Maryland 54 @ Virginia Tech 10

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.81 | Odds: MD -4.5, O/U 55.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Total Plays 6083
Total EPA 23.63-19.97
  Offensive EPA 24.4-6.79
  Special Teams EPA 1.13-11.77
  Penalty EPA -1.9-3.86
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.002.45
Production ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Scrimmage Plays 5367
  Yards 481267
  Yards/Play 9.083.99
  EPA 24.40-6.79
  EPA/Play 0.46-0.10
Passes 25 (47%)21 (31%)
  Yards 275137
  Yards/Play 11.006.52
  EPA 12.453.46
  EPA/Play 0.500.16
Rushes 28 (53%)46 (69%)
  Yards 206142
  Yards/Play 7.363.09
  EPA 11.95-10.26
  EPA/Play 0.43-0.22
Rushing ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Scrimmage Plays 5367
Rushes 28 (53%)46 (69%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)2 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (11%)7 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 6 (21%)22 (48%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 20 (71%)16 (35%)
OL Line Yards 60.893.1
  Per Carry 2.172.02
Highlight Yards 72.512.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.620.78
Explosiveness ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Total Plays 6083
Scrimmage Plays 5367
Explosive Plays 4 (8%)5 (7%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (12%)2 (10%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (4%)3 (7%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays 6.54-21.35
  EPA/Play 0.13-0.34
  When Passing -0.57-3.43
    EPA/Play -0.02-0.16
  When Rushing 7.12-17.92
    EPA/Play 0.26-0.42
Situational ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 34 (64%)22 (33%)
  When Passing 14 (56%)8 (38%)
  When Rushing 20 (71%)14 (30%)
  On Standard Downs 32 (73%)15 (31%)
  On Passing Downs 2 (22%)7 (39%)
  On Early Downs 30 (67%)13 (29%)
  On Late Downs 4 (50%)9 (41%)
  During "Middle 8" 9 (64%)4 (50%)
Early Downs 4545
  First Downs Created 16 (36%)3 (7%)
  EPA 19.16-5.40
  EPA/Play 0.43-0.12
  Passes 18 (40%)10 (22%)
  Rushes 27 (60%)35 (78%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 11 (61%)3 (30%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 19 (70%)10 (29%)
"Middle 8" Plays 148
  EPA 4.816.76
  EPA/play 0.340.85
  Passes 8 (57%)3 (38%)
  Rushes 6 (43%)5 (63%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (75%)3 (100%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (50%)1 (20%)
Drives ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Total 911
Avg Starting Field Position Own 27Own 26
Plays/Drive 7.559.43
Yards/Drive 57.9237.91
Available Yards % 79%51%
Defensive ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Scrimmage Plays 6753
Stop Rate 64%15%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (9%)2 (4%)
  Passing 2 (10%)1 (4%)
  Rushing 4 (9%)1 (4%)
TFLs Generated 62
  Passing 21
  Rushing 41
Sacks Generated 2 (10%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 00
Fumbles Forced 10
Turnovers ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Turnovers 01
  Fumbles 01
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 00
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 0.50.5
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 5.0-5.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 120 ESPN team id 259
Total Plays 7 16
Total EPA 1.13 -11.77
  Field Goal EPA 1.98 0.92
  Punting EPA 0.18 -9.43
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.03 -3.26

Maryland [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Taulia Tagovailoa 20/24, 265 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 75.4 xQBR 11.04 0.49 11.65 54% 11.0%
Reece Udinski 1/1, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 90.7 xQBR 10.00 0.80 0.80 100% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Colby McDonald 4 carries, 36 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 1.20 4.78 75% 0.0%
Antwaine Littleton II 7 carries, 45 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.43 0.41 2.84 71% 1.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa 4 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 0.44 1.75 75% 1.0%
Roman Hemby 5 carries, 26 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.20 0.29 1.45 80% 0.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis 8 carries, 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.12 0.14 1.13 62% -2.0%
Pass targets
Darryl Jones 4 catches (5 targets), 111 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 27.75 1.72 8.58 60% 9.0%
Brian Cobbs 4 catches (4 targets), 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.50 0.96 3.83 100% 2.0%
Rakim Jarrett 6 catches (6 targets), 60 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.48 2.88 50% 4.0%
CJ Dippre 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.57 1.57 100% 0.0%
Weston Wolff 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.80 0.80 100% 0.0%
Corey Dyches 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.39 0.39 100% 1.0%
Roman Hemby 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.69 -0.69 0% 0.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.58 -1.58 0% 1.0%
Chigoziem Okonkwo 3 catches (5 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 -0.67 -3.34 20% -5.0%

Virginia Tech [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Connor Blumrick 9/15, 110 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 40.2 xQBR 6.88 0.19 2.99 38% 9.0%
Tahj Bullock 2/4, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 56.9 xQBR 5.40 0.10 0.48 40% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Peter Moore 1 carry, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 3.21 3.21 100% 4.0%
Tahj Bullock 5 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.40 0.36 1.82 60% 0.0%
Marco Lee 2 carries, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.18 0.35 100% 0.0%
Keshawn King 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.92 -0.92 0% 0.0%
Jalen Holston 6 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.83 -0.43 -2.59 33% 2.0%
Raheem Blackshear 12 carries, 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.83 -0.24 -2.90 17% -5.0%
Malachi Thomas 5 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.40 -0.59 -2.94 0% -4.0%
Connor Blumrick 14 carries, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.64 -0.45 -6.29 29% -18.0%
Pass targets
Jaden Payoute 1 catch (1 target), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 42.00 3.53 3.53 100% 5.0%
Malachi Thomas 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 3.36 3.36 100% 4.0%
Luke Bussel 2 catches (3 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.50 0.79 2.37 67% 0.0%
Nick Gallo 4 catches (7 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.50 0.16 1.11 43% 2.0%
Cole Blaker 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.75 -0.75 0% 0.0%
Drake DeIuliis 1 catch (2 targets), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.48 -0.96 0% -2.0%
Raheem Blackshear 2 catches (3 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.96 -2.87 0% -1.0%
Jaylen Jones 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -3.03 -3.03 0% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at VT 37) Peter Moore punt for 55 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 92 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 7, VT 0 -6.24 30.2% -12.3%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.76 = -6.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 30) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 70 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 14, VT 3 5.18 75.0% 14.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.82 = 5.18

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:12 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 6 at VT 20) Colby McDonald run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Howes KICK) - MD 54, VT 10 4.83 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83

Score Difference (Before): 37 (39.17)

Score Difference (End): 44 (44.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at VT 32) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 34, VT 10 4.82 98.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.18)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 8 at VT 33) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Jaden Payoute for 42 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.53 20.7% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 25

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 0.36 = 3.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 38) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 34 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 3.36 7.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 4

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.65 - 2.29 = 3.36

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.71)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 4 at VT 23) Peter Moore run for 8 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.21 17.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - -2.35 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:48 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at MD 41) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Jaylen Jones - MD 34, VT 10 -3.03 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 59

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.80 - -0.76 = -3.03

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.76)

Score Difference (End): 24 (27.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 10 at MD 25) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 26 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down - MD 24, VT 10 3.03 92.4% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 49

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 0.92 = 3.03

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:05 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 2 at MD 27) Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 2.59 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.93 = 2.59

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.07)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-33.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 30) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 70 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 14, VT 3 5.18 75.0% 14.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.82 = 5.18

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at VT 37) Peter Moore punt for 55 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 92 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 7, VT 0 -6.24 30.2% -12.3%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.76 = -6.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 9 at VT 35) MARYLAND Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line - MD 21, VT 3 -1.34 12.0% -6.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 0.68 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.32)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at MD 18) John Parker Romo 36 yd FG GOOD - MD 7, VT 3 0.92 26.7% 6.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.92)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 14) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the Mary 19 - MD 21, VT 10 0.23 95.5% -5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 81

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.26 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.26)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 8 at VT 33) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Jaden Payoute for 42 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.53 20.7% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 25

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 0.36 = 3.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 4 at VT 23) Peter Moore run for 8 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.21 17.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - -2.35 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at MD 40) Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, downed at the VTech 17 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.25 83.8% -4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 83

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.39 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & Goal at MD 3) Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) - MD 21, VT 10 1.70 15.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.30 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.70)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 38) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 34 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 3.36 7.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 4

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.65 - 2.29 = 3.36

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.71)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at VT 37) Peter Moore punt for 55 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 92 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 7, VT 0 -6.24 30.2% -12.3%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.76 = -6.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at MD 18) John Parker Romo 36 yd FG GOOD - MD 7, VT 3 0.92 26.7% 6.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.92)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 30) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 70 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 14, VT 3 5.18 75.0% 14.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.82 = 5.18

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & Goal at VT 4) Antwaine Littleton II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 21, VT 3 0.92 93.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.08)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & Goal at MD 3) Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) - MD 21, VT 10 1.70 15.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.30 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.70)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 26) Joseph Petrino 44 Yd Field Goal - MD 24, VT 10 1.76 92.4% 2.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.24 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.24)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 21 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 11 at VT 12) Joseph Petrino 30 yd FG GOOD - MD 27, VT 10 0.22 95.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.78 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.78)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 24 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at VT 32) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 34, VT 10 4.82 98.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.18)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & Goal at VT 2) Roman Hemby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 41, VT 10 0.72 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.28 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 24 (30.28)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 41, VT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:50 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 12 at VT 23) Connor Blumrick sacked by Nick Cross for a loss of 12 yards Connor Blumrick fumbled, forced by Nick Cross, recovered by Mary Greg Rose , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds, (Joseph Petrino PAT BLOCKED) - MD 47, VT 10 1.84 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -1.84 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-32.84)

Score Difference (End): 37 (37.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:12 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 6 at VT 20) Colby McDonald run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Howes KICK) - MD 54, VT 10 4.83 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83

Score Difference (Before): 37 (39.17)

Score Difference (End): 44 (44.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 60 yds , Keshawn King return for 25 yds to the VTech 30 - MD 0, VT 0 -0.64 36.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 0, VT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 35.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:40 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 30) Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 31 - MD 0, VT 0 -0.92 36.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.64 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.64)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 0, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.5%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:55 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 9 at VT 31) Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 36 - MD 0, VT 0 0.00 35.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 0, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.3%

Win Probability (After): 35.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:19 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 4 at VT 36) Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the VTech 37 - MD 0, VT 0 -1.70 34.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 0.93 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 0, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at VT 37) Peter Moore punt for 55 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 92 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 7, VT 0 -6.24 30.2% -12.3%

Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.76 = -6.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:44 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 65 yds , Chance Black return for 28 yds to the VTech 28 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.89 18.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - -0.18 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 28) Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 32 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.12 18.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.22 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:55 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 6 at VT 32) Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the VTech 37 - MD 7, VT 0 0.39 18.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.12 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:17 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 1 at VT 37) Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 0.52 19.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 0.50 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:40 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 38) Connor Blumrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 36 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.25 20.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 64

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 1.09 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:03 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 12 at VT 36) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the VTech 39 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.21 18.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.14 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:28 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 9 at VT 39) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Nick Gallo for 10 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 1.95 19.1% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 51

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - -0.23 = 1.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:55 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 49) Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Mary 43 - MD 7, VT 0 0.82 21.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 1.85 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:20 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 2 at MD 43) Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the Mary 42 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.53 22.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.61 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:55 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 1 at MD 42) Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the Mary 42 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.27 21.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 2.06 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 1 at MD 42) MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 2.02 19.8% 3.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 0.80 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:30 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 37) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 3 yds to the Mary 34 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.16 23.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.84 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at MD 34) Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the Mary 34 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.04 23.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 2.70 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:55 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 7 at MD 34) VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 39 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.13 21.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 1.66 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:25 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 12 at MD 39) Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.95 19.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.42 - 0.53 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:02 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 9 at MD 36) Peter Moore punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 7 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.64 20.0% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 93

Started Drive at: VT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.39 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.03)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:45 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 7) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the Mary 14 - MD 7, VT 0 0.67 82.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 86

Started Drive at: MD 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.01 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:06 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 3 at MD 14) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 13 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.27 82.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 87

Started Drive at: MD 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.70 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:45 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 4 at MD 13) Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-Davis - MD 7, VT 0 -1.58 78.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87

Started Drive at: MD 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.11 - 0.47 = -1.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.47)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.5%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:31 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at MD 13) Colton Spangler punt for 59 yds , Raheem Blackshear returns for 3 yds to the VTech 31 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, recovered by VTech Raheem Blackshear - MD 7, VT 0 0.43 78.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 69

Started Drive at: MD 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - -1.13 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.87)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 3:15 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 31) Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 34 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.34 20.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: VT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.70 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:50 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at VT 34) Connor Blumrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 31 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.32 20.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - 0.37 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:05 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 10 at VT 31) Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 36 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.82 19.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: VT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -0.90 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:41 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 5 at VT 36) Peter Moore punt for 44 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 2 yds to the Mary 22 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.52 18.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 78

Started Drive at: VT 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - -1.58 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:30 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 22) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 7 yds to the Mary 29 - MD 7, VT 0 0.39 82.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 71

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.12 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:59 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 3 at MD 29) Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 0.33 82.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.51 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:29 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 34) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 4 yds to the Mary 38 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.18 82.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 2.84 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.84)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 83.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 6 at MD 38) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 1 yd to the Mary 39 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.71 83.5% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 61

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 2.63 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:45 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 5 at MD 39) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 1 yd to the Mary 40 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.46 84.6% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.90 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at MD 40) Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, downed at the VTech 17 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.25 83.8% -4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 83

Started Drive at: MD 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.39 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 17) Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 20 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.40 20.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - -0.20 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:25 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at VT 20) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the VTech 23 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.33 20.6% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.71 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:57 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 4 at VT 23) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Nick Gallo - MD 7, VT 0 -1.49 20.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.52 - -1.03 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 4 at VT 23) Peter Moore run for 8 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.21 17.4% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - -2.35 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 31) Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 33 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.67 21.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.99 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 8 at VT 33) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Jaden Payoute for 42 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST down - MD 7, VT 0 3.53 20.7% 5.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 25

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 0.36 = 3.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:14 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 25) Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the Mary 20 - MD 7, VT 0 0.26 26.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 3.95 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:58 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 5 at MD 20) Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the Mary 20 - MD 7, VT 0 -0.77 28.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 4.24 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:56 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 5 at MD 20) Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the Mary 18 - MD 7, VT 0 -1.36 26.1% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 18

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 3.46 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.54)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at MD 18) John Parker Romo 36 yd FG GOOD - MD 7, VT 3 0.92 26.7% 6.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: VT 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.92)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.7%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 120 (Kickoff at MD 35) John Parker Romo kickoff for 63 yds , Roman Hemby return for 28 yds to the Mary 30 - MD 7, VT 3 -0.56 75.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70

Started Drive at: MD 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.51 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 7, VT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 30) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 70 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 14, VT 3 5.18 75.0% 14.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 30

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.82 = 5.18

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.82)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:13 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 65 yds , Chance Black return for 16 yds to the VTech 16 - MD 14, VT 3 -1.41 11.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: VT 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.41 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.59)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 16) Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the VTech 18 - MD 14, VT 3 -0.51 10.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 82

Started Drive at: VT 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.00 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.00)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:15 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 8 at VT 18) Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 24 - MD 14, VT 3 -0.02 9.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 76

Started Drive at: VT 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.50 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.50)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:57 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 2 at VT 24) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear - MD 14, VT 3 -1.39 9.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: VT 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.92 - -0.52 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.52)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:48 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 2 at VT 24) Peter Moore punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 40 - MD 14, VT 3 -0.64 9.1% -1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60

Started Drive at: VT 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.58 - -1.94 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.94)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.58)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:38 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 40) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 15 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down - MD 14, VT 3 0.84 91.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.51 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.51)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:15 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 45) Antwaine Littleton II run for 6 yds to the VTech 39 - MD 14, VT 3 0.14 92.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 39

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 3.48 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 92.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:55 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 4 at VT 39) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST down - MD 14, VT 3 0.44 92.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 3.77 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:30 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 32) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 28 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST down - MD 14, VT 3 1.90 92.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 4

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.08 - 4.18 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.18)

Score Difference (End): 11 (17.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 14, VT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:13 ESPN team id 120 (1st & Goal at VT 4) Antwaine Littleton II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 21, VT 3 0.92 93.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.08 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.08)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:13 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MD 21, VT 3 0.00 5.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.78)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:55 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 25) Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 27 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.44 5.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - 0.22 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.78)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:35 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 8 at VT 27) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Nick Gallo - MD 21, VT 3 -0.76 5.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - -0.19 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.19)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:25 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 8 at VT 27) Connor Blumrick run for 9 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 1.87 4.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 64

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -0.70 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.70)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:57 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 36) Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 41 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.08 5.7% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 1.39 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.61)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:20 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 5 at VT 41) Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 41 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.64 5.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.37 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.63)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:40 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 5 at VT 41) Connor Blumrick run for 4 yds to the VTech 45 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.65 5.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 55

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.77 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.23)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:12 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 1 at VT 45) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Nick Gallo for 2 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 1.75 5.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.07 = 1.75

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.93)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:00 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 47) Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - MD 21, VT 3 -0.33 6.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.71 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.29)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:30 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at 50) Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Mary 49 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.27 6.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 49

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.42 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.58)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 6 at MD 49) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Nick Gallo for 11 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 1.40 5.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 38

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 1.15 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.85)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:46 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 38) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 34 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 3 3.36 7.7% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 4

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.65 - 2.29 = 3.36

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.71)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 259 (1st & Goal at MD 4) Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Mary 3 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.21 14.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 3

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.33 - 5.54 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.46)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:08 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & Goal at MD 3) Timeout MARYLAND, clock 01:08 - MD 21, VT 3 0.00 14.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.33 - 5.33 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.67)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & Goal at MD 3) Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) - MD 21, VT 10 1.70 15.4% -4.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.30 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-12.70)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 9 at VT 35) MARYLAND Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line - MD 21, VT 3 -1.34 12.0% -6.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 0.68 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.32)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:02 ESPN team id 120 (Kickoff at 50) John Parker Romo kickoff for 36 yds , CJ Dippre return for no gain to the Mary 14 - MD 21, VT 3 -0.47 95.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 86

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.70 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.70)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 14) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the Mary 19 - MD 21, VT 10 0.23 95.5% -5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 81

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.26 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.26)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:33 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 5 at MD 19) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 16 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 10 0.45 90.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 65

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.40 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.40)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:20 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 35) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 22 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 10 1.25 90.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 43

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 0.38 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.38)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:08 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 43) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the VTech 40 - MD 21, VT 10 0.64 90.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 0.77 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 7 at VT 40) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 14 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST down - MD 21, VT 10 1.06 91.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 0.97 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.97)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 26) Timeout MARYLAND, clock 00:04 - MD 21, VT 10 0.00 91.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.03)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:04 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 26) Timeout VIRGINIA TECH, clock 00:04 - MD 21, VT 10 0.00 91.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 21, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 26) Joseph Petrino 44 Yd Field Goal - MD 24, VT 10 1.76 92.4% 2.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: MD 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.24 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.24)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 21 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 120 (Kickoff at MD 35) John Parker Romo kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback - MD 24, VT 10 0.00 94.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.56)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:51 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 25) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 25 - MD 24, VT 10 -0.62 94.8% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.64 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 93.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:22 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 10 at MD 25) Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo - MD 24, VT 10 -0.78 93.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 2.00 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.00)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.3%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 10 at MD 25) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 26 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down - MD 24, VT 10 3.03 92.4% 3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 49

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 0.92 = 3.03

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:47 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 49) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 27 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST down - MD 24, VT 10 1.09 95.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 22

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 3.92 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:25 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 22) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the VTech 14 - MD 24, VT 10 0.31 96.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.03 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.03)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:52 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 2 at VT 14) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the VTech 14 - MD 24, VT 10 -0.63 96.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 5.39 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:08 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 2 at VT 14) Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST down - MD 24, VT 10 0.57 96.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 11

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.38 - 4.82 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.82)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:40 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 11) Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 12 - MD 24, VT 10 -0.91 96.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 12

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 5.46 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:02 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 11 at VT 12) Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl Jones - MD 24, VT 10 -0.88 96.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 4.55 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.55)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:50 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 11 at VT 12) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for no gain to the VTech 12 - MD 24, VT 10 -0.94 96.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.69 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.69)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 24, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 11 at VT 12) Joseph Petrino 30 yd FG GOOD - MD 27, VT 10 0.22 95.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: MD 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.78 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.78)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 24 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:13 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 64 yds , Chance Black return for 31 yds to the VTech 32 - MD 27, VT 10 -0.45 3.7% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 68

Started Drive at: VT 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.91 - -0.47 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.47)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:55 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 32) Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 35 - MD 27, VT 10 -0.48 4.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: VT 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.42 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.58)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:26 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at VT 35) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Drake DeIuliis - MD 27, VT 10 -0.80 4.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: VT 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.06 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.94)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:18 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 7 at VT 35) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Nick Gallo - MD 27, VT 10 -1.40 3.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: VT 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - -0.77 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.77)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-19.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:09 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 7 at VT 35) Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 35 - MD 27, VT 10 -1.00 3.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: VT 32

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.18 - -2.18 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-19.18)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 1.8%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:58 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 35) Taulia Tagovailoa run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MD 27, VT 10 0.63 98.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.11 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.11)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at 50) Colby McDonald run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down - MD 27, VT 10 0.53 98.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 38

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 3.76 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.76)

Score Difference (End): 17 (21.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:55 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 38) Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the VTech 36 - MD 27, VT 10 -0.49 98.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 36

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 4.27 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 17 (21.27)

Score Difference (End): 17 (20.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:28 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 8 at VT 36) Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo - MD 27, VT 10 -0.88 98.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 3.68 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 17 (20.68)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:11 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 8 at VT 36) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 4 yds to the VTech 32 - MD 27, VT 10 -0.76 98.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 32

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.84 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.84)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at VT 32) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 34, VT 10 4.82 98.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.18)

Score Difference (End): 24 (24.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 120 (4th & 4 at MD 35) MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Mary 20 - MD 27, VT 10 -1.90 99.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - 1.22 = -1.90

Score Difference (Before): 24 (25.22)

Score Difference (End): 17 (16.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 34 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 20) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 65 yds , Chance Black return for 37 yds to the Mary 48 - MD 27, VT 10 1.20 3.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 48

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - -0.42 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.42)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 27, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 27 (27) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:30 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 48) Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Mary 45 - MD 34, VT 10 -0.90 4.3% -3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.93 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.07)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-22.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 27 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:56 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 7 at MD 45) Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Mary 43 - MD 34, VT 10 -0.48 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.04 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-22.96)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-23.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 5 at MD 43) Connor Blumrick pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 2 yds to the Mary 41 - MD 34, VT 10 -1.26 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.52 = -1.26

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-23.48)

Score Difference (End): -24 (-24.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:48 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 3 at MD 41) Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Jaylen Jones - MD 34, VT 10 -3.03 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 59

Started Drive at: MD 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.80 - -0.76 = -3.03

Score Difference (Before): -24 (-24.76)

Score Difference (End): 24 (27.80)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 41) Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 43 - MD 34, VT 10 -0.48 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.84 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 24 (27.84)

Score Difference (End): 24 (27.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:00 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 8 at MD 43) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 1 yd to the Mary 44 - MD 34, VT 10 -0.69 99.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.28 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 24 (27.28)

Score Difference (End): 24 (26.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:20 ESPN team id 120 (3rd & 7 at MD 44) Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST down - MD 34, VT 10 1.57 99.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 46

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 2.67 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): 24 (26.67)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:56 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 46) Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the VTech 38 - MD 34, VT 10 0.31 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 38

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 4.35 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.35)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:26 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 2 at VT 38) Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST down - MD 34, VT 10 0.36 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 31

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 4.50 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.50)

Score Difference (End): 24 (28.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:40 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 31) Taulia Tagovailoa run for 22 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST down - MD 34, VT 10 1.04 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 9

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.77 - 4.73 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 24 (28.73)

Score Difference (End): 24 (29.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:08 ESPN team id 120 (1st & Goal at VT 9) Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the VTech 2 - MD 34, VT 10 0.54 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 2

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.29 - 5.75 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 24 (29.75)

Score Difference (End): 24 (30.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 34, VT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & Goal at VT 2) Roman Hemby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) - MD 41, VT 10 0.72 99.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.28 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 24 (30.28)

Score Difference (End): 31 (31.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 41, VT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 34 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:18 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Joseph Petrino kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MD 41, VT 10 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.87 - -0.87 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.87)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-31.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 41, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:08 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 25) Connor Blumrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23 - MD 41, VT 10 -0.98 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -0.86 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-31.86)

Score Difference (End): -31 (-32.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 41, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:50 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 12 at VT 23) Connor Blumrick sacked by Nick Cross for a loss of 12 yards Connor Blumrick fumbled, forced by Nick Cross, recovered by Mary Greg Rose , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds, (Joseph Petrino PAT BLOCKED) - MD 47, VT 10 1.84 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -1.84 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): -31 (-32.84)

Score Difference (End): 37 (37.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 41 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:50 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Jack Howes kickoff for 61 yds , Chance Black return for 21 yds to the VTech 25 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.72 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -1.00 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-38.00)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-38.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 25) Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the VTech 30 - MD 47, VT 10 0.21 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -1.06 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-38.06)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-37.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:50 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 5 at VT 30) Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the VTech 31 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.39 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - -0.90 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-37.90)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-38.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:05 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 4 at VT 31) Tahj Bullock pass complete to Luke Bussel for 21 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 2.02 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 48

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - -1.20 = 2.02

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-38.20)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-36.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:01 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 48) VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 47 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.95 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 53

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 0.88 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.12)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-37.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:40 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 15 at VT 47) Jalen Holston run for 10 yds to the Mary 43 - MD 47, VT 10 1.19 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 43

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 0.00 = 1.19

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-37.00)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-35.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 5 at MD 43) Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the Mary 41 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.38 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.25 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-35.75)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-36.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:40 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 3 at MD 41) Tahj Bullock pass complete to Luke Bussel for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 1.06 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 0.89 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.11)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-35.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:18 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 35) Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Cole Blaker - MD 47, VT 10 -0.75 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 2.05 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-34.95)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-35.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 10 at MD 35) Tahj Bullock run for 7 yds to the Mary 28 - MD 47, VT 10 0.68 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.52 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-35.48)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-34.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:30 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 3 at MD 28) Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the Mary 27 - MD 47, VT 10 -1.27 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 27

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.22 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-34.78)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-36.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:05 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 2 at MD 27) Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 2.59 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 0.93 = 2.59

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.07)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-33.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:20 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at MD 19) Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the Mary 17 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Mary 32 - MD 47, VT 10 -2.54 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 32

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 3.44 = -2.54

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-33.48)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-36.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 23 at MD 32) Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Luke Bussel - MD 47, VT 10 -0.71 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.91 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.09)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-36.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:29 ESPN team id 259 (3rd & 23 at MD 32) Tahj Bullock sacked by Demeioun Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 40 - MD 47, VT 10 -1.14 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 40

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.90 - 0.24 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-36.76)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-37.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:18 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 31 at MD 40) Timeout VIRGINIA TECH, clock 08:18 - MD 47, VT 10 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.90 - -0.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-37.90)

Score Difference (End): -37 (-37.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:08 ESPN team id 259 (4th & 31 at MD 40) Peter Moore punt for 40 yds for a touchback - MD 47, VT 10 -0.39 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 80

Started Drive at: VT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.70 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -37 (-37.70)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:55 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 20) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 23 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.07 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 37 (38.07)

Score Difference (End): 37 (37.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:20 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 7 at MD 23) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 0.44 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 69

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 0.86 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 37 (37.86)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:20 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 31) Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 35 - MD 47, VT 10 0.08 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 65

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.12 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 37 (38.12)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:40 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 6 at MD 35) Reece Udinski pass complete to Weston Wolff for 10 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 0.80 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 55

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 0.75 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 37 (37.75)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:55 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at MD 45) Antwaine Littleton II run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line - MD 47, VT 10 -0.09 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.21 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): 37 (38.21)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 5 at 50) Antwaine Littleton II run for 7 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 0.87 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 43

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 0.89 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 37 (37.89)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:20 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 43) Antwaine Littleton II run for 8 yds to the VTech 35 - MD 47, VT 10 0.43 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 35

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.36 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): 37 (38.36)

Score Difference (End): 37 (38.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:30 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 2 at VT 35) Antwaine Littleton II run for 11 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST down - MD 47, VT 10 0.77 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 24

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 1.65 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 37 (38.65)

Score Difference (End): 37 (39.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 120 (1st & 10 at VT 24) Antwaine Littleton II run for 4 yds to the VTech 20 - MD 47, VT 10 -0.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.43 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 37 (39.43)

Score Difference (End): 37 (39.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 47, VT 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (47) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:12 ESPN team id 120 (2nd & 6 at VT 20) Colby McDonald run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Howes KICK) - MD 54, VT 10 4.83 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: MD 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83

Score Difference (Before): 37 (39.17)

Score Difference (End): 44 (44.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 47 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:12 ESPN team id 259 (Kickoff at VT 35) Jack Howes kickoff for 63 yds , Chance Black return for 13 yds to the VTech 15 - MD 54, VT 10 -0.35 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85

Started Drive at: VT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.26 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -44 (-43.74)

Score Difference (End): -44 (-44.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 54 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:35 ESPN team id 259 (1st & 10 at VT 15) Marco Lee run for 9 yds to the VTech 24 - MD 54, VT 10 0.25 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76

Started Drive at: VT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.03 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -44 (-43.97)

Score Difference (End): -44 (-43.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 54 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:09 ESPN team id 259 (2nd & 1 at VT 24) Marco Lee run for 3 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST down - MD 54, VT 10 0.10 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73

Started Drive at: VT 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.03 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -44 (-43.97)

Score Difference (End): -44 (-43.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MD 54, VT 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 54 (54) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3