Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 6.11 | Odds: TOL -10.5, O/U 50.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 98 | 87 |
| Total EPA | 2.12 | -13.44 |
| Offensive EPA | -2.21 | 1.96 |
| Special Teams EPA | 1.35 | -9.68 |
| Penalty EPA | 4.05 | -5.71 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -1.07 | -0.01 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 85 | 71 |
| Yards | 482 | 447 |
| Yards/Play | 5.67 | 6.30 |
| EPA | -2.21 | 1.96 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | 0.03 |
| Passes | 43 (51%) | 40 (56%) |
| Yards | 276 | 212 |
| Yards/Play | 6.42 | 5.30 |
| EPA | -4.71 | -10.49 |
| EPA/Play | -0.11 | -0.26 |
| Rushes | 42 (49%) | 31 (44%) |
| Yards | 176 | 239 |
| Yards/Play | 4.19 | 7.71 |
| EPA | 2.50 | 12.45 |
| EPA/Play | 0.06 | 0.40 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 85 | 71 |
| Rushes | 42 (49%) | 31 (44%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (2%) | 2 (6%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 2 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 13 (31%) | 5 (16%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 19 (45%) | 8 (26%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 19 (45%) | 20 (65%) |
| OL Line Yards | 52.7 | 50.3 |
| Per Carry | 1.25 | 1.62 |
| Highlight Yards | 57 | 107.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.00 | 5.38 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 98 | 87 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 85 | 71 |
| Explosive Plays | 9 (11%) | 4 (6%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 5 (12%) | 2 (5%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 4 (10%) | 2 (6%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -29.06 | -15.27 |
| EPA/Play | -0.38 | -0.23 |
| When Passing | -21.61 | -20.00 |
| EPA/Play | -0.50 | -0.50 |
| When Rushing | -7.45 | 4.73 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | 0.16 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 36 (42%) | 27 (38%) |
| When Passing | 19 (44%) | 11 (28%) |
| When Rushing | 17 (40%) | 16 (52%) |
| On Standard Downs | 21 (37%) | 19 (48%) |
| On Passing Downs | 15 (54%) | 8 (26%) |
| On Early Downs | 28 (42%) | 21 (38%) |
| On Late Downs | 8 (44%) | 6 (38%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 10 (63%) | 0 (0%) |
| Early Downs | 67 | 55 |
| First Downs Created | 15 (22%) | 13 (24%) |
| EPA | -1.91 | 2.96 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | 0.05 |
| Passes | 31 (46%) | 29 (53%) |
| Rushes | 36 (54%) | 26 (47%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 16 (52%) | 8 (28%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 12 (33%) | 13 (50%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 16 | 8 |
| EPA | -2.73 | -6.45 |
| EPA/play | -0.17 | -0.81 |
| Passes | 11 (69%) | 4 (50%) |
| Rushes | 5 (31%) | 4 (50%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 8 (73%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (40%) | 0 (0%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 15 | 14 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 27 | Own 25 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.28 | 7.69 |
| Yards/Drive | 45.01 | 41.03 |
| Available Yards % | 62% | 55% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 85 |
| Stop Rate | 39% | 40% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 6 (8%) | 12 (14%) |
| Passing | 3 (8%) | 5 (12%) |
| Rushing | 3 (10%) | 7 (17%) |
| TFLs Generated | 5 | 11 |
| Passing | 2 | 4 |
| Rushing | 3 | 7 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (3%) | 2 (5%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 13 | 16 |
| Total EPA | 1.35 | -9.68 |
| Field Goal EPA | -1.65 | -5.82 |
| Punting EPA | 2.65 | -0.89 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 0.35 | -2.97 |
Middle Tennessee [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Nick Vattiato | 23/35, 270 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 73.0 xQBR | 7.30 | 0.16 | 5.75 | 49% | 23.0% | |
| Mike DiLiello | 1/6, 6 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 32.4 xQBR | 1.00 | -1.74 | -10.46 | 17% | -19.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Mike DiLiello | 4 carries, 44 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 1.50 | 5.99 | 100% | 22.0% | |
| Nick Vattiato | 4 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.78 | 3.13 | 75% | 7.0% | |
| Frank Peasant | 15 carries, 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.27 | 0.05 | 0.76 | 33% | -7.0% | |
| Brad Anderson | 2 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.19 | -0.38 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Jaylin Lane | 5 carries, 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.20 | -0.11 | -0.57 | 40% | -8.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -4.00 | -0.34 | -0.68 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Amir Rasul | 3 carries, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.33 | -0.57 | -1.72 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Martell Pettaway | 7 carries, 13 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 1.86 | -0.58 | -4.03 | 29% | -34.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| pass complete Jarrin Pierce | 4 catches (4 targets), 114 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 28.50 | 2.91 | 11.65 | 100% | 28.0% | |
| pass complete Jaylin Lane | 5 catches (5 targets), 64 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.80 | 1.40 | 7.01 | 80% | 23.0% | |
| pass complete Izaiah Gathings | 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 2.89 | 2.89 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| pass complete Yusuf Ali | 9 catches (9 targets), 39 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.33 | 0.14 | 1.25 | 56% | 7.0% | |
| pass complete JaMichael Thompson | 1 catch (1 target), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 18.00 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| pass complete CJ Windham | 2 catches (2 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.50 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| pass complete Brad Anderson | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Amir Rasul | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| JaMichael Thompson | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.98 | -0.98 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Jarrin Pierce | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.25 | -2.51 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Izaiah Gathings | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.28 | -2.57 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Jaylin Lane | 0 catches (4 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.77 | -3.09 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Yusuf Ali | 0 catches (3 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.12 | -3.36 | 0% | -11.0% | |
| CJ Windham | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -2.14 | -4.28 | 0% | -11.0% | |
Toledo [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Dequan Finn | 18/39, 212 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 32.4 xQBR | 5.30 | -0.26 | -10.49 | 28% | -29.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Dequan Finn | 11 carries, 87 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 7.91 | 0.55 | 6.06 | 36% | 11.0% | |
| Bryant Koback | 18 carries, 126 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.24 | 4.28 | 56% | 14.0% | |
| DeMeer Blankumsee | 1 carry, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Micah Kelly | 1 carry, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Matt Landers | 4 catches (9 targets), 137 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 34.25 | 0.57 | 5.12 | 44% | 5.0% | |
| DeMeer Blankumsee | 3 catches (4 targets), 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.67 | 0.44 | 1.78 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Thomas Zsiros | 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Isaiah Winstead | 4 catches (9 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.75 | -0.15 | -1.35 | 33% | -1.0% | |
| Jamal Turner | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.73 | -1.73 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Bryant Koback | 1 catch (3 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.73 | -2.19 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Danzel McKinley-Lewis | 2 catches (3 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.84 | -2.52 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Devin Maddox | 3 catches (5 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.67 | -0.52 | -2.62 | 20% | -4.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 10) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 90 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 6.78 | 67.3% | 16.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.22 = 6.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:29 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 33) Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Samuel Womack return for 49 yds to the MTnSt 16 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -6.52 | 38.1% | -13.4% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 16 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.68 - 1.84 = -6.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at MTSU 40) Dequan Finn run for 40 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 5.72 | 58.1% | 12.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.28 = 5.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 41) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 59 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 5.25 | 75.9% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.75 = 5.25 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.9% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:38 | |
(2nd & 9 at TOL 25) Dequan Finn pass intercepted Zaylin Wood return for no gain to the Toled 23 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -4.39 | 7.2% | -4.1% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 23 Started Drive at: TOL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.49 - -0.10 = -4.39 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.10) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.49) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:45 | |
(4th & 4 at TOL 32) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to CJ Windham - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -3.51 | 30.3% | -8.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68 Started Drive at: TOL 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 1.41 = -3.51 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.59) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:50 | |
(4th & 9 at MTSU 17) Thomas Cluckey 35 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -3.35 | 78.5% | -10.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:49 | |
(3rd & 15 at MTSU 28) Vattiato, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (Hines, Jamal) 15 yards to the MIDDLETENN43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIDDLETENN. - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 3.31 | 28.6% | 8.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.96 = 3.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 36.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:55 | |
(3rd & 3 at MTSU 39) Nick Vattiato sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 28 - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -3.18 | 33.5% | -8.6% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 72 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 1.37 = -3.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(4th & 3 at TOL 40) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 3.14 | 27.4% | 11.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.38 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.62) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 38.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 13:25 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 32) Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 28 Martell Pettaway fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Martell Pettaway - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -2.38 | 51.5% | -24.0% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 72 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 2.57 = -2.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:54 | |
(3rd & 5 at TOL 17) Mike DiLiello run for 17 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 3.12 | 38.8% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.88 = 3.12 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 41) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 59 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 5.25 | 75.9% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.75 = 5.25 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.9% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at TOL 35) TOLEDO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dequan Finn) to the Toled 20 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | -2.38 | 70.3% | -17.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -0.25 = -2.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.25) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 52.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 10) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 90 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 6.78 | 67.3% | 16.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.22 = 6.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:29 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 33) Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Samuel Womack return for 49 yds to the MTnSt 16 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -6.52 | 38.1% | -13.4% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 16 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.68 - 1.84 = -6.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at MTSU 40) Dequan Finn run for 40 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 5.72 | 58.1% | 12.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.28 = 5.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:04 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 20) Zeke Rankin 37 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -2.44 | 37.0% | -11.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 2.44 = -2.44 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.05) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(4th & 3 at TOL 40) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 3.14 | 27.4% | 11.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.38 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.62) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 38.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:50 | |
(4th & 9 at MTSU 17) Thomas Cluckey 35 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -3.35 | 78.5% | -10.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 1:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at TOL 6) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 2.82 | 38.1% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.18 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 45.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at MTSU 40) Dequan Finn run for 40 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 5.72 | 58.1% | 12.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.28 = 5.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 10) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 90 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 6.78 | 67.3% | 16.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.22 = 6.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:58 | |
(1st & Goal at TOL 1) Frank Peasant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 0.63 | 24.2% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.37 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 24.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:05 | |
(4th & 8 at MTSU 14) Thomas Cluckey 32 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.31 | 70.9% | 8.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: MTSU 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.69 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:54 | |
(3rd & 5 at TOL 17) Mike DiLiello run for 17 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 3.12 | 38.8% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.88 = 3.12 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 41) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 59 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 5.25 | 75.9% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.75 = 5.25 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.9% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:34 | |
(4th & 5 at TOL 18) Zeke Rankin 35 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.79 | 97.9% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.21 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.21) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.9% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:08 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 13) Dequan Finn pass complete to DeMeer Blankumsee for 13 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 31, TOL 24 | 2.73 | 2.4% | 6.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.73) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 24 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 88 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 8.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 14:51 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 63 yds , Jacquez Stuart return for 34 yds to the Toled 36 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.28 | 79.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 1.08 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 79.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 36) Dequan Finn run for no gain to the Toled 36 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.12 | 81.4% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.96 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 80.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 36) Bryant Koback run for 12 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 1.41 | 79.9% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 1.30 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.30) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.9% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:20 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.68 | 79.6% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.71 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Matt Landers - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.99 | 79.9% | -3.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.06 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.9% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:52 | |
(3rd & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Matt Landers - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.75 | 77.3% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 1.12 = -1.75 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 74.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:45 | |
(4th & 10 at TOL 48) Bailey Flint punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 10 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 0.52 | 74.5% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 90 Started Drive at: TOL 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - -0.68 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.68) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:34 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 10) Jaylin Lane run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 0.76 | 26.9% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 79 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.06 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:08 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 21) Frank Peasant run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 0.93 | 27.7% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 69 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 0.81 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.81) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 29.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:25 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 31) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 30 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.33 | 28.0% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 70 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.75 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 26.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:59 | |
(2nd & 11 at MTSU 30) Jaylin Lane run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 34 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.14 | 26.9% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.49 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:37 | |
(3rd & 7 at MTSU 34) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.98 | 23.6% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.32 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.6% Win Probability (After): 25.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:54 | |
(4th & 4 at MTSU 37) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 22 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.14 | 23.5% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 78 Started Drive at: MTSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - -0.74 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.88) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:49 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 22) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Matt Landers - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.76 | 73.8% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: TOL 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.96 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.8% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 22) Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 20 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.55 | 72.3% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - 0.29 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 70.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:06 | |
(3rd & 12 at TOL 20) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Devin Maddox - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.91 | 70.7% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.14 - -1.24 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:53 | |
(4th & 12 at TOL 20) Bailey Flint punt for 52 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 0.04 | 69.2% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 64 Started Drive at: TOL 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -2.06 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:39 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 36) Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 34 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.96 | 29.5% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.02 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.5% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:15 | |
(2nd & 12 at MTSU 34) Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Yusuf Ali - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.94 | 26.9% | -3.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.85 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.85) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:10 | |
(3rd & 12 at MTSU 34) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.10 | 24.3% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - -0.10 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(4th & 12 at MTSU 34) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 47 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 8 yds to the Toled 27 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.26 | 23.2% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 73 Started Drive at: MTSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.42 - -1.16 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.42) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.2% Win Probability (After): 24.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 27) Bryant Koback run for 30 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 2.01 | 73.7% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 43 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 1.38 = 2.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.38) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.7% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 43) Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.12 | 78.4% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 39 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.34 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 77.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:50 | |
(2nd & 6 at MTSU 39) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 21 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 1.65 | 82.0% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 3.22 = 1.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.0% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:17 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 18) Bryant Koback run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 22 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.31 | 81.9% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 22 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.88 = -1.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.88) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 82.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:47 | |
(2nd & 14 at MTSU 22) Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 18 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.14 | 80.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.58 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.1% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:16 | |
(3rd & 10 at MTSU 18) Dequan Finn run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.89 | 79.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 3.44 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:50 | |
(4th & 9 at MTSU 17) Thomas Cluckey 35 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -3.35 | 78.5% | -10.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:38 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 20) Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 1.02 | 32.0% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.78 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.0% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:20 | |
(2nd & 1 at MTSU 29) Nick Vattiato pass complete to CJ Windham for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.03 | 35.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 67 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.82 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.5% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:02 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 33) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to CJ Windham - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.77 | 36.0% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.79 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.79) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.0% Win Probability (After): 33.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 33) Mike DiLiello pass incomplete - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.95 | 33.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 1.02 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.2% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:54 | |
(3rd & 10 at MTSU 33) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Martell Pettaway) to the MTnSt 28 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -1.03 | 30.6% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 72 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - 0.07 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 28.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:49 | |
(3rd & 15 at MTSU 28) Vattiato, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (Hines, Jamal) 15 yards to the MIDDLETENN43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIDDLETENN. - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 3.31 | 28.6% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.96 = 3.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 36.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:43 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 43) Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.63 | 35.1% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.35 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.1% Win Probability (After): 35.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:34 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 43) Nick Vattiato run for 10 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 1.39 | 31.4% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 47 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 1.72 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:20 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 47) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Izaiah Gathings - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.69 | 31.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 3.11 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 47) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 23 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 1.97 | 30.6% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 24 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 2.43 = 1.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:54 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 24) Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the Toled 21 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.10 | 33.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.39 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.39) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at TOL 21) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.80 | 35.0% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 4.28 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.0% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:16 | |
(3rd & 7 at TOL 21) Mike DiLiello run for 14 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST down - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | 2.14 | 32.9% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 7 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.63 - 3.49 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 36.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:50 | |
(1st & Goal at TOL 7) Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the Toled 7 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.64 | 40.4% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 5.64 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.4% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:05 | |
(2nd & Goal at TOL 7) Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the Toled 6 - MTSU 0, TOL 0 | -0.81 | 40.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 5.00 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 0, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.4% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:30 | |
(3rd & Goal at TOL 6) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 2.82 | 38.1% | 7.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.18 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 45.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:30 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.0% Win Probability (After): 52.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:22 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 25) DeMeer Blankumsee run for 15 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 1.25 | 52.0% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 0.14 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.86) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.0% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 40) Micah Kelly run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 0.85 | 51.2% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 1.40 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.2% Win Probability (After): 55.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:34 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 49) TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Bryce Harris) to the Toled 46 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | -0.96 | 52.6% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.28 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.72) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.6% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:05 | |
(1st & 15 at TOL 46) Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 6 yds to the MTnSt 48 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 0.35 | 49.0% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.31 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.0% Win Probability (After): 51.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:51 | |
(2nd & 9 at MTSU 48) Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | -0.83 | 56.1% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.69 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.31) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 53.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:03 | |
(3rd & 7 at MTSU 46) Dequan Finn pass complete to DeMeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the MTnSt 40 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | 0.41 | 57.7% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 40 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 0.90 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.7% Win Probability (After): 54.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at MTSU 40) Dequan Finn run for 40 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 5.72 | 58.1% | 12.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.28 = 5.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:52 | |
(4th & 1 at TOL 35) TOLEDO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dequan Finn) to the Toled 20 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | -2.38 | 70.3% | -17.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -0.25 = -2.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.25) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 52.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:44 | |
(Kickoff at MTSU 20) Thomas Cluckey kickoff for 70 yds , Jaylin Lane return for 22 yds to the MTnSt 32 - MTSU 7, TOL 0 | -0.58 | 45.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 68 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 2.14 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:25 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 32) Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 28 Martell Pettaway fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Martell Pettaway - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -2.38 | 51.5% | -24.0% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 72 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 2.57 = -2.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 27.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:59 | |
(2nd & 14 at MTSU 28) Mike DiLiello pass complete to Amir Rasul for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34 - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 0.13 | 32.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.28 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.8% Win Probability (After): 33.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:27 | |
(3rd & 8 at MTSU 34) DiLiello, Mike pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO offside (Givhan, Nate) 5 yards to the MIDDLETENN39, NO PLAY. - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 0.70 | 30.5% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 0.55 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.5% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:55 | |
(3rd & 3 at MTSU 39) Nick Vattiato sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 28 - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -3.18 | 33.5% | -8.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 72 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 1.37 = -3.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:36 | |
(4th & 14 at MTSU 28) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 23 - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -0.20 | 24.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 77 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.01 - -1.82 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:24 | |
(4th & 19 at MTSU 23) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 38 yds for a 1ST down , Devin Maddox returns for no gain to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalynn Williams) to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | 1.07 | 24.3% | 7.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 79 Started Drive at: MTSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -2.01 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.01) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 31.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:24 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 21) TOLEDO Penalty, Personal Foul (-11 Yards) to the Toled 10 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 7 | -0.78 | 68.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 90 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 1.01 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 10) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 90 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 6.78 | 67.3% | 16.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.22 = 6.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:11 | |
(Kickoff at MTSU 35) Thomas Cluckey kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 0.00 | 16.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.42 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 1.91 | 16.9% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 51 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.38 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.62) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:31 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 49) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 17 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 0.99 | 18.7% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 34 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 2.41 = 0.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:21 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 34) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Jaylin Lane - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | -0.56 | 21.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 3.43 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.57) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 20.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 34) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Marcus Greer) to the Toled 39 - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | -0.89 | 20.4% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.88 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.12) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.4% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:04 | |
(2nd & 15 at TOL 39) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 23 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 2.79 | 17.2% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 16 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 2.01 = 2.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.99) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:45 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 16) Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the Toled 13 - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | -0.37 | 25.2% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.78 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.22) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.2% Win Probability (After): 22.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:27 | |
(2nd & 7 at TOL 13) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Marcus Greer) to the Toled 18 - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | -0.94 | 22.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 18 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 4.39 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.3% Win Probability (After): 22.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:18 | |
(2nd & 12 at TOL 18) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 17 yds to the Toled 1 for a 1ST down - MTSU 7, TOL 14 | 2.89 | 18.0% | 6.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 1 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.36 - 3.47 = 2.89 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.53) Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 7, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:58 | |
(1st & Goal at TOL 1) Frank Peasant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 0.63 | 24.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.37 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 24.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:50 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 63 yds , Jacquez Stuart return for 28 yds to the Toled 30 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.66 | 69.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.14 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 69.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 30) TOLEDO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Toled 25 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.86 | 70.7% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.60 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:39 | |
(1st & 15 at TOL 25) Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 29 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.34 | 68.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.76 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:24 | |
(2nd & 11 at TOL 29) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.90 | 67.2% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.34 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:18 | |
(3rd & 11 at TOL 29) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to DeMeer Blankumsee - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -1.13 | 64.5% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - -0.51 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 61.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:07 | |
(4th & 11 at TOL 29) Bailey Flint punt for 54 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 0.63 | 61.6% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -1.52 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.6% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 20) Nick Vattiato pass complete to CJ Windham for 11 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 0.79 | 31.2% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.94 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:21 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 31) Brad Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.24 | 34.7% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 1.80 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.7% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:53 | |
(2nd & 6 at MTSU 35) Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.59 | 33.4% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.70 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:21 | |
(3rd & 4 at MTSU 37) Nick Vattiato sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 29 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -2.59 | 33.6% | -8.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 71 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - 1.08 = -2.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:52 | |
(4th & 12 at MTSU 29) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 46 yds , Devin Maddox returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 21 Devin Maddox fumbled, recovered by Toled Devin Maddox - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 0.46 | 25.6% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 79 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -1.54 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.08) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:40 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 21) Bryant Koback run for 17 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 1.25 | 69.0% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 62 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 0.85 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.85) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 72.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:26 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 38) TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Vinny Sciury) to the Toled 33 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -1.08 | 74.5% | -5.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 67 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.16 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 69.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:56 | |
(1st & 15 at TOL 33) Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the Toled 37 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.09 | 72.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.35 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.9% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:31 | |
(2nd & 11 at TOL 37) Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 42 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.09 | 71.5% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.30 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.30) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.5% Win Probability (After): 72.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:57 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 42) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Matt Landers - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -1.71 | 69.4% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 1.22 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 66.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:50 | |
(4th & 6 at TOL 42) Bailey Flint punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 13 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.06 | 63.4% | 5.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 87 Started Drive at: TOL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.34 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.40) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:37 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 13) Frank Peasant run for no gain to the MTnSt 13 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.49 | 32.5% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.38 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.38) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 29.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 13) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Steven Losoya III) to the MTnSt 8 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.84 | 31.7% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 92 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.04 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 28.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:50 | |
(2nd & 15 at MTSU 8) Frank Peasant run for 25 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | 2.15 | 31.6% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 67 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - -0.50 = 2.15 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.50) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.6% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:29 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 33) Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Samuel Womack return for 49 yds to the MTnSt 16 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -6.52 | 38.1% | -13.4% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 16 Started Drive at: MTSU 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.68 - 1.84 = -6.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:00 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 16) Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 17 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.83 | 75.5% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17 Started Drive at: MTSU 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 4.62 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.5% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(2nd & 11 at MTSU 17) Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 14 - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.13 | 73.9% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14 Started Drive at: MTSU 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.66 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.9% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:08 | |
(3rd & 8 at MTSU 14) Dequan Finn pass incomplete - MTSU 14, TOL 14 | -0.81 | 74.0% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: MTSU 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.49 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.0% Win Probability (After): 70.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:05 | |
(4th & 8 at MTSU 14) Thomas Cluckey 32 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.31 | 70.9% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: MTSU 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.69 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:05 | |
(Kickoff at MTSU 35) Thomas Cluckey kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.62 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.38) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.2% Win Probability (After): 28.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:50 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 28.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.45 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 27.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:30 | |
(2nd & 9 at MTSU 26) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 14 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.71 | 28.8% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 60 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 0.33 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.8% Win Probability (After): 30.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 40) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.29 | 30.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.51 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.49) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 30.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:22 | |
(2nd & 7 at MTSU 43) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 00:22 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.80 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.20) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 30.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(2nd & 7 at MTSU 43) Nick Vattiato pass complete to JaMichael Thompson for 18 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.16 | 29.4% | 5.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 39 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 0.49 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.51) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 39) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 00:16 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.65 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.7% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 39) Vattiato, Nick pass incomplete to Pierce, Jarrin, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (McDonald, Chris) 15 yards to the TOLEDO24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIDDLETENN. - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.89 | 33.5% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 24 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 1.10 = 1.89 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.90) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 37.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:08 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 24) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 4 yds to the Toled 20 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.69 | 36.4% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.27 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.73) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.4% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:04 | |
(2nd & 6 at TOL 20) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.17 | 38.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.46 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.54) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 37.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:04 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 20) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 00:04 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.63 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.37) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:04 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 20) Zeke Rankin 37 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -2.44 | 37.0% | -11.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 2.44 = -2.44 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.05) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at MTSU 35) Thomas Cluckey kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.44 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.56) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:44 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Jaylin Lane run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.84 | 27.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 0.63 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.37) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:10 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 35) Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 34 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.06 | 29.2% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.62 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.38) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.2% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:04 | |
(2nd & 11 at MTSU 34) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 19 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 2.25 | 25.8% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 47 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 0.58 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.42) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 32.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:33 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 47) Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the Toled 46 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.53 | 32.7% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 46 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.83 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.17) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 30.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:15 | |
(2nd & 9 at TOL 46) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to JaMichael Thompson - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.98 | 31.1% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 2.24 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.1% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:07 | |
(3rd & 9 at TOL 46) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Izaiah Gathings - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.88 | 28.8% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 1.25 = -1.88 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.75) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.8% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:59 | |
(4th & 9 at TOL 46) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 2 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.07 | 24.1% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 98 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - -0.63 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.63) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 26.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:52 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 2) Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 4 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.53 | 74.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 96 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - -0.13 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.87) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:28 | |
(2nd & 8 at TOL 4) Finn, Dequan pass incomplete, PENALTY MIDDLETENN holding 10 yards to the TOLEDO14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO. - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.59 | 73.2% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 86 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - -0.65 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 75.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 14) TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Tyler Long) to the Toled 9 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.88 | 75.2% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 91 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.97 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.97) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.2% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:50 | |
(1st & 15 at TOL 9) Dequan Finn run for no gain to the Toled 9 Dequan Finn fumbled, recovered by Toled Dequan Finn - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.63 | 74.2% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -0.02 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.2% Win Probability (After): 73.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:41 | |
(2nd & 15 at TOL 9) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Bryant Koback - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.90 | 73.0% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.71 - -0.81 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.19) Score Difference (End): 3 (1.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.0% Win Probability (After): 71.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:39 | |
(3rd & 15 at TOL 9) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Bryant Koback - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.92 | 71.2% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.63 - -1.71 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 3 (1.29) Score Difference (End): 3 (0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 68.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:24 | |
(4th & 15 at TOL 9) Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 14 yds to the Toled 38 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.81 | 68.2% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 38 Started Drive at: TOL 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.39 - -2.58 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 3 (0.42) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 38) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds to the Toled 32 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.47 | 36.9% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 32 Started Drive at: TOL 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.33 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.33) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.9% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:54 | |
(2nd & 4 at TOL 32) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Yusuf Ali - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.85 | 38.0% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: TOL 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.78 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.0% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:51 | |
(3rd & 4 at TOL 32) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Yusuf Ali - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.58 | 33.9% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: TOL 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 2.97 = -1.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.03) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.9% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:45 | |
(4th & 4 at TOL 32) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to CJ Windham - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -3.51 | 30.3% | -8.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68 Started Drive at: TOL 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - 1.41 = -3.51 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.59) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:23 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 32) Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the Toled 41 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.76 | 78.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.14 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.14) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 79.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:13 | |
(2nd & 1 at TOL 41) Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.02 | 79.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.92 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.92) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:51 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 46) Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 45 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.01 | 80.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.91 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.91) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.1% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:20 | |
(2nd & 11 at TOL 45) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 10 yds to the MTnSt 45 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.09 | 79.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.84 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.84) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.7% Win Probability (After): 80.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:47 | |
(3rd & 1 at MTSU 45) Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.65 | 81.2% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.81 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.81) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:11 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 43) Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 35 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.62 | 80.8% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 35 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 3.43 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.43) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 82.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:52 | |
(2nd & 2 at MTSU 35) Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.07 | 81.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 32 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.03 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.6% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:17 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 32) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.60 | 82.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 4.11 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.11) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.2% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 32) Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.68 | 78.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.56 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.2% Win Probability (After): 78.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:32 | |
(3rd & 7 at MTSU 29) Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 4 yds to the MTnSt 25 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.79 | 75.1% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.85 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.85) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 76.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:54 | |
(4th & 3 at MTSU 25) Thomas Cluckey 43 yd FG MISSED - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -2.78 | 77.5% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75 Started Drive at: TOL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 2.03 = -2.78 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.03) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.5% Win Probability (After): 74.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Amir Rasul run for no gain to the MTnSt 25 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.58 | 24.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.72 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:19 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 25) Nick Vattiato pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.96 | 24.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.14 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 22.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:09 | |
(3rd & 10 at MTSU 25) Nick Vattiato run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 2.53 | 22.7% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - -0.82 = 2.53 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.82) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 37) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Lance Robinson) to the MTnSt 32 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.72 | 28.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.71 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 25.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:27 | |
(1st & 15 at MTSU 32) Mike DiLiello run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 38 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.20 | 25.3% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.98 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.02) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.3% Win Probability (After): 27.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:52 | |
(2nd & 9 at MTSU 38) Vattiato, Nick pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MIDDLETENN29 (Hines, Jamal), fumble by Vattiato, Nick recovered by MIDDLETENN at MIDDLETENN29, PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul (Hines, Jamal) 15 yards to the TOLEDO47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIDDLETENN. - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.70 | 29.3% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 47 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.17 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.83) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:33 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 47) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.38 | 36.1% | -6.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 50 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.85 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.15) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.1% Win Probability (After): 29.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:48 | |
(2nd & 13 at 50) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Yusuf Ali for no gain to the 50 yard line - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -1.01 | 29.3% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.47 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.53) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:17 | |
(3rd & 13 at 50) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the Toled 40 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.08 | 26.1% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 40 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.46 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.54) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(4th & 3 at TOL 40) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 3.14 | 27.4% | 11.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.38 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.62) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.4% Win Probability (After): 38.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 36) Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the Toled 33 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.12 | 39.8% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 3.54 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.54) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.8% Win Probability (After): 38.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:15 | |
(2nd & 7 at TOL 33) Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the Toled 29 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.18 | 38.1% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 29 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.44 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.44) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:08 | |
(3rd & 3 at TOL 29) Frank Peasant run for 7 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST down - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 1.23 | 37.9% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 3.27 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.27) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.9% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:24 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 22) Brad Anderson run for 4 yds to the Toled 18 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.14 | 43.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 18 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 4.50 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.50) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.0% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:04 | |
(2nd & 6 at TOL 18) Timeout TOLEDO, clock 00:04 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 4.35 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.2% Win Probability (After): 43.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:01 | |
(2nd & 6 at TOL 18) Jaylin Lane run for 1 yd to the Toled 17 - MTSU 14, TOL 17 | -0.41 | 43.1% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.32 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.32) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 14, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.1% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:54 | |
(3rd & 5 at TOL 17) Mike DiLiello run for 17 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 3.12 | 38.8% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.88 = 3.12 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:54 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.8% Win Probability (After): 48.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 25) Bryant Koback run for 23 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 1.69 | 48.9% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 0.79 = 1.69 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 52.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:12 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.52 | 51.9% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 2.41 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.59) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.9% Win Probability (After): 50.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:07 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Matt Landers - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.85 | 50.2% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 1.84 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.2% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:02 | |
(3rd & 10 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Jamal Turner - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -1.73 | 48.5% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.97 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.03) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 43.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:56 | |
(4th & 10 at TOL 48) Bailey Flint punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 20 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.55 | 43.8% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.77 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.32) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.8% Win Probability (After): 40.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 20) Nick Vattiato run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.01 | 58.9% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.32 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.32) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.9% Win Probability (After): 59.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:16 | |
(2nd & 5 at MTSU 25) Nick Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.81 | 60.2% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.37 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.37) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:30 | |
(3rd & 4 at MTSU 26) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 8 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST down - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 1.70 | 58.7% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 66 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.59 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.59) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 60.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:10 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 34) Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 43 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.66 | 63.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 2.28 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.28) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.5% Win Probability (After): 64.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:52 | |
(2nd & 1 at MTSU 43) Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the MTnSt 43 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.92 | 68.2% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.09 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.09) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:27 | |
(3rd & 1 at MTSU 43) Frank Peasant run for 8 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 1.09 | 66.6% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 49 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 2.22 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.22) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 49) Frank Peasant run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 49 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -1.09 | 69.5% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 51 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 3.16 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.16) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 66.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:32 | |
(2nd & 12 at MTSU 49) Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the Toled 48 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.32 | 67.5% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.04 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.04) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 65.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:00 | |
(3rd & 9 at TOL 48) Jaylin Lane run for no gain to the Toled 48 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -1.63 | 67.2% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 1.76 = -1.63 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.76) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 62.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:15 | |
(4th & 9 at TOL 48) Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 5 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.44 | 62.1% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 95 Started Drive at: MTSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - -0.18 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.82) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:04 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 5) Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the Toled 12 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.25 | 40.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 88 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.30 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.30) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.4% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:40 | |
(2nd & 3 at TOL 12) Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the Toled 19 for a 1ST down - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | 0.66 | 40.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 81 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - -0.08 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.08) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.5% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:04 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 19) Dequan Finn pass incomplete - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.67 | 44.0% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.57 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.43) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 40.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:59 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 19) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.87 | 42.1% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.91 - -0.05 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.05) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 35.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:45 | |
(3rd & 10 at TOL 19) Dequan Finn run for 8 yds to the Toled 27 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.62 | 31.4% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 73 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.92 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.92) Score Difference (End): -4 (-5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:09 | |
(4th & 2 at TOL 27) Bailey Flint punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 41 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.66 | 25.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 59 Started Drive at: TOL 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - -1.61 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.61) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.27) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 25.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:55 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 41) Frank Peasant run for no gain to the MTnSt 41 - MTSU 21, TOL 17 | -0.51 | 76.5% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: MTSU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.34 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 21, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 73.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 41) Nick Vattiato pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 59 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 5.25 | 75.9% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 99 Started Drive at: MTSU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.75 = 5.25 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.9% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:16 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 62 yds , Jacquez Stuart return for 21 yds to the Toled 24 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -1.00 | 9.3% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: TOL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - 0.45 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 8.0% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:08 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 24) Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryant Koback for 1 yd to the Toled 25 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -0.37 | 8.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 75 Started Drive at: TOL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.31 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.69) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:38 | |
(2nd & 9 at TOL 25) Dequan Finn pass intercepted Zaylin Wood return for no gain to the Toled 23 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -4.39 | 7.2% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 23 Started Drive at: TOL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.49 - -0.10 = -4.39 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.10) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.49) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:28 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 23) Amir Rasul run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 25 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -1.05 | 98.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 25 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 4.38 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.38) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.3% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:46 | |
(2nd & 12 at TOL 25) Mike DiLiello run for 7 yds to the Toled 18 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 0.53 | 98.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 3.22 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.22) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.3% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:43 | |
(3rd & 5 at TOL 18) Timeout TOLEDO, clock 04:43 - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 98.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 3.75 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:37 | |
(3rd & 5 at TOL 18) Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce - MTSU 28, TOL 17 | -1.55 | 98.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.69 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.69) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 28, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:34 | |
(4th & 5 at TOL 18) Zeke Rankin 35 yd FG GOOD - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.79 | 97.9% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: TOL 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.21 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.21) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.9% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:27 | |
(Kickoff at TOL 35) Scott Payne kickoff for 64 yds , Jacquez Stuart return for 16 yds to the Toled 17 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -1.02 | 3.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.29 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.71) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 17) Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the Toled 20 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.33 | 3.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.04 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.3% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:39 | |
(2nd & 7 at TOL 20) Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 3 yds to the Toled 23 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.42 | 2.3% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.18 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.18) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:21 | |
(3rd & 4 at TOL 23) Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 4 yds to the Toled 27 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 1.08 | 2.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 73 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - -0.40 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.40) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:14 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 27) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.85 | 2.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.86 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.14) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 27) TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Berg) to the Toled 22 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.36 | 2.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 78 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.25 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.5% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:05 | |
(2nd & 15 at TOL 22) Dequan Finn pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 9 yds to the Toled 31 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.18 | 2.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - -0.14 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.14) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.0% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:40 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 31) Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 1.24 | 1.8% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 0.08 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.92) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:30 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 37) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Devin Maddox - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.56 | 2.0% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.45 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.55) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.0% Win Probability (After): 2.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at TOL 37) Dequan Finn pass complete to DeMeer Blankumsee for 4 yds to the Toled 41 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.23 | 1.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.05 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.95) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.5% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(3rd & 6 at TOL 41) Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 11 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 1.16 | 1.1% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 48 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 0.92 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 1.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:52 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 48) Dequan Finn sacked by Jordan Ferguson for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 48 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.76 | 1.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.84 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 1.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:49 | |
(2nd & 14 at TOL 48) Timeout TOLEDO, clock 01:49 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 1.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.08 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.92) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 1.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:43 | |
(2nd & 14 at TOL 48) Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 16 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 1.66 | 1.0% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 36 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 0.94 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.06) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:33 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 36) Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 11 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.89 | 1.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 25 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.56 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.44) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 2.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:22 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 25) Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | -0.35 | 1.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.42 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.9% Win Probability (After): 1.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at MTSU 25) Dequan Finn run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST down - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 1.16 | 1.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 13 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 3.10 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.90) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.9% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:08 | |
(1st & 10 at MTSU 13) Dequan Finn pass complete to DeMeer Blankumsee for 13 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) - MTSU 31, TOL 24 | 2.73 | 2.4% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.73) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 24 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 88 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 8.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:08 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 35) Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 01:08 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.00 | 10.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: TOL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 7.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 88 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 24 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:03 | |
(Kickoff at MTSU 35) Thomas Cluckey on-side kick recovered by MIDDLE TENN at the Toled 49 - MTSU 31, TOL 17 | 0.92 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 49 Started Drive at: TOL 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 0.84 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.84) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TOL 49) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 47 - MTSU 31, TOL 24 | -0.69 | 99.4% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 53 Started Drive at: TOL 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.54 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.54) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:24 | |
(2nd & 14 at MTSU 47) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 43 - MTSU 31, TOL 24 | 0.01 | 96.9% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 57 Started Drive at: TOL 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.53 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MTSU 31, TOL 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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