UTSA 24 @ San Diego State 38

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.77 | Odds: SDSU -3, O/U 48.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

Download Chart

Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Total Plays 7285
Total EPA 5.5424.4
  Offensive EPA 4.7322.2
  Special Teams EPA -0.944.32
  Penalty EPA 1.74-2.12
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.010.00
Production ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Scrimmage Plays 6276
  Yards 372489
  Yards/Play 6.006.43
  EPA 4.7322.20
  EPA/Play 0.080.29
Passes 40 (65%)37 (49%)
  Yards 255333
  Yards/Play 6.389.00
  EPA 3.9615.32
  EPA/Play 0.100.41
Rushes 22 (35%)39 (51%)
  Yards 131162
  Yards/Play 5.954.15
  EPA 0.776.88
  EPA/Play 0.030.18
Rushing ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Scrimmage Plays 6276
Rushes 22 (35%)39 (51%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (5%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (14%)6 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 7 (32%)15 (38%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 12 (55%)20 (51%)
OL Line Yards 48.378.9
  Per Carry 2.202.02
Highlight Yards 42.527.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.541.38
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Total Plays 7285
Scrimmage Plays 6276
Explosive Plays 6 (10%)8 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 5 (12%)5 (14%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (5%)3 (8%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -12.450.00
  EPA/Play -0.220.00
  When Passing -11.00-0.09
    EPA/Play -0.270.00
  When Rushing -1.460.08
    EPA/Play -0.070.00
Situational ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 31 (50%)45 (59%)
  When Passing 19 (48%)24 (65%)
  When Rushing 12 (55%)21 (54%)
  On Standard Downs 21 (49%)33 (58%)
  On Passing Downs 10 (53%)12 (63%)
  On Early Downs 27 (54%)39 (61%)
  On Late Downs 4 (33%)6 (50%)
  During "Middle 8" 2 (40%)16 (80%)
Early Downs 5064
  First Downs Created 13 (26%)19 (30%)
  EPA 16.2023.69
  EPA/Play 0.320.37
  Passes 30 (60%)30 (47%)
  Rushes 20 (40%)34 (53%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 16 (53%)23 (77%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 11 (55%)16 (47%)
"Middle 8" Plays 520
  EPA 0.998.15
  EPA/play 0.200.41
  Passes 4 (80%)13 (65%)
  Rushes 1 (20%)7 (35%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (50%)10 (77%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 0 (0%)6 (86%)
Drives ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Total 1011
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 31
Plays/Drive 6.898.04
Yards/Drive 48.2149.91
Available Yards % 64%72%
Defensive ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Scrimmage Plays 7662
Stop Rate 25%47%
Havoc Plays Created 5 (7%)4 (6%)
  Passing 2 (5%)3 (8%)
  Rushing 3 (8%)1 (5%)
TFLs Generated 53
  Passing 22
  Rushing 31
Sacks Generated 1 (3%)2 (5%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Turnovers 20
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 0.70.5
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -8.98.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2636 ESPN team id 21
Total Plays 10 9
Total EPA -0.94 4.32
  Field Goal EPA 1.28 0.39
  Punting EPA -2.21 0.42
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 3.51
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Frank Harris 22/36, 255 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 71.8 xQBR 6.71 0.15 5.59 50% 15.0%
Joshua Cephus 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 17.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.58 -0.58 0% -1.0%
Josh Adkins 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 10.9 xQBR 0.00 -1.04 -1.04 0% 0.0%
Rush attempts
B.J. Daniels 3 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.67 1.26 3.79 100% 5.0%
Frank Harris 2 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 0.73 1.46 100% 2.0%
De'Corian Clark 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.59 -0.59 0% -1.0%
Brenden Brady 16 carries, 76 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.75 -0.24 -3.89 44% -20.0%
Pass targets
De'Corian Clark 6 catches (9 targets), 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.62 5.54 67% 11.0%
Zakhari Franklin 8 catches (12 targets), 89 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.12 0.36 4.34 50% 10.0%
Oscar Cardenas 2 catches (2 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.50 1.66 3.32 100% 8.0%
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg 2 catches (2 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.50 1.59 3.17 100% 9.0%
Joshua Cephus 2 catches (3 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.62 1.85 67% -1.0%
Brenden Brady 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.50 0.50 100% 1.0%
B.J. Daniels 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.52 -0.52 0% -3.0%
Dan Dishman 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.62 -1.23 0% -1.0%

San Diego State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Lucas Johnson 24/36, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 94.4 xQBR 9.00 0.41 15.32 65% 52.0%
Rush attempts
Greg Bell 26 carries, 101 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.88 0.14 3.77 54% 10.0%
Chance Bell 6 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.83 0.34 2.07 67% -1.0%
Kaegun Williams 1 carry, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 1.90 1.90 100% 5.0%
Lucas Johnson 4 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.25 0.18 0.71 50% 6.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.58 -0.58 0% 1.0%
Jordan Byrd 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.98 -0.98 0% -1.0%
Pass targets
Jesse Matthews 11 catches (13 targets), 175 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.91 1.07 13.96 77% 36.0%
BJ Busbee 3 catches (3 targets), 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.74 5.22 100% 16.0%
Elijah Kothe 3 catches (3 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.33 0.63 1.88 100% 8.0%
Kobe Smith 1 catch (1 target), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 1.52 1.52 100% 4.0%
Ethan Dedeaux 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.84 0.84 100% 3.0%
Daniel Bellinger 2 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.50 0.00 -0.01 67% 0.0%
Tyrell Shavers 2 catches (6 targets), 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.50 -0.06 -0.36 33% -4.0%
Jordan Byrd 1 catch (1 target), -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -1.70 -1.70 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 6:46 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -4.64 55.6% -10.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -3.78 57.1% -10.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.66 60.0% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.41 38.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 3.26 50.8% 9.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:09 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 3.22 44.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:31 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 8) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 3.10 20.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - -1.61 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 4 at UTSA 36) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 2.95 32.8% 5.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 0.67 = 2.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:21 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 2.92 7.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - -0.15 = 2.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:08 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 2.88 16.5% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 6:46 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -4.64 55.6% -10.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.66 60.0% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 20 at UTSA 41) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 30 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 2.57 34.1% 10.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 11

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 2.35 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 44.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -3.78 57.1% -10.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 1.28 16.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.41 38.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 3.26 50.8% 9.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:08 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 2.88 16.5% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.49 78.7% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 1.59 13.3% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 3.26 50.8% 9.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:09 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 3.22 44.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at SDSU 2) Brenden Brady 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.64 63.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.41 38.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & Goal at UTSA 16) Matt Araiza 33 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.39 62.8% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.49 78.7% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 1.28 16.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at UTSA 24) Tyrell Shavers 24 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 2.54 88.5% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.46 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 1.59 13.3% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:51 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 2) Lucas Johnson 2 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.66 92.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.34)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 0.00 42.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:45 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 33 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 0.65 49.2% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.04 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.2%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:38 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 2 at UTSA 33) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 -1.28 48.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.82 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:14 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 28) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 29 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 2.80 47.2% 5.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 43

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.53 = 2.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.2%

Win Probability (After): 52.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:45 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 43) Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the SDSt 42 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 -0.64 53.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.33 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:25 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 9 at SDSU 42) Brenden Brady run for 27 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 2.23 53.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 15

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 2.69 = 2.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.5%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:57 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 15) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the SDSt 12 - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 -0.41 56.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.99 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:43 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at SDSU 12) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 0, SDSU 0 -0.90 52.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 4.61 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 0, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 12) De'Corian Clark 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 3.26 50.8% 9.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.74 = 3.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 21 (Kickoff at SDSU 35) Everett Ornstein kickoff for 57 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 24 yds to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 0.81 35.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - -0.17 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.17)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:12 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 32) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.43 36.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: SDSU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.62 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.38)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at SDSU 34) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.04 36.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: SDSU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.10 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:24 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 4 at SDSU 38) Lucas Johnson sacked by Clarence Hicks for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -2.61 36.7% -4.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.33 - 0.27 = -2.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.73)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 31.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:11 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 10 at SDSU 32) Matt Araiza punt for 46 yds , Cade Stoever returns for 12 yds to the TexSA 34 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.71 32.2% 5.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: SDSU 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - -2.19 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.2%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:02 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 34) Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 8 yds to the TexSA 42 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 0.50 65.1% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.83 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 66.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 2 at UTSA 42) Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 0.17 66.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.33 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:13 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 49) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 49 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.49 69.0% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.45 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:50 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 49) Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 12 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 1.26 66.4% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 39

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 2.86 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 69.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:24 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 39) De'Corian Clark run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.59 68.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.12 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:44 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 8 at SDSU 37) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 1 yd to the SDSt 36 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.70 67.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 36

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 3.49 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.49)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:17 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 36) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -1.76 68.8% -4.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 2.82 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:12 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 7 at SDSU 36) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -2.15 66.9% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTSA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - 1.13 = -2.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:04 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 36) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 38 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.54 34.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.05 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at SDSU 38) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 1.46 34.1% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.49 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:50 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at 50) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 1.15 38.1% 2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.91 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.1%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:30 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 35) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.66 40.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 3.07 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:06 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 35) Kaegun Williams run for 13 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 1.90 38.9% 4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 22

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 2.39 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:30 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 22) Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 7, SDSU 0 -0.53 43.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 20

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.29 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:09 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at UTSA 20) Jesse Matthews 20 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 3.22 44.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:09 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 0.00 50.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 50.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:53 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 2 yds to the TexSA 27 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 -0.52 51.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.07 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 8 at UTSA 27) B.J. Daniels run for 12 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 1.54 52.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 0.55 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:10 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the TexSA 45 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 0.30 56.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.09 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 56.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:10 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 45) B.J. Daniels run for 17 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 1.23 56.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.39 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.9%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:27 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 38) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Dan Dishman - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 -0.62 59.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.99 - 3.60 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:13 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 38) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the SDSt 30 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 0.58 58.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 30

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.98 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:49 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 2 at SDSU 30) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 0.80 58.2% 2.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.57 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:35 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the SDSt 17 - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 0.81 60.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 4.36 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.5%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:06 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 2 at SDSU 17) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST down - UTSA 7, SDSU 7 1.21 61.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 2

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.36 - 5.15 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 7, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at SDSU 2) Brenden Brady 2 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.64 63.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.36 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 21 (Kickoff at SDSU 35) Everett Ornstein kickoff for 58 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 19 yds to the SDSt 26 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.35 30.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: SDSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.15 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:26 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 26) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 6 yds to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.09 30.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.49 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:00 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 4 at SDSU 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -1.70 30.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 71

Started Drive at: SDSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - 0.61 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:31 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 7 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -1.25 28.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: SDSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.30 - -1.06 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:18 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 7 at SDSU 29) Matt Araiza punt for 49 yds , Cade Stoever returns for no gain to the TexSA 22 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.19 26.3% 3.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 78

Started Drive at: SDSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - -2.30 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:18 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 22) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 12 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -0.83 70.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 88

Started Drive at: UTSA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.11 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 12) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 5 yds to the TexSA 17 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.11 69.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83

Started Drive at: UTSA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.55 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:51 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 5 at UTSA 17) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -0.47 68.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTSA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.64 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 2 at UTSA 20) Frank Harris sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 13 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -2.31 67.0% -3.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 87

Started Drive at: UTSA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.20 - 1.11 = -2.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.11)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:32 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 9 at UTSA 13) Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 46 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -0.54 64.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTSA 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.80 - -1.26 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:08 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 46) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 12 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.84 37.5% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 1.79 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:57 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 42) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the TexSA 35 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.55 39.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 2.64 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.36)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:28 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 3 at UTSA 35) Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 36 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -1.05 40.0% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 36

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.20 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:24 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 4 at UTSA 36) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -1.90 33.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 2.30 = -1.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.8%

Win Probability (After): 33.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 4 at UTSA 36) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 2.95 32.8% 5.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 0.67 = 2.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:34 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -1.15 39.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 41

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 3.63 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 20 at UTSA 41) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 30 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 2.57 34.1% 10.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 11

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 2.35 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 44.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:29 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 11) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -0.56 43.9% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 4.92 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 11) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 -0.79 42.9% -4.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 4.36 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 09:23 - UTSA 14, SDSU 7 0.00 38.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at UTSA 11) Jesse Matthews 11 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.41 38.8% 9.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.00 47.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Brenden Brady run for 9 yds to the TexSA 34 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.94 47.8% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.19 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:51 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 1 at UTSA 34) Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.09 49.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.04 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:38 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.63 50.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.07 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:20 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 39) Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 21 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 2.06 48.9% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 1.46 = 2.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 53.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:06 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 40) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.59 53.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.52 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:49 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 40) Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -1.41 56.8% -7.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.98 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:17 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 11 at SDSU 41) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.89 54.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.76 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 54.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:46 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 1 at SDSU 31) Brenden Brady run for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -4.64 55.6% -10.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.81 - 2.84 = -4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 44.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:36 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 26 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.56 54.7% -2.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 74

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.71 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:28 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 15 at SDSU 26) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.58 52.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.05 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:38 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 12 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 2.11 52.5% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 55

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 0.51 = 2.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.5%

Win Probability (After): 58.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:50 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 45) Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the TexSA 46 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.76 58.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 46

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 2.52 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.52)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:26 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 1 at UTSA 46) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.91 60.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 3.32 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:57 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at SDSU 49) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 1.20 58.8% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 39

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.33 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:20 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 39) Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the TexSA 33 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.41 61.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 3.41 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:56 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 33) Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.43 61.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.76 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:56 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 3 at UTSA 32) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 02:56 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.00 59.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:55 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -1.21 59.5% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 3.29 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 3 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -3.78 57.1% -10.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - 2.04 = -3.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 32) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.82 53.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTSA 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:38 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 47) Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.12 55.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.56 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:10 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 6 at SDSU 49) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.72 54.9% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.49 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:02 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 6 at SDSU 49) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -1.48 52.9% -5.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.86 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:55 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 6 at SDSU 49) Lucas Dean punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 10 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.99 47.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 90

Started Drive at: UTSA 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 0.41 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:45 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 10) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 14 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 1.05 52.7% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 76

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.45 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.7%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:28 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 5 yds to the SDSt 29 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.34 54.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 0.98 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 5 at SDSU 29) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.35 55.6% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.22 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 36) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 32 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 2.21 56.5% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 1.30 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 32) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:47 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.00 63.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.51 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 10 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.48 63.0% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 22

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.49 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 22) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 27 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.74 65.0% -3.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 27

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.97 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.0%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 15 at UTSA 27) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.34 61.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.25 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 15 at UTSA 27) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 32 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -0.18 60.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 32

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 2.97 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 20 at UTSA 32) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 31 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 3.66 60.0% 10.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 1

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.24 - 2.58 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 1) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 16 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 -2.38 70.9% -6.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 6.21 = -2.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 16) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.20 63.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.24 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & Goal at UTSA 16) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:08 - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.00 64.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & Goal at UTSA 16) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 14 0.18 61.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 2.74 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & Goal at UTSA 16) Matt Araiza 33 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.39 62.8% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 99 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:51 ESPN team id 21 (Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds , Kaegun Williams return for 52 yds to the TexSA 48 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 1.69 69.0% 2.6%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 1.49 = 1.69

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.49)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:42 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 48) Lucas Johnson run for 13 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.84 72.6% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.24 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:55 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 35) Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the TexSA 28 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.50 71.2% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 3.93 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.93)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:36 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 3 at UTSA 28) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.00 72.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:56 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 24) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 20 - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 0.03 71.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 4.41 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.41)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:25 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at UTSA 20) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 19 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 17 1.98 72.6% 5.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 1

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 4.44 = 1.98

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.44)

Score Difference (End): 3 (9.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 78.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 1) Greg Bell 1 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.49 78.7% 7.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.51 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): 3 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.00 16.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.88)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:42 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.42 17.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.07 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.93)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:27 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 1.63 16.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.14 = 1.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.86)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:27 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 46) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 -0.83 18.8% -2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.49 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.51)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:08 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 15 at UTSA 41) Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 35 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 2.88 16.5% 8.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 0.82 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.18)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:56 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 24) Joshua Cephus pass incomplete - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 -0.58 24.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.81 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.19)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:45 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 24) Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the SDSt 19 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 0.07 23.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.29 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.71)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.7%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:14 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 5 at SDSU 19) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 -1.21 22.6% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 3.36 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:14 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 5 at SDSU 19) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 24 - UTSA 14, SDSU 24 -0.41 18.1% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 2.15 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.85)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 14, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 10 at SDSU 24) Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 1.28 16.5% 9.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 21 (Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 0.00 81.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.19 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.19)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:02 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 25) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 0.91 81.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.20 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.1%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:29 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 40) Greg Bell run for 11 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 0.58 83.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 3.09 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.4%

Win Probability (After): 83.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 49) Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.98 83.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.62 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:16 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 11 at 50) Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 45 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.19 83.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.61 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 83.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:37 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 6 at UTSA 45) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.84 83.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 50

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.44 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:09 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 11 at 50) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -1.54 82.1% -4.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.64 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:02 ESPN team id 21 (4th & 11 at 50) Matt Araiza punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cade Stoever at the TexSA 5 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 0.94 79.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 95

Started Drive at: SDSU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.21 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.15)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:51 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 5) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the TexSA 8 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.53 20.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 92

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -1.17 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.17)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:31 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 8) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 3.10 20.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - -1.61 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:12 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 43) Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.29 26.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.48 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:44 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 46) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.92 25.9% -4.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 1.17 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:37 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 7 at UTSA 46) Frank Harris pass intercepted C.J. Baskerville return for no gain to the SDSt 31 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -2.87 22.4% -4.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - 0.26 = -2.87

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:31 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 31) Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Daniel Bellinger - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.65 82.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.61 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:16 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 31) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 5 yds to the SDSt 36 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.24 81.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.97 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:50 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 5 at SDSU 36) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 1.34 81.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 1.75 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:20 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 41) Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 47 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 0.08 85.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 53

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.12 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:51 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 4 at SDSU 47) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Kobe Smith for 25 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 1.52 85.3% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 28

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.20 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:14 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 28) Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24 - UTSA 17, SDSU 24 -0.25 89.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 4.71 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.71)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at UTSA 24) Tyrell Shavers 24 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 2.54 88.5% 5.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.46 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 24 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:39 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 0.00 7.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:21 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 2.92 7.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - -0.15 = 2.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.15)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:20 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 0.36 7.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -0.51 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:09 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 36) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 1.35 10.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 2.77 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:45 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 21) Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the SDSt 17 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 0.12 12.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 4.13 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.87)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:21 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 6 at SDSU 17) Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 -0.82 12.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 4.27 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.73)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:21 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 6 at SDSU 17) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 22 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 -1.34 10.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 3.45 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:13 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 11 at SDSU 22) Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the SDSt 12 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 1.39 8.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 2.11 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.89)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:49 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 1 at SDSU 12) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 00:49 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 0.00 10.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 3.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:37 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 1 at SDSU 12) Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 1.72 10.9% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 8

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.19 - 3.47 = 1.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:29 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at SDSU 8) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST down - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 0.62 13.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 5.19 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.81)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:21 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & Goal at SDSU 4) Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the SDSt 3 - UTSA 17, SDSU 31 -0.25 13.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 3

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 5.78 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 17, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & Goal at SDSU 3) Zakhari Franklin 3 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Hunter Duplessis Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 1.59 13.3% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 21 (Kickoff at SDSU 35) Hunter Duplessis kickoff for 61 yds - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 0.67 84.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.21 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:22 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 35) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 35 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 -0.55 84.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.87 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:18 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 35) Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 8 yds to the SDSt 43 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 0.10 84.1% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.33 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.33)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.1%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 2 at SDSU 43) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 1.52 85.1% 1.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 2.38 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:20 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 42) Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 41 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 -0.44 87.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 41

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.85 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:09 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 9 at UTSA 41) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 1.29 87.4% 2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 26

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.43 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 26) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 -0.24 89.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 4.67 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 7 at UTSA 23) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 0.84 89.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 16

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.25 - 4.41 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.41)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:42 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 16) Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 -0.50 89.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 5.21 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:31 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 9 at UTSA 15) Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the TexSA 7 - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 0.74 90.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 7

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.67 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:07 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 1 at UTSA 7) Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 31 0.95 91.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 2

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.35 - 5.40 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:51 ESPN team id 21 (1st & Goal at UTSA 2) Lucas Johnson 2 Yd Run (Matt Araiza Kick) - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.66 92.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: SDSU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.34 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.34)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:51 ESPN team id 2636 (Kickoff at UTSA 35) Matt Araiza kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.00 5.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:32 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 25) Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.34 4.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - -0.10 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.10)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:12 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 4 at UTSA 31) B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 1.02 4.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.13 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.87)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at UTSA 40) Frank Harris pass incomplete to Dan Dishman - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.61 5.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 1.07 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at UTSA 40) Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down lat. to B.J. Daniels for 16 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 1.98 5.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 0.43 = 1.98

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.57)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:15 ESPN team id 2636 (1st & 10 at SDSU 42) Frank Harris pass incomplete - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.65 5.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.40 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.60)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:08 ESPN team id 2636 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 42) Josh Adkins pass incomplete - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -1.04 5.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.86 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:51 ESPN team id 2636 (3rd & 10 at SDSU 42) Frank Harris sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 49 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -2.32 4.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 0.93 = -2.32

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:13 ESPN team id 2636 (4th & 17 at SDSU 49) Lucas Dean punt for 49 yds for a touchback - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.68 2.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 80

Started Drive at: UTSA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -1.10 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.10)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:05 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 20 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.63 97.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.92 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:00 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 20 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.64 98.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.97 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.97)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:27 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 10 at SDSU 20) Greg Bell run for 13 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 1.95 98.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 67

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 0.18 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:39 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 33) Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 37 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.11 99.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.88 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.88)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:19 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at SDSU 37) SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 32 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.67 99.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 68

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.78 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.78)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 11 at SDSU 32) Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 41 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.60 99.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.00 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.00)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:06 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 2 at SDSU 41) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 04:06 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.00 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.60 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:43 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 2 at SDSU 41) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.81 99.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 56

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 1.51 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.51)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:28 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at SDSU 44) Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.30 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.17 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.17)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:28 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at SDSU 46) Timeout UT SAN ANTONIO, clock 03:28 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.87)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:16 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 8 at SDSU 46) Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 49 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.12 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.71 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.71)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:42 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 3 at UTSA 49) Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 02:42 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.00 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.83 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.83)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:36 ESPN team id 21 (3rd & 3 at UTSA 49) Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.72 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.57 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:50 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 46) Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 0.17 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.01 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 21 (2nd & 6 at UTSA 42) Chance Bell run for 8 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST down - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 1.16 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 1.58 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.58)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:24 ESPN team id 21 (1st & 10 at UTSA 34) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35 - UTSA 24, SDSU 38 -0.58 99.3% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 35

Started Drive at: SDSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.25 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.25)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTSA 24, SDSU 38

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3