Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 4.22 | Odds: ORST -6.5, O/U 68.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.02 35th %ile | -0.08 27th %ile |
| Success Rate | 40% 42nd %ile | 47% 74th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.49 36th %ile | 6.74 70th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.17 62nd %ile | -0.27 17th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | -0.18 19th %ile | 0.12 65th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 7.80 71st %ile | 7.74 71st %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 3% 4th %ile | 3% 4th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 56% 84th %ile | 25% 12th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 38% 45th %ile | 43% 57th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 16% 3rd %ile | 30% 49th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 17% 88th %ile | 12% 62nd %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 84 | 77 |
| Total EPA | 3.61 | -9.31 |
| Offensive EPA | -1.27 | -5.17 |
| Special Teams EPA | 0.32 | -0.83 |
| Penalty EPA | 6.38 | -2.07 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -1.82 | -1.24 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 66 |
| Yards | 412 | 445 |
| Yards/Play | 5.49 | 6.74 |
| EPA | -1.27 | -5.17 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | -0.08 |
| Passes | 35 (47%) | 34 (52%) |
| Yards | 273 | 263 |
| Yards/Play | 7.80 | 7.74 |
| EPA | 6.10 | -9.09 |
| EPA/Play | 0.17 | -0.27 |
| Rushes | 40 (53%) | 32 (48%) |
| Yards | 126 | 185 |
| Yards/Play | 3.15 | 5.78 |
| EPA | -7.37 | 3.92 |
| EPA/Play | -0.18 | 0.12 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 66 |
| Rushes | 40 (53%) | 32 (48%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (2%) | 2 (6%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 2 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 12 (30%) | 5 (16%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 19 (48%) | 10 (31%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 14 (35%) | 19 (59%) |
| OL Line Yards | 34 | 60.7 |
| Per Carry | 0.85 | 1.90 |
| Highlight Yards | 32 | 56 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.29 | 2.95 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 84 | 77 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 66 |
| Explosive Plays | 2 (3%) | 2 (3%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 1 (3%) | 1 (3%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (2%) | 1 (3%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -9.64 | -10.18 |
| EPA/Play | -0.13 | -0.16 |
| When Passing | 0.39 | -11.77 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | -0.35 |
| When Rushing | -10.03 | 1.60 |
| EPA/Play | -0.26 | 0.05 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 30 (40%) | 31 (47%) |
| When Passing | 16 (46%) | 14 (41%) |
| When Rushing | 14 (35%) | 17 (53%) |
| On Standard Downs | 23 (43%) | 27 (57%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (33%) | 4 (21%) |
| On Early Downs | 25 (40%) | 27 (52%) |
| On Late Downs | 5 (42%) | 4 (29%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 6 (35%) | 1 (20%) |
| Early Downs | 63 | 52 |
| First Downs Created | 17 (27%) | 18 (35%) |
| EPA | 0.17 | 1.55 |
| EPA/Play | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Passes | 27 (43%) | 24 (46%) |
| Rushes | 36 (57%) | 28 (54%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 13 (48%) | 12 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 12 (33%) | 15 (54%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 17 | 5 |
| EPA | 1.30 | -1.09 |
| EPA/play | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Passes | 10 (59%) | 2 (40%) |
| Rushes | 7 (41%) | 3 (60%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (30%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 3 (43%) | 1 (33%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 12 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 27 | Own 20 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.39 | 7.73 |
| Yards/Drive | 47.81 | 43.80 |
| Available Yards % | 65% | 55% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 66 | 75 |
| Stop Rate | 45% | 39% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 8 (12%) | 13 (17%) |
| Passing | 6 (18%) | 6 (17%) |
| Rushing | 2 (6%) | 7 (18%) |
| TFLs Generated | 6 | 10 |
| Passing | 4 | 4 |
| Rushing | 2 | 6 |
| Sacks Generated | 4 (12%) | 4 (11%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles Forced | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | -1 | 1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -3.9 | 3.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 9 | 11 |
| Total EPA | 0.32 | -0.83 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.15 | -1.21 |
| Punting EPA | 0.33 | -0.29 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -0.16 | 0.67 |
Utah State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Cooper Legas | 11/20, 171 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 78.8 xQBR, 0.64 DETMER | 7.12 | 0.25 | 6.08 | 42% | 2.0% | |
| Derek Wright | 1/1, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 76.2 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 34.00 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Logan Bonner | 6/10, 68 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 41.0 xQBR, 0.09 DETMER | 6.80 | -0.19 | -1.93 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Elelyon Noa | 6 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.67 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Cooper Legas | 3 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.23 | -0.68 | 33% | -2.0% | |
| Logan Bonner | 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.71 | -0.71 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| TEAM | 3 carries, -12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -4.00 | -0.41 | -1.22 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| Savon Scarver | 1 carry, -10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -10.00 | -2.21 | -2.21 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Calvin Tyler Jr. | 26 carries, 120 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 4.62 | -0.10 | -2.63 | 42% | 3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Brandon Bowling | 4 catches (4 targets), 51 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.75 | 1.75 | 6.99 | 100% | 14.0% | |
| Deven Thompkins | 6 catches (8 targets), 115 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.17 | 0.78 | 6.21 | 62% | 16.0% | |
| Derek Wright | 3 catches (5 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.42 | 2.10 | 60% | 2.0% | |
| Cooper Legas | 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 34.00 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Carson Terrell | 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.50 | 0.79 | 1.58 | 50% | 5.0% | |
| Elelyon Noa | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Justin McGriff | 1 catch (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.08 | -0.17 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Calvin Tyler Jr. | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.04 | -1.04 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Oregon State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Chance Nolan | 21/30, 263 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 49.3 xQBR, 0.33 DETMER | 7.74 | -0.27 | -9.09 | 41% | -3.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jesiah Irish | 2 carries, 26 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 1.34 | 2.68 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Chance Nolan | 4 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.40 | 1.61 | 50% | 4.0% | |
| Jack Colletto | 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Anthony Gould | 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 100% | -2.0% | |
| B.J. Baylor | 18 carries, 78 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.33 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 50% | 13.0% | |
| Champ Flemings | 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| Trey Lowe | 5 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.80 | -0.40 | -1.98 | 40% | -5.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Trevon Bradford | 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.50 | 1.94 | 3.88 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Zeriah Beason | 1 catch (1 target), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 39.00 | 2.39 | 2.39 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Teagan Quitoriano | 3 catches (3 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.76 | 2.27 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| B.J. Baylor | 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Trey Lowe | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | 3.0% | |
| Luke Musgrave | 3 catches (4 targets), 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.67 | -0.06 | -0.22 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Anthony Gould | 2 catches (4 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | -0.08 | -0.33 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Deshaun Fenwick | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.39 | -0.39 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Champ Flemings | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.51 | -0.51 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Silas Bolden | 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.50 | -0.34 | -0.68 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Tre'Shaun Harrison | 4 catches (4 targets), 55 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 13.75 | -0.39 | -1.54 | 75% | -2.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2:31 | |
(1st & Goal at ORST 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd Calvin Tyler Jr. fumbled, forced by Jaydon Grant, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights - USU 24, ORST 13 | -6.99 | 99.4% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 80 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 6.30 = -6.99 Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.30) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 | 5.71 | 21.8% | 12.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 | -5.07 | 16.2% | -8.3% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:28 | |
(3rd & 5 at ORST 34) Logan Bonner pass intercepted, touchback. Akili Arnold return for no gain - USU 0, ORST 7 | -3.90 | 23.0% | -5.6% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 80 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - 2.00 = -3.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.00) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:55 | |
(4th & 3 at USU 27) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 | -3.62 | 40.2% | -6.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 74 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:38 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 47) Cooper Legas pass intercepted Kitan Oladapo return for no gain to the OrgSt 17 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -3.12 | 91.2% | -4.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 83 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 3.42 = -3.12 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.42) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:49 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 34) Chance Nolan pass intercepted Hunter Reynolds return for no gain to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -2.82 | 1.7% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 1.23 = -2.82 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.77) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:56 | |
(3rd & 7 at ORST 23) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 20 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 2.69 | 81.3% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.47 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.3% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 | 2.66 | 45.0% | 5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:02 | |
(4th & 3 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 | -2.52 | 80.8% | -3.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 1.42 = -2.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 | 5.71 | 21.8% | 12.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:11 | |
(2nd & Goal at ORST 9) Cooper Legas sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -1.12 | 70.4% | -8.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.72 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.72) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.15 | 62.4% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.4% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 | -5.07 | 16.2% | -8.3% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:40 | |
(4th & 10 at USU 20) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.76 | 65.5% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 14:02 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 | 2.32 | 75.1% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 82.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 | 2.40 | 79.7% | 7.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:55 | |
(4th & 3 at USU 27) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 | -3.62 | 40.2% | -6.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 74 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 | 2.66 | 45.0% | 5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:05 | |
(2nd & 4 at USU 32) Derek Wright pass complete to Cooper Legas for 34 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 1.94 | 66.1% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.39 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 14:02 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 | 2.32 | 75.1% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 82.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 | 5.71 | 21.8% | 12.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:40 | |
(4th & 10 at USU 20) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.76 | 65.5% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 | 2.66 | 45.0% | 5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.15 | 62.4% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.4% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 | 2.40 | 79.7% | 7.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:35 | |
(4th & 15 at USU 17) Everett Hayes 34 yd FG GOOD - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.66 | 12.0% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.34 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.66) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 17.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 56 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 20 yds to the OrgSt 29 - USU 0, ORST 0 | 0.51 | 66.3% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 0.86 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:44 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 29) B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 0 | 0.56 | 68.6% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 59 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 1.55 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.6% Win Probability (After): 69.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 41) Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 39 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 0 | 2.39 | 71.2% | 4.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 20 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 2.26 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 75.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:02 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 20) Jesiah Irish run for 20 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK) - USU 0, ORST 7 | 2.32 | 75.1% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: ORST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.68 = 2.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 82.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:02 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 21 yds to the UthSt 21 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.19 | 21.7% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.21 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:30 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 21) Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 19 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 1.52 | 21.4% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 60 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - -0.42 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.4% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 40) Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 8 yds to the UthSt 48 - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.74 | 24.7% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.10 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.7% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:50 | |
(2nd & 2 at USU 48) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.52 | 24.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 51 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.86 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 25.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:25 | |
(3rd & 1 at USU 49) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.82 | 23.7% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.31 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.7% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.61 | 25.1% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 46 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.15 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:37 | |
(2nd & 9 at ORST 46) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr. - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.04 | 23.3% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.57 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.43) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:33 | |
(3rd & 9 at ORST 46) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.94 | 21.0% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.61 = -1.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 19.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:33 | |
(4th & 9 at ORST 46) UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 49 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.49 | 19.3% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -1.23 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.23) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.3% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:24 | |
(4th & 14 at USU 49) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, downed at the OrgSt 4 - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.84 | 18.1% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 96 Started Drive at: USU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - -1.76 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.92) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.1% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 4) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cam Lampkin) to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 1.19 | 83.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 76 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 0.93 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.5% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.60 | 81.4% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.09 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.09) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 24) Trey Lowe run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32 - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.18 | 81.4% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 68 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 1.58 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:24 | |
(3rd & 2 at ORST 32) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the OrgSt 27 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.16 | 81.7% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 73 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.90 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.7% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:04 | |
(3rd & 7 at ORST 27) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Anthony Gould - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.26 | 80.8% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.75 = -1.26 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:56 | |
(4th & 7 at ORST 27) Luke Loecher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 27 - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.36 | 79.8% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: ORST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - -0.56 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.80) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 79.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:36 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 27) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.21 | 21.0% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.42 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 20.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:12 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 31) Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 12 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 1.34 | 20.8% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 0.21 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.79) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:03 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 43) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 46 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.32 | 23.4% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.54 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 22.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:45 | |
(2nd & 7 at USU 46) Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 15 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 1.75 | 21.3% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.12 = 1.75 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:09 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 39) Logan Bonner run for no gain to the OrgSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.71 | 24.5% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.81 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.5% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 39) Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.05 | 23.6% | -2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 2.16 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.6% Win Probability (After): 20.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:35 | |
(3rd & 10 at ORST 39) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keonte Schad) to the OrgSt 34 - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.92 | 21.0% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 1.12 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 23.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:28 | |
(3rd & 5 at ORST 34) Logan Bonner pass intercepted, touchback. Akili Arnold return for no gain - USU 0, ORST 7 | -3.90 | 23.0% | -5.6% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 80 Started Drive at: USU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - 2.00 = -3.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.00) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 20) B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.63 | 82.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.94 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.0% Win Probability (After): 81.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:35 | |
(2nd & 9 at ORST 21) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.97 | 82.4% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.42 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.4% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:56 | |
(3rd & 7 at ORST 23) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 20 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 2.69 | 81.3% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 57 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.47 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.3% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 43) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down - USU 0, ORST 7 | 0.61 | 85.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.17 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.17) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.1% Win Probability (After): 85.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 46) B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.53 | 84.7% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.78 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.78) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(2nd & 8 at USU 44) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.83 | 85.1% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 50 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 3.27 = -1.83 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.1% Win Probability (After): 82.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:42 | |
(3rd & 14 at 50) Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 11 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.04 | 80.4% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.45 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:02 | |
(4th & 3 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 0, ORST 7 | -2.52 | 80.8% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 1.42 = -2.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.8% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 39) Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.58 | 23.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: USU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.11 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.89) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 39) Savon Scarver run for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 29 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -2.21 | 22.1% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 71 Started Drive at: USU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.71 - 0.50 = -2.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:45 | |
(3rd & 20 at USU 29) Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 10 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.17 | 18.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 61 Started Drive at: USU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -1.62 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.62) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 19.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:30 | |
(4th & 10 at USU 39) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 26 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.80 | 19.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 74 Started Drive at: USU 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - -1.61 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 1:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 26) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 26 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.67 | 80.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: ORST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.43 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.5% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:21 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 26) Chance Nolan sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 15 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -1.84 | 79.0% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 85 Started Drive at: ORST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.75 = -1.84 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -11 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.0% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(3rd & 21 at ORST 15) Trey Lowe run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.77 | 75.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 77 Started Drive at: ORST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.11 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.89) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.3% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:51 | |
(4th & 13 at ORST 23) Luke Loecher punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 38 - USU 0, ORST 7 | -0.39 | 77.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 62 Started Drive at: ORST 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -0.87 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 0, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.8% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 38) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 62 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 7, ORST 7 | 5.71 | 21.8% | 12.9% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.29 = 5.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:42 | |
(Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 54 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 14 yds to the OrgSt 49 OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 15 - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.44 | 63.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.18 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 15) Anthony Gould run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.47 | 65.1% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.71 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 63.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:45 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 25) B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31 - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.34 | 65.8% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.14 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.8% Win Probability (After): 68.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:18 | |
(2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.52 | 66.1% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 1.50 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.50) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 68.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 35) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 21 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 | 1.30 | 67.5% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 44 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.02 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 70.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:04 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 44) B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.31 | 69.5% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.38 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.38) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:43 | |
(2nd & 3 at USU 37) Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.43 | 70.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 31 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.69 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 31) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the UthSt 31 - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.56 | 70.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.09 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.0% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 31) B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27 - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.33 | 66.6% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 27 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 3.57 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:54 | |
(3rd & 6 at USU 27) Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 8 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 7 | 1.46 | 65.6% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.25 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.6% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:23 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 19) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the UthSt 24 - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.81 | 70.2% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 24 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 4.68 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.68) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.2% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:05 | |
(1st & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Anthony Gould - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.60 | 68.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.82 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.0% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:57 | |
(2nd & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.72 | 68.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.23 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.6% Win Probability (After): 65.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:49 | |
(3rd & 15 at USU 24) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave - USU 7, ORST 7 | -0.50 | 65.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.45 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:49 | |
(4th & 15 at USU 24) UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the UthSt 19 - USU 7, ORST 7 | 0.32 | 63.5% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 1.94 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.5% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:40 | |
(4th & 10 at USU 20) Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.76 | 65.5% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.24 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:40 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 15 yds to the UthSt 15 - USU 7, ORST 10 | -0.39 | 30.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.83 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.17) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.5% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:14 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.59 | 30.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.48 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.52) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.2% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:00 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.73 | 32.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 65 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.10 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.90) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 31.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:33 | |
(2nd & 1 at USU 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34 - USU 7, ORST 10 | -0.99 | 32.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.77 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.23) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 31.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:46 | |
(3rd & 2 at USU 34) Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.73 | 32.3% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 0.93 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.07) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.3% Win Probability (After): 33.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:11 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 41 - USU 7, ORST 10 | 0.08 | 34.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 1.66 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.34) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 41) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 43 - USU 7, ORST 10 | -0.27 | 34.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.32 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.0% Win Probability (After): 33.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:28 | |
(3rd & 4 at USU 43) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kitan Oladapo) to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 | 1.42 | 33.5% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.17 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.83) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:22 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 45) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 7, ORST 10 | -0.48 | 37.5% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.71 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.5% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 45) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 | 1.40 | 35.6% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 31 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.26 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:41 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 31) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 16 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST down - USU 7, ORST 10 | 1.13 | 42.3% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 15 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 3.63 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.3% Win Probability (After): 45.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 15) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Derek Wright - USU 7, ORST 10 | -0.58 | 45.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 4.77 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.77) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 7, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.8% Win Probability (After): 44.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:24 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 15) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 14, ORST 10 | 2.66 | 45.0% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:24 | |
(Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 64 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 24 yds to the OrgSt 25 - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:01 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 25) Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.91 | 50.9% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 0.79 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 53.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:36 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 36) B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Byron Vaughns) to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.77 | 53.5% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 1.50 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.5% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:54 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 49) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 44 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -1.06 | 54.8% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 56 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.12 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.88) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 49.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:44 | |
(2nd & 17 at ORST 44) Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.10 | 49.8% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.97 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.03) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:43 | |
(3rd & 11 at 50) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 02:43 - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.87 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.13) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:43 | |
(3rd & 11 at 50) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Brandon Kipper) to the OrgSt 45 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.27 | 50.0% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 55 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.79 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.21) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:32 | |
(3rd & 16 at ORST 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 8 yds to the UthSt 47 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.63 | 47.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.58 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.42) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:49 | |
(4th & 8 at USU 47) Luke Loecher punt for 36 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 46 UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the UthSt 6 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.26 | 46.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 94 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.16 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.04) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 45.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:35 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 6) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 8 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.08 | 55.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 92 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.03 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.03) Score Difference (End): 4 (3.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:55 | |
(2nd & 8 at USU 8) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.87 | 55.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 74 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.07 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.07) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 58.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.48 | 57.4% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 0.53 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.53) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 59.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:35 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.04 | 60.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.81 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.81) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriff - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.03 | 59.0% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.62 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.0% Win Probability (After): 58.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(3rd & 10 at USU 37) Cooper Legas sacked by Keonte Schad for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 32 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.30 | 56.9% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.34 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 53.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(4th & 15 at USU 32) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 00:24 - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.04) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.4% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:19 | |
(4th & 15 at USU 32) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 37 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.36 | 55.2% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - -0.03 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.97) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 37) Champ Flemings run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 35 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.07 | 44.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65 Started Drive at: ORST 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.07 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.93) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.4% Win Probability (After): 44.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.36 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.36) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 56.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 25) Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 4 yds to the UthSt 29 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.13 | 57.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.42 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.42) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 56.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:30 | |
(2nd & 6 at USU 29) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.41 | 57.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.39 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.39) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 55.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:09 | |
(3rd & 3 at USU 32) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 1.26 | 56.1% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.07 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.07) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:47 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44 - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.86 | 59.2% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 2.29 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.2% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:40 | |
(2nd & 1 at USU 44) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.26 | 61.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.14 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.14) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.3% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:25 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 46) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyjon Lindsey) to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.38 | 61.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.90 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.2% Win Probability (After): 62.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:08 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 48) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.66 | 61.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.26 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.26) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.8% Win Probability (After): 60.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:58 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 48) Cooper Legas pass complete to Derek Wright for 17 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 1.58 | 60.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 31 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 2.60 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.60) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 62.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:31 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 31) Cooper Legas pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 11 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 0.58 | 62.1% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 20 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 4.18 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.18) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:26 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 20) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.56 | 64.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.79 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.79) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 20) Elelyon Noa run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down - USU 14, ORST 10 | 1.17 | 63.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 9 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.24 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.24) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.7% Win Probability (After): 65.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:01 | |
(1st & Goal at ORST 9) Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the OrgSt 9 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.64 | 65.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 5.39 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.39) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:11 | |
(2nd & Goal at ORST 9) Cooper Legas sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -1.12 | 70.4% | -8.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.72 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.72) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:40 | |
(3rd & Goal at ORST 11) Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 8 - USU 14, ORST 10 | -0.98 | 65.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.80 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.80) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 14, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.7% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & Goal at ORST 8) Connor Coles 25 yd FG GOOD - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.15 | 62.4% | 8.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: USU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.4% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 54 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 19 yds to the OrgSt 30 - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.60 | 35.3% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - -0.20 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.3% Win Probability (After): 36.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:45 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 30) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.79 | 40.6% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 0.66 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 39.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:01 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 22 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 1.83 | 42.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 33 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 1.65 = 1.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 44.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:29 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 33) B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the UthSt 25 - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.56 | 44.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 3.39 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.2% Win Probability (After): 45.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:45 | |
(2nd & 2 at USU 25) B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27 - USU 17, ORST 10 | -1.02 | 44.3% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 27 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.90 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.3% Win Probability (After): 43.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:00 | |
(3rd & 4 at USU 27) Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26 - USU 17, ORST 10 | -1.72 | 42.9% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 26 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 2.92 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.9% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:55 | |
(4th & 3 at USU 27) Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED - USU 17, ORST 10 | -3.62 | 40.2% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 74 Started Drive at: ORST 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.39 - 1.24 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.39) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:45 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 26) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.04 | 65.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.36 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.7% Win Probability (After): 65.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:05 | |
(2nd & 4 at USU 32) Derek Wright pass complete to Cooper Legas for 34 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 1.94 | 66.1% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 34 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.39 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:57 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 34) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 0.99 | 72.6% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 16 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 4.33 = 0.99 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 75.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:32 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 16) Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 13 - USU 17, ORST 10 | -0.40 | 77.5% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.33 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.5% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:11 | |
(2nd & 7 at ORST 13) Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 10 - USU 17, ORST 10 | -0.32 | 77.0% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.94 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:27 | |
(3rd & 4 at ORST 10) Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down - USU 17, ORST 10 | 1.43 | 77.2% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.10 - 4.67 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.2% Win Probability (After): 78.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:21 | |
(1st & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 17, ORST 10 | -0.50 | 80.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.62 - 6.11 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.11) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:12 | |
(2nd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas run for no gain to the OrgSt 5 - USU 17, ORST 10 | -1.01 | 79.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 5.62 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 17, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(3rd & Goal at ORST 5) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) - USU 24, ORST 10 | 2.40 | 79.7% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: USU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(Kickoff at ORST 35) Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Tanner Miller at the OrgSt 25 - USU 24, ORST 10 | 0.00 | 14.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 25) Jesiah Irish run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31 - USU 24, ORST 10 | 0.36 | 12.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - -0.52 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 14.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(2nd & 4 at ORST 31) B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 | 0.66 | 11.6% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - -0.15 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 36) Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 10 | -0.47 | 13.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.51 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 11.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 | 1.94 | 12.2% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 45 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 0.07 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.93) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.2% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:18 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 45) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 6 yds to the UthSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 10 | 0.39 | 14.5% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.09 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.91) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 16.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:36 | |
(2nd & 4 at USU 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 - USU 24, ORST 10 | -0.06 | 14.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.54 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.46) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 14.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:25 | |
(3rd & 1 at USU 36) Jack Colletto run for 8 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 | 1.13 | 14.2% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 28 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.47 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.53) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.2% Win Probability (After): 17.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 28) Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 17 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 10 | 1.23 | 16.9% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 11 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 3.58 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:49 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 11) Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the UthSt 8 - USU 24, ORST 10 | -0.25 | 20.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.76 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.2% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:18 | |
(2nd & 7 at USU 8) B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the UthSt 7 - USU 24, ORST 10 | -0.83 | 20.2% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 7 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.59 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.41) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.2% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:39 | |
(3rd & 6 at USU 7) Chance Nolan sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 16 - USU 24, ORST 10 | -2.40 | 16.4% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 16 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 3.82 = -2.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.18) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 12.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:35 | |
(4th & 15 at USU 17) Everett Hayes 34 yd FG GOOD - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.66 | 12.0% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: ORST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.34 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.66) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 17.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:35 | |
(Kickoff at USU 35) Everett Hayes kickoff for 58 yds , Savon Scarver return for 25 yds to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.42 | 89.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.01 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.01) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:01 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 32) Cooper Legas pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 37 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.20 | 89.6% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.65 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.65) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:51 | |
(2nd & 5 at USU 37) Cooper Legas sacked by Keonte Schad and Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keonte Schad) to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.93 | 90.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 2.62 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.45) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 91.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:38 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 47) Cooper Legas pass intercepted Kitan Oladapo return for no gain to the OrgSt 17 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -3.12 | 91.2% | -4.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 83 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 3.42 = -3.12 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.42) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 17) Chance Nolan run for 19 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.41 | 13.1% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 64 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -0.23 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.23) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.1% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 36) B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.35 | 15.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.13 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.87) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.2% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(2nd & 7 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.80 | 14.2% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 53 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.01 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.99) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.2% Win Probability (After): 17.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 47) Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 16 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by UthSt AJ Vongphachanh - USU 24, ORST 13 | -5.07 | 16.2% | -8.3% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 63 Started Drive at: ORST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.99 - 2.08 = -5.07 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.92) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 37) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.39 | 93.1% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.88 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.88) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.1% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:15 | |
(2nd & 9 at USU 38) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 10:15 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.00 | 93.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.49 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.49) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 93.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:35 | |
(2nd & 9 at USU 38) Cooper Legas sacked by Champ Flemings and Jaydon Grant for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 34 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -1.29 | 92.8% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.29 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 88.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:29 | |
(3rd & 13 at USU 34) Cooper Legas pass incomplete - USU 24, ORST 13 | -1.12 | 90.7% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.81 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.81) Score Difference (End): 11 (10.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:18 | |
(4th & 13 at USU 34) Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 15 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.64 | 88.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 85 Started Drive at: USU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - -0.62 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.38) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.02) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:54 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 15) Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 9 yds to the OrgSt 24 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.58 | 12.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - -0.03 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.03) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.4% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:43 | |
(2nd & 1 at ORST 24) B.J. Baylor run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.37 | 12.8% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 56 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 0.51 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.49) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.8% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:25 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 44) Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Deshaun Fenwick - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.39 | 13.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.75 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.25) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 44) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Joshua Gray) to the OrgSt 39 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.95 | 13.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.24 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.76) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 11.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(2nd & 15 at ORST 39) Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the OrgSt 42 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.51 | 11.5% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - 0.38 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.62) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:45 | |
(3rd & 12 at ORST 42) OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Nous Keobounnam) to the OrgSt 37 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.44 | 8.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - -0.02 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.02) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 8.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:00 | |
(3rd & 17 at ORST 37) Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.86 | 7.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.32 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.32) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(4th & 12 at ORST 42) Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -2.16 | 6.8% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53 Started Drive at: ORST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -0.83 = -2.16 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.83) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 4.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:30 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 47 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.42 | 95.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.92 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.92) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at USU 47) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.42 | 96.9% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.15 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.15) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.9% Win Probability (After): 95.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at 50) Cooper Legas pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 11 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.94 | 96.9% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 1.65 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.65) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.9% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:41 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 39) Timeout UTAH ST, clock 04:41 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.00 | 98.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 3.59 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.59) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:36 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 39) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.06 | 98.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.43 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.43) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:30 | |
(2nd & 6 at ORST 35) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Austin) to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.06 | 98.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 21 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 3.37 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.37) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.4% Win Probability (After): 98.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 21) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 16 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.45 | 98.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 4.30 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.30) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at ORST 16) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 04:15 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.00 | 98.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 4.75 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.75) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:02 | |
(2nd & 5 at ORST 16) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.67 | 99.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 9 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.31 - 4.64 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.64) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:33 | |
(1st & Goal at ORST 9) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.94 | 99.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 5.26 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.26) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:33 | |
(2nd & Goal at ORST 11) Timeout OREGON ST, clock 03:33 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.00 | 99.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 4.31 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.31) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:56 | |
(2nd & Goal at ORST 11) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 2 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.35 | 99.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.06 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.06) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:42 | |
(3rd & Goal at ORST 2) OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Champ Flemings) to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 1.07 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.34 - 5.27 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.27) Score Difference (End): 11 (17.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:31 | |
(1st & Goal at ORST 1) Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd Calvin Tyler Jr. fumbled, forced by Jaydon Grant, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights - USU 24, ORST 13 | -6.99 | 99.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 80 Started Drive at: USU 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 6.30 = -6.99 Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.30) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 20) Chance Nolan pass incomplete - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.47 | 2.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.76 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.24) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.2% Win Probability (After): 2.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at ORST 20) Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 9 yds to the OrgSt 29 - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.07 | 1.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 71 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.45 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.9% Win Probability (After): 2.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at ORST 29) B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down - USU 24, ORST 13 | 0.87 | 2.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.60 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.40) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.1% Win Probability (After): 2.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:49 | |
(1st & 10 at ORST 34) Chance Nolan pass intercepted Hunter Reynolds return for no gain to the UthSt 32 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -2.82 | 1.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68 Started Drive at: ORST 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 1.23 = -2.82 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.77) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(1st & 10 at USU 32) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 28 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.60 | 99.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 72 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 1.25 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.25) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:45 | |
(2nd & 14 at USU 28) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 24 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.26 | 99.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 76 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.39 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.39) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(3rd & 18 at USU 24) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 20 - USU 24, ORST 13 | -0.36 | 98.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 80 Started Drive at: USU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - 0.02 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.02) Score Difference (End): 11 (10.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: USU 24, ORST 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -12 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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