Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.97 | Odds: CIN -10.5, O/U 52.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 86 | 56 |
| Total EPA | -9.46 | -2.59 |
| Offensive EPA | -5.1 | 8.74 |
| Special Teams EPA | -4.15 | -4.55 |
| Penalty EPA | 0.26 | -5.55 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.47 | -1.23 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 45 |
| Yards | 350 | 400 |
| Yards/Play | 4.79 | 8.89 |
| EPA | -5.10 | 8.74 |
| EPA/Play | -0.07 | 0.19 |
| Passes | 34 (47%) | 18 (40%) |
| Yards | 250 | 190 |
| Yards/Play | 7.35 | 10.56 |
| EPA | 0.22 | 10.25 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | 0.57 |
| Rushes | 39 (53%) | 27 (60%) |
| Yards | 140 | 220 |
| Yards/Play | 3.59 | 8.15 |
| EPA | -5.31 | -1.51 |
| EPA/Play | -0.14 | -0.06 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 45 |
| Rushes | 39 (53%) | 27 (60%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (3%) | 1 (4%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 9 (23%) | 5 (19%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 16 (41%) | 14 (52%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 17 (44%) | 11 (41%) |
| OL Line Yards | 58.9 | 37 |
| Per Carry | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| Highlight Yards | 30 | 132 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 1.76 | 12.00 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 86 | 56 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 45 |
| Explosive Plays | 6 (8%) | 5 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 4 (12%) | 3 (17%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (5%) | 2 (7%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -24.17 | -9.15 |
| EPA/Play | -0.36 | -0.23 |
| When Passing | -14.31 | 1.75 |
| EPA/Play | -0.42 | 0.10 |
| When Rushing | -9.87 | -10.90 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | -0.44 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 28 (38%) | 18 (40%) |
| When Passing | 15 (44%) | 9 (50%) |
| When Rushing | 13 (33%) | 9 (33%) |
| On Standard Downs | 21 (45%) | 15 (54%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (27%) | 3 (18%) |
| On Early Downs | 20 (36%) | 18 (50%) |
| On Late Downs | 8 (44%) | 0 (0%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 1 (14%) | 5 (45%) |
| Early Downs | 55 | 36 |
| First Downs Created | 14 (25%) | 9 (25%) |
| EPA | -12.02 | 19.47 |
| EPA/Play | -0.22 | 0.54 |
| Passes | 23 (42%) | 15 (42%) |
| Rushes | 32 (58%) | 21 (58%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 10 (43%) | 9 (60%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 10 (31%) | 9 (43%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 7 | 11 |
| EPA | -6.77 | 4.76 |
| EPA/play | -0.97 | 0.43 |
| Passes | 2 (29%) | 4 (36%) |
| Rushes | 5 (71%) | 7 (64%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 3 (75%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (20%) | 2 (29%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 13 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 25 | Own 34 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.45 | 4.51 |
| Yards/Drive | 43.81 | 35.73 |
| Available Yards % | 58% | 54% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 45 | 73 |
| Stop Rate | 49% | 38% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 4 (9%) | 14 (19%) |
| Passing | 1 (6%) | 9 (26%) |
| Rushing | 3 (11%) | 5 (13%) |
| TFLs Generated | 3 | 13 |
| Passing | 1 | 8 |
| Rushing | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (6%) | 8 (24%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 1 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -1 | 1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -3.9 | 3.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 13 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -4.15 | -4.55 |
| Field Goal EPA | 2.76 | -3.68 |
| Punting EPA | -2.63 | -0.09 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -4.28 | -0.77 |
Houston [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Clayton Tune | 17/26, 250 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 8 Scks, 47.9 xQBR | 7.35 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 44% | -2.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Clayton Tune | 15 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.40 | 5.96 | 53% | 0.0% | |
| Chandler Smith | 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -9 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | -4.50 | -1.06 | -2.12 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Alton McCaskill | 13 carries, 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.30 | -3.90 | 23% | -9.0% | |
| Ta'Zhawn Henry | 7 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.29 | -0.79 | -5.50 | 0% | -20.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Nathaniel Dell | 9 catches (13 targets), 152 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.89 | 0.83 | 10.74 | 54% | 5.0% | |
| Jake Herslow | 5 catches (7 targets), 57 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.40 | 0.94 | 6.56 | 71% | 3.0% | |
| Seth Green | 1 catch (1 target), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 23.00 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Peyton Sawyer | 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Jeremy Singleton | 1 catch (3 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | -0.30 | -0.90 | 33% | 2.0% | |
Cincinnati [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Desmond Ridder | 11/17, 190 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 82.1 xQBR | 10.56 | 0.57 | 10.25 | 50% | 24.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jerome Ford | 18 carries, 187 yds, 2 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 10.39 | 0.09 | 1.66 | 44% | 3.0% | |
| Tre Tucker | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.39 | -0.39 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Ryan Montgomery | 2 carries, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.50 | -0.68 | -1.35 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Desmond Ridder | 6 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.83 | -0.24 | -1.42 | 17% | -2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Alec Pierce | 2 catches (5 targets), 65 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 32.50 | 0.80 | 3.99 | 40% | 10.0% | |
| Josh Whyle | 3 catches (3 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.67 | 0.71 | 2.14 | 67% | 3.0% | |
| Tyler Scott | 1 catch (2 targets), 25 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | 0.96 | 1.92 | 50% | 5.0% | |
| Leonard Taylor | 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| Ryan Montgomery | 2 catches (2 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.50 | 0.65 | 1.29 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Tre Tucker | 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 0.50 | 1.01 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Jerome Ford | 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | -0.14 | -0.29 | 50% | 2.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 | -8.90 | 87.4% | -23.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 6.46 | 69.6% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:31 | |
(3rd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 53 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 5.90 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 8 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - -1.02 = 5.90 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02) Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 | -4.98 | 13.9% | -6.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:04 | |
(4th & Goal at HOU 5) Christian Lowery 23 yd FG MISSED - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -3.68 | 79.0% | -4.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 2.75 = -3.68 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.75) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.0% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:26 | |
(4th & 1 at HOU 45) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -3.58 | 99.9% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.93 = -3.58 Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.93) Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:06 | |
(3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 3.48 | 0.2% | 0.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:09 | |
(4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 2.98 | 75.7% | 6.3% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42) Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:38 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 2.93 | 97.8% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07) Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:04 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 2.90 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 | -8.90 | 87.4% | -23.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:48 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 27) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 31 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.83 | 34.3% | -13.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.70 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 20.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 6.46 | 69.6% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:10 | |
(2nd & 5 at CIN 30) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 44 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 2.86 | 74.6% | 7.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 26 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.48 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.48) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:32 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 27) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tank Jenkins) to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -1.24 | 30.3% | -7.8% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 37 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.12 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.12) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:02 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 | 1.60 | 81.8% | 7.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:09 | |
(4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 2.98 | 75.7% | 6.3% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42) Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 | -4.98 | 13.9% | -6.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:53 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 44 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.95 | 36.9% | -5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 44 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.71 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.71) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.9% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:33 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 16 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 0.71 | 26.8% | 5.7% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.54 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.54) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.8% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:55 | |
(4th & 15 at CIN 20) Dalton Witherspoon 37 yd FG GOOD - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 0.82 | 30.3% | 4.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.18 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 25) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 2.74 | 75.5% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.26 = 2.74 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.5% Win Probability (After): 80.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:23 | |
(1st & 5 at CIN 16) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 7 | 1.74 | 27.4% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.26 = 1.74 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.26) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 6.46 | 69.6% | 11.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:40 | |
(4th & 12 at CIN 29) Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOOD - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.94 | 20.3% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.06 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.94) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:02 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 | 1.60 | 81.8% | 7.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:04 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 2.90 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:38 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 2.93 | 97.8% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07) Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:06 | |
(3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 3.48 | 0.2% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Jones return for 28 yds to the Houst 30 - HOU 0, CIN 0 | -0.64 | 20.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 20.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:44 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 30) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 15 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 | 0.74 | 26.2% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 1.65 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.65) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.2% Win Probability (After): 25.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:10 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 45) Alton McCaskill run for 18 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 | 1.14 | 30.6% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 37 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.51 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 29.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:30 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 37) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 22 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down - HOU 0, CIN 0 | 1.34 | 33.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 15 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.64 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.2% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:06 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 15) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 14 - HOU 0, CIN 0 | -0.59 | 34.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.98 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:34 | |
(2nd & 9 at CIN 14) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 0, CIN 0 | -0.85 | 32.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 4.43 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:15 | |
(3rd & 9 at CIN 14) Clayton Tune sacked by Curtis Brooks and Jabari Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 20 - HOU 0, CIN 0 | -1.49 | 31.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 20 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 3.65 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.65) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 0, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.3% Win Probability (After): 29.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(4th & 15 at CIN 20) Dalton Witherspoon 37 yd FG GOOD - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 0.82 | 30.3% | 4.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: HOU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.18 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 64 yds , Tre Tucker return for 17 yds to the Cincy 18 - HOU 3, CIN 0 | -1.43 | 71.9% | -2.2% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.67 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.33) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.9% Win Probability (After): 69.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:40 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 18) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 17 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 1.22 | 70.4% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 65 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.42 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.58) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:14 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 35) Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 0.23 | 70.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.59 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.41) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:30 | |
(2nd & 4 at CIN 41) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 17 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 1.25 | 72.2% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 42 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 1.80 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.20) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.2% Win Probability (After): 72.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:10 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 42) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 17 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 0 | 1.14 | 73.1% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 25 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.01 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.01) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 25) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 2.74 | 75.5% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.26 = 2.74 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.26) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.5% Win Probability (After): 80.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 61 yds , Marcus Jones return for 22 yds to the Houst 26 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.97 | 18.9% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.77 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.23) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:23 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 26) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.81 | 20.3% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 1.07 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.93) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 18.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at HOU 26) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Houst 29 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.73 | 19.3% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.23 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.77) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.3% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at HOU 29) Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 2.38 | 17.7% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 62 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - -0.54 = 2.38 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.54) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.7% Win Probability (After): 21.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:05 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 38) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Houst 40 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.49 | 22.2% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.79 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.21) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.2% Win Probability (After): 20.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:25 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 38 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.89 | 21.9% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.21 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.79) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 20.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:00 | |
(3rd & 10 at HOU 38) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 14 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 2.43 | 21.2% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 0.30 = 2.43 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.2% Win Probability (After): 23.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:20 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Cincy 48 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | -0.66 | 25.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.78 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.22) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:39 | |
(2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 14 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 1.56 | 25.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 2.11 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.89) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:01 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 34) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 0.86 | 28.5% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 21 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 3.66 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 30.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:33 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 16 - HOU 3, CIN 7 | 0.71 | 26.8% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.54 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.54) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 3, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.8% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:23 | |
(1st & 5 at CIN 16) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 7 | 1.74 | 27.4% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.26 = 1.74 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.26) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:23 | |
(Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds , Tre Tucker return for 21 yds to the Cincy 21 - HOU 10, CIN 7 | -1.27 | 69.6% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.71 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 66.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 21) Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 6.46 | 69.6% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.54 = 6.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.46) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 3) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Houst 1 - HOU 10, CIN 7 | -8.90 | 87.4% | -23.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - 6.25 = -8.90 Score Difference (Before): 4 (10.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:06 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 56 yds , Marcus Jones return for 18 yds to the Houst 27 - HOU 10, CIN 7 | -0.86 | 33.2% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.43 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.43) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.2% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:48 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 27) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 31 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.83 | 34.3% | -13.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.70 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 20.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at HOU 31) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 0.90 | 20.4% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.88 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.12) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.4% Win Probability (After): 22.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:32 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 43 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.08 | 24.5% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.78 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.22) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.5% Win Probability (After): 22.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:56 | |
(2nd & 6 at HOU 43) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 0.82 | 24.3% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:23 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Alton McCaskill run for 11 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 0.78 | 25.0% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.59 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.41) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 27.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 39) Clayton Tune sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 47 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -1.79 | 27.4% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 47 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 3.41 = -1.79 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.59) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 23.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:01 | |
(2nd & 18 at CIN 47) Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 0.23 | 22.8% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 37 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.62 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.38) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.8% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:45 | |
(3rd & 8 at CIN 37) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 32 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.45 | 20.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.84 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.5% Win Probability (After): 19.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(4th & 3 at CIN 32) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down - HOU 10, CIN 14 | 2.72 | 20.7% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 1.40 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.60) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.7% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:32 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 27) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tank Jenkins) to the Cincy 37 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -1.24 | 30.3% | -7.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 37 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.12 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.12) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:58 | |
(1st & 20 at CIN 37) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.64 | 26.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 36 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.94 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.06) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.0% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:22 | |
(2nd & 19 at CIN 36) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -1.06 | 24.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.36 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.64) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 23.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:10 | |
(3rd & 19 at CIN 36) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the Cincy 29 - HOU 10, CIN 14 | -0.22 | 21.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.30 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 10, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:40 | |
(4th & 12 at CIN 29) Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOOD - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.94 | 20.3% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: HOU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.06 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.94) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:40 | |
(Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 57 yds , Tre Tucker return for 37 yds to the CINCINNATI 28 HOUSTON Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (William White) to the Houst 40 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.23 | 75.7% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 40 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.18 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): 1 (-2.84) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 78.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:26 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 40) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.56 | 78.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.38 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.38) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 78.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at HOU 40) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 19 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.72 | 78.7% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 21 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 2.78 = 1.72 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.78) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 80.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:49 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.79 | 80.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.50 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.50) Score Difference (End): 1 (6.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 81.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:26 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.67 | 81.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 5.30 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.30) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:16 | |
(2nd & Goal at HOU 8) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 6 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.65 | 81.7% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.63 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.63) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.7% Win Probability (After): 79.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:40 | |
(3rd & Goal at HOU 6) Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Houst 5 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -1.18 | 80.9% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 5 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.96 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.96) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.9% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:04 | |
(4th & Goal at HOU 5) Christian Lowery 23 yd FG MISSED - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -3.68 | 79.0% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80 Started Drive at: HOU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 2.75 = -3.68 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.75) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.0% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:56 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 20) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Houst 25 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.01 | 24.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.87 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.13) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.0% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:16 | |
(2nd & 5 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 23 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.67 | 24.9% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 0.87 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.13) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:44 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 48) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.30 | 30.4% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.48 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.48) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:09 | |
(2nd & 7 at CIN 49) Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.44 | 30.5% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.44 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.44) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.5% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:33 | |
(3rd & 3 at CIN 45) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -1.61 | 31.3% | -5.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 2.10 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.10) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.3% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:27 | |
(4th & 3 at CIN 45) Laine Wilkins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 15 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.99 | 27.5% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 85 Started Drive at: HOU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.47 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.53) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 24.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:18 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 15) Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 17 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.50 | 76.0% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83 Started Drive at: CIN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.58 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.58) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 73.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:49 | |
(2nd & 8 at CIN 17) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.52 | 73.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83 Started Drive at: CIN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.15 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.85) Score Difference (End): 1 (0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.6% Win Probability (After): 72.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:49 | |
(3rd & 8 at CIN 17) CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Cooper) to the Cincy 12 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.57 | 71.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 88 Started Drive at: CIN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.37 - -0.80 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.20) Score Difference (End): 1 (-0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.4% Win Probability (After): 69.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:30 | |
(3rd & 13 at CIN 12) Desmond Ridder sacked by Logan Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 2 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -1.42 | 71.6% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 98 Started Drive at: CIN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.57 - -1.15 = -1.42 Score Difference (Before): 1 (-0.15) Score Difference (End): 1 (-1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.6% Win Probability (After): 67.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:55 | |
(4th & 23 at CIN 2) Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds, downed at the Houst 48 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.11 | 69.1% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 52 Started Drive at: CIN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -2.46 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 1 (-1.46) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.1% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:43 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 48) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.27 | 31.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.39 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.39) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:02 | |
(2nd & 5 at CIN 47) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Cincy 45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.33 | 31.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.50 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.50) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.5% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:15 | |
(3rd & 3 at CIN 45) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 1.19 | 31.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 1.88 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.88) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.8% Win Probability (After): 32.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:53 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 40) Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 44 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.95 | 36.9% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 44 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.71 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.71) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.9% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:55 | |
(2nd & 14 at CIN 44) Clayton Tune sacked by Ahmad Gardner for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 47 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.68 | 32.2% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 53 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.49 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.49) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.2% Win Probability (After): 29.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:36 | |
(3rd & 23 at HOU 47) HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 42 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.07 | 28.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 58 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.65 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.35) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:13 | |
(3rd & 28 at HOU 42) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.42 | 29.4% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 48 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.44 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.56) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:13 | |
(4th & 18 at CIN 48) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 01:13 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.03 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.97) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 27.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:13 | |
(4th & 18 at CIN 48) CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 43 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.23 | 28.1% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.16 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.84) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:13 | |
(4th & 13 at CIN 43) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 01:13 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.38 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.62) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.8% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:04 | |
(4th & 13 at CIN 43) Laine Wilkins punt for 20 yds, downed at the Cincy 23 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -1.00 | 28.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 77 Started Drive at: HOU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.34 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.66) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.67) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 23) Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Cincy 32 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.41 | 73.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 68 Started Drive at: CIN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.54 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.54) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:55 | |
(2nd & 1 at CIN 32) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.24 | 73.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: CIN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 0.80 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.80) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.5% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(3rd & 2 at CIN 32) Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 32 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.63 | 72.6% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: CIN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.45 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.45) Score Difference (End): 1 (0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 68.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(4th & 2 at CIN 32) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 00:45 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: CIN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - -0.18 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.82) Score Difference (End): 1 (0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.8% Win Probability (After): 68.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(4th & 2 at CIN 32) Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 22 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.32 | 68.8% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 78 Started Drive at: CIN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - -0.15 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.85) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.53) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.8% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:01 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 22) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.04 | 28.4% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 79 Started Drive at: HOU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.04 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.96) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.4% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.13) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.8% Win Probability (After): 72.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:52 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 25) Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 0.23 | 77.2% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.19 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.19) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.2% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:10 | |
(2nd & 5 at CIN 30) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 44 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 2.86 | 74.6% | 7.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 26 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.48 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.48) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:37 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 26) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 24 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.55 | 80.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.34 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.34) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.2% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:18 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 24) Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.56 | 78.3% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.78 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.78) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 76.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:40 | |
(3rd & 7 at HOU 23) Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Houst 19 - HOU 13, CIN 14 | -0.83 | 76.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 19 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 3.20 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.20) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 75.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:09 | |
(4th & 3 at HOU 19) HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Jones) to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 14 | 2.98 | 75.7% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 2.42 = 2.98 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.42) Score Difference (End): 1 (6.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:02 | |
(1st & Goal at HOU 8) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 21 | 1.60 | 81.8% | 7.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.40) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:02 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 61 yds , Marcus Jones return for 24 yds to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 21 | -0.87 | 11.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.14 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.86) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune pass intercepted Joel Dublanko return for 9 yds to the Houst 23 - HOU 13, CIN 21 | -4.98 | 13.9% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 23 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - 0.45 = -4.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.55) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:37 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 23) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 21 | -0.43 | 92.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21 Started Drive at: HOU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.51 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.51) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:04 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 21) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 2.90 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.10 = 2.90 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.10) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:04 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 38 yds , Seth Green return for 1 yd to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | -0.94 | 5.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.50 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.50) Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.3% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 28) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 28 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | -0.90 | 5.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.10 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.10) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at HOU 28) Clayton Tune sacked by Jowon Briggs for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 21 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | -2.04 | 4.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 79 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.79 - -0.75 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.75) Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.4% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:59 | |
(3rd & 17 at HOU 21) HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 16 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 0.19 | 3.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -2.80 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.80) Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.3% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:31 | |
(3rd & 22 at HOU 16) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 20 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | -0.98 | 3.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 80 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.61 - -2.63 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.63) Score Difference (End): -15 (-18.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.2% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:56 | |
(4th & 18 at HOU 20) Laine Wilkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 38 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 0.22 | 2.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 62 Started Drive at: HOU 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.24 - -3.46 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-18.46) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:30 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 38) Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40 - HOU 13, CIN 28 | -0.43 | 97.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60 Started Drive at: CIN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.16 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.16) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.4% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at CIN 40) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 18 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 28 | 1.40 | 97.3% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42 Started Drive at: CIN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 2.68 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.68) Score Difference (End): 15 (19.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:38 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 42) Jerome Ford run for 42 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 2.93 | 97.8% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99 Started Drive at: CIN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.07) Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:38 | |
(Kickoff at HOU 35) Alex Bales kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.93 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.93) Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:19 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 25) Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 1.07 | 0.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - -1.01 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.01) Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:54 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 35) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.73 | 0.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.02 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.98) Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at HOU 35) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 36 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.82 | 0.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -0.66 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.66) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:26 | |
(3rd & 9 at HOU 36) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 06:26 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -1.48 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.48) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(3rd & 9 at HOU 36) TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Houst Dennis Bardwell - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -2.08 | 0.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 72 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -1.46 = -2.08 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.46) Score Difference (End): -22 (-25.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:39 | |
(4th & 17 at HOU 28) Laine Wilkins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 34 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.39 | 0.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66 Started Drive at: HOU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.89 - -3.50 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-25.50) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:15 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 34) Jerome Ford run for 12 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.35 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 54 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 3.83 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.83) Score Difference (End): 22 (26.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 46) Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.53 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.16 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 22 (26.16) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 4:30 | |
(2nd & 8 at CIN 48) Tre Tucker run for 3 yds to the Houst 49 Tre Tucker fumbled, forced by Marcus Jones, recovered by Cincy - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.39 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.67 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.67) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 4:00 | |
(3rd & 5 at HOU 49) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 4 yds to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.43 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.21 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.21) Score Difference (End): 22 (24.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:26 | |
(4th & 1 at HOU 45) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Houst 45 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -3.58 | 99.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 55 Started Drive at: CIN 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.93 = -3.58 Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.93) Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 45) Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Cincy 48 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.76 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48 Started Drive at: HOU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 0.67 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.33) Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:30 | |
(2nd & 3 at CIN 48) Clayton Tune sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -1.56 | 0.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 50 Started Drive at: HOU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 1.42 = -1.56 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.58) Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:00 | |
(3rd & 5 at 50) Clayton Tune sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 39 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -2.76 | 0.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61 Started Drive at: HOU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -0.13 = -2.76 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.13) Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:11 | |
(4th & 16 at HOU 39) Laine Wilkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 25 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.46 | 0.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 75 Started Drive at: HOU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.25 - -2.78 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-24.78) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.25) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:51 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 25) Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.14 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.26 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.26) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:24 | |
(2nd & 4 at CIN 31) Jerome Ford run for 18 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.71 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 51 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.40 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.40) Score Difference (End): 22 (26.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:48 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 49) Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for no gain to the Cincy 49 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.40 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 3.86 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.86) Score Difference (End): 22 (25.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at CIN 49) Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.73 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 50 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.32 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 22 (25.32) Score Difference (End): 22 (24.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:40 | |
(3rd & 9 at 50) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerome Ford - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -1.51 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 2.62 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): 22 (24.62) Score Difference (End): 22 (23.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:34 | |
(4th & 9 at 50) Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 10 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.29 | 99.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 90 Started Drive at: CIN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.14 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 22 (23.14) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:25 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 10) Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Houst 12 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.55 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 88 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -1.42 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.42) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:43 | |
(2nd & 8 at HOU 12) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jake Herslow - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.82 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.69 - -1.88 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.88) Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:25 | |
(3rd & 8 at HOU 12) CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Arquon Bush) to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 2.02 | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 73 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - -2.56 = 2.02 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-24.56) Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:06 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 27) Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 30 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.58 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - -0.51 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.51) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:15 | |
(2nd & 7 at HOU 30) Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -1.35 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 71 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -0.68 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.68) Score Difference (End): -22 (-24.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:30 | |
(3rd & 8 at HOU 29) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds to the Houst 36 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.19 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -1.41 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.41) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:07 | |
(4th & 1 at HOU 36) Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 2.17 | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -1.02 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02) Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:30 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 43) Clayton Tune sacked by Malik Vann for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 39 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -1.37 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 61 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.07 = -1.37 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.93) Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:45 | |
(2nd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.70 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.38 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.38) Score Difference (End): -22 (-23.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:31 | |
(3rd & 14 at HOU 39) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 53 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 5.90 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 8 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.88 - -1.02 = 5.90 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-23.02) Score Difference (End): -22 (-17.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:00 | |
(1st & Goal at CIN 8) Clayton Tune run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jowon Briggs) to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.52 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 4.91 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-17.12) Score Difference (End): -22 (-16.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:15 | |
(1st & Goal at CIN 5) Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | 0.01 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 2 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 5.42 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-16.58) Score Difference (End): -22 (-16.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:59 | |
(2nd & Goal at CIN 2) HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam'Ron Johnson) to the Cincy 12 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -2.18 | 0.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 12 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 5.48 = -2.18 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-16.52) Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:25 | |
(2nd & Goal at CIN 12) Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7 - HOU 13, CIN 35 | -0.24 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.67 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.33) Score Difference (End): -22 (-18.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 13, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:06 | |
(3rd & Goal at CIN 7) Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 3.48 | 0.2% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: HOU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.52 = 3.48 Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.48) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:06 | |
(Kickoff at CIN 35) Bubba Baxa kickoff for 61 yds - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.69 | 99.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.67 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.67) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:36 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 35) Jerome Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 31 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -1.14 | 99.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.21 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.21) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:22 | |
(2nd & 14 at CIN 31) Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.82 | 99.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.05 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.05) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:22 | |
(3rd & 14 at CIN 31) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 05:22 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.23 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.23) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 5:14 | |
(3rd & 14 at CIN 31) Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.45 | 99.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 59 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.33 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.33) Score Difference (End): 15 (14.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 5:14 | |
(4th & 4 at CIN 41) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 05:14 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.12 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.88) Score Difference (End): 15 (14.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:14 | |
(4th & 4 at CIN 41) CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 36 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.29 | 99.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 64 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - -0.13 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.87) Score Difference (End): 15 (14.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:07 | |
(4th & 9 at CIN 36) Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 18 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.26 | 99.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 82 Started Drive at: CIN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.39 = 0.26 Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.61) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.86) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 18) Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 24 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 1.57 | 0.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 58 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.20 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.80) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:18 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 42) Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Houst 45 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.47 | 0.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.78 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.22) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.9% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:40 | |
(2nd & 7 at HOU 45) Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 10 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 1.33 | 0.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 1.34 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.66) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:05 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 45) Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.11 | 0.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.23 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.77) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:23 | |
(2nd & 9 at CIN 44) Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Cincy 41 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.17 | 0.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.77 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.23) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:10 | |
(3rd & 6 at CIN 41) Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jake Herslow - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -1.02 | 0.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.45 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.55) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:03 | |
(4th & 6 at CIN 41) Clayton Tune sacked by Myjai Sanders and Marcus Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 48 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -2.52 | 0.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 52 Started Drive at: HOU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - 0.53 = -2.52 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.47) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:59 | |
(1st & 10 at CIN 48) Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 48 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.36 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.99 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.99) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:59 | |
(2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Timeout HOUSTON, clock 01:59 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.63 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at CIN 48) Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Houst 49 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.14 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.38 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.38) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(3rd & 7 at HOU 49) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 01:13 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.24 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.24) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at HOU 49) Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.70 | 99.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.06 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.06) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:27 | |
(4th & 8 at 50) Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 00:27 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.00 | 99.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.36 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.36) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:16 | |
(4th & 8 at 50) Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 14 yds to the Houst 22 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | -0.43 | 99.3% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 78 Started Drive at: CIN 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 0.22 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.22) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.80) Change of Possession: 1 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 22) Chandler Smith run for 12 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.16 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 66 Started Drive at: HOU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.04 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.96) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:01 | |
(1st & 10 at HOU 34) Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Houst 34 - HOU 20, CIN 35 | 0.08 | 0.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: HOU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.05 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.95) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: HOU 20, CIN 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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