Kent State 23 @ N Illinois 41

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.44 | Odds: KENT -4, O/U 75.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Total Plays 7283
Total EPA 4.0811.37
  Offensive EPA 7.7315.39
  Special Teams EPA -3.481.99
  Penalty EPA -1.12-3.8
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.95-2.21
Production ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Scrimmage Plays 6276
  Yards 415366
  Yards/Play 6.694.82
  EPA 7.7315.39
  EPA/Play 0.120.20
Passes 30 (48%)15 (20%)
  Yards 196102
  Yards/Play 6.536.80
  EPA -3.668.79
  EPA/Play -0.120.59
Rushes 32 (52%)61 (80%)
  Yards 214266
  Yards/Play 6.694.36
  EPA 11.396.60
  EPA/Play 0.360.11
Rushing ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Scrimmage Plays 6276
Rushes 32 (52%)61 (80%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)3 (5%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)3 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (22%)9 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (31%)24 (39%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 21 (66%)32 (52%)
OL Line Yards 27.6140.9
  Per Carry 0.862.31
Highlight Yards 90.547
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.311.47
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Total Plays 7283
Scrimmage Plays 6276
Explosive Plays 7 (11%)6 (8%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (10%)3 (20%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 4 (12%)3 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -14.64-1.94
  EPA/Play -0.27-0.03
  When Passing -15.38-1.69
    EPA/Play -0.51-0.11
  When Rushing 0.73-0.25
    EPA/Play 0.030.00
Situational ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 32 (52%)37 (49%)
  When Passing 14 (47%)7 (47%)
  When Rushing 18 (56%)30 (49%)
  On Standard Downs 20 (48%)28 (50%)
  On Passing Downs 12 (60%)9 (45%)
  On Early Downs 26 (52%)26 (44%)
  On Late Downs 6 (50%)11 (65%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (60%)6 (55%)
Early Downs 5059
  First Downs Created 18 (36%)14 (24%)
  EPA 4.130.59
  EPA/Play 0.080.01
  Passes 23 (46%)11 (19%)
  Rushes 27 (54%)48 (81%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 12 (52%)3 (27%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (52%)23 (48%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1011
  EPA 2.59-0.25
  EPA/play 0.26-0.02
  Passes 4 (40%)3 (27%)
  Rushes 6 (60%)8 (73%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (50%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 4 (67%)6 (75%)
Drives ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Total 108
Avg Starting Field Position Own 20Own 31
Plays/Drive 8.0011.01
Yards/Drive 54.1853.11
Available Yards % 68%77%
Defensive ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Scrimmage Plays 7662
Stop Rate 17%31%
Havoc Plays Created 5 (7%)12 (19%)
  Passing 2 (13%)6 (20%)
  Rushing 3 (5%)6 (19%)
TFLs Generated 411
  Passing 15
  Rushing 36
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)4 (13%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 12
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Turnovers 31
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 21
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 0.90.7
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -8.98.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2309 ESPN team id 2459
Total Plays 10 7
Total EPA -3.48 1.99
  Field Goal EPA 1.92 0.98
  Punting EPA -0.01 0.61
  Kickoff Return EPA -5.39 0.4

Kent State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Collin Schlee 5/5, 68 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 81.0 xQBR, 0.09 DETMER 13.60 1.75 8.77 100% -1.0%
Dustin Crum 11/20, 128 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 51.8 xQBR, 0.64 DETMER 5.33 -0.26 -6.16 38% -9.0%
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 25.1 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 0.00 -6.27 -6.27 0% -11.0%
Rush attempts
Collin Schlee 3 carries, 22 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.33 2.32 6.97 100% 0.0%
Xavier Williams 8 carries, 93 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.62 0.79 6.29 75% 5.0%
Dustin Crum 11 carries, 87 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.91 0.44 4.86 55% 7.0%
Bryan Bradford 2 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 -0.06 -0.12 50% 0.0%
Ja'Shaun Poke 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.65 -0.65 0% -1.0%
Luke Floriea 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -0.91 -0.91 0% 0.0%
Marquez Cooper 6 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.83 -0.84 -5.06 33% -13.0%
Pass targets
Luke Floriea 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 4.29 4.29 100% -1.0%
Dante Cephas 7 catches (11 targets), 102 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.57 0.33 3.66 64% 2.0%
Keshunn Abram 4 catches (5 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.54 2.70 60% 4.0%
Nykeim Johnson 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.30 2.60 50% 1.0%
Raymond James 1 catch (1 target), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.00 1.12 1.12 100% 0.0%
Ja'Shaun Poke 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.27 0.55 50% 1.0%
Kris Leach 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.70 -0.70 0% 0.0%

Northern Illinois [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Rocky Lombardi 7/15, 102 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 80.0 xQBR, 0.13 DETMER 6.80 0.59 8.79 47% 12.0%
Rush attempts
Rocky Lombardi 8 carries, 17 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.12 0.50 3.99 75% 4.0%
Antario Brown 14 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.36 0.22 3.15 64% -1.0%
Clint Ratkovich 9 carries, 24 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 0.02 0.22 56% 1.0%
Mason Blakemore 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.14 -0.14 0% 0.0%
Jay Ducker 29 carries, 146 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.03 -0.02 -0.62 34% -5.0%
Pass targets
Trayvon Rudolph 3 catches (5 targets), 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.67 1.51 7.53 60% 9.0%
Cole Tucker 2 catches (3 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.51 4.53 67% 7.0%
Messiah Travis 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.42 1.42 100% 6.0%
Mohamed Toure 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.47 0.47 100% 1.0%
Mason Blakemore 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.40 -0.40 0% -1.0%
Tristen Tewes 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.86 -0.86 0% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 3) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 8 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -7.70 99.4% -12.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 6.51 = -7.70

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 20) CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 3, NIU 24 -6.27 12.0% -10.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.73 = -6.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 12 at NIU 17) Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 24 4.90 1.4% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.10 = 4.90

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:16 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & Goal at NIU 4) Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 17, NIU 38 4.50 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.50 = 4.50

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & Goal at NIU 7) Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds for a TD - KENT 23, NIU 41 4.29 0.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 2.63 = 4.29

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.37)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 23, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 17 (23) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 5 at KENT 42) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 3.56 86.7% 6.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 0.90 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.90)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:49 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 15 at NIU 20) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 32 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 24 3.54 93.2% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 48

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 0.31 = 3.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 11:47 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 40) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 0 3.38 37.6% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 0.66 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 36) Dustin Crum pass intercepted Dillon Thomas return for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 19 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -2.94 38.4% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 81

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 1.20 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 18) Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Nico Bolden return for no gain to the KntSt 4 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -2.91 92.0% -6.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 96

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 2.89 = -2.91

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.89)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 3) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 8 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -7.70 99.4% -12.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 6.51 = -7.70

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23 - KENT 3, NIU 24 -1.85 13.8% -11.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -0.53 = -1.85

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 8 at NIU 24) Andrew Glass 41 Yd Field Goal - KENT 3, NIU 17 1.92 13.5% 11.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.92)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 20) CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 3, NIU 24 -6.27 12.0% -10.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.73 = -6.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:09 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 2) Clint Ratkovich 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.65 56.4% 9.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:26 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 2 at KENT 39) Clint Ratkovich run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 40 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -2.25 42.8% -7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.94 = -2.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:47 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 40) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 0 3.38 37.6% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 0.66 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 18) Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Nico Bolden return for no gain to the KntSt 4 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -2.91 92.0% -6.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 96

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 2.89 = -2.91

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.89)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 36) Dustin Crum pass intercepted Dillon Thomas return for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 19 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -2.94 38.4% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 81

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 1.20 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 5 at KENT 42) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 3.56 86.7% 6.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 0.90 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.90)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 6 at KENT 19) John Richardson 37 Yd Field Goal - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.59 41.2% 4.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.41 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:09 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 2) Clint Ratkovich 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.65 56.4% 9.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:33 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & Goal at KENT 1) Rocky Lombardi 1 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.80 76.5% 5.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 10 (16.20)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 8 at NIU 24) Andrew Glass 41 Yd Field Goal - KENT 3, NIU 17 1.92 13.5% 11.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.92)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 20) CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 3, NIU 24 -6.27 12.0% -10.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.73 = -6.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 12 at NIU 17) Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 24 4.90 1.4% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.10 = 4.90

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 3 at KENT 5) Rocky Lombardi 5 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 31 2.09 98.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.91 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.91)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & Goal at KENT 2) Rocky Lombardi 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 38 0.80 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.20)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:16 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & Goal at NIU 4) Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 17, NIU 38 4.50 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.50 = 4.50

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:01 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 12) John Richardson 30 Yd Field Goal - KENT 17, NIU 41 0.38 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.62 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.62)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & Goal at NIU 7) Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds for a TD - KENT 23, NIU 41 4.29 0.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 2.63 = 4.29

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.37)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 23, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 17 (23) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2459 (Kickoff at NIU 35) Andrew Glass kickoff for 53 yds , Jay Ducker return for 28 yds to the NoIll 40 - KENT 0, NIU 0 0.15 35.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 0.86 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 40) Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -0.57 39.8% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 2.02 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:21 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 9 at NIU 41) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 12 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 0 1.42 35.9% 5.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 47

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 1.59 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:47 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 47) Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -0.61 40.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.11 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.5%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:13 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 8 at KENT 45) Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the KntSt 39 - KENT 0, NIU 0 0.44 39.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 2.51 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:26 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 2 at KENT 39) Clint Ratkovich run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 40 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -2.25 42.8% -7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.94 = -2.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:47 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 40) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 0 3.38 37.6% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 0.66 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:15 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 33) Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST holding (Hines, Elvis) 10 yards to the KENTST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL. - KENT 0, NIU 0 0.49 43.5% 1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 23

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 4.01 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:07 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 23) Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -1.07 44.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 24

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 4.48 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:25 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 11 at KENT 24) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen Tewes - KENT 0, NIU 0 -0.86 42.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 3.48 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:20 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 11 at KENT 24) Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the KntSt 19 - KENT 0, NIU 0 -0.40 40.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.76 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 6 at KENT 19) John Richardson 37 Yd Field Goal - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.59 41.2% 4.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: NIU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.41 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.00 59.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.58 59.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.85 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:37 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 25) Crum, Dustin pass complete to Poke, Ja'Shaun for 75 yards to the NORTHERNIL0, PENALTY KENTST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the KENTST20, NO PLAY. - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.62 58.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.15 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.85)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:25 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 15 at KENT 20) Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KntSt 29 - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.21 56.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.32 - -0.52 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.3%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:07 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 6 at KENT 29) Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 3 2.00 56.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 65

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - -0.25 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:50 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 35) Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.83 60.3% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 1.72 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:30 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 49) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.57 62.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.46 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.54)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.6%

Win Probability (After): 61.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:22 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 49) Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 47 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -1.55 60.2% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 53

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.83 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:55 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 12 at KENT 47) Dustin Crum sacked by Lance Deveaux Jr. and Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 42 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -1.63 57.5% -4.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.29 = -1.63

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:06 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 17 at KENT 42) Josh Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 22 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.01 55.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 78

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -1.23 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.25)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:06 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 22) Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 23 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.60 43.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.32 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:35 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 9 at NIU 23) Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NoIll 30 - KENT 0, NIU 3 0.45 43.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 70

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.68 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.68)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:50 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 2 at NIU 30) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 23 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 3 2.21 43.4% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 47

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 1.03 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:09 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 47) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.66 47.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.24 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:03 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 47) Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 43 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.52 46.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.58 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.58)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:26 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 6 at KENT 43) Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Hines, Elvis) 15 yards to the KENTST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL. - KENT 0, NIU 3 2.23 45.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 28

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.10 = 2.23

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.10)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:20 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 28) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.55 49.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 4.35 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.35)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:14 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 28) Jay Ducker run for 13 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 3 1.27 48.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 15

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 3.80 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.80)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:37 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 15) Clint Ratkovich run for 4 yds to the KntSt 11 - KENT 0, NIU 3 -0.19 51.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 5.06 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.8%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:54 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 6 at KENT 11) Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 3 1.46 53.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.35 - 4.88 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.88)

Score Difference (End): 3 (9.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:09 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 2) Clint Ratkovich 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.65 56.4% 9.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:09 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.00 37.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:09 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 25 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.57 37.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.02 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:48 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 25) Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 1.49 37.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - -0.46 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.46)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 38.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 36) Dustin Crum pass intercepted Dillon Thomas return for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 19 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -2.94 38.4% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 81

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 1.20 = -2.94

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 19) Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.06 68.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.78 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.78)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:50 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 5 at NIU 24) Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the NoIll 28 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.14 68.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 72

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.72 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.72)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:07 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 1 at NIU 28) Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.89 69.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 1.57 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.57)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 31) Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.13 68.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.44 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.44)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:26 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 6 at NIU 35) Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.56 68.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.32 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.32)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:47 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 41) Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.44 70.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.84 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.84)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:07 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 8 at NIU 43) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 1.14 70.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 47

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 2.35 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:38 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 47) Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41 - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.13 71.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 41

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.50 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.50)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:18 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 4 at KENT 41) Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.63 71.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 3.62 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.62)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 33) Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.60 72.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 21

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.21 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.21)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:23 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 21) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Mohamed Toure for 10 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.47 74.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 11

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 4.79 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.79)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:50 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 11) Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the KntSt 3 - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.69 75.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 3

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.92 - 5.23 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 76.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:59 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 2 at KENT 3) Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 10 0.59 77.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.48 - 5.89 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.89)

Score Difference (End): 10 (16.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 76.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:22 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 1) Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the KntSt 1 - KENT 0, NIU 10 -0.21 77.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.25 - 6.46 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 10 (16.46)

Score Difference (End): 10 (16.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 10

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:33 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & Goal at KENT 1) Rocky Lombardi 1 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.80 76.5% 5.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 10 (16.20)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:33 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 61 yds , Nykeim Johnson return for 31 yds to the NORTHERNIL 34 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KntSt 25 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.96 22.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -0.02 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-24.88)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:27 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Xavier Williams run for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 1.88 22.4% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 51

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - -0.08 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.08)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:11 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 49) Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 4 yds to the NoIll 47 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.14 25.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.85 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.15)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:50 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 6 at NIU 47) Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.31 25.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 44

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.82 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.18)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:19 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 3 at NIU 44) Xavier Williams run for 15 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 1.62 24.5% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 29

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 1.76 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.24)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:01 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 29) Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.00 25.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 3.59 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.41)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:33 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 5 at NIU 24) Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 27 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -1.38 26.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 27

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 3.75 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.25)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:52 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 8 at NIU 27) Dustin Crum sacked by Jaden Dolphin and Nick Rattin for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 32 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -2.33 24.8% -4.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 2.47 = -2.33

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 13 at NIU 32) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson - KENT 0, NIU 17 -2.30 20.6% -5.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 0.30 = -2.30

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.70)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:59 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 32) Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.09 84.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.98 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.98)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:27 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 6 at NIU 36) Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 41 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.24 84.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 1.62 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.62)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:45 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 1 at NIU 41) Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.70 85.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 1.51 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.51)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 43) Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the KntSt 49 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.63 88.9% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 49

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.90 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.90)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:36 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 2 at KENT 49) Jay Ducker run for no gain to the KntSt 49 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.44 88.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.01 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.01)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:51 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 2 at KENT 49) Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.96 88.7% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 44

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.28 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.28)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:23 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 44) Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the KntSt 37 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.56 89.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.78 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.78)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:48 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 3 at KENT 37) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mason Blakemore - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.40 90.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.16 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.16)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:43 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 3 at KENT 37) Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 00:43 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.00 89.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.77 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.77)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:43 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 3 at KENT 37) Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.47 89.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.69 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 1 at KENT 35) Timeout KENT ST, clock 00:36 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.00 89.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.22)

Score Difference (End): 17 (18.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 1 at KENT 35) Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 1.19 90.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 1.31 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): 17 (18.31)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 33) Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 00:32 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.00 91.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 2.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.50)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:32 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 33) Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Bolden, Nico) 15 yards to the KENTST18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL. - KENT 0, NIU 17 1.11 91.1% 1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 18

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 2.39 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.39)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 18) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.15 92.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.33 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.33)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 18) Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Nico Bolden return for no gain to the KntSt 4 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -2.91 92.0% -6.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 96

Started Drive at: NIU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 2.89 = -2.91

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.89)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:14 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 4) Dustin Crum run for 24 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.11 14.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 72

Started Drive at: KENT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - -0.01 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.01)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 28) Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.05 14.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: KENT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.05 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.95)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 64 yds , Nykeim Johnson return for 19 yds to the KntSt 20 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -1.31 12.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -0.57 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.57)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 20) Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 26 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 2.01 13.9% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 54

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - -0.77 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.77)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:39 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 46) Ja'Shaun Poke run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.65 17.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 1.34 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.66)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:23 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 9 at KENT 47) Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 12 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 1.81 16.5% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 41

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 0.70 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.30)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:04 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 41) Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the NoIll 34 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.54 20.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 34

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.57 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.43)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:39 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 3 at NIU 34) Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST down - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.48 21.1% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 26

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.09 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.91)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:16 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 26) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn Abram - KENT 0, NIU 17 -0.64 21.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.59 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.41)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:09 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at NIU 26) KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Bill Kuduk) to the NoIll 31 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -1.13 20.8% -4.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 31

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.91 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.09)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:09 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 15 at NIU 31) Dustin Crum sacked by CJ Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 32 - KENT 0, NIU 17 -1.32 16.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 32

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.74 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.26)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:26 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 16 at NIU 32) Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the NoIll 24 - KENT 0, NIU 17 0.29 14.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.55 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 0, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 8 at NIU 24) Andrew Glass 41 Yd Field Goal - KENT 3, NIU 17 1.92 13.5% 11.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.92)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 2459 (Kickoff at NIU 35) Andrew Glass kickoff for 59 yds , Jay Ducker return for 14 yds to the NoIll 20 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -1.22 85.1% -1.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.51 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 83.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:33 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 20) Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26 - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.08 85.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.40 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.40)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:59 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 4 at NIU 26) Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.46 86.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.52 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.52)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:24 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 32) Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.25 86.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 58

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.12 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:48 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 42) Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.41 87.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.45 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.45)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:24 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 9 at NIU 43) Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 43 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.98 87.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 3.00 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.00)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:41 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 9 at NIU 43) Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 2.28 85.8% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 47

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 1.81 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.81)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:08 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 47) Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.54 87.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.93 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.93)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:24 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 8 at KENT 45) Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 42 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.52 87.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 3.31 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 5 at KENT 42) Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KntSt 42 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -2.02 87.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 2.77 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.77)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 5 at KENT 42) Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 06:04 - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.00 86.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 0.75 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.75)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 5 at KENT 42) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 17 3.56 86.7% 6.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 0.90 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.90)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:28 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 34) Ducker, Jay rush for 9 yards to the KENTST25, PENALTY NORTHERNIL holding (Buss, Evan) 10 yards to the KENTST44, NO PLAY. - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.87 93.1% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 44

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 4.46 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 20 at KENT 44) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 41 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -0.34 92.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 59

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.58 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.59)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 35 at NIU 41) Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole Tucker - KENT 3, NIU 17 -1.06 91.0% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 2.41 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:50 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 35 at NIU 41) Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -1.18 88.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 1.29 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.29)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:04 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 33 at NIU 43) Matt Ference punt for 57 yds for a touchback - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.61 88.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 80

Started Drive at: NIU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.12 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 20) CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 3, NIU 24 -6.27 12.0% -10.7%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.73 = -6.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.73)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 3) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 8 - KENT 3, NIU 17 -7.70 99.4% -12.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 6.51 = -7.70

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KENT 3, NIU 17 0.00 13.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23 - KENT 3, NIU 24 -1.85 13.8% -11.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -0.53 = -1.85

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 12 at KENT 23) Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 7 yds to the KntSt 30 - KENT 3, NIU 24 0.29 2.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 70

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - -2.37 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.37)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:08 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 5 at KENT 30) Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 16 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 24 2.53 2.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 54

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - -2.08 = 2.53

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.08)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:48 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 46) Dustin Crum pass incomplete - KENT 3, NIU 24 -0.67 2.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 0.44 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.56)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 46) Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 24 1.76 2.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 43

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - -0.22 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.22)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:19 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 43) Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST down - KENT 3, NIU 24 1.30 2.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 30

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 1.55 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.45)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:59 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 30) Crum, Dustin pass incomplete to Cephas, Dante, PENALTY NORTHERNIL pass interference (Byrd, Javaughn) 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST. - KENT 3, NIU 24 1.59 2.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 2.88 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.12)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:50 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 15) Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 21 - KENT 3, NIU 24 -2.12 2.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 21

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 4.46 = -2.12

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.54)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:13 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 16 at NIU 21) Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the NoIll 17 - KENT 3, NIU 24 -0.26 1.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.35 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.65)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:32 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 12 at NIU 17) Timeout KENT ST, clock 00:32 - KENT 3, NIU 24 0.00 1.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.91)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 3, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 12 at NIU 17) Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 24 4.90 1.4% 6.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.10 = 4.90

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 2459 (Kickoff at NIU 35) Andrew Glass kickoff for 61 yds for a touchback - KENT 10, NIU 24 0.00 94.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:27 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at NIU 25) Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28 - KENT 10, NIU 24 -0.44 94.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.57 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 7 at NIU 28) Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30 - KENT 10, NIU 24 -0.48 93.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.10 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.10)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:24 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 5 at NIU 30) Lombardi, Rocky rush for 8 yards to the NORTHERNIL38, PENALTY NORTHERNIL holding (Soraghan, Liam) 10 yards to the NORTHERNIL20, NO PLAY. - KENT 10, NIU 24 -1.27 93.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 80

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.65 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.65)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:49 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 15 at NIU 20) Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 13:49 - KENT 10, NIU 24 0.00 93.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.37)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:49 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 15 at NIU 20) Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 32 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 24 3.54 93.2% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 48

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 0.31 = 3.54

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 48) Timeout KENT ST, clock 13:32 - KENT 10, NIU 24 0.00 96.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.85)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 48) Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 49 - KENT 10, NIU 24 -0.93 96.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 49

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.85 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.85)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:54 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 11 at KENT 49) Jay Ducker run for 24 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nico Bolden) to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 24 2.48 95.8% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 12

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.85 = 2.48

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:21 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 12) Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the KntSt 5 - KENT 10, NIU 24 0.46 98.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.81 - 5.36 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.36)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:38 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 3 at KENT 5) Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the KntSt 5 - KENT 10, NIU 24 -0.85 98.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 5.78 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.78)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 3 at KENT 5) Rocky Lombardi 5 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 31 2.09 98.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: NIU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.91 = 2.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.91)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 56 yds , Ja'Shaun Poke return for 16 yds to the KntSt 25 - KENT 10, NIU 31 -0.98 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -0.82 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.82)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:48 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 25) Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the KntSt 30 - KENT 10, NIU 31 0.04 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -0.82 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.82)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:37 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 5 at KENT 30) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas - KENT 10, NIU 31 -0.88 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.66 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.66)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & 5 at KENT 30) Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29 - KENT 10, NIU 31 -1.29 0.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 71

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.68 - -1.39 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.39)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:43 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 6 at KENT 29) Dustin Crum sacked by Cade Haberman and Nick Rattin for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 21 - KENT 10, NIU 31 -2.72 0.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 21

Started Drive at: KENT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.32 - -2.60 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.60)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:43 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 21) Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17 - KENT 10, NIU 31 -0.12 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.16 - 5.28 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.28)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:05 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 6 at KENT 17) Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 14 - KENT 10, NIU 31 -0.31 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 5.17 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.17)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:21 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 3 at KENT 14) Clint Ratkovich run for 7 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 31 1.22 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 7

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.95 - 4.73 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.73)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:46 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & Goal at KENT 7) Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the KntSt 2 - KENT 10, NIU 31 0.31 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 2

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 5.89 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.89)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & Goal at KENT 2) Rocky Lombardi 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) - KENT 10, NIU 38 0.80 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.20)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 62 yds , Ja'Shaun Poke return for 19 yds to the KntSt 22 - KENT 10, NIU 38 -0.92 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - -0.15 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.15)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:49 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 22) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kris Leach - KENT 10, NIU 38 -0.70 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.03 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.97)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:42 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 22) Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 38 1.15 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 67

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - -0.45 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.45)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:35 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 33) Xavier Williams run for 13 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 38 0.98 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 54

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 0.64 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.36)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:24 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 46) Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas - KENT 10, NIU 38 -0.50 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.59 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.41)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:16 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 10 at KENT 46) Xavier Williams run for 26 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 38 2.27 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 28

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 1.09 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.91)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-24.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:01 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 28) Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 18 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down - KENT 10, NIU 38 1.12 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 10

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 3.47 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-24.53)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-23.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:48 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & Goal at NIU 10) Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the NoIll 6 - KENT 10, NIU 38 0.09 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 6

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 4.64 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.36)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-23.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:25 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & Goal at NIU 6) Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the NoIll 4 - KENT 10, NIU 38 -0.49 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.75 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.25)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-23.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:57 ESPN team id 2309 (3rd & Goal at NIU 4) Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for no gain to the NoIll 4 - KENT 10, NIU 38 -1.98 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 4.35 = -1.98

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.65)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:16 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & Goal at NIU 4) Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick) - KENT 17, NIU 38 4.50 0.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.50 = 4.50

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:16 ESPN team id 2309 (4th & 4 at KENT 35) Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 04:16 - KENT 10, NIU 38 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 7.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.08)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 17 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:16 ESPN team id 2459 (Kickoff at NIU 35) Andrew Glass onside kickoff for 9 yds , Jay Ducker return for 15 yds to the KntSt 29 - KENT 10, NIU 38 1.47 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 29

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 1.27 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.27)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 10, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:11 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 29) Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 38 1.05 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 19

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.54 - 3.49 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.49)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:33 ESPN team id 2459 (1st & 10 at KENT 19) Jay Ducker run for no gain to the KntSt 19 - KENT 17, NIU 38 -0.41 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 4.38 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.38)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:52 ESPN team id 2459 (2nd & 10 at KENT 19) Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 16 - KENT 17, NIU 38 -0.03 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.63 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.63)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:11 ESPN team id 2459 (3rd & 7 at KENT 16) Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 12 - KENT 17, NIU 38 -0.90 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.50 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.50)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:05 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 12) Timeout KENT ST, clock 02:05 - KENT 17, NIU 38 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.60 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.60)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:01 ESPN team id 2459 (4th & 3 at KENT 12) John Richardson 30 Yd Field Goal - KENT 17, NIU 41 0.38 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: KENT 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.62 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.62)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 38 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:01 ESPN team id 2309 (Kickoff at KENT 35) John Richardson kickoff for 45 yds , Mark Williams return for a loss of 15 yards to the KntSt 8 Mark Williams fumbled, recovered by KntSt Ja'Shaun Poke , return for 3 yds to the KntSt 8 - KENT 17, NIU 41 -1.22 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 92

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.80 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.20)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 8) Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 10 - KENT 17, NIU 41 -0.20 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 90

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.03 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.97)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:34 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 8 at KENT 10) Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 19 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 41 1.23 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 71

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - -0.36 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.36)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:18 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 29) Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the KntSt 36 - KENT 17, NIU 41 0.08 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.66 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.34)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:58 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 3 at KENT 36) Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 11 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 41 0.59 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 53

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.63 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.37)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-22.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:50 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at KENT 47) Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 18 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 41 1.29 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 35

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 0.96 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.04)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-21.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 35) Collin Schlee pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 13 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 41 1.38 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 22

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 2.05 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.95)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-20.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:31 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & 10 at NIU 22) Collin Schlee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 15 - KENT 17, NIU 41 0.88 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 15

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 3.19 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-20.81)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & 3 at NIU 15) Collin Schlee run for 11 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST down - KENT 17, NIU 41 1.59 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 4

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 3.86 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-20.14)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-18.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:12 ESPN team id 2309 (1st & Goal at NIU 4) Luke Floriea run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 7 - KENT 17, NIU 41 -0.91 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 7

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 5.25 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-18.75)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-19.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 17, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2309 (2nd & Goal at NIU 7) Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds for a TD - KENT 23, NIU 41 4.29 0.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: KENT 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 2.63 = 4.29

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-21.37)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: KENT 23, NIU 41

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 17 (23) Home Score: 41 (41)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3