 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.15 9.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - -1.52 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.52)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:04 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 26) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Devaughn Vele) to the Utah 21 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.47 88.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.54 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.54)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 15 at UTAH 21) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 25 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.28 88.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.00 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.00)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 11 at UTAH 25) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 1.23 88.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 0.81 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.81)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:42 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Britain Covey - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.29 88.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.78 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.78)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:38 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the Utah 44 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.05 88.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.35 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:05 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.77 89.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.33 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.33)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 47) Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Oregn 44 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.78 89.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.57 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:07 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 1 at ORE 44) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.13 90.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.08 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.08)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:01 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 41) Timeout OREGON, clock 01:01 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.00 91.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.96)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:57 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 41) Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Kuithe, Brant, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (James, DJ) 5 yards to the OREGON36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.67 91.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 1.77 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.77)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:51 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 36) TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the Oregn 32 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.27 92.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 32

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.39 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:50 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at ORE 32) Timeout UTAH, clock 00:50 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.00 91.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.66 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.66)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at ORE 32) Cameron Rising sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 40 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -1.71 91.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.64 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:46 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 14 at ORE 40) Timeout UTAH, clock 00:46 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.00 89.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 14 at ORE 40) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 14 3.49 89.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 0.94 = 3.49

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.94)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:34 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 11) Timeout OREGON, clock 00:34 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.00 94.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 4.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.43)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 11) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton Kincaid - ORE 0, UTAH 14 -0.39 94.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.32 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.32)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 11) Timeout UTAH, clock 00:31 - ORE 0, UTAH 14 0.00 94.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.93)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 11) Dalton Kincaid 11 Yd pass from Cameron Rising (Team PAT failed) - ORE 0, UTAH 20 3.05 94.6% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.87 = 3.05

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.87)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 45 yds , Seven McGee return for 6 yds to the Oregn 26 - ORE 0, UTAH 20 -0.04 3.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.22 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.78)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 26) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin, broken up by Clark Phillips III - ORE 0, UTAH 20 0.08 3.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.13 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.87)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 26) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Malone Mataele return for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 - ORE 0, UTAH 20 -1.48 3.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 37

Started Drive at: ORE 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.43 - 0.05 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.95)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Timeout OREGON, clock 00:08 - ORE 0, UTAH 20 0.00 98.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.99 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.99)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the Oregn 32 - ORE 0, UTAH 20 0.62 98.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.88 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.88)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at ORE 32) Jadon Redding 50 Yd Field Goal - ORE 0, UTAH 23 2.10 98.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.90 = 2.10

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.90)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 20 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 0, UTAH 23 0.00 1.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.74 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.74)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 23 1.03 2.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - -0.75 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.75)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:28 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 35) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 36 - ORE 0, UTAH 23 -0.79 2.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.44 - 0.35 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.65)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:53 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 36) Brown, Anthony pass incomplete to Franklin, Troy, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Bishop, Cole) 14 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON. - ORE 0, UTAH 23 1.76 2.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - -0.32 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.32)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-21.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:47 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at 50) Anthony Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard line - ORE 0, UTAH 23 -0.59 2.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 1.40 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-21.60)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:10 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at 50) Travis Dye run for 14 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 23 1.95 2.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 36

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 0.68 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.32)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-20.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:39 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 36) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 14 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, UTAH 23 1.26 2.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 22

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 2.67 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-20.33)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-19.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 22) Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Utah 20 - ORE 0, UTAH 23 -0.66 2.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.95 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.05)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-19.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at UTAH 20) Anthony Brown sacked by Cole Bishop for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 24 - ORE 0, UTAH 23 -1.96 1.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 3.31 = -1.96

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.69)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-21.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:41 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 12 at UTAH 24) Timeout OREGON, clock 10:41 - ORE 0, UTAH 23 0.00 1.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-21.65)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-21.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:37 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 12 at UTAH 24) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Devon Williams, broken up by Cole Bishop - ORE 0, UTAH 23 -0.65 1.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.40 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-21.60)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 12 at UTAH 24) Camden Lewis 42 Yd Field Goal - ORE 3, UTAH 23 2.24 0.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.76 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.24)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:32 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 3, UTAH 23 0.00 99.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.88 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.88)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 10:24 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 25) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 28 Tavion Thomas fumbled, forced by Noah Sewell, recovered by Utah Tavion Thomas - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.37 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.94 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.94)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:53 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 28) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 32 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.08 99.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.60 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.60)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:18 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 32) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -1.69 99.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 2.33 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.33)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:06 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 3 at UTAH 32) Michael Williams punt for 54 yds, downed at the Oregn 14 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 0.53 98.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 86

Started Drive at: UTAH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.34 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.34)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.87)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:02 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 14) TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Oregn 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Oregn Anthony Brown - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -2.26 1.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.12 - -0.86 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.86)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-23.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, -13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:21 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 23 at ORE 1) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 2 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.53 1.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98

Started Drive at: ORE 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -3.21 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-23.21)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-23.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 22 at ORE 2) Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 5 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.37 1.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 95

Started Drive at: ORE 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.10 - -3.73 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-23.73)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-24.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:59 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 19 at ORE 5) Tom Snee punt for 40 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Oregn 45 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 0.17 1.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.93 - -4.10 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-24.10)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:54 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 45) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Theo Howard - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.59 99.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.11 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.11)

Score Difference (End): 20 (23.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:45 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at ORE 45) Cameron Rising run for 41 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 23 2.73 99.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.26 - 3.53 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.53)

Score Difference (End): 20 (26.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 4) TJ Pledger 4 Yd Run (Cameron Rising Run for Two-Point Conversion) - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.74 99.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 6.26 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): 20 (26.26)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 35) UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sataoa Laumea) to the Utah 20 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -7.77 99.9% -38.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.84 - 3.93 = -7.77

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.93)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:26 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 20) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 64 yds , Seven McGee return for 18 yds to the Oregn 34 - ORE 3, UTAH 23 -0.11 1.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.47 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.47)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:26 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 34) OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 29 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -1.06 1.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 71

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.51 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.49)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:17 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 15 at ORE 29) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.70 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 55

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - -1.43 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.43)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:50 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 45) Anthony Brown sacked by Hauati Pututau and Van Fillinger for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 43 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -1.21 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.26 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.74)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 12 at ORE 43) Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Utah 46 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.73 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - -0.93 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.93)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:38 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 1 at UTAH 46) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.49 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 0.79 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.21)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:05 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 44) Anthony Brown sacked by Tennessee Pututau for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 48 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -2.07 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.29 = -2.07

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.71)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:17 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 18 at ORE 48) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 13 yds to the Utah 39 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.28 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - -0.82 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.82)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 39) OREGON Penalty, False Start (Alex Forsyth) to the Utah 44 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -1.01 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.44 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.56)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 10 at UTAH 44) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Utah 38 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -0.75 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.30 - -0.55 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.55)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:53 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 4 at UTAH 38) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin, broken up by Clark Phillips III - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -2.60 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.82 - -1.21 = -2.60

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.21)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.82)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:48 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 5 yds to the Utah 43 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -0.18 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.78 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.78)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 43) Micah Bernard run for 16 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.88 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 3.64 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.64)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 41) Bernard, Micah rush for 8 yards to the OREGON33, PENALTY UTAH holding (Olaseni, Bamidele) 10 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY. - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -0.85 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.54 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.54)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 20 at UTAH 49) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 18 yds to the Oregn 33 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.40 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 33

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 3.58 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.58)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 2 at ORE 33) Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Oregn 32 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -0.38 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 4.89 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.89)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:17 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 1 at ORE 32) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.81 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 28

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 4.17 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.17)

Score Difference (End): 28 (32.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:39 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 28) Cameron Rising pass complete to Tavion Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 32 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 -1.48 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 32

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 4.90 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 28 (32.90)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:55 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 14 at ORE 32) Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the Oregn 26 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.01 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 26

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.57 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.57)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:10 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 8 at ORE 26) Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 1.95 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 3.54 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.54)

Score Difference (End): 28 (33.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:37 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 17) TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the Oregn 11 - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.02 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.44 - 5.42 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 28 (33.42)

Score Difference (End): 28 (33.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 4 at ORE 11) Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 31 0.84 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 3

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.27 - 5.43 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 28 (33.43)

Score Difference (End): 28 (34.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:21 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at ORE 3) Tavion Thomas 3 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.74 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 28 (34.26)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:21 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds , Seven McGee return for 20 yds to the UTAH 45 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Morrow) to the Oregn 10 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -1.40 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -0.37 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-42.80)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:21 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 10) UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Thomas Yassmin) to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.54 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.91 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.91)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:08 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -0.03 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - -0.37 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.37)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:37 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at ORE 29) Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the Oregn 34 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.58 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - -0.47 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.47)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:01 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 1 at ORE 34) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.35 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.00 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.00)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:28 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 36) Anthony Brown pass complete to Byron Cardwell for 6 yds to the Oregn 42 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.36 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.34 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.66)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:02 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at ORE 42) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -0.39 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.80 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.20)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:27 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 2 at ORE 44) Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 1.57 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 0.60 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.40)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-32.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:54 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Devon Williams - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -0.52 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.36 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-32.64)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:51 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 40) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Isaah Crocker, broken up by Mika Tafua - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -0.85 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.90 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.10)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:41 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 10 at UTAH 40) Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 17 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 2.14 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 23

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 1.31 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.69)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-31.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:41 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 23) OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Devon Williams) to the Utah 38 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 -1.50 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 3.52 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-31.48)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-32.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at UTAH 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 33 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, UTAH 38 2.93 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 5

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 2.54 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-32.46)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-29.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at UTAH 5) Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Utah 2 - ORE 3, UTAH 38 0.05 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 5.49 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-29.51)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-29.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:17 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at UTAH 2) Travis Dye 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) - ORE 10, UTAH 38 1.40 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.60 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-29.40)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 90 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Camden Lewis on-side kick recovered by UTAH at the Oregn 47 , Solomon Enis return for 10 yds to the Oregn 37 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 1.04 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 37

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.47 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.47)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:08 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Oregn 32 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 0.02 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.22 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.22)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:23 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at ORE 32) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Oregn 32 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 -0.56 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.07 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.07)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:36 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 5 at ORE 32) Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Oregn 29 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 -0.52 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.30 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.30)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:54 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 2 at ORE 29) Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST down - ORE 10, UTAH 38 2.20 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 1.71 = 2.20

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.71)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:08 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at ORE 21) Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the Oregn 17 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 0.23 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.64 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.64)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:27 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at ORE 17) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Bamidele Olaseni) to the Oregn 22 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 -0.88 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.58 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.58)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:20 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 11 at ORE 22) Chris Curry run for 8 yds to the Oregn 14 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 1.00 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 2.40 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.40)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:35 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 3 at ORE 14) Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Oregn 13 - ORE 10, UTAH 38 -0.98 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13

Started Drive at: ORE 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 3.44 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.44)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 10, UTAH 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2