Clemson 20 @ Iowa State 13

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.29 | Odds: CLEM -2, O/U 45.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 8573
Total EPA -7.59-15.42
  Offensive EPA -4.89-10.91
  Special Teams EPA -2.44-2.98
  Penalty EPA 0.91-3.05
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.171.52
Production ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 7360
  Yards 320288
  Yards/Play 4.384.80
  EPA -4.89-10.91
  EPA/Play -0.07-0.18
Passes 34 (47%)40 (67%)
  Yards 187204
  Yards/Play 5.505.10
  EPA -1.96-6.76
  EPA/Play -0.06-0.17
Rushes 39 (53%)20 (33%)
  Yards 13271
  Yards/Play 3.383.55
  EPA -2.94-4.16
  EPA/Play -0.08-0.21
Rushing ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 7360
Rushes 39 (53%)20 (33%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 5 (13%)2 (10%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 5 (100%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 9 (23%)5 (25%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 23 (59%)7 (35%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (36%)9 (45%)
OL Line Yards 61.136.6
  Per Carry 1.571.83
Highlight Yards 29.59
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.111.00
Explosiveness ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 8573
Scrimmage Plays 7360
Explosive Plays 1 (1%)1 (2%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 0 (0%)0 (0%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)1 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -6.78-13.26
  EPA/Play -0.09-0.22
  When Passing -1.96-6.76
    EPA/Play -0.06-0.17
  When Rushing -4.82-6.50
    EPA/Play -0.13-0.34
Situational ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 30 (41%)23 (38%)
  When Passing 18 (53%)16 (40%)
  When Rushing 12 (31%)7 (35%)
  On Standard Downs 23 (43%)18 (46%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (35%)5 (24%)
  On Early Downs 20 (37%)17 (39%)
  On Late Downs 10 (53%)6 (38%)
  During "Middle 8" 8 (50%)3 (27%)
Early Downs 5444
  First Downs Created 8 (15%)7 (16%)
  EPA -6.04-5.88
  EPA/Play -0.11-0.13
  Passes 23 (43%)30 (68%)
  Rushes 31 (57%)14 (32%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (57%)13 (43%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 7 (23%)4 (29%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1611
  EPA 3.60-1.78
  EPA/play 0.23-0.16
  Passes 11 (69%)8 (73%)
  Rushes 5 (31%)3 (27%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (55%)2 (25%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (40%)1 (33%)
Drives ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 24Own 25
Plays/Drive 10.976.83
Yards/Drive 51.3433.37
Available Yards % 68%44%
Defensive ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Scrimmage Plays 6073
Stop Rate 50%45%
Havoc Plays Created 5 (8%)8 (11%)
  Passing 4 (10%)3 (9%)
  Rushing 1 (5%)5 (13%)
TFLs Generated 47
  Passing 32
  Rushing 15
Sacks Generated 1 (3%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 11
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Turnovers 12
  Fumbles 02
  Fumbles Lost 01
  Fumbles Recovered 01
  Interceptions 11
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 1.21.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) 5.0-5.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 228 ESPN team id 66
Total Plays 12 13
Total EPA -2.44 -2.98
  Field Goal EPA -0.2 -0.21
  Punting EPA -2.24 -0.92
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -1.85

Clemson [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 51.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.13 -0.13 0% 0.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei 21/32, 187 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 49.5 xQBR 5.67 -0.06 -1.82 55% 7.0%
Rush attempts
D.J. Uiagalelei 5 carries, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.20 0.16 0.79 60% 5.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 0.01 0.02 50% 5.0%
Phil Mafah 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.28 -0.56 0% 0.0%
Will Shipley 18 carries, 61 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.39 -0.06 -1.10 33% -15.0%
Kobe Pace 12 carries, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.25 -0.17 -2.09 17% -4.0%
Pass targets
Kobe Pace 4 catches (4 targets), 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 0.99 3.95 100% 9.0%
Dacari Collins 6 catches (6 targets), 56 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.33 0.65 3.90 83% 7.0%
Will Swinney 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.87 1.87 100% 8.0%
Davis Allen 2 catches (2 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 0.58 1.15 50% 2.0%
Will Shipley 5 catches (7 targets), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.60 0.05 0.32 57% 2.0%
Joseph Ngata 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.43 -0.43 0% -2.0%
Beaux Collins 3 catches (5 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.67 -0.34 -1.71 40% -1.0%

Iowa State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brock Purdy 23/39, 204 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 34.5 xQBR 5.10 -0.17 -6.76 40% -4.0%
Rush attempts
Brock Purdy 4 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.75 0.33 1.31 50% 4.0%
Deon Silas 2 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.21 -0.41 0% -1.0%
Jirehl Brock 14 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.36 -5.05 36% -11.0%
Pass targets
Charlie Kolar 4 catches (6 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.25 0.41 2.47 50% 6.0%
Xavier Hutchinson 1 catch (1 target), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 34.00 2.19 2.19 100% 6.0%
Sean Shaw Jr. 3 catches (4 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.67 0.44 1.74 75% 5.0%
Darren Wilson Jr. 2 catches (2 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.83 1.66 100% 2.0%
Jared Rus 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 1.24 1.24 100% 4.0%
Jirehl Brock 3 catches (3 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.34 1.03 100% 2.0%
Jaylin Noel 4 catches (7 targets), 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.50 0.06 0.43 43% -1.0%
Deon Silas 1 catch (1 target), -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -4.00 -1.32 -1.32 0% -4.0%
Daniel Jackson 1 catch (1 target), -3 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -1.69 -1.69 0% -1.0%
Chase Allen 3 catches (5 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.62 -3.08 0% -8.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Mario Goodrich return for 18 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.31 12.3% -9.9%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.69 = -6.31

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Jake Hummel return for no gain to the Clem 28 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.08 97.9% -3.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.63 - 2.45 = -6.08

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 25) Andrew Mevis 43 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -3.05 48.2% -7.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 1.86 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:23 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 28) Andrew Mevis 45 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 20, ISU 6 2.54 2.9% 4.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.46 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at ISU 34) Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 32 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -2.47 36.4% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 1.13 = -2.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:51 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 9 at CLEM 27) Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 6 2.34 7.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 18

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 1.99 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at ISU 36) Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 37 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt Brock Purdy - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -2.32 4.2% -2.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 37

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.26 - 0.06 = -2.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 13 2.27 8.2% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:48 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 43) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 34 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 2.19 37.4% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 23

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 2.11 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 10 at ISU 19) B.T. Potter 36 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -2.13 72.4% -7.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 2.13 = -2.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 4:07 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at ISU 34) B.T. Potter 51 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.76 57.4% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.24 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Mario Goodrich return for 18 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.31 12.3% -9.9%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.69 = -6.31

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 31) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for 11 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, ISU 0 1.87 57.3% 7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.42 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 13 2.27 8.2% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 228 (4th & Goal at ISU 6) B.T. Potter 23 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.18 62.9% 7.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.82 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.2%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:25 ESPN team id 66 (4th & Goal at CLEM 5) Andrew Mevis 22 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.30 41.5% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 12) Will Shipley run for 12 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 13, ISU 3 1.88 77.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.12 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 10 at ISU 19) B.T. Potter 36 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -2.13 72.4% -7.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 2.13 = -2.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 25) Andrew Mevis 43 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -3.05 48.2% -7.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 1.86 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:14 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 6 at ISU 29) Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 17 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.80 33.3% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 54

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 0.11 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 228 (4th & Goal at ISU 6) B.T. Potter 23 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.18 62.9% 7.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.82 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.2%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:25 ESPN team id 66 (4th & Goal at CLEM 5) Andrew Mevis 22 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.30 41.5% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:07 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at ISU 34) B.T. Potter 51 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.76 57.4% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.24 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 12) Will Shipley run for 12 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 13, ISU 3 1.88 77.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.12 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Mario Goodrich return for 18 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.31 12.3% -9.9%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.69 = -6.31

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:23 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 28) Andrew Mevis 45 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 20, ISU 6 2.54 2.9% 4.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.46 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 13 2.27 8.2% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 0, ISU 0 0.00 54.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 26 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.56 62.0% -4.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.84 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 57.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:21 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 9 at CLEM 26) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 5 yds to the Clem 31 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.22 60.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.46 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 31) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for 11 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, ISU 0 1.87 57.3% 7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.42 = 1.87

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 42) Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the Clem 46 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.10 62.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.29 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:33 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at CLEM 46) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 19 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, ISU 0 1.60 62.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.20 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:18 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 35) Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the IowSt 31 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.03 64.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.81 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at ISU 31) Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the IowSt 29 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.45 65.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.77 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:58 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at ISU 29) Kobe Pace run for 11 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, ISU 0 1.56 65.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 18

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 3.31 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:31 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 18) Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the IowSt 10 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 0.42 68.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 10

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.88 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:14 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 2 at ISU 10) Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.34 68.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 5.35 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:43 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 1 at ISU 9) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST down - CLEM 0, ISU 0 0.60 67.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 5.00 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:11 ESPN team id 228 (1st & Goal at ISU 7) Will Shipley run for no gain to the IowSt 7 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.67 68.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.59 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:36 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & Goal at ISU 7) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the IowSt 6 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.86 67.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 4.97 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.3%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:59 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & Goal at ISU 6) CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Hunter Rayburn) to the IowSt 11 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.61 65.2% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 11

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 4.11 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:31 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & Goal at ISU 11) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 5 yds to the IowSt 6 - CLEM 0, ISU 0 -0.92 63.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.74 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 0, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.7%

Win Probability (After): 63.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 228 (4th & Goal at ISU 6) B.T. Potter 23 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.18 62.9% 7.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.82 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.2%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:52 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.00 37.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.72 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:41 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.44 37.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.74 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.26)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 7 at ISU 28) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the IowSt 34 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.83 36.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.31 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.69)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at ISU 34) Jirehl Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 32 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -2.47 36.4% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 68

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 1.13 = -2.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:01 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 3 at ISU 32) Andrew Mevis punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 28 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.30 30.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - -1.36 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.36)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.5%

Win Probability (After): 31.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:51 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 9 yds to the Clem 37 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.92 69.5% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 1.67 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:24 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at CLEM 37) Kobe Pace run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 35 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -1.31 70.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.64 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.64)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:48 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at CLEM 35) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 6 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 1.18 68.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 1.36 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.36)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:04 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 41) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 13 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.77 70.6% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 46

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.54 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:46 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 46) Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 42 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.22 71.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.32 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:19 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 6 at ISU 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will Shipley - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.99 70.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 3.08 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.08)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.8%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:13 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at ISU 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -1.98 69.8% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 2.10 = -1.98

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.10)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:07 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 6 at ISU 42) Will Spiers punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 17 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.53 66.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 0.09 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 17) Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 3 yds to the IowSt 20 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.58 35.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.46 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.54)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 7 at ISU 20) Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 6 yds to the IowSt 26 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.27 33.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - -0.03 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.03)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:41 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at ISU 26) Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 1.01 33.8% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 0.29 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.71)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 29) Jirehl Brock run for 14 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 0.84 36.3% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 57

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.28 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.72)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.3%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:48 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 43) Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 34 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 2.19 37.4% 5.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 23

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.31 - 2.11 = 2.19

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:26 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 23) Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Clem 23 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.59 44.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 4.31 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:29 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 23) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the Clem 10 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 0 1.25 46.4% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 3.75 = 1.25

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.4%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:59 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at CLEM 10) IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Tyler Miller) to the Clem 15 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.57 50.1% -1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 15

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 5.01 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.01)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:48 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at CLEM 15) Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the Clem 9 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.02 48.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 4.58 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.58)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:08 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 9) Jirehl Brock run for 4 yds to the Clem 5 - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -0.27 48.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 4.52 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.52)

Score Difference (End): -3 (1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:29 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & Goal at CLEM 5) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen - CLEM 3, ISU 0 -1.50 45.6% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 4.23 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.23)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.6%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:25 ESPN team id 66 (4th & Goal at CLEM 5) Andrew Mevis 22 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.30 41.5% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: ISU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.70 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:25 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.00 59.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:17 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 28 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.43 59.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.21 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 59.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:46 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at CLEM 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux Collins - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -1.01 59.4% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 0.75 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 55.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:40 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will Shipley - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -1.38 55.5% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -0.27 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.5%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:34 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at CLEM 28) Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 38 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.67 51.5% -2.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.22 - -1.55 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:22 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 38) Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 2 yds to the IowSt 40 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.53 51.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 60

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.25 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:58 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 8 at ISU 40) Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the IowSt 45 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.02 49.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.72 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:02 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 3 at ISU 45) Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 3 1.31 47.4% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 1.49 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:48 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 48) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 08:48 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.00 49.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 2.79 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:25 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 48) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 27 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 3 1.75 51.0% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 25

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.27 - 2.51 = 1.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.0%

Win Probability (After): 54.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 8:02 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Clem 25 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.53 54.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 4.19 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.19)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.5%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:42 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 25) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.69 52.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.66 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:39 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 10 at CLEM 25) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -1.08 50.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 2.94 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.7%

Win Probability (After): 48.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 7:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 25) Andrew Mevis 43 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -3.05 48.2% -7.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 1.86 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:27 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.73 59.6% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.22 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.6%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 36) Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 35 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -1.01 61.3% -4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 65

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.11 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.3%

Win Probability (After): 57.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:25 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at CLEM 35) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 3, ISU 3 1.62 59.2% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 52

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.20 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.2%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:52 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 48) Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY IOWAST unnecessary roughness (Eisworth II, Greg) 15 yards to the IOWAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON. - CLEM 3, ISU 3 0.99 62.9% 2.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 37

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 2.68 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.68)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:25 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 37) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the IowSt 35 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.27 64.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.60 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at ISU 35) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 10 yds to the IowSt 25 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 35 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.04 62.4% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.36 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:36 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at ISU 35) Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34 - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -0.46 62.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.32 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:13 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at ISU 34) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete - CLEM 3, ISU 3 -1.48 61.0% -4.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 2.72 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 3, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 56.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:07 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 7 at ISU 34) B.T. Potter 51 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.76 57.4% 10.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.24 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:07 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.00 36.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.82 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:58 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 4 yds to the IowSt 29 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.02 36.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.77 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.23)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:37 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 6 at ISU 29) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.63 35.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.57 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.43)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.5%

Win Probability (After): 33.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:14 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 6 at ISU 29) Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 17 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.80 33.3% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 54

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 0.11 = 1.80

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.89)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 39.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:55 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 46) Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the Clem 49 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.10 39.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 1.93 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.07)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:11 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at CLEM 49) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.45 39.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.86 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.14)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.3%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:07 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 5 at CLEM 49) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr. - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -1.10 36.9% -4.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 1.35 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.65)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:00 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 5 at CLEM 49) Corey Dunn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 12 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.78 32.1% 1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 88

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 0.24 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 12) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 5 yds to the Clem 17 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.18 67.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.40 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.40)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:34 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 5 at CLEM 17) Kobe Pace run for 21 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.21 66.3% 2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 0.26 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.26)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:30 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 3 yds to the Clem 41 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.03 68.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.18 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.18)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.8%

Win Probability (After): 68.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:27 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at CLEM 41) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph Ngata - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.43 68.5% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.11 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.11)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 66.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:19 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 7 at CLEM 41) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 12 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.89 66.5% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 0.80 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.80)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:01 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.11 69.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.48 - 1.58 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.58)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:54 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at ISU 47) Kobe Pace run for no gain to the IowSt 47 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.27 69.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.34 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 47) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 00:35 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.00 68.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 47) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 00:35 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.00 67.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 47) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 16 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.85 69.4% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 0.87 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.87)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.4%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:23 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 31) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 3 yds to the IowSt 28 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.27 74.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 2.41 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.41)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 7 at ISU 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Dacari Collins for 9 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.82 75.4% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 2.49 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.49)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 19) TEAM pass incomplete - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.13 77.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.09 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.09)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 10 at ISU 19) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.14 77.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.55 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.55)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 76.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 19) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.16 75.6% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.27 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.27)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 10 at ISU 19) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 00:05 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.00 72.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.12)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 10 at ISU 19) B.T. Potter 36 yd FG MISSED - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -2.13 72.4% -7.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 80

Started Drive at: CLEM 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 2.13 = -2.13

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.13)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.00 34.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.56)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.7%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:53 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.39 36.9% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.41 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.59)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:25 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 7 at ISU 28) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 8 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.24 35.7% 4.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.19 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.81)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.7%

Win Probability (After): 39.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:33 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 36) Brock, Jirehl rush for 2 yards to the IOWAST38, PENALTY IOWAST holding (Downing, Trevor) 10 yards to the IOWAST26, NO PLAY. - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -1.15 38.9% -4.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 74

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.63 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:08 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 20 at ISU 26) Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the IowSt 31 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.39 34.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 69

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.47 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.3%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 15 at ISU 31) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -1.01 33.5% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.91 - 0.10 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.90)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:41 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 15 at ISU 31) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.91 31.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -0.86 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.86)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 15 at ISU 31) Andrew Mevis punt for 46 yds , Will Brown returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 21 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.44 29.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 79

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -1.76 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.76)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:25 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 21) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 23 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.60 68.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 1.30 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.30)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 66.8%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at CLEM 23) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 25 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.66 66.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.79 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.79)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:44 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 6 at CLEM 25) IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaiah Lee) to the Clem 30 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.39 64.6% 3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 0.05 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.05)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:14 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 1 at CLEM 30) Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.64 68.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 1.35 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.35)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:49 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 32) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 6 yds to the Clem 38 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.21 70.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.07 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:21 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 4 at CLEM 38) Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 38 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -1.01 72.9% -3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 2.40 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.40)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:41 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 4 at CLEM 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 11 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.59 69.1% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 51

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.47 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:16 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 49) Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the IowSt 42 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.85 72.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 42

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.95 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.95)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 72.6%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:43 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at ISU 42) Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.03 72.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 38

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.74 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.74)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 73.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:21 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 38) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 41 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -1.19 73.4% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 41

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.70 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.70)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:31 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 13 at ISU 41) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 10 yds to the IowSt 31 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.92 71.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 2.46 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.46)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:51 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at ISU 31) Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the IowSt 29 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.51 71.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 3.37 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.37)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:20 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 1 at ISU 29) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 1.39 70.7% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 2.94 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.94)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 28) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 9 yds to the IowSt 19 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.72 74.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 4.33 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.33)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:31 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 1 at ISU 19) Will Shipley run for no gain to the IowSt 19 - CLEM 6, ISU 3 -0.57 76.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.07 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:00 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 1 at ISU 19) D.J. Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST down - CLEM 6, ISU 3 0.58 75.8% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 12

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.51 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.51)

Score Difference (End): 3 (8.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 6, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.1%

Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 12) Will Shipley run for 12 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 13, ISU 3 1.88 77.6% 7.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: CLEM 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.12 = 1.88

Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.7%

Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 62 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 17 yds to the IOWAST 48 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the IowSt 10 - CLEM 13, ISU 3 -1.85 15.7% -2.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - 0.00 = -1.85

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-18.02)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:54 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 10) IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 5 - CLEM 13, ISU 3 -0.77 14.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 95

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.53 - -0.76 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.76)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:47 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 15 at ISU 5) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 04:47 - CLEM 13, ISU 3 0.00 13.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.53 - -1.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.53)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:21 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 15 at ISU 5) Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 10 yds to the IowSt 15 - CLEM 13, ISU 3 0.85 11.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 85

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -1.54 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.54)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 13, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 15) Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Mario Goodrich return for 18 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.31 12.3% -9.9%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.69 = -6.31

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 66 (Kickoff at ISU 35) B.T. Potter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 20, ISU 3 0.00 3.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - -0.51 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.51)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:53 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 25) Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 0.08 3.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - -0.51 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.51)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:19 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at ISU 30) IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 25 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -0.64 3.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.46 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.46)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-18.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:14 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at ISU 25) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -0.87 3.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.13 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.13)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 10 at ISU 25) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the IowSt 29 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -0.80 2.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.78 - -1.97 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-18.97)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-19.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 6 at ISU 29) Andrew Mevis punt for 37 yds , Will Brown returns for 1 yd to the Clem 35 CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the Clem 20 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 0.35 2.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 80

Started Drive at: ISU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.43 - -2.76 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-19.78)

Score Difference (End): 17 (19.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 20) D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Jake Hummel return for no gain to the Clem 28 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -6.08 97.9% -3.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.63 - 2.45 = -6.08

Score Difference (Before): 17 (19.45)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:22 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 28) Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -0.69 5.7% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.66 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.34)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:14 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at CLEM 28) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -0.99 5.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.97 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.03)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:54 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 10 at CLEM 28) Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the Clem 28 - CLEM 20, ISU 3 -1.56 3.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.99 = -1.56

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.01)

Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.9%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:23 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 10 at CLEM 28) Andrew Mevis 45 yd FG GOOD - CLEM 20, ISU 6 2.54 2.9% 4.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28

Started Drive at: CLEM 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.46 = 2.54

Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:23 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 20, ISU 6 0.00 95.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.57 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:17 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the Clem 27 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -0.47 95.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.57 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:41 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 8 at CLEM 27) Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the Clem 32 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -0.08 95.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.09 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.09)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:05 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 3 at CLEM 32) D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -1.79 95.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.99 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.99)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 95.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 3 at CLEM 32) Will Spiers punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 37 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -0.83 95.1% -1.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - 0.22 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 37) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 6 1.26 6.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 0.61 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:01 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 48) Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the Clem 43 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 0.20 7.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 1.81 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.19)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 5 at CLEM 43) CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Clem 28 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 6 1.61 7.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 28

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 1.94 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.06)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:01 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 28) Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 3 yards Daniel Jackson fumbled, recovered by IowSt - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -1.69 8.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 31

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 3.58 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 13 at CLEM 31) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 4 yds to the Clem 27 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 0.08 7.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 27

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.88 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.12)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:51 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 9 at CLEM 27) Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 6 2.34 7.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 18

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 1.99 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:09 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at CLEM 18) Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 10 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 6 0.81 8.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 8

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 4.33 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:07 ESPN team id 66 (1st & Goal at CLEM 8) Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Clem 6 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 -0.39 9.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 5.13 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.87)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:47 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 09:47 - CLEM 20, ISU 6 0.00 9.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 4.74 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.26)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & Goal at CLEM 6) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Mevis KICK) - CLEM 20, ISU 13 2.27 8.2% 7.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:42 ESPN team id 228 (Kickoff at CLEM 35) Andrew Mevis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.00 87.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.97 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 9:27 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 25) Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the Clem 49 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 13 1.24 87.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 51

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 1.98 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:45 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at CLEM 49) Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the IowSt 43 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.87 89.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.79 - 2.91 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.91)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:45 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 2 at ISU 43) CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Clem 42 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -2.03 90.7% -3.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 58

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 3.53 = -2.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:20 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 17 at CLEM 42) D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 9 yds to the IowSt 49 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.19 87.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.48 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.4%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 7:35 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 8 at ISU 49) Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the IowSt 46 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -1.37 87.7% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.69 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:55 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 5 at ISU 46) Will Spiers punt for 43 yds, downed at the IowSt 3 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.29 86.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 97

Started Drive at: CLEM 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.54 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.54)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.83)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:46 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 3) Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the IowSt 3 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.65 11.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 97

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - -0.69 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:13 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at ISU 3) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 9 yds to the IowSt 12 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.66 10.2% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 88

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -1.25 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.25)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 11.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:54 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 1 at ISU 12) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 13 1.00 11.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 80

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - -0.62 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:06 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 20) Brock Purdy pass complete to Deon Silas for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 16 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -1.32 14.9% -4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 84

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 0.54 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 10.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 14 at ISU 16) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.65 11.3% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 84

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.58 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 14 at ISU 16) Brock Purdy sacked by K.J. Henry for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 11 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -1.20 9.7% -2.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 89

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.40 - -1.20 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 19 at ISU 11) Andrew Mevis punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the IowSt 42 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.63 7.9% -1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 42

Started Drive at: ISU 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -2.37 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 42) Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 43 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.83 94.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 43

Started Drive at: ISU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.82 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.82)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:19 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at ISU 43) Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.16 95.6% -4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42

Started Drive at: ISU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.89 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:43 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 42) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 02:43 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.00 96.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: ISU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.73 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:10 ESPN team id 228 (3rd & 10 at ISU 42) D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike and Isaiah Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 46 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -1.42 96.0% -4.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 46

Started Drive at: ISU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 1.35 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:52 ESPN team id 228 (4th & 14 at ISU 46) Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 11 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.51 95.1% -5.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 89

Started Drive at: ISU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 0.14 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.63)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:41 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 11) Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 8 yds to the IowSt 19 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.30 8.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 81

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.18 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:19 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 2 at ISU 19) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.41 8.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 81

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.35 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:11 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 2 at ISU 19) Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST down - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.78 6.3% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.04 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:00 ESPN team id 66 (1st & 10 at ISU 28) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.09 5.7% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.68 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:52 ESPN team id 66 (2nd & 10 at ISU 28) Brock Purdy pass incomplete - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.21 5.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.43 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 66 (3rd & 10 at ISU 28) Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 8 yds to the IowSt 36 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.33 4.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.16 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:39 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at ISU 36) Timeout IOWA ST, clock 00:39 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.00 4.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.17)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:33 ESPN team id 66 (4th & 2 at ISU 36) Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 37 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt Brock Purdy - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -2.32 4.2% -2.7%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 37

Started Drive at: ISU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.26 - 0.06 = -2.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.2%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:18 ESPN team id 228 (1st & 10 at ISU 37) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 38 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 -0.20 97.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 38

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.75 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:18 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at ISU 38) Timeout CLEMSON, clock 00:18 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.00 97.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 228 (2nd & 11 at ISU 38) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 40 - CLEM 20, ISU 13 0.22 96.1% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 40

Started Drive at: ISU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.62 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: CLEM 20, ISU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1