Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.20 | Odds: APP -2.5, O/U 52.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.01 40th %ile | 0.03 44th %ile |
| Success Rate | 38% 30th %ile | 32% 10th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 4.77 17th %ile | 5.45 34th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.24 19th %ile | 0.16 62nd %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.27 86th %ile | -0.09 32nd %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 3.61 10th %ile | 5.83 41st %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 5% 15th %ile | 10% 67th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 22% 7th %ile | 39% 41st %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 0% 5th %ile | 25% 23rd %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 24% 23rd %ile | 26% 30th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 9% 44th %ile | 15% 78th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 78 | 84 |
| Total EPA | -8.76 | 1.8 |
| Offensive EPA | 0.52 | 2.52 |
| Special Teams EPA | -6.78 | 0.06 |
| Penalty EPA | -0.29 | -0.78 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -2.21 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 73 |
| Yards | 305 | 398 |
| Yards/Play | 4.77 | 5.45 |
| EPA | 0.52 | 2.52 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Passes | 33 (52%) | 36 (49%) |
| Yards | 119 | 210 |
| Yards/Play | 3.61 | 5.83 |
| EPA | -7.77 | 5.83 |
| EPA/Play | -0.24 | 0.16 |
| Rushes | 31 (48%) | 37 (51%) |
| Yards | 193 | 210 |
| Yards/Play | 6.23 | 5.68 |
| EPA | 8.30 | -3.31 |
| EPA/Play | 0.27 | -0.09 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 73 |
| Rushes | 31 (48%) | 37 (51%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (3%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 8 (26%) | 9 (24%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 10 (32%) | 20 (54%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 20 (65%) | 12 (32%) |
| OL Line Yards | 58.4 | 37.5 |
| Per Carry | 1.88 | 1.01 |
| Highlight Yards | 71.5 | 105.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.58 | 8.79 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 78 | 84 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 73 |
| Explosive Plays | 3 (5%) | 7 (10%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 1 (3%) | 5 (14%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (6%) | 2 (5%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -12.87 | -21.77 |
| EPA/Play | -0.21 | -0.33 |
| When Passing | -12.41 | -10.22 |
| EPA/Play | -0.38 | -0.28 |
| When Rushing | -0.46 | -11.55 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | -0.33 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 24 (38%) | 23 (32%) |
| When Passing | 9 (27%) | 12 (33%) |
| When Rushing | 15 (48%) | 11 (30%) |
| On Standard Downs | 17 (46%) | 8 (20%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (26%) | 15 (45%) |
| On Early Downs | 18 (38%) | 16 (29%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (35%) | 7 (39%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 7 (50%) | 2 (29%) |
| Early Downs | 47 | 55 |
| First Downs Created | 10 (21%) | 11 (20%) |
| EPA | -2.46 | -2.04 |
| EPA/Play | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| Passes | 22 (47%) | 26 (47%) |
| Rushes | 25 (53%) | 29 (53%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 5 (23%) | 7 (27%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 13 (52%) | 9 (31%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 14 | 7 |
| EPA | 9.94 | 0.72 |
| EPA/play | 0.71 | 0.10 |
| Passes | 7 (50%) | 5 (71%) |
| Rushes | 7 (50%) | 2 (29%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 5 (71%) | 2 (40%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (29%) | 0 (0%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 12 | 13 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 24 | Own 24 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.13 | 7.41 |
| Yards/Drive | 40.06 | 43.68 |
| Available Yards % | 53% | 57% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 64 |
| Stop Rate | 62% | 50% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 11 (15%) | 6 (9%) |
| Passing | 4 (11%) | 3 (9%) |
| Rushing | 7 (19%) | 3 (10%) |
| TFLs Generated | 11 | 6 |
| Passing | 4 | 3 |
| Rushing | 7 | 3 |
| Sacks Generated | 4 (11%) | 3 (9%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 14 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -6.78 | 0.06 |
| Field Goal EPA | -0.1 | 0.92 |
| Punting EPA | -3.23 | 2.37 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -3.46 | -3.23 |
Appalachian State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Chase Brice | 12/30, 119 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 70.2 xQBR, 0.15 DETMER | 3.61 | -0.24 | -7.77 | 27% | -12.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Chase Brice | 8 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.38 | 1.08 | 8.67 | 75% | 18.0% | |
| Camerun Peoples | 8 carries, 61 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.62 | 0.35 | 2.78 | 50% | 10.0% | |
| Daetrich Harrington | 3 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Nate Noel | 12 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | -0.27 | -3.22 | 25% | -15.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Thomas Hennigan | 6 catches (8 targets), 71 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.83 | 1.21 | 9.72 | 75% | 17.0% | |
| Corey Sutton | 2 catches (5 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 0.12 | 0.58 | 40% | 0.0% | |
| Christian Wells | 1 catch (2 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Mike Evans | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.56 | -0.56 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Dashaun Davis | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.83 | -0.83 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Jalen Virgil | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.39 | -1.39 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Daetrich Harrington | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.72 | -1.44 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Malik Williams | 2 catches (6 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | -0.78 | -4.70 | 0% | -5.0% | |
Louisiana [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Levi Lewis | 15/30, 210 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 62.7 xQBR, 0.26 DETMER | 6.18 | 0.23 | 7.96 | 35% | 6.0% | |
| Chandler Fields | 0/2, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 10.9 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 0.00 | -1.07 | -2.14 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Emani Bailey | 14 carries, 117 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.36 | 0.55 | 7.64 | 57% | 17.0% | |
| Levi Lewis | 5 carries, 65 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 0.39 | 1.96 | 20% | 1.0% | |
| TEAM | 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.35 | -0.35 | 0% | 2.0% | |
| Chris Smith | 9 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.33 | -0.61 | -5.45 | 22% | -9.0% | |
| Montrell Johnson | 8 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 1.00 | -0.89 | -7.10 | 0% | -14.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Michael Jefferson | 2 catches (3 targets), 41 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.50 | 1.81 | 5.42 | 67% | 6.0% | |
| Peter LeBlanc | 4 catches (6 targets), 67 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.75 | 0.73 | 4.36 | 33% | 13.0% | |
| Emani Bailey | 3 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.67 | 1.19 | 3.56 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Dontae Fleming | 1 catch (2 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Errol Rogers Jr. | 4 catches (6 targets), 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.25 | 0.31 | 1.86 | 50% | 6.0% | |
| Pearse Migl | 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Jacob Bernard | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.53 | -0.53 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Hunter Bergeron | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.62 | -0.62 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Jalen Williams | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.15 | -2.29 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Kyren Lacy | 0 catches (5 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.54 | -2.72 | 0% | -7.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2:38 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 43) Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) - APP 7, UL 14 | 5.13 | 22.1% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.87 = 5.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:06 | |
(4th & 10 at UL 24) Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - APP 16, UL 24 | 4.64 | 3.0% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 1.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.64) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:14 | |
(3rd & 9 at APP 35) Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 10, UL 24 | 4.20 | 81.8% | 11.6% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.80 = 4.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:42 | |
(3rd & 7 at UL 28) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 0 | 4.17 | 37.6% | 10.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - -0.53 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 48.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 44) Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 14 | 4.04 | 71.1% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:55 | |
(2nd & 17 at APP 27) Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 7 | 3.78 | 47.5% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.22 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:27 | |
(4th & 6 at UL 35) Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 3.63 | 25.1% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 0.08 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.92) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 32.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:02 | |
(4th & 2 at APP 20) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21 - APP 10, UL 17 | -2.95 | 78.7% | -8.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 3.19 = -2.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:57 | |
(4th & 3 at APP 30) Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 0 | 2.88 | 44.8% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 1.82 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.8% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 25) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 2.73 | 72.6% | 7.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.31 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.31) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2:38 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 43) Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) - APP 7, UL 14 | 5.13 | 22.1% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.87 = 5.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:14 | |
(3rd & 9 at APP 35) Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 10, UL 24 | 4.20 | 81.8% | 11.6% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.80 = 4.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 44) Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 14 | 4.04 | 71.1% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 13:42 | |
(3rd & 7 at UL 28) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 0 | 4.17 | 37.6% | 10.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - -0.53 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 48.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:02 | |
(4th & 2 at APP 20) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21 - APP 10, UL 17 | -2.95 | 78.7% | -8.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 3.19 = -2.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:55 | |
(2nd & 17 at APP 27) Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 7 | 3.78 | 47.5% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.22 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:06 | |
(4th & 1 at UL 19) Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.10 | 29.6% | 8.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:27 | |
(4th & 6 at UL 35) Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 3.63 | 25.1% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 0.08 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.92) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 32.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 25) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 2.73 | 72.6% | 7.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.31 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.31) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:26 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 30 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 14 | 2.49 | 71.2% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 24 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.84 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.84) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 78.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 9:55 | |
(2nd & 17 at APP 27) Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 7 | 3.78 | 47.5% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.22 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 44) Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 14 | 4.04 | 71.1% | 10.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:38 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 43) Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) - APP 7, UL 14 | 5.13 | 22.1% | 12.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.87 = 5.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:01 | |
(3rd & 2 at APP 16) Nate Snyder 33 Yd Field Goal - APP 7, UL 17 | 0.92 | 77.3% | 5.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.08) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q3 8:06 | |
(4th & 1 at UL 19) Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.10 | 29.6% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:14 | |
(3rd & 9 at APP 35) Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 10, UL 24 | 4.20 | 81.8% | 11.6% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.80 = 4.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:06 | |
(4th & 10 at UL 24) Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - APP 16, UL 24 | 4.64 | 3.0% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 1.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.64) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 62 yds , Chris Smith return for 22 yds to the LaLaf 25 - APP 0, UL 0 | -1.10 | 41.6% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.86 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:53 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 25) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26 - APP 0, UL 0 | -0.56 | 41.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.84 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 40.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:24 | |
(2nd & 9 at UL 26) Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28 - APP 0, UL 0 | -1.17 | 40.2% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.45 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:42 | |
(3rd & 7 at UL 28) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 0 | 4.17 | 37.6% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - -0.53 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 48.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:16 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 37) Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 30 - APP 0, UL 0 | 0.56 | 46.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 3.62 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.4% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:42 | |
(2nd & 3 at APP 30) Levi Lewis pass incomplete - APP 0, UL 0 | -0.81 | 46.8% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 4.19 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.8% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:37 | |
(3rd & 3 at APP 30) Chris Smith run for no gain to the AppSt 30 - APP 0, UL 0 | -1.64 | 45.7% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 3.36 = -1.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.7% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:57 | |
(4th & 3 at APP 30) Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 0 | 2.88 | 44.8% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 1.82 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.8% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:14 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 20) Smith, Chris rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE19, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE holding (Vallot, Shane) 10 yards to the APP STATE30, NO PLAY. - APP 0, UL 0 | -1.10 | 48.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 30 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 4.67 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 48.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:48 | |
(1st & 20 at APP 30) Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27 - APP 0, UL 0 | -0.57 | 46.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.67 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:55 | |
(2nd & 17 at APP 27) Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 7 | 3.78 | 47.5% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.22 = 3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:55 | |
(Kickoff at APP 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 62 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 17 yds to the AppSt 20 - APP 0, UL 7 | -1.33 | 40.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.04 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.8% Win Probability (After): 40.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:50 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 20) Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 27 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.46 | 40.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - -0.26 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.26) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.5% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:20 | |
(2nd & 3 at APP 27) Brice, Chase pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 40 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE33, PENALTY APP STATE ineligible downfield on pass (Hardy, Anderson) 5 yards to the APP STATE22, NO PLAY. - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.96 | 41.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 78 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.23 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.5% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:41 | |
(2nd & 8 at APP 22) APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 17 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.46 | 40.3% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - -0.87 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:28 | |
(2nd & 13 at APP 17) Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the AppSt 8 - APP 0, UL 7 | -1.58 | 38.2% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 92 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -1.43 = -1.58 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.43) Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:48 | |
(3rd & 22 at APP 8) Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 13 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.49 | 35.9% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 87 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - -2.96 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.9% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:04 | |
(4th & 17 at APP 13) Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 45 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.12 | 34.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 55 Started Drive at: APP 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.27 - -3.39 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-10.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.27) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.4% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:04 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 45) Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.97 | 66.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 57 Started Drive at: UL 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 3.34 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.8% Win Probability (After): 65.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:21 | |
(2nd & 12 at UL 43) Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jalen Williams - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.95 | 65.2% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: UL 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.28 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.28) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.2% Win Probability (After): 63.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:15 | |
(3rd & 12 at UL 43) Levi Lewis sacked by D'Marco Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 31 - APP 0, UL 7 | -1.70 | 64.0% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 69 Started Drive at: UL 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 1.22 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -14 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.0% Win Probability (After): 60.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:24 | |
(4th & 24 at UL 31) Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.48 | 59.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - -0.45 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.55) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -14 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.8% Win Probability (After): 59.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:24 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 25) Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 33 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.85 | 40.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - -0.05 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.4% Win Probability (After): 41.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:42 | |
(2nd & 2 at APP 33) Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.19 | 41.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.79 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.8% Win Probability (After): 42.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:07 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 36) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.72 | 42.1% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 53 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 0.98 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:28 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 47) Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.37 | 42.9% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.70 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.30) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.9% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:54 | |
(2nd & 4 at UL 47) Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 46 - APP 0, UL 7 | -2.29 | 44.9% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 54 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 2.08 = -2.29 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.92) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.9% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:08 | |
(3rd & 11 at APP 46) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 02:08 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.3% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:08 | |
(3rd & 11 at APP 46) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil - APP 0, UL 7 | -1.39 | 37.3% | -3.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -0.26 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.26) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:47 | |
(4th & 11 at APP 46) Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 12 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.03 | 34.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 88 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - -1.55 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.55) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.0% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 1:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 12) Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.47 | 65.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 86 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.52 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 1:14 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 14) Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 1.12 | 66.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.08 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 0:43 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 25) Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.88 | 67.4% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.22 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 11 at UL 24) LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 19 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.29 | 64.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.32 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.6% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 16 at UL 19) Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.94 | 63.9% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.04 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.9% Win Probability (After): 62.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(3rd & 14 at UL 21) APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.67 | 63.0% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.05 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:01 | |
(3rd & 9 at UL 26) LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.62 | 64.5% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.67 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:40 | |
(3rd & 14 at UL 21) Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19 - APP 0, UL 7 | -1.10 | 62.8% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - 0.05 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (5.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:54 | |
(4th & 16 at UL 19) Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 35 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.03 | 60.1% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 65 Started Drive at: UL 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.15 - -1.12 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.85) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:54 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 35) Chase Brice pass incomplete - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.60 | 36.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.13 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.9% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:46 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 35) Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the AppSt 35 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.80 | 36.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 0.53 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.47) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:07 | |
(3rd & 10 at APP 35) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.83 | 35.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.19 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.0% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(4th & 3 at APP 42) Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8 - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.45 | 34.6% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 92 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.59 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.59) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 35.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 8) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr. - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.65 | 64.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 92 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.97 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.97) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 63.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 8) Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 14 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 1.62 | 63.7% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 78 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 0.32 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.7% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:54 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 22) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30 - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.53 | 65.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 70 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 1.93 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.93) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.9% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:32 | |
(2nd & 2 at UL 30) Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 0.00 | 70.1% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 66.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:04 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 33) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jacob Bernard - APP 0, UL 7 | -0.53 | 70.3% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.50 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.50) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:58 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 33) Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 7 | 1.29 | 69.9% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.86 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.86) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.9% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 44) Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 0, UL 14 | 4.04 | 71.1% | 10.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:22 | |
(Kickoff at APP 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 62 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 36 yds to the AppSt 39 - APP 0, UL 14 | 0.18 | 20.7% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - -0.12 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.12) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.7% Win Probability (After): 21.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:15 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 39) Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44 - APP 0, UL 14 | 0.19 | 22.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.03 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.97) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.2% Win Probability (After): 22.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:44 | |
(2nd & 5 at APP 44) Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 14 | 1.32 | 22.3% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 42 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.17 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.83) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.3% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 42) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.68 | 23.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 2.46 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.54) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.8% Win Probability (After): 22.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 42) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.80 | 22.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.66 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.34) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.4% Win Probability (After): 21.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:19 | |
(3rd & 10 at UL 42) Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43 - APP 0, UL 14 | -1.99 | 21.0% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 43 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - 0.80 = -1.99 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.20) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:37 | |
(4th & 11 at UL 43) Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds for a touchback - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.76 | 19.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 80 Started Drive at: APP 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -0.97 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 18.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 7:37 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 20) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.62 | 81.4% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.76 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.76) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 81.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:31 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 20) Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 19 - APP 0, UL 14 | -1.32 | 81.1% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - 1.19 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.19) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.1% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:46 | |
(3rd & 11 at UL 19) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 14 | 2.23 | 80.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 67 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 0.12 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.12) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.2% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:19 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 33) Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32 - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.70 | 81.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 68 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.30 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.30) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:41 | |
(2nd & 11 at UL 32) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.53 | 80.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.98 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.98) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 79.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:35 | |
(3rd & 11 at UL 32) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams - APP 0, UL 14 | -1.35 | 79.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - 0.39 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.39) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:17 | |
(4th & 11 at UL 32) Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25 - APP 0, UL 14 | 0.55 | 78.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - -0.77 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.23) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.8% Win Probability (After): 78.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:17 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 25) Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29 - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.09 | 21.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.37 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.63) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.1% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:43 | |
(2nd & 6 at APP 29) Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31 - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.41 | 20.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.37 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.63) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.6% Win Probability (After): 20.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:01 | |
(3rd & 4 at APP 31) Chase Brice run for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 14 | 1.62 | 20.2% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 59 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.02 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.98) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.2% Win Probability (After): 22.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:23 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 41) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down - APP 0, UL 14 | 1.08 | 22.4% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 43 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 1.56 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.44) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.4% Win Probability (After): 22.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 43) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton - APP 0, UL 14 | -0.35 | 22.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.30 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.70) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 0, UL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.8% Win Probability (After): 22.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:38 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 43) Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) - APP 7, UL 14 | 5.13 | 22.1% | 12.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.87 = 5.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:38 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 58 yds , Chris Smith return for 14 yds to the LaLaf 21 - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.81 | 70.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 1.12 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 69.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 21) Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23 - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.44 | 69.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.00 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.00) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:50 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 23) Levi Lewis pass incomplete - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.64 | 69.3% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.59 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.59) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.3% Win Probability (After): 68.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:42 | |
(3rd & 8 at UL 23) Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26 - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.65 | 67.7% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.08 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.7% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:37 | |
(4th & 5 at UL 26) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 01:37 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.00 | 65.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.58 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 65.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(4th & 5 at UL 26) Rhys Byrns punt for 55 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 19 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.18 | 65.6% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - -0.54 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.64) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.6% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 19) Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.57 | 30.8% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 70 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.23 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.8% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:20 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 30) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 37 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.13 | 31.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.84 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:59 | |
(2nd & 3 at APP 37) Brice, Chase rush for 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE48, PENALTY APP STATE holding 10 yards to the APP STATE27, NO PLAY. - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.64 | 32.1% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.93 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.1% Win Probability (After): 29.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:51 | |
(2nd & 13 at APP 27) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:51 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.71) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 29.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:51 | |
(2nd & 13 at APP 27) Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27 - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.16 | 30.6% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.26 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 29.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(3rd & 13 at APP 27) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:46 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.11 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.89) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.7% Win Probability (After): 29.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(3rd & 13 at APP 27) Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27 - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.55 | 29.9% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.06 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.94) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:41 | |
(4th & 13 at APP 27) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:41 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - -0.49 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.4% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(4th & 13 at APP 27) Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 46 - APP 7, UL 14 | -1.12 | 27.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 54 Started Drive at: APP 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.17 - -0.04 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.17) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.8% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 46) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.08 | 72.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.12 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.2% Win Probability (After): 71.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:26 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 30 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 14 | 2.49 | 71.2% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 24 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.84 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.84) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 78.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:20 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 24) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc - APP 7, UL 14 | -0.03 | 77.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.02 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.02) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 24) Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the AppSt 21 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.07 | 76.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.70 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.70) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:12 | |
(3rd & 7 at APP 21) APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 16 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.67 | 76.0% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.62 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:06 | |
(3rd & 2 at APP 16) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 00:06 - APP 7, UL 14 | 0.00 | 78.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.29) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 78.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:01 | |
(3rd & 2 at APP 16) Nate Snyder 33 Yd Field Goal - APP 7, UL 17 | 0.92 | 77.3% | 5.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: UL 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.08) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:01 | |
(Kickoff at APP 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 45 yds , Logan Doublin return for no gain to the AppSt 20 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.02 | 24.9% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.02 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.98) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at APP 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 61 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 20 yds to the AppSt 24 - APP 7, UL 17 | -1.16 | 26.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.06 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 24) Noel, Nate rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE25, PENALTY APP STATE personal foul 12 yards to the APP STATE12, NO PLAY. - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.98 | 27.4% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 88 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.15 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.15) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 23.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:30 | |
(1st & 22 at APP 12) Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 2.27 | 25.5% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 61 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - -1.08 = 2.27 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.13) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.5% Win Probability (After): 29.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:10 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 39) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.60 | 29.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.14 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.86) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 28.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:01 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 39) Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 43 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.29 | 28.1% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.55 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.45) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:22 | |
(3rd & 6 at APP 43) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 1.95 | 26.2% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 49 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 0.29 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.71) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.2% Win Probability (After): 31.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:49 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 49) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - APP 7, UL 17 | -1.18 | 31.0% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.19 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.81) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.0% Win Probability (After): 27.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:11 | |
(2nd & 11 at 50) Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.16 | 27.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.96 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.04) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.2% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:26 | |
(3rd & 7 at UL 46) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 2.11 | 27.0% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 39 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 0.73 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.27) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 32.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:59 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 39) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.65 | 31.9% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.83 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.17) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 30.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 39) Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.54 | 30.1% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.29 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.71) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:33 | |
(3rd & 6 at UL 35) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton - APP 7, UL 17 | -1.76 | 27.7% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 1.87 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.13) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:27 | |
(4th & 6 at UL 35) Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down - APP 7, UL 17 | 3.63 | 25.1% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 0.08 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.92) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 32.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 28) Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19 - APP 7, UL 17 | 0.74 | 32.3% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 3.81 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.19) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.3% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:32 | |
(2nd & 1 at UL 19) Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.53 | 35.8% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.61 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.39) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 33.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:55 | |
(3rd & 1 at UL 19) Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19 - APP 7, UL 17 | -0.84 | 33.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 4.01 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.99) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 7, UL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 31.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:06 | |
(4th & 1 at UL 19) Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.10 | 29.6% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:06 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Smith return for 18 yds to the LaLaf 18 - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.32 | 70.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 2.13 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 70.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 18) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter Bergeron - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.62 | 70.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.89 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.89) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.6% Win Probability (After): 69.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 18) Emani Bailey run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 1.33 | 69.8% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 67 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 1.27 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.8% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:37 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 33) Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 0.54 | 70.8% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 57 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.60 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.8% Win Probability (After): 72.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 43) Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.37 | 72.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.19 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 72.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:26 | |
(2nd & 7 at UL 46) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.90 | 73.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.80 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 71.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:18 | |
(3rd & 7 at UL 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 2.16 | 72.3% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 41 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 1.85 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:01 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 41) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.60 | 78.0% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 4.04 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.0% Win Probability (After): 74.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 41) Emani Bailey run for 13 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 1.24 | 74.7% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 28 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 3.47 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.47) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 79.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:15 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 28) Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the AppSt 23 - APP 10, UL 17 | 0.01 | 80.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 23 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 4.69 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.69) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.1% Win Probability (After): 79.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at APP 23) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 2 yds to the AppSt 21 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.36 | 82.3% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 4.70 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.70) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.3% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:51 | |
(3rd & 3 at APP 21) Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20 - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.18 | 81.5% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 4.35 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 78.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:02 | |
(4th & 2 at APP 20) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21 - APP 10, UL 17 | -2.95 | 78.7% | -8.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 79 Started Drive at: UL 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 3.19 = -2.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:02 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 21) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.59 | 29.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: APP 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - -0.21 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 21) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich Harrington - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.88 | 27.6% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: APP 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -0.82 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.6% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:52 | |
(3rd & 10 at APP 21) Chase Brice pass incomplete - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.17 | 25.9% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: APP 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -1.73 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.73) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.9% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:36 | |
(4th & 10 at APP 21) Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.23 | 21.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 59 Started Drive at: APP 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.13 - -2.89 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.89) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.13) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 21.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:36 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 41) Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.52 | 78.4% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 58 Started Drive at: UL 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.12 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:01 | |
(2nd & 9 at UL 42) Levi Lewis sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 36 - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.61 | 77.8% | -6.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 64 Started Drive at: UL 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 2.61 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.8% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:29 | |
(3rd & 15 at UL 36) Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.19 | 72.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: UL 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 1.03 = -1.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:16 | |
(4th & 15 at UL 36) Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 22 - APP 10, UL 17 | 0.15 | 70.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 78 Started Drive at: UL 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -0.15 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 70.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:16 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 22) Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.11 | 30.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74 Started Drive at: APP 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.00 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.00) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.0% Win Probability (After): 29.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:59 | |
(2nd & 6 at APP 26) Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.79 | 29.0% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.09 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.0% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:07 | |
(3rd & 5 at APP 27) Chase Brice pass incomplete - APP 10, UL 17 | -1.55 | 24.7% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: APP 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -0.82 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.7% Win Probability (After): 21.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:50 | |
(4th & 5 at APP 27) Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 28 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.09 | 22.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: APP 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -2.35 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.8% Win Probability (After): 22.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 28) Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.48 | 77.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.42 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 77.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:08 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 30) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.88 | 77.7% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.89 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.89) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 8 at UL 30) LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 25 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.67 | 74.9% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.97 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.97) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.9% Win Probability (After): 72.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 25) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 2.73 | 72.6% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.31 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.31) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 41) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 23 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 17 | 1.12 | 80.0% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 36 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 3.05 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.0% Win Probability (After): 82.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 36) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.58 | 84.8% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 4.19 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at APP 36) Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35 - APP 10, UL 17 | -0.80 | 83.2% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 35 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.61 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:14 | |
(3rd & 9 at APP 35) Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - APP 10, UL 24 | 4.20 | 81.8% | 11.6% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.80 = 4.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:14 | |
(Kickoff at APP 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 57 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 16 yds to the AppSt 24 - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.13 | 8.3% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.47 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.47) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:06 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 24) Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 24 | 1.07 | 8.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -0.57 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.57) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.0% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:39 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 34) Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 37 - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.56 | 8.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.50 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.50) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.6% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:03 | |
(2nd & 7 at APP 37) Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36 - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.09 | 8.8% | -1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 64 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 0.23 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.77) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:32 | |
(3rd & 8 at APP 36) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.37 | 5.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -0.48 = -1.37 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.48) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 4.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:18 | |
(4th & 8 at APP 36) Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 23 - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.73 | 4.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 77 Started Drive at: APP 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - -1.60 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.34) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:18 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 23) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 19 - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.00 | 97.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 2.17 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.17) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.2% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:43 | |
(2nd & 14 at UL 19) Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Stephens Jr., John, PENALTY APP STATE offside 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE24, NO PLAY. - APP 10, UL 24 | 0.55 | 96.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76 Started Drive at: UL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 1.09 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.09) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.6% Win Probability (After): 96.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(2nd & 9 at UL 24) Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.22 | 97.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71 Started Drive at: UL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.64 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.64) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.5% Win Probability (After): 97.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:51 | |
(3rd & 4 at UL 29) Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaLaf 29 - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.29 | 97.6% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: UL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.04 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.04) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:16 | |
(4th & 4 at UL 29) Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the AppSt 17 - APP 10, UL 24 | 1.04 | 96.5% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 83 Started Drive at: UL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - -0.62 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.38) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.5% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:16 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 17) Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23 - APP 10, UL 24 | 0.06 | 5.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 77 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.41 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.41) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:44 | |
(2nd & 4 at APP 23) Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 24 | 0.81 | 5.2% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 68 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -0.28 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.28) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:23 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 32) Chase Brice run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 24 | 1.17 | 4.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.68 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.32) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.9% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:58 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich Harrington - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.56 | 5.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 2.04 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.96) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 5.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:52 | |
(2nd & 10 at 50) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun Davis - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.83 | 4.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.47 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.53) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 3.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:46 | |
(3rd & 10 at 50) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 06:46 - APP 10, UL 24 | 0.00 | 3.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.36) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 3.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:46 | |
(3rd & 10 at 50) Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 24 | 2.26 | 3.4% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 36 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 0.96 = 2.26 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.04) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.4% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 36) Chase Brice pass incomplete - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.49 | 5.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 3.20 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.80) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.3% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 36) Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down - APP 10, UL 24 | 1.20 | 4.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 24 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 2.68 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.32) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 5.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:53 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 24) Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the LaLaf 24 - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.52 | 5.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.86 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.14) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 24) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams - APP 10, UL 24 | -0.71 | 4.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.30 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.70) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.2% Win Probability (After): 3.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:21 | |
(3rd & 10 at UL 24) Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan - APP 10, UL 24 | -1.29 | 3.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 2.56 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.44) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 10, UL 24 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 2.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:06 | |
(4th & 10 at UL 24) Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - APP 16, UL 24 | 4.64 | 3.0% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: APP 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 1.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.64) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:06 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.00 | 94.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.02 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:06 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 25) Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.45 | 94.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 1.02 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:29 | |
(2nd & 9 at UL 26) Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down - APP 16, UL 24 | 1.33 | 94.6% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 61 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 0.48 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.48) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:03 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 39) Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.77 | 96.4% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 49 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 1.66 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.66) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:28 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 49) Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.14 | 98.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.09 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.09) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:52 | |
(2nd & 7 at APP 46) Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.40 | 98.1% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 47 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.55 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.55) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 96.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:47 | |
(3rd & 8 at APP 47) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 02:47 - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.00 | 97.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.15) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.7% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:47 | |
(3rd & 8 at APP 47) Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down - APP 16, UL 24 | 1.47 | 97.7% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 39 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 0.94 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.94) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.7% Win Probability (After): 98.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:12 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 39) Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.28 | 98.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.31 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.31) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:04 | |
(2nd & 9 at APP 38) Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 02:04 - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.00 | 98.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.03 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.03) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 2:04 | |
(2nd & 9 at APP 38) Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.46 | 98.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.97 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.97) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 1:19 | |
(3rd & 8 at APP 37) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 01:19 - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.00 | 99.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 1:19 | |
(3rd & 8 at APP 37) Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.72 | 99.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.54 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.54) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 0:33 | |
(4th & 6 at APP 35) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:33 - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.00 | 99.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.82 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.82) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:29 | |
(4th & 6 at APP 35) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr. - APP 16, UL 24 | -1.51 | 98.7% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.92 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.92) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:29 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 35) Brice, Chase pass incomplete, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE. - APP 16, UL 24 | 0.53 | 1.2% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.42 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.58) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:23 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Chase Brice sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 44 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Chauncey Manac, recovered by LaLaf Chauncey Manac , return for 0 yards - APP 16, UL 24 | -1.94 | 1.6% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44 Started Drive at: APP 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 0.74 = -1.94 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.26) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 0:23 | |
(1st & 10 at APP 44) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45 - APP 16, UL 24 | -0.35 | 98.3% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 45 Started Drive at: APP 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.01 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.01) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: APP 16, UL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.3% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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