UAB 31 @ BYU 28

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 7.60 | Odds: BYU -6, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Total Plays 7465
Total EPA 12.766.95
  Offensive EPA 15.8912.44
  Special Teams EPA -3.14-4.14
  Penalty EPA 04.86
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.01-6.21
Production ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Scrimmage Plays 6658
  Yards 420411
  Yards/Play 6.367.09
  EPA 15.8912.44
  EPA/Play 0.240.21
Passes 26 (39%)24 (41%)
  Yards 189195
  Yards/Play 7.278.12
  EPA 8.579.31
  EPA/Play 0.330.39
Rushes 40 (61%)34 (59%)
  Yards 235204
  Yards/Play 5.886.00
  EPA 7.323.13
  EPA/Play 0.180.09
Rushing ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Scrimmage Plays 6658
Rushes 40 (61%)34 (59%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 5 (12%)3 (9%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 4 (80%)2 (67%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (18%)7 (21%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 15 (38%)15 (44%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 19 (48%)14 (41%)
OL Line Yards 74.425.5
  Per Carry 1.860.75
Highlight Yards 94116
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.958.29
Explosiveness ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Total Plays 7465
Scrimmage Plays 6658
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)6 (10%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (12%)4 (17%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)2 (6%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 0.14-8.41
  EPA/Play 0.00-0.16
  When Passing -2.59-2.75
    EPA/Play -0.10-0.11
  When Rushing 2.73-5.66
    EPA/Play 0.07-0.18
Situational ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 34 (52%)30 (52%)
  When Passing 13 (50%)12 (50%)
  When Rushing 21 (53%)18 (53%)
  On Standard Downs 28 (60%)22 (54%)
  On Passing Downs 6 (32%)8 (47%)
  On Early Downs 23 (46%)22 (54%)
  On Late Downs 11 (69%)8 (47%)
  During "Middle 8" 5 (71%)7 (50%)
Early Downs 5041
  First Downs Created 9 (18%)8 (20%)
  EPA 0.9610.99
  EPA/Play 0.020.27
  Passes 15 (30%)17 (41%)
  Rushes 35 (70%)24 (59%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (40%)8 (47%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 17 (49%)14 (58%)
"Middle 8" Plays 714
  EPA 5.307.16
  EPA/play 0.760.51
  Passes 2 (29%)8 (57%)
  Rushes 5 (71%)6 (43%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (100%)4 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (60%)3 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Total 109
Avg Starting Field Position Own 28Own 32
Plays/Drive 9.337.41
Yards/Drive 54.5645.52
Available Yards % 76%67%
Defensive ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Scrimmage Plays 5866
Stop Rate 59%11%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (10%)11 (17%)
  Passing 1 (4%)5 (19%)
  Rushing 5 (15%)6 (15%)
TFLs Generated 610
  Passing 14
  Rushing 56
Sacks Generated 1 (4%)3 (12%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Turnovers 12
  Fumbles 02
  Fumbles Lost 02
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 6.1-6.1
Special Teams ESPN team id 5 ESPN team id 252
Total Plays 8 7
Total EPA -3.14 -4.14
  Field Goal EPA 0.84 0
  Punting EPA -1.8 0.11
  Kickoff Return EPA -2.18 -4.25
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Dylan Hopkins 19/23, 189 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 75.9 xQBR 7.27 0.33 8.57 50% 15.0%
Rush attempts
DeWayne McBride 28 carries, 183 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.54 0.25 6.94 50% 26.0%
Dylan Hopkins 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 0.13 0.26 50% -1.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 8 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.88 0.03 0.24 62% -13.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.06 -0.11 50% 3.0%
Pass targets
Trea Shropshire 2 catches (2 targets), 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 2.87 5.74 100% 27.0%
Gerrit Prince 4 catches (4 targets), 43 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.75 1.42 5.70 100% 17.0%
Ryan Davis 3 catches (3 targets), 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.67 1.77 5.31 67% 14.0%
Tejhaun Palmer 3 catches (3 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 1.76 5.27 100% 6.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.66 1.32 100% -1.0%
TJ Jones 2 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.90 -1.81 0% -10.0%
Hayden Pittman 3 catches (3 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.76 -2.27 0% -8.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Baylor Romney 15/23, 195 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 74.3 xQBR 8.12 0.39 9.31 50% 34.0%
Rush attempts
Tyler Allgeier 27 carries, 192 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.11 0.34 9.11 56% 34.0%
Puka Nacua 1 carry, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 1.49 1.49 100% 6.0%
Samson Nacua 1 carry, 2 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 0.89 0.89 100% 1.0%
Miles Davis 1 carry, -7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -7.00 -1.09 -1.09 0% -4.0%
Baylor Romney 2 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.57 -1.14 50% 0.0%
Gunner Romney 1 carry, -7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -7.00 -1.58 -1.58 0% -5.0%
Masen Wake 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 0.00 -4.55 -4.55 0% -14.0%
Pass targets
Masen Wake 3 catches (3 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.33 1.87 5.60 67% 30.0%
Keanu Hill 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 3.50 3.50 100% 8.0%
Gunner Romney 3 catches (5 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 18.33 0.54 2.68 60% 16.0%
Dallin Holker 2 catches (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 1.14 2.28 100% 9.0%
Tyler Allgeier 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.20 0.39 50% 7.0%
Puka Nacua 1 catch (3 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 -0.15 -0.44 33% -1.0%
Samson Nacua 3 catches (3 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 13.67 -0.26 -0.79 67% -17.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 38) Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 21 6.05 40.2% 18.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.95 = 6.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:17 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 7 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 31, BYU 28 4.69 31.9% 27.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.31 = 4.69

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 36) DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 0 4.59 61.5% 14.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.41 = 4.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:38 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 1 at UAB 32) Masen Wake run for no gain to the UAB 32 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.55 54.0% -13.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 2.55 = -4.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 43) Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Hayden Livingston return for 8 yds to the BYU 48 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.41 59.9% -12.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.42 - 2.00 = -4.41

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:58 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 11 at BYU 45) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 21 3.95 43.3% 11.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 13

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 1.12 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:39 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 12 at BYU 40) Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 6 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Taylor) to the UAB 39 for a 1ST down - UAB 7, BYU 0 3.50 39.9% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 39

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - -0.69 = 3.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:36 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at 50) Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 22 yds Samson Nacua fumbled, recovered by UAB Mac McWilliams - UAB 31, BYU 28 -3.37 46.4% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - 2.11 = -3.37

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 4 at BYU 33) Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 3.35 25.7% 21.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 50

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - -0.98 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:36 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 28) Tyler Allgeier run for 35 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 0 2.73 24.2% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - -0.04 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 6:17 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 7 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 31, BYU 28 4.69 31.9% 27.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.31 = 4.69

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:36 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at 50) Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 22 yds Samson Nacua fumbled, recovered by UAB Mac McWilliams - UAB 31, BYU 28 -3.37 46.4% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - 2.11 = -3.37

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 4 at BYU 33) Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 3.35 25.7% 21.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 50

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - -0.98 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 38) Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 21 6.05 40.2% 18.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.95 = 6.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 36) DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 0 4.59 61.5% 14.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.41 = 4.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:38 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 1 at UAB 32) Masen Wake run for no gain to the UAB 32 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.55 54.0% -13.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 2.55 = -4.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:20 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 2 at BYU 35) Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 33 - UAB 31, BYU 28 -2.01 41.6% -13.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 1.03 = -2.01

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 43) Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Hayden Livingston return for 8 yds to the BYU 48 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.41 59.9% -12.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.42 - 2.00 = -4.41

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 9:58 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 11 at BYU 45) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 21 3.95 43.3% 11.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 13

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 1.12 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:58 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 1 at BYU 20) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 28 1.71 34.9% 11.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 3.06 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.94)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:26 ESPN team id 5 (1st & Goal at BYU 10) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 7, BYU 0 1.86 49.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.14 = 1.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 36) DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 0 4.59 61.5% 14.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.41 = 4.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:48 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & Goal at UAB 1) Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 7 0.99 35.1% 10.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.01 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:19 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 2) Samson Nacua run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 14 0.89 58.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.11 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 1 at BYU 23) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 14 2.52 55.7% 7.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 38) Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 21 6.05 40.2% 18.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.95 = 6.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:27 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 18 at BYU 21) Matt Quinn 38 yd FG GOOD - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.84 43.7% 10.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.16 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 21 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:33 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 1) Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.56 69.2% 5.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:17 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 7 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 31, BYU 28 4.69 31.9% 27.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.31 = 4.69

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAB 0, BYU 0 0.00 31.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:35 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST down - UAB 0, BYU 0 0.77 37.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.04 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:13 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 36) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 39 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.45 41.3% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.93 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 39) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 37 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -1.17 39.4% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.52 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:45 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 9 at UAB 37) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 2 yds to the UAB 39 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -1.45 37.3% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 0.43 = -1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:28 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 7 at UAB 39) Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 27 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.40 33.9% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 73

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.42 - -1.02 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 31.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:22 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 27) Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Gunner Romney - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.87 67.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.41 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:00 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 10 at BYU 27) Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 28 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -1.09 62.0% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.57 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 9 at BYU 28) Gunner Romney run for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 21 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -1.58 59.8% -5.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 79

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - -0.53 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.8%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:52 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 16 at BYU 21) Ryan Rehkow punt for 43 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 4 yds to the UAB 40 - UAB 0, BYU 0 0.11 54.1% 4.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 60

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.21 - -2.32 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:27 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 40) DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 42 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.64 42.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.27 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:00 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 8 at UAB 42) Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UAB 47 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.03 41.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.71 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:00 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at UAB 47) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down - UAB 0, BYU 0 1.96 41.3% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 38

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 1.69 = 1.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.3%

Win Probability (After): 44.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 38) DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down - UAB 0, BYU 0 0.71 44.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.63 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:24 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 28) DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 29 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -1.06 44.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 29

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 4.29 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:36 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 11 at BYU 29) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds to the BYU 25 - UAB 0, BYU 0 -0.17 43.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.21 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:10 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 7 at BYU 25) Timeout UAB, clock 07:10 - UAB 0, BYU 0 0.00 43.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 43.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:55 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 7 at BYU 25) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST down - UAB 0, BYU 0 2.07 46.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 10

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 3.07 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 0, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:26 ESPN team id 5 (1st & Goal at BYU 10) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 7, BYU 0 1.86 49.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.14 = 1.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:21 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 50 yds , Caleb Christensen return for 13 yds to the BYU 28 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -0.87 47.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - -0.03 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.4%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:14 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 28) Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down - UAB 7, BYU 0 1.04 47.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 58

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.36 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:59 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 42) BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 37 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -0.82 49.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 1.39 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:20 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 15 at BYU 37) Baylor Romney pass complete to Puka Nacua for 9 yds to the BYU 46 - UAB 7, BYU 0 0.77 44.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 54

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.55 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.45)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:48 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 6 at BYU 46) Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 40 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -2.02 45.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 60

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 1.33 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.67)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:39 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 12 at BYU 40) Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 6 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Taylor) to the UAB 39 for a 1ST down - UAB 7, BYU 0 3.50 39.9% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 39

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - -0.69 = 3.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:21 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 39) Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Gunner Romney - UAB 7, BYU 0 -0.63 47.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 2.79 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:07 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 10 at UAB 39) Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the UAB 37 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -1.02 47.6% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 2.15 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 2:30 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 8 at UAB 37) Baylor Romney run for 1 yd to the UAB 36 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -1.59 43.4% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 36

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 1.14 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 40.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:50 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 7 at UAB 36) Baylor Romney pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 3 yds to the UAB 33 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -2.30 39.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 67

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.66 - -0.37 = -2.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:41 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 33) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 36 - UAB 7, BYU 0 -0.27 61.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64

Started Drive at: UAB 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.67 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 7, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 36) DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 0 4.59 61.5% 14.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.41 = 4.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:57 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 58 yds , Miles Davis return for 21 yds to the BYU 28 - UAB 14, BYU 0 -0.91 23.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - -0.41 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.41)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:36 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 28) Tyler Allgeier run for 35 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 0 2.73 24.2% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 37

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - -0.04 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:09 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 37) Timeout BYU, clock 00:09 - UAB 14, BYU 0 0.00 27.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.31)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:04 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 37) Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the UAB 31 - UAB 14, BYU 0 0.56 26.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.68 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.32)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 4 at UAB 31) Tyler Allgeier run for 18 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 0 1.43 30.0% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 13

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 3.22 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.78)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:14 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 13) Baylor Romney pass incomplete - UAB 14, BYU 0 -0.56 36.4% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 4.63 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.37)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:06 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 10 at UAB 13) Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the UAB 5 - UAB 14, BYU 0 0.82 35.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 5

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 4.04 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:45 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 2 at UAB 5) Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 0 1.37 35.8% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.28 - 4.92 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.08)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 39.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:45 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 1) UAB Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) to the UAB 1 - UAB 14, BYU 0 0.00 39.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.29 - 6.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:04 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 1) Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the UAB 1 - UAB 14, BYU 0 -0.29 38.7% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.01 - 6.30 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.70)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:48 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & Goal at UAB 1) Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 7 0.99 35.1% 10.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.01 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:48 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 55 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 15 yds to the UAB 25 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -0.95 60.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.05 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.05)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:34 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 22 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -0.94 57.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 2.08 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 13 at UAB 22) Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 17 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -1.28 58.4% -5.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 1.19 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.4%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:11 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 18 at UAB 17) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the UAB 21 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -0.93 57.9% -4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 79

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.09 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.91)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:37 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 14 at UAB 21) Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line - UAB 14, BYU 7 -1.39 54.9% -2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 50

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - -0.95 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:10 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at 50) Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 37 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 7 2.34 47.0% 8.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 13

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.51 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 55.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 13) Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 10 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -0.29 55.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 4.81 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:10 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 7 at UAB 10) Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 13 - UAB 14, BYU 7 -1.03 56.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 13

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.51 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:42 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 10 at UAB 13) Baylor Romney pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 9 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Roughing Passer (2 Yards) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 7 2.69 51.3% 7.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 2

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 3.45 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:19 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 2) Samson Nacua run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 14, BYU 14 0.89 58.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.11 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:19 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 43 yds , Will Conner return for no gain to the UAB 22 Will Conner fumbled, recovered by UAB Will Conner - UAB 14, BYU 14 -1.22 40.3% -3.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.13 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:47 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 22) DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 23 - UAB 14, BYU 14 -0.67 41.4% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.05 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:10 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 9 at UAB 23) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the UAB 26 - UAB 14, BYU 14 -0.65 40.1% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.54 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 36.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:45 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 6 at UAB 26) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 14 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 14 2.30 38.1% 7.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 60

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 0.05 = 2.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 40) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 14 1.05 45.3% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 2.22 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 45) DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the BYU 40 - UAB 14, BYU 14 0.51 47.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 2.99 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 5 at BYU 40) DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the BYU 39 - UAB 14, BYU 14 -0.72 48.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.50 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:34 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 4 at BYU 39) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 7 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down - UAB 14, BYU 14 1.05 49.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 2.93 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 32) DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 23 - UAB 14, BYU 14 0.78 52.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 23

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 3.87 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 14, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 1 at BYU 23) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 14 2.52 55.7% 7.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 52 yds , Jacob Boren return for 14 yds to the BYU 27 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.70 39.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.81 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 27) Miles Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 20 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -1.09 40.7% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 80

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 1.02 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.98)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:14 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 17 at BYU 20) Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 9 yds to the BYU 29 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.27 36.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.22 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:58 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 8 at BYU 29) Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 14 1.73 37.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 54

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 0.16 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:30 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 46) Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 1 yd to the BYU 47 - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.10 42.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.39 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.8%

Win Probability (After): 42.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 9 at BYU 47) Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the UAB 45 - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.24 39.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 45

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.25 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:10 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 1 at UAB 45) BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.53 40.1% -2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 50

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.58 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 6 at 50) Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 45 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.18 37.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.91 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 1 at UAB 45) Timeout BYU, clock 00:53 - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.00 37.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 0.73 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 1 at UAB 45) Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 14 1.34 36.5% 5.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.65 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 42.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:40 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 40) Baylor Romney sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 45 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.94 42.3% -4.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 45

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.89 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 15 at UAB 45) Timeout BYU, clock 00:39 - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.00 37.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 0.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 37.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 15 at UAB 45) Baylor Romney pass complete to Dallin Holker for 6 yds to the UAB 39 - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.76 36.9% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.79 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 9 at UAB 39) Baylor Romney pass incomplete - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.57 39.7% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 1.28 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 9 at UAB 39) Baylor Romney pass incomplete - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.96 37.1% -4.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.49 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.47)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 39) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 38 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.22 68.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 62

Started Drive at: UAB 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.22 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAB 21, BYU 14 0.00 37.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.48)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:45 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 25) Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 28 - UAB 21, BYU 14 -0.65 39.7% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.22 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:20 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 7 at BYU 28) Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 14 1.58 38.7% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 62

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - -0.62 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 38) Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 21, BYU 21 6.05 40.2% 18.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.95 = 6.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Jermaine Brown Jr. at the UAB 25 - UAB 21, BYU 21 0.00 43.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:13 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 28 - UAB 21, BYU 21 -0.47 43.6% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 1.04 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:57 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at UAB 28) DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34 - UAB 21, BYU 21 0.75 42.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.61 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.0%

Win Probability (After): 43.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:10 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 1 at UAB 34) DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 21 0.70 47.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.39 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:37 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 38) Timeout UAB, clock 11:37 - UAB 21, BYU 21 0.00 49.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:11 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 38) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 18 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 21 1.24 46.4% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 44

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 2.03 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:45 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 44) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 45 - UAB 21, BYU 21 -1.29 50.5% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 3.32 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:17 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 11 at BYU 45) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete - UAB 21, BYU 21 -1.10 46.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.20 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:58 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 11 at BYU 45) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 21, BYU 21 3.95 43.3% 11.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 13

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 1.12 = 3.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:20 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 13) DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14 - UAB 21, BYU 21 -0.89 52.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 14

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 5.05 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 11 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 16 - UAB 21, BYU 21 -1.00 51.0% -3.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 4.18 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:55 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 13 at BYU 16) Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty and Fisher Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 21 - UAB 21, BYU 21 -1.05 47.1% -3.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 3.20 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 21, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:27 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 18 at BYU 21) Matt Quinn 38 yd FG GOOD - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.84 43.7% 10.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.16 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 21 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:27 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 64 yds , Miles Davis return for 27 yds to the BYU 28 Miles Davis fumbled, recovered by BYU Jackson Kaufusi - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.91 51.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.65 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.35)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:15 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 28) Baylor Romney pass incomplete - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.89 53.1% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 1.08 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.92)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.1%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 7:06 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 10 at BYU 28) Baylor Romney pass complete to Dallin Holker for 11 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 1.52 50.5% 5.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 61

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.31 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.69)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:30 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 39) Puka Nacua run for 20 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 1.49 54.5% 6.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 41

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 1.83 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:10 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 41) Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Puka Nacua - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.59 61.4% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.28 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:55 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 10 at UAB 41) Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the UAB 35 - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.04 58.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 2.69 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.6%

Win Probability (After): 58.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 4 at UAB 35) Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 32 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.11 56.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 32

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.70 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:38 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 1 at UAB 32) Masen Wake run for no gain to the UAB 32 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.55 54.0% -13.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: BYU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - 2.55 = -4.55

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:27 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 32) DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 34 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.55 60.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 2.05 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.05)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:58 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 8 at UAB 34) DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 39 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.07 58.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.57 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.57)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:45 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 3 at UAB 39) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 1.09 59.7% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.49 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.49)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:45 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 43) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.60 60.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.59 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 10 at UAB 43) Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Hayden Livingston return for 8 yds to the BYU 48 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -4.41 59.9% -12.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: UAB 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.42 - 2.00 = -4.41

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:05 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 48) Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 47 - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.20 53.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.40 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:40 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 5 at UAB 47) Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 44 - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.44 53.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 44

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.62 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.38)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:55 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 2 at UAB 44) Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.85 51.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.26 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:38 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 42) Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 9 yds to the UAB 33 - UAB 24, BYU 21 1.00 56.4% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 33

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 3.14 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:15 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 1 at UAB 33) Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Puka Nacua - UAB 24, BYU 21 -0.62 60.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 4.14 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:05 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 1 at UAB 33) Baylor Romney run for 3 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 0.44 57.9% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 3.51 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:50 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at UAB 30) Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 29 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 21 2.53 61.8% 7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 1

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.43 - 3.91 = 2.53

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.91)

Score Difference (End): -3 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:33 ESPN team id 252 (1st & Goal at UAB 1) Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.56 69.2% 5.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BYU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:33 ESPN team id 5 (Kickoff at UAB 35) Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.00 27.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:14 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 25) DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 32 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.58 27.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.76 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.24)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 3 at UAB 32) DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.68 26.6% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 58

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.30 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.6%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 42) DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 44 - UAB 24, BYU 28 -0.40 29.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.04 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.96)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 8 at UAB 44) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 7 yds to the BYU 49 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.55 28.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.74 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.26)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:30 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 1 at BYU 49) DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.77 29.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.37 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.63)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 32.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:11 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 43) DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 34 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.92 32.7% 5.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 34

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 3.09 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.91)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 1 at BYU 34) DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 28 -0.02 39.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 29

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 4.01 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:59 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 29) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 6 yds to the BYU 23 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.23 39.9% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 4.01 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.01)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:20 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 4 at BYU 23) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 20 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.03 42.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 20

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 4.22 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 42.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:45 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 1 at BYU 20) DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the BYU 20 - UAB 24, BYU 28 -0.95 43.0% -7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 4.19 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.19)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:58 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 1 at BYU 20) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down - UAB 24, BYU 28 1.71 34.9% 11.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 17

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 3.06 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.94)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 17) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the BYU 16 - UAB 24, BYU 28 -0.57 46.6% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 4.73 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.73)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:04 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 9 at BYU 16) Timeout UAB, clock 07:04 - UAB 24, BYU 28 0.00 43.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 4.16 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): -4 (0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.7%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:40 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 9 at BYU 16) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 2 yds to the BYU 14 - UAB 24, BYU 28 -0.64 45.0% -7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 4.22 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:30 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 7 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete - UAB 24, BYU 28 -1.26 37.8% -5.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.55 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.45)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 24, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:17 ESPN team id 5 (4th & 7 at BYU 14) Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) - UAB 31, BYU 28 4.69 31.9% 27.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: UAB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.31 = 4.69

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:17 ESPN team id 252 (Kickoff at BYU 35) Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 48 yds , Miles Davis return for 10 yds to the BYU 27 - UAB 31, BYU 28 -0.86 42.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.85 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.15)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:55 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at BYU 27) Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 33 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.21 42.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.99 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.3%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:20 ESPN team id 252 (2nd & 4 at BYU 33) Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 35 - UAB 31, BYU 28 -0.21 41.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 65

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 1.10 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.90)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:20 ESPN team id 252 (3rd & 2 at BYU 35) Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 33 - UAB 31, BYU 28 -2.01 41.6% -13.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 1.03 = -2.01

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 252 (4th & 4 at BYU 33) Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 3.35 25.7% 21.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 50

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - -0.98 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.98)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:36 ESPN team id 252 (1st & 10 at 50) Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 22 yds Samson Nacua fumbled, recovered by UAB Mac McWilliams - UAB 31, BYU 28 -3.37 46.4% -22.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 72

Started Drive at: BYU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - 2.11 = -3.37

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:18 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at UAB 28) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 34 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.09 80.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.25 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.25)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:44 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 4 at UAB 34) DeWayne McBride run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.94 83.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 50

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 1.23 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.23)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:41 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at 50) Timeout BYU, clock 02:41 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.00 86.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.17)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:33 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at 50) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.81 88.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.02 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.02)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 35) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the BYU 33 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.02 93.1% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.69 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:53 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 8 at BYU 33) Timeout BYU, clock 01:53 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.00 92.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.71 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:47 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 8 at BYU 33) DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 1.02 92.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 24

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.45 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:41 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 24) DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 21 - UAB 31, BYU 28 -0.11 94.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.40 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.40)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:41 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at BYU 21) Timeout BYU, clock 01:41 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.00 94.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.29)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 5 (2nd & 7 at BYU 21) Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 15 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.58 96.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 15

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 3.25 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.25)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 5 (3rd & 1 at BYU 15) Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.29 97.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 13

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 3.81 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.81)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 0:10 ESPN team id 5 (1st & 10 at BYU 13) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14 - UAB 31, BYU 28 0.11 96.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 14

Started Drive at: UAB 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.11 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.11)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UAB 31, BYU 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0