Missouri 22 @ Army 24

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.02 | Odds: ARMY -7, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 7975
Total EPA 5.4613.06
  Offensive EPA 8.5614.37
  Special Teams EPA -3.02-2.26
  Penalty EPA 0.710.95
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.790.00
Production ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 7164
  Yards 448306
  Yards/Play 6.314.78
  EPA 8.5614.37
  EPA/Play 0.120.22
Passes 37 (52%)9 (14%)
  Yards 23895
  Yards/Play 6.4310.56
  EPA 8.9310.61
  EPA/Play 0.241.18
Rushes 34 (48%)55 (86%)
  Yards 214211
  Yards/Play 6.293.84
  EPA -0.373.76
  EPA/Play -0.010.07
Rushing ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 7164
Rushes 34 (48%)55 (86%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (6%)4 (7%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (50%)4 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (15%)9 (16%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 8 (24%)28 (51%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 22 (65%)22 (40%)
OL Line Yards 70.694.7
  Per Carry 2.081.72
Highlight Yards 7248.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.272.20
Explosiveness ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 7975
Scrimmage Plays 7164
Explosive Plays 2 (3%)6 (9%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (3%)2 (22%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)4 (7%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 3.27-3.27
  EPA/Play 0.05-0.06
  When Passing 6.513.47
    EPA/Play 0.180.39
  When Rushing -3.24-6.74
    EPA/Play -0.10-0.13
Situational ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 45 (63%)30 (47%)
  When Passing 25 (68%)6 (67%)
  When Rushing 20 (59%)24 (44%)
  On Standard Downs 38 (64%)23 (49%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (58%)7 (41%)
  On Early Downs 37 (63%)19 (42%)
  On Late Downs 8 (67%)11 (58%)
  During "Middle 8" 8 (80%)4 (50%)
Early Downs 5945
  First Downs Created 20 (34%)9 (20%)
  EPA 6.845.55
  EPA/Play 0.120.12
  Passes 30 (51%)7 (16%)
  Rushes 29 (49%)38 (84%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 21 (70%)4 (57%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 16 (55%)15 (39%)
"Middle 8" Plays 108
  EPA 4.182.02
  EPA/play 0.420.25
  Passes 5 (50%)2 (25%)
  Rushes 5 (50%)6 (75%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (80%)1 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 4 (80%)3 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Total 88
Avg Starting Field Position Own 19Own 31
Plays/Drive 10.2711.45
Yards/Drive 58.8953.80
Available Yards % 73%78%
Defensive ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Scrimmage Plays 6471
Stop Rate 14%44%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (9%)9 (13%)
  Passing 0 (0%)4 (11%)
  Rushing 6 (11%)5 (15%)
TFLs Generated 68
  Passing 04
  Rushing 64
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)3 (8%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 01
Turnovers ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Turnovers 20
  Fumbles 20
  Fumbles Lost 20
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 1.01.0
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) -10.010.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 142 ESPN team id 349
Total Plays 8 11
Total EPA -3.02 -2.26
  Field Goal EPA 1.12 -2.3
  Punting EPA -0.43 0.07
  Kickoff Return EPA -3.72 -0.03

Missouri [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brady Cook 27/34, 238 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 71.0 xQBR 6.43 0.24 8.93 68% 35.0%
Rush attempts
Brady Cook 6 carries, 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.91 5.45 83% 8.0%
Elijah Young 13 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.77 0.10 1.29 62% -2.0%
Barrett Banister 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -1.31 -1.31 0% -2.0%
Dawson Downing 14 carries, 69 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) 4.93 -0.41 -5.80 50% -19.0%
Pass targets
Keke Chism 5 catches (5 targets), 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.80 0.94 4.68 100% 27.0%
Barrett Banister 6 catches (7 targets), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.83 0.66 4.60 86% 3.0%
Elijah Young 5 catches (5 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.40 0.78 3.91 100% 25.0%
Dawson Downing 3 catches (4 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.33 0.57 2.26 75% 6.0%
JJ Hester 3 catches (3 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.63 1.90 100% 3.0%
Kibet Chepyator 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.62 -0.62 0% -2.0%
Mookie Cooper 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.68 -0.68 0% -2.0%
Dominic Lovett 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.67 -1.35 50% -6.0%
Tauskie Dove 3 catches (6 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.29 -1.77 33% -10.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Christian Anderson 3/4, 60 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 81.4 xQBR 15.00 1.32 5.28 75% 7.0%
Tyhier Tyler 1/1, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 89.1 xQBR 14.00 3.85 3.85 100% 15.0%
Jabari Laws 2/4, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 73.1 xQBR 5.25 0.37 1.49 50% 24.0%
Rush attempts
Jakobi Buchanan 21 carries, 68 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.24 0.41 8.63 48% 27.0%
Cade Barnard 4 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.47 1.88 75% -1.0%
Brandon Walters 1 carry, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 0.98 0.98 100% 7.0%
Tyson Riley 6 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.67 0.12 0.70 50% 8.0%
Jabari Laws 3 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.17 0.51 100% 19.0%
Christian Anderson 8 carries, 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.12 -0.07 -0.56 38% 5.0%
Anthony Adkins 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 -0.34 -1.01 33% -2.0%
Tyhier Tyler 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.67 -0.56 -1.67 0% -6.0%
Tyrell Robinson 6 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.95 -5.70 0% -8.0%
Pass targets
Brandon Walters 2 catches (3 targets), 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.50 1.73 5.19 67% 19.0%
Tyrell Robinson 1 catch (1 target), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 42.00 3.30 3.30 100% 5.0%
Isaiah Alston 3 catches (4 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.66 2.64 75% 24.0%
RJ Rosales 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.51 -0.51 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 48 Dawson Downing fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by Army Andre Carter II , return for 3 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -5.04 23.5% -11.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 2.42 = -5.04

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.58)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:20 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 3.85 66.1% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:49 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -3.62 54.6% -17.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:22 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 13 at MIZ 26) Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSED - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -3.30 48.2% -3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - 0.94 = -3.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.06)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 42 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 3.30 32.7% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.23 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 2.86 43.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:08 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.83 49.9% 14.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 2.78 45.4% 13.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:35 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.61 39.6% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:42 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 6 at MIZ 32) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 14 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 2.43 31.3% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 54

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 0.17 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.27 38.8% 25.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 1.70 27.7% 22.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 3.67 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.33)

Score Difference (End): -5 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:49 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -3.62 54.6% -17.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:43 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 48) Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.14 60.1% 17.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.28 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 1.01 84.5% 15.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 10:20 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 3.85 66.1% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:08 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.83 49.9% 14.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.48 47.9% 13.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.92 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:20 ESPN team id 142 (1st & Goal at ARMY 6) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett Banister - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.55 51.5% -13.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 5.28 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 2.78 45.4% 13.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 2.86 43.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 142 (4th & Goal at ARMY 5) Harrison Mevis 22 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 0.03 61.2% 9.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.97 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 2.78 45.4% 13.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:59 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 3 at ARMY 8) Harrison Mevis 25 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.17 53.8% 8.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.83)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 3 at ARMY 21) Harrison Mevis 39 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.92 65.8% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.5%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:35 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.61 39.6% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:20 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 3.85 66.1% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.27 38.8% 25.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 1.01 84.5% 15.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 142 (Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 28 yds to the Misso 28 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 -0.97 27.5% -1.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.86 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:54 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 28) Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 0.00 32.4% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.28 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:26 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 5 at MIZ 33) Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 32 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 -1.35 32.6% -4.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 68

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 1.44 = -1.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:42 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 6 at MIZ 32) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 14 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 2.43 31.3% 4.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 54

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 0.17 = 2.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:08 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 46) Dawson Downing run for 12 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 0.78 37.8% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.57 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:38 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 -0.68 40.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 3.35 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:32 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 42) Elijah Young run for 12 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 1.44 39.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 30

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 2.69 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 2.86 43.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.00 49.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 31 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.43 49.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - -0.14 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.4%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:21 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at ARMY 31) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 33 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -0.38 50.8% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 0.22 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:42 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 2 at ARMY 33) Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 1.01 48.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - -0.10 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 38) Tyson Riley run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.94 51.6% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 0.95 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:29 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at 50) Brandon Walters run for 15 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.98 49.6% 7.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.96 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 35) Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -0.32 52.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.14 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.86)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:21 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at MIZ 33) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 36 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -1.82 48.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 36

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 2.78 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:52 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 11 at MIZ 36) Cade Barnard run for 10 yds to the Misso 26 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 1.47 50.3% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 0.86 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:08 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 1 at MIZ 26) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 1.65 51.4% 7.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 2.39 = 1.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:42 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 23) Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Misso 17 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.58 56.5% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 4.06 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 59.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:01 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at MIZ 17) ARMY Penalty, False Start (Ryan Jackovic) to the Misso 22 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -0.94 58.7% -2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.63 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 9 at MIZ 22) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 24 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -1.52 55.1% -4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.70 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.1%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:06 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 11 at MIZ 24) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 26 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -1.24 50.9% -4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 26

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.18 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:22 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 13 at MIZ 26) Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSED - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -3.30 48.2% -3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - 0.94 = -3.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.06)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:22 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 26) Elijah Young run for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.98 56.1% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 53

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 2.40 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:49 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the Army 48 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kwabena Bonsu) to the Army 37 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.77 59.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 37

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 3.37 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:27 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 37) Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 30 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.44 61.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 4.14 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.6%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:09 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 3 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 23 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 1.26 62.1% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 7

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.85 - 4.59 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:59 ESPN team id 142 (1st & Goal at ARMY 7) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 6 yds to the Army 1 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.56 66.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.41 - 5.85 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:36 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & Goal at ARMY 1) Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 4 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -1.55 66.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 6.41 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.41)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.0%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:57 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & Goal at ARMY 4) Brady Cook sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 10 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 -2.02 64.9% -3.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 10

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 4.87 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.87)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:13 ESPN team id 142 (4th & Goal at ARMY 10) ARMY Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Army 5 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 0.12 60.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.85 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 61.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 142 (4th & Goal at ARMY 5) Harrison Mevis 22 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 0.03 61.2% 9.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: MIZ 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.97 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 0.00 32.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.23 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 42 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 3.30 32.7% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.23 = 3.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:40 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 33) Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 32 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 -0.58 37.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.52 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.48)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.2%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:05 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 9 at MIZ 32) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 -0.86 34.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.93 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 10 at MIZ 33) Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the Misso 25 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 -0.09 37.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.02 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:18 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 2.28 40.4% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 1.93 = 2.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.07)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 2.78 45.4% 13.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 58.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 142 (Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.00 46.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.45 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:56 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 25) Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.44 46.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.45 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.45)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:23 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 7 at MIZ 28) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 9 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 1.28 46.0% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.01 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:59 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 37) Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 43 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.14 48.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 2.32 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.3%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:13 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 4 at MIZ 43) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dawson Downing - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.93 47.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.52 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:09 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 4 at MIZ 43) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 1.31 45.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.62 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.62)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:46 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Dawson Downing run for 10 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.46 47.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 42

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.94 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:33 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 38 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.08 48.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 38

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.39 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.39)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:04 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 38) MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 43 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.81 49.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 3.27 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.27)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:42 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 11 at ARMY 43) Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 34 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.88 47.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 34

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.46 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.46)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:22 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 2 at ARMY 34) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.77 50.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.34 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 51.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:52 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Army 25 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 0.16 52.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.06 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 51.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:14 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 5 at ARMY 25) Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 24 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.63 49.8% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.19 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.19)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.8%

Win Probability (After): 51.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:36 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 4 at ARMY 24) Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 1.41 49.7% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 3.49 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.49)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:58 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 15) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 11 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.10 53.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.76 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.76)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 52.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:21 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 11) Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 10 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -0.69 57.4% -6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.62 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.62)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:49 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 5 at ARMY 10) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 2 yds to the Army 8 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 -1.15 56.5% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.97 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.97)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:59 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 3 at ARMY 8) Harrison Mevis 25 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.17 53.8% 8.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: MIZ 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.83)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:59 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.00 46.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:59 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 29 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.07 46.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.85 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.9%

Win Probability (After): 46.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:23 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 31 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.51 45.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.81 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.19)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.5%

Win Probability (After): 45.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:40 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 4 at ARMY 31) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 28 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -1.73 44.0% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.40 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.60)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:52 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 7 at ARMY 28) Zach Harding punt for 55 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 15 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.58 38.5% 3.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 85

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -1.17 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.17)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:52 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 15) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Misso 24 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.53 58.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.54 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.54)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:43 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 1 at MIZ 24) Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.01 59.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.07 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.07)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 26) Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.71 60.6% -3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 75

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.07 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.07)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.6%

Win Probability (After): 57.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:31 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 11 at MIZ 25) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 1.17 58.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 0.41 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.41)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:13 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 38) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 9 yds to the Misso 47 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.24 66.0% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 53

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 1.58 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.58)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.0%

Win Probability (After): 63.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:49 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 1 at MIZ 47) Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.25 66.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.56 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.56)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 66.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:21 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at 50) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 22 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 1.48 66.2% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 28

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.39 = 1.48

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.39)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:05 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 28) MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 33 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.87 70.8% -4.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 33

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.83 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.83)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 66.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:56 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 15 at ARMY 33) Cook, Brady pass complete to Downing, Dawson for 19 yards to the ARMY14, PENALTY MISSOURI holding 10 yards to the ARMY43, NO PLAY. - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.84 68.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.97 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.97)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 25 at ARMY 43) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 00:47 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.00 67.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.13)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 25 at ARMY 43) Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the Army 33 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.55 65.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.08 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.08)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 15 at ARMY 33) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 00:39 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 0.00 66.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.63 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.63)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:39 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 15 at ARMY 33) Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 38 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 -0.62 64.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.62 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.62)

Score Difference (End): 6 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 20 at ARMY 38) Brady Cook run for 17 yds to the Army 21 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 1.29 64.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 21

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 0.85 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): 6 (8.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 3 at ARMY 21) Harrison Mevis 39 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.92 65.8% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: MIZ 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.5%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting on-side kick recovered by ARMY at the Army 38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.03 32.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: ARMY 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.97)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.4%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.00 33.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Army 27 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.41 33.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.07 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:26 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at ARMY 27) Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 9 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 1.47 34.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 64

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.34 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:47 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 36) Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.10 34.7% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.10 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.90)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:19 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 40) Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.00 33.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.98)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:46 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 2 at ARMY 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.87 31.7% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.98 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.02)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:05 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 47) Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Misso 47 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.35 33.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.84 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.16)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:31 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at MIZ 47) Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.35 36.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.31 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 42) Christian Anderson pass incomplete to RJ Rosales - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.51 35.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.61 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:53 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 42) Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 1.02 33.7% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 2.10 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.90)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:17 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at MIZ 33) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.35 35.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.27 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.73)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 31) Christian Anderson run for 13 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 1.01 39.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 18

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 3.66 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.34)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:06 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 18) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.22 40.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 16

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 4.63 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.37)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:42 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at MIZ 16) Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the Misso 10 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 0.28 40.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 10

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.29 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.71)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:20 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 2 at MIZ 10) Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 9 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -0.71 39.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 4.56 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.44)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:38 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 1 at MIZ 9) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 1.62 37.9% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 3.84 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.16)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-3.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:04 ESPN team id 349 (1st & Goal at MIZ 7) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 10 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 -1.10 40.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 10

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 5.49 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-3.51)

Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:35 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.61 39.6% 12.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:35 ESPN team id 142 (Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 15 yds to the Misso 20 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -1.36 52.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 1.17 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.17)

Score Difference (End): 2 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:31 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 20) Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 23 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.46 51.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.89 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 7 at MIZ 23) Dawson Downing run for 11 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 1.54 50.4% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 66

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 0.43 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.43)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:36 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 34) Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.10 54.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.97 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.97)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:57 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 4 at MIZ 40) Dawson Downing run for no gain to the Misso 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.91 55.8% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.06 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.8%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:15 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 4 at MIZ 40) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 1.52 54.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.14 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.14)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 56.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:49 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the Army 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.13 56.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.65 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.65)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 57.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:15 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 48) Barrett Banister run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -1.31 56.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 50

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 2.50 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.50)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 8 at 50) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Army 43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.10 57.3% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.20 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:54 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 01:54 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.00 57.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.30 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.30)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.5%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:49 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -3.62 54.6% -17.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56

Started Drive at: MIZ 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:49 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.17 60.5% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.32 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.32)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.5%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:15 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 48) Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.74 60.7% -6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.34 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 54.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:33 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 4 at 50) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -1.40 56.4% -5.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 48

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.82 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.18)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.4%

Win Probability (After): 50.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:08 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 2.83 49.9% 14.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 42 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.53 65.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 3.20 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.20)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:21 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at MIZ 42) Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Misso 35 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.66 64.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.75 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.6%

Win Probability (After): 65.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:57 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 1 at MIZ 35) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.54 66.0% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.45 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.45)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:23 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 33) Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Misso 30 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.29 67.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.95 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.95)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:58 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 7 at MIZ 30) Tyson Riley run for 8 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.88 66.9% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 22

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 3.70 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.70)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:28 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 22) MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 17 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.75 70.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.31 - 4.56 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): -2 (3.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 12:12 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 5 at MIZ 17) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.34 72.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 5.25 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -2 (3.25)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:48 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 4 at MIZ 16) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 14 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -0.43 71.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 4.91 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.91)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 11:10 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 2 at MIZ 14) Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Misso 14 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 -1.25 70.9% -6.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 4.43 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.43)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:25 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Timeout ARMY, clock 10:25 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 0.00 66.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.18 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:20 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 3.85 66.1% 15.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99

Started Drive at: ARMY 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:20 ESPN team id 142 (Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 11 yds to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -1.39 20.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 1.17 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.83)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:13 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 16) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.59 19.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.78 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.22)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:08 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 16) Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.81 18.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 81

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.16 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.84)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.3%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:29 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 7 at MIZ 19) Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Hester, JJ, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the MISSOURI29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI. - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 2.32 15.9% 5.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 71

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - -0.70 = 2.32

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.70)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:23 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 29) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 5 yds to the Misso 34 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.22 21.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.45 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.55)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:53 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 5 at MIZ 34) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the Misso 38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.02 20.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.49 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.51)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:27 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 1 at MIZ 38) Dawson Downing run for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 1.04 21.2% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 53

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 1.39 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.61)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 48 Dawson Downing fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by Army Andre Carter II , return for 3 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -5.04 23.5% -11.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48

Started Drive at: MIZ 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 2.42 = -5.04

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.58)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.62)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:56 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 47 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.52 88.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: MIZ 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.66 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.66)

Score Difference (End): 5 (7.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:19 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 9 at MIZ 47) Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Misso 43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.47 87.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: MIZ 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.31 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.31)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:41 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 5 at MIZ 43) Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 41 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -1.37 86.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: MIZ 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 2.02 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.02)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:47 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 3 at MIZ 41) Zach Harding punt for 39 yds, downed at the Misso 2 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.15 85.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 98

Started Drive at: MIZ 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.52 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:47 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 2) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.61 14.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 88

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.59 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.59)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:19 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 12) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.15 15.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 81

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.29 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.71)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:55 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 3 at MIZ 19) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 8 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.49 15.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 73

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.71 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:49 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Kibet Chepyator - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.62 17.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.16 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:41 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.68 16.4% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.51 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.49)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:35 ESPN team id 142 (3rd & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -1.36 13.5% -5.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -0.20 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.20)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:48 ESPN team id 142 (4th & 18 at MIZ 19) Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.43 8.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 60

Started Drive at: MIZ 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -1.45 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.45)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:48 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 40) Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 42 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.45 91.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.78 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.78)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:43 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at ARMY 42) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 45 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.29 91.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.33 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.33)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:43 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at ARMY 42) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 03:43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.00 91.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.04)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 5 at ARMY 45) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 03:38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.00 90.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.33 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.33)

Score Difference (End): 5 (6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 5 at ARMY 45) Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 45 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -1.30 90.2% -4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 1.01 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.01)

Score Difference (End): 5 (4.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:44 ESPN team id 349 (4th & 5 at ARMY 45) Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 17 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.37 87.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 83

Started Drive at: ARMY 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.21 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.79)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:44 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 12 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.54 13.6% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 71

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.62 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.38)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:27 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 29) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 12 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.51 14.9% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 59

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.28 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.72)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:16 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at MIZ 41) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.56 16.1% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 42

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 1.89 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.11)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 35 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.75 17.6% 4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.33 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.67)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:00 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 3 at ARMY 35) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.40 21.8% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.03 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.97)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 27) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 23 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.25 23.3% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 23

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 3.40 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.60)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:38 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 6 at ARMY 23) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 0.82 25.0% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.51 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.49)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 31.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:34 ESPN team id 142 (1st & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.46 32.1% -4.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 4.20 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.80)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:30 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 1.70 27.7% 22.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 3.67 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.33)

Score Difference (End): -5 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:20 ESPN team id 142 (1st & Goal at ARMY 6) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett Banister - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 -0.55 51.5% -13.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 5.28 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 142 (2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.27 38.8% 25.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: MIZ 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 349 (Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.00 47.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.9%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.48 47.9% 13.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.92 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 61.7%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 38) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.50 58.1% 9.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 1.22 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.22)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at ARMY 48) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Brandon Walters - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 -0.13 57.9% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.47 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.47)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:43 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at ARMY 48) Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.14 60.1% 17.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.28 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:40 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 37) Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Misso 35 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.03 76.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.36 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.36)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:34 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at MIZ 35) Timeout ARMY, clock 00:34 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.00 77.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.38 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.38)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 77.5%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:34 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 8 at MIZ 35) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 -0.32 77.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.37 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.37)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 349 (3rd & 8 at MIZ 35) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 11 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 1.44 76.8% 12.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 1.96 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.96)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 349 (1st & 10 at MIZ 24) Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Misso 24 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.00 83.1% 4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:03 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Timeout ARMY, clock 00:03 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 0.00 83.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 349 (2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 1.01 84.5% 15.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: ARMY 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1