W Michigan 52 @ Nevada 24

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.66 | Odds: WMU -6.5, O/U 57.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Total Plays 7470
Total EPA 36.76-3.15
  Offensive EPA 28.860.02
  Special Teams EPA 7.90-4.50
  Penalty EPA 00.72
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.000.61
Production ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Scrimmage Plays 6654
  Yards 515242
  Yards/Play 7.804.48
  EPA 28.860.02
  EPA/Play 0.440.00
Passes 15 (23%)29 (54%)
  Yards 162121
  Yards/Play 10.804.17
  EPA 8.41-4.98
  EPA/Play 0.56-0.17
Rushes 51 (77%)25 (46%)
  Yards 358149
  Yards/Play 7.025.96
  EPA 20.455.00
  EPA/Play 0.400.20
Rushing ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Scrimmage Plays 6654
Rushes 51 (77%)25 (46%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 6 (12%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 4 (67%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (16%)5 (20%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 15 (29%)14 (56%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 32 (63%)10 (40%)
OL Line Yards 98.120.7
  Per Carry 1.920.83
Highlight Yards 13678
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.257.80
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Total Plays 7470
Scrimmage Plays 6654
Explosive Plays 6 (9%)7 (13%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (13%)4 (14%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 4 (8%)3 (12%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 8.53-20.32
  EPA/Play 0.14-0.43
  When Passing -1.19-16.94
    EPA/Play -0.08-0.58
  When Rushing 9.72-3.38
    EPA/Play 0.21-0.15
Situational ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 39 (59%)19 (35%)
  When Passing 7 (47%)8 (28%)
  When Rushing 32 (63%)11 (44%)
  On Standard Downs 32 (59%)10 (31%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (58%)9 (41%)
  On Early Downs 32 (58%)14 (33%)
  On Late Downs 7 (64%)5 (42%)
  During "Middle 8" 10 (67%)3 (50%)
Early Downs 5542
  First Downs Created 16 (29%)7 (17%)
  EPA 18.45-1.29
  EPA/Play 0.34-0.03
  Passes 13 (24%)17 (40%)
  Rushes 42 (76%)25 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 5 (38%)3 (18%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 27 (64%)11 (44%)
"Middle 8" Plays 156
  EPA 11.110.34
  EPA/play 0.740.06
  Passes 3 (20%)4 (67%)
  Rushes 12 (80%)2 (33%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (67%)1 (25%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (67%)2 (100%)
Drives ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 32Own 28
Plays/Drive 7.086.44
Yards/Drive 55.2640.76
Available Yards % 81%57%
Defensive ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Scrimmage Plays 5466
Stop Rate 39%9%
Havoc Plays Created 10 (19%)6 (9%)
  Passing 7 (24%)2 (13%)
  Rushing 3 (12%)4 (8%)
TFLs Generated 95
  Passing 61
  Rushing 34
Sacks Generated 6 (21%)1 (7%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 11
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Turnovers 11
  Fumbles 00
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 11
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 0.20.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 0.00.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 2711 ESPN team id 2440
Total Plays 8 16
Total EPA 7.9 -4.5
  Field Goal EPA -0.49 0.31
  Punting EPA 0.29 -1.05
  Kickoff Return EPA 8.1 -3.77

Western Michigan [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Kaleb Eleby 8/14, 162 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 86.7 xQBR 10.80 0.56 8.41 47% 7.0%
Rush attempts
Jaxson Kincaide 17 carries, 105 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.18 0.49 8.29 71% 6.0%
Sean Tyler 14 carries, 146 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.43 0.32 4.44 43% 2.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam 4 carries, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.75 0.85 3.41 75% 0.0%
Kaleb Eleby 4 carries, 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.25 0.72 2.90 100% 1.0%
Trae Allen 4 carries, 14 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 0.42 1.67 50% 0.0%
Skyy Moore 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.60 0.60 100% -3.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.50 -0.03 -0.06 50% 0.0%
Mareyohn Hrabowski 5 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.60 -0.16 -0.79 60% 2.0%
Pass targets
Corey Crooms 1 catch (2 targets), 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 74.00 3.74 7.48 100% 12.0%
Bryce Nunnelly 1 catch (1 target), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 2.58 2.58 100% 0.0%
Brett Borske 1 catch (1 target), 20 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.00 2.33 2.33 100% 4.0%
Sean Tyler 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.09 0.09 100% 0.0%
Skyy Moore 4 catches (8 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 -0.26 -2.09 25% -9.0%

Nevada [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Nate Cox 12/23, 121 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 6 Scks, 33.8 xQBR 4.17 -0.17 -4.98 28% -11.0%
Rush attempts
Devonte Lee 7 carries, 85 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.14 0.89 6.24 57% 11.0%
Nate Cox 7 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.14 0.29 2.01 57% 4.0%
Toa Taua 11 carries, 28 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.55 -0.30 -3.25 27% -5.0%
Pass targets
Jamaal Bell 7 catches (10 targets), 75 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.71 0.70 7.00 50% 2.0%
Carson Walters 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.43 1.43 100% 0.0%
Toa Taua 2 catches (5 targets), 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.50 0.13 0.65 20% -5.0%
Reagan Roberson 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.0%
Tyrese Mack 1 catch (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 -0.33 -0.67 50% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 14, NEV 3 7.02 79.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.02 = 7.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 100 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 7, NEV 3 6.43 64.8% 11.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.57 = 6.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 35) NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 20 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -4.44 17.1% -12.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.96 - 1.48 = -4.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:24 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 35) Devonte Lee run for 33 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 4.00 0.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 2

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.04 - 2.04 = 4.00

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.96)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-21.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:50 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 10 at NEV 34) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 28 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 17 3.90 0.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 38

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - -1.60 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.60)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 14:06 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 7 at WMU 28) Sean Tyler run for 70 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down - WMU 31, NEV 10 3.49 98.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 2

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 2.93 = 3.49

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 19 at NEV 21) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 2.90 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 64

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -3.27 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-31.27)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:05 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 18) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 45, NEV 24 2.84 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:30 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 5 at NEV 31) Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down - WMU 24, NEV 10 2.79 93.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 22

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 1.44 = 2.79

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:06 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 9 at NEV 25) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 2.66 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -3.22 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-31.22)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 35) NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 20 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -4.44 17.1% -12.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.96 - 1.48 = -4.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 14, NEV 3 7.02 79.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.02 = 7.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 100 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 7, NEV 3 6.43 64.8% 11.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.57 = 6.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 37) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 41 - WMU 17, NEV 10 -0.37 95.3% -7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.07 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & Goal at WMU 1) Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.74 11.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 20) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down - WMU 0, NEV 0 2.38 26.3% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - -0.95 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:48 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 20) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 24, NEV 10 2.33 89.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.67 = 2.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:55 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 28) Devonte Lee run for 34 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down - WMU 0, NEV 0 2.21 32.6% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 38

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 1.42 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 42) Nate Cox sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32 - WMU 14, NEV 3 -2.37 13.1% -3.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 68

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.43 - -0.06 = -2.37

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:17 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 6 at WMU 15) Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOOD - WMU 0, NEV 3 0.31 35.4% 3.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.69 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:17 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 6 at WMU 15) Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOOD - WMU 0, NEV 3 0.31 35.4% 3.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.69 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 100 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 7, NEV 3 6.43 64.8% 11.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.57 = 6.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 14, NEV 3 7.02 79.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.02 = 7.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 2 at NEV 5) Parker Sampson 22 yd FG GOOD - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.49 94.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.49 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.49)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & Goal at WMU 1) Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.74 11.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:48 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 20) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 24, NEV 10 2.33 89.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.67 = 2.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:01 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 7) Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 31, NEV 10 1.77 97.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.23 = 1.77

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.23)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 12:27 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & Goal at NEV 1) Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.65 99.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.35)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & Goal at WMU 1) Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 38, NEV 17 1.03 0.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.97 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-22.03)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:57 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 7) Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 45, NEV 17 1.03 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.97 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.97)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:05 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 18) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 45, NEV 24 2.84 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:36 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & Goal at NEV 3) Trae Allen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 52, NEV 24 1.41 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.59 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.59)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 65 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 18 yds to the Nevad 18 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -1.55 28.0% -2.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - 0.86 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 18) Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 15 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -1.53 27.8% -3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 85

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.74 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:00 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 13 at NEV 15) Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 5 yds to the Nevad 20 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -0.43 27.2% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - -0.53 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:40 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 20) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down - WMU 0, NEV 0 2.38 26.3% 4.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 72

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - -0.95 = 2.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:55 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 28) Devonte Lee run for 34 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down - WMU 0, NEV 0 2.21 32.6% 3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 38

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 1.42 = 2.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 38) Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the WMich 34 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -0.04 37.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.62 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:03 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 6 at WMU 34) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down - WMU 0, NEV 0 1.20 38.3% 1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 19

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 3.59 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 19) Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the WMich 17 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -0.32 40.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 17

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 4.78 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:00 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 8 at WMU 17) Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the WMich 14 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -0.38 38.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 4.42 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:34 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 5 at WMU 14) Nate Cox sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 15 - WMU 0, NEV 0 -1.40 36.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 15

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 4.05 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:17 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 6 at WMU 15) Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOOD - WMU 0, NEV 3 0.31 35.4% 3.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.69 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 0, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.4%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 100 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 7, NEV 3 6.43 64.8% 11.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.57 = 6.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 62 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 29 yds to the Nevad 32 - WMU 7, NEV 3 -0.45 21.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: NEV 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.55 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:40 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 32) Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 41 - WMU 7, NEV 3 0.59 23.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59

Started Drive at: NEV 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.54 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.46)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:28 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 1 at NEV 41) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua - WMU 7, NEV 3 -0.71 25.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: NEV 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.28 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.72)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:22 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 1 at NEV 41) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell - WMU 7, NEV 3 -1.68 24.0% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: NEV 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 1.53 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.47)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:10 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 1 at NEV 41) Julian Diaz punt for 54 yds, downed at the WMich 5 - WMU 7, NEV 3 -0.12 21.0% 2.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 95

Started Drive at: NEV 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.14 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.25)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:40 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 5) Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 7 - WMU 7, NEV 3 -0.67 78.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 93

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.20 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.20)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.1%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:10 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 8 at WMU 7) Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down - WMU 7, NEV 3 1.58 75.8% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 84

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - -0.49 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.51)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:40 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 16) Skyy Moore run for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST down - WMU 7, NEV 3 0.60 81.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 74

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.10 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.10)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 78.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:30 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore - WMU 7, NEV 3 -0.73 82.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.63 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.63)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for no gain to the WMich 26 - WMU 7, NEV 3 -1.09 81.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.97 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.97)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:42 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at WMU 26) Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 06:42 - WMU 7, NEV 3 0.00 79.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - -0.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.88)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 7, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at WMU 26) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 14, NEV 3 7.02 79.7% 12.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.02 = 7.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 95 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 27 yds , Zion Burns return for 2 yds to the Nevad 40 - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.32 11.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - -0.06 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:07 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 40) Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42 - WMU 14, NEV 3 -0.47 12.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.31 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.69)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 12.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:39 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 8 at NEV 42) Nate Cox pass incomplete - WMU 14, NEV 3 -0.77 13.7% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.80 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.20)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 42) Nate Cox sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32 - WMU 14, NEV 3 -2.37 13.1% -3.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 68

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.43 - -0.06 = -2.37

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-13.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:52 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 18 at NEV 32) Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zonterio Weekley at the WMich 23 - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.42 9.5% -1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 77

Started Drive at: NEV 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -2.44 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-13.44)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:15 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 23) Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 31 - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.58 92.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.05 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.05)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:35 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 2 at WMU 31) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.44 90.8% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.62 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.62)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:20 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 42) Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 16 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.79 91.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 42

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 3.04 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.04)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:30 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 42) Sean Tyler run for 17 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.87 92.7% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 25

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 3.86 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.86)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 25) Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 5 yds to the Nevad 20 - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.10 94.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 4.73 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.73)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:20 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 5 at NEV 20) Kaleb Eleby run for 7 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST down - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.55 94.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 13

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 4.83 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:40 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 13) Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 7 - WMU 14, NEV 3 0.23 94.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 7

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.60 - 5.37 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.37)

Score Difference (End): 11 (16.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 4 at NEV 7) Kaleb Eleby sacked by Kameron Toomer and Lawson Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 13 - WMU 14, NEV 3 -1.49 94.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 13

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 5.51 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.51)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 10 at NEV 13) Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 5 - WMU 14, NEV 3 -0.29 94.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 5

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.87 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 14, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 2 at NEV 5) Parker Sampson 22 yd FG GOOD - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.49 94.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WMU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.49 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.49)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:15 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 33 yds , Crishaun Lappin return for 11 yds to the Nevad 43 - WMU 17, NEV 3 0.47 7.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -0.47 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.47)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:40 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 43) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 1 yd to the Nevad 44 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.56 7.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 1.05 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.95)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:19 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 9 at NEV 44) Nate Cox run for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 3 1.54 7.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 45

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 0.47 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:50 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 45) Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the WMich 43 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.45 8.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.95 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.05)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:36 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 8 at WMU 43) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 3 1.66 7.1% 2.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 1.54 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.46)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.1%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 33) Nate Cox pass incomplete - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.63 9.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 3.21 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.79)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 10 at WMU 33) Timeout NEVADA, clock 12:32 - WMU 17, NEV 3 0.00 8.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:05 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 10 at WMU 33) Nate Cox run for 12 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 3 1.54 7.5% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 21

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 2.56 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.44)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:30 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 21) Devonte Lee run for 20 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 3 2.17 9.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 1

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.28 - 4.10 = 2.17

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.90)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-7.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & Goal at WMU 1) Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.74 11.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.26 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 35) NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 20 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -4.44 17.1% -12.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.96 - 1.48 = -4.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:15 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 20) Julian Diaz kickoff for 71 yds , Sean Tyler return for 28 yds to the WMich 37 - WMU 17, NEV 3 -0.11 95.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 63

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.37 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.37)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 37) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 41 - WMU 17, NEV 10 -0.37 95.3% -7.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 59

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.07 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 10:00 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 6 at WMU 41) Jaxson Kincaide run for 11 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.84 87.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 48

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.69 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 48) Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore - WMU 17, NEV 10 -0.45 89.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.45 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 10 at NEV 48) Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the Nevad 39 - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.89 88.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 39

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.82 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:50 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 1 at NEV 39) Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.90 88.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.43 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:10 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 32) Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down - WMU 17, NEV 10 0.68 89.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 20

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 4.06 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.06)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 17, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:48 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 20) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 24, NEV 10 2.33 89.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.67 = 2.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.67)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:48 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WMU 24, NEV 10 0.00 6.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:20 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 25) Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -0.56 6.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - 0.06 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.94)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:45 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 8 at NEV 27) Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 27 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -1.13 6.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.27 - -0.14 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.14)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 27) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for no gain to the Nevad 27 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -0.91 5.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -1.02 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.02)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:58 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 8 at NEV 27) Timeout NEVADA, clock 05:58 - WMU 24, NEV 10 0.00 4.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.93 - -1.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:44 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 8 at NEV 27) Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, downed at the NEVADA 28 NEVADA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the WMich 43 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -0.69 4.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 57

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -2.00 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 43) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down - WMU 24, NEV 10 1.27 94.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 36

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 2.45 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.45)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 36) Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -0.25 94.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 33

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 3.79 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:49 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 7 at NEV 33) Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore - WMU 24, NEV 10 -0.57 94.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.35 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:10 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 7 at NEV 33) Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31 - WMU 24, NEV 10 -1.03 94.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 2.40 = -1.03

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.40)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:03 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 5 at NEV 31) Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 04:03 - WMU 24, NEV 10 0.00 93.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 1.37 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.37)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:30 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 5 at NEV 31) Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down - WMU 24, NEV 10 2.79 93.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 22

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 1.44 = 2.79

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.44)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 22) Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 19 - WMU 24, NEV 10 0.02 95.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 19

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.85 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.85)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:30 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 7 at NEV 19) Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down - WMU 24, NEV 10 1.90 95.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 7

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 3.52 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.52)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:06 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 7) Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 02:06 - WMU 24, NEV 10 0.00 97.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 5.42 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.42)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 24, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:01 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 7) Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 31, NEV 10 1.77 97.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.23 = 1.77

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.23)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:01 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 63 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 16 yds to the Nevad 18 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.89 2.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 82

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.82 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.18)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 18) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.23 2.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.36 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.64)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:25 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 10 at NEV 18) Nate Cox run for 9 yds to the Nevad 27 - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.24 2.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - -0.03 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.03)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 1 at NEV 27) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Tyrese Mack - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.97 2.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - 0.36 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.64)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 1 at NEV 27) NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 22 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.26 1.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 78

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.43 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.43)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.9%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:04 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 6 at NEV 22) Julian Diaz punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 28 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.67 1.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72

Started Drive at: NEV 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.75 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.75)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:56 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 28) Kaleb Eleby run for 12 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.64 98.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 0.93 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:48 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 40) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 7 yds to the WMich 47 - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.09 98.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.31 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.31)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 3 at WMU 47) Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 49 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.04 98.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.30 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.30)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 1 at WMU 49) Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down - WMU 31, NEV 10 1.06 98.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 42

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 0.82 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.82)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 42) Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey Crooms - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.46 98.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.83 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.83)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 10 at NEV 42) Timeout NEVADA, clock 00:05 - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.00 98.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.29)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 10 at NEV 42) Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for 1 yd to the Nevad 6 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.50 98.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 94

Started Drive at: WMU 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.50 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 21 (21.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.02)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Jack Sherwin at the WMich 25 - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.00 98.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.32 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.32)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 25) Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 28 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.41 98.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.34 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.34)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:06 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 7 at WMU 28) Sean Tyler run for 70 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down - WMU 31, NEV 10 3.49 98.8% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 2

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 2.93 = 3.49

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:02 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 2) Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.25 99.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.25 - 6.49 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.49)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:02 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & Goal at NEV 1) Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 13:02 - WMU 31, NEV 10 0.00 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.25 - 6.25 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.25)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:35 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & Goal at NEV 1) Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the Nevad 1 - WMU 31, NEV 10 -0.57 99.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.01 - 6.58 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.58)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 31, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:27 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & Goal at NEV 1) Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.65 99.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.35)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:27 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 59 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 18 yds to the Nevad 24 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -1.04 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.85 - -1.82 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.82)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 24) Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 30 - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.26 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -1.82 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.82)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:15 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 4 at NEV 30) Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad and Ralph Holley for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 25 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -1.63 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.18 - -1.55 = -1.63

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.55)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:06 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 9 at NEV 25) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 2.66 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -3.22 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-31.22)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:30 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 40) Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -0.58 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.44 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.44)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:40 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 8 at NEV 42) Devonte Lee run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 35 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -1.97 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 65

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.72 - -0.75 = -1.97

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.75)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:29 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 15 at NEV 35) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell - WMU 38, NEV 10 -0.89 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.44 - -2.55 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-30.55)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:19 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 15 at NEV 35) Julian Diaz punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 6 - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.60 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 94

Started Drive at: NEV 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.78 - -3.39 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-31.39)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 6) Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 15 - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.84 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 85

Started Drive at: WMU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 2.70 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.70)

Score Difference (End): 28 (31.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:10 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 1 at WMU 15) Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the WMich 15 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -0.74 99.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: WMU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 3.26 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 28 (31.26)

Score Difference (End): 28 (30.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:25 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 1 at WMU 15) Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 15 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -2.02 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85

Started Drive at: WMU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 2.32 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 28 (30.32)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:03 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 1 at WMU 15) Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 30 - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.65 99.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 70

Started Drive at: WMU 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.29 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.29)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.94)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:25 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 30) Nate Cox sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 21 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -1.64 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 79

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - -0.88 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.88)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-30.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:55 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 19 at NEV 21) Nate Cox run for no gain to the Nevad 21 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -0.84 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.33 - -2.49 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-30.49)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-31.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:39 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 19 at NEV 21) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 2.90 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 64

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - -3.27 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-31.27)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:45 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 36) Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 35 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -1.08 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 65

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.47 - -0.38 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.38)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:22 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 11 at NEV 35) Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 2.57 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 47

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - -1.49 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.49)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:33 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 47) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 5 yds to the WMich 42 - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.08 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.14 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.86)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 5 at WMU 42) Nate Cox run for 7 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 0.89 0.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 35

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 1.19 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.81)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:24 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 35) Devonte Lee run for 33 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 10 4.00 0.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 2

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.04 - 2.04 = 4.00

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.96)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-21.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:40 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & Goal at WMU 2) Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the WMich 1 - WMU 38, NEV 10 -0.10 0.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.95 - 6.05 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-21.95)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-22.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & Goal at WMU 1) Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 38, NEV 17 1.03 0.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.97 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-22.03)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:33 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz kickoff for 35 yds fair catch by Jack Sherwin at the WMich 30 - WMU 38, NEV 17 0.36 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: WMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 3.56 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.56)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:04 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 30) Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 35 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.19 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65

Started Drive at: WMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.93 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.93)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:45 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 5 at WMU 35) Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 39 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.11 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: WMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.75 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.75)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:20 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 1 at WMU 39) Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 39 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -1.69 99.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: WMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 3.64 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.64)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:50 ESPN team id 2711 (4th & 1 at WMU 39) Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 12 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.36 99.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 88

Started Drive at: WMU 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 1.97 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.97)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:20 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 12) Nate Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 8 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -1.27 0.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 92

Started Drive at: NEV 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.97 - -1.70 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.70)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:07 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 14 at NEV 8) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.82 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 92

Started Drive at: NEV 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.79 - -2.97 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.97)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-24.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 14 at NEV 8) Nate Cox pass complete to Tyrese Mack for 11 yds to the Nevad 19 - WMU 38, NEV 17 0.30 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 81

Started Drive at: NEV 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - -3.75 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-24.75)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-24.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:22 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 3 at NEV 19) Julian Diaz punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 39 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.59 0.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 61

Started Drive at: NEV 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.08 - -3.49 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-24.49)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:50 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 39) Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 43 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.06 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 3.83 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.83)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:29 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 6 at WMU 43) Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 17 0.87 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 3.52 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.52)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:20 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 45) Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.59 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 4.41 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.41)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:55 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 10 at NEV 45) Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.81 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.84 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.84)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:11 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 8 at NEV 43) Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 25 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 17 2.58 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 18

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.52 - 2.94 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.94)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:25 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 18) Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the Nevad 13 - WMU 38, NEV 17 -0.12 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 13

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.46 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.46)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:40 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 5 at NEV 13) Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Nevad 9 - WMU 38, NEV 17 0.22 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 9

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.55 - 5.32 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.32)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 2711 (3rd & 1 at NEV 9) Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down - WMU 38, NEV 17 0.42 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.94 - 5.52 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.52)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 38, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:57 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 7) Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 45, NEV 17 1.03 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WMU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.97 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.97)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:57 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 60 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 29 yds to the Nevad 34 - WMU 45, NEV 17 -0.14 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.50 - -0.35 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.35)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:44 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 34) Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua - WMU 45, NEV 17 -0.54 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.35 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.65)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 10 at NEV 34) Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36 - WMU 45, NEV 17 -0.58 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - -0.20 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.20)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:40 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 8 at NEV 36) Nate Cox sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 34 - WMU 45, NEV 17 -1.14 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 66

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -0.61 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-28.61)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-29.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:50 ESPN team id 2440 (4th & 10 at NEV 34) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 28 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 17 3.90 0.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 38

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - -1.60 = 3.90

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-29.60)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:40 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 38) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 17 0.29 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 30

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 2.74 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.26)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-24.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:12 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 30) Nate Cox pass complete to Reagan Roberson for 5 yds to the WMich 25 - WMU 45, NEV 17 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 25

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.34 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-24.66)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-24.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:50 ESPN team id 2440 (2nd & 5 at WMU 25) Nate Cox pass incomplete - WMU 45, NEV 17 -0.78 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.42 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-24.58)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:20 ESPN team id 2440 (3rd & 5 at WMU 25) Nate Cox pass complete to Carson Walters for 7 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 17 1.43 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 2.62 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.38)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-23.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 17

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:05 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at WMU 18) Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) - WMU 45, NEV 24 2.84 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.16 = 2.84

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-23.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:05 ESPN team id 2711 (Kickoff at WMU 35) Julian Diaz on-side kick recovered by WESTRN MICHIGAN at the Nevad 48 - WMU 45, NEV 24 1.42 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 48

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 2.06 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.06)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:25 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 48) Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 42 - WMU 45, NEV 24 0.10 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 42

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.23 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.23)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:14 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 4 at NEV 42) Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 24 1.05 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 32

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 2.94 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.94)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 32) Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27 - WMU 45, NEV 24 0.03 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 3.68 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.68)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 5 at NEV 27) Trae Allen run for 13 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 24 1.71 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 14

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 3.22 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.22)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at NEV 14) Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 15 - WMU 45, NEV 24 -1.01 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 15

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 4.83 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.83)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:57 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 11 at NEV 15) Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 13 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down - WMU 45, NEV 24 2.55 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 2

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.29 - 3.74 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.74)

Score Difference (End): 21 (27.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:42 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & Goal at NEV 2) Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3 - WMU 45, NEV 24 -0.45 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 6.20 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.20)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:42 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & Goal at NEV 3) Timeout NEVADA, clock 01:42 - WMU 45, NEV 24 0.00 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 5.75 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.75)

Score Difference (End): 21 (26.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 45, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:36 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & Goal at NEV 3) Trae Allen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) - WMU 52, NEV 24 1.41 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: NEV 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.59 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.59)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 45 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:36 ESPN team id 2440 (Kickoff at NEV 35) Nick Mihalic kickoff for 51 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 11 yds to the Nevad 25 - WMU 52, NEV 24 -0.48 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - 0.45 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.55)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-28.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 52 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:04 ESPN team id 2440 (1st & 10 at NEV 25) Nate Cox pass intercepted Dorian Jackson return for no gain to the WMich 40 - WMU 52, NEV 24 -1.94 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: NEV 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - 0.33 = -1.94

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.67)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 52 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 2711 (1st & 10 at WMU 40) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38 - WMU 52, NEV 24 -0.36 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 62

Started Drive at: WMU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.10 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.10)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 52 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2711 (2nd & 12 at WMU 38) TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 35 - WMU 52, NEV 24 0.30 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 65

Started Drive at: WMU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.09 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.09)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WMU 52, NEV 24

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 52 (52) Home Score: 24 (24)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2