Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.02 | Odds: ARMY -7, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 75 |
| Total EPA | 5.46 | 13.06 |
| Offensive EPA | 8.56 | 14.37 |
| Special Teams EPA | -3.02 | -2.26 |
| Penalty EPA | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.79 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 64 |
| Yards | 448 | 306 |
| Yards/Play | 6.31 | 4.78 |
| EPA | 8.56 | 14.37 |
| EPA/Play | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| Passes | 37 (52%) | 9 (14%) |
| Yards | 238 | 95 |
| Yards/Play | 6.43 | 10.56 |
| EPA | 8.93 | 10.61 |
| EPA/Play | 0.24 | 1.18 |
| Rushes | 34 (48%) | 55 (86%) |
| Yards | 214 | 211 |
| Yards/Play | 6.29 | 3.84 |
| EPA | -0.37 | 3.76 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.07 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 64 |
| Rushes | 34 (48%) | 55 (86%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (6%) | 4 (7%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (50%) | 4 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 5 (15%) | 9 (16%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 8 (24%) | 28 (51%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 22 (65%) | 22 (40%) |
| OL Line Yards | 70.6 | 94.7 |
| Per Carry | 2.08 | 1.72 |
| Highlight Yards | 72 | 48.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.27 | 2.20 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 75 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 64 |
| Explosive Plays | 2 (3%) | 6 (9%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 1 (3%) | 2 (22%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (3%) | 4 (7%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | 3.27 | -3.27 |
| EPA/Play | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| When Passing | 6.51 | 3.47 |
| EPA/Play | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| When Rushing | -3.24 | -6.74 |
| EPA/Play | -0.10 | -0.13 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 45 (63%) | 30 (47%) |
| When Passing | 25 (68%) | 6 (67%) |
| When Rushing | 20 (59%) | 24 (44%) |
| On Standard Downs | 38 (64%) | 23 (49%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (58%) | 7 (41%) |
| On Early Downs | 37 (63%) | 19 (42%) |
| On Late Downs | 8 (67%) | 11 (58%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 8 (80%) | 4 (50%) |
| Early Downs | 59 | 45 |
| First Downs Created | 20 (34%) | 9 (20%) |
| EPA | 6.84 | 5.55 |
| EPA/Play | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Passes | 30 (51%) | 7 (16%) |
| Rushes | 29 (49%) | 38 (84%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 21 (70%) | 4 (57%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 16 (55%) | 15 (39%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 10 | 8 |
| EPA | 4.18 | 2.02 |
| EPA/play | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| Passes | 5 (50%) | 2 (25%) |
| Rushes | 5 (50%) | 6 (75%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 4 (80%) | 1 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 4 (80%) | 3 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 8 | 8 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 19 | Own 31 |
| Plays/Drive | 10.27 | 11.45 |
| Yards/Drive | 58.89 | 53.80 |
| Available Yards % | 73% | 78% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 71 |
| Stop Rate | 14% | 44% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 6 (9%) | 9 (13%) |
| Passing | 0 (0%) | 4 (11%) |
| Rushing | 6 (11%) | 5 (15%) |
| TFLs Generated | 6 | 8 |
| Passing | 0 | 4 |
| Rushing | 6 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 0 (0%) | 3 (8%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -2 | 2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -10.0 | 10.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 8 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -3.02 | -2.26 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.12 | -2.3 |
| Punting EPA | -0.43 | 0.07 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -3.72 | -0.03 |
Missouri [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Brady Cook | 27/34, 238 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 71.0 xQBR | 6.43 | 0.24 | 8.93 | 68% | 35.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Brady Cook | 6 carries, 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.91 | 5.45 | 83% | 8.0% | |
| Elijah Young | 13 carries, 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.77 | 0.10 | 1.29 | 62% | -2.0% | |
| Barrett Banister | 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.31 | -1.31 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Dawson Downing | 14 carries, 69 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) | 4.93 | -0.41 | -5.80 | 50% | -19.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Keke Chism | 5 catches (5 targets), 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.80 | 0.94 | 4.68 | 100% | 27.0% | |
| Barrett Banister | 6 catches (7 targets), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.83 | 0.66 | 4.60 | 86% | 3.0% | |
| Elijah Young | 5 catches (5 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.40 | 0.78 | 3.91 | 100% | 25.0% | |
| Dawson Downing | 3 catches (4 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.33 | 0.57 | 2.26 | 75% | 6.0% | |
| JJ Hester | 3 catches (3 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.63 | 1.90 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Kibet Chepyator | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.62 | -0.62 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Mookie Cooper | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.68 | -0.68 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Dominic Lovett | 2 catches (2 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.67 | -1.35 | 50% | -6.0% | |
| Tauskie Dove | 3 catches (6 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | -0.29 | -1.77 | 33% | -10.0% | |
Army [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Christian Anderson | 3/4, 60 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 81.4 xQBR | 15.00 | 1.32 | 5.28 | 75% | 7.0% | |
| Tyhier Tyler | 1/1, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 89.1 xQBR | 14.00 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 100% | 15.0% | |
| Jabari Laws | 2/4, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 73.1 xQBR | 5.25 | 0.37 | 1.49 | 50% | 24.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jakobi Buchanan | 21 carries, 68 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.24 | 0.41 | 8.63 | 48% | 27.0% | |
| Cade Barnard | 4 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.47 | 1.88 | 75% | -1.0% | |
| Brandon Walters | 1 carry, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| Tyson Riley | 6 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.67 | 0.12 | 0.70 | 50% | 8.0% | |
| Jabari Laws | 3 carries, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.17 | 0.51 | 100% | 19.0% | |
| Christian Anderson | 8 carries, 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.12 | -0.07 | -0.56 | 38% | 5.0% | |
| Anthony Adkins | 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.67 | -0.34 | -1.01 | 33% | -2.0% | |
| Tyhier Tyler | 3 carries, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.67 | -0.56 | -1.67 | 0% | -6.0% | |
| Tyrell Robinson | 6 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.95 | -5.70 | 0% | -8.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Brandon Walters | 2 catches (3 targets), 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.50 | 1.73 | 5.19 | 67% | 19.0% | |
| Tyrell Robinson | 1 catch (1 target), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 42.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Isaiah Alston | 3 catches (4 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.66 | 2.64 | 75% | 24.0% | |
| RJ Rosales | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.51 | -0.51 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 7:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 48 Dawson Downing fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by Army Andre Carter II , return for 3 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -5.04 | 23.5% | -11.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 2.42 = -5.04 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.58) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.62) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:20 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 3.85 | 66.1% | 15.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:49 | |
(4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -3.62 | 54.6% | -17.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 37.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:22 | |
(4th & 13 at MIZ 26) Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSED - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -3.30 | 48.2% | -3.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - 0.94 = -3.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.06) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 42 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 3.30 | 32.7% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.23 = 3.30 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 2.86 | 43.5% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.5% Win Probability (After): 47.8% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:08 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.83 | 49.9% | 14.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 2.78 | 45.4% | 13.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.4% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.61 | 39.6% | 12.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:42 | |
(3rd & 6 at MIZ 32) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 14 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | 2.43 | 31.3% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 54 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 0.17 = 2.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.3% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:11 | |
(2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.27 | 38.8% | 25.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 1.70 | 27.7% | 22.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 3.67 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.33) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 49.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:49 | |
(4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -3.62 | 54.6% | -17.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 37.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:43 | |
(2nd & 10 at ARMY 48) Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.14 | 60.1% | 17.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.28 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 | 1.01 | 84.5% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 10:20 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 3.85 | 66.1% | 15.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:08 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.83 | 49.9% | 14.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.48 | 47.9% | 13.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.92 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:20 | |
(1st & Goal at ARMY 6) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett Banister - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.55 | 51.5% | -13.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 5.28 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 37.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 2.78 | 45.4% | 13.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.4% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 2.86 | 43.5% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.5% Win Probability (After): 47.8% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(4th & Goal at ARMY 5) Harrison Mevis 22 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 0.03 | 61.2% | 9.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.97 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.2% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 2.78 | 45.4% | 13.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.4% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:59 | |
(4th & 3 at ARMY 8) Harrison Mevis 25 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.17 | 53.8% | 8.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.83) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 62.6% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(4th & 3 at ARMY 21) Harrison Mevis 39 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.92 | 65.8% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08) Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.8% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.61 | 39.6% | 12.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:20 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 3.85 | 66.1% | 15.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.27 | 38.8% | 25.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 | 1.01 | 84.5% | 15.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 28 yds to the Misso 28 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | -0.97 | 27.5% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.86 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:54 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 28) Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | 0.00 | 32.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.28 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.4% Win Probability (After): 30.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:26 | |
(2nd & 5 at MIZ 33) Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 32 - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | -1.35 | 32.6% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 68 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 1.44 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:42 | |
(3rd & 6 at MIZ 32) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 14 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | 2.43 | 31.3% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 54 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 0.17 = 2.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.3% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:08 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 46) Dawson Downing run for 12 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | 0.78 | 37.8% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.57 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 39.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:38 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | -0.68 | 40.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 3.35 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 38.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:32 | |
(2nd & 10 at ARMY 42) Elijah Young run for 12 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down - MIZ 0, ARMY 0 | 1.44 | 39.5% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 30 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 2.69 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 0, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.5% Win Probability (After): 40.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 2.86 | 43.5% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.14 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.5% Win Probability (After): 47.8% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.14 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 49.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 31 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.43 | 49.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - -0.14 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 49.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:21 | |
(2nd & 4 at ARMY 31) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 33 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -0.38 | 50.8% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 0.22 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.78) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.8% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:42 | |
(3rd & 2 at ARMY 33) Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 1.01 | 48.5% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - -0.10 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 38) Tyson Riley run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.94 | 51.6% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 50 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 0.95 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.05) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.6% Win Probability (After): 54.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:29 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Brandon Walters run for 15 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.98 | 49.6% | 7.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 1.96 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.6% Win Probability (After): 57.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:59 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 35) Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -0.32 | 52.6% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.14 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.86) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.6% Win Probability (After): 51.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:21 | |
(2nd & 8 at MIZ 33) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 36 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -1.82 | 48.9% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 36 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 2.78 = -1.82 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.22) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 47.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:52 | |
(3rd & 11 at MIZ 36) Cade Barnard run for 10 yds to the Misso 26 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 1.47 | 50.3% | -3.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 26 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 0.86 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 47.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:08 | |
(4th & 1 at MIZ 26) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 1.65 | 51.4% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 23 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 2.39 = 1.65 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.4% Win Probability (After): 58.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 6:42 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 23) Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Misso 17 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.58 | 56.5% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 4.06 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.94) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 59.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:01 | |
(2nd & 4 at MIZ 17) ARMY Penalty, False Start (Ryan Jackovic) to the Misso 22 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -0.94 | 58.7% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 4.63 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.37) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at MIZ 22) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 24 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -1.52 | 55.1% | -4.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.70 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.30) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.1% Win Probability (After): 50.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:06 | |
(3rd & 11 at MIZ 24) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 26 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -1.24 | 50.9% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 26 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.18 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 46.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:22 | |
(4th & 13 at MIZ 26) Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSED - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -3.30 | 48.2% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 74 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - 0.94 = -3.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.06) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:22 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 26) Elijah Young run for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.98 | 56.1% | 3.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 53 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 2.40 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 59.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:49 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the Army 48 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kwabena Bonsu) to the Army 37 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.77 | 59.7% | 0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 37 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.16 - 3.37 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.7% Win Probability (After): 60.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:27 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 37) Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 30 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.44 | 61.6% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 4.14 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.6% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:09 | |
(2nd & 3 at ARMY 30) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 23 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 1.26 | 62.1% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 7 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.85 - 4.59 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.59) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 65.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:59 | |
(1st & Goal at ARMY 7) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 6 yds to the Army 1 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.56 | 66.5% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.41 - 5.85 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.5% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:36 | |
(2nd & Goal at ARMY 1) Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 4 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -1.55 | 66.0% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 6.41 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.41) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:57 | |
(3rd & Goal at ARMY 4) Brady Cook sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 10 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | -2.02 | 64.9% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 10 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 4.87 = -2.02 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:13 | |
(4th & Goal at ARMY 10) ARMY Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Army 5 - MIZ 7, ARMY 0 | 0.12 | 60.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.85 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 7, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 61.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(4th & Goal at ARMY 5) Harrison Mevis 22 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 0.03 | 61.2% | 9.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: MIZ 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.97 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.2% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.23 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 42 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 3.30 | 32.7% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.23 = 3.30 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:40 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 33) Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 32 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | -0.58 | 37.2% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 32 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.52 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.48) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.2% Win Probability (After): 36.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at MIZ 32) Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | -0.86 | 34.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.93 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.07) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 10 at MIZ 33) Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the Misso 25 - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | -0.09 | 37.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.02 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.98) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.4% Win Probability (After): 37.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:18 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 0 | 2.28 | 40.4% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 1.93 = 2.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.07) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.4% Win Probability (After): 41.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 22) Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 2.78 | 45.4% | 13.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.22 = 2.78 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.4% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.45 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 25) Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.44 | 46.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.45 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 45.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at MIZ 28) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 9 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 1.28 | 46.0% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.01 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 47.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 37) Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 43 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.14 | 48.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 2.32 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.32) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:13 | |
(2nd & 4 at MIZ 43) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dawson Downing - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.93 | 47.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.52 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:09 | |
(3rd & 4 at MIZ 43) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 1.31 | 45.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.62 = 1.31 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.8% Win Probability (After): 48.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:46 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Dawson Downing run for 10 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.46 | 47.9% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 42 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.94 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.94) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 49.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:33 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 38 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.08 | 48.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 38 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.39 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.39) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 38) MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 43 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.81 | 49.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 3.27 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.27) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.3% Win Probability (After): 47.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:42 | |
(2nd & 11 at ARMY 43) Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 34 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.88 | 47.9% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 34 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.46 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.46) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:22 | |
(3rd & 2 at ARMY 34) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.77 | 50.1% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.34 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.1% Win Probability (After): 51.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:52 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 30) Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Army 25 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 0.16 | 52.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.06 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.06) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.3% Win Probability (After): 51.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(2nd & 5 at ARMY 25) Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 24 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.63 | 49.8% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.19 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.19) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.8% Win Probability (After): 51.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:36 | |
(3rd & 4 at ARMY 24) Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | 1.41 | 49.7% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 15 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.90 - 3.49 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.49) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.7% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:58 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 15) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 11 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.10 | 53.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.76 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.76) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:21 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 11) Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 10 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -0.69 | 57.4% | -6.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.62 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.62) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 51.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:49 | |
(3rd & 5 at ARMY 10) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 2 yds to the Army 8 - MIZ 10, ARMY 7 | -1.15 | 56.5% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.97 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.97) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 10, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:59 | |
(4th & 3 at ARMY 8) Harrison Mevis 25 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.17 | 53.8% | 8.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: MIZ 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.83 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.83) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 62.6% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:59 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 46.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:59 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 29 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.07 | 46.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.85 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.15) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 46.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:23 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 29) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 31 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.51 | 45.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.81 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.19) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 45.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:40 | |
(3rd & 4 at ARMY 31) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 28 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -1.73 | 44.0% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 0.40 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.60) Score Difference (End): -6 (-7.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 40.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:52 | |
(4th & 7 at ARMY 28) Zach Harding punt for 55 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 15 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.58 | 38.5% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 85 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -1.17 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.17) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.59) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.5% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:52 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 15) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Misso 24 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.53 | 58.4% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.54 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.54) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.4% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:43 | |
(2nd & 1 at MIZ 24) Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.07 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 60.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:13 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 26) Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.71 | 60.6% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 75 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.07 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.6% Win Probability (After): 57.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:31 | |
(2nd & 11 at MIZ 25) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 1.17 | 58.7% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 0.41 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.41) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 62.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:13 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 38) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 9 yds to the Misso 47 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.24 | 66.0% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 53 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 1.58 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.58) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 63.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:49 | |
(2nd & 1 at MIZ 47) Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.25 | 66.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.56 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.56) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.4% Win Probability (After): 66.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:21 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 22 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 1.48 | 66.2% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 28 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 1.39 = 1.48 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.39) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.2% Win Probability (After): 69.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 28) MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 33 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.87 | 70.8% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 33 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.83 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.83) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.8% Win Probability (After): 66.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:56 | |
(1st & 15 at ARMY 33) Cook, Brady pass complete to Downing, Dawson for 19 yards to the ARMY14, PENALTY MISSOURI holding 10 yards to the ARMY43, NO PLAY. - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.84 | 68.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.97 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.97) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.3% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:47 | |
(1st & 25 at ARMY 43) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 00:47 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.13) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:47 | |
(1st & 25 at ARMY 43) Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the Army 33 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.55 | 65.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.08 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.08) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.9% Win Probability (After): 65.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(2nd & 15 at ARMY 33) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 00:39 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.63 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.63) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(2nd & 15 at ARMY 33) Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 38 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | -0.62 | 64.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.62 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.62) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(3rd & 20 at ARMY 38) Brady Cook run for 17 yds to the Army 21 - MIZ 13, ARMY 7 | 1.29 | 64.0% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 21 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 0.85 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.85) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 13, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.0% Win Probability (After): 65.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(4th & 3 at ARMY 21) Harrison Mevis 39 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.92 | 65.8% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: MIZ 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.08) Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.8% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting on-side kick recovered by ARMY at the Army 38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.03 | 32.4% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62 Started Drive at: ARMY 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.03 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.97) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.4% Win Probability (After): 33.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.7% Win Probability (After): 33.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Army 27 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.41 | 33.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.07 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -9 (-9.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.7% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:26 | |
(2nd & 8 at ARMY 27) Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 9 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 1.47 | 34.8% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 64 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.34 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-9.34) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 35.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:47 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 36) Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.10 | 34.7% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.10 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.90) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.7% Win Probability (After): 36.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:19 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 40) Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.02 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.98) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:46 | |
(3rd & 2 at ARMY 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.87 | 31.7% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.98 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.02) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 47) Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Misso 47 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.35 | 33.5% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.84 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.16) Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 35.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(2nd & 4 at MIZ 47) Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.35 | 36.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.31 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.69) Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.0% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 42) Christian Anderson pass incomplete to RJ Rosales - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.51 | 35.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.61 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.39) Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.5% Win Probability (After): 35.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:53 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 42) Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Misso 33 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 1.02 | 33.7% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 2.10 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.7% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:17 | |
(3rd & 1 at MIZ 33) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.35 | 35.8% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.27 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.73) Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:39 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 31) Christian Anderson run for 13 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 1.01 | 39.0% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 18 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 3.66 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.34) Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.0% Win Probability (After): 39.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:06 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 18) Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.22 | 40.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 16 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 4.63 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.37) Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.8% Win Probability (After): 40.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:42 | |
(2nd & 8 at MIZ 16) Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the Misso 10 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 0.28 | 40.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 10 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.29 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.71) Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 39.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at MIZ 10) Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 9 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -0.71 | 39.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 4.56 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.44) Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.5% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:38 | |
(4th & 1 at MIZ 9) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | 1.62 | 37.9% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 3.84 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.16) Score Difference (End): -9 (-3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.9% Win Probability (After): 41.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:04 | |
(1st & Goal at MIZ 7) Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 10 - MIZ 16, ARMY 7 | -1.10 | 40.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 10 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 5.49 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -9 (-4.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 7 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 39.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at MIZ 10) Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.61 | 39.6% | 12.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.39 = 2.61 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-4.61) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:35 | |
(Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 15 yds to the Misso 20 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -1.36 | 52.2% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 1.17 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.17) Score Difference (End): 2 (1.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.2% Win Probability (After): 49.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:31 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 20) Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 23 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.46 | 51.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.89 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.89) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at MIZ 23) Dawson Downing run for 11 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 1.54 | 50.4% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 66 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 0.43 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.43) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 54.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:36 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 34) Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.10 | 54.5% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.97 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.97) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.5% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:57 | |
(2nd & 4 at MIZ 40) Dawson Downing run for no gain to the Misso 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.91 | 55.8% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.06 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:15 | |
(3rd & 4 at MIZ 40) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 1.52 | 54.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.14 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.14) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the Army 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.13 | 56.8% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.65 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.65) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 48) Barrett Banister run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -1.31 | 56.2% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 50 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 2.50 = -1.31 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.50) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:31 | |
(3rd & 8 at 50) Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Army 43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.10 | 57.3% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.20 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.20) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.3% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:54 | |
(4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 01:54 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.30 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.30) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.5% Win Probability (After): 57.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:49 | |
(4th & 1 at ARMY 43) Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -3.62 | 54.6% | -17.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 56 Started Drive at: MIZ 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - 1.26 = -3.62 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.26) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 37.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:49 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.17 | 60.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.32 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.32) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.5% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 48) Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.74 | 60.7% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.34 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.34) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 54.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:33 | |
(3rd & 4 at 50) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -1.40 | 56.4% | -5.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 48 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.82 = -1.40 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.18) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 50.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:08 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 2.83 | 49.9% | 14.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 0.40 = 2.83 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.60) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 44) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 42 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.53 | 65.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 3.20 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.20) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:21 | |
(2nd & 8 at MIZ 42) Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Misso 35 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.66 | 64.6% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.75 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.75) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.6% Win Probability (After): 65.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:57 | |
(3rd & 1 at MIZ 35) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.54 | 66.0% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.45 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.45) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:23 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 33) Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Misso 30 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.29 | 67.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.95 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.95) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.1% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:58 | |
(2nd & 7 at MIZ 30) Tyson Riley run for 8 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.88 | 66.9% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 22 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 3.70 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.70) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.9% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:28 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 22) MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 17 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.75 | 70.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.31 - 4.56 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.56) Score Difference (End): -2 (3.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 72.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:12 | |
(1st & 5 at MIZ 17) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.34 | 72.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 16 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 5.25 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -2 (3.25) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.6% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:48 | |
(2nd & 4 at MIZ 16) Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 14 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -0.43 | 71.8% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 4.91 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.91) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.8% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:10 | |
(3rd & 2 at MIZ 14) Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Misso 14 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | -1.25 | 70.9% | -6.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 4.43 = -1.25 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.43) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:25 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Timeout ARMY, clock 10:25 - MIZ 16, ARMY 14 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.18 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.18) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:20 | |
(4th & 2 at MIZ 14) Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 3.85 | 66.1% | 15.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: ARMY 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.15 = 3.85 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.15) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:20 | |
(Kickoff at MIZ 35) Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 11 yds to the Misso 16 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -1.39 | 20.6% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 1.17 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.83) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.6% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:13 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 16) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.59 | 19.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.78 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.22) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.8% Win Probability (After): 18.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 16) Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.81 | 18.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 81 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.16 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.84) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:29 | |
(3rd & 7 at MIZ 19) Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Hester, JJ, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the MISSOURI29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI. - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 2.32 | 15.9% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 71 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - -0.70 = 2.32 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.70) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:23 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 29) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 5 yds to the Misso 34 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.22 | 21.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.45 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.55) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.2% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:53 | |
(2nd & 5 at MIZ 34) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the Misso 38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.02 | 20.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.49 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.9% Win Probability (After): 21.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:27 | |
(3rd & 1 at MIZ 38) Dawson Downing run for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 1.04 | 21.2% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 53 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 1.39 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.61) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.2% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 47) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 48 Dawson Downing fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by Army Andre Carter II , return for 3 yds to the Misso 48 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -5.04 | 23.5% | -11.5% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48 Started Drive at: MIZ 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.62 - 2.42 = -5.04 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.58) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.62) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:56 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 48) Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 47 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.52 | 88.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47 Started Drive at: MIZ 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.66 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.66) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.4% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:19 | |
(2nd & 9 at MIZ 47) Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Misso 43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.47 | 87.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43 Started Drive at: MIZ 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.31 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.31) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:41 | |
(3rd & 5 at MIZ 43) Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 41 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -1.37 | 86.7% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41 Started Drive at: MIZ 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 2.02 = -1.37 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.02) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:47 | |
(4th & 3 at MIZ 41) Zach Harding punt for 39 yds, downed at the Misso 2 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.15 | 85.7% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 98 Started Drive at: MIZ 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.52 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.52) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:47 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 2) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.61 | 14.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 88 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.59 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.59) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.6% Win Probability (After): 15.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 12) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.15 | 15.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 81 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.29 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.71) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:55 | |
(2nd & 3 at MIZ 19) Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 8 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.49 | 15.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 73 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.71 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.6% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:49 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Kibet Chepyator - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.62 | 17.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.16 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.84) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:41 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.68 | 16.4% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.51 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.49) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 13.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:35 | |
(3rd & 10 at MIZ 27) Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 19 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -1.36 | 13.5% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 81 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - -0.20 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-5.20) Score Difference (End): -5 (-6.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.5% Win Probability (After): 8.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:48 | |
(4th & 18 at MIZ 19) Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 40 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.43 | 8.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 60 Started Drive at: MIZ 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -1.45 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-6.45) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.88) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:48 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 40) Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 42 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.45 | 91.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.78 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.78) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 91.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:43 | |
(2nd & 8 at ARMY 42) Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 45 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.29 | 91.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.33 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.33) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:43 | |
(2nd & 8 at ARMY 42) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 03:43 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 91.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.04) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(3rd & 5 at ARMY 45) Timeout MISSOURI, clock 03:38 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 90.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.33 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.33) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(3rd & 5 at ARMY 45) Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 45 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -1.30 | 90.2% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 1.01 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.01) Score Difference (End): 5 (4.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 86.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:44 | |
(4th & 5 at ARMY 45) Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 17 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.37 | 87.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 83 Started Drive at: ARMY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.21 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 5 (4.79) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.42) Change of Possession: 1 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 86.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:44 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 12 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.54 | 13.6% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 71 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.62 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.38) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 29) Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 12 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.51 | 14.9% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 59 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.28 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.72) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:16 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 41) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.56 | 16.1% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 42 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 1.89 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.1% Win Probability (After): 18.2% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 42) Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 35 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.75 | 17.6% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.33 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 22.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(2nd & 3 at ARMY 35) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.40 | 21.8% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.03 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.97) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.8% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 27) Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 23 - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.25 | 23.3% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 23 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 3.40 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.60) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:38 | |
(2nd & 6 at ARMY 23) Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 0.82 | 25.0% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.51 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.49) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 31.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.46 | 32.1% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 4.20 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.80) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.1% Win Probability (After): 27.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at ARMY 17) Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | 1.70 | 27.7% | 22.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 6 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 3.67 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.33) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 49.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:20 | |
(1st & Goal at ARMY 6) Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett Banister - MIZ 16, ARMY 21 | -0.55 | 51.5% | -13.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 5.28 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 16, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 37.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(2nd & Goal at ARMY 6) Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.27 | 38.8% | 25.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: MIZ 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 4.73 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.27) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.8% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 16 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(Kickoff at ARMY 35) Sean Koetting kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 25) Jabari Laws run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.48 | 47.9% | 13.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 0.92 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 38) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.50 | 58.1% | 9.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 1.22 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.22) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(1st & 10 at ARMY 48) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Brandon Walters - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | -0.13 | 57.9% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.47 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.47) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.9% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:43 | |
(2nd & 10 at ARMY 48) Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY. - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.14 | 60.1% | 17.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.28 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:40 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 37) Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Misso 35 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.03 | 76.5% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.36 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.36) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at MIZ 35) Timeout ARMY, clock 00:34 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.38 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.38) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.5% Win Probability (After): 77.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at MIZ 35) Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | -0.32 | 77.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.37 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.37) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.1% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:30 | |
(3rd & 8 at MIZ 35) Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 11 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST down - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 1.44 | 76.8% | 12.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 1.96 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.96) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 89.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:20 | |
(1st & 10 at MIZ 24) Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Misso 24 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.06) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 88.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Timeout ARMY, clock 00:03 - MIZ 22, ARMY 21 | 0.00 | 83.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.06) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.3% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at MIZ 24) Cole Talley 41 Yd Field Goal - MIZ 22, ARMY 24 | 1.01 | 84.5% | 15.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ARMY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.99) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: MIZ 22, ARMY 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 21 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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