Oregon 32 @ Oklahoma 47

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.54 | Odds: OU -7, O/U 64.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Total Plays 8680
Total EPA 15.1527.24
  Offensive EPA 22.7126.29
  Special Teams EPA -7.103.80
  Penalty EPA -0.46-2.69
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.00-0.16
Production ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Scrimmage Plays 7370
  Yards 509559
  Yards/Play 6.977.99
  EPA 22.7126.29
  EPA/Play 0.310.38
Passes 43 (59%)27 (39%)
  Yards 306242
  Yards/Play 7.128.96
  EPA 11.2019.73
  EPA/Play 0.260.73
Rushes 30 (41%)43 (61%)
  Yards 207322
  Yards/Play 6.907.49
  EPA 11.516.56
  EPA/Play 0.380.15
Rushing ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Scrimmage Plays 7370
Rushes 30 (41%)43 (61%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)2 (5%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)2 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 4 (13%)6 (14%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 9 (30%)11 (26%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 16 (53%)27 (63%)
OL Line Yards 53.487.6
  Per Carry 1.782.04
Highlight Yards 85.5138
  Per Rush Opportunity 5.345.11
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Total Plays 8680
Scrimmage Plays 7370
Explosive Plays 8 (11%)6 (9%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 5 (12%)3 (11%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (10%)3 (7%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -10.706.19
  EPA/Play -0.160.10
  When Passing -13.338.67
    EPA/Play -0.310.32
  When Rushing 2.63-2.48
    EPA/Play 0.10-0.06
Situational ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 31 (42%)38 (54%)
  When Passing 18 (42%)14 (52%)
  When Rushing 13 (43%)24 (56%)
  On Standard Downs 20 (41%)30 (60%)
  On Passing Downs 11 (46%)8 (40%)
  On Early Downs 22 (39%)29 (52%)
  On Late Downs 9 (56%)9 (64%)
  During "Middle 8" 12 (60%)6 (67%)
Early Downs 5756
  First Downs Created 14 (25%)16 (29%)
  EPA 9.1014.53
  EPA/Play 0.160.26
  Passes 32 (56%)18 (32%)
  Rushes 25 (44%)38 (68%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (41%)7 (39%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 9 (36%)22 (58%)
"Middle 8" Plays 209
  EPA 9.2011.71
  EPA/play 0.461.30
  Passes 10 (50%)3 (33%)
  Rushes 10 (50%)6 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 7 (70%)1 (33%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 5 (50%)5 (83%)
Drives ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 24Own 32
Plays/Drive 8.447.70
Yards/Drive 54.1153.07
Available Yards % 71%78%
Defensive ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Scrimmage Plays 7073
Stop Rate 9%30%
Havoc Plays Created 6 (9%)7 (10%)
  Passing 0 (0%)5 (12%)
  Rushing 6 (14%)2 (7%)
TFLs Generated 66
  Passing 04
  Rushing 62
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)3 (7%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 01
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Turnovers 20
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 01
  Interceptions 10
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 1.21.0
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -8.98.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 2483 ESPN team id 201
Total Plays 13 10
Total EPA -7.1 3.8
  Field Goal EPA 0.25 1.17
  Punting EPA -1.47 1.51
  Kickoff Return EPA -5.87 1.12

Oregon [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Anthony Brown 27/40, 306 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 54.2 xQBR 7.12 0.26 11.20 42% -18.0%
Rush attempts
Travis Dye 18 carries, 153 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.65 11.61 44% 17.0%
Anthony Brown 6 carries, 37 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 6.17 0.12 0.75 50% -2.0%
Byron Cardwell 6 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.83 -0.14 -0.86 33% 0.0%
Pass targets
Troy Franklin 4 catches (7 targets), 65 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.25 0.84 5.90 57% 2.0%
Dont'e Thornton 4 catches (5 targets), 90 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.50 1.11 5.56 60% 2.0%
Kris Hutson 6 catches (7 targets), 55 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.17 0.70 4.87 43% -3.0%
Isaah Crocker 3 catches (5 targets), 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.33 0.73 3.65 60% -3.0%
Spencer Webb 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 1.03 2.07 50% 3.0%
Terrance Ferguson 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 2.03 2.03 100% 0.0%
Isaiah Brevard 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.43 0.43 100% 1.0%
Travis Dye 5 catches (6 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.60 -0.06 -0.34 33% -1.0%
Byron Cardwell 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.73 -0.73 0% 0.0%
Seven McGee 1 catch (3 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.86 -2.57 0% -1.0%

Oklahoma [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Caleb Williams 21/27, 242 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 79.3 xQBR 8.96 0.73 19.73 52% 12.0%
Rush attempts
Kennedy Brooks 14 carries, 142 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.14 0.64 8.90 64% 13.0%
Mario Williams 1 carry, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.73 0.73 100% 0.0%
Jeremiah Hall 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 0.58 0.58 100% 1.0%
Eric Gray 8 carries, 82 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.25 0.01 0.08 50% -2.0%
Marcus Major 10 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.40 -0.02 -0.23 60% 0.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -0.29 -0.59 50% 1.0%
Caleb Williams 7 carries, 34 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 4.86 -0.42 -2.92 29% -4.0%
Pass targets
Jeremiah Hall 2 catches (2 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 2.62 5.24 100% 5.0%
Marvin Mims 2 catches (2 targets), 57 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 28.50 2.23 4.45 50% 6.0%
Jalil Farooq 3 catches (3 targets), 64 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.33 1.27 3.82 100% 0.0%
Drake Stoops 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 2.99 2.99 100% 5.0%
Mario Williams 2 catches (3 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.50 0.85 2.55 67% 1.0%
Kennedy Brooks 3 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.68 2.03 67% 1.0%
Michael Woods II 3 catches (4 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.33 0.21 0.85 25% 0.0%
Eric Gray 5 catches (6 targets), 25 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.04 0.25 33% -3.0%
Brayden Willis 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.10 -1.10 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 66 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 18, OU 37 7.49 0.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.49 = 7.49

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.49)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 11 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:56 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 5 at OU 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 25, OU 44 7.37 0.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.37 = 7.37

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.37)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 18 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at OU 49) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Justin Broiles return for 12 yds to the Okla 46 - ORE 0, OU 0 -4.99 38.9% -12.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - 2.40 = -4.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 45) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 23 4.98 91.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.02 = 4.98

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 29) Kennedy Brooks run for 29 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 30 4.45 98.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.55)

Score Difference (End): 27 (27.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 6:46 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 30) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 30 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 32, OU 47 3.80 0.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.80)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 25 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 11) Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion) - ORE 11, OU 30 3.66 0.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.34 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-22.66)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 10 at OU 26) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 15 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 3.24 0.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 11

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 1.11 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-25.89)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-22.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 2 at ORE 46) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 9 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 3.08 69.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 0.59 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:29 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & Goal at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 16 2.99 87.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 12:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at OU 49) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Justin Broiles return for 12 yds to the Okla 46 - ORE 0, OU 0 -4.99 38.9% -12.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - 2.40 = -4.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 15 at ORE 23) Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOOD - ORE 3, OU 9 0.89 78.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.11 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 45) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 23 4.98 91.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.02 = 4.98

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 13:33 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 6 at OU 29) Michael Turk punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 19 - ORE 0, OU 0 0.80 62.4% 5.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 81

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -1.55 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:56 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 2 at OU 25) Travis Dye run for 21 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 6 2.41 27.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.02 - 3.60 = 2.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 12:19 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 9 at ORE 23) Tom Snee punt for 49 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 24 yds to the Oregn 48 - ORE 3, OU 9 -0.99 18.4% -5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 48

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -2.01 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-8.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 2 at ORE 46) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 9 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 3.08 69.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 0.59 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:10 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 48) Kennedy Brooks run for 40 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 9 2.34 84.6% 4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 8

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 3.01 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:29 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & Goal at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 16 2.99 87.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 13:10 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at ORE 25) Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 1.76 33.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 0.95 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 7:56 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 16) Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic PAT MISSED) - ORE 0, OU 6 0.98 77.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.02 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.02)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 1:57 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & Goal at OU 6) Camden Lewis 24 yd FG GOOD - ORE 3, OU 6 0.25 27.2% 3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.75 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 15 at ORE 23) Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOOD - ORE 3, OU 9 0.89 78.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.11 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:29 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & Goal at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 16 2.99 87.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 45) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 23 4.98 91.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.02 = 4.98

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 29) Kennedy Brooks run for 29 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 30 4.45 98.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.55)

Score Difference (End): 27 (27.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 11) Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion) - ORE 11, OU 30 3.66 0.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.34 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-22.66)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:38 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 4 at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 11, OU 37 2.14 99.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.86)

Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 66 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 18, OU 37 7.49 0.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.49 = 7.49

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.49)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 11 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at ORE 8) Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 18, OU 44 1.16 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.84 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.84)

Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:56 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 5 at OU 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 25, OU 44 7.37 0.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.37 = 7.37

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.37)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 18 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:56 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 5 at ORE 12) Gabe Brkic 29 yd FG GOOD - ORE 25, OU 47 0.27 99.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.73)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:46 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 30) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 30 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 32, OU 47 3.80 0.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.80)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 25 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Will Hutchinson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 0, OU 0 0.00 69.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.3%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:54 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Caleb Williams pass incomplete - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.72 69.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.94 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:50 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at OU 25) Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 27 - ORE 0, OU 0 -1.04 69.1% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.39 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 8 at OU 27) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Okla 29 - ORE 0, OU 0 -1.13 65.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 71

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -0.56 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 65.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:33 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 6 at OU 29) Michael Turk punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 19 - ORE 0, OU 0 0.80 62.4% 5.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 81

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -1.55 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:30 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 19) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 25 - ORE 0, OU 0 0.21 33.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.74 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 34.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:10 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 4 at ORE 25) Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 1.76 33.9% 4.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 0.95 = 1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.9%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 48) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 3 yds to the Okla 49 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.31 40.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.70 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 37.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:27 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at OU 49) Anthony Brown pass intercepted Justin Broiles return for 12 yds to the Okla 46 - ORE 0, OU 0 -4.99 38.9% -12.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - 2.40 = -4.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:25 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 46) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Okla 48 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.56 72.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.58 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.9%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:01 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at OU 48) OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 43 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.76 72.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.04 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 13 at OU 43) Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 4 yds to the Okla 47 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.24 69.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 53

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.28 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:05 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 9 at OU 47) Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 46 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.47 68.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 46

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.93 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:31 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 2 at ORE 46) Timeout OREGON, clock 10:31 - ORE 0, OU 0 0.00 67.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:30 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 2 at ORE 46) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 9 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 3.08 69.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 0.59 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:07 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.19 74.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.65 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:35 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 7 at ORE 34) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33 - ORE 0, OU 0 -0.59 70.3% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 33

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 3.48 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 72.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:55 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 6 at ORE 33) Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 7 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 1.58 69.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 26

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 2.82 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 26) Kennedy Brooks run for 10 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 0 0.66 71.5% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 16

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 4.37 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:56 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 16) Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic PAT MISSED) - ORE 0, OU 6 0.98 77.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.02 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.02)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:56 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 62 yds , Kris Hutson return for 25 yds to the Oregn 28 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.90 23.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - 0.70 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.30)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:44 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 28) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.80 23.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 1.05 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.95)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:35 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 28) Travis Dye run for 12 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 6 1.66 22.0% 3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 0.24 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:20 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 40) Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.36 25.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.91 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.09)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at ORE 43) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 6 1.38 24.1% 3.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.55 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.45)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:40 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 46) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Okla 42 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.21 26.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 2.95 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.05)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:20 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at OU 42) Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Okla 39 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.18 26.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.74 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.26)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.6%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:50 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 3 at OU 39) Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 6 1.32 26.1% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 2.55 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.45)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 33) Byron Cardwell run for 8 yds to the Okla 25 - ORE 0, OU 6 0.43 28.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 3.87 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.13)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 2 at OU 25) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Isaah Crocker - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.71 28.8% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.31 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:56 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 2 at OU 25) Travis Dye run for 21 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST down - ORE 0, OU 6 2.41 27.1% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.02 - 3.60 = 2.41

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): -6 (0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 32.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at OU 4) OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 9 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.73 34.1% -3.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 9

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 6.03 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -6 (0.03)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.1%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:03 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at OU 9) Timeout OREGON, clock 04:03 - ORE 0, OU 6 0.00 32.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 5.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & Goal at OU 9) Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 10 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.79 30.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 10

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.29 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.71)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 3:35 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & Goal at OU 10) Anthony Brown sacked by Marcus Stripling and Ethan Downs for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 16 - ORE 0, OU 6 -1.38 29.9% -3.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 16

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 4.50 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.50)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & Goal at OU 16) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 10 yds to the Okla 6 - ORE 0, OU 6 -0.66 28.3% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 6

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.41 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.59)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 0, OU 6

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 1:57 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & Goal at OU 6) Camden Lewis 24 yd FG GOOD - ORE 3, OU 6 0.25 27.2% 3.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: ORE 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.75 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:57 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Will Hutchinson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 3, OU 6 0.00 75.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.46)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 1:50 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 28 - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.45 74.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.46 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.46)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 1:30 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 7 at OU 28) Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 4 yds to the Okla 32 - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.04 74.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 68

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.06 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 0:50 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 3 at OU 32) Williams, Caleb pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON offside 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. - ORE 3, OU 6 1.29 72.8% 2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 63

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 1.06 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 0:38 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 37) Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 42 - ORE 3, OU 6 0.04 75.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.34 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 0:12 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 5 at OU 42) Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 46 - ORE 3, OU 6 0.02 75.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.36 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 15:00 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 1 at OU 46) Jeremiah Hall run for 3 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 6 0.58 76.2% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 2.34 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:30 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 49) Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 18 yds to the OKLAHOMA 33 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 6 1.93 79.5% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 18

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.96 = 1.93

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.93)

Score Difference (End): 3 (7.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:10 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 18) Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 14 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 24 - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.90 82.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 24

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 4.82 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.85)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.4%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:05 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 16 at ORE 24) Caleb Williams pass incomplete - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.64 81.4% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.94 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.94)

Score Difference (End): 3 (6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 13:55 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 16 at ORE 24) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 1 yd to the Oregn 23 - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.61 80.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 3.30 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.30)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 13:19 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 15 at ORE 23) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Eric Gray - ORE 3, OU 6 -0.62 79.6% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.71 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.71)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 6

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 78.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 15 at ORE 23) Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOOD - ORE 3, OU 9 0.89 78.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.11 = 0.89

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 85.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Hutson return for 22 yds to the Oregn 22 - ORE 3, OU 9 -1.21 22.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 0.91 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.09)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 21.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:55 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 22) Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 23 - ORE 3, OU 9 -0.60 21.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.77 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.23)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:44 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGee - ORE 3, OU 9 -0.98 20.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - 0.17 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.83)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:36 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 9 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Isaah Crocker - ORE 3, OU 9 -1.36 20.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - -0.70 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.70)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-8.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 18.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:19 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 9 at ORE 23) Tom Snee punt for 49 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 24 yds to the Oregn 48 - ORE 3, OU 9 -0.99 18.4% -5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 48

Started Drive at: ORE 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.00 - -2.01 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-8.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:10 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 48) Kennedy Brooks run for 40 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 9 2.34 84.6% 4.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 8

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 3.01 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.01)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 11:50 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at ORE 8) Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Oregn 4 - ORE 3, OU 9 0.12 87.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 5.35 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.35)

Score Difference (End): 6 (11.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 11:10 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & Goal at ORE 4) Caleb Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 6 - ORE 3, OU 9 -1.40 88.9% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 5.43 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.43)

Score Difference (End): 6 (10.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:29 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & Goal at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 16 2.99 87.3% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.01 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.01)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 9 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:29 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 62 yds , Kris Hutson return for 28 yds to the Oregn 31 - ORE 3, OU 16 -0.32 7.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.57 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:22 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 31) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the Oregn 40 - ORE 3, OU 16 0.81 8.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 1.33 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.67)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.2%

Win Probability (After): 10.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 1 at ORE 40) Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 16 -0.04 10.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.22 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.78)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:30 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 43) Anthony Brown sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 38 - ORE 3, OU 16 -1.40 10.5% -2.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 2.08 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.92)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 15 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaiah Brevard for 6 yds to the Oregn 44 - ORE 3, OU 16 0.43 7.6% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 0.50 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.50)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:30 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 9 at ORE 44) Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - ORE 3, OU 16 -0.77 7.7% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.80 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.20)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:00 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 3 at 50) Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 6 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 16 2.64 7.7% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 0.24 = 2.64

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:44 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 44) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 3, OU 16 -0.49 10.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.86 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.14)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at OU 44) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 47 - ORE 3, OU 16 -1.76 9.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 47

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 2.40 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.60)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:00 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 13 at OU 47) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Okla 41 - ORE 3, OU 16 -0.55 7.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 41

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.86 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.14)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:20 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 7 at OU 41) Tom Snee punt for 30 yds, downed at the Okla 11 - ORE 3, OU 16 -1.27 7.3% 1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 89

Started Drive at: ORE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.78 = -1.27

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.22)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:15 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 11) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 11 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 16 0.71 90.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 78

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 0.34 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.34)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 22) Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the Okla 31 - ORE 3, OU 16 0.78 91.4% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 69

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 0.94 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.94)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:40 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 1 at OU 31) Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Okla 34 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 24 - ORE 3, OU 16 -1.29 91.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 76

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 1.30 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.72)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:11 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at OU 24) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brayden Willis - ORE 3, OU 16 -1.10 91.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.54 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.54)

Score Difference (End): 13 (12.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 8 at OU 24) Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 10 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 16 1.84 90.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - -0.18 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 13 (12.82)

Score Difference (End): 13 (14.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:40 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 34) Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 16 0.61 91.1% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 55

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 1.61 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.61)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 16

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.1%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 45) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 23 4.98 91.7% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.02 = 4.98

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02)

Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 89 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 3, OU 23 0.00 2.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.45 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.55)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:55 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 15 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 23 1.04 2.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.50 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.50)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-18.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:40 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 40) Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 44 - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.18 2.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.57 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-18.43)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-18.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:25 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at ORE 44) Anthony Brown run for 14 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 23 1.43 3.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 42

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.22 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-18.78)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:02 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 42) Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Okla 40 - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.17 3.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.34 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.66)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-17.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:35 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at OU 40) Anthony Brown pass incomplete - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.53 3.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.10 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-17.90)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-18.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:35 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 8 at OU 40) OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45 - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.75 3.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 45

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.51 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-18.49)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:30 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 13 at OU 45) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the Okla 34 - ORE 3, OU 23 0.79 3.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 34

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 0.77 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.23)

Score Difference (End): -20 (-18.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:53 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 2 at OU 34) Anthony Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36 - ORE 3, OU 23 -2.99 3.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 64

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - 1.42 = -2.99

Score Difference (Before): -20 (-18.58)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:40 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 36) Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Okla 45 - ORE 3, OU 23 0.17 98.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 1.30 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.30)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:20 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 1 at OU 45) Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 45 - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.22 98.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.26 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.26)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:19 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 1 at OU 45) Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 01:19 - ORE 3, OU 23 0.00 98.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.03)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:15 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 1 at OU 45) Caleb Williams run for 10 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 23 0.58 98.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 45

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.96 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): 20 (20.96)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:07 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 45) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario Williams - ORE 3, OU 23 -0.16 98.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.54 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.54)

Score Difference (End): 20 (21.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:05 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at ORE 45) Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 23 1.34 98.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 29

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 1.28 = 1.34

Score Difference (Before): 20 (21.28)

Score Difference (End): 20 (22.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 29) Kennedy Brooks run for 29 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 3, OU 30 4.45 98.8% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.55 = 4.45

Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.55)

Score Difference (End): 27 (27.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 23 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Hutson return for 23 yds to the Oregn 23 - ORE 3, OU 30 -0.12 0.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.22 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.78)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 5 yds to the Oregn 28 - ORE 3, OU 30 0.11 0.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.12 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.88)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 5 at ORE 28) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 5 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 0.12 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.10 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.90)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 33) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 - ORE 3, OU 30 0.22 0.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.07 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.93)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:03 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 5 at ORE 38) Timeout OREGON, clock 00:03 - ORE 3, OU 30 0.00 0.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.71)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: -1

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 5 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 14 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 -0.15 0.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48

Started Drive at: ORE 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 0.15 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-26.85)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-26.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: -1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 64 yds , Kris Hutson return for 18 yds to the Oregn 19 - ORE 3, OU 30 -1.11 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.17 - -2.06 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-29.06)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-30.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:50 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 19) Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 0.39 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 71

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.61 - -2.00 = 0.39

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-29.00)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-28.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:30 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 29) Travis Dye run for 33 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 2.81 0.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 38

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - -1.28 = 2.81

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-28.28)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-25.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 1.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 38) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds to the Okla 31 - ORE 3, OU 30 0.76 0.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 31

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 1.70 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-25.30)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-24.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:40 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 3 at OU 31) Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Okla 30 - ORE 3, OU 30 -0.69 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.44 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-24.56)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-25.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:05 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 2 at OU 30) Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 1.16 0.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 1.61 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-25.39)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-24.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:37 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 26) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGee - ORE 3, OU 30 -0.82 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.82 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-24.18)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at OU 26) Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Okla 26 - ORE 3, OU 30 -1.00 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 2.05 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-24.95)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-25.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:00 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 10 at OU 26) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 15 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST down - ORE 3, OU 30 3.24 0.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 11

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.35 - 1.11 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-25.89)

Score Difference (End): -27 (-22.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 3, OU 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 11) Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion) - ORE 11, OU 30 3.66 0.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 4.34 = 3.66

Score Difference (Before): -27 (-22.66)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.6%

Away Score: 3 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Will Hutchinson kickoff for 65 yds , Eric Gray return for 24 yds to the Okla 24 - ORE 11, OU 30 -1.06 98.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.70 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.70)

Score Difference (End): 19 (20.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.7%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:25 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 24) Mario Williams run for 11 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST down - ORE 11, OU 30 0.73 98.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 65

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.56 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.56)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 35) Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 5 yds to the Okla 40 - ORE 11, OU 30 -0.17 99.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 3.30 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.30)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:35 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 5 at OU 40) Eric Gray run for 48 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST down - ORE 11, OU 30 2.24 99.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 12

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 3.30 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.30)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.1%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:58 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 12) Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 13 - ORE 11, OU 30 -0.86 99.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 13

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 5.55 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.55)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:20 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 11 at ORE 13) Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 6 - ORE 11, OU 30 0.12 99.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 6

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.70 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.70)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 30

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:38 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 4 at ORE 6) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 11, OU 37 2.14 99.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.86)

Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 30 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:38 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 62 yds , Kris Hutson return for 17 yds to the Oregn 20 - ORE 11, OU 37 -1.17 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -0.73 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.73)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 20) Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 23 - ORE 11, OU 37 -0.42 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - -0.90 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.90)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 7 at ORE 23) Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 10 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down - ORE 11, OU 37 1.44 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 67

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - -1.33 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-27.33)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 33) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 34 - ORE 11, OU 37 -0.56 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.10 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.90)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 11, OU 37

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 11 (11) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 66 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 18, OU 37 7.49 0.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.49 = 7.49

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.49)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.4%

Away Score: 11 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Will Hutchinson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 18, OU 37 0.00 99.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 2.72 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.72)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 25) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 30 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 37 1.47 99.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 45

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 2.68 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.68)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:35 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 45) Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 44 - ORE 18, OU 37 -0.53 99.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 4.10 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.10)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.0%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 9 at ORE 44) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 23 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 37 1.64 99.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 21

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 3.57 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.57)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 21) Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 13 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 37 0.69 99.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.84 - 5.15 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.15)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 37

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (37)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 201 (1st & Goal at ORE 8) Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) - ORE 18, OU 44 1.16 99.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: OU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.84 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.84)

Score Difference (End): 26 (26.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 37 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:55 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Gabe Brkic kickoff for 59 yds , Kris Hutson return for 18 yds to the Oregn 24 - ORE 18, OU 44 -1.05 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -0.71 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.71)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:42 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 24) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer Webb - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.57 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.30 - -0.73 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.73)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-27.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 24) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 44 1.62 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 63

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - -1.30 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-27.30)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:15 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 37) Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 38 - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.56 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - 0.32 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.68)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 9 at ORE 38) Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 44 1.40 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - -0.22 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.22)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:18 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 48) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.59 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.15 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.85)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:00 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 48) Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Okla 47 - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.09 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.55 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.45)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-25.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:35 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at OU 47) Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 8 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST down - ORE 18, OU 44 2.03 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 0.46 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-25.54)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-23.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 39) Anthony Brown pass complete to Byron Cardwell for 2 yds to the Okla 37 - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.73 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.52 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-23.48)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:25 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at OU 37) Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Okla 34 - ORE 18, OU 44 -0.16 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.79 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.21)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-24.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:03 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 5 at OU 34) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton - ORE 18, OU 44 -2.01 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.61 = -2.01

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-24.39)

Score Difference (End): -26 (-26.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 18, OU 44

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 18 (18) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:56 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 5 at OU 34) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 25, OU 44 7.37 0.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.37 = 7.37

Score Difference (Before): -26 (-26.37)

Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 18 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:56 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Will Hutchinson kickoff for 64 yds - ORE 25, OU 44 0.56 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 2.74 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.74)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:50 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 35) Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 41 - ORE 25, OU 44 0.03 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 59

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.30 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.30)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:30 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at OU 41) Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 15 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 44 0.79 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 44

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.33 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.33)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 44) Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Oregn 39 - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.08 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.01 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.01)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:25 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 5 at ORE 39) Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 44 0.63 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 3.99 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.99)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:45 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 30) Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28 - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.39 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 28

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.23 - 4.62 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.62)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:15 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at ORE 28) Major, Marcus rush for 8 yards to the OREGON20, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OREGON38, NO PLAY. - ORE 25, OU 44 -1.11 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 38

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 4.19 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.19)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:45 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 18 at ORE 38) Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 31 - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.27 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 31

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 3.00 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.00)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:04 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 11 at ORE 31) OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 36 - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.55 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 36

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.68 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.68)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:35 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 16 at ORE 36) Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 14 yds to the Oregn 22 - ORE 25, OU 44 1.03 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 22

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 2.13 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.13)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 2 at ORE 22) Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 5 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 44 2.16 99.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 3.13 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.13)

Score Difference (End): 19 (24.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:25 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 17) Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 2 yds to the Oregn 15 - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.53 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 15

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 5.25 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 19 (24.25)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:47 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at ORE 15) Timeout OREGON, clock 09:47 - ORE 25, OU 44 0.00 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 4.72 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.72)

Score Difference (End): 19 (23.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:43 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 8 at ORE 15) Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Woods II - ORE 25, OU 44 -0.78 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.70 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 19 (23.70)

Score Difference (End): 19 (22.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 9:35 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 8 at ORE 15) Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Oregn 12 - ORE 25, OU 44 -1.18 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 12

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.96 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 19 (22.96)

Score Difference (End): 19 (21.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 44

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (44)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:56 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 5 at ORE 12) Gabe Brkic 29 yd FG GOOD - ORE 25, OU 47 0.27 99.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: OU 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 19 (21.73)

Score Difference (End): 22 (22.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 44 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:56 ESPN team id 2483 (Kickoff at ORE 35) Zach Schmit kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ORE 25, OU 47 0.00 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.21)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:40 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 25) Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 2 yds to the Oregn 27 - ORE 25, OU 47 -0.47 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.68 - -0.21 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.21)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-22.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:30 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 8 at ORE 27) Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 47 1.55 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 58

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - -0.62 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.62)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:11 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 42) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 47 1.02 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.04 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.96)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-19.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 8:00 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 43) Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 4 yds to the Okla 39 - ORE 25, OU 47 -0.04 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.08 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-19.92)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-19.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:40 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 6 at OU 39) Travis Dye run for no gain to the Okla 39 - ORE 25, OU 47 -0.94 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 2.07 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-19.93)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-20.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:10 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 6 at OU 39) Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST down - ORE 25, OU 47 1.45 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.37 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-20.63)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-19.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 25, OU 47

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 25 (25) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:46 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at OU 30) Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 30 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) - ORE 32, OU 47 3.80 0.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: ORE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.20 = 3.80

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-18.80)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 1.3%

Away Score: 25 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:46 ESPN team id 201 (Kickoff at OU 35) Camden Lewis on-side kick recovered by OKLAHOMA at the Oregn 44 - ORE 32, OU 47 1.62 99.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.03 = 1.62

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.03)

Score Difference (End): 15 (18.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:40 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 44) Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Oregn 44 - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.47 99.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.67 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.67)

Score Difference (End): 15 (18.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 6:00 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 10 at ORE 44) Caleb Williams run for 1 yd to the Oregn 43 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by Okla Caleb Williams - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.58 99.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 43

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.91 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.91)

Score Difference (End): 15 (17.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 5:00 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 9 at ORE 43) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Okla 42 - ORE 32, OU 47 -1.44 99.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 58

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 2.12 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.12)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:30 ESPN team id 201 (3rd & 24 at OU 42) Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Oregn 49 - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.83 99.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.75 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.75)

Score Difference (End): 15 (14.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:54 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 15 at ORE 49) OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 46 - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.28 99.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 54

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.07 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.93)

Score Difference (End): 15 (14.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.3%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:46 ESPN team id 201 (4th & 20 at OU 46) Michael Turk punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Seven McGee at the OKLAHOMA 7 OREGON Penalty, Running Into Kicker ( Yards) declined - ORE 32, OU 47 0.72 99.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 93

Started Drive at: ORE 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - -0.28 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 15 (14.72)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 99.2%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:41 ESPN team id 2483 (1st & 10 at ORE 7) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.39 0.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 93

Started Drive at: ORE 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - -0.49 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.49)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:35 ESPN team id 2483 (2nd & 10 at ORE 7) Anthony Brown sacked by Marcus Stripling and Reggie Grimes for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 2 - ORE 32, OU 47 -1.37 0.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 98

Started Drive at: ORE 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -0.77 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.77)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:32 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 15 at ORE 2) Timeout OREGON, clock 03:32 - ORE 32, OU 47 0.00 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: ORE 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -2.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.13)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:26 ESPN team id 2483 (3rd & 15 at ORE 2) Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.46 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: ORE 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.49 - -2.02 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.02)

Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:17 ESPN team id 2483 (4th & 15 at ORE 2) Tom Snee punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 33 - ORE 32, OU 47 0.79 0.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 67

Started Drive at: ORE 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -2.38 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.38)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:15 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 33) Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Okla 39 - ORE 32, OU 47 0.26 99.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.62 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.62)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:30 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at OU 39) Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 32, OU 47 0.40 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.69 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.69)

Score Difference (End): 15 (17.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:50 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at OU 44) Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - ORE 32, OU 47 0.18 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.74 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.74)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:41 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at 50) Timeout OREGON, clock 01:41 - ORE 32, OU 47 0.00 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.92)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 4 at 50) Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down - ORE 32, OU 47 0.46 99.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 1.58 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.58)

Score Difference (End): 15 (17.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.4%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 0:57 ESPN team id 201 (1st & 10 at ORE 44) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 46 - ORE 32, OU 47 -0.61 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 46

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.69 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 15 (16.69)

Score Difference (End): 15 (16.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.4%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 201 (2nd & 12 at ORE 46) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 48 - ORE 32, OU 47 0.03 99.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 48

Started Drive at: OU 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.63 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 15 (15.63)

Score Difference (End): 15 (15.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: ORE 32, OU 47

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.2%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 32 (32) Home Score: 47 (47)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 0