Georgia State 51 @ Ball State 20

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 3.31 | Odds: GAST -6, O/U 53.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 7297
Total EPA 16.12-17.79
  Offensive EPA 15.88-17.72
  Special Teams EPA 0.92-5.72
  Penalty EPA 0.884.52
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.561.13
Production ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 6281
  Yards 464455
  Yards/Play 7.485.62
  EPA 15.88-17.72
  EPA/Play 0.26-0.22
Passes 21 (34%)50 (62%)
  Yards 205293
  Yards/Play 9.765.86
  EPA 9.85-8.79
  EPA/Play 0.47-0.18
Rushes 41 (66%)31 (38%)
  Yards 259106
  Yards/Play 6.323.42
  EPA 6.03-8.93
  EPA/Play 0.15-0.29
Rushing ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 6281
Rushes 41 (66%)31 (38%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)4 (13%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)2 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (17%)7 (23%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 11 (27%)15 (48%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 27 (66%)12 (39%)
OL Line Yards 72.655.5
  Per Carry 1.771.79
Highlight Yards 101.517
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.761.42
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 7297
Scrimmage Plays 6281
Explosive Plays 5 (8%)4 (5%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (14%)4 (8%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (5%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 0.66-32.92
  EPA/Play 0.01-0.43
  When Passing 1.55-23.98
    EPA/Play 0.07-0.48
  When Rushing -0.88-8.93
    EPA/Play -0.02-0.29
Situational ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 33 (53%)29 (36%)
  When Passing 12 (57%)18 (36%)
  When Rushing 21 (51%)11 (35%)
  On Standard Downs 25 (50%)20 (41%)
  On Passing Downs 8 (67%)9 (28%)
  On Early Downs 27 (53%)20 (33%)
  On Late Downs 6 (55%)9 (43%)
  During "Middle 8" 7 (78%)5 (50%)
Early Downs 5160
  First Downs Created 13 (25%)10 (17%)
  EPA 11.08-13.31
  EPA/Play 0.22-0.22
  Passes 17 (33%)34 (57%)
  Rushes 34 (67%)26 (43%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 10 (59%)11 (32%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 17 (50%)9 (35%)
"Middle 8" Plays 910
  EPA 4.850.40
  EPA/play 0.540.04
  Passes 2 (22%)6 (60%)
  Rushes 7 (78%)4 (40%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (100%)3 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 5 (71%)2 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Total 1112
Avg Starting Field Position Own 31Own 26
Plays/Drive 7.039.01
Yards/Drive 51.8539.57
Available Yards % 75%54%
Defensive ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Scrimmage Plays 8162
Stop Rate 42%11%
Havoc Plays Created 10 (12%)6 (10%)
  Passing 7 (14%)1 (5%)
  Rushing 3 (10%)5 (12%)
TFLs Generated 96
  Passing 61
  Rushing 35
Sacks Generated 4 (8%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Turnovers 04
  Fumbles 04
  Fumbles Lost 03
  Fumbles Recovered 01
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 4-4
Expected Turnovers 2.02.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 18.9-18.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2247 ESPN team id 2050
Total Plays 10 16
Total EPA 0.92 -5.72
  Field Goal EPA 1.62 -1.15
  Punting EPA -1.08 -0.31
  Kickoff Return EPA 0.38 -4.26

Georgia State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Darren Grainger 15/19, 203 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 81.2 xQBR 10.68 0.56 10.62 63% 13.0%
Mikele Colasurdo 2/2, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 22.9 xQBR 1.00 -0.39 -0.77 0% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Darren Grainger 11 carries, 122 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.09 0.49 5.44 55% 6.0%
Jamyest Williams 8 carries, 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.12 0.29 2.29 62% 4.0%
Antoine Lane 3 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.76 2.28 100% 0.0%
Marcus Carroll 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 0.36 0.36 100% 0.0%
Jamari Thrash 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.10 -0.10 0% 0.0%
Cornelius McCoy 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.58 -0.58 0% -2.0%
Tucker Gregg 16 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.38 -0.23 -3.67 38% 2.0%
Pass targets
Aubry Payne 8 catches (8 targets), 109 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.62 1.00 8.00 75% 5.0%
Cornelius McCoy 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 2.94 2.94 100% 8.0%
Robert Lewis 2 catches (2 targets), 30 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.42 2.84 100% 4.0%
Ja'Cyais Credle 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.69 0.69 100% 0.0%
Terrance Dixon 1 catch (1 target), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.00 0.42 0.42 100% 1.0%
Sam Pinckney 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.37 0.37 100% 0.0%
Donavon Grier 2 catches (2 targets), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.39 -0.77 0% 0.0%
Jamari Thrash 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -1.05 -1.05 0% -1.0%

Ball State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Drew Plitt 27/46, 293 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 4 Scks, 46.2 xQBR 5.86 -0.18 -8.79 36% -6.0%
Rush attempts
Rico Barfield 3 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.11 -0.33 33% 1.0%
Donny Marcus 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.57 -0.57 0% 0.0%
Will Jones 3 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.33 -0.20 -0.61 33% -4.0%
Jayshon Jackson 4 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.16 -0.64 50% -5.0%
Carson Steele 15 carries, 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.13 -0.19 -2.86 40% -6.0%
Drew Plitt 5 carries, 13 yds, 1 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) 2.60 -0.78 -3.91 20% -5.0%
Pass targets
Jayshon Jackson 12 catches (15 targets), 146 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.17 0.74 11.16 47% 12.0%
Trevor Hohlt 4 catches (5 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.25 1.14 5.72 80% 8.0%
Carson Steele 3 catches (3 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.33 0.81 2.44 67% 5.0%
Yo'Heinz Tyler 5 catches (7 targets), 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.40 0.33 2.32 57% 5.0%
Hassan Littles 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.69 0.69 100% 0.0%
Will Jones 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.86 -1.71 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 -8.52 39.7% -21.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 -5.12 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 4.64 36.3% 10.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:20 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 4.29 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 5

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 0.93 = 4.29

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.07)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 12 at GAST 41) Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 3.56 84.6% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 11

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 1.64 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:32 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 3.47 27.2% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 3.35 96.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -3.30 19.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:01 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at GAST 45) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 3.28 1.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -0.44 = 3.28

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.44)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 9 at GAST 29) Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSED - GAST 34, BALL 13 -3.16 1.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -0.58 = -3.16

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.58)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 -8.52 39.7% -21.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 4.64 36.3% 10.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 1.34 11.3% 10.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:32 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 3.47 27.2% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:43 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 7, BALL 7 2.39 30.4% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.04 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:22 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 2.94 54.9% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 0.56 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.68 14.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:33 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -2.04 32.0% -5.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 86

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 1.04 = -2.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 3 at BALL 23) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 1.17 57.2% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 3.34 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -3.30 19.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 4.64 36.3% 10.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:55 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 18) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 7, BALL 7 2.47 60.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 -8.52 39.7% -21.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:11 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 6 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 7 0.14 86.9% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.68 14.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 9 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.32 86.1% 3.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 1.34 11.3% 10.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:05 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & Goal at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 27, BALL 13 1.55 89.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.45)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 3.35 96.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 6 at BALL 16) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 41, BALL 13 1.57 99.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.43)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 -5.12 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:03 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 8 at BALL 27) Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOOD - GAST 51, BALL 13 1.15 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.85)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:13 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at GAST 1) Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 51, BALL 20 1.55 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.55)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.00 30.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 30.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:33 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -2.04 32.0% -5.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 86

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 1.04 = -2.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:58 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 21 at BALL 14) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 23 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -0.47 29.3% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 77

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.76 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:32 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 12 at BALL 23) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 3.47 27.2% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - -1.23 = 3.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 35.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:49 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.86 35.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.21 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:33 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 1 at BALL 49) Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.21 35.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.07 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:14 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 44) Carson Steele run for no gain to the GeoSt 44 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -0.66 37.7% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 3.28 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 44) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 0, BALL 0 -0.96 36.5% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.60 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 10 at GAST 44) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 0, BALL 0 -1.97 33.0% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 1.60 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:30 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 10 at GAST 44) Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4 - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.62 29.5% 3.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 96

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.31 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 4) Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -0.51 68.7% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 93

Started Drive at: GAST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.36 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.36)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:42 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 7 at GAST 7) Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -0.17 64.7% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 89

Started Drive at: GAST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.82 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:02 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 3 at GAST 11) Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10 - GAST 0, BALL 0 -1.70 64.5% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 90

Started Drive at: GAST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - -0.82 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.5%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:37 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 4 at GAST 10) Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Jayshon Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 39 - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.46 62.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 61

Started Drive at: GAST 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - -2.62 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 64.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 39) Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 - GAST 0, BALL 0 0.19 35.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: BALL 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.12 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 5 at BALL 44) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 0, BALL 7 4.64 36.3% 10.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:58 ESPN team id 2247 (Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 55 yds for a touchback - GAST 0, BALL 7 0.01 50.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.05 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 0.08 49.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.07 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.0%

Win Probability (After): 50.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:21 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 6 at GAST 29) Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 -0.97 49.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.11 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.0%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:41 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 6 at GAST 29) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 19 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 2.88 52.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 52

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - -1.08 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 48) Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 7 -0.24 59.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.81 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.19)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.9%

Win Probability (After): 59.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:47 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for no gain to the BalSt 49 - GAST 0, BALL 7 -1.03 57.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.59 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.41)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:22 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 7 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 2.94 54.9% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 0.56 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.9%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:05 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 30) Cornelius McCoy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29 - GAST 0, BALL 7 -0.58 61.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 29

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.51 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 59.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:20 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 9 at BALL 29) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23 - GAST 0, BALL 7 0.42 58.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.93 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 3 at BALL 23) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down - GAST 0, BALL 7 1.17 57.2% 5.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 18

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 3.34 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 0, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:55 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 18) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 7, BALL 7 2.47 60.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:55 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 7, BALL 7 0.00 35.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:43 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 29 - GAST 7, BALL 7 -0.06 34.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.07 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:14 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 7, BALL 7 -1.04 34.1% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 1.01 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:43 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 6 at BALL 29) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 7, BALL 7 2.39 30.4% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - -0.04 = 2.39

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:05 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 43) Will Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 42 - GAST 7, BALL 7 -1.04 38.2% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 58

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 2.35 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:21 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 11 at BALL 42) Jayshon Jackson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 48 - GAST 7, BALL 7 0.14 35.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.32 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 7, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 5 at BALL 48) Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 14, BALL 7 -8.52 39.7% -21.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - 1.52 = -8.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 14, BALL 7 0.00 19.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:40 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 - GAST 14, BALL 7 0.67 19.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.09 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:24 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 3 at BALL 32) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -0.15 19.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.76 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:16 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 1 at BALL 34) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 01:16 - GAST 14, BALL 7 0.00 18.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.61 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:09 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 1 at BALL 34) Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -1.72 20.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - 0.66 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 1 at BALL 34) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -3.30 19.2% -4.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 34

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.35 - -1.04 = -3.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 24 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down - GAST 14, BALL 7 0.42 85.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 25

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.34 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:55 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Jamyest Williams run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16 - GAST 14, BALL 7 0.81 86.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 16

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 4.77 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:28 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 1 at BALL 16) Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST down - GAST 14, BALL 7 -0.24 86.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.58 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 14) Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 10 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -0.23 86.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 10

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 5.30 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:45 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 6 at BALL 10) Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the BalSt 10 - GAST 14, BALL 7 -0.82 89.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 5.07 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:11 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 6 at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 14, BALL 7 -1.34 88.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 4.21 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 14, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:11 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 6 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 7 0.14 86.9% 3.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: BALL 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.86 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:11 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 17, BALL 7 0.00 14.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 0.27 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.73)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 7 1.28 14.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 0.20 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.80)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:58 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 40) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.63 15.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 1.48 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.52)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:45 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 40) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.59 14.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.83 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.17)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 13:05 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at BALL 41) Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 5 yds to the BalSt 46 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -1.01 13.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.16 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.84)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:09 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 4 at BALL 46) Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 15 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.82 12.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 85

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.73 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.73)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.70 87.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: GAST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.60 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.60)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:55 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.84 87.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: GAST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.92 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.92)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 10 at GAST 15) Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -1.05 85.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80

Started Drive at: GAST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - 0.01 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 10 (8.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 84.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:26 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 5 at GAST 20) Michael Hayes punt for 27 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -1.54 84.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 47

Started Drive at: GAST 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - -1.02 = -1.54

Score Difference (Before): 10 (8.98)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:05 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 47) Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.19 17.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.67 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.33)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 6 at GAST 43) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.77 17.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.55 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.45)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 5 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 25 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 7 2.79 15.9% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 1.83 = 2.79

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.17)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:30 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.57 18.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.62 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.72 18.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 4.05 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.95)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 10 at GAST 17) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 17, BALL 7 -0.99 15.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.32 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.68)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 10 at GAST 17) Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.68 14.0% 7.8%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: GAST 47

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.32 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2247 (Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.00 85.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.83 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.30 84.3% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.66 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 4 at GAST 31) Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.95 84.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 57

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.71 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.71)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:40 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 43) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 41 - GAST 17, BALL 10 -0.94 86.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 59

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.57 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.6%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 12 at GAST 41) Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down - GAST 17, BALL 10 3.56 84.6% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 11

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 1.64 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:30 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 11) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12 - GAST 17, BALL 10 -0.87 88.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 12

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 5.15 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 11 at BALL 12) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds to the BalSt 3 - GAST 17, BALL 10 0.87 86.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 3

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 4.32 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 2 at BALL 3) Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 10 - GAST 17, BALL 10 -2.46 89.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 10

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 5.18 = -2.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 17, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 9 at BALL 10) Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.32 86.1% 3.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:01 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 21 yds to the BalSt 21 - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.09 11.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.53 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.47)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:55 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 21) Rico Barfield run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24 - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.43 10.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.42 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.58)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at BALL 24) Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25 - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.54 11.2% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.01 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.01)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:20 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 6 at BALL 25) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 1.37 9.7% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - -0.35 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.35)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 32) Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35 - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.11 13.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.20 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.80)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:01 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at BALL 35) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 04:01 - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.00 12.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.09 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:28 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at BALL 35) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 41 - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.43 13.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.96 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.04)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 1 at BALL 41) Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.54 13.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.29 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.71)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:25 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 43) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.67 14.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 1.83 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.17)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 42) Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39 - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.07 15.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.28 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.72)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:06 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at GAST 39) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 10 1.58 15.9% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 23

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.11 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.89)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:06 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 23) Timeout BALL ST, clock 01:06 - GAST 20, BALL 10 0.00 18.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.69 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.31)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 23) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.29 17.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 3.44 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:30 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 23) Jayshon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 26 - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.98 16.8% -3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 26

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 3.03 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.97)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 13 at GAST 26) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 20, BALL 10 -0.33 13.2% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.08 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.92)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 13 at GAST 26) Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD - GAST 20, BALL 13 1.34 11.3% 10.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 2247 (Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.00 82.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 25) Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 20, BALL 13 -0.03 82.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.03 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.03)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2247 (Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.00 84.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:35 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 25) Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33 - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.45 85.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.14 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:25 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 2 at GAST 33) Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 1.24 87.1% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 45

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 2.69 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:54 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 45) Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the BalSt 39 - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.37 88.9% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 3.66 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:50 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 4 at BALL 39) Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.23 89.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 35

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 3.98 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:11 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 35) Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33 - GAST 20, BALL 13 -0.36 88.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.27 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:55 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 8 at BALL 33) Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the BalSt 27 - GAST 20, BALL 13 0.21 88.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 27

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 3.92 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:22 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 2 at BALL 27) Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down - GAST 20, BALL 13 1.19 88.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 10

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 4.16 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 20, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:05 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & Goal at BALL 10) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 27, BALL 13 1.55 89.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.45)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 20 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:59 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 22 yds to the BalSt 24 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -1.22 6.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: BALL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -0.51 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:38 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 24) Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 24 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.59 6.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: BALL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.64 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.64)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:10 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 24) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 3 yds to the BalSt 27 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.70 6.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: BALL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.30 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.30)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:44 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 7 at BALL 27) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - GAST 27, BALL 13 -1.19 5.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: BALL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.09 - -1.90 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:37 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 7 at BALL 27) Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 32 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.10 4.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: BALL 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - -2.96 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.96)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.07)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:26 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 32) Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.07 96.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.09 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.09)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:01 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 5 at GAST 37) Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down - GAST 27, BALL 13 0.45 95.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.01 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.01)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:27 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 42) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.14 96.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.44 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:45 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 6 at GAST 46) Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 27, BALL 13 1.23 96.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 40

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 3.15 = 1.23

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:20 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 40) Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.58 96.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 39

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 4.28 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.28)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:54 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 9 at BALL 39) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 44 - GAST 27, BALL 13 -0.68 96.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.65 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:36 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 14 at BALL 44) Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 27, BALL 13 0.69 96.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 2.87 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.87)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 27, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 4 at BALL 34) Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 34, BALL 13 3.35 96.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.65 = 3.35

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.65)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 30) Michael Hayes kickoff for 70 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 34, BALL 13 -1.02 1.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.28 - -1.27 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.27)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:36 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34 - GAST 34, BALL 13 1.19 1.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -1.19 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.19)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:15 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 1 at BALL 34) Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 -0.38 1.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.33 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.67)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 39) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 2.01 1.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 46

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - -0.34 = 2.01

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.34)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 46) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson - GAST 34, BALL 13 -0.89 2.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.30 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.70)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:27 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 46) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 05:27 - GAST 34, BALL 13 0.00 1.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.42 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.58)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 46) Jayshon Jackson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45 - GAST 34, BALL 13 -1.04 1.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.55 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.45)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 5:01 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at GAST 45) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 3.28 1.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - -0.44 = 3.28

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.44)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:45 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 30) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 34, BALL 13 -0.73 2.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.85 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.15)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:14 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 30) Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31 - GAST 34, BALL 13 -1.92 2.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 31

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 2.07 = -1.92

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.93)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 11 at GAST 31) Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29 - GAST 34, BALL 13 -0.70 1.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.16 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 9 at GAST 29) Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSED - GAST 34, BALL 13 -3.16 1.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -0.58 = -3.16

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.58)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:45 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 29) Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37 - GAST 34, BALL 13 0.24 99.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.76 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.76)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:18 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 2 at GAST 37) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 0.03 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 4.06 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.06)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:10 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 40) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 40 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down - GAST 34, BALL 13 1.33 99.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 20

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.50 - 4.17 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.17)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:37 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 20) Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16 - GAST 34, BALL 13 -0.08 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 16

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 5.50 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.50)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 34, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 6 at BALL 16) Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 41, BALL 13 1.57 99.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: GAST 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.43 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.43)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25 - GAST 41, BALL 13 -0.96 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - -1.22 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.22)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:05 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (-12 Yards) to the BalSt 13 - GAST 41, BALL 13 -0.81 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 87

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.01 - -1.19 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.19)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:36 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 22 at BALL 13) Carson Steele run for 15 yds to the BalSt 28 - GAST 41, BALL 13 0.35 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 72

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -1.96 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.96)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:28 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 7 at BALL 28) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down - GAST 41, BALL 13 1.41 0.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -1.60 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.60)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 36) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down - GAST 41, BALL 13 -1.13 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 80

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.19 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.19)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:15 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler - GAST 41, BALL 13 -0.56 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -1.33 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.33)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 41, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at BALL 20) Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) - GAST 48, BALL 13 -5.12 0.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.88 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.88)

Score Difference (End): 35 (35.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:53 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 19 yds to the BalSt 21 Amechi Uzodinma II fumbled, recovered by BalSt Ben Egenolf - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.98 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - -1.06 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.06)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 21) BALL ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 16 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.51 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -1.21 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.21)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:25 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 15 at BALL 16) Rico Barfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.50 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.31 - -1.80 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.80)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 16 at BALL 15) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 22 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.25 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 78

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -2.24 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.24)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-37.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at BALL 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 2.21 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 63

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - -2.44 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-37.44)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:20 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 37) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 45 - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.94 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - -0.24 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.24)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:09 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 2 at BALL 45) Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.69 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 0.70 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.30)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:09 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 44) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 13:09 - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.39 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.61)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 13:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 44) Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.53 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.39 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.61)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 12:45 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 -1.03 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.82 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.18)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-35.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 12:41 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 -1.59 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - -0.18 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.18)

Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 12:35 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 8 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -1.49 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.14 - -1.65 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): -35 (-36.65)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 35) Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.02 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.21 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.21)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:45 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 3 at GAST 42) Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.36 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.18 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.18)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:35 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 46) Jamari Thrash run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.10 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.43 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.43)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 5 at BALL 49) Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 20 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST down - GAST 48, BALL 13 1.29 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 29

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 3.30 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.30)

Score Difference (End): 35 (39.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:35 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 29) Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.30 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.62 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.62)

Score Difference (End): 35 (39.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:00 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 7 at BALL 26) Darren Grainger pass incomplete - GAST 48, BALL 13 -0.71 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.25 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.25)

Score Difference (End): 35 (38.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:09 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 7 at BALL 26) Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27 - GAST 48, BALL 13 -1.29 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 27

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 3.28 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.28)

Score Difference (End): 35 (36.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:09 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 8 at BALL 27) Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 09:09 - GAST 48, BALL 13 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.99 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.99)

Score Difference (End): 35 (36.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 48, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (48) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:03 ESPN team id 2247 (4th & 8 at BALL 27) Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOOD - GAST 51, BALL 13 1.15 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27

Started Drive at: GAST 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.85 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.85)

Score Difference (End): 38 (38.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 48 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:03 ESPN team id 2050 (Kickoff at BALL 35) Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - GAST 51, BALL 13 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.25 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.25)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:55 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 25) Rico Barfield run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 0.60 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.30 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.30)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:30 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at BALL 35) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 7 yds to the BalSt 42 - GAST 51, BALL 13 0.39 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.34 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.66)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 3 at BALL 42) Drew Plitt sacked by Chris Davis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 36 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt - GAST 51, BALL 13 -1.29 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 64

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 0.80 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.20)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-38.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 7:35 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 9 at BALL 36) GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 1.68 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 49

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - -0.41 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-38.41)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 7:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 49) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47 - GAST 51, BALL 13 -0.45 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 1.38 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.62)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:45 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 8 at GAST 47) Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 - GAST 51, BALL 13 -0.08 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.27 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.73)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:25 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 3 at GAST 42) Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 0.95 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 1.26 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.74)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-35.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:14 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 37) Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor Hohlt - GAST 51, BALL 13 -0.50 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.19 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.81)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:50 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 37) Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 1.45 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 25

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 1.60 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.40)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-34.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:20 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & 10 at GAST 25) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 51, BALL 13 -0.49 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.94 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.06)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-35.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & 10 at GAST 25) Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22 - GAST 51, BALL 13 -0.57 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.54 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-35.46)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-36.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:45 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass incomplete - GAST 51, BALL 13 -1.17 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.00 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-36.00)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-37.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:20 ESPN team id 2050 (4th & 7 at GAST 22) Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 13 4.29 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 5

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 0.93 = 4.29

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-37.07)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 2050 (1st & Goal at GAST 5) Drew Plitt sacked by Tre Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 9 - GAST 51, BALL 13 -1.29 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 9

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 5.28 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.72)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-34.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 2050 (2nd & Goal at GAST 9) Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1 - GAST 51, BALL 13 1.24 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 1

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.36 - 4.12 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-33.88)

Score Difference (End): -38 (-32.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 13

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:13 ESPN team id 2050 (3rd & Goal at GAST 1) Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) - GAST 51, BALL 20 1.55 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: BALL 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -38 (-32.55)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:13 ESPN team id 2247 (Kickoff at GAST 35) Jonathan Hagee kickoff for 27 yds fair catch by Aubry Payne at the GeoSt 38 - GAST 51, BALL 20 0.37 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.04 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.04)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:40 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at GAST 38) Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41 - GAST 51, BALL 20 -0.34 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.37 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.37)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 7 at GAST 41) Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40 - GAST 51, BALL 20 -0.44 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 60

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.07 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.07)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2247 (3rd & 8 at GAST 40) Antoine Lane run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 20 1.08 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 0.59 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 31 (31.59)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:55 ESPN team id 2247 (1st & 10 at BALL 49) Antoine Lane run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43 - GAST 51, BALL 20 0.21 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.20 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.20)

Score Difference (End): 31 (32.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:30 ESPN team id 2247 (2nd & 4 at BALL 43) Antoine Lane run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down - GAST 51, BALL 20 0.99 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 36

Started Drive at: GAST 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 1.10 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 31 (32.10)

Score Difference (End): 31 (33.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: GAST 51, BALL 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3