E Michigan 20 @ Liberty 56

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.58 | Odds: LIB -9.5, O/U 58.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Total Plays 10070
Total EPA -10.778.7
  Offensive EPA -11.2415.3
  Special Teams EPA 0.640.62
  Penalty EPA -1.23-1.61
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 1.06-5.61
Production ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Scrimmage Plays 8361
  Yards 406549
  Yards/Play 4.899.00
  EPA -11.2415.30
  EPA/Play -0.140.25
Passes 48 (58%)28 (46%)
  Yards 254295
  Yards/Play 5.2910.54
  EPA -8.057.92
  EPA/Play -0.170.28
Rushes 35 (42%)33 (54%)
  Yards 150246
  Yards/Play 4.297.45
  EPA -3.197.38
  EPA/Play -0.090.22
Rushing ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Scrimmage Plays 8361
Rushes 35 (42%)33 (54%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 4 (11%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 2 (50%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (14%)4 (12%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 13 (37%)11 (33%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 19 (54%)19 (58%)
OL Line Yards 75.463.3
  Per Carry 2.151.92
Highlight Yards 24110
  Per Rush Opportunity 1.265.79
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Total Plays 10070
Scrimmage Plays 8361
Explosive Plays 3 (4%)8 (13%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (6%)6 (21%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 0 (0%)2 (6%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -20.86-11.11
  EPA/Play -0.26-0.21
  When Passing -17.66-13.54
    EPA/Play -0.37-0.48
  When Rushing -3.192.43
    EPA/Play -0.090.08
Situational ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 37 (45%)31 (51%)
  When Passing 20 (42%)12 (43%)
  When Rushing 17 (49%)19 (58%)
  On Standard Downs 29 (48%)24 (53%)
  On Passing Downs 8 (36%)7 (44%)
  On Early Downs 29 (47%)26 (53%)
  On Late Downs 8 (38%)5 (42%)
  During "Middle 8" 3 (33%)8 (62%)
Early Downs 6249
  First Downs Created 14 (23%)11 (22%)
  EPA -5.1612.62
  EPA/Play -0.080.26
  Passes 36 (58%)19 (39%)
  Rushes 26 (42%)30 (61%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 15 (42%)8 (42%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (54%)18 (60%)
"Middle 8" Plays 913
  EPA -3.785.22
  EPA/play -0.420.40
  Passes 5 (56%)5 (38%)
  Rushes 4 (44%)8 (62%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 1 (20%)2 (40%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (50%)6 (75%)
Drives ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Total 1413
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 26
Plays/Drive 8.886.61
Yards/Drive 44.2251.07
Available Yards % 59%69%
Defensive ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Scrimmage Plays 6183
Stop Rate 28%51%
Havoc Plays Created 4 (7%)7 (8%)
  Passing 3 (11%)5 (10%)
  Rushing 1 (3%)2 (6%)
TFLs Generated 36
  Passing 24
  Rushing 12
Sacks Generated 2 (7%)4 (8%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 11
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Turnovers 22
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 11
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 1.21.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 0.00.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 2199 ESPN team id 2335
Total Plays 17 9
Total EPA 0.64 0.62
  Field Goal EPA 2.5 0.46
  Punting EPA -0.93 1.04
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.93 -0.89

Eastern Michigan [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Preston Hutchinson 5/8, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 72.4 xQBR 6.00 0.31 2.83 56% 0.0%
Samson Evans 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 45.4 xQBR 0.00 -1.12 -1.12 0% -3.0%
Ben Bryant 23/35, 200 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 53.1 xQBR 5.41 -0.03 -1.16 41% -4.0%
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 10.8 xQBR 0.00 -8.59 -8.59 0% -14.0%
Rush attempts
Preston Hutchinson 4 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.75 0.42 1.67 50% 0.0%
DJ Smith 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.49 0.97 50% 0.0%
Samson Evans 12 carries, 53 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.42 0.06 0.70 50% 6.0%
Bryson Moss 3 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 -0.14 -0.43 33% -3.0%
Ben Bryant 2 carries, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -1.19 -2.39 0% -3.0%
Darius Boone Jr. 12 carries, 51 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.25 -0.31 -3.72 58% -1.0%
Pass targets
Zach Westmoreland 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 4.40 4.40 100% 0.0%
Tanner Knue 4 catches (4 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.75 0.42 1.69 50% 2.0%
Thomas Odukoya 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.68 1.68 100% 2.0%
Dylan Summers 2 catches (3 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.28 0.83 33% 0.0%
Dylan Drummond 6 catches (11 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.06 0.66 36% 0.0%
Hassan Beydoun 11 catches (15 targets), 83 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.55 0.04 0.63 53% -10.0%
Darius Boone Jr. 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.05 0.05 100% 0.0%
Samson Evans 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.86 -0.86 0% 0.0%
Bryson Cannon 2 catches (4 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 -0.23 -0.93 50% 4.0%

Liberty [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Malik Willis 13/24, 231 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 82.5 xQBR 9.24 0.51 12.82 44% 19.0%
Johnathan Bennett 1/1, 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.0 xQBR 64.00 4.34 4.34 100% 0.0%
Kaidon Salter 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 35.9 xQBR 0.00 -1.66 -1.66 0% 0.0%
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 25.1 xQBR 0.00 -7.58 -7.58 0% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Malik Willis 7 carries, 65 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.29 0.51 3.60 86% 2.0%
T.J. Green 8 carries, 88 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.33 2.67 50% 5.0%
Shedro Louis 11 carries, 72 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.55 0.20 2.19 73% 2.0%
Troy Henderson 5 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.10 -0.48 20% 0.0%
Kaidon Salter 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.30 -0.60 0% 0.0%
Pass targets
Kevin Shaa 3 catches (5 targets), 94 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 31.33 1.19 5.94 60% 2.0%
DJ Stubbs 2 catches (4 targets), 69 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.50 0.94 3.75 50% 11.0%
Demario Douglas 3 catches (3 targets), 22 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.33 1.20 3.61 100% 2.0%
Trevor Hobbs 1 catch (1 target), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 42.00 2.51 2.51 100% 1.0%
Johnny Huntley 1 catch (2 targets), 20 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 1.07 2.15 50% 3.0%
Shedro Louis 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 1.03 2.06 50% 0.0%
CJ Daniels 1 catch (4 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 39.00 0.20 0.80 25% 0.0%
T.J. Green 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.40 -0.40 0% 0.0%
Noah Frith 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.48 -0.96 0% 1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Skyler Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Beck PAT failed) - EMU 3, LIB 13 -8.59 24.4% -14.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.92 - 1.67 = -8.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 3) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the EMich 1 - EMU 10, LIB 13 -8.00 93.5% -22.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - 6.15 = -8.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (15.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:29 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at LIB 25) Jeff Hubbard 34 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 20, LIB 56 -7.58 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 0.58 = -7.58

Score Difference (Before): 43 (43.58)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-36.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:11 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 1 at LIB 13) Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 14 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -5.25 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 86

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - 2.69 = -5.25

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-36.31)

Score Difference (End): 39 (41.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 46) DJ Stubbs 54 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 3, LIB 7 4.72 65.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.28 = 4.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:21 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 14 at LIB 43) Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 21 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 49 4.40 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 22

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - -0.89 = 4.40

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-39.89)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-35.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 36) Kevin Shaa 64 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 56 4.34 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.66 = 4.34

Score Difference (Before): 39 (41.66)

Score Difference (End): 46 (46.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 10 at LIB 15) Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.71 86.3% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 46

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - -0.55 = 3.71

Score Difference (Before): 9 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:44 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 7 at EMU 32) Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.19 88.2% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 20

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.33 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.33)

Score Difference (End): 9 (13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 34) T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed) - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.07 79.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.85 = 3.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 3) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the EMich 1 - EMU 10, LIB 13 -8.00 93.5% -22.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - 6.15 = -8.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (15.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Skyler Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Beck PAT failed) - EMU 3, LIB 13 -8.59 24.4% -14.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.92 - 1.67 = -8.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 46) DJ Stubbs 54 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 3, LIB 7 4.72 65.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.28 = 4.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 0.61 23.8% -8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.84 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 34) T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed) - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.07 79.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.85 = 3.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:04 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 5 at LIB 35) Aidan Alves punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 41 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -1.43 64.0% -5.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -1.06 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:40 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 5 at EMU 46) Jake Julien punt for 46 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 2 yds to the Liber 10 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Liber 15 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.13 37.6% -5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 85

Started Drive at: EMU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.30 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.76)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:44 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 7 at EMU 32) Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.19 88.2% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 20

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.33 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.33)

Score Difference (End): 9 (13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 10 at LIB 15) Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.71 86.3% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 46

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - -0.55 = 3.71

Score Difference (Before): 9 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & Goal at LIB 2) Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 13 1.30 19.3% 4.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.70 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 7:48 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 7 at LIB 9) Chad Ryland 27 Yd Field Goal - EMU 3, LIB 0 0.26 35.4% 3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.74 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 46) DJ Stubbs 54 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 3, LIB 7 4.72 65.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.28 = 4.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Skyler Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Beck PAT failed) - EMU 3, LIB 13 -8.59 24.4% -14.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.92 - 1.67 = -8.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & Goal at LIB 2) Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 13 1.30 19.3% 4.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.70 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 34) T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed) - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.07 79.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.85 = 3.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:22 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at EMU 20) Johnny Huntley 20 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 26 2.99 92.9% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 9 (13.01)

Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 2) Malik Willis 2 Yd Run (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 33 1.44 98.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 16 (21.56)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 35) Malik Willis 35 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) - EMU 10, LIB 39 1.22 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.78 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 23 (27.78)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 6 at EMU 25) Brayden Beck 43 Yd Field Goal - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.46 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 29 (31.54)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:44 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & Goal at EMU 3) Demario Douglas 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 49 1.71 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.29 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.29)

Score Difference (End): 39 (39.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 36) Kevin Shaa 64 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 56 4.34 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.66 = 4.34

Score Difference (Before): 39 (41.66)

Score Difference (End): 46 (46.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 10 at LIB 25) Chad Ryland 43 Yd Field Goal - EMU 13, LIB 56 2.24 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.76 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.24)

Score Difference (End): -43 (-43.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 13, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:29 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at LIB 25) Jeff Hubbard 34 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 20, LIB 56 -7.58 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 0.58 = -7.58

Score Difference (Before): 43 (43.58)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-36.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.00 24.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 32 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.59 26.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 0.86 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.2%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 3 at EMU 32) Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST down - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.19 28.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.62 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:06 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Ben Bryant pass complete to Darius Boone Jr. for 5 yds to the EMich 41 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.05 30.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 1.99 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:31 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 5 at EMU 41) Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST down - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.60 34.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.03 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:13 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 47) Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the Liber 49 - EMU 0, LIB 0 -0.03 34.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.61 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:39 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 6 at LIB 49) Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the Liber 44 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.20 33.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 44

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 2.60 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:54 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 1 at LIB 44) Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down - EMU 0, LIB 0 1.07 34.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.81 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.5%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:13 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 34) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond - EMU 0, LIB 0 -0.53 33.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.83 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.83)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at LIB 34) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the Liber 28 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.20 34.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 28

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.23 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:29 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 4 at LIB 28) Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 16 yds to the Liber 12 for a 1ST down - EMU 0, LIB 0 1.53 33.2% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 12

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 3.52 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 12) Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the Liber 6 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.27 37.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 6

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 5.09 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:19 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 4 at LIB 6) Samson Evans sacked by Ahmad Walker and Kendy Charles for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 7 - EMU 0, LIB 0 -1.12 38.4% -3.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 7

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 5.36 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:33 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 5 at LIB 7) Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the Liber 4 - EMU 0, LIB 0 -0.83 35.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 4.24 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:53 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 2 at LIB 4) Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 07:53 - EMU 0, LIB 0 0.00 36.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:53 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 2 at LIB 4) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Oakes) to the Liber 9 - EMU 0, LIB 0 -0.65 36.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 9

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.39 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 0, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:48 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 7 at LIB 9) Chad Ryland 27 Yd Field Goal - EMU 3, LIB 0 0.26 35.4% 3.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.74 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:48 ESPN team id 2335 (Kickoff at LIB 35) Chad Ryland kickoff for 52 yds , Demario Douglas return for 17 yds to the Liber 30 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.60 68.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.70 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:42 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 30) Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Liber 35 - EMU 3, LIB 0 0.15 68.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.30 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.70)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:25 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 5 at LIB 35) Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.82 68.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 1.41 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.59)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:18 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 5 at LIB 35) Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels - EMU 3, LIB 0 -1.79 68.1% -4.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - 0.60 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:04 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 5 at LIB 35) Aidan Alves punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 41 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -1.43 64.0% -5.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: LIB 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -1.06 = -1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:04 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 41) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the EMich 44 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.34 41.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 56

Started Drive at: EMU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 2.55 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.55)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:37 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 7 at EMU 44) Bryson Moss run for 2 yds to the EMich 46 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.48 41.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: EMU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.15 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:52 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 5 at EMU 46) Ben Bryant run for no gain to the EMich 46 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -1.81 41.1% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: EMU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 1.57 = -1.81

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.57)

Score Difference (End): 3 (2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:40 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 5 at EMU 46) Jake Julien punt for 46 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 2 yds to the Liber 10 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Liber 15 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.13 37.6% -5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 85

Started Drive at: EMU 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -0.30 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.76)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.6%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:40 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 15) Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 16 - EMU 3, LIB 0 -0.68 64.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 84

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.37 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.2%

Win Probability (After): 63.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:13 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 9 at LIB 16) Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 0 1.38 64.0% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 72

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - -0.32 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.32)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:56 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 28) Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Liber 34 - EMU 3, LIB 0 0.40 63.6% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.06 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.94)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:35 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 4 at LIB 34) Shedro Louis run for 12 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 0 0.84 63.7% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 54

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.45 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.55)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 46) DJ Stubbs 54 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 3, LIB 7 4.72 65.4% 11.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.28 = 4.72

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 61 yds for a touchback - EMU 3, LIB 7 0.00 23.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:08 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 7 0.97 23.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 0.69 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Skyler Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Beck PAT failed) - EMU 3, LIB 13 -8.59 24.4% -14.1%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.92 - 1.67 = -8.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.33)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 54 yds for a touchback - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.00 13.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:27 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 33 - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.80 13.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.04 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:41 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 2 at EMU 33) Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.13 13.1% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 0.93 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.07)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:05 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.78 13.5% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 51

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.21 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:48 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 49) Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 44 - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.54 14.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 2.07 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.93)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:14 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 3 at LIB 44) Bryant, Ben pass incomplete to Drummond, Dylan, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (Lowe, Duron) 5 yards to the LIBERTY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH. - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.38 15.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.61 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.39)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:10 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 39) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the Liber 35 - EMU 3, LIB 13 -0.12 16.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 2.97 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 6 at LIB 35) Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 13 1.21 15.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 23

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 2.83 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.17)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:45 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 23) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the Liber 23 - EMU 3, LIB 13 -0.57 17.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.05 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.95)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:16 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at LIB 23) LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Stephen Sings V) to the Liber 18 - EMU 3, LIB 13 0.75 17.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 3.44 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 5 at LIB 18) Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 15 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST down - EMU 3, LIB 13 1.68 17.7% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 3

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.88 - 4.20 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.80)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:24 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & Goal at LIB 3) Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the Liber 2 - EMU 3, LIB 13 -0.23 19.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.70 - 5.93 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.07)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 3, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & Goal at LIB 2) Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 13 1.30 19.3% 4.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.70 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-4.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 2335 (Kickoff at LIB 35) Chad Ryland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.00 77.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.48 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:01 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 25) Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 32 - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.51 77.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.48 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.48)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:44 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 3 at LIB 32) T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.36 77.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 1.95 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:31 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 36) Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Douglas, Demario, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Shine, Kempton) 15 yards to the EASTMICH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY. - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.97 77.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.14 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.14)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.9%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:23 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 49) Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Daniels, CJ, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Carter Jr., David) 15 yards to the EASTMICH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY. - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.63 78.9% 1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 34

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 3.19 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.19)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 80.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 34) T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed) - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.07 79.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.92 - 3.85 = 3.07

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 3) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the EMich 1 - EMU 10, LIB 13 -8.00 93.5% -22.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - 6.15 = -8.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (15.15)

Score Difference (End): 3 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 13 0.00 23.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.84 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:07 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 0.61 23.8% -8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.84 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:37 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 39) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.59 15.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.49 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.51)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at EMU 39) Bryson Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37 - EMU 10, LIB 19 -1.42 14.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 1.06 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.94)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:55 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 12 at EMU 37) Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EMich 45 - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.49 13.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - -0.02 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.02)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 4 at EMU 45) Jake Julien punt for 43 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 12 DJ Stubbs fumbled, forced by Alvinoski LaFleur, recovered by Liber DJ Stubbs - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.79 14.5% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 88

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -0.14 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.14)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 12) Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 18 yds to the Liber 30 LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Daniels) to the Liber 15 - EMU 10, LIB 19 0.55 87.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 85

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.80 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.94)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 15) Malik Willis run for no gain to the Liber 15 - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.65 87.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.20 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.20)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:22 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at LIB 15) Willis, Malik pass complete to Frith, Noah for 47 yards to the EASTMICH38, PENALTY LIBERTY illegal touching (Frith, Noah) 0 yards to the LIBERTY15, NO PLAY. - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.61 87.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 0.32 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.32)

Score Difference (End): 9 (8.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 10 at LIB 15) Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.71 86.3% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 46

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - -0.55 = 3.71

Score Difference (Before): 9 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:52 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 46) Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 3 yds to the EMich 43 - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.22 91.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.04 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 9 (12.04)

Score Difference (End): 9 (11.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:24 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 7 at EMU 43) Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the EMich 40 - EMU 10, LIB 19 0.00 90.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 9 (11.57)

Score Difference (End): 9 (11.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:56 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 4 at EMU 40) Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 0.94 90.5% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 2.53 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 9 (11.56)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:37 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 35) Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.49 90.7% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 3.57 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 9 (12.57)

Score Difference (End): 9 (12.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:30 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at EMU 35) T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the EMich 32 - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.57 91.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 32

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.11 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 9 (12.11)

Score Difference (End): 9 (11.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:50 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 7 at EMU 32) Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa - EMU 10, LIB 19 -1.54 90.7% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 2.68 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 9 (11.68)

Score Difference (End): 9 (10.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:44 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 7 at EMU 32) Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 19 3.19 88.2% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 20

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.33 = 3.19

Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.33)

Score Difference (End): 9 (13.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:34 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 20) Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels - EMU 10, LIB 19 -0.47 93.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 4.51 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 9 (13.51)

Score Difference (End): 9 (13.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 19

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (19)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:22 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at EMU 20) Johnny Huntley 20 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 26 2.99 92.9% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 9 (13.01)

Score Difference (End): 16 (16.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 88 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 19 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:22 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.00 4.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.25 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.75)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:22 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 28 - EMU 10, LIB 26 -0.37 4.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.25 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.75)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-16.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:51 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 7 at EMU 28) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 33 - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.27 4.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - -0.10 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-16.10)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:11 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 2 at EMU 33) Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 26 1.07 4.9% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.32 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.68)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:54 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 39) Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 1 yd to the EMich 40 - EMU 10, LIB 26 -0.59 6.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.67 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-14.33)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-14.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:14 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 9 at EMU 40) Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 26 1.80 5.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 0.95 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.05)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-13.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:56 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 45) Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 38 - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.48 7.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 2.55 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-13.45)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-12.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 3 at LIB 38) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Summers - EMU 10, LIB 26 -0.55 7.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.97 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-13.03)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-13.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 3 at LIB 38) Bryant, Ben rush for 4 yards to the LIBERTY34, PENALTY EASTMICH holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY48, NO PLAY. - EMU 10, LIB 26 -1.41 7.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 48

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 2.27 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-13.73)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:51 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 13 at LIB 48) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the Liber 39 - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.08 5.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.73 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.27)

Score Difference (End): -16 (-15.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:12 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 4 at LIB 39) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the Liber 37 - EMU 10, LIB 26 -2.67 6.1% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 63

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - 0.87 = -2.67

Score Difference (Before): -16 (-15.13)

Score Difference (End): 16 (17.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:12 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 37) Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 45 - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.13 97.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.79 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.79)

Score Difference (End): 16 (17.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:03 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 2 at LIB 45) Malik Willis pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 42 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 26 2.51 97.1% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 13

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 1.92 = 2.51

Score Difference (Before): 16 (17.92)

Score Difference (End): 16 (20.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:24 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 13) Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the EMich 9 - EMU 10, LIB 26 0.35 97.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 9

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 4.10 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 16 (20.10)

Score Difference (End): 16 (20.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 6 at EMU 9) Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the EMich 8 - EMU 10, LIB 26 -0.61 97.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.26 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 16 (20.26)

Score Difference (End): 16 (19.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:42 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 5 at EMU 8) Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 4 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Turan Rush) to the EMich 2 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 26 2.28 97.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 3.68 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): 16 (19.65)

Score Difference (End): 16 (21.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 26

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (26)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 2) Malik Willis 2 Yd Run (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 33 1.44 98.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 16 (21.56)

Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 26 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 50 yds , Hassan Beydoun return for 21 yds to the EMich 36 - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.06 1.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.09 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.91)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 40 - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.12 1.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: EMU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.12 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.88)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2335 (Kickoff at LIB 35) Chad Ryland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.00 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.28 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.28)

Score Difference (End): 23 (26.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 25) Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 34 - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.76 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 3.28 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.28)

Score Difference (End): 23 (27.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:39 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 1 at LIB 34) Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.69 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 4.07 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 23 (27.07)

Score Difference (End): 23 (26.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:34 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 1 at LIB 34) Green, T.J. rush for 2 yards to the LIBERTY36, PENALTY EASTMICH offside 5 yards to the LIBERTY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY. - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.54 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 3.40 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.40)

Score Difference (End): 23 (26.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:18 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 39) Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 2 yds to the Liber 41 - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.40 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 59

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.93 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.93)

Score Difference (End): 23 (26.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:54 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 8 at LIB 41) T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 43 - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.67 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.58 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 23 (26.58)

Score Difference (End): 23 (25.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:16 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 6 at LIB 43) Malik Willis sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 36 - EMU 10, LIB 33 -1.64 99.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 64

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 2.90 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): 23 (25.90)

Score Difference (End): 23 (24.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:34 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 13 at LIB 36) Aidan Alves punt for 63 yds, downed at the EMich 1 - EMU 10, LIB 33 1.08 99.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.16 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 23 (24.16)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-25.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:34 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 1) Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the EMich 2 - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.58 0.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98

Started Drive at: EMU 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -2.07 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-25.07)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-25.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:55 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 9 at EMU 2) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.79 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: EMU 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.48 - -2.69 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-25.69)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-26.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:50 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 9 at EMU 2) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond - EMU 10, LIB 33 -0.61 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: EMU 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.16 - -3.55 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-26.55)

Score Difference (End): -23 (-27.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:36 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 9 at EMU 2) Jake Julien punt for 47 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 48 - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.00 0.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 52

Started Drive at: EMU 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.23 - -4.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -23 (-27.22)

Score Difference (End): 23 (27.23)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:36 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 48) Shedro Louis run for 17 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 33 0.54 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 35

Started Drive at: LIB 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 4.25 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 23 (27.25)

Score Difference (End): 23 (27.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 33

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (33)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 35) Malik Willis 35 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) - EMU 10, LIB 39 1.22 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.78 = 1.22

Score Difference (Before): 23 (27.78)

Score Difference (End): 29 (29.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 33 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 39 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -1.80 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.80)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-30.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Darius Boone Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 39 0.99 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - -1.80 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.80)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-29.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:36 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 36) Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 38 - EMU 10, LIB 39 -0.70 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - -0.69 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-29.69)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-30.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 8 at EMU 38) Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 42 - EMU 10, LIB 39 0.24 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - -1.38 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.38)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-30.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:26 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 4 at EMU 42) Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 44 - EMU 10, LIB 39 -1.58 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.45 - -0.87 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-29.87)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-31.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:46 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 2 at EMU 44) Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 08:46 - EMU 10, LIB 39 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.45 - -2.45 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-31.45)

Score Difference (End): -29 (-31.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 2 at EMU 44) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson Cannon - EMU 10, LIB 39 -2.72 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 44

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.66 - -1.95 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): -29 (-30.95)

Score Difference (End): 29 (33.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 44) Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 15 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 39 0.54 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 29

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.12 - 4.58 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 29 (33.58)

Score Difference (End): 29 (34.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:24 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 29) T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the EMich 26 - EMU 10, LIB 39 -0.29 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 5.09 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 29 (34.09)

Score Difference (End): 29 (33.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:01 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 7 at EMU 26) Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley - EMU 10, LIB 39 -0.84 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.76 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 29 (33.76)

Score Difference (End): 29 (32.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:52 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 7 at EMU 26) T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the EMich 25 - EMU 10, LIB 39 -1.41 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.91 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 29 (32.91)

Score Difference (End): 29 (31.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 39

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (39)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 6 at EMU 25) Brayden Beck 43 Yd Field Goal - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.46 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 29 (31.54)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 39 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 61 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -1.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-33.44)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-33.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 27 - EMU 10, LIB 42 -0.43 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - -1.44 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-33.44)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-33.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:29 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 8 at EMU 27) Ben Bryant pass incomplete - EMU 10, LIB 42 -0.89 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.71 - -1.82 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-33.82)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-34.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:19 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 8 at EMU 27) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Samson Evans - EMU 10, LIB 42 -0.86 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.54 - -2.68 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-34.68)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-35.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:06 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 8 at EMU 27) Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 27 - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.05 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.52 - -3.57 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-35.57)

Score Difference (End): 32 (35.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:06 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 27) Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Liber 35 - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.28 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.59 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 32 (35.59)

Score Difference (End): 32 (35.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 2 at LIB 35) Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.17 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 32 (35.83)

Score Difference (End): 32 (36.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:05 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 42) Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 49 - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.14 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.94 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 32 (35.94)

Score Difference (End): 32 (36.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:24 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 3 at LIB 49) Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.37 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 4.08 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 32 (36.08)

Score Difference (End): 32 (36.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at EMU 44) Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith - EMU 10, LIB 42 -0.48 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.42 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 32 (36.42)

Score Difference (End): 32 (35.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:45 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at EMU 44) T.J. Green run for 34 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 42 1.88 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 10

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.76 - 3.88 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): 32 (35.88)

Score Difference (End): 32 (37.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:27 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & Goal at EMU 10) T.J. Green run for 7 yds to the EMich 3 - EMU 10, LIB 42 0.29 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 3

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 5.90 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.90)

Score Difference (End): 32 (38.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:57 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & Goal at EMU 3) Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels - EMU 10, LIB 42 -0.65 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 6.22 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 32 (38.22)

Score Difference (End): 32 (37.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 42

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (42)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:44 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & Goal at EMU 3) Demario Douglas 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 49 1.71 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.29 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.29)

Score Difference (End): 39 (39.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 42 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:44 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 10, LIB 49 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -1.25 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-40.25)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-40.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:44 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 25) Ben Bryant pass incomplete - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.39 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - -1.25 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-40.25)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-40.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:37 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at EMU 25) Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 27 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.63 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - -1.74 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-40.74)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-41.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:03 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 8 at EMU 27) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 49 2.67 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 54

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - -2.40 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-41.40)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:41 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 46) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.56 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.38 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.62)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-39.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:35 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at EMU 46) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Summers for 15 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 49 1.94 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - -0.06 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-39.06)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-37.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:14 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 39) DJ Smith run for 4 yds to the Liber 35 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.19 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 1.93 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-37.07)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-37.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:42 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 6 at LIB 35) Ben Bryant sacked by Ahmad Walker and Storey Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 43 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -2.70 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 43

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - 1.78 = -2.70

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-37.22)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-39.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:21 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 14 at LIB 43) Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 21 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 49 4.40 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 22

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - -0.89 = 4.40

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-39.89)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-35.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:05 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 22) DJ Smith run for 8 yds to the Liber 14 - EMU 10, LIB 49 1.16 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 3.39 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-35.61)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-34.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 2 at LIB 14) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.74 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.39 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-34.61)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-35.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 2 at LIB 14) Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 13 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.82 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.68 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-35.32)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-36.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:11 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 1 at LIB 13) Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 14 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -5.25 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 86

Started Drive at: EMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - 2.69 = -5.25

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-36.31)

Score Difference (End): 39 (41.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:11 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 14) Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the Liber 16 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.42 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 84

Started Drive at: LIB 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.25 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 39 (41.25)

Score Difference (End): 39 (40.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:40 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 8 at LIB 16) Malik Willis pass incomplete - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.66 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84

Started Drive at: LIB 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.88 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 39 (40.88)

Score Difference (End): 39 (40.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:28 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 8 at LIB 16) Willis, Malik rush for 15 yards to the LIBERTY31, PENALTY LIBERTY holding (Bounds, Damian) 8 yards to the LIBERTY8, NO PLAY. - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.75 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 92

Started Drive at: LIB 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.20 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 39 (40.20)

Score Difference (End): 39 (39.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 16 at LIB 8) Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.61 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 92

Started Drive at: LIB 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.32 - 0.29 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 39 (39.29)

Score Difference (End): 39 (38.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:36 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 16 at LIB 8) Aidan Alves punt for 59 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 5 yds to the EMich 13 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Peyton Price) to the EMich 23 - EMU 10, LIB 49 1.39 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 77

Started Drive at: LIB 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - -0.62 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 39 (38.68)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-40.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:36 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 23) Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson Cannon - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.39 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: EMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.30 - -0.91 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-39.91)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-40.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at EMU 23) Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Summers for 1 yd to the EMich 24 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.56 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 76

Started Drive at: EMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.97 - -1.41 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-40.41)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-40.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:54 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 9 at EMU 24) Ben Bryant sacked by Christopher Boti and Khristian Zachary for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 14 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -1.15 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 86

Started Drive at: EMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.20 - -2.05 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-41.05)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-42.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:06 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 19 at EMU 14) Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 36 - EMU 10, LIB 49 -0.06 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 64

Started Drive at: EMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.82 - -2.76 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-41.76)

Score Difference (End): 39 (41.82)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 10, LIB 49

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (49)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 36) Kevin Shaa 64 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck Kick) - EMU 10, LIB 56 4.34 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.66 = 4.34

Score Difference (Before): 39 (41.66)

Score Difference (End): 46 (46.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 49 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:58 ESPN team id 2199 (Kickoff at EMU 35) Jason Stricker kickoff for 60 yds , Hassan Beydoun return for 22 yds to the LIBERTY 43 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 17 - EMU 10, LIB 56 -0.99 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -0.57 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-53.77)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-47.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:44 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 17) Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 12 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 56 0.65 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 71

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - -0.88 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-46.88)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-46.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:16 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 29) Hutchinson, Preston pass incomplete to Summers, Dylan, PENALTY LIBERTY personal foul (Jackson, Storey) 15 yards to the EASTMICH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH. Storey Jackson ejected for Targeting. - EMU 10, LIB 56 0.76 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 56

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.02 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.98)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-45.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:10 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at EMU 44) Preston Hutchinson run for 9 yds to the Liber 47 - EMU 10, LIB 56 1.07 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 47

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 0.91 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.09)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-44.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:35 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 1 at LIB 47) Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the Liber 47 - EMU 10, LIB 56 -0.42 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.83 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-44.17)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-44.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:56 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 1 at LIB 47) Samson Evans run for no gain to the Liber 47 - EMU 10, LIB 56 -1.02 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.25 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-44.75)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-45.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:15 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 1 at LIB 47) Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 56 1.53 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 0.28 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.72)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-44.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:42 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 42) Preston Hutchinson sacked by TreShaun Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 48 - EMU 10, LIB 56 -1.35 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 48

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.80 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-44.20)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-45.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 16 at LIB 48) Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the Liber 43 - EMU 10, LIB 56 -0.51 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.65 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.35)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-45.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:13 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 11 at LIB 43) Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 18 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down - EMU 10, LIB 56 2.55 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 0.57 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.43)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-42.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:49 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 25) Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun - EMU 10, LIB 56 -0.36 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.06 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-42.94)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-43.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:43 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 10 at LIB 25) Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun - EMU 10, LIB 56 -0.63 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.55 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-43.45)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-44.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:38 ESPN team id 2199 (3rd & 10 at LIB 25) Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond - EMU 10, LIB 56 -1.17 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.93 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-44.07)

Score Difference (End): -46 (-45.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 10, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 2199 (4th & 10 at LIB 25) Chad Ryland 43 Yd Field Goal - EMU 13, LIB 56 2.24 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: EMU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.76 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -46 (-45.24)

Score Difference (End): -43 (-43.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 13, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 2335 (Kickoff at LIB 35) Chad Ryland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - EMU 13, LIB 56 0.00 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 43 (43.90)

Score Difference (End): 43 (43.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 13, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 25) Troy Henderson run for no gain to the Liber 25 - EMU 13, LIB 56 -0.22 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 0.90 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 43 (43.90)

Score Difference (End): 43 (43.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 13, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:29 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 10 at LIB 25) Jeff Hubbard 34 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick) - EMU 20, LIB 56 -7.58 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: LIB 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 0.58 = -7.58

Score Difference (Before): 43 (43.58)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-36.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:29 ESPN team id 2335 (Kickoff at LIB 35) Chad Ryland kickoff for 41 yds , DJ Stubbs return for 5 yds to the Liber 29 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -0.29 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.70 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.70)

Score Difference (End): 36 (36.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:24 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 29) Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 28 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -0.28 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 72

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.74 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.74)

Score Difference (End): 36 (36.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:55 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 11 at LIB 28) Troy Henderson run for 13 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down - EMU 20, LIB 56 0.65 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 59

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 0.40 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.40)

Score Difference (End): 36 (37.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:14 ESPN team id 2335 (1st & 10 at LIB 41) Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the Liber 47 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -0.09 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 1.03 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 36 (37.03)

Score Difference (End): 36 (36.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 2335 (2nd & 4 at LIB 47) Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the Liber 48 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -0.21 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.88 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.88)

Score Difference (End): 36 (36.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:51 ESPN team id 2335 (3rd & 3 at LIB 48) Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the Liber 48 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -0.51 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.63 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.63)

Score Difference (End): 36 (36.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:04 ESPN team id 2335 (4th & 3 at LIB 48) Kaidon Salter sacked by Michael Smith Jr. and Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 42 - EMU 20, LIB 56 -1.66 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 42

Started Drive at: LIB 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - 0.26 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): 36 (36.26)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-34.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:04 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 42) Bryson Moss run for 14 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down - EMU 20, LIB 56 1.46 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 28

Started Drive at: LIB 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.20 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): -36 (-34.80)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-33.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:41 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 28) Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST down - EMU 20, LIB 56 1.57 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 13

Started Drive at: LIB 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 2.64 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): -36 (-33.36)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-31.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:18 ESPN team id 2199 (1st & 10 at LIB 13) Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the Liber 8 - EMU 20, LIB 56 0.81 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 8

Started Drive at: LIB 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 3.77 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -36 (-32.23)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-31.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:10 ESPN team id 2199 (2nd & 5 at LIB 8) Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the Liber 4 - EMU 20, LIB 56 0.76 0.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4

Started Drive at: LIB 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 4.26 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -36 (-31.74)

Score Difference (End): -36 (-30.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: EMU 20, LIB 56

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 56 (56)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3