Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 6.00 | Odds: UNC -12.5, O/U 57.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 65 | 76 |
| Total EPA | 9.51 | 9.4 |
| Offensive EPA | 7.53 | 24.18 |
| Special Teams EPA | 3.06 | 1.81 |
| Penalty EPA | -1.41 | -13.79 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.33 | -2.80 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 50 | 66 |
| Yards | 318 | 558 |
| Yards/Play | 6.36 | 8.45 |
| EPA | 7.53 | 24.18 |
| EPA/Play | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| Passes | 25 (50%) | 17 (26%) |
| Yards | 205 | 242 |
| Yards/Play | 8.20 | 14.24 |
| EPA | 2.99 | 12.62 |
| EPA/Play | 0.12 | 0.74 |
| Rushes | 25 (50%) | 49 (74%) |
| Yards | 162 | 319 |
| Yards/Play | 6.48 | 6.51 |
| EPA | 4.54 | 11.56 |
| EPA/Play | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 50 | 66 |
| Rushes | 25 (50%) | 49 (74%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 3 (12%) | 1 (2%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (67%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 6 (24%) | 5 (10%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 9 (36%) | 16 (33%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 12 (48%) | 27 (55%) |
| OL Line Yards | 35.8 | 83.8 |
| Per Carry | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| Highlight Yards | 80 | 130.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 6.67 | 4.83 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 65 | 76 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 50 | 66 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (10%) | 5 (8%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (12%) | 2 (12%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (8%) | 3 (6%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -13.37 | 3.97 |
| EPA/Play | -0.30 | 0.07 |
| When Passing | -8.68 | 1.10 |
| EPA/Play | -0.35 | 0.06 |
| When Rushing | -4.69 | 2.87 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | 0.06 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 18 (36%) | 34 (52%) |
| When Passing | 10 (40%) | 10 (59%) |
| When Rushing | 8 (32%) | 24 (49%) |
| On Standard Downs | 12 (38%) | 27 (57%) |
| On Passing Downs | 6 (33%) | 7 (37%) |
| On Early Downs | 15 (38%) | 28 (51%) |
| On Late Downs | 3 (27%) | 6 (55%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 4 (57%) | 8 (73%) |
| Early Downs | 39 | 55 |
| First Downs Created | 10 (26%) | 17 (31%) |
| EPA | 13.21 | 21.01 |
| EPA/Play | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| Passes | 20 (51%) | 12 (22%) |
| Rushes | 19 (49%) | 43 (78%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 9 (45%) | 8 (67%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 6 (32%) | 20 (47%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 7 | 11 |
| EPA | 2.76 | 8.85 |
| EPA/play | 0.39 | 0.80 |
| Passes | 4 (57%) | 4 (36%) |
| Rushes | 3 (43%) | 7 (64%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (75%) | 4 (100%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (33%) | 4 (57%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 10 | 10 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 24 | Own 24 |
| Plays/Drive | 5.76 | 8.56 |
| Yards/Drive | 37.58 | 55.67 |
| Available Yards % | 49% | 73% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 66 | 50 |
| Stop Rate | 26% | 42% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 6 (9%) | 7 (14%) |
| Passing | 2 (12%) | 4 (16%) |
| Rushing | 4 (8%) | 3 (12%) |
| TFLs Generated | 6 | 7 |
| Passing | 2 | 4 |
| Rushing | 4 | 3 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (12%) | 4 (16%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 15 | 10 |
| Total EPA | 3.06 | 1.81 |
| Field Goal EPA | 2.46 | 1.1 |
| Punting EPA | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -0.32 | 0 |
North Carolina [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Sam Howell | 12/20, 205 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 4 Scks, 79.5 xQBR | 8.54 | 0.13 | 3.03 | 42% | -3.0% | |
| Drake Maye | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 47.1 xQBR | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| British Brooks | 5 carries, 72 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.40 | 1.28 | 6.41 | 40% | 11.0% | |
| Sam Howell | 9 carries, 37 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 4.11 | 0.13 | 1.13 | 44% | 13.0% | |
| Drake Maye | 2 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | -0.18 | -0.36 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Ty Chandler | 9 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.22 | -0.29 | -2.63 | 22% | -5.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Garrett Walston | 1 catch (1 target), 37 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 37.00 | 5.94 | 5.94 | 100% | 24.0% | |
| Antoine Green | 4 catches (4 targets), 73 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 18.25 | 1.26 | 5.02 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Josh Downs | 3 catches (6 targets), 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.67 | 0.57 | 3.42 | 50% | -8.0% | |
| Bryson Nesbit | 2 catches (2 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 1.00 | 1.99 | 100% | -8.0% | |
| British Brooks | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Stephen Gosnell | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.60 | -0.60 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Kamari Morales | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.96 | -0.96 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Ty Chandler | 1 catch (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.64 | -1.27 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Justin Olson | 0 catches (3 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.68 | -2.05 | 0% | 0.0% | |
South Carolina [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Dakereon Joyner | 9/9, 160 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.6 xQBR | 17.78 | 1.18 | 10.60 | 78% | 23.0% | |
| Zeb Noland | 3/6, 82 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 92.2 xQBR | 11.71 | 0.53 | 3.71 | 43% | 16.0% | |
| O'Mega Blake | 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 9.7 xQBR | 0.00 | -1.69 | -1.69 | 0% | -8.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Kevin Harris | 31 carries, 182 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.87 | 0.17 | 5.32 | 48% | 5.0% | |
| Juju McDowell | 5 carries, 52 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.40 | 0.78 | 3.92 | 60% | 12.0% | |
| Dakereon Joyner | 10 carries, 64 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.40 | 0.28 | 2.83 | 50% | -6.0% | |
| Jaheim Bell | 3 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.17 | -0.51 | 33% | 1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jaheim Bell | 5 catches (5 targets), 159 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 31.80 | 2.72 | 13.62 | 80% | 26.0% | |
| Ahmarean Brown | 4 catches (4 targets), 61 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.25 | 0.87 | 3.47 | 75% | 10.0% | |
| Juju McDowell | 1 catch (1 target), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Xavier Legette | 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| E.J. Jenkins | 1 catch (3 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.68 | -2.04 | 33% | -4.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 3) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Hank Manos) to the NCaro 8 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -8.14 | 40.6% | -24.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - 5.98 = -8.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 37) British Brooks run for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, SC 18 | 7.14 | 42.6% | 14.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.14 = 7.14 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.14) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 3) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the NCaro 1 - UNC 10, SC 18 | -6.93 | 76.0% | -29.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 5.83 = -6.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (6.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 37) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 37 yds for a TD, (T. Chandler Run For Two-point Conversion) - UNC 21, SC 32 | 5.94 | 13.0% | 24.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.06 = 5.94 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 13 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 34) Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 66 yds for a TD, (Kai Kroeger pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 0, SC 15 | 5.83 | 37.6% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.17 = 5.83 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.17) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at SC 31) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 69 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 0, SC 7 | 5.68 | 20.3% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.32 = 5.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 31.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 35) Juju McDowell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 10, SC 25 | 4.37 | 53.0% | 13.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.63 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 66.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:27 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNC 30) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 34 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, SC 18 | 3.05 | 50.5% | 5.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 36 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 0.13 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.87) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 55.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:22 | |
(3rd & 4 at SC 44) Sam Howell sacked by Jabari Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the NCaro 46 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -3.04 | 85.0% | -5.1% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 54 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 2.15 = -3.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:29 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 21 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 32 | 2.69 | 11.4% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - -0.09 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.09) Score Difference (End): -19 (-16.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 3) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the NCaro 1 - UNC 10, SC 18 | -6.93 | 76.0% | -29.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 5.83 = -6.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (6.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 37) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 37 yds for a TD, (T. Chandler Run For Two-point Conversion) - UNC 21, SC 32 | 5.94 | 13.0% | 24.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.06 = 5.94 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 13 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 3) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Hank Manos) to the NCaro 8 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -8.14 | 40.6% | -24.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - 5.98 = -8.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 37) British Brooks run for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, SC 18 | 7.14 | 42.6% | 14.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.14 = 7.14 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.14) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:08 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 0, SC 7 | -1.61 | 81.9% | -13.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 1.13 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 15 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 25 | 0.65 | 56.2% | -13.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.06 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.94) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 43.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 35) Juju McDowell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 10, SC 25 | 4.37 | 53.0% | 13.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.63 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 66.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:44 | |
(4th & 20 at SC 23) Grayson Atkins 40 yd FG GOOD - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.34 | 47.3% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.34) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.3% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at SC 31) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 69 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 0, SC 7 | 5.68 | 20.3% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.32 = 5.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 31.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(4th & 6 at SC 19) Grayson Atkins 36 yd FG GOOD - UNC 13, SC 25 | 1.12 | 37.3% | 10.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.88 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.12) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at SC 31) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 69 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 0, SC 7 | 5.68 | 20.3% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.32 = 5.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 31.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 34) Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 66 yds for a TD, (Kai Kroeger pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 0, SC 15 | 5.83 | 37.6% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.17 = 5.83 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.17) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:27 | |
(4th & 5 at UNC 12) Parker White 30 yd FG GOOD - UNC 0, SC 18 | 0.12 | 55.1% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.88 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.88) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.1% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 37) British Brooks run for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, SC 18 | 7.14 | 42.6% | 14.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.14 = 7.14 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.14) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:44 | |
(4th & 20 at SC 23) Grayson Atkins 40 yd FG GOOD - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.34 | 47.3% | 11.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.34) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.3% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 35) Juju McDowell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 10, SC 25 | 4.37 | 53.0% | 13.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.63 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 66.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(4th & 6 at SC 19) Grayson Atkins 36 yd FG GOOD - UNC 13, SC 25 | 1.12 | 37.3% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.88 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.12) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:53 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 1) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 13, SC 32 | 0.63 | 80.6% | 5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.37 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 12 (18.37) Score Difference (End): 19 (19.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.6% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 37) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 37 yds for a TD, (T. Chandler Run For Two-point Conversion) - UNC 21, SC 32 | 5.94 | 13.0% | 24.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.06 = 5.94 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 13 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:44 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 4) Parker White 22 yd FG GOOD - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.08 | 95.5% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.92 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.92) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 96.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:50 | |
(4th & 11 at UNC 15) Parker White 33 yd FG GOOD - UNC 21, SC 38 | 0.90 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.10 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.10) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.00 | 82.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.0% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 14 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.92 | 85.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.03 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.2% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:15 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.72 | 86.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 50 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.09 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.09) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.5% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:03 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -0.53 | 86.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 49 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - 2.84 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:25 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 49) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -0.09 | 84.3% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 44 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.32 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 86.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:22 | |
(3rd & 4 at SC 44) Sam Howell sacked by Jabari Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the NCaro 46 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -3.04 | 85.0% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 54 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 2.15 = -3.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:01 | |
(4th & 14 at UNC 46) Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, downed at the SCaro 7 - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.97 | 81.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 93 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - -0.78 = 0.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.19) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 11:44 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 7) Jaheim Bell run for 20 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 0 | 1.64 | 16.7% | 3.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 73 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - -0.20 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.7% Win Probability (After): 20.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:15 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 27) Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.93 | 20.3% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 64 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 1.36 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:47 | |
(2nd & 1 at SC 36) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Nichols) to the SCaro 31 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -1.21 | 22.0% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.36 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.0% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at SC 31) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 69 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 0, SC 7 | 5.68 | 20.3% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.32 = 5.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 31.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 3) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Hank Manos) to the NCaro 8 - UNC 0, SC 0 | -8.14 | 40.6% | -24.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.16 - 5.98 = -8.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 0, SC 0 | 0.00 | 81.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 81.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:08 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 0, SC 7 | -1.61 | 81.9% | -13.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - 1.13 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Ty Chandler - UNC 0, SC 7 | -0.93 | 68.7% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -0.76 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 66.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:45 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 9 yds to the NCaro 34 - UNC 0, SC 7 | 0.10 | 67.5% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - -1.42 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:09 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 34) Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 22 - UNC 0, SC 7 | -0.99 | 66.5% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 78 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -1.13 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.13) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.5% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 22) Juju McDowell run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 7 | 0.62 | 34.6% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 67 Started Drive at: SC 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.01 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.01) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:25 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 33) Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34 - UNC 0, SC 7 | -0.43 | 36.2% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: SC 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.61 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 34) Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 66 yds for a TD, (Kai Kroeger pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion) - UNC 0, SC 15 | 5.83 | 37.6% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.17 = 5.83 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.17) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:40 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 62 yds , Caleb Hood return for 16 yds to the NCaro 19 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -0.32 | 60.3% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.44 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.44) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.3% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 19) British Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 17 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -1.06 | 59.4% | -3.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 83 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -0.79 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-15.79) Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.4% Win Probability (After): 55.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:56 | |
(2nd & 12 at UNC 17) British Brooks run for 6 yds to the NCaro 23 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -0.09 | 56.7% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 77 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -1.80 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.80) Score Difference (End): -15 (-16.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 56.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:11 | |
(3rd & 6 at UNC 23) Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 25 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -1.00 | 55.8% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - -1.77 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-16.77) Score Difference (End): -15 (-17.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 55.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:41 | |
(4th & 4 at UNC 25) Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 34 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -0.45 | 53.5% | -4.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.13 - -2.67 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-17.67) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.13) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.5% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 34) Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 42 - UNC 0, SC 15 | 0.39 | 51.5% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 3.10 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.10) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 55.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:08 | |
(2nd & 2 at SC 42) Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 15 | 0.46 | 52.2% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 47 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.96 - 3.50 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.50) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.2% Win Probability (After): 53.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:32 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 47) Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the NCaro 40 - UNC 0, SC 15 | 0.30 | 43.7% | 9.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 40 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 3.99 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.99) Score Difference (End): 15 (19.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.7% Win Probability (After): 53.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:50 | |
(2nd & 3 at UNC 40) Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 15 | 0.23 | 45.2% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 34 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 4.26 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.26) Score Difference (End): 15 (19.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.2% Win Probability (After): 44.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:12 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 34) Dakereon Joyner run for 17 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 15 | 0.94 | 52.8% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 17 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.49 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 15 (19.49) Score Difference (End): 15 (20.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.8% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 17) Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 22 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -1.46 | 55.4% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 22 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 5.44 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.44) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:47 | |
(2nd & 15 at UNC 22) Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 18 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -0.39 | 52.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 18 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 3.97 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.97) Score Difference (End): 15 (18.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.9% Win Probability (After): 52.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:00 | |
(3rd & 11 at UNC 18) Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the NCaro 12 - UNC 0, SC 15 | -0.70 | 54.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.58 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 15 (18.58) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 15 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 53.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (15) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:27 | |
(4th & 5 at UNC 12) Parker White 30 yd FG GOOD - UNC 0, SC 18 | 0.12 | 55.1% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: SC 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.88 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.88) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.1% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 15 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:27 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 0, SC 18 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - -0.38 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.38) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.1% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:19 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 0, SC 18 | -0.17 | 41.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - -0.38 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.38) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.0% Win Probability (After): 40.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:54 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 29) British Brooks run for 2 yds to the NCaro 31 - UNC 0, SC 18 | -0.30 | 40.6% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.56 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.56) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 39.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:14 | |
(3rd & 4 at UNC 31) Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCaro Sam Howell - UNC 0, SC 18 | -0.70 | 43.4% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.85 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.85) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:54 | |
(4th & 1 at UNC 34) Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 0, SC 18 | 2.09 | 42.5% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -1.56 = 2.09 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.56) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.5% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:23 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 37) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson - UNC 0, SC 18 | -0.68 | 43.8% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.53 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.47) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 0, SC 18 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.8% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 37) British Brooks run for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) - UNC 7, SC 18 | 7.14 | 42.6% | 14.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - -0.14 = 7.14 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.14) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.6% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:11 | |
(Kickoff at SC 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 7, SC 18 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.26) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.7% Win Probability (After): 46.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:02 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 25) Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.38 | 46.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.22 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.22) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.4% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 28) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the SCaro 29 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.73 | 43.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 71 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.86 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.86) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 45.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:43 | |
(3rd & 6 at SC 29) Zeb Noland pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, SC 18 | 1.81 | 42.1% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 1.16 = 1.81 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.16) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 45.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:08 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 36) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.54 | 46.8% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.93 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.93) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.8% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:19 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 37) Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.63 | 54.6% | -9.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.34 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.34) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:35 | |
(3rd & 7 at SC 39) Zeb Noland sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 30 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -1.86 | 48.7% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 70 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.50 = -1.86 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.50) Score Difference (End): 11 (10.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.7% Win Probability (After): 49.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(4th & 16 at SC 30) Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the NCaro 27 - UNC 7, SC 18 | 0.09 | 48.2% | -7.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 73 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.85 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.15) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.24) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 41.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 27) Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.52 | 51.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.74 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.26) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.9% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:27 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNC 30) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 34 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, SC 18 | 3.05 | 50.5% | 5.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 36 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 0.13 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.87) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 55.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 36) Sam Howell run for no gain to the SCaro 36 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.56 | 53.3% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 3.08 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.92) Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.3% Win Probability (After): 55.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at SC 36) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 23 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST down - UNC 7, SC 18 | 1.93 | 53.1% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 13 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 2.68 = 1.93 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.32) Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 58.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:10 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 13) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the SCaro 13 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.63 | 58.5% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 4.67 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.33) Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.5% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at SC 13) Sam Howell sacked by Zacch Pickens and Jordan Strachan for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 23 - UNC 7, SC 18 | -1.84 | 54.5% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 4.13 = -1.84 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.87) Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.5% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:49 | |
(3rd & 20 at SC 23) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 7, SC 18 | -0.50 | 50.2% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.27 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.73) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 7, SC 18 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.2% Win Probability (After): 46.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:44 | |
(4th & 20 at SC 23) Grayson Atkins 40 yd FG GOOD - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.34 | 47.3% | 11.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.66 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.34) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.3% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:44 | |
(Kickoff at SC 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 10, SC 18 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.79 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.79) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.2% Win Probability (After): 46.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:36 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 25) Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28 - UNC 10, SC 18 | -0.51 | 47.2% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.91 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.91) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.2% Win Probability (After): 45.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:55 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 28) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Juju McDowell for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.00 | 46.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 0.62 = 1.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.62) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.6% Win Probability (After): 48.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:15 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 36) Kevin Harris run for 17 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.13 | 48.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 47 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 1.48 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.48) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.6% Win Probability (After): 50.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 47) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the NCaro 46 - UNC 10, SC 18 | -0.47 | 51.7% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 46 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.31 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.31) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 48.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:02 | |
(2nd & 9 at UNC 46) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 11 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 18 | 1.42 | 50.9% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 35 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 1.59 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.59) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 35) Juju McDowell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 10, SC 25 | 4.37 | 53.0% | 13.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.63 = 4.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 15 (15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 66.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 3) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the NCaro 1 - UNC 10, SC 18 | -6.93 | 76.0% | -29.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 5.83 = -6.93 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (6.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 10, SC 18 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 0.97 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.03) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 18 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 56.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (18) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 15 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 25 | 0.65 | 56.2% | -13.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.06 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.94) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 43.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 18 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:48 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 40) Sam Howell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 36 - UNC 10, SC 25 | -0.79 | 39.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 64 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 1.47 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.53) Score Difference (End): -15 (-14.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.5% Win Probability (After): 40.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:35 | |
(2nd & 14 at UNC 36) Sam Howell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 25 | 1.35 | 35.8% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 50 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.39 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-14.61) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 40.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 27 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down - UNC 10, SC 25 | 2.06 | 38.9% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 1.45 = 2.06 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.55) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 43.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:19 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 23) Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 1 yd to the SCaro 22 - UNC 10, SC 25 | -0.34 | 43.8% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 22 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.46 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.54) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.8% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:52 | |
(2nd & 9 at SC 22) Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 14 - UNC 10, SC 25 | 0.72 | 40.0% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.26 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.74) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 44.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(3rd & 1 at SC 14) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the SCaro 14 - UNC 10, SC 25 | -0.88 | 41.4% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.98 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.02) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 38.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SC 14) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 00:46 - UNC 10, SC 25 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.10 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-11.90) Score Difference (End): -15 (-11.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.0% Win Probability (After): 38.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SC 14) Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 00:46 - UNC 10, SC 25 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.00) Score Difference (End): -15 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.0% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:46 | |
(4th & 1 at SC 14) NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Tucker) to the SCaro 19 - UNC 10, SC 25 | -1.09 | 38.0% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 19 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 3.00 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-12.00) Score Difference (End): -15 (-13.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 10, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.0% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(4th & 6 at SC 19) Grayson Atkins 36 yd FG GOOD - UNC 13, SC 25 | 1.12 | 37.3% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.88 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): -15 (-13.12) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 47.9% Away Score: 10 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(Kickoff at SC 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.49 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 12 (12.49) Score Difference (End): 12 (12.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.7% Win Probability (After): 63.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 25) Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27 - UNC 13, SC 25 | -0.46 | 64.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 0.46 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 12 (12.46) Score Difference (End): 12 (12.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.3% Win Probability (After): 62.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at SC 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.13) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.9% Win Probability (After): 62.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:38 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 25) Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33 - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.63 | 63.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 2.10 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.10) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.4% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 2 at SC 33) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34 - UNC 13, SC 25 | -0.46 | 63.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 2.70 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.70) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.8% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:43 | |
(3rd & 1 at SC 34) Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.57 | 63.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.26 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.26) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 64.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:06 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 36) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 7 yds to the SCaro 43 - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.35 | 68.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 2.81 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.81) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:26 | |
(2nd & 3 at SC 43) Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.13 | 71.5% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 3.16 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.16) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.5% Win Probability (After): 69.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:48 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 46) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 26 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 25 | 1.34 | 73.0% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 28 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 3.27 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.27) Score Difference (End): 12 (16.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.0% Win Probability (After): 75.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 28) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 23 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 25 | 1.44 | 76.2% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 5 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.05 - 4.61 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.61) Score Difference (End): 12 (18.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:30 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 5) Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 1 - UNC 13, SC 25 | 0.29 | 80.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 1 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.36 - 6.07 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 12 (18.07) Score Difference (End): 12 (18.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 25 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.6% Win Probability (After): 80.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (25) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:53 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 1) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) - UNC 13, SC 32 | 0.63 | 80.6% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.37 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 12 (18.37) Score Difference (End): 19 (19.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.6% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 25 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:53 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 13, SC 32 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.35 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.35) Score Difference (End): -19 (-19.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.3% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:41 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Sam Howell run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32 - UNC 13, SC 32 | 0.60 | 11.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - -0.35 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.35) Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:07 | |
(2nd & 3 at UNC 32) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 32 | 0.63 | 11.5% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 61 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.17 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.83) Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson - UNC 13, SC 32 | -0.60 | 12.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.62 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-18.38) Score Difference (End): -19 (-18.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.2% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:29 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 39) Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 21 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down - UNC 13, SC 32 | 2.69 | 11.4% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 40 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - -0.09 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-19.09) Score Difference (End): -19 (-16.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:45 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 40) Sam Howell pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 3 yds to the SCaro 37 - UNC 13, SC 32 | -0.60 | 12.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 2.68 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.32) Score Difference (End): -19 (-16.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 13, SC 32 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 37) Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 37 yds for a TD, (T. Chandler Run For Two-point Conversion) - UNC 21, SC 32 | 5.94 | 13.0% | 24.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 2.06 = 5.94 Score Difference (Before): -19 (-16.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 13 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(Kickoff at SC 35) Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.00 | 73.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.00) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 73.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:17 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 25) Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.46 | 74.3% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.10 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.10) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 75.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:35 | |
(2nd & 2 at SC 33) Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.19 | 76.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.64 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.64) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:57 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 37) Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.34 | 76.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.81 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.81) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:17 | |
(2nd & 7 at SC 40) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the SCaro 43 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.41 | 77.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 2.49 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.49) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 76.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:40 | |
(3rd & 4 at SC 43) Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 1.31 | 76.5% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 2.06 = 1.31 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.06) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 78.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:02 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 48) Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.52 | 78.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 3.37 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.37) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.5% Win Probability (After): 78.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:28 | |
(2nd & 8 at 50) Zeb Noland pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.92 | 78.3% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 2.89 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.89) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:19 | |
(3rd & 8 at 50) Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 2.01 | 76.7% | 7.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 41 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 1.97 = 2.01 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.97) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.7% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 41) O'Mega Blake sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line - UNC 21, SC 32 | -1.69 | 85.0% | -7.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 50 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 3.98 = -1.69 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.98) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 77.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:05 | |
(2nd & 19 at 50) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.20 | 78.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 55 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.29 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.29) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.0% Win Probability (After): 76.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:35 | |
(2nd & 24 at SC 45) Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the NCaro 47 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.70 | 78.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 2.14 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.14) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.2% Win Probability (After): 76.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:20 | |
(4th & 16 at UNC 47) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 48 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.13 | 78.4% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.02 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.02) Score Difference (End): 11 (10.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 73.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:20 | |
(3rd & 16 at UNC 47) Zeb Noland pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins - UNC 21, SC 32 | -1.47 | 80.4% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 1.48 = -1.47 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.48) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:13 | |
(4th & 21 at SC 48) Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 12 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.62 | 78.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 88 Started Drive at: SC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -0.12 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.88) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.50) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.1% Win Probability (After): 77.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 12) Sam Howell run for 14 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.93 | 20.9% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - -0.48 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.48) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.9% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 26) Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 26 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.83 | 24.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 0.48 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.52) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 21.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 26) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Kamari Morales - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.96 | 22.2% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - -0.33 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.33) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.2% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:56 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNC 26) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 14:56 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - -1.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.29) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 18.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNC 26) Sam Howell sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 18 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -1.68 | 13.8% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 82 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.02 - -1.33 = -1.68 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.33) Score Difference (End): -11 (-14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.8% Win Probability (After): 11.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:04 | |
(4th & 18 at UNC 18) Ben Kiernan punt for 61 yds , Josh Vann returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 19 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 1.19 | 11.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 81 Started Drive at: UNC 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.84 - -3.03 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-14.03) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 11.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:51 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 19) Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 26 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.38 | 88.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 74 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 1.78 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.78) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:10 | |
(2nd & 3 at SC 26) Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.00 | 88.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.39 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.39) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:22 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 30) Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.50 | 90.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 58 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.67 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.67) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:52 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 42) Kevin Harris run for 38 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 1.76 | 91.3% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 20 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 3.27 = 1.76 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.27) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 93.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 20) Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.34 | 95.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 18 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.96 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.96) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:28 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNC 18) Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the NCaro 15 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.20 | 95.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.49 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.49) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:56 | |
(3rd & 5 at UNC 15) Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 09:56 - UNC 21, SC 32 | 0.00 | 95.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.29) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:49 | |
(3rd & 5 at UNC 15) Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 32 | 1.29 | 95.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.54 - 4.25 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.25) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.2% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 9:10 | |
(1st & Goal at UNC 9) Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the NCaro 8 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.52 | 97.1% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 5.50 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.50) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 96.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:25 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNC 8) Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 4 - UNC 21, SC 32 | -0.15 | 96.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 4.85 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.85) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.6% Win Probability (After): 96.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:47 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNC 4) Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Xavier Legette - UNC 21, SC 32 | -1.70 | 96.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 4.62 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.62) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 32 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (32) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:44 | |
(4th & Goal at UNC 4) Parker White 22 yd FG GOOD - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.08 | 95.5% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: SC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.92 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.92) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 96.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 32 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 7:44 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:36 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.19 | 7.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - -0.04 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.04) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.9% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:13 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNC 29) Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34 - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.31 | 6.3% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - -0.10 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.10) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.3% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:58 | |
(3rd & 1 at UNC 34) British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.71 | 6.2% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.35 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.65) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:28 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 37) Sam Howell sacked by Damani Staley for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 31 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -1.89 | 6.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 1.27 = -1.89 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.73) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:03 | |
(2nd & 16 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.83 | 4.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - -0.41 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.41) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 4.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:59 | |
(3rd & 16 at UNC 31) Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.77 | 4.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -1.13 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.13) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.0% Win Probability (After): 3.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:52 | |
(4th & 16 at UNC 31) Ben Kiernan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 24 - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.22 | 3.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 76 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -1.87 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.87) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.65) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 2.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:40 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 24) Kevin Harris run for 23 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 35 | 1.44 | 97.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 53 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.39 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.39) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at SC 47) Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 47 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.75 | 98.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.81 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.81) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 98.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at SC 47) Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.32 | 98.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.08 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.08) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:25 | |
(3rd & 7 at 50) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 04:25 - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.00 | 98.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 1.76 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.76) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:18 | |
(3rd & 7 at 50) Dakereon Joyner run for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 35 | 1.92 | 98.5% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 1.51 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.51) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 39) Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 40 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.72 | 99.2% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 40 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 3.20 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.20) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:00 | |
(2nd & 11 at UNC 40) Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Collins) to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down - UNC 21, SC 35 | 2.40 | 99.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 14 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 2.08 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.48) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:15 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 14) Juju McDowell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 18 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -1.36 | 99.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 18 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 4.47 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.47) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(2nd & 14 at UNC 18) Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 01:45 - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.00 | 99.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 3.11 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.11) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:33 | |
(2nd & 14 at UNC 18) Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 19 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.51 | 99.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 19 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.55 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:54 | |
(3rd & 15 at UNC 19) Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 15 - UNC 21, SC 35 | -0.03 | 99.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.07 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.07) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:54 | |
(4th & 11 at UNC 15) Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 00:54 - UNC 21, SC 35 | 0.00 | 99.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.04) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 35 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:50 | |
(4th & 11 at UNC 15) Parker White 33 yd FG GOOD - UNC 21, SC 38 | 0.90 | 99.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: SC 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.10 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.10) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 35 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:50 | |
(Kickoff at UNC 35) Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNC 21, SC 38 | 0.00 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.34 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.66) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UNC 25) Drake Maye pass incomplete to British Brooks - UNC 21, SC 38 | -0.04 | 0.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.28 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.72) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNC 25) Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.J. Jones) to the NCaro 15 - UNC 21, SC 38 | -0.36 | 0.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.20 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.76) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:09 | |
(3rd & 20 at UNC 15) Drake Maye run for 19 yds to the NCaro 34 - UNC 21, SC 38 | -0.01 | 0.4% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.06 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.06) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNC 21, SC 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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