UTEP 24 @ Fresno State 31

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.62 | Odds: FRES -13, O/U 54.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Total Plays 6790
Total EPA 0.237.21
  Offensive EPA 5.3115.06
  Special Teams EPA -6.041.24
  Penalty EPA -1.27-9.09
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 2.230.00
Production ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Scrimmage Plays 5576
  Yards 408467
  Yards/Play 7.426.14
  EPA 5.3115.06
  EPA/Play 0.100.20
Passes 29 (53%)42 (55%)
  Yards 302286
  Yards/Play 10.416.81
  EPA 9.247.93
  EPA/Play 0.320.19
Rushes 26 (47%)34 (45%)
  Yards 114182
  Yards/Play 4.385.35
  EPA -3.937.13
  EPA/Play -0.150.21
Rushing ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Scrimmage Plays 5576
Rushes 26 (47%)34 (45%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (4%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 2 (8%)5 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 9 (35%)13 (38%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (54%)17 (50%)
OL Line Yards 58.571.9
  Per Carry 2.252.11
Highlight Yards 1757
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.213.35
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Total Plays 6790
Scrimmage Plays 5576
Explosive Plays 5 (9%)4 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (14%)3 (7%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (4%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -13.283.14
  EPA/Play -0.270.04
  When Passing -6.89-0.90
    EPA/Play -0.24-0.02
  When Rushing -6.394.04
    EPA/Play -0.260.12
Situational ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 24 (44%)37 (49%)
  When Passing 12 (41%)20 (48%)
  When Rushing 12 (46%)17 (50%)
  On Standard Downs 18 (46%)26 (49%)
  On Passing Downs 6 (38%)11 (48%)
  On Early Downs 20 (48%)32 (50%)
  On Late Downs 4 (31%)5 (42%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (40%)8 (73%)
Early Downs 4264
  First Downs Created 11 (26%)19 (30%)
  EPA 0.5011.33
  EPA/Play 0.010.18
  Passes 19 (45%)32 (50%)
  Rushes 23 (55%)32 (50%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 9 (47%)16 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 11 (48%)16 (50%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1011
  EPA -0.707.27
  EPA/play -0.070.66
  Passes 5 (50%)7 (64%)
  Rushes 5 (50%)4 (36%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)5 (71%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)3 (75%)
Drives ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Total 1112
Avg Starting Field Position Own 26Own 26
Plays/Drive 6.138.22
Yards/Drive 45.2450.29
Available Yards % 61%68%
Defensive ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Scrimmage Plays 7655
Stop Rate 16%27%
Havoc Plays Created 5 (7%)4 (7%)
  Passing 3 (7%)2 (7%)
  Rushing 2 (6%)2 (8%)
TFLs Generated 53
  Passing 31
  Rushing 22
Sacks Generated 1 (2%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Turnovers 30
  Fumbles 20
  Fumbles Lost 20
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -33
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -13.913.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2638 ESPN team id 278
Total Plays 12 14
Total EPA -6.04 1.24
  Field Goal EPA -1.82 0.35
  Punting EPA -0.35 2.27
  Kickoff Return EPA -3.87 -1.37
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Calvin Brownholtz 1/1, 51 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 84.9 xQBR 51.00 5.27 5.27 100% 15.0%
Gavin Hardison 11/24, 251 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 39.8 xQBR 9.65 0.09 2.33 38% 19.0%
G. Hardison 1/1, 0 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 76.2 xQBR 0.00 2.16 2.16 100% 6.0%
Reynaldo Flores 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 20.5 xQBR 0.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% -2.0%
Rush attempts
Deion Hankins 6 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.17 1.01 83% 4.0%
Justin Garrett 1 carry, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.94 0.94 100% 1.0%
Ronald Awatt 14 carries, 40 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.86 -0.05 -0.75 36% -1.0%
Calvin Brownholtz 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.48 -0.97 0% -3.0%
Gavin Hardison 3 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 9.00 -1.39 -4.16 33% -13.0%
Pass targets
Tyrin Smith 3 catches (4 targets), 61 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.33 1.34 5.35 75% 6.0%
Trent Thompson 1 catch (1 target), 51 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 51.00 5.27 5.27 100% 15.0%
Reynaldo Flores 1 catch (1 target), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 53.00 4.68 4.68 100% 3.0%
Ronald Awatt 3 catches (3 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.33 1.02 3.07 100% -4.0%
James Tupou 1 catch (1 target), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 41.00 2.56 2.56 100% 5.0%
Justin Garrett 1 catch (1 target), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 26.00 2.16 2.16 100% 4.0%
T. Thompson 1 catch (1 target), 0 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 2.16 2.16 100% 6.0%
Jacob Cowing 2 catches (5 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 -0.36 -1.80 20% -7.0%

Fresno State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jake Haener 26/41, 286 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 66.6 xQBR 6.81 0.19 7.93 48% 28.0%
Rush attempts
Jordan Mims 29 carries, 165 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.69 0.25 7.18 52% 14.0%
Jalen Cropper 1 carry, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.79 1.79 100% 7.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 0.84 0.84 100% 2.0%
Josh Kelly 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.82 -0.82 0% -6.0%
Jake Haener 2 carries, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.50 -0.93 -1.86 0% -5.0%
Pass targets
Jordan Mims 5 catches (5 targets), 71 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.20 1.14 5.68 100% 16.0%
Zane Pope 1 catch (1 target), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 37.00 3.88 3.88 100% 10.0%
Tre Watson 2 catches (2 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.50 1.84 3.69 100% 14.0%
Keric Wheatfall 2 catches (3 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.17 3.50 67% 11.0%
Jalen Cropper 9 catches (10 targets), 72 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.22 2.23 50% 7.0%
Raymond Pauwels Jr. 4 catches (4 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.25 0.08 0.32 75% 0.0%
Josh Kelly 2 catches (4 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.08 0.31 25% -1.0%
Malik Sherrod 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.96 -0.96 0% -2.0%
Jake Haener 1 catch (1 target), -8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -8.00 -1.88 -1.88 0% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 3) FRESNO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 - UTEP 0, FRES -2 -8.73 94.3% -22.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - 6.21 = -8.73

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.21)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES -2

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (-2)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 1 at UTEP 49) Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 24, FRES 26 5.27 11.3% 15.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.73 = 5.27

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.27)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:00 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 14 at UTEP 38) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 53 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 4 4.68 13.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 9

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 0.52 = 4.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.48)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 48) Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 42 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Levelle Bailey - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -4.19 9.3% -5.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.05 - 2.14 = -4.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 2:40 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 8 at FRES 30) Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 37 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 3.88 70.7% 10.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 33

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 0.06 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:08 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 5 at UTEP 21) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 27 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 31 3.62 4.5% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 52

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - -1.44 = 3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:11 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 35) Gavin Hardison pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for no gain to the FrsSt 3 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -3.25 32.7% -3.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 97

Started Drive at: UTEP 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 3.63 = -3.25

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.63)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 22 at FRES 13) Jordan Mims run for 38 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 0 3.09 82.6% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 49

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - -0.19 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:28 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 7 at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle 52 yd FG MISSED - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -2.57 29.5% -5.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 0.46 = -2.57

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.54)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:27 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 37) Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 41 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 9 2.56 24.5% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 2.05 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.05)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 7:05 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 6 at UTEP 10) Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.85 12.1% 43.1%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.15 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 3) FRESNO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 - UTEP 0, FRES -2 -8.73 94.3% -22.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - 6.21 = -8.73

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.21)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES -2

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (-2)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 1 at UTEP 49) Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 24, FRES 26 5.27 11.3% 15.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.73 = 5.27

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.27)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 11 at UTEP 28) Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 17, FRES 19 1.15 64.8% 12.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.85)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q1 12:18 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 20) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 22 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 4 1.05 27.7% -11.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 0.89 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: -2 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:40 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 8 at FRES 30) Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 37 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 3.88 70.7% 10.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 33

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 0.06 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at 50) Gavin Hardison sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 41 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.72 37.2% -9.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 59

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.72 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:54 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 23) Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 21 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 9 2.34 59.7% 9.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 2

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.23 - 3.89 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.11)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:17 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 22) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 26 2.42 81.9% 8.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.58 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:54 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 9 2.46 37.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.54 = 2.46

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 2) Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED) - UTEP 0, FRES 6 -0.31 88.2% 2.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.31 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:03 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) G. Hardison pass,to T. Thompson for 1 yd for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK) - UTEP 7, FRES 6 2.16 17.7% 6.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 4 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 7 at UTEP 25) Cesar Silva 42 Yd Field Goal - UTEP 7, FRES 9 1.19 75.6% 6.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.81 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.81)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:49 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 9 at FRES 21) Gavin Baechle 38 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.75 20.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.25)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:54 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 9 2.46 37.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.54 = 2.46

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:52 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & Goal at UTEP 1) Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 16 1.06 65.4% 2.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 11 at UTEP 28) Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 17, FRES 19 1.15 64.8% 12.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.85)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 1:17 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 22) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 26 2.42 81.9% 8.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.58 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 1 at UTEP 49) Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 24, FRES 26 5.27 11.3% 15.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.73 = 5.27

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.27)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:04 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 3 at UTEP 4) Cesar Silva 21 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 24, FRES 29 0.16 81.4% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.84)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:05 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 6 at UTEP 10) Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.85 12.1% 43.1%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.15 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 0, FRES 0 0.00 83.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 25) FRESNO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the FrsSt 13 - UTEP 0, FRES 0 -1.26 83.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 87

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.86 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 22 at FRES 13) Jordan Mims run for 38 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 0 3.09 82.6% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 49

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - -0.19 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:16 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 49) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 17 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 0 0.91 86.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 32

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 3.01 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 32) Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28 - UTEP 0, FRES 0 -0.09 87.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 4.09 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:48 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 6 at UTEP 28) Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 20 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 0 1.35 84.5% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 8

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 4.01 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:48 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 8) UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 0 0.90 87.6% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.28 - 5.38 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 2) Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED) - UTEP 0, FRES 6 -0.31 88.2% 2.6%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 6.31 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.31)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 3) FRESNO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 - UTEP 0, FRES -2 -8.73 94.3% -22.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - 6.21 = -8.73

Score Difference (Before): 6 (12.21)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES -2

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (-2)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 63 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 18 yds to the UTEP 20 - UTEP 0, FRES -2 -1.39 27.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 1.20 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 2 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES -2

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: -2 (-2)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:18 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 20) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 22 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 4 1.05 27.7% -11.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 0.89 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: -2 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 42) Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 38 - UTEP 0, FRES 4 -1.27 13.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 62

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.89 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.11)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:00 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 14 at UTEP 38) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 53 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down - UTEP 0, FRES 4 4.68 13.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 9

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 0.52 = 4.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.48)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:40 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & Goal at FRES 9) Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6 - UTEP 0, FRES 4 -0.25 20.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 5.21 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & Goal at FRES 6) Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 2 - UTEP 0, FRES 4 0.29 19.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 4.95 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:10 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & Goal at FRES 2) Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1 - UTEP 0, FRES 4 -0.47 19.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.82 - 5.29 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.29)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 0, FRES 4

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 18.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 4 (4)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:03 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) G. Hardison pass,to T. Thompson for 1 yd for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK) - UTEP 7, FRES 6 2.16 17.7% 6.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 4 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:03 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.00 77.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.95 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.05)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:37 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 25) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.46 76.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.92 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:03 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 8 at FRES 27) Jake Haener pass complete to Jake Haener for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 19 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -1.88 75.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.46 - 0.42 = -1.88

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.58)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:36 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 16 at FRES 19) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.88 74.1% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - -1.51 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-3.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.1%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 16 at FRES 19) Carson King punt for 54 yds, downed at the UTEP 27 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 1.04 71.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 73

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.42 - -2.46 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-3.46)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:09 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 27) Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.04 30.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: UTEP 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.47 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:47 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 4 at UTEP 33) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.88 30.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: UTEP 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.60 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:43 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 4 at UTEP 33) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -1.68 28.8% -4.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: UTEP 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 0.70 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.70)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:37 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 4 at UTEP 33) Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 23 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.14 24.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 77

Started Drive at: UTEP 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - -0.98 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.02)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:23 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 23) Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.17 77.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.84 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.16)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:02 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 6 at FRES 26) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.99 77.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.32 - 0.67 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.33)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:56 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 6 at FRES 26) Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 6 2.16 75.6% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 66

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - -0.32 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.32)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:03 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 34) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.55 77.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 1.82 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.82)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:46 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 2 at FRES 42) Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 18 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 6 1.10 78.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 40

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.36 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.36)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:02 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 40) Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.09 78.4% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.44 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.44)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:10 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 5 at UTEP 35) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 6 0.62 77.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.53 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.53)

Score Difference (End): -1 (3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:49 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 28) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.53 78.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.16 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.16)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:30 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at UTEP 28) Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -0.74 79.1% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 26

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.62 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.62)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:07 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 8 at UTEP 26) Jake Haener run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25 - UTEP 7, FRES 6 -1.11 77.9% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 2.86 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.9%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 7 at UTEP 25) Cesar Silva 42 Yd Field Goal - UTEP 7, FRES 9 1.19 75.6% 6.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.81 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.81)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:31 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 7, FRES 9 0.00 22.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 1.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.86)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:23 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 25) Justin Garrett run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 9 0.94 22.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.12 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.88)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:27 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 37) Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 41 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down - UTEP 7, FRES 9 2.56 24.5% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 2.05 = 2.56

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.05)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 22) Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 16 - UTEP 7, FRES 9 0.40 30.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 16

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 4.58 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 30.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:58 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 4 at FRES 16) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 7, FRES 9 -0.72 26.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.93 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.93)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:58 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 4 at FRES 16) UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 21 - UTEP 7, FRES 9 -0.88 25.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 4.22 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.22)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:53 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 9 at FRES 21) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing - UTEP 7, FRES 9 -1.12 23.5% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 3.36 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.36)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 7, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:49 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 9 at FRES 21) Gavin Baechle 38 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.75 20.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.25 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.25)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:49 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 23 yds to the FrsSt 23 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -1.21 74.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 1.07 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.07)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:38 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 23) Jake Haener pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.65 74.9% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.97 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.03)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:28 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at FRES 23) Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 23 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.97 72.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.32 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:49 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 10 at FRES 23) Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 13:49 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.00 71.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - -0.65 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.65)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:44 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 10 at FRES 23) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -1.25 72.1% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -0.68 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.68)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:35 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 10 at FRES 23) Carson King punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 37 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.09 69.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 63

Started Drive at: FRES 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -1.94 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.94)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:22 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 37) Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.53 33.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTEP 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 2.04 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:44 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 8 at UTEP 39) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 26 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down - UTEP 10, FRES 9 2.16 31.8% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTEP 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 1.51 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:11 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 35) Gavin Hardison pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for no gain to the FrsSt 3 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -3.25 32.7% -3.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 97

Started Drive at: UTEP 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 3.63 = -3.25

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.63)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:56 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 3) Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 3 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.72 68.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 97

Started Drive at: FRES 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - -0.34 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.34)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:46 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at FRES 3) Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.53 68.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 94

Started Drive at: FRES 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -1.04 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.04)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:07 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 7 at FRES 6) Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -1.15 68.5% -4.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 94

Started Drive at: FRES 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.68 - -1.53 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:55 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 7 at FRES 6) Carson King punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 30 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.93 65.0% 5.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 70

Started Drive at: FRES 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -2.59 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-3.59)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.65)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:49 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 30) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.66 30.4% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 1.65 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.65)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 10 at UTEP 30) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTEP 10, FRES 9 1.98 29.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.01 = 1.98

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.01)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 33.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:24 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 45) Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.56 38.4% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 3.02 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.02)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:45 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 35) Reynaldo Flores pass incomplete - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.51 40.8% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.55 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.55)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:36 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 10 at FRES 35) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 15 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down - UTEP 10, FRES 9 1.50 36.2% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 20

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 2.99 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 20) Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 13 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.44 35.9% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 13

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 4.48 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.48)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:27 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 3 at FRES 13) FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down - UTEP 10, FRES 9 1.32 39.5% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 4.85 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.85)

Score Difference (End): 1 (7.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & Goal at FRES 2) Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 3 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.55 41.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 6.10 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 1 (7.10)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:14 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & Goal at FRES 3) Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.50 42.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 5.57 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.57)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:09 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & Goal at FRES 2) Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 07:09 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.00 41.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 5.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.07)

Score Difference (End): 1 (6.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:01 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & Goal at FRES 2) Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 -0.56 41.0% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 5.11 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.11)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:55 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) Timeout UTEP, clock 06:55 - UTEP 10, FRES 9 0.00 38.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 4.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.56)

Score Difference (End): 1 (5.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 10, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:54 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & Goal at FRES 1) Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 9 2.46 37.6% 7.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.54 = 2.46

Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.5%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:54 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.00 48.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.36)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:40 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 25) Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.21 47.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.71 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.29)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 4 at FRES 31) Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.94 48.5% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 0.95 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:50 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 40) Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 48 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.88 51.9% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.64 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.36)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:20 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 2 at FRES 48) Josh Kelly run for no gain to the FrsSt 48 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 -0.82 55.5% -6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 2.34 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.66)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:27 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 2 at FRES 48) Jalen Cropper run for 16 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 9 1.79 50.6% 6.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 36

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 1.53 = 1.79

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.47)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:35 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 36) Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.44 57.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.13 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.87)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:31 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 4 at UTEP 30) Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 03:31 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.00 57.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.43)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:25 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 4 at UTEP 30) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 9 0.72 59.9% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 23

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 3.40 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.60)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:54 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 23) Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 21 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 9 2.34 59.7% 9.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 2

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.23 - 3.89 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.11)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:15 ESPN team id 278 (1st & Goal at UTEP 2) Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1 - UTEP 17, FRES 9 -0.06 66.3% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.11 - 6.16 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-1.84)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 9

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:52 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & Goal at UTEP 1) Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 16 1.06 65.4% 2.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:52 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 65 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 36 yds to the UTEP 36 - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.19 34.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.90 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.90)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 1:35 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 36) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 16 0.52 35.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.11 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.11)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 1:03 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at 50) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.09 37.1% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.34 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.34)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:57 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 10 at 50) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.26 35.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.10 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:50 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 10 at 50) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.71 35.2% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.85 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.85)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:42 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 10 at 50) Joshua Sloan punt for 21 yds, downed at the FrsSt 29 - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.97 36.4% -2.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTEP 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.19 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.19)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 29) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.11 63.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.66 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at FRES 29) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 16 0.63 62.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 0.51 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.49)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:22 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 43) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 16 0.70 63.0% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 0.73 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 46) Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 16 1.61 65.5% 5.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 27

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 1.13 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.13)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 27) Jake Haener sacked by Torey Richardson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 28 - UTEP 17, FRES 16 -0.12 69.5% -2.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.40 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.40)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 67.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 11 at UTEP 28) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 16 0.05 67.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.00 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.00)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 11 at UTEP 28) Timeout UTEP, clock 00:09 - UTEP 17, FRES 16 0.00 66.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.05 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 11 at UTEP 28) Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 17, FRES 19 1.15 64.8% 12.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: FRES 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.85)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 61 yds , Justin Garrett return for 19 yds to the UTEP 23 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.07 27.6% -3.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: UTEP 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.07 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.93)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.00 24.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.58 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.42)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 25) UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (-11 Yards) to the UTEP 14 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.11 26.2% -5.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 86

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.71 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.29)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 21 at UTEP 14) Gavin Hardison run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.53 25.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.06 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.06)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:30 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 14 at UTEP 21) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 9 yds to the UTEP 30 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.52 23.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 70

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - -0.45 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.45)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:26 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 5 at UTEP 30) FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 2.30 25.4% 5.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 0.08 = 2.30

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:50 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 45) Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 47 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.71 32.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 2.38 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.38)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:41 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 2 at FRES 47) Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.40 35.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 3.09 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:45 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at FRES 38) Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.61 38.8% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.49 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 9 at FRES 37) Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.66 37.9% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.84 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:35 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 7 at FRES 35) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.89 33.8% -5.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 2.23 = -1.89

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.23)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.8%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:28 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 7 at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle 52 yd FG MISSED - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -2.57 29.5% -5.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 0.46 = -2.57

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.54)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:00 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 35) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.26 76.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.10 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.10)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:35 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 6 at FRES 39) Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.75 77.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 1.83 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.83)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:15 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 45) Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.48 78.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.52 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.52)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 8 at FRES 47) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 15 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 1.59 77.7% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 38

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 1.92 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.92)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:06 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 38) Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.28 80.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 3.49 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 7 at UTEP 35) Jake Haener pass incomplete to Malik Sherrod - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.96 80.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 3.15 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.15)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:29 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 7 at UTEP 35) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.78 78.7% -4.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 2.13 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.13)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 74.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:23 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 7 at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva 52 yd FG MISSED - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -2.16 74.7% -3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 0.36 = -2.16

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:19 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 35) FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.80 29.3% 4.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.85 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.15)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at 50) Gavin Hardison sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 41 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.72 37.2% -9.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 59

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.72 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:28 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 19 at UTEP 41) UTEP Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 36 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.27 29.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.02 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.98)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.8%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 24 at UTEP 36) UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 26 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.65 28.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 74

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.74 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.26)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 34 at UTEP 26) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -1.05 27.5% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - 0.09 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.91)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:37 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 34 at UTEP 26) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 36 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.23 24.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.96 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.96)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:07 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 24 at UTEP 36) Joshua Sloan punt for 52 yds , Zane Pope returns for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.48 23.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTEP 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - -1.20 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:40 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 15) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.06 74.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 79

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.72 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.72)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:10 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 4 at FRES 21) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 0.64 73.0% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 72

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.78 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.78)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 76.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 28) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.73 75.3% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 1.41 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.41)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at FRES 28) Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.62 72.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.68 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.68)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:40 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 8 at FRES 30) Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 37 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 3.88 70.7% 10.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 33

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 0.06 = 3.88

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:18 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 33) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for no gain to the UTEP 33 - UTEP 17, FRES 19 -0.57 81.1% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 3.93 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.93)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:54 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at UTEP 33) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 19 1.25 78.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 22

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 3.34 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.34)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:17 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 22) Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) - UTEP 17, FRES 26 2.42 81.9% 8.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: FRES 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.58 = 2.42

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:17 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 17, FRES 26 0.00 8.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.69)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:06 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 25) Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31 - UTEP 17, FRES 26 0.39 8.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.31 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.69)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:37 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 4 at UTEP 31) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST down - UTEP 17, FRES 26 0.79 10.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 0.72 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.28)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 40) Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43 - UTEP 17, FRES 26 -0.22 11.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.51 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.49)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:46 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 7 at UTEP 43) Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49 - UTEP 17, FRES 26 0.39 10.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.31 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.69)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 17, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 1 at UTEP 49) Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) - UTEP 24, FRES 26 5.27 11.3% 15.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.73 = 5.27

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.27)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:10 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 35) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTEP 24, FRES 26 0.00 74.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.09)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:57 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 25) Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30 - UTEP 24, FRES 26 0.17 74.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.10 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.10)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:15 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 5 at FRES 30) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 27 - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -1.63 73.9% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 73

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 1.31 = -1.63

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.31)

Score Difference (End): 2 (1.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:46 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 8 at FRES 27) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 26 2.39 69.9% 6.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 61

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - -0.28 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): 2 (1.72)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:05 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 39) Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38 - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -1.04 78.6% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 62

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 2.20 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.20)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:34 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 11 at FRES 38) Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -0.81 73.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 1.21 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:20 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 11 at FRES 38) Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 15 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 26 2.53 72.2% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 47

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 0.37 = 2.53

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.37)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:16 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 47) Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 - UTEP 24, FRES 26 0.76 80.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.90 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.90)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:50 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 1 at UTEP 38) Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -0.11 82.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.62 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.62)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:31 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 35) Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 24 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 26 1.48 82.6% 4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 11

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.50 = 1.48

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.50)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:56 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 11) Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -0.56 87.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 4.96 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.96)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:49 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 10 at UTEP 11) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4 - UTEP 24, FRES 26 0.20 86.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 4

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.37 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.37)

Score Difference (End): 2 (6.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:08 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 3 at UTEP 4) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 24, FRES 26 -1.69 86.6% -6.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 4.55 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.55)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 26

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:04 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 3 at UTEP 4) Cesar Silva 21 yd FG GOOD - UTEP 24, FRES 29 0.16 81.4% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: FRES 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.84 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.84)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 26 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:04 ESPN team id 2638 (Kickoff at UTEP 35) Cesar Silva kickoff for 63 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 10 yds to the UTEP 45 UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the UTEP 6 - UTEP 24, FRES 29 -2.23 18.1% -3.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 94

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 1.06 = -2.23

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-8.84)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:30 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 6) Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9 - UTEP 24, FRES 29 -0.45 18.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 91

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.10 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.10)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:10 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 7 at UTEP 9) UTEP Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-4 Yards) to the UTEP 5 - UTEP 24, FRES 29 -0.56 18.0% -4.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 95

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - -0.50 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.50)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:46 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 11 at UTEP 5) Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 10 - UTEP 24, FRES 29 -0.19 13.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 90

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -1.00 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.00)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 29

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (29)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:05 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 6 at UTEP 10) Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.85 12.1% 43.1%

Play Type: Safety

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTEP 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.15 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 29 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 278 (Kickoff at FRES 20) Gavin Baechle kickoff for 72 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 27 yds to the FrsSt 35 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.16 92.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 65

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.62 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:39 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 35) Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.16 93.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 2.25 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:20 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 6 at FRES 39) Jake Haener pass incomplete - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.80 93.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.98 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:42 ESPN team id 278 (3rd & 6 at FRES 39) Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for no gain to the FrsSt 39 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -1.16 93.0% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 0.86 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:27 ESPN team id 278 (4th & 6 at FRES 39) Carson King punt for 45 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 16 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.38 91.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 84

Started Drive at: FRES 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - -0.34 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:12 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 16) Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.02 7.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.31 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:40 ESPN team id 2638 (2nd & 5 at UTEP 21) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.75 7.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 0.40 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:40 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 5 at UTEP 21) Timeout UTEP, clock 04:40 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.00 6.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:32 ESPN team id 2638 (3rd & 5 at UTEP 21) Gavin Hardison pass incomplete - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -1.19 5.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.36 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.36)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:32 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 5 at UTEP 21) Timeout UTEP, clock 04:32 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.00 4.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -1.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.55)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:08 ESPN team id 2638 (4th & 5 at UTEP 21) Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 27 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 31 3.62 4.5% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 52

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - -1.44 = 3.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 2638 (1st & 10 at UTEP 48) Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 42 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Levelle Bailey - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -4.19 9.3% -5.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTEP 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.05 - 2.14 = -4.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:47 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at FRES 42) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.25 96.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.02 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 3 at FRES 49) Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.86 98.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 1.88 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 44) Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.30 98.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.21 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:39 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 8 at UTEP 42) Jordan Mims run for 13 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST down - UTEP 24, FRES 31 1.54 98.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 29

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 1.64 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:45 ESPN team id 278 (1st & 10 at UTEP 29) Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 -0.30 99.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 27

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 3.02 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:01 ESPN team id 278 (2nd & 8 at UTEP 27) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29 - UTEP 24, FRES 31 0.84 98.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 29

Started Drive at: FRES 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 1.55 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTEP 24, FRES 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1