Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.77 | Odds: SDSU -3, O/U 48.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 85 |
| Total EPA | 5.54 | 24.4 |
| Offensive EPA | 4.73 | 22.2 |
| Special Teams EPA | -0.94 | 4.32 |
| Penalty EPA | 1.74 | -2.12 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 76 |
| Yards | 372 | 489 |
| Yards/Play | 6.00 | 6.43 |
| EPA | 4.73 | 22.20 |
| EPA/Play | 0.08 | 0.29 |
| Passes | 40 (65%) | 37 (49%) |
| Yards | 255 | 333 |
| Yards/Play | 6.38 | 9.00 |
| EPA | 3.96 | 15.32 |
| EPA/Play | 0.10 | 0.41 |
| Rushes | 22 (35%) | 39 (51%) |
| Yards | 131 | 162 |
| Yards/Play | 5.95 | 4.15 |
| EPA | 0.77 | 6.88 |
| EPA/Play | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 76 |
| Rushes | 22 (35%) | 39 (51%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (5%) | 1 (3%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 3 (14%) | 6 (15%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 7 (32%) | 15 (38%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 12 (55%) | 20 (51%) |
| OL Line Yards | 48.3 | 78.9 |
| Per Carry | 2.20 | 2.02 |
| Highlight Yards | 42.5 | 27.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.54 | 1.38 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 85 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 76 |
| Explosive Plays | 6 (10%) | 8 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 5 (12%) | 5 (14%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (5%) | 3 (8%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -12.45 | 0.00 |
| EPA/Play | -0.22 | 0.00 |
| When Passing | -11.00 | -0.09 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | 0.00 |
| When Rushing | -1.46 | 0.08 |
| EPA/Play | -0.07 | 0.00 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 31 (50%) | 45 (59%) |
| When Passing | 19 (48%) | 24 (65%) |
| When Rushing | 12 (55%) | 21 (54%) |
| On Standard Downs | 21 (49%) | 33 (58%) |
| On Passing Downs | 10 (53%) | 12 (63%) |
| On Early Downs | 27 (54%) | 39 (61%) |
| On Late Downs | 4 (33%) | 6 (50%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 2 (40%) | 16 (80%) |
| Early Downs | 50 | 64 |
| First Downs Created | 13 (26%) | 19 (30%) |
| EPA | 16.20 | 23.69 |
| EPA/Play | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| Passes | 30 (60%) | 30 (47%) |
| Rushes | 20 (40%) | 34 (53%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 16 (53%) | 23 (77%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 11 (55%) | 16 (47%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 5 | 20 |
| EPA | 0.99 | 8.15 |
| EPA/play | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| Passes | 4 (80%) | 13 (65%) |
| Rushes | 1 (20%) | 7 (35%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 2 (50%) | 10 (77%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 6 (86%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 10 | 11 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 25 | Own 31 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.89 | 8.04 |
| Yards/Drive | 48.21 | 49.91 |
| Available Yards % | 64% | 72% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 76 | 62 |
| Stop Rate | 25% | 47% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 5 (7%) | 4 (6%) |
| Passing | 2 (5%) | 3 (8%) |
| Rushing | 3 (8%) | 1 (5%) |
| TFLs Generated | 5 | 3 |
| Passing | 2 | 2 |
| Rushing | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (3%) | 2 (5%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -2 | 2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -8.9 | 8.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 10 | 9 |
| Total EPA | -0.94 | 4.32 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.28 | 0.39 |
| Punting EPA | -2.21 | 0.42 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 0 | 3.51 |
UTSA [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Frank Harris | 22/36, 255 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 71.8 xQBR | 6.71 | 0.15 | 5.59 | 50% | 15.0% | |
| Joshua Cephus | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 17.6 xQBR | 0.00 | -0.58 | -0.58 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Josh Adkins | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 10.9 xQBR | 0.00 | -1.04 | -1.04 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| B.J. Daniels | 3 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.67 | 1.26 | 3.79 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Frank Harris | 2 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.50 | 0.73 | 1.46 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| De'Corian Clark | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.59 | -0.59 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Brenden Brady | 16 carries, 76 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 4.75 | -0.24 | -3.89 | 44% | -20.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| De'Corian Clark | 6 catches (9 targets), 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.62 | 5.54 | 67% | 11.0% | |
| Zakhari Franklin | 8 catches (12 targets), 89 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.12 | 0.36 | 4.34 | 50% | 10.0% | |
| Oscar Cardenas | 2 catches (2 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.50 | 1.66 | 3.32 | 100% | 8.0% | |
| Tykee Ogle-Kellogg | 2 catches (2 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.50 | 1.59 | 3.17 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Joshua Cephus | 2 catches (3 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.62 | 1.85 | 67% | -1.0% | |
| Brenden Brady | 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| B.J. Daniels | 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.52 | -0.52 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Dan Dishman | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.62 | -1.23 | 0% | -1.0% | |
San Diego State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Lucas Johnson | 24/36, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 94.4 xQBR | 9.00 | 0.41 | 15.32 | 65% | 52.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Greg Bell | 26 carries, 101 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.88 | 0.14 | 3.77 | 54% | 10.0% | |
| Chance Bell | 6 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.83 | 0.34 | 2.07 | 67% | -1.0% | |
| Kaegun Williams | 1 carry, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Lucas Johnson | 4 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.25 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 50% | 6.0% | |
| TEAM | 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.58 | -0.58 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| Jordan Byrd | 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.98 | -0.98 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jesse Matthews | 11 catches (13 targets), 175 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.91 | 1.07 | 13.96 | 77% | 36.0% | |
| BJ Busbee | 3 catches (3 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 1.74 | 5.22 | 100% | 16.0% | |
| Elijah Kothe | 3 catches (3 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.33 | 0.63 | 1.88 | 100% | 8.0% | |
| Kobe Smith | 1 catch (1 target), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Ethan Dedeaux | 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Daniel Bellinger | 2 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Tyrell Shavers | 2 catches (6 targets), 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | -0.06 | -0.36 | 33% | -4.0% | |
| Jordan Byrd | 1 catch (1 target), -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -3.00 | -1.70 | -1.70 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 6:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -4.64 | 55.6% | -10.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -3.78 | 57.1% | -10.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.1% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.66 | 60.0% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.41 | 38.8% | 9.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:36 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 3.26 | 50.8% | 9.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:09 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 3.22 | 44.0% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:31 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTSA 8) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 3.10 | 20.1% | 6.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 57 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - -1.61 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:10 | |
(4th & 4 at UTSA 36) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 2.95 | 32.8% | 5.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 0.67 = 2.95 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.8% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:21 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 2.92 | 7.8% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - -0.15 = 2.92 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 1 play, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 10.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:08 | |
(1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 2.88 | 16.5% | 8.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 6:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -4.64 | 55.6% | -10.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.66 | 60.0% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:40 | |
(1st & 20 at UTSA 41) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 30 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 2.57 | 34.1% | 10.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 2.35 = 2.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.65) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -3.78 | 57.1% | -10.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.1% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 1.28 | 16.5% | 9.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.41 | 38.8% | 9.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:36 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 3.26 | 50.8% | 9.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:08 | |
(1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 2.88 | 16.5% | 8.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.49 | 78.7% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 1.59 | 13.3% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 20.9% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 12:36 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 3.26 | 50.8% | 9.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:09 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 3.22 | 44.0% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 2) Brenden Brady 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.64 | 63.4% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.41 | 38.8% | 9.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at UTSA 16) Matt Araiza 33 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.39 | 62.8% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.49 | 78.7% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 1.28 | 16.5% | 9.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:39 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTSA 24) Tyrell Shavers 24 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 2.54 | 88.5% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.46 = 2.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 93.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 1.59 | 13.3% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 20.9% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:51 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 2) Lucas Johnson 2 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.66 | 92.3% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.34) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 33 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | 0.65 | 49.2% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.04 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.2% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:38 | |
(2nd & 2 at UTSA 33) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | -1.28 | 48.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 72 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.82 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:14 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTSA 28) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 29 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | 2.80 | 47.2% | 5.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 43 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.53 = 2.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.2% Win Probability (After): 52.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 43) Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the SDSt 42 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | -0.64 | 53.9% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.33 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.9% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:25 | |
(2nd & 9 at SDSU 42) Brenden Brady run for 27 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | 2.23 | 53.5% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 15 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 2.69 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.5% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:57 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 15) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the SDSt 12 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | -0.41 | 56.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 12 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.99 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:43 | |
(2nd & 7 at SDSU 12) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 | -0.90 | 52.9% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 4.61 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.9% Win Probability (After): 54.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:36 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 3.26 | 50.8% | 9.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:36 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Everett Ornstein kickoff for 57 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 24 yds to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 0.81 | 35.4% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - -0.17 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.17) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.4% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:12 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 32) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.43 | 36.4% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.62 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.38) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.4% Win Probability (After): 35.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:20 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 34) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.04 | 36.2% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.10 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:24 | |
(3rd & 4 at SDSU 38) Lucas Johnson sacked by Clarence Hicks for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -2.61 | 36.7% | -4.9% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - 0.27 = -2.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.73) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.7% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:11 | |
(4th & 10 at SDSU 32) Matt Araiza punt for 46 yds , Cade Stoever returns for 12 yds to the TexSA 34 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.71 | 32.2% | 5.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66 Started Drive at: SDSU 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - -2.19 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.2% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:02 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 34) Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 8 yds to the TexSA 42 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 0.50 | 65.1% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.83 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.1% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:43 | |
(2nd & 2 at UTSA 42) Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 0.17 | 66.4% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.33 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.4% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:13 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 49) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 49 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.49 | 69.0% | -2.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.45 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 66.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTSA 49) Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 12 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 1.26 | 66.4% | 3.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 39 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 2.86 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.4% Win Probability (After): 69.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:24 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 39) De'Corian Clark run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.59 | 68.4% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.12 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.4% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:44 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 37) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 1 yd to the SDSt 36 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.70 | 67.7% | -1.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 36 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 3.49 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.49) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:17 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 36) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -1.76 | 68.8% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.82 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.82) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.8% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:12 | |
(4th & 7 at SDSU 36) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -2.15 | 66.9% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64 Started Drive at: UTSA 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 1.13 = -2.15 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.98) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.9% Win Probability (After): 65.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 7:04 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 36) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 38 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.54 | 34.9% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.05 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.95) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:50 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 38) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 1.46 | 34.1% | 4.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.49 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 1.15 | 38.1% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.91 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.09) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 35) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.66 | 40.5% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 3.07 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.93) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.5% Win Probability (After): 38.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:06 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTSA 35) Kaegun Williams run for 13 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | 1.90 | 38.9% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 22 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 2.39 = 1.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 43.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 22) Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 | -0.53 | 43.4% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.29 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.71) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:09 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 3.22 | 44.0% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:09 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 50.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:53 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 2 yds to the TexSA 27 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | -0.52 | 51.9% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.07 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.9% Win Probability (After): 49.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:28 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTSA 27) B.J. Daniels run for 12 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 1.54 | 52.2% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 61 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 0.55 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.2% Win Probability (After): 54.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the TexSA 45 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 0.30 | 56.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.09 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.09) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:10 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 45) B.J. Daniels run for 17 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 1.23 | 56.9% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 38 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.39 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.39) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 58.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:27 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 38) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Dan Dishman - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | -0.62 | 59.2% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.60 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.2% Win Probability (After): 58.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 38) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the SDSt 30 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 0.58 | 58.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 30 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.98 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:49 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 30) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 0.80 | 58.2% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.57 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the SDSt 17 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 0.81 | 60.5% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 17 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 4.36 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.5% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:06 | |
(2nd & 2 at SDSU 17) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 | 1.21 | 61.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.36 - 5.15 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.6% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 2) Brenden Brady 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.64 | 63.4% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 67.8% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Everett Ornstein kickoff for 58 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 19 yds to the SDSt 26 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.35 | 30.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.15 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 30.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:26 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 26) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 6 yds to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.09 | 30.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.49 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 30.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at SDSU 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -1.70 | 30.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 71 Started Drive at: SDSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - 0.61 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.0% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:31 | |
(3rd & 7 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -1.25 | 28.7% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: SDSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.30 - -1.06 = -1.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:18 | |
(4th & 7 at SDSU 29) Matt Araiza punt for 49 yds , Cade Stoever returns for no gain to the TexSA 22 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.19 | 26.3% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 78 Started Drive at: SDSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - -2.30 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.30) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 29.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:18 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 22) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 12 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -0.83 | 70.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 88 Started Drive at: UTSA 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.11 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.11) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.8% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 12) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 5 yds to the TexSA 17 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.11 | 69.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83 Started Drive at: UTSA 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.55 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.9% Win Probability (After): 69.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:51 | |
(2nd & 5 at UTSA 17) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -0.47 | 68.7% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80 Started Drive at: UTSA 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.64 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at UTSA 20) Frank Harris sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 13 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -2.31 | 67.0% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 87 Started Drive at: UTSA 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 1.11 = -2.31 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.11) Score Difference (End): 7 (5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.0% Win Probability (After): 63.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:32 | |
(4th & 9 at UTSA 13) Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 46 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -0.54 | 64.7% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 54 Started Drive at: UTSA 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -1.26 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.7% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:08 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 46) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 12 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.84 | 37.5% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.79 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.5% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:57 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 42) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the TexSA 35 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.55 | 39.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 2.64 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.36) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.9% Win Probability (After): 40.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:28 | |
(2nd & 3 at UTSA 35) Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 36 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -1.05 | 40.0% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 36 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.20 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.80) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:24 | |
(3rd & 4 at UTSA 36) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -1.90 | 33.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 2.30 = -1.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.8% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:10 | |
(4th & 4 at UTSA 36) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 2.95 | 32.8% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 0.67 = 2.95 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.8% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 10:34 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -1.15 | 39.2% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 41 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 3.63 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.37) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.2% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:40 | |
(1st & 20 at UTSA 41) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 30 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 2.57 | 34.1% | 10.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 2.35 = 2.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.65) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:29 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 11) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -0.56 | 43.9% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 4.92 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.9% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTSA 11) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | -0.79 | 42.9% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 4.36 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.64) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.9% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:23 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 09:23 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.57 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.43) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.41 | 38.8% | 9.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.1% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:02 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Brenden Brady run for 9 yds to the TexSA 34 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.94 | 47.8% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.19 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.8% Win Probability (After): 49.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:51 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTSA 34) Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.09 | 49.7% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.04 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.7% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.63 | 50.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.07 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 49.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 21 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 2.06 | 48.9% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 1.46 = 2.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:06 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 40) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.59 | 53.9% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.52 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.9% Win Probability (After): 51.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 40) Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -1.41 | 56.8% | -7.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 41 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.98 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 49.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:17 | |
(3rd & 11 at SDSU 41) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.89 | 54.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.76 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.5% Win Probability (After): 54.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -4.64 | 55.6% | -10.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 44.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:36 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 26 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.56 | 54.7% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 74 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.71 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.7% Win Probability (After): 51.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:28 | |
(1st & 15 at SDSU 26) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.58 | 52.9% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.05 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.9% Win Probability (After): 50.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:38 | |
(2nd & 12 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 2.11 | 52.5% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 55 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 0.51 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.5% Win Probability (After): 58.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:50 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 45) Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the TexSA 46 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.76 | 58.9% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 46 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.52 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.9% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:26 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTSA 46) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.91 | 60.1% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 3.32 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 58.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:57 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 49) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 1.20 | 58.8% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 39 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.33 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.8% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the TexSA 33 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.41 | 61.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 3.41 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.7% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:56 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 33) Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.43 | 61.6% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.76 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.6% Win Probability (After): 59.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:56 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTSA 32) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 02:56 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.32 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.7% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:55 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -1.21 | 59.5% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 3.29 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -3.78 | 57.1% | -10.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.1% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 32) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.82 | 53.2% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 53 Started Drive at: UTSA 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 47) Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.12 | 55.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTSA 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.56 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:10 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 49) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.72 | 54.9% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTSA 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.49 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:02 | |
(3rd & 6 at SDSU 49) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -1.48 | 52.9% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTSA 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.86 = -1.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.9% Win Probability (After): 47.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:55 | |
(4th & 6 at SDSU 49) Lucas Dean punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 10 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.99 | 47.9% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 90 Started Drive at: UTSA 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.41 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.58) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 46.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 10) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 14 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 1.05 | 52.7% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 76 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.45 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.7% Win Probability (After): 57.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 5 yds to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.34 | 54.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 0.98 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.35 | 55.6% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.22 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 36) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 32 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 2.21 | 56.5% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 1.30 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.30) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 32) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:47 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 10 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.48 | 63.0% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 22 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.49 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 22) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 27 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.74 | 65.0% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 27 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.97 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.97) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.0% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:36 | |
(1st & 15 at UTSA 27) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.34 | 61.7% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.25 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.7% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:36 | |
(2nd & 15 at UTSA 27) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -0.18 | 60.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 2.97 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.97) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.4% Win Probability (After): 59.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 3.66 | 60.0% | 10.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 1) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 16 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | -2.38 | 70.9% | -6.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 6.21 = -2.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:08 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 16) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.20 | 63.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.24 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.3% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:08 | |
(2nd & Goal at UTSA 16) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:08 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.44 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(2nd & Goal at UTSA 16) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 | 0.18 | 61.1% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 2.74 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.1% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at UTSA 16) Matt Araiza 33 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.39 | 62.8% | 6.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:51 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds , Kaegun Williams return for 52 yds to the TexSA 48 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 1.69 | 69.0% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 1.49 = 1.69 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.49) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 71.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:42 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 48) Lucas Johnson run for 13 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.84 | 72.6% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 35 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.24 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.24) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 35) Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.50 | 71.2% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 3.93 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.93) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:36 | |
(2nd & 3 at UTSA 28) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.44 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.44) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:56 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 24) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 0.03 | 71.8% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 4.41 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.41) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.8% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:25 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTSA 20) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 19 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 | 1.98 | 72.6% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 1 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 4.44 = 1.98 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.44) Score Difference (End): 3 (9.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.49 | 78.7% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.7% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:59 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.12 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.88) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.7% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:42 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.42 | 17.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.07 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.93) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 16.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:27 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 1.63 | 16.9% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.14 = 1.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.86) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 46) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | -0.83 | 18.8% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.49 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.51) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:08 | |
(1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 2.88 | 16.5% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 24.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Joshua Cephus pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | -0.58 | 24.4% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.81 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.19) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 23.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 24) Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the SDSt 19 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | 0.07 | 23.7% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.29 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.71) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.7% Win Probability (After): 23.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:14 | |
(3rd & 5 at SDSU 19) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | -1.21 | 22.6% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.36 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.6% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:14 | |
(4th & 5 at SDSU 19) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 24 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 | -0.41 | 18.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 2.15 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.85) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.1% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 1.28 | 16.5% | 9.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:09 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 0.00 | 81.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.6% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:02 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 25) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 0.91 | 81.1% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.20 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.1% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:29 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 40) Greg Bell run for 11 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 0.58 | 83.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 3.09 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.09) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.4% Win Probability (After): 83.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 49) Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.98 | 83.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.62 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.7% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:16 | |
(2nd & 11 at 50) Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 45 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.19 | 83.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.61 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.0% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:37 | |
(3rd & 6 at UTSA 45) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.84 | 83.0% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 50 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.44 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.0% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:09 | |
(3rd & 11 at 50) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -1.54 | 82.1% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.64 = -1.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.1% Win Probability (After): 77.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:02 | |
(4th & 11 at 50) Matt Araiza punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cade Stoever at the TexSA 5 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 0.94 | 79.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 95 Started Drive at: SDSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.21 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.15) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 80.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:51 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 5) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the TexSA 8 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.53 | 20.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 92 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -1.17 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.17) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.0% Win Probability (After): 19.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:31 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTSA 8) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 3.10 | 20.1% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 57 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - -1.61 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:12 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 43) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.29 | 26.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.48 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:44 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTSA 46) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.92 | 25.9% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 1.17 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.83) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.9% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:37 | |
(3rd & 7 at UTSA 46) Frank Harris pass intercepted C.J. Baskerville return for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -2.87 | 22.4% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - 0.26 = -2.87 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.4% Win Probability (After): 18.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:31 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 31) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Daniel Bellinger - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.65 | 82.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.61 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.1% Win Probability (After): 81.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 31) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 5 yds to the SDSt 36 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.24 | 81.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.97 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.6% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:50 | |
(3rd & 5 at SDSU 36) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 1.34 | 81.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 1.75 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 83.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:20 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 41) Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 47 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 0.08 | 85.0% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.12 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:51 | |
(2nd & 4 at SDSU 47) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Kobe Smith for 25 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | 1.52 | 85.3% | 4.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 28 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.20 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:14 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 28) Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 | -0.25 | 89.0% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 4.71 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:39 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTSA 24) Tyrell Shavers 24 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 2.54 | 88.5% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.46 = 2.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 93.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:39 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:21 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 2.92 | 7.8% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - -0.15 = 2.92 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 1 play, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 10.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 0.36 | 7.8% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -0.51 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 36) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 1.35 | 10.2% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 21 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 2.77 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.23) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.2% Win Probability (After): 12.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 21) Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the SDSt 17 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 0.12 | 12.1% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 4.13 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.87) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.1% Win Probability (After): 12.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:21 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 17) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | -0.82 | 12.0% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 4.27 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.73) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:21 | |
(3rd & 6 at SDSU 17) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 22 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | -1.34 | 10.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 3.45 = -1.34 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.4% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:13 | |
(3rd & 11 at SDSU 22) Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the SDSt 12 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 1.39 | 8.5% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 12 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 2.11 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.89) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 10.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:49 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 12) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:49 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 0.00 | 10.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.50 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.50) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:37 | |
(4th & 1 at SDSU 12) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 1.72 | 10.9% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 8 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.19 - 3.47 = 1.72 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.53) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.9% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:29 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 8) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | 0.62 | 13.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 5.19 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.81) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.5% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:21 | |
(1st & Goal at SDSU 4) Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the SDSt 3 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 | -0.25 | 13.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 3 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 5.78 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.22) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 1.59 | 13.3% | 7.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 20.9% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 61 yds - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 0.67 | 84.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.21 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:22 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 35) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 35 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | -0.55 | 84.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.87 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:18 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 35) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 8 yds to the SDSt 43 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 0.10 | 84.1% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.33 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 43) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 1.52 | 85.1% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 2.38 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.38) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.1% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 42) Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | -0.44 | 87.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.85 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:09 | |
(2nd & 9 at UTSA 41) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 1.29 | 87.4% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 26 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.43 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:31 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 26) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | -0.24 | 89.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 4.67 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.9% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTSA 23) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 0.84 | 89.7% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 16 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.41 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.41) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:42 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 16) Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | -0.50 | 89.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 5.21 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:31 | |
(2nd & 9 at UTSA 15) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the TexSA 7 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 0.74 | 90.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 7 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.67 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:07 | |
(3rd & 1 at UTSA 7) Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 | 0.95 | 91.1% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 2 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.35 - 5.40 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:51 | |
(1st & Goal at UTSA 2) Lucas Johnson 2 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.66 | 92.3% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: SDSU 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.34) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:51 | |
(Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.00 | 5.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.34 | 4.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - -0.10 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.10) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:12 | |
(2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 1.02 | 4.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.13 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.87) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:48 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 40) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Dan Dishman - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.61 | 5.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.07 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.93) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTSA 40) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down lat. to B.J. Daniels for 16 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 1.98 | 5.0% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 0.43 = 1.98 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.57) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:15 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 42) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.65 | 5.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.40 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.60) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.7% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 42) Josh Adkins pass incomplete - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -1.04 | 5.2% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.86 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.14) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:51 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 42) Frank Harris sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -2.32 | 4.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 0.93 = -2.32 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.07) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:13 | |
(4th & 17 at SDSU 49) Lucas Dean punt for 49 yds for a touchback - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.68 | 2.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 80 Started Drive at: UTSA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -1.10 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.10) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.5% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 7:05 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 20 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.63 | 97.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.92 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.92) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.9% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 20 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.64 | 98.1% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.97 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 96.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:27 | |
(3rd & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for 13 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 1.95 | 98.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 67 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 0.18 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.18) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.0% Win Probability (After): 98.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:39 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 33) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 37 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.11 | 99.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.88 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.88) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:19 | |
(2nd & 6 at SDSU 37) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.67 | 99.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.78 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.78) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:06 | |
(2nd & 11 at SDSU 32) Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 41 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.60 | 99.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.00 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.00) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:06 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 41) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 04:06 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.00 | 99.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.60 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:43 | |
(3rd & 2 at SDSU 41) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.81 | 99.3% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 56 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 1.51 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.51) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:28 | |
(1st & 10 at SDSU 44) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.30 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.17 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.17) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:28 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 46) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 03:28 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.00 | 99.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.87 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.87) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:16 | |
(2nd & 8 at SDSU 46) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 49 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.12 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.71 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.71) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:42 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTSA 49) Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 02:42 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.00 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.83 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.83) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:36 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTSA 49) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.72 | 99.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.57 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.57) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 46) Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 0.17 | 99.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.01 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:44 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTSA 42) Chance Bell run for 8 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | 1.16 | 99.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 1.58 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.58) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:24 | |
(1st & 10 at UTSA 34) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 | -0.58 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 35 Started Drive at: SDSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.25 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.25) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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