Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.19 | Odds: UL -4, O/U 55.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 95 | 71 |
| Total EPA | 6.46 | -11.43 |
| Offensive EPA | 6.33 | -7.68 |
| Special Teams EPA | -3.16 | -2.47 |
| Penalty EPA | 1.51 | -0.79 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 1.78 | -0.49 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 83 | 56 |
| Yards | 498 | 292 |
| Yards/Play | 6.00 | 5.21 |
| EPA | 6.33 | -7.68 |
| EPA/Play | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| Passes | 34 (41%) | 28 (50%) |
| Yards | 278 | 99 |
| Yards/Play | 8.18 | 3.54 |
| EPA | 5.50 | -15.53 |
| EPA/Play | 0.16 | -0.55 |
| Rushes | 49 (59%) | 28 (50%) |
| Yards | 232 | 201 |
| Yards/Play | 4.73 | 7.18 |
| EPA | 0.84 | 7.85 |
| EPA/Play | 0.02 | 0.28 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 83 | 56 |
| Rushes | 49 (59%) | 28 (50%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (2%) | 3 (11%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 2 (67%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 13 (27%) | 5 (18%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 20 (41%) | 8 (29%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 22 (45%) | 15 (54%) |
| OL Line Yards | 66.4 | 23.1 |
| Per Carry | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| Highlight Yards | 88.5 | 115 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 4.02 | 7.67 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 95 | 71 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 83 | 56 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (6%) | 6 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (9%) | 1 (4%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (4%) | 5 (18%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -11.93 | -25.92 |
| EPA/Play | -0.15 | -0.52 |
| When Passing | -6.95 | -17.94 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | -0.64 |
| When Rushing | -4.98 | -7.98 |
| EPA/Play | -0.11 | -0.35 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 37 (45%) | 20 (36%) |
| When Passing | 15 (44%) | 8 (29%) |
| When Rushing | 22 (45%) | 12 (43%) |
| On Standard Downs | 24 (43%) | 15 (39%) |
| On Passing Downs | 13 (48%) | 5 (28%) |
| On Early Downs | 28 (43%) | 15 (35%) |
| On Late Downs | 9 (50%) | 5 (38%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 4 (29%) | 3 (43%) |
| Early Downs | 65 | 43 |
| First Downs Created | 15 (23%) | 9 (21%) |
| EPA | 5.45 | -4.22 |
| EPA/Play | 0.08 | -0.10 |
| Passes | 24 (37%) | 23 (53%) |
| Rushes | 41 (63%) | 20 (47%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 11 (46%) | 7 (30%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 17 (41%) | 8 (40%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 14 | 7 |
| EPA | 1.01 | -5.44 |
| EPA/play | 0.07 | -0.78 |
| Passes | 6 (43%) | 5 (71%) |
| Rushes | 8 (57%) | 2 (29%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (50%) | 2 (40%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (13%) | 1 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 14 | 13 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 30 | Own 28 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.12 | 6.04 |
| Yards/Drive | 49.98 | 26.71 |
| Available Yards % | 72% | 37% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 56 | 83 |
| Stop Rate | 59% | 30% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 9 (16%) | 14 (17%) |
| Passing | 5 (18%) | 3 (9%) |
| Rushing | 4 (14%) | 11 (22%) |
| TFLs Generated | 8 | 14 |
| Passing | 4 | 3 |
| Rushing | 4 | 11 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (7%) | 2 (6%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 2 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 2 | -2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 8.9 | -8.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 12 | 15 |
| Total EPA | -3.16 | -2.47 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.68 | 0 |
| Punting EPA | -3.81 | -2.56 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -1.03 | 0.09 |
Louisiana [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Levi Lewis | 19/31, 270 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 54.5 xQBR | 8.18 | 0.16 | 5.40 | 42% | 27.0% | |
| Chandler Fields | 1/1, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 59.2 xQBR | 8.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Emani Bailey | 17 carries, 94 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.53 | 0.29 | 4.99 | 59% | 7.0% | |
| Levi Lewis | 10 carries, 86 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.60 | 0.07 | 0.70 | 40% | 0.0% | |
| T.J. Wisham | 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.76 | -0.76 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.79 | -1.57 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Montrell Johnson | 19 carries, 54 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.84 | -0.13 | -2.51 | 42% | -7.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Michael Jefferson | 3 catches (4 targets), 108 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 36.00 | 1.85 | 7.38 | 75% | 32.0% | |
| Jacob Bernard | 2 catches (2 targets), 59 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 29.50 | 2.61 | 5.22 | 100% | 14.0% | |
| John Stephens Jr. | 3 catches (4 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.73 | 2.92 | 75% | 4.0% | |
| Emani Bailey | 2 catches (3 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 0.86 | 2.58 | 67% | 2.0% | |
| Montrell Johnson | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.45 | -0.45 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Kaleb Carter | 2 catches (2 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.37 | -0.73 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Pearse Migl | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.73 | -0.73 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Errol Rogers Jr. | 2 catches (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.40 | -0.81 | 50% | -3.0% | |
| Kyren Lacy | 1 catch (5 targets), 9 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | -0.30 | -1.49 | 20% | 4.0% | |
| Dontae Fleming | 4 catches (7 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.75 | -0.69 | -4.84 | 43% | -10.0% | |
Marshall [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Grant Wells | 15/26, 99 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 18.2 xQBR | 3.54 | -0.55 | -15.53 | 29% | -28.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Rasheen Ali | 20 carries, 160 yds, 3 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.41 | 8.13 | 45% | 25.0% | |
| Willie Johnson | 2 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.50 | 0.57 | 1.14 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Grant Wells | 2 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.16 | -0.32 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Sheldon Evans | 4 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.27 | -1.10 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Shadeed Ahmed | 2 catches (3 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.50 | 0.73 | 2.19 | 67% | 5.0% | |
| Xavier Gaines | 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Jayden Harrison | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| Corey Gammage | 9 catches (9 targets), 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.56 | -0.06 | -0.54 | 56% | 4.0% | |
| Talik Keaton | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.55 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Willie Johnson | 0 catches (3 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.59 | -1.77 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Rasheen Ali | 1 catch (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -1.26 | -2.51 | 0% | -6.0% | |
| Devin Miller | 1 catch (3 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.93 | -2.80 | 0% | -9.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 0:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 37) Rasheen Ali 63 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 6.35 | 16.5% | 14.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.65 = 6.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q4 10:09 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 40) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 48 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 4.65 | 34.3% | 19.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 0.45 = 4.65 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.55) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & 1 at MRSH 12) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -4.08 | 72.9% | -9.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 88 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 3.86 = -4.08 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.86) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.9% Win Probability (After): 63.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:54 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 29) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 54 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST down - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 4.00 | 65.2% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 17 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 0.61 = 4.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.61) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.2% Win Probability (After): 80.8% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 42 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST down - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 3.80 | 61.9% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 4 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 1.67 = 3.80 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (4.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.9% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:22 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 38) Grant Wells sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 31 Grant Wells fumbled, forced by Andre Jones, recovered by LaLaf Kris Moncrief , return for 0 yards - UL 36, MRSH 21 | -3.69 | 0.5% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 31 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.84 - 0.85 = -3.69 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.15) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:28 | |
(2nd & 2 at UL 25) Levi Lewis run for 55 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 3.45 | 52.5% | 10.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 0.84 = 3.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.5% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(2nd & 3 at UL 49) Grant Wells pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 26 yds to the Marsh 46 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -3.27 | 53.1% | -14.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 1.32 = -3.27 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.32) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 38.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & Goal at UL 9) Rasheen Ali 9 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 3.14 | 51.5% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.86 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:40 | |
(3rd & 3 at MRSH 30) Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 18 yards to the Marsh 12 Rasheen Ali fumbled, forced by Trey Amos, recovered by Marsh - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -3.06 | 34.7% | -6.7% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 88 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.73 - 0.33 = -3.06 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.7% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 10:09 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 40) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 48 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 4.65 | 34.3% | 19.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 0.45 = 4.65 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.55) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:54 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 29) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 54 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST down - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 4.00 | 65.2% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 17 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 0.61 = 4.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.61) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.2% Win Probability (After): 80.8% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 7) Nate Snyder 24 Yd Field Goal - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.25 | 61.3% | 15.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.75 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.3% Win Probability (After): 76.3% Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 37) Rasheen Ali 63 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 6.35 | 16.5% | 14.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.65 = 6.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(2nd & 3 at UL 49) Grant Wells pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 26 yds to the Marsh 46 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -3.27 | 53.1% | -14.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 1.32 = -3.27 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.32) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 38.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & Goal at UL 9) Rasheen Ali 9 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 3.14 | 51.5% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.86 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at MRSH 4) Emani Bailey 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.91 | 50.5% | 11.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.09 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.09) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:28 | |
(2nd & 2 at UL 25) Levi Lewis run for 55 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 3.45 | 52.5% | 10.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 0.84 = 3.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.5% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & 1 at MRSH 12) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -4.08 | 72.9% | -9.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 88 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 3.86 = -4.08 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.86) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.9% Win Probability (After): 63.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 42 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST down - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 3.80 | 61.9% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 4 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 1.67 = 3.80 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (4.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.9% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 9:26 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 9) Kyren Lacy 9 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 2.37 | 71.3% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.63) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.3% Win Probability (After): 79.8% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:29 | |
(4th & 6 at MRSH 25) Nate Snyder 42 Yd Field Goal - UL 10, MRSH 0 | 0.77 | 82.6% | 4.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.23) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.6% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 37) Rasheen Ali 63 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 6.35 | 16.5% | 14.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.65 = 6.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 14) Rasheen Ali 14 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 2.13 | 45.0% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.87) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 8) Nate Snyder 25 Yd Field Goal - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.66 | 55.5% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.34 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.66) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 61.8% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 7) Nate Snyder 24 Yd Field Goal - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.25 | 61.3% | 15.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.75 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.3% Win Probability (After): 76.3% Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & Goal at UL 9) Rasheen Ali 9 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 3.14 | 51.5% | 12.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.86 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at MRSH 4) Emani Bailey 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.91 | 50.5% | 11.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.09 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.09) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 3) Montrell Johnson 3 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 2.37 | 87.0% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.63) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 93.1% Away Score: 22 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:41 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 2) Emani Bailey 2 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 36, MRSH 21 | 1.54 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.46 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.46) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 29 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Andrew Sanders kickoff for 59 yds , Emani Bailey return for 13 yds to the LaLaf 19 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | -0.34 | 61.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.86 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.9% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:48 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 19) Levi Lewis run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.61 | 67.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 71 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 0.76 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 67.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:25 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 29) Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.13 | 69.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.53 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:51 | |
(2nd & 5 at UL 34) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 10 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.77 | 69.5% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 56 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.72 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:35 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 44) Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 8 yds to the Marsh 48 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.71 | 72.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 2.47 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:01 | |
(2nd & 2 at MRSH 48) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - UL 0, MRSH 0 | -0.96 | 72.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 3.15 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.8% Win Probability (After): 71.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:55 | |
(3rd & 2 at MRSH 48) Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 9 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST down - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 1.41 | 71.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.20 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.9% Win Probability (After): 73.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:30 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 39) Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 36 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | -0.37 | 72.6% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.62 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 73.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:06 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 36) Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 30 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.54 | 71.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 3.25 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:41 | |
(3rd & 1 at MRSH 30) Montrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST down - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 0.88 | 70.9% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 22 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.78 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:15 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 22) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 24 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | -1.32 | 71.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 24 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 4.62 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.5% Win Probability (After): 71.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:38 | |
(2nd & 12 at MRSH 24) Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 17 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST down - UL 0, MRSH 0 | 2.21 | 69.1% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 7 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.57 - 3.36 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.1% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:05 | |
(1st & Goal at MRSH 7) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 9 - UL 0, MRSH 0 | -0.94 | 72.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 9 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 5.59 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.59) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 0, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.8% Win Probability (After): 71.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:26 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 9) Kyren Lacy 9 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 2.37 | 71.3% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.63) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.3% Win Probability (After): 79.8% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:26 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 56 yds for a touchback - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.99) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.8% Win Probability (After): 19.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:20 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 25) Grant Wells sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 18 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -1.33 | 19.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 82 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - 0.01 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.99) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.3% Win Probability (After): 18.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:50 | |
(2nd & 17 at MRSH 18) Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 5 yds to the Marsh 23 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.62 | 17.6% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 77 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.02 - -1.39 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:25 | |
(3rd & 12 at MRSH 23) LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Marsh 28 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 0.71 | 17.7% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -2.11 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.11) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.7% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(3rd & 7 at MRSH 28) Grant Wells pass incomplete - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -1.25 | 18.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.68 - -1.43 = -1.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.43) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:04 | |
(4th & 7 at MRSH 28) Robert Lefevre punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 35 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.21 | 18.3% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 65 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - -2.66 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.66) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.86) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 35) Levi Lewis sacked by TJ Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 28 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -1.52 | 82.7% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.83 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.7% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:30 | |
(2nd & 17 at UL 28) Chandler Fields pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 8 yds to the LaLaf 36 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 0.10 | 81.6% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.27 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.6% Win Probability (After): 81.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:58 | |
(3rd & 9 at UL 36) Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 10 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 1.87 | 82.3% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 54 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 1.42 = 1.87 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.3% Win Probability (After): 84.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 46) Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.39 | 84.6% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 3.34 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:50 | |
(2nd & 7 at UL 49) Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.50 | 84.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.93 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.93) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:05 | |
(3rd & 5 at MRSH 49) Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 5 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST down - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 1.40 | 83.7% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 44 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.44 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.7% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:35 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 44) Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 2 yds to the Marsh 42 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.54 | 85.2% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.84 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.84) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.2% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:20 | |
(2nd & 8 at MRSH 42) Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 4 yds to the Marsh 38 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.13 | 84.7% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 38 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 3.32 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:32 | |
(3rd & 4 at MRSH 38) Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.29 | 84.5% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.21 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:17 | |
(4th & 1 at MRSH 35) MARSHALL Penalty, Delay of Game (6 Yards) to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST down - UL 7, MRSH 0 | 1.72 | 83.1% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 2.87 = 1.72 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:55 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 29) Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.17 | 84.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 25 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 4.60 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.60) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.4% Win Probability (After): 84.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at MRSH 25) Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 25 - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -0.81 | 84.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.44 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:34 | |
(3rd & 6 at MRSH 25) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - UL 7, MRSH 0 | -1.43 | 84.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 3.64 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.64) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 7, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 82.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:29 | |
(4th & 6 at MRSH 25) Nate Snyder 42 Yd Field Goal - UL 10, MRSH 0 | 0.77 | 82.6% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: UL 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.23) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.6% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 1:29 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UL 10, MRSH 0 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:29 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 25) Rasheen Ali run for 12 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 0 | 1.02 | 16.2% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.21 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.79) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:06 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 37) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie Johnson - UL 10, MRSH 0 | -0.60 | 17.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 1.23 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.1% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 37) Rasheen Ali 63 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 6.35 | 16.5% | 14.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.65 = 6.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:50 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Andrew Sanders kickoff for 52 yds , Emani Bailey return for no gain to the LaLaf 13 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.69 | 71.8% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 87 Started Drive at: UL 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.50 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.50) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.8% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 13) T.J. Wisham run for no gain to the LaLaf 13 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.76 | 70.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: UL 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.81 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.81) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.6% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 13) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 19 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 0.14 | 69.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.05 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.05) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 4 at UL 19) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -1.72 | 70.4% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81 Started Drive at: UL 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - 0.16 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.16) Score Difference (End): 3 (1.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 68.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:45 | |
(4th & 4 at UL 19) Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Talik Keaton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Percy Butler) to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.77 | 68.7% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 54 Started Drive at: UL 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - -1.55 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): 3 (1.44) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.67) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 46) Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.36 | 35.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.37 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:18 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 49) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 0.15 | 34.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 46 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.02 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.98) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:49 | |
(3rd & 2 at UL 46) Ali, Rasheen rush for 18 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE28, PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (Miller, Devin) 15 yards to the MARSHALL39, NO PLAY. - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -2.29 | 35.1% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 61 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 2.18 = -2.29 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.82) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.1% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:25 | |
(3rd & 17 at MRSH 39) Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 43 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.96 | 29.3% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - -0.09 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 27.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:39 | |
(4th & 13 at MRSH 43) Robert Lefevre punt for 47 yds , Eric Garror returns for 1 yd to the LaLaf 11 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 0.24 | 27.3% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 89 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.92 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.92) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.3% Win Probability (After): 28.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:39 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 11) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse Migl - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.73 | 71.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89 Started Drive at: UL 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.71 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.71) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.7% Win Probability (After): 70.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:34 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 11) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.82 | 70.1% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89 Started Drive at: UL 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.05 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.95) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:29 | |
(3rd & 10 at UL 11) Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 6 yds to the LaLaf 17 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.60 | 68.7% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 83 Started Drive at: UL 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - -0.94 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 3 (1.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 66.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:42 | |
(4th & 4 at UL 17) Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 10 yds to the Marsh 42 - UL 10, MRSH 7 | -0.44 | 66.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 58 Started Drive at: UL 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - -1.54 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 3 (1.46) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.02) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.4% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:42 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 42) Rasheen Ali run for 32 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 2.05 | 33.9% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 26 Started Drive at: MRSH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 2.09 = 2.05 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.91) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.9% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 26) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 7 | 0.68 | 41.4% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 14 Started Drive at: MRSH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 4.16 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.16) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 44.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 14) Rasheen Ali 14 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 2.13 | 45.0% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.87 = 2.13 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.87) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:32 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Andrew Sanders kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 55.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 25) Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.17 | 55.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 0.89 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 55.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:57 | |
(2nd & 5 at UL 30) Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 26 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -1.58 | 54.7% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 74 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 1.06 = -1.58 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.94) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.7% Win Probability (After): 50.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:35 | |
(3rd & 9 at UL 26) Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 34 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.12 | 50.8% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 66 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -0.53 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.53) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 49.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:50 | |
(4th & 1 at UL 34) Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 2 yds to the Marsh 24 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.84 | 49.9% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 76 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.60 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.60) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 45.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 24) Willie Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 26 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.50 | 51.6% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 1.30 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.30) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.6% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at MRSH 26) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Devin Miller - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.85 | 50.2% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.80 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.80) Score Difference (End): 4 (3.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.2% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:28 | |
(3rd & 8 at MRSH 26) Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 14 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 2.41 | 48.1% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 60 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - -0.14 = 2.41 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.86) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.1% Win Probability (After): 54.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:03 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 40) Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -1.05 | 54.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 2.25 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.25) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 51.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:25 | |
(2nd & 12 at MRSH 38) Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 6 yds to the Marsh 44 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.09 | 51.0% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.33 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.33) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.0% Win Probability (After): 51.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:44 | |
(3rd & 6 at MRSH 44) Grant Wells pass complete to Devin Miller for 4 yds to the Marsh 48 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -1.22 | 52.1% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 1.41 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.41) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.1% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:55 | |
(4th & 2 at MRSH 48) Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 17 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.67 | 48.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 83 Started Drive at: MRSH 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.05 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.05) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 17) Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 25 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.30 | 51.8% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.45 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.55) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.8% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:28 | |
(2nd & 2 at UL 25) Levi Lewis run for 55 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 3.45 | 52.5% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 0.84 = 3.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.5% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:53 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 20) Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the Marsh 13 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.49 | 63.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 13 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 4.37 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.37) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.6% Win Probability (After): 64.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:25 | |
(2nd & 3 at MRSH 13) Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST down - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.03 | 64.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 10 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 5.03 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.03) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.1% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:54 | |
(1st & Goal at MRSH 10) Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 9 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.37 | 64.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 4.97 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.97) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.6% Win Probability (After): 64.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:19 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 9) Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 3 yds to the Marsh 6 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.45 | 63.2% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.54 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.54) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 60.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 6) Timeout MARSHALL, clock 02:33 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.09 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.09) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 6) Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Marsh 3 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -1.15 | 59.9% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 3 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.99 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.01) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:52 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 3) LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Nathan Thomas) to the Marsh 8 - UL 10, MRSH 14 | -0.42 | 57.4% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 8 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.82 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.18) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 10, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 54.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 8) Nate Snyder 25 Yd Field Goal - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.66 | 55.5% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: UL 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.34 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.66) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 61.8% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.67 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.67) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 50.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 25) Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the Marsh 33 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.20 | 50.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.67 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.67) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:23 | |
(2nd & 2 at MRSH 33) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 11 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST down - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.31 | 51.1% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 0.96 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.96) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.1% Win Probability (After): 52.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:15 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 44) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 7 yds to the LaLaf 49 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.18 | 52.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.34 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.34) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.8% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(2nd & 3 at UL 49) Grant Wells pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 26 yds to the Marsh 46 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -3.27 | 53.1% | -14.7% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 1.32 = -3.27 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.32) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 38.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 46) Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 42 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST down - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 3.80 | 61.9% | 9.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 4 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.47 - 1.67 = 3.80 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (4.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.9% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:35 | |
(1st & Goal at MRSH 4) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -0.52 | 71.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.44 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -1 (4.44) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.5% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:30 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 4) Levi Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 6 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -1.20 | 71.0% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.88 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.88) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 68.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 6) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:24 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.69 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.69) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 6) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 7 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | -0.88 | 68.3% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.69 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.69) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.3% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 7) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:03 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.81) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 65.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 7) Timeout MARSHALL, clock 00:03 - UL 13, MRSH 14 | 0.00 | 62.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.63 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.63) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 13, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.6% Win Probability (After): 62.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at MRSH 7) Nate Snyder 24 Yd Field Goal - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.25 | 61.3% | 15.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: MRSH 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.75 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.3% Win Probability (After): 76.3% Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 55 yds , Jayden Harrison return for 20 yds to the Marsh 30 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.63 | 34.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: MRSH 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.58 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.42) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.5% Win Probability (After): 35.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:54 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 30) Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.64 | 36.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67 Started Drive at: MRSH 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 1.33 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.67) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:28 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 33) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 2 yds to the Marsh 35 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.33 | 36.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 65 Started Drive at: MRSH 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 0.94 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.06) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:56 | |
(3rd & 5 at MRSH 35) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Rasheen Ali - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -1.89 | 35.6% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: MRSH 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - 0.76 = -1.89 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): -2 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:41 | |
(4th & 5 at MRSH 35) Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaLaf 30 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.73 | 29.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: MRSH 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -1.01 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-3.01) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.7% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:41 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 30) Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.14 | 70.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.68 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.68) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:05 | |
(2nd & 6 at UL 34) Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 17 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 1.42 | 69.6% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 49 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 1.57 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.57) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:52 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 49) Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.54 | 73.6% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.00 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.00) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.6% Win Probability (After): 74.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:35 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 37) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.66 | 74.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 3.54 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.54) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 73.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:28 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 37) Levi Lewis run for 16 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 1.77 | 73.5% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 21 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 2.88 = 1.77 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.88) Score Difference (End): 2 (6.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.5% Win Probability (After): 77.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 21) Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.59 | 77.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 20 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.67 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.67) Score Difference (End): 2 (6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:21 | |
(2nd & 9 at MRSH 20) Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 18 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.57 | 76.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 18 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 4.07 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 2 (6.07) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.9% Win Probability (After): 75.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:48 | |
(3rd & 7 at MRSH 18) Montrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 12 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.32 | 75.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 3.49 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.49) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 75.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(4th & 1 at MRSH 12) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -4.08 | 72.9% | -9.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 88 Started Drive at: UL 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 3.86 = -4.08 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.86) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.9% Win Probability (After): 63.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 12) Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 14 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.48 | 34.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 86 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 0.21 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.79) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:35 | |
(2nd & 8 at MRSH 14) Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 7 yds to the Marsh 21 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.33 | 36.5% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 79 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - -0.18 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.18) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:11 | |
(3rd & 1 at MRSH 21) Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.68 | 35.7% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.18 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.82) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.7% Win Probability (After): 39.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:36 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 23) Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 26 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.33 | 38.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 74 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.78 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.22) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.4% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:03 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 26) Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the Marsh 30 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.06 | 37.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.41 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.59) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 35.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:40 | |
(3rd & 3 at MRSH 30) Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 18 yards to the Marsh 12 Rasheen Ali fumbled, forced by Trey Amos, recovered by Marsh - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -3.06 | 34.7% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 88 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.73 - 0.33 = -3.06 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.67) Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.7% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:56 | |
(4th & 21 at MRSH 12) Robert Lefevre punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.15 | 28.3% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 53 Started Drive at: MRSH 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - -2.71 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-4.71) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 28.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:56 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 47) Emani Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 45 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -1.10 | 71.7% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 55 Started Drive at: UL 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.59 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.59) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.7% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:18 | |
(2nd & 12 at UL 45) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Emani Bailey - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -1.04 | 69.2% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: UL 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.49 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.49) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:14 | |
(3rd & 12 at UL 45) Levi Lewis sacked by Owen Porter and TJ Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 40 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -1.49 | 65.6% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 60 Started Drive at: UL 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - 0.45 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.45) Score Difference (End): 2 (0.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.6% Win Probability (After): 61.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:21 | |
(4th & 17 at UL 40) Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 24 yds to the Marsh 37 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.84 | 62.2% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 63 Started Drive at: UL 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -1.04 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 2 (0.96) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.12) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.2% Win Probability (After): 58.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:21 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 37) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the Marsh 41 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.08 | 42.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.88 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.12) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.2% Win Probability (After): 42.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at MRSH 41) Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.32 | 42.0% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.78 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.22) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 42.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:57 | |
(3rd & 1 at MRSH 46) Sheldon Evans run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.92 | 42.3% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 46 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 2.10 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.10) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.3% Win Probability (After): 48.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:23 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 46) Willie Johnson run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 27 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 37 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 1.63 | 48.8% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 3.05 = 1.63 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.02) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.8% Win Probability (After): 52.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:06 | |
(1st & 1 at UL 37) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.72 | 52.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 33 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.64 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.64) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.4% Win Probability (After): 50.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:43 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 33) Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.14 | 51.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 29 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 3.91 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.91) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.1% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at UL 29) Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 0.83 | 50.4% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 22 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 3.73 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.73) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 53.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 22) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik Keaton - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.55 | 53.5% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 4.56 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.56) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.5% Win Probability (After): 51.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:32 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 22) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Devin Miller - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.74 | 52.1% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 4.02 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.02) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.1% Win Probability (After): 48.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:29 | |
(3rd & 10 at UL 22) Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 14 | 2.15 | 49.0% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 8 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.44 - 3.29 = 2.15 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.29) Score Difference (End): -2 (3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.0% Win Probability (After): 57.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:17 | |
(1st & Goal at UL 8) Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 13 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -1.38 | 57.2% | -5.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 13 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 5.44 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): -2 (3.44) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.2% Win Probability (After): 51.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:41 | |
(2nd & Goal at UL 13) Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 9 - UL 16, MRSH 14 | -0.26 | 52.6% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 9 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 4.09 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.09) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.6% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(3rd & Goal at UL 9) Rasheen Ali 9 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 3.14 | 51.5% | 12.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: MRSH 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.86 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:01 | |
(Kickoff at UL 35) Andrew Sanders kickoff for 57 yds , Eric Garror return for 17 yds to the LaLaf 25 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.11) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.2% Win Probability (After): 39.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:56 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 25) Johnson, Montrell rush for loss of 2 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE23, PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (Porter, Owen) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE. - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 1.16 | 39.0% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 0.89 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.11) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.0% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:34 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 40) Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 12 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.85 | 41.1% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 48 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.05 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.95) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.1% Win Probability (After): 42.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:21 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 48) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 49 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.35 | 42.6% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 51 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 2.90 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.10) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 39.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(2nd & 13 at UL 49) Levi Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 45 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.29 | 40.2% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 55 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.58 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.42) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:19 | |
(3rd & 17 at UL 45) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.40 | 36.6% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 0.39 = -1.40 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:04 | |
(4th & 17 at UL 45) Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Willie Johnson at the MARSHALL 18 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Jayrin Wilson) to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.92 | 34.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 67 Started Drive at: UL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -0.94 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.01) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.93) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 33.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:04 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 33) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 32 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.98 | 66.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 68 Started Drive at: MRSH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.88 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.88) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.8% Win Probability (After): 65.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:33 | |
(2nd & 11 at MRSH 32) Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.27 | 65.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65 Started Drive at: MRSH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.90 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.90) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:58 | |
(3rd & 8 at MRSH 35) LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trey Amos) to the Marsh 40 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.73 | 65.0% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60 Started Drive at: MRSH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.66 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.66) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.0% Win Probability (After): 66.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:41 | |
(3rd & 3 at MRSH 40) Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.93 | 66.5% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62 Started Drive at: MRSH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 1.34 = -1.93 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.5% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:54 | |
(4th & 5 at MRSH 38) Robert Lefevre punt for 30 yds, downed at the LaLaf 32 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.17 | 64.0% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 68 Started Drive at: MRSH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -0.49 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.51) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.0% Win Probability (After): 59.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:54 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 32) Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.11 | 39.3% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 1.75 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.25) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.3% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:42 | |
(2nd & 5 at UL 37) Bailey, Emani rush for 4 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, PENALTY MARSHALL offside 4 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, NO PLAY. - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.80 | 40.3% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.78 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 41.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:16 | |
(2nd & 1 at UL 41) Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.23 | 41.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.54 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.46) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 41.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 43) Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr. - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.51 | 41.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.34 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.66) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.8% Win Probability (After): 41.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at UL 43) Levi Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 40 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -1.44 | 40.0% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 60 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.82 = -1.44 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.18) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:09 | |
(3rd & 13 at UL 40) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 48 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 4.65 | 34.3% | 19.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 0.45 = 4.65 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.55) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:52 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 12) Bailey, Emani rush for 4 yards to the MARSHALL8, PENALTY MARSHALL substitution infraction 5 yards to the MARSHALL7, NO PLAY. - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.65 | 54.1% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.71 - 5.06 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.06) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 57.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:26 | |
(1st & 5 at MRSH 7) LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 12 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.63 | 57.5% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 5.69 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.69) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.5% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:06 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 12) Levi Lewis pass incomplete - UL 16, MRSH 21 | -0.55 | 53.7% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 5.07 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.07) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 12) Montrell Johnson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 4 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.67 | 49.6% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 4 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 4.54 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.46) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.6% Win Probability (After): 53.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:25 | |
(3rd & 2 at MRSH 4) Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 08:25 - UL 16, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 53.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 5.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.20) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 16, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 53.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at MRSH 4) Emani Bailey 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.91 | 50.5% | 11.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.09 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.09) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 63 yds , Shadeed Ahmed return for 22 yds to the MARSHALL 43 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 14 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -0.54 | 46.4% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86 Started Drive at: MRSH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.06 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-7.77) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.4% Win Probability (After): 41.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:13 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 14) Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 17 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -0.46 | 45.2% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 83 Started Drive at: MRSH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.60 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.40) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.2% Win Probability (After): 38.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:43 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 17) Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 23 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.25 | 38.1% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 77 Started Drive at: MRSH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.20 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.80) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:18 | |
(3rd & 1 at MRSH 23) Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 23 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -1.71 | 40.1% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77 Started Drive at: MRSH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - 0.59 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.41) Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.1% Win Probability (After): 33.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:28 | |
(4th & 1 at MRSH 23) Robert Lefevre punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 27 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -0.32 | 31.5% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 73 Started Drive at: MRSH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - -0.97 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.97) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.29) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.5% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:28 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 27) Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 29 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -0.49 | 67.2% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 71 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.23 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.23) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:54 | |
(2nd & 8 at UL 29) Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 54 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST down - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 4.00 | 65.2% | 15.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 17 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 0.61 = 4.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.61) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.2% Win Probability (After): 80.8% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:34 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 17) Montrell Johnson run for 11 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST down - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.97 | 80.9% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 4.51 = 0.97 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.51) Score Difference (End): 1 (6.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.9% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:03 | |
(1st & Goal at MRSH 6) Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 8 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | -1.00 | 85.6% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 8 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 5.48 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (6.48) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.6% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:20 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 8) Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 3 - UL 22, MRSH 21 | 0.02 | 85.3% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 4.57 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.57) Score Difference (End): 1 (5.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 22, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(3rd & Goal at MRSH 3) Montrell Johnson 3 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 2.37 | 87.0% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 1 (5.63) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 93.1% Away Score: 22 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 59 yds for a touchback - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.79 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.2% Win Probability (After): 8.2% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 25) MARSHALL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 20 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | -0.43 | 8.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.79 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.2% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:54 | |
(1st & 15 at MRSH 20) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie Johnson MARSHALL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (James Magee) to the Marsh 10 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | -0.58 | 6.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 90 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 0.36 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.64) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 6.1% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:49 | |
(2nd & 25 at MRSH 10) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie Johnson - UL 29, MRSH 21 | -0.59 | 5.4% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.73 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.73) Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 4.2% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:43 | |
(3rd & 25 at MRSH 10) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed Ahmed - UL 29, MRSH 21 | -0.75 | 4.6% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - -1.32 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.32) Score Difference (End): -8 (-10.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 3.6% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:26 | |
(4th & 25 at MRSH 10) Robert Lefevre punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 48 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 0.15 | 2.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 52 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - -2.11 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-10.11) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:26 | |
(1st & 10 at UL 48) Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | -0.14 | 97.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.80 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 49) Timeout MARSHALL, clock 03:21 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 97.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 1.65 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.65) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at MRSH 49) Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST down - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 0.96 | 98.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 38 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 1.61 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:45 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 38) Emani Bailey run for 9 yds to the Marsh 29 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 1.02 | 98.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 29 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.42 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.42) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:01 | |
(2nd & 1 at MRSH 29) Emani Bailey run for 19 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST down - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 1.44 | 98.8% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 10 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 3.17 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.17) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:54 | |
(1st & Goal at MRSH 10) Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the Marsh 2 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 1.15 | 99.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 2 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 4.38 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.38) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 2) Timeout MARSHALL, clock 01:45 - UL 29, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 99.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 5.54 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.54) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 29, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 29 (29) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:41 | |
(2nd & Goal at MRSH 2) Emani Bailey 2 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) - UL 36, MRSH 21 | 1.54 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UL 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.46 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.46) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 29 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:41 | |
(Kickoff at MRSH 35) Nate Snyder kickoff for 45 yds for a touchback - UL 36, MRSH 21 | 0.00 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.19) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:41 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 25) Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST down - UL 36, MRSH 21 | 0.53 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 0.81 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.19) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 38) Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines - UL 36, MRSH 21 | -0.25 | 0.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.20 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.80) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:22 | |
(2nd & 10 at MRSH 38) Grant Wells sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 31 Grant Wells fumbled, forced by Andre Jones, recovered by LaLaf Kris Moncrief , return for 0 yards - UL 36, MRSH 21 | -3.69 | 0.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 31 Started Drive at: MRSH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.84 - 0.85 = -3.69 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.15) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:22 | |
(1st & 10 at MRSH 31) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 32 - UL 36, MRSH 21 | -0.97 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 32 Started Drive at: MRSH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.80 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.80) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:42 | |
(2nd & 11 at MRSH 32) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 33 - UL 36, MRSH 21 | -0.60 | 99.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 33 Started Drive at: MRSH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.88 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.88) Score Difference (End): 15 (16.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UL 36, MRSH 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 36 (36) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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