Houston 20 @ Cincinnati 35

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.97 | Odds: CIN -10.5, O/U 52.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Total Plays 8656
Total EPA -9.46-2.59
  Offensive EPA -5.18.74
  Special Teams EPA -4.15-4.55
  Penalty EPA 0.26-5.55
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.47-1.23
Production ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Scrimmage Plays 7345
  Yards 350400
  Yards/Play 4.798.89
  EPA -5.108.74
  EPA/Play -0.070.19
Passes 34 (47%)18 (40%)
  Yards 250190
  Yards/Play 7.3510.56
  EPA 0.2210.25
  EPA/Play 0.010.57
Rushes 39 (53%)27 (60%)
  Yards 140220
  Yards/Play 3.598.15
  EPA -5.31-1.51
  EPA/Play -0.14-0.06
Rushing ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Scrimmage Plays 7345
Rushes 39 (53%)27 (60%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)1 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 9 (23%)5 (19%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 16 (41%)14 (52%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 17 (44%)11 (41%)
OL Line Yards 58.937
  Per Carry 1.511.37
Highlight Yards 30132
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.7612.00
Explosiveness ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Total Plays 8656
Scrimmage Plays 7345
Explosive Plays 6 (8%)5 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (12%)3 (17%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)2 (7%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -24.17-9.15
  EPA/Play -0.36-0.23
  When Passing -14.311.75
    EPA/Play -0.420.10
  When Rushing -9.87-10.90
    EPA/Play -0.27-0.44
Situational ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 28 (38%)18 (40%)
  When Passing 15 (44%)9 (50%)
  When Rushing 13 (33%)9 (33%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (45%)15 (54%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (27%)3 (18%)
  On Early Downs 20 (36%)18 (50%)
  On Late Downs 8 (44%)0 (0%)
  During "Middle 8" 1 (14%)5 (45%)
Early Downs 5536
  First Downs Created 14 (25%)9 (25%)
  EPA -12.0219.47
  EPA/Play -0.220.54
  Passes 23 (42%)15 (42%)
  Rushes 32 (58%)21 (58%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 10 (43%)9 (60%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 10 (31%)9 (43%)
"Middle 8" Plays 711
  EPA -6.774.76
  EPA/play -0.970.43
  Passes 2 (29%)4 (36%)
  Rushes 5 (71%)7 (64%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 0 (0%)3 (75%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (20%)2 (29%)
Drives ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Total 1312
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 34
Plays/Drive 8.454.51
Yards/Drive 43.8135.73
Available Yards % 58%54%
Defensive ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Scrimmage Plays 4573
Stop Rate 49%38%
Havoc Plays Created 4 (9%)14 (19%)
  Passing 1 (6%)9 (26%)
  Rushing 3 (11%)5 (13%)
TFLs Generated 313
  Passing 18
  Rushing 25
Sacks Generated 1 (6%)8 (24%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 22
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 11
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 2.22.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 248 ESPN team id 2132
Total Plays 13 11
Total EPA -4.15 -4.55
  Field Goal EPA 2.76 -3.68
  Punting EPA -2.63 -0.09
  Kickoff Return EPA -4.28 -0.77

Houston [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Clayton Tune 17/26, 250 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 8 Scks, 47.9 xQBR, 0.94 DETMER 7.35 0.01 0.22 44% -2.0%
Rush attempts
Clayton Tune 15 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.40 5.96 53% 0.0%
Chandler Smith 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.12 0.24 100% -1.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -9 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) -4.50 -1.06 -2.12 0% -1.0%
Alton McCaskill 13 carries, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.30 -3.90 23% -9.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry 7 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.29 -0.79 -5.50 0% -20.0%
Pass targets
Nathaniel Dell 9 catches (13 targets), 152 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.89 0.83 10.74 54% 5.0%
Jake Herslow 5 catches (7 targets), 57 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.40 0.94 6.56 71% 3.0%
Seth Green 1 catch (1 target), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.00 1.67 1.67 100% 4.0%
Peyton Sawyer 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.33 1.33 100% 0.0%
Jeremy Singleton 1 catch (3 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.30 -0.90 33% 2.0%

Cincinnati [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Desmond Ridder 11/17, 190 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 82.1 xQBR, 0.36 DETMER 10.56 0.57 10.25 50% 24.0%
Rush attempts
Jerome Ford 18 carries, 187 yds, 2 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 10.39 0.09 1.66 44% 3.0%
Tre Tucker 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.39 -0.39 0% 0.0%
Ryan Montgomery 2 carries, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -0.68 -1.35 0% -4.0%
Desmond Ridder 6 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.83 -0.24 -1.42 17% -2.0%
Pass targets
Alec Pierce 2 catches (5 targets), 65 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 32.50 0.80 3.99 40% 10.0%
Josh Whyle 3 catches (3 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.67 0.71 2.14 67% 3.0%
Tyler Scott 1 catch (2 targets), 25 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 0.96 1.92 50% 5.0%
Leonard Taylor 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 1.60 1.60 100% 7.0%
Ryan Montgomery 2 catches (2 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.50 0.65 1.29 50% 1.0%
Tre Tucker 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.50 1.01 50% 0.0%
Jerome Ford 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 -0.14 -0.29 50% 2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 -8.90 87.4% -23.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90

Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 6.46 69.6% 11.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 53 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 5.90 0.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 8

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - -1.02 = 5.90

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 -4.98 13.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:04 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & Goal at HOU 5) Christian Lowery 23 yd FG MISSED - HOU 13, CIN 14 -3.68 79.0% -4.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 2.75 = -3.68

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.75)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:26 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 1 at HOU 45) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -3.58 99.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.93 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.93)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:06 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 3.48 0.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:09 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 2.98 75.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:38 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 2.93 97.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:04 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 2.90 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 -8.90 87.4% -23.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90

Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:48 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 27) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 31 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.83 34.3% -13.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.70 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 6.46 69.6% 11.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:10 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 5 at CIN 30) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 44 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 2.86 74.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 26

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.48 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.48)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:32 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 27) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tank Jenkins) to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -1.24 30.3% -7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 37

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.12 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.12)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:02 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 1.60 81.8% 7.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:09 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 2.98 75.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 -4.98 13.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:53 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 44 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.95 36.9% -5.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 44

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.71 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 16 - HOU 3, CIN 7 0.71 26.8% 5.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.54 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 15 at CIN 20) Dalton Witherspoon 37 yd FG GOOD - HOU 3, CIN 0 0.82 30.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.18 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:38 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 25) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 3, CIN 7 2.74 75.5% 4.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.26 = 2.74

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:23 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 5 at CIN 16) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 7 1.74 27.4% 4.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.26 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 6.46 69.6% 11.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:40 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 12 at CIN 29) Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOOD - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.94 20.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.06 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.94)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:02 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 1.60 81.8% 7.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:04 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 2.90 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:38 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 2.93 97.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:06 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 3.48 0.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Jones return for 28 yds to the Houst 30 - HOU 0, CIN 0 -0.64 20.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:44 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 30) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 15 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 0.74 26.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 1.65 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 25.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 45) Alton McCaskill run for 18 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 1.14 30.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 37

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.51 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:30 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 37) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 22 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 1.34 33.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 15

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.64 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.64)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:06 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 15) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 14 - HOU 0, CIN 0 -0.59 34.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.98 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:34 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 9 at CIN 14) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 0, CIN 0 -0.85 32.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 4.43 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:15 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 9 at CIN 14) Clayton Tune sacked by Curtis Brooks and Jabari Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 20 - HOU 0, CIN 0 -1.49 31.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 20

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 3.65 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 0, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 15 at CIN 20) Dalton Witherspoon 37 yd FG GOOD - HOU 3, CIN 0 0.82 30.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: HOU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.18 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 2132 (Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 64 yds , Tre Tucker return for 17 yds to the Cincy 18 - HOU 3, CIN 0 -1.43 71.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.67 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 18) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 17 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 1.22 70.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 65

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.42 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.58)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:14 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 35) Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 3, CIN 0 0.23 70.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.59 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.41)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 4 at CIN 41) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 17 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 1.25 72.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 42

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 1.80 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.20)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 42) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 17 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 1.14 73.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 25

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.01 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:38 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 25) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 3, CIN 7 2.74 75.5% 4.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.26 = 2.74

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:38 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 61 yds , Marcus Jones return for 22 yds to the Houst 26 - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.97 18.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.77 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.23)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:23 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 26) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.81 20.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 1.07 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.93)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:15 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 26) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Houst 29 - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.73 19.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.23 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.77)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:50 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 7 at HOU 29) Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 2.38 17.7% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 62

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - -0.54 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.54)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:05 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 38) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Houst 40 - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.49 22.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.79 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:25 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 8 at HOU 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 38 - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.89 21.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.21 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.79)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 10 at HOU 38) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 14 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 2.43 21.2% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 0.30 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:20 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Cincy 48 - HOU 3, CIN 7 -0.66 25.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.78 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:39 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 14 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 1.56 25.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 2.11 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.89)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:01 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 34) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 0.86 28.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 21

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 3.66 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:33 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 16 - HOU 3, CIN 7 0.71 26.8% 5.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.54 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 3, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:23 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 5 at CIN 16) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 7 1.74 27.4% 4.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.26 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:23 ESPN team id 2132 (Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds , Tre Tucker return for 21 yds to the Cincy 21 - HOU 10, CIN 7 -1.27 69.6% -2.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.71 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.29)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 6.46 69.6% 11.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 -8.90 87.4% -23.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90

Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 56 yds , Marcus Jones return for 18 yds to the Houst 27 - HOU 10, CIN 7 -0.86 33.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.43 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.43)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:48 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 27) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 31 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.83 34.3% -13.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.70 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 6 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 0.90 20.4% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.88 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.12)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:32 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 43 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.08 24.5% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.78 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 22.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:56 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 6 at HOU 43) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 0.82 24.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:23 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at 50) Alton McCaskill run for 11 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 0.78 25.0% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.59 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.41)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 39) Clayton Tune sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 47 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -1.79 27.4% -4.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 47

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 3.41 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.59)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 18 at CIN 47) Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 0.23 22.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 37

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.62 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:45 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 8 at CIN 37) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 32 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.45 20.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.84 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 3 at CIN 32) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 2.72 20.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 1.40 = 2.72

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.60)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:32 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 27) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tank Jenkins) to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -1.24 30.3% -7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 37

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.12 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.12)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:58 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 20 at CIN 37) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.64 26.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 36

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.94 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.06)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 19 at CIN 36) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton - HOU 10, CIN 14 -1.06 24.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.36 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.64)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:10 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 19 at CIN 36) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the Cincy 29 - HOU 10, CIN 14 -0.22 21.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.30 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 10, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:40 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 12 at CIN 29) Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOOD - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.94 20.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: HOU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.06 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.94)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:40 ESPN team id 2132 (Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 57 yds , Tre Tucker return for 37 yds to the CINCINNATI 28 HOUSTON Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (William White) to the Houst 40 - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.23 75.7% 2.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 40

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.18 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 1 (-2.84)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:26 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 40) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.56 78.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.38 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.38)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 10 at HOU 40) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 19 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.72 78.7% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 21

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 2.78 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.78)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:49 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.79 80.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.50 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.50)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:26 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.67 81.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 5.30 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.30)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:16 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & Goal at HOU 8) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 6 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.65 81.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.63 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.63)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & Goal at HOU 6) Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Houst 5 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -1.18 80.9% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 5

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.96 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.96)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:04 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & Goal at HOU 5) Christian Lowery 23 yd FG MISSED - HOU 13, CIN 14 -3.68 79.0% -4.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80

Started Drive at: HOU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 2.75 = -3.68

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.75)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:56 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 20) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Houst 25 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.01 24.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.87 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:16 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 5 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 23 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.67 24.9% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 0.87 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:44 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 48) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.30 30.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.48 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.48)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:09 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 7 at CIN 49) Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.44 30.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.44 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:33 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 3 at CIN 45) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 13, CIN 14 -1.61 31.3% -5.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 2.10 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.10)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:27 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 3 at CIN 45) Laine Wilkins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 15 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.99 27.5% -3.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 85

Started Drive at: HOU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.47 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:18 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 15) Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 17 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.50 76.0% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83

Started Drive at: CIN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.58 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.58)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:49 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at CIN 17) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.52 73.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: CIN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.15 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.85)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:49 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 8 at CIN 17) CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Cooper) to the Cincy 12 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.57 71.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 88

Started Drive at: CIN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.80 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.20)

Score Difference (End): 1 (-0.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 13 at CIN 12) Desmond Ridder sacked by Logan Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 2 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -1.42 71.6% -4.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 98

Started Drive at: CIN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.57 - -1.15 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 1 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): 1 (-1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 67.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:55 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 23 at CIN 2) Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds, downed at the Houst 48 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.11 69.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 52

Started Drive at: CIN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -2.46 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 1 (-1.46)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:43 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 48) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.27 31.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.39 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.39)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:02 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 5 at CIN 47) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Cincy 45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.33 31.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.50 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.50)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:15 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 3 at CIN 45) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 1.19 31.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 1.88 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.88)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:53 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 44 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.95 36.9% -5.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 44

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.71 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:55 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 14 at CIN 44) Clayton Tune sacked by Ahmad Gardner for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 47 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.68 32.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 53

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.49 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:36 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 23 at HOU 47) HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 42 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.07 28.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.65 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.35)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 28 at HOU 42) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.42 29.4% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 48

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.44 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.56)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 18 at CIN 48) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 01:13 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.00 27.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.97)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 18 at CIN 48) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 43 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.23 28.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.16 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.84)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:13 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 13 at CIN 43) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 01:13 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.00 28.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.62)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:04 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 13 at CIN 43) Laine Wilkins punt for 20 yds, downed at the Cincy 23 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -1.00 28.1% -1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 77

Started Drive at: HOU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.34 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.66)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 23) Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Cincy 32 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.41 73.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 68

Started Drive at: CIN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.54 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.54)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:55 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 1 at CIN 32) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.24 73.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CIN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 0.80 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 2 at CIN 32) Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 32 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.63 72.6% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CIN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.45 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.45)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 2 at CIN 32) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 00:45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.00 68.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CIN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - -0.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.82)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 2 at CIN 32) Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 22 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.32 68.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78

Started Drive at: CIN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - -0.15 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.85)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 22) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.04 28.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 79

Started Drive at: HOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.04 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.96)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2132 (Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.00 72.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.13)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:52 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 25) Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30 - HOU 13, CIN 14 0.23 77.2% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.19 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.19)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:10 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 5 at CIN 30) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 44 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 2.86 74.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 26

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.48 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.48)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:37 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 26) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 24 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.55 80.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.34 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.34)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:18 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at HOU 24) Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.56 78.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.78 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.78)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.3%

Win Probability (After): 76.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:40 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 7 at HOU 23) Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Houst 19 - HOU 13, CIN 14 -0.83 76.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 19

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 3.20 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.20)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:09 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 2.98 75.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:02 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 1.60 81.8% 7.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:02 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 61 yds , Marcus Jones return for 24 yds to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 21 -0.87 11.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.14 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.86)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 -4.98 13.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:37 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 23) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 21 -0.43 92.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.51 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.51)

Score Difference (End): 8 (12.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:04 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 2.90 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:04 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 38 yds , Seth Green return for 1 yd to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 28 -0.94 5.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.50 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.50)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 28) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 28 -0.90 5.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.10 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.10)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:15 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune sacked by Jowon Briggs for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 28 -2.04 4.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 79

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.79 - -0.75 = -2.04

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.75)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:59 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 17 at HOU 21) HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 16 - HOU 13, CIN 28 0.19 3.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -2.80 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.80)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:31 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 22 at HOU 16) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 20 - HOU 13, CIN 28 -0.98 3.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 80

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.61 - -2.63 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.63)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-18.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:56 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 18 at HOU 20) Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 38 - HOU 13, CIN 28 0.22 2.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 62

Started Drive at: HOU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.24 - -3.46 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-18.46)

Score Difference (End): 15 (18.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 38) Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40 - HOU 13, CIN 28 -0.43 97.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: CIN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.16 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.16)

Score Difference (End): 15 (17.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at CIN 40) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 18 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 28 1.40 97.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42

Started Drive at: CIN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 2.68 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.68)

Score Difference (End): 15 (19.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:38 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 2.93 97.8% 1.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99

Started Drive at: CIN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93

Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:38 ESPN team id 248 (Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.00 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.93)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:19 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 1.07 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - -1.01 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.01)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:54 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 35) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.73 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.02 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.98)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:30 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 10 at HOU 35) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 36 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.82 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -0.66 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.66)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:26 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 9 at HOU 36) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 06:26 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.00 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -1.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.48)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 9 at HOU 36) TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Houst Dennis Bardwell - HOU 13, CIN 35 -2.08 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 72

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -1.46 = -2.08

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.46)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-25.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 17 at HOU 28) Laine Wilkins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 34 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.39 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: HOU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.89 - -3.50 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-25.50)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 34) Jerome Ford run for 12 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.35 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 54

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 3.83 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.83)

Score Difference (End): 22 (26.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 46) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.53 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.16 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 22 (26.16)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 8 at CIN 48) Tre Tucker run for 3 yds to the Houst 49 Tre Tucker fumbled, forced by Marcus Jones, recovered by Cincy - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.39 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.67 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.67)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 5 at HOU 49) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 4 yds to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.43 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.21 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.21)

Score Difference (End): 22 (24.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:26 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 1 at HOU 45) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -3.58 99.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55

Started Drive at: CIN 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.93 = -3.58

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.93)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 45) Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.76 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48

Started Drive at: HOU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 0.67 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.33)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:30 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 3 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line - HOU 13, CIN 35 -1.56 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 50

Started Drive at: HOU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 1.42 = -1.56

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.58)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 5 at 50) Clayton Tune sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 39 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -2.76 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61

Started Drive at: HOU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -0.13 = -2.76

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.13)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:11 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 16 at HOU 39) Laine Wilkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 25 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.46 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 75

Started Drive at: HOU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.25 - -2.78 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-24.78)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.25)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:51 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 25) Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.14 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.26 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.26)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:24 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 4 at CIN 31) Jerome Ford run for 18 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.71 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 51

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.40 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.40)

Score Difference (End): 22 (26.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:48 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 49) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for no gain to the Cincy 49 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.40 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 3.86 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.86)

Score Difference (End): 22 (25.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 10 at CIN 49) Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.73 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 50

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.32 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.32)

Score Difference (End): 22 (24.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:40 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 9 at 50) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerome Ford - HOU 13, CIN 35 -1.51 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 2.62 = -1.51

Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.62)

Score Difference (End): 22 (23.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:34 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 9 at 50) Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 10 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.29 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 90

Started Drive at: CIN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.14 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 22 (23.14)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:25 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 10) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Houst 12 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.55 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 88

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -1.42 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.42)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:43 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 8 at HOU 12) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jake Herslow - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.82 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.69 - -1.88 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.88)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:25 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 8 at HOU 12) CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Arquon Bush) to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 2.02 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 73

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - -2.56 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-24.56)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:06 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 27) Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 30 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.58 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - -0.51 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.51)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:15 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 7 at HOU 30) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -1.35 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 71

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -0.68 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.68)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 8 at HOU 29) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds to the Houst 36 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.19 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -1.41 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.41)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:07 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 1 at HOU 36) Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 2.17 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -1.02 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:30 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 43) Clayton Tune sacked by Malik Vann for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 39 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -1.37 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 61

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.07 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.93)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:45 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.70 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.38 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.38)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:31 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 53 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 5.90 0.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 8

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - -1.02 = 5.90

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:00 ESPN team id 248 (1st & Goal at CIN 8) Clayton Tune run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jowon Briggs) to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.52 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 4.91 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-17.12)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-16.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:15 ESPN team id 248 (1st & Goal at CIN 5) Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2 - HOU 13, CIN 35 0.01 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 5.42 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-16.58)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & Goal at CIN 2) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam'Ron Johnson) to the Cincy 12 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -2.18 0.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 12

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 5.48 = -2.18

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-16.52)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & Goal at CIN 12) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7 - HOU 13, CIN 35 -0.24 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.67 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.33)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 13, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:06 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 3.48 0.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: HOU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:06 ESPN team id 2132 (Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 61 yds - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.69 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.67 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.67)

Score Difference (End): 15 (17.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:36 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 35) Jerome Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 31 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -1.14 99.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.21 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.21)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:22 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 14 at CIN 31) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.82 99.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.05 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.05)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:22 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 14 at CIN 31) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 05:22 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.00 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.23 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.23)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:14 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 14 at CIN 31) Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.45 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 59

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.33 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.33)

Score Difference (End): 15 (14.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:14 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 4 at CIN 41) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 05:14 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.00 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.88)

Score Difference (End): 15 (14.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:14 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 4 at CIN 41) CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 36 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.29 99.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 64

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - -0.13 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.87)

Score Difference (End): 15 (14.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:07 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 9 at CIN 36) Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 18 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.26 99.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 82

Started Drive at: CIN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.39 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.61)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 18) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 24 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 1.57 0.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 58

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.20 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.80)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:18 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 42) Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Houst 45 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.47 0.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.78 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.22)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:40 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 7 at HOU 45) Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 10 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 1.33 0.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 1.34 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.66)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:05 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at CIN 45) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.11 0.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.23 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.77)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:23 ESPN team id 248 (2nd & 9 at CIN 44) Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.17 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.77 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.23)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 248 (3rd & 6 at CIN 41) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jake Herslow - HOU 20, CIN 35 -1.02 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.45 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.55)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:03 ESPN team id 248 (4th & 6 at CIN 41) Clayton Tune sacked by Myjai Sanders and Marcus Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 48 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -2.52 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 52

Started Drive at: HOU 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - 0.53 = -2.52

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.47)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:59 ESPN team id 2132 (1st & 10 at CIN 48) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 48 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.36 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.99 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.99)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:59 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 01:59 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.00 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.63 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.63)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2132 (2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Houst 49 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.14 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.38 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.38)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:13 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 7 at HOU 49) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 01:13 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.00 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.24)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:05 ESPN team id 2132 (3rd & 7 at HOU 49) Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.70 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.06 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.06)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:27 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 8 at 50) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 00:27 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.00 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.36 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.36)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:16 ESPN team id 2132 (4th & 8 at 50) Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 14 yds to the Houst 22 - HOU 20, CIN 35 -0.43 99.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 78

Started Drive at: CIN 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.22 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.22)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:10 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 22) Chandler Smith run for 12 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.16 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 66

Started Drive at: HOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.04 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.96)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:01 ESPN team id 248 (1st & 10 at HOU 34) Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Houst 34 - HOU 20, CIN 35 0.08 0.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: HOU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.05 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.95)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: HOU 20, CIN 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2