Utah State 24 @ Oregon St 13

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.22 | Odds: ORST -6.5, O/U 68.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 8477
Total EPA 3.61-9.38
  Offensive EPA -1.27-5.17
  Special Teams EPA 0.32-0.89
  Penalty EPA 6.38-2.07
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.82-1.25
Production ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 7566
  Yards 412445
  Yards/Play 5.496.74
  EPA -1.27-5.17
  EPA/Play -0.02-0.08
Passes 35 (47%)34 (52%)
  Yards 273263
  Yards/Play 7.807.74
  EPA 6.10-9.09
  EPA/Play 0.17-0.27
Rushes 40 (53%)32 (48%)
  Yards 126185
  Yards/Play 3.155.78
  EPA -7.373.92
  EPA/Play -0.180.12
Rushing ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 7566
Rushes 40 (53%)32 (48%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (2%)2 (6%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)2 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 12 (30%)5 (16%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 19 (48%)10 (31%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (35%)19 (59%)
OL Line Yards 3460.7
  Per Carry 0.851.90
Highlight Yards 3256
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.292.95
Explosiveness ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 8477
Scrimmage Plays 7566
Explosive Plays 2 (3%)2 (3%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (3%)1 (3%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -9.64-10.18
  EPA/Play -0.13-0.16
  When Passing 0.39-11.77
    EPA/Play 0.01-0.35
  When Rushing -10.031.60
    EPA/Play -0.260.05
Situational ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 30 (40%)31 (47%)
  When Passing 16 (46%)14 (41%)
  When Rushing 14 (35%)17 (53%)
  On Standard Downs 23 (43%)27 (57%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (33%)4 (21%)
  On Early Downs 25 (40%)27 (52%)
  On Late Downs 5 (42%)4 (29%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (35%)1 (20%)
Early Downs 6352
  First Downs Created 17 (27%)18 (35%)
  EPA 0.171.55
  EPA/Play 0.000.03
  Passes 27 (43%)24 (46%)
  Rushes 36 (57%)28 (54%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (48%)12 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 12 (33%)15 (54%)
"Middle 8" Plays 175
  EPA 1.30-1.09
  EPA/play 0.08-0.22
  Passes 10 (59%)2 (40%)
  Rushes 7 (41%)3 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (30%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (43%)1 (33%)
Drives ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Total 1212
Avg Starting Field Position Own 27Own 20
Plays/Drive 8.397.73
Yards/Drive 47.8143.80
Available Yards % 65%55%
Defensive ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Scrimmage Plays 6675
Stop Rate 45%39%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (12%)13 (17%)
  Passing 6 (18%)6 (17%)
  Rushing 2 (6%)7 (18%)
TFLs Generated 610
  Passing 44
  Rushing 26
Sacks Generated 4 (12%)4 (11%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 12
Fumbles Forced 11
Turnovers ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Turnovers 32
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 21
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.41.2
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 328 ESPN team id 204
Total Plays 9 11
Total EPA 0.32 -0.89
  Field Goal EPA 0.15 -1.27
  Punting EPA 0.33 -0.29
  Kickoff Return EPA -0.16 0.67

Utah State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Cooper Legas 11/20, 171 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 78.8 xQBR 7.12 0.25 6.08 42% 2.0%
Derek Wright 1/1, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 76.2 xQBR 34.00 1.94 1.94 100% 6.0%
Logan Bonner 6/10, 68 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 41.0 xQBR 6.80 -0.19 -1.93 50% 1.0%
Rush attempts
Elelyon Noa 6 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 0.01 0.08 33% 0.0%
Cooper Legas 3 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.23 -0.68 33% -2.0%
Logan Bonner 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.71 -0.71 0% -1.0%
TEAM 3 carries, -12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -4.00 -0.41 -1.22 0% 1.0%
Savon Scarver 1 carry, -10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -10.00 -2.21 -2.21 0% -3.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. 26 carries, 120 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.62 -0.10 -2.63 42% 3.0%
Pass targets
Brandon Bowling 4 catches (4 targets), 51 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.75 1.75 6.99 100% 14.0%
Deven Thompkins 6 catches (8 targets), 115 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.17 0.78 6.21 62% 16.0%
Derek Wright 3 catches (5 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.42 2.10 60% 2.0%
Cooper Legas 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 1.94 1.94 100% 6.0%
Carson Terrell 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.50 0.79 1.58 50% 5.0%
Elelyon Noa 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.58 0.58 100% 3.0%
Justin McGriff 1 catch (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.08 -0.17 0% -2.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.04 -1.04 0% -1.0%

Oregon State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Chance Nolan 21/30, 263 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 49.3 xQBR 7.74 -0.27 -9.09 41% -3.0%
Rush attempts
Jesiah Irish 2 carries, 26 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 1.34 2.68 100% 9.0%
Chance Nolan 4 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.40 1.61 50% 4.0%
Jack Colletto 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 1.13 1.13 100% 4.0%
Anthony Gould 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.47 0.47 100% -2.0%
B.J. Baylor 18 carries, 78 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.33 0.00 0.08 50% 13.0%
Champ Flemings 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -0.07 -0.07 0% 1.0%
Trey Lowe 5 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.80 -0.40 -1.98 40% -5.0%
Pass targets
Trevon Bradford 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.50 1.94 3.88 100% 5.0%
Zeriah Beason 1 catch (1 target), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 39.00 2.39 2.39 100% 4.0%
Teagan Quitoriano 3 catches (3 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.76 2.27 100% 6.0%
B.J. Baylor 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.18 0.36 50% 2.0%
Trey Lowe 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% 3.0%
Luke Musgrave 3 catches (4 targets), 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.67 -0.06 -0.22 50% -1.0%
Anthony Gould 2 catches (4 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 -0.08 -0.33 50% 2.0%
Deshaun Fenwick 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.39 -0.39 0% -1.0%
Champ Flemings 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% -2.0%
Silas Bolden 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 -0.34 -0.68 0% -1.0%
Tre'Shaun Harrison 4 catches (4 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 13.75 -0.39 -1.54 75% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 2:31 ESPN team id 328 (1st & Goal at ORST 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd Calvin Tyler Jr. fumbled, forced by Jaydon Grant, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights - USU 24, ORST 13 -6.99 99.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 80

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 6.30 = -6.99

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.30)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:42 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 5.71 21.8% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 -5.07 16.2% -8.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 5 at ORST 34) Logan Bonner pass intercepted, touchback. Akili Arnold return for no gain - USU 0, ORST 7 -3.90 23.0% -5.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 80

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - 2.00 = -3.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:55 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 3 at USU 26) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 -3.63 40.2% -6.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 47) Cooper Legas pass intercepted Kitan Oladapo return for no gain to the OrgSt 17 - USU 24, ORST 13 -3.12 91.2% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 83

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 3.42 = -3.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.42)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 34) Chance Nolan pass intercepted Hunter Reynolds return for no gain to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 -2.82 1.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 1.23 = -2.82

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:56 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 7 at ORST 23) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 20 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 2.69 81.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.47 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:24 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 2.66 45.0% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:02 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 3 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 -2.52 80.8% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 1.42 = -2.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 14:42 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 5.71 21.8% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:11 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & Goal at ORST 9) Cooper Legas sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 14, ORST 10 -1.12 70.4% -8.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.72 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:05 ESPN team id 328 (4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 0.15 62.4% 8.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 -5.07 16.2% -8.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 10 at USU 19) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 0.74 65.5% 7.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:02 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 2.32 75.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 82.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:49 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 2.40 79.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:55 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 3 at USU 26) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 -3.63 40.2% -6.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:24 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 2.66 45.0% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 4 at USU 32) Derek Wright pass complete to Cooper Legas for 34 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 1.94 66.1% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 34

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.39 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:02 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 2.32 75.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 82.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:42 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 5.71 21.8% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 10 at USU 19) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 0.74 65.5% 7.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:24 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 2.66 45.0% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:05 ESPN team id 328 (4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 0.15 62.4% 8.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:49 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 2.40 79.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 15 at USU 16) Everett Hayes 34 yd FG GOOD - USU 24, ORST 13 1.61 12.0% 5.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.39 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.61)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 56 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 20 yds to the OrgSt 29 - USU 0, ORST 0 0.51 66.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 0.86 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:44 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 29) B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 0 0.56 68.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 59

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 1.55 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:20 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 41) Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 39 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 0 2.39 71.2% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 20

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 2.26 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:02 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 2.32 75.1% 7.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 82.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:02 ESPN team id 328 (Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 21 yds to the UthSt 21 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.19 21.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.21 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:30 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 21) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 19 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 1.52 21.4% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 60

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - -0.42 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:15 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 40) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 8 yds to the UthSt 48 - USU 0, ORST 7 0.74 24.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.10 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 2 at USU 48) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.52 24.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 51

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.86 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 1 at USU 49) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 0.82 23.7% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.31 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.7%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:00 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.61 25.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 46

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.15 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:37 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 9 at ORST 46) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr. - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.04 23.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.57 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 9 at ORST 46) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.94 21.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.61 = -1.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 9 at ORST 46) UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 49 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.49 19.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -1.23 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:24 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 14 at USU 49) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, downed at the OrgSt 4 - USU 0, ORST 7 0.84 18.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 96

Started Drive at: USU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - -1.76 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.92)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 4) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cam Lampkin) to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 1.19 83.5% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 0.93 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:05 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.60 81.4% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.09 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:45 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 10 at ORST 24) Trey Lowe run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32 - USU 0, ORST 7 0.18 81.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 68

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 1.58 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:24 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 2 at ORST 32) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the OrgSt 27 - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.16 81.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 73

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.90 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 80.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 7 at ORST 27) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Anthony Gould - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.26 80.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.75 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 7 at ORST 27) Luke Loecher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 27 - USU 0, ORST 7 0.36 79.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: ORST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.56 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:36 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 27) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.21 21.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.42 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:12 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 6 at USU 31) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 12 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 1.34 20.8% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 0.21 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:03 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 43) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 46 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.32 23.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.54 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:45 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 7 at USU 46) Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 15 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 1.75 21.3% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.12 = 1.75

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:09 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 39) Logan Bonner run for no gain to the OrgSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.71 24.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.81 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:35 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 39) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.05 23.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 2.16 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:35 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 10 at ORST 39) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keonte Schad) to the OrgSt 34 - USU 0, ORST 7 0.92 21.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 1.12 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:28 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 5 at ORST 34) Logan Bonner pass intercepted, touchback. Akili Arnold return for no gain - USU 0, ORST 7 -3.90 23.0% -5.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 80

Started Drive at: USU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - 2.00 = -3.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.00)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 20) B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.63 82.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.94 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:35 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 9 at ORST 21) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.97 82.4% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.42 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:56 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 7 at ORST 23) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 20 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 2.69 81.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.47 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 43) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 0.61 85.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.17 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 46) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.53 84.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.78 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.78)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:24 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 8 at USU 44) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.83 85.1% -2.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 3.27 = -1.83

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:42 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 14 at 50) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 11 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.04 80.4% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.45 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:02 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 3 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 -2.52 80.8% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 1.42 = -2.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 39) Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.58 23.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: USU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.11 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.89)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:45 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at USU 39) Savon Scarver run for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 29 - USU 0, ORST 7 -2.21 22.1% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 71

Started Drive at: USU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.71 - 0.50 = -2.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:45 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 20 at USU 29) Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 10 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.17 18.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 61

Started Drive at: USU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -1.62 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:30 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 10 at USU 39) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 26 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.80 19.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 74

Started Drive at: USU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - -1.61 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:20 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 26) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 26 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.67 80.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.43 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:21 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 10 at ORST 26) Chance Nolan sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 15 - USU 0, ORST 7 -1.84 79.0% -2.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 85

Started Drive at: ORST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.75 = -1.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.0%

Win Probability (After): 76.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 21 at ORST 15) Trey Lowe run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.77 75.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.11 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:51 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 13 at ORST 23) Luke Loecher punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 38 - USU 0, ORST 7 -0.39 77.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORST 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -0.87 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 0, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:42 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 5.71 21.8% 12.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:42 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 54 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 14 yds to the OrgSt 49 OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 15 - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.44 63.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.18 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-7.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:05 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 15) Anthony Gould run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 0.47 65.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.71 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:45 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31 - USU 7, ORST 7 0.34 65.8% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.14 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:18 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 0.52 66.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 1.50 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:50 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 35) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 21 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 1.30 67.5% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.02 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:04 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 44) B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 7, ORST 7 0.31 69.5% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.38 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:43 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 3 at USU 37) Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 0.43 70.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.69 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:05 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 31) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the UthSt 31 - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.56 70.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.09 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:09 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 10 at USU 31) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27 - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.33 66.6% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 27

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.57 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at USU 27) Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 8 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 1.46 65.6% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.25 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 19) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the UthSt 24 - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.81 70.2% -3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 4.68 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:05 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Anthony Gould - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.60 68.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.82 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:57 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.72 68.6% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.23 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:49 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave - USU 7, ORST 7 -0.50 65.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.45 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:49 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 15 at USU 24) UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the UthSt 19 - USU 7, ORST 7 0.32 63.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 1.94 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 10 at USU 19) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 0.74 65.5% 7.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 328 (Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 15 yds to the UthSt 15 - USU 7, ORST 10 -0.39 30.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.83 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.17)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:14 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 0.59 30.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.48 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 - USU 7, ORST 10 0.73 32.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 65

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.10 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.90)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:33 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 1 at USU 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34 - USU 7, ORST 10 -0.99 32.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.77 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.23)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:46 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 2 at USU 34) Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 0.73 32.3% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 0.93 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:11 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 41 - USU 7, ORST 10 0.08 34.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 1.66 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.34)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 6 at USU 41) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 43 - USU 7, ORST 10 -0.27 34.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.32 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:28 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 4 at USU 43) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kitan Oladapo) to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 1.42 33.5% 3.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.17 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.83)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:22 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 45) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 7, ORST 10 -0.48 37.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.71 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.29)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:16 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 45) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 1.40 35.6% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 31

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.26 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.74)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:41 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 31) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 16 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 1.13 42.3% 2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 15

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 3.63 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 15) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 7, ORST 10 -0.58 45.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 4.77 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.77)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 7, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:24 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 2.66 45.0% 5.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:24 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 64 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 24 yds to the OrgSt 25 - USU 14, ORST 10 0.00 50.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.11)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:01 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.91 50.9% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 0.79 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:36 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 36) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Byron Vaughns) to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.77 53.5% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 1.50 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 49) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 44 - USU 14, ORST 10 -1.06 54.8% -5.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.12 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.88)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:44 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 17 at ORST 44) Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.10 49.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.97 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.03)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:43 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 11 at 50) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 02:43 - USU 14, ORST 10 0.00 48.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.13)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:43 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 11 at 50) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Brandon Kipper) to the OrgSt 45 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.27 50.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 55

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.79 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:32 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 16 at ORST 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 8 yds to the UthSt 47 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.63 47.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.58 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.42)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:49 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 8 at USU 47) Luke Loecher punt for 36 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 46 UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the UthSt 6 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.26 46.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 94

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.16 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.04)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.0%

Win Probability (After): 45.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:35 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 6) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 8 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.08 55.6% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 92

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.03 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:55 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 8 at USU 8) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.87 55.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 74

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.07 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 58.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.48 57.4% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 0.53 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.04 60.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.81 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.81)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:30 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriff - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.03 59.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.62 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.62)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.0%

Win Probability (After): 58.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas sacked by Keonte Schad for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 32 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.30 56.9% -3.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.34 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 15 at USU 32) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 00:24 - USU 14, ORST 10 0.00 53.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.04)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.4%

Win Probability (After): 53.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:19 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 15 at USU 32) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 37 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.36 55.2% -2.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - -0.03 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.97)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 37) Champ Flemings run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 35 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.07 44.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65

Started Drive at: ORST 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.07 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.93)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 328 (Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - USU 14, ORST 10 0.00 56.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.36 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:55 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 25) Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 4 yds to the UthSt 29 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.13 57.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.42 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.42)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 6 at USU 29) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.41 57.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.39 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.39)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.0%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:09 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 3 at USU 32) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 1.26 56.1% 3.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.07 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.07)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:47 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44 - USU 14, ORST 10 0.86 59.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 2.29 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:40 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 1 at USU 44) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.26 61.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.14 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.14)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 61.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:25 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 46) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyjon Lindsey) to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.38 61.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.90 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:08 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 48) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.66 61.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.26 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.26)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:58 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 48) Cooper Legas pass complete to Derek Wright for 17 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 1.58 60.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 31

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 2.60 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.60)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:31 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 31) Cooper Legas pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 11 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 0.58 62.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 20

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 4.18 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.18)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:26 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 20) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.56 64.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.79 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.79)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:11 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at ORST 20) Elelyon Noa run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 1.17 63.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 9

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.24 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.24)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:01 ESPN team id 328 (1st & Goal at ORST 9) Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the OrgSt 9 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.64 65.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 5.39 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.39)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:11 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & Goal at ORST 9) Cooper Legas sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 14, ORST 10 -1.12 70.4% -8.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.72 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.72)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:40 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & Goal at ORST 11) Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 8 - USU 14, ORST 10 -0.98 65.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.80 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.80)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 14, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:05 ESPN team id 328 (4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 0.15 62.4% 8.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: USU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:05 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 54 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 19 yds to the OrgSt 30 - USU 17, ORST 10 0.60 35.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - -0.20 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:45 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 30) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 0.79 40.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 0.66 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:01 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 22 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 1.83 42.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 33

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 1.65 = 1.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:29 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 33) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the UthSt 25 - USU 17, ORST 10 0.56 44.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 3.39 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:45 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 2 at USU 25) B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27 - USU 17, ORST 10 -1.02 44.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 27

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.90 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.3%

Win Probability (After): 43.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 4 at USU 27) Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26 - USU 17, ORST 10 -1.72 42.9% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 2.92 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:55 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 3 at USU 26) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 -3.63 40.2% -6.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ORST 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:45 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 17, ORST 10 0.04 65.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.36 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 4 at USU 32) Derek Wright pass complete to Cooper Legas for 34 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 1.94 66.1% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 34

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.39 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:57 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 34) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 0.99 72.6% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 16

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 4.33 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:32 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 16) Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 13 - USU 17, ORST 10 -0.40 77.5% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.33 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:11 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 7 at ORST 13) Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 10 - USU 17, ORST 10 -0.32 77.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.94 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:27 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 4 at ORST 10) Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 1.43 77.2% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.10 - 4.67 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 78.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:21 ESPN team id 328 (1st & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 17, ORST 10 -0.50 80.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.62 - 6.11 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:12 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas run for no gain to the OrgSt 5 - USU 17, ORST 10 -1.01 79.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 5.62 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 17, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:49 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 2.40 79.7% 7.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: USU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:49 ESPN team id 204 (Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Tanner Miller at the OrgSt 25 - USU 24, ORST 10 0.00 14.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 25) Jesiah Irish run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31 - USU 24, ORST 10 0.36 12.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - -0.52 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:49 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 0.66 11.6% 2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - -0.15 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 36) Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 10 -0.47 13.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.51 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:05 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 7 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 1.94 12.2% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 0.07 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:18 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 6 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 10 0.39 14.5% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.09 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:36 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 4 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 - USU 24, ORST 10 -0.06 14.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.54 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.46)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:25 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 1 at USU 36) Jack Colletto run for 8 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 1.13 14.2% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 28

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.47 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 28) Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 17 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 1.23 16.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 11

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 3.58 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at USU 11) Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the UthSt 8 - USU 24, ORST 10 -0.25 20.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.76 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:18 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 7 at USU 8) B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the UthSt 7 - USU 24, ORST 10 -0.83 20.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 7

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.59 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.41)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:39 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 6 at USU 7) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 16 - USU 24, ORST 10 -2.40 16.4% -4.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 3.82 = -2.40

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 15 at USU 16) Everett Hayes 34 yd FG GOOD - USU 24, ORST 13 1.61 12.0% 5.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.39 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.61)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 328 (Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 58 yds , Savon Scarver return for 25 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.42 89.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.01 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.01)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:01 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 32) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.20 89.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.65 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.65)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:51 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 5 at USU 37) Cooper Legas sacked by Keonte Schad and Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keonte Schad) to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 0.93 90.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 2.62 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.45)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 47) Cooper Legas pass intercepted Kitan Oladapo return for no gain to the OrgSt 17 - USU 24, ORST 13 -3.12 91.2% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 83

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 3.42 = -3.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.42)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 17) Chance Nolan run for 19 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 1.41 13.1% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -0.23 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:10 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 36) B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.35 15.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.13 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.87)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:19 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 7 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 0.80 14.2% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 53

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.01 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.99)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 -5.07 16.2% -8.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 37) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.39 93.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: USU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.88 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.88)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:15 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 9 at USU 38) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 10:15 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.00 93.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: USU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.49 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.49)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:35 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 9 at USU 38) Cooper Legas sacked by Champ Flemings and Jaydon Grant for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 34 - USU 24, ORST 13 -1.29 92.8% -4.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 66

Started Drive at: USU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.29 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:29 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 13 at USU 34) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 24, ORST 13 -1.12 90.7% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: USU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.81 = -1.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.81)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:18 ESPN team id 328 (4th & 13 at USU 34) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 15 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.64 88.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 85

Started Drive at: USU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - -0.62 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.38)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:54 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 15) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 9 yds to the OrgSt 24 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.58 12.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - -0.03 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.03)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:43 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 1 at ORST 24) B.J. Baylor run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 1.37 12.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 0.51 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.49)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:25 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 44) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Deshaun Fenwick - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.39 13.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.75 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.25)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:25 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 10 at ORST 44) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Joshua Gray) to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.95 13.2% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.24 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.76)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 15 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the OrgSt 42 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.51 11.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - 0.38 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:45 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 12 at ORST 42) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Nous Keobounnam) to the OrgSt 37 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.44 8.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - -0.02 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.02)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 17 at ORST 37) Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.86 7.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.32 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:45 ESPN team id 204 (4th & 12 at ORST 42) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 - USU 24, ORST 13 -2.16 6.8% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: ORST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -0.83 = -2.16

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:30 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 47 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.42 95.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.92 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.92)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:15 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 10 at USU 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.42 96.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.15 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.15)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 95.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 7 at 50) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 11 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 1.94 96.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 1.65 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.65)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:41 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 39) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 04:41 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.00 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 3.59 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.59)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:36 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 39) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.06 98.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.43 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.43)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 6 at ORST 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Austin) to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 1.06 98.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 21

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 3.37 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.37)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at ORST 21) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 16 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.45 98.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 4.30 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 5 at ORST 16) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 04:15 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.00 98.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 4.75 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.75)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:02 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 5 at ORST 16) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 0.67 99.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 9

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.31 - 4.64 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.64)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:33 ESPN team id 328 (1st & Goal at ORST 9) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.94 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 5.26 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.26)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:33 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & Goal at ORST 11) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 03:33 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.00 99.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.31)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:56 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & Goal at ORST 11) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 2 - USU 24, ORST 13 1.35 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.06 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.06)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:42 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & Goal at ORST 2) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Champ Flemings) to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 1.07 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.34 - 5.27 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.27)

Score Difference (End): 11 (17.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:31 ESPN team id 328 (1st & Goal at ORST 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd Calvin Tyler Jr. fumbled, forced by Jaydon Grant, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights - USU 24, ORST 13 -6.99 99.4% -1.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 80

Started Drive at: USU 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 6.30 = -6.99

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.30)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.31)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:27 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 20) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.47 2.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.76 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.24)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:20 ESPN team id 204 (2nd & 10 at ORST 20) Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 9 yds to the OrgSt 29 - USU 24, ORST 13 0.07 1.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.45 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:00 ESPN team id 204 (3rd & 1 at ORST 29) B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 0.87 2.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.60 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.40)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:49 ESPN team id 204 (1st & 10 at ORST 34) Chance Nolan pass intercepted Hunter Reynolds return for no gain to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 -2.82 1.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68

Started Drive at: ORST 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 1.23 = -2.82

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 328 (1st & 10 at USU 32) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 28 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.60 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 72

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.25 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.25)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:45 ESPN team id 328 (2nd & 14 at USU 28) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 24 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.26 99.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 76

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.39 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.39)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 328 (3rd & 18 at USU 24) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 20 - USU 24, ORST 13 -0.36 98.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 80

Started Drive at: USU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - 0.02 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.02)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: USU 24, ORST 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2