Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.31 | Odds: GAST -6, O/U 53.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 97 |
| Total EPA | 16.12 | -17.79 |
| Offensive EPA | 15.88 | -17.72 |
| Special Teams EPA | 0.92 | -5.72 |
| Penalty EPA | 0.88 | 4.52 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -1.56 | 1.13 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 81 |
| Yards | 464 | 455 |
| Yards/Play | 7.48 | 5.62 |
| EPA | 15.88 | -17.72 |
| EPA/Play | 0.26 | -0.22 |
| Passes | 21 (34%) | 50 (62%) |
| Yards | 205 | 293 |
| Yards/Play | 9.76 | 5.86 |
| EPA | 9.85 | -8.79 |
| EPA/Play | 0.47 | -0.18 |
| Rushes | 41 (66%) | 31 (38%) |
| Yards | 259 | 106 |
| Yards/Play | 6.32 | 3.42 |
| EPA | 6.03 | -8.93 |
| EPA/Play | 0.15 | -0.29 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 81 |
| Rushes | 41 (66%) | 31 (38%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 0 (0%) | 4 (13%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 2 (50%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 7 (17%) | 7 (23%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 11 (27%) | 15 (48%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 27 (66%) | 12 (39%) |
| OL Line Yards | 72.6 | 55.5 |
| Per Carry | 1.77 | 1.79 |
| Highlight Yards | 101.5 | 17 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.76 | 1.42 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 97 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 81 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (8%) | 4 (5%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (14%) | 4 (8%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (5%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | 0.66 | -32.92 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | -0.43 |
| When Passing | 1.55 | -23.98 |
| EPA/Play | 0.07 | -0.48 |
| When Rushing | -0.88 | -8.93 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | -0.29 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 33 (53%) | 29 (36%) |
| When Passing | 12 (57%) | 18 (36%) |
| When Rushing | 21 (51%) | 11 (35%) |
| On Standard Downs | 25 (50%) | 20 (41%) |
| On Passing Downs | 8 (67%) | 9 (28%) |
| On Early Downs | 27 (53%) | 20 (33%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (55%) | 9 (43%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 7 (78%) | 5 (50%) |
| Early Downs | 51 | 60 |
| First Downs Created | 13 (25%) | 10 (17%) |
| EPA | 11.08 | -13.31 |
| EPA/Play | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| Passes | 17 (33%) | 34 (57%) |
| Rushes | 34 (67%) | 26 (43%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 10 (59%) | 11 (32%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 17 (50%) | 9 (35%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 9 | 10 |
| EPA | 4.85 | 0.40 |
| EPA/play | 0.54 | 0.04 |
| Passes | 2 (22%) | 6 (60%) |
| Rushes | 7 (78%) | 4 (40%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 3 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 5 (71%) | 2 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 31 | Own 26 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.03 | 9.01 |
| Yards/Drive | 51.85 | 39.57 |
| Available Yards % | 75% | 54% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 81 | 62 |
| Stop Rate | 42% | 11% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 10 (12%) | 6 (10%) |
| Passing | 7 (14%) | 1 (5%) |
| Rushing | 3 (10%) | 5 (12%) |
| TFLs Generated | 9 | 6 |
| Passing | 6 | 1 |
| Rushing | 3 | 5 |
| Sacks Generated | 4 (8%) | 0 (0%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 4 |
| Fumbles | 0 | 4 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 3 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 4 | -4 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 18.9 | -18.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 10 | 16 |
| Total EPA | 0.92 | -5.72 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.62 | -1.15 |
| Punting EPA | -1.08 | -0.31 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 0.38 | -4.26 |
Georgia State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Darren Grainger | 15/19, 203 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 81.2 xQBR | 10.68 | 0.56 | 10.62 | 63% | 13.0% | |
| Mikele Colasurdo | 2/2, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 22.9 xQBR | 1.00 | -0.39 | -0.77 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Darren Grainger | 11 carries, 122 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.09 | 0.49 | 5.44 | 55% | 6.0% | |
| Jamyest Williams | 8 carries, 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.12 | 0.29 | 2.29 | 62% | 4.0% | |
| Antoine Lane | 3 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.76 | 2.28 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Marcus Carroll | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Jamari Thrash | 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Cornelius McCoy | 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.58 | -0.58 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Tucker Gregg | 16 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.38 | -0.23 | -3.67 | 38% | 2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Aubry Payne | 8 catches (8 targets), 109 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.62 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 75% | 5.0% | |
| Cornelius McCoy | 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.00 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 100% | 8.0% | |
| Robert Lewis | 2 catches (2 targets), 30 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 1.42 | 2.84 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Ja'Cyais Credle | 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Terrance Dixon | 1 catch (1 target), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 24.00 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Sam Pinckney | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Donavon Grier | 2 catches (2 targets), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.39 | -0.77 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Jamari Thrash | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -1.05 | -1.05 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Ball State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Drew Plitt | 27/46, 293 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 46.2 xQBR | 5.86 | -0.18 | -8.79 | 36% | -6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Rico Barfield | 3 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.11 | -0.33 | 33% | 1.0% | |
| Donny Marcus | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.57 | -0.57 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Will Jones | 3 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.33 | -0.20 | -0.61 | 33% | -4.0% | |
| Jayshon Jackson | 4 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.16 | -0.64 | 50% | -5.0% | |
| Carson Steele | 15 carries, 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.13 | -0.19 | -2.86 | 40% | -6.0% | |
| Drew Plitt | 5 carries, 13 yds, 1 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) | 2.60 | -0.78 | -3.91 | 20% | -5.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jayshon Jackson | 12 catches (15 targets), 146 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.17 | 0.74 | 11.16 | 47% | 12.0% | |
| Trevor Hohlt | 4 catches (5 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.25 | 1.14 | 5.72 | 80% | 8.0% | |
| Carson Steele | 3 catches (3 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.33 | 0.81 | 2.44 | 67% | 5.0% | |
| Yo'Heinz Tyler | 5 catches (7 targets), 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.40 | 0.33 | 2.32 | 57% | 5.0% | |
| Hassan Littles | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Will Jones | 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | -0.86 | -1.71 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2:02 | |
(3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -8.52 | 39.7% | -21.1% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -5.12 | 0.3% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88) Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 4.64 | 36.3% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:20 | |
(4th & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 4.29 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 5 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 0.93 = 4.29 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.07) Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:00 | |
(2nd & 12 at GAST 41) Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 3.56 | 84.6% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 11 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 1.64 = 3.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:32 | |
(3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 3.47 | 27.2% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.2% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:08 | |
(3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 3.35 | 96.3% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:59 | |
(4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -3.30 | 19.2% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:01 | |
(3rd & 9 at GAST 45) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 3.28 | 1.5% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -0.44 = 3.28 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.44) Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.5% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:10 | |
(4th & 9 at GAST 29) Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSED - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -3.16 | 1.2% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -0.58 = -3.16 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.58) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2:02 | |
(3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -8.52 | 39.7% | -21.1% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 4.64 | 36.3% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 1.34 | 11.3% | 10.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.3% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:32 | |
(3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 3.47 | 27.2% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.2% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:43 | |
(3rd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 2.39 | 30.4% | 7.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.04 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:22 | |
(3rd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 2.94 | 54.9% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 0.56 = 2.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.68 | 14.0% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -2.04 | 32.0% | -5.5% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 86 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 1.04 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -11 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.0% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:05 | |
(3rd & 3 at BALL 23) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 1.17 | 57.2% | 5.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 3.34 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.66) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.2% Win Probability (After): 62.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:59 | |
(4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -3.30 | 19.2% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 8:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 4.64 | 36.3% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 18) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 2.47 | 60.2% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 64.0% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -8.52 | 39.7% | -21.1% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:11 | |
(4th & 6 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 7 | 0.14 | 86.9% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.9% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.68 | 14.0% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:01 | |
(4th & 9 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.32 | 86.1% | 3.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 89.4% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 1.34 | 11.3% | 10.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.3% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:05 | |
(1st & Goal at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 27, BALL 13 | 1.55 | 89.7% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.45) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:08 | |
(3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 3.35 | 96.3% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:33 | |
(2nd & 6 at BALL 16) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 41, BALL 13 | 1.57 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.43) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -5.12 | 0.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88) Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:03 | |
(4th & 8 at BALL 27) Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOOD - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 1.15 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.85) Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:13 | |
(3rd & Goal at GAST 1) Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 1.55 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.55) Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 30.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -2.04 | 32.0% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 86 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 1.04 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, -11 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.0% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:58 | |
(2nd & 21 at BALL 14) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 23 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -0.47 | 29.3% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 77 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.76 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 26.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:32 | |
(3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 3.47 | 27.2% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.2% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:49 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.86 | 35.4% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.21 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.4% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:33 | |
(2nd & 1 at BALL 49) Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.21 | 35.9% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.07 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.9% Win Probability (After): 37.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:14 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 44) Carson Steele run for no gain to the GeoSt 44 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -0.66 | 37.7% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.28 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.7% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 44) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -0.96 | 36.5% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.60 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 32.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:39 | |
(3rd & 10 at GAST 44) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -1.97 | 33.0% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 1.60 = -1.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.0% Win Probability (After): 29.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:30 | |
(4th & 10 at GAST 44) Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.62 | 29.5% | 3.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 96 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.31 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.5% Win Probability (After): 32.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:06 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 4) Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -0.51 | 68.7% | -3.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 93 Started Drive at: GAST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.36 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:42 | |
(2nd & 7 at GAST 7) Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -0.17 | 64.7% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 89 Started Drive at: GAST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.82 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.7% Win Probability (After): 66.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:02 | |
(3rd & 3 at GAST 11) Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | -1.70 | 64.5% | -2.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 90 Started Drive at: GAST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - -0.82 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 61.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:37 | |
(4th & 4 at GAST 10) Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Jayshon Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 39 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.46 | 62.0% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 61 Started Drive at: GAST 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - -2.62 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:22 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 39) Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 - GAST 0, BALL 0 | 0.19 | 35.7% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56 Started Drive at: BALL 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.12 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.7% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 4.64 | 36.3% | 10.8% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:58 | |
(Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 55 yds for a touchback - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 0.01 | 50.7% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.05 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.95) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 50.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:35 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 0.08 | 49.0% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.07 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.0% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:21 | |
(2nd & 6 at GAST 29) Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | -0.97 | 49.0% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.11 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.0% Win Probability (After): 47.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 7:41 | |
(3rd & 6 at GAST 29) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 19 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 2.88 | 52.8% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 52 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - -1.08 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.8% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:15 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 48) Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | -0.24 | 59.9% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.81 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:47 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for no gain to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | -1.03 | 57.8% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.59 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.41) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.8% Win Probability (After): 56.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:22 | |
(3rd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 2.94 | 54.9% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 0.56 = 2.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 62.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 30) Cornelius McCoy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | -0.58 | 61.7% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 29 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.51 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.7% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 5:20 | |
(2nd & 9 at BALL 29) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23 - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 0.42 | 58.4% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.93 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.4% Win Probability (After): 61.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:05 | |
(3rd & 3 at BALL 23) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 | 1.17 | 57.2% | 5.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 3.34 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.66) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 0, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.2% Win Probability (After): 62.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 18) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 2.47 | 60.2% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 64.0% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:55 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.4% Win Probability (After): 35.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:43 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 29 - GAST 7, BALL 7 | -0.06 | 34.6% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.07 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 35.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:14 | |
(2nd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 7, BALL 7 | -1.04 | 34.1% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.01 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 30.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:43 | |
(3rd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 2.39 | 30.4% | 7.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.04 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 43) Will Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 42 - GAST 7, BALL 7 | -1.04 | 38.2% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 58 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.35 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:21 | |
(2nd & 11 at BALL 42) Jayshon Jackson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 48 - GAST 7, BALL 7 | 0.14 | 35.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.32 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 7, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.4% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -8.52 | 39.7% | -21.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 14, BALL 7 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | 0.67 | 19.3% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.09 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.91) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.3% Win Probability (After): 19.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:24 | |
(2nd & 3 at BALL 32) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -0.15 | 19.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.76 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:16 | |
(3rd & 1 at BALL 34) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 01:16 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.61 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 1:09 | |
(3rd & 1 at BALL 34) Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -1.72 | 20.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - 0.66 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 19.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 0:59 | |
(4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -3.30 | 19.2% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:59 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 24 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down - GAST 14, BALL 7 | 0.42 | 85.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 25 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.34 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.4% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Jamyest Williams run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | 0.81 | 86.2% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 16 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 4.77 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.77) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:28 | |
(2nd & 1 at BALL 16) Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST down - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -0.24 | 86.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.58 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 14) Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 10 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -0.23 | 86.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 10 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 5.30 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.30) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:45 | |
(2nd & 6 at BALL 10) Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the BalSt 10 - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -0.82 | 89.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 5.07 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.07) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 87.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:11 | |
(3rd & 6 at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 14, BALL 7 | -1.34 | 88.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 4.21 = -1.34 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 14, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:11 | |
(4th & 6 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 7 | 0.14 | 86.9% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: BALL 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.9% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:11 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.27 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.73) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 7 | 1.28 | 14.4% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 0.20 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.80) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.4% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:58 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.63 | 15.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.48 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.52) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 14.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at BALL 40) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.59 | 14.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.83 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.17) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:05 | |
(3rd & 9 at BALL 41) Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 5 yds to the BalSt 46 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -1.01 | 13.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.16 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.84) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 12.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:09 | |
(4th & 4 at BALL 46) Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 15 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.82 | 12.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 85 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.73 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.73) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.55) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.70 | 87.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: GAST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.60 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.60) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.84 | 87.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: GAST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.92 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.92) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:30 | |
(3rd & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -1.05 | 85.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80 Started Drive at: GAST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - 0.01 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.01) Score Difference (End): 10 (8.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:26 | |
(4th & 5 at GAST 20) Michael Hayes punt for 27 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -1.54 | 84.9% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 47 Started Drive at: GAST 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - -1.02 = -1.54 Score Difference (Before): 10 (8.98) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 82.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 47) Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.19 | 17.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.67 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.33) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at GAST 43) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.77 | 17.4% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.55 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.45) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.4% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:45 | |
(3rd & 5 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 25 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 7 | 2.79 | 15.9% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 1.83 = 2.79 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.17) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.57 | 18.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.62 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.38) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.72 | 18.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 4.05 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.95) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(3rd & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 | -0.99 | 15.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.32 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.68) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.68 | 14.0% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: GAST 47 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.00 | 85.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.83 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.1% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.30 | 84.3% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.66 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.66) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:45 | |
(2nd & 4 at GAST 31) Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.95 | 84.5% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.71 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.5% Win Probability (After): 86.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:40 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 43) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 41 - GAST 17, BALL 10 | -0.94 | 86.6% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 59 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.57 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 85.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:00 | |
(2nd & 12 at GAST 41) Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 3.56 | 84.6% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 11 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 1.64 = 3.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:30 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 11) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12 - GAST 17, BALL 10 | -0.87 | 88.5% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 12 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 5.15 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:00 | |
(2nd & 11 at BALL 12) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds to the BalSt 3 - GAST 17, BALL 10 | 0.87 | 86.9% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 3 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 4.32 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.9% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:01 | |
(3rd & 2 at BALL 3) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 10 - GAST 17, BALL 10 | -2.46 | 89.4% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 10 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 5.18 = -2.46 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 17, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:01 | |
(4th & 9 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.32 | 86.1% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 89.4% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:01 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 21 yds to the BalSt 21 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.09 | 11.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.53 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.47) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 11.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 21) Rico Barfield run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.43 | 10.3% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.42 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.58) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.3% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:30 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 24) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.54 | 11.2% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.01 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.01) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:20 | |
(3rd & 6 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 1.37 | 9.7% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - -0.35 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.35) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.7% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 32) Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.11 | 13.2% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.20 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.80) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:01 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 35) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 04:01 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.09 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.91) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.7% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:28 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 35) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 41 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.43 | 13.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.96 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.04) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at BALL 41) Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.54 | 13.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.29 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.71) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:25 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 43) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.67 | 14.8% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 1.83 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.17) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 16.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 42) Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.07 | 15.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.28 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.72) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:06 | |
(2nd & 7 at GAST 39) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 1.58 | 15.9% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 23 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.11 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.89) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:06 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 23) Timeout BALL ST, clock 01:06 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.69 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.31) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:58 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 23) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.29 | 17.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.44 = -0.29 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.56) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 23) Jayshon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 26 - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.98 | 16.8% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 26 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 3.03 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.97) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.8% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(3rd & 13 at GAST 26) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 20, BALL 10 | -0.33 | 13.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.08 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.92) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 1.34 | 11.3% | 10.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.3% Win Probability (After): 21.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 82.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.9% Win Probability (After): 82.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 20, BALL 13 | -0.03 | 82.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.03 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.6% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 84.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:35 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 25) Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33 - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.45 | 85.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.14 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:25 | |
(2nd & 2 at GAST 33) Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 1.24 | 87.1% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 45 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 2.69 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:54 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 45) Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the BalSt 39 - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.37 | 88.9% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 3.66 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.66) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:50 | |
(2nd & 4 at BALL 39) Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.23 | 89.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 3.98 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.98) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:11 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 35) Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33 - GAST 20, BALL 13 | -0.36 | 88.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.27 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 89.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:55 | |
(2nd & 8 at BALL 33) Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the BalSt 27 - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 0.21 | 88.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 27 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 3.92 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.4% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:22 | |
(3rd & 2 at BALL 27) Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 | 1.19 | 88.0% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 10 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 4.16 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 20, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:05 | |
(1st & Goal at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 27, BALL 13 | 1.55 | 89.7% | 3.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.45) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:59 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 22 yds to the BalSt 24 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -1.22 | 6.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: BALL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -0.51 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:38 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 24) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 24 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.59 | 6.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: BALL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.64 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.64) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 6.3% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at BALL 24) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 3 yds to the BalSt 27 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.70 | 6.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73 Started Drive at: BALL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.30 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.30) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 5.9% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:44 | |
(3rd & 7 at BALL 27) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -1.19 | 5.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: BALL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.09 - -1.90 = -1.19 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.90) Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:37 | |
(4th & 7 at BALL 27) Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 32 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.10 | 4.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68 Started Drive at: BALL 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - -2.96 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.07) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 4.2% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:26 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 32) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.07 | 96.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.09 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.09) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:01 | |
(2nd & 5 at GAST 37) Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down - GAST 27, BALL 13 | 0.45 | 95.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.01 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.01) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:27 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 42) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.14 | 96.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.44 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.44) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:45 | |
(2nd & 6 at GAST 46) Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 27, BALL 13 | 1.23 | 96.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 40 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 3.15 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.15) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 40) Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.58 | 96.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 4.28 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.28) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 96.5% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:54 | |
(2nd & 9 at BALL 39) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 44 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | -0.68 | 96.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.65 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:36 | |
(2nd & 14 at BALL 44) Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 27, BALL 13 | 0.69 | 96.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.87 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.87) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 27, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:08 | |
(3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 3.35 | 96.3% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 32 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:08 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 30) Michael Hayes kickoff for 70 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -1.02 | 1.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.28 - -1.27 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.27) Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:36 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 1.19 | 1.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -1.19 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.19) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 1.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:15 | |
(2nd & 1 at BALL 34) Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -0.38 | 1.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.33 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.67) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 39) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 2.01 | 1.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 46 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - -0.34 = 2.01 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.34) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 46) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -0.89 | 2.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.30 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.70) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.1% Win Probability (After): 1.6% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 46) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 05:27 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 1.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.42 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.58) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 46) Jayshon Jackson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -1.04 | 1.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.55 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.45) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 1.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 5:01 | |
(3rd & 9 at GAST 45) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 3.28 | 1.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -0.44 = 3.28 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.44) Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.5% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 4:45 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 30) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -0.73 | 2.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.85 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.15) Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 2.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 4:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 30) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -1.92 | 2.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 31 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 2.07 = -1.92 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.93) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 1.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(3rd & 11 at GAST 31) Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -0.70 | 1.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.16 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.84) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 1.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:10 | |
(4th & 9 at GAST 29) Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSED - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -3.16 | 1.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -0.58 = -3.16 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.58) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:45 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 29) Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 0.24 | 99.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.76 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.76) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:18 | |
(2nd & 2 at GAST 37) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 0.03 | 99.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.06 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.06) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 40) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 40 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 | 1.33 | 99.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 20 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.50 - 4.17 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.17) Score Difference (End): 21 (26.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:37 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 20) Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16 - GAST 34, BALL 13 | -0.08 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 16 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 5.50 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.50) Score Difference (End): 21 (26.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 34, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:33 | |
(2nd & 6 at BALL 16) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 41, BALL 13 | 1.57 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: GAST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.43) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:33 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 41, BALL 13 | -0.96 | 0.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - -1.22 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.22) Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (-12 Yards) to the BalSt 13 - GAST 41, BALL 13 | -0.81 | 0.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 87 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.01 - -1.19 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.19) Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:36 | |
(1st & 22 at BALL 13) Carson Steele run for 15 yds to the BalSt 28 - GAST 41, BALL 13 | 0.35 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 72 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -1.96 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.96) Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:28 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 28) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down - GAST 41, BALL 13 | 1.41 | 0.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -1.60 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.60) Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:18 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 36) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down - GAST 41, BALL 13 | -1.13 | 0.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 80 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.19 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.19) Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - GAST 41, BALL 13 | -0.56 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -1.33 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.33) Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 41, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -5.12 | 0.3% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88) Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:53 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 19 yds to the BalSt 21 Amechi Uzodinma II fumbled, recovered by BalSt Ben Egenolf - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.98 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - -1.06 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.06) Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 21) BALL ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 16 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.51 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -1.21 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.21) Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:25 | |
(1st & 15 at BALL 16) Rico Barfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.50 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.31 - -1.80 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.80) Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(2nd & 16 at BALL 15) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 22 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.25 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 78 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -2.24 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.24) Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:30 | |
(3rd & 9 at BALL 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 2.21 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 63 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - -2.44 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.44) Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 37) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 45 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.94 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - -0.24 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.24) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:09 | |
(2nd & 2 at BALL 45) Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.69 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.70 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.30) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:09 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 44) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 13:09 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.39 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.61) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 44) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.53 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.39 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.61) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 12:45 | |
(2nd & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -1.03 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.82 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.18) Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 12:41 | |
(3rd & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -1.59 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -0.18 = -1.59 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.18) Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 12:35 | |
(4th & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -1.49 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 65 Started Drive at: BALL 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.14 - -1.65 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.65) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 35) Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.02 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.21 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.21) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:45 | |
(2nd & 3 at GAST 42) Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.36 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.18 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.18) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:35 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 46) Jamari Thrash run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.10 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.43 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.43) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 20 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 1.29 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 29 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 3.30 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.30) Score Difference (End): 35 (39.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:35 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 29) Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.30 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.62 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.62) Score Difference (End): 35 (39.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at BALL 26) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -0.71 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.25 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.25) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:09 | |
(3rd & 7 at BALL 26) Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | -1.29 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 27 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 3.28 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.28) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:09 | |
(4th & 8 at BALL 27) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 09:09 - GAST 48, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.99 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.99) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 48, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:03 | |
(4th & 8 at BALL 27) Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOOD - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 1.15 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: GAST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.85) Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 48 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:03 | |
(Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.25) Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 25) Rico Barfield run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 0.60 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.30 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.30) Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:30 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 35) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 7 yds to the BalSt 42 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 0.39 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.34 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.66) Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:00 | |
(2nd & 3 at BALL 42) Drew Plitt sacked by Chris Davis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 36 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -1.29 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 64 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.80 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.20) Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(3rd & 9 at BALL 36) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 1.68 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - -0.41 = 1.68 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.41) Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 7:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 49) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -0.45 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 1.38 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.62) Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(2nd & 8 at GAST 47) Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -0.08 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.27 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.73) Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 6:25 | |
(3rd & 3 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 0.95 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 1.26 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.74) Score Difference (End): -38 (-35.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 6:14 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 37) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor Hohlt - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -0.50 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.19 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.81) Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 5:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 37) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 1.45 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 25 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 1.60 = 1.45 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.40) Score Difference (End): -38 (-34.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 5:20 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 25) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -0.49 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.94 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.06) Score Difference (End): -38 (-35.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 5:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at GAST 25) Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -0.57 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.54 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.46) Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 4:45 | |
(3rd & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -1.17 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.00 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.00) Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 4:20 | |
(4th & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 4.29 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 5 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 0.93 = 4.29 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.07) Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.0% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:00 | |
(1st & Goal at GAST 5) Drew Plitt sacked by Tre Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 9 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | -1.29 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 9 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 5.28 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.72) Score Difference (End): -38 (-34.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:30 | |
(2nd & Goal at GAST 9) Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1 - GAST 51, BALL 13 | 1.24 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 1 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 4.12 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-33.88) Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 13 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:13 | |
(3rd & Goal at GAST 1) Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 1.55 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BALL 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.55) Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:13 | |
(Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 27 yds fair catch by Aubry Payne at the GeoSt 38 - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 0.37 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.04 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.04) Score Difference (End): 31 (32.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:40 | |
(1st & 10 at GAST 38) Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41 - GAST 51, BALL 20 | -0.34 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.37 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.37) Score Difference (End): 31 (32.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:15 | |
(2nd & 7 at GAST 41) Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40 - GAST 51, BALL 20 | -0.44 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 60 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.07 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.07) Score Difference (End): 31 (31.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(3rd & 8 at GAST 40) Antoine Lane run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 1.08 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 0.59 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.59) Score Difference (End): 31 (32.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BALL 49) Antoine Lane run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43 - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 0.21 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.20 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.20) Score Difference (End): 31 (32.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:30 | |
(2nd & 4 at BALL 43) Antoine Lane run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 20 | 0.99 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 36 Started Drive at: GAST 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.10 = 0.99 Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.10) Score Difference (End): 31 (33.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: GAST 51, BALL 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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