Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 6.17 | Odds: TENN -7.5, O/U 66.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 121 | 98 |
| Total EPA | 3.16 | 15.16 |
| Offensive EPA | 13.89 | 6.21 |
| Special Teams EPA | -7.20 | 2.18 |
| Penalty EPA | -3.7 | 4.42 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.17 | 2.35 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 104 | 81 |
| Yards | 681 | 631 |
| Yards/Play | 6.55 | 7.79 |
| EPA | 13.89 | 6.21 |
| EPA/Play | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Passes | 43 (41%) | 50 (62%) |
| Yards | 378 | 535 |
| Yards/Play | 8.79 | 10.70 |
| EPA | 11.33 | 9.66 |
| EPA/Play | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| Rushes | 61 (59%) | 31 (38%) |
| Yards | 304 | 108 |
| Yards/Play | 4.98 | 3.48 |
| EPA | 2.56 | -3.45 |
| EPA/Play | 0.04 | -0.11 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 104 | 81 |
| Rushes | 61 (59%) | 31 (38%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 4 (7%) | 1 (3%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (25%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 6 (10%) | 7 (23%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 21 (34%) | 14 (45%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 30 (49%) | 15 (48%) |
| OL Line Yards | 133.5 | 58.1 |
| Per Carry | 2.19 | 1.87 |
| Highlight Yards | 88.5 | 13.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.95 | 0.90 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 121 | 98 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 104 | 81 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (5%) | 10 (12%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 4 (9%) | 10 (20%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (2%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -8.18 | -35.62 |
| EPA/Play | -0.08 | -0.50 |
| When Passing | -6.56 | -32.17 |
| EPA/Play | -0.15 | -0.64 |
| When Rushing | -1.61 | -3.45 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | -0.11 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 52 (50%) | 39 (48%) |
| When Passing | 20 (47%) | 23 (46%) |
| When Rushing | 32 (52%) | 16 (52%) |
| On Standard Downs | 44 (54%) | 30 (45%) |
| On Passing Downs | 8 (35%) | 9 (60%) |
| On Early Downs | 40 (51%) | 32 (50%) |
| On Late Downs | 12 (46%) | 7 (41%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 6 (50%) | 9 (69%) |
| Early Downs | 78 | 64 |
| First Downs Created | 15 (19%) | 13 (20%) |
| EPA | 19.75 | 5.85 |
| EPA/Play | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| Passes | 29 (37%) | 36 (56%) |
| Rushes | 49 (63%) | 28 (44%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 16 (55%) | 18 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 24 (49%) | 14 (50%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 12 | 13 |
| EPA | -0.10 | 7.29 |
| EPA/play | -0.01 | 0.56 |
| Passes | 5 (42%) | 6 (46%) |
| Rushes | 7 (58%) | 7 (54%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 2 (40%) | 5 (83%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 4 (57%) | 4 (57%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 19 | 18 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 29 | Own 26 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.79 | 6.56 |
| Yards/Drive | 41.88 | 44.30 |
| Available Yards % | 59% | 60% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 81 | 104 |
| Stop Rate | 33% | 66% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 12 (15%) | 5 (5%) |
| Passing | 7 (14%) | 2 (5%) |
| Rushing | 5 (16%) | 3 (5%) |
| TFLs Generated | 9 | 5 |
| Passing | 4 | 2 |
| Rushing | 5 | 3 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (4%) | 2 (5%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 3 |
| Fumbles | 5 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -3.3 | 3.3 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 17 | 17 |
| Total EPA | -7.2 | 2.18 |
| Field Goal EPA | -1.49 | 2.34 |
| Punting EPA | 0.03 | -0.16 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -5.74 | 0 |
Tennessee [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Hendon Hooker | 26/41, 378 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 67.8 xQBR | 8.79 | 0.26 | 11.33 | 47% | 74.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jabari Small | 26 carries, 180 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.92 | 0.25 | 6.61 | 54% | 43.0% | |
| Hendon Hooker | 17 carries, 78 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (1 lost) | 4.59 | 0.02 | 0.35 | 53% | -19.0% | |
| TEAM | 1 carry, -8 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | -8.00 | -2.15 | -2.15 | 0% | -7.0% | |
| Jaylen Wright | 17 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 3.18 | -0.13 | -2.25 | 53% | -1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Cedric Tillman | 7 catches (9 targets), 150 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 21.43 | 1.77 | 15.92 | 78% | 48.0% | |
| Jalin Hyatt | 3 catches (4 targets), 35 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.67 | 0.30 | 1.19 | 50% | 10.0% | |
| Velus Jones Jr. | 10 catches (12 targets), 85 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 0.10 | 1.18 | 42% | 10.0% | |
| Princeton Fant | 3 catches (6 targets), 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 23.67 | 0.19 | 1.14 | 50% | 9.0% | |
| JaVonta Payton | 2 catches (6 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.50 | -0.01 | -0.05 | 33% | 2.0% | |
| Jabari Small | 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.44 | -0.44 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Purdue [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Aidan O'Connell | 26/47, 535 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 2 Scks, 70.4 xQBR | 10.92 | 0.21 | 10.29 | 47% | 18.0% | |
| Jackson Anthrop | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 17.6 xQBR | 0.00 | -0.63 | -0.63 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Zander Horvath | 17 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.41 | 0.06 | 0.99 | 59% | -4.0% | |
| Aidan O'Connell | 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| Jackson Anthrop | 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.57 | -1.14 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Deion Burks | 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -3.00 | -1.71 | -1.71 | 0% | -11.0% | |
| King Doerue | 10 carries, 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.50 | -0.19 | -1.92 | 50% | -8.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Broc Thompson | 7 catches (12 targets), 218 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 27.25 | 1.16 | 13.96 | 67% | 44.0% | |
| TJ Sheffield | 3 catches (4 targets), 61 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.33 | 1.72 | 6.89 | 75% | 16.0% | |
| Payne Durham | 5 catches (8 targets), 85 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 0.77 | 6.15 | 50% | 42.0% | |
| Jackson Anthrop | 5 catches (7 targets), 74 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.80 | 0.59 | 4.11 | 43% | -2.0% | |
| Deion Burks | 1 catch (1 target), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 26.00 | 3.21 | 3.21 | 100% | 11.0% | |
| Dylan Downing | 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 21.00 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Zander Horvath | 2 catches (2 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.50 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 50% | 4.0% | |
| Collin Sullivan | 1 catch (4 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.67 | -2.70 | 25% | -38.0% | |
| Garrett Miller | 1 catch (5 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | -0.71 | -3.57 | 20% | -4.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 | 6.93 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:58 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 6.86 | 41.2% | 41.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.2% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 6.42 | 51.5% | 35.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 5.57 | 76.0% | 10.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:43 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 31) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. Kamal Hadden return for no gain - TENN 14, PUR 7 | -5.39 | 19.9% | -6.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 80 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 3.44 = -5.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -4.91 | 53.1% | -18.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 | 4.77 | 25.4% | 29.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 54.5% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 4.17 | 20.8% | 22.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:26 | |
(2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 4.10 | 17.5% | 20.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:03 | |
(4th & 1 at PUR 24) Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -3.99 | 75.1% | -13.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 2.99 = -3.99 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.99) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 4:58 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 6.86 | 41.2% | 41.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.2% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 6.42 | 51.5% | 35.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 39) Chase McGrath 56 yd FG MISSED - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -1.76 | 78.4% | -35.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.47 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 43.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:01 | |
(3rd & 4 at PUR 31) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -1.70 | 58.5% | -31.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.91 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.91) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.5% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 | 4.77 | 25.4% | 29.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 54.5% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 4.17 | 20.8% | 22.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:26 | |
(2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 4.10 | 17.5% | 20.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -4.91 | 53.1% | -18.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 1.37 | 34.9% | 17.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:49 | |
(3rd & Goal at PUR 2) Wright, Jaylen rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE0, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Spraggins, Javontez) 11 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY. - TENN 31, PUR 38 | -2.24 | 40.6% | -14.3% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 13 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 5.31 = -2.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:28 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 0 | 3.46 | 78.3% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.54 = 3.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 | 6.93 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 5.57 | 76.0% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(1st & Goal at PUR 2) Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.54 | 90.9% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.46 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.46) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:01 | |
(4th & 2 at TENN 7) Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.01 | 9.5% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.99 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.01) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:42 | |
(4th & 10 at TENN 18) Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 1.06 | 11.6% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.94 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:03 | |
(4th & Goal at TENN 12) Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 0.87 | 16.6% | 12.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.13 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.87) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:19 | |
(1st & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 1.28 | 38.9% | 3.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.72) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 12:45 | |
(2nd & 5 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 2.16 | 73.1% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:04 | |
(3rd & Goal at TENN 10) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 30 | 3.31 | 30.4% | 14.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.31) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:44 | |
(4th & 4 at PUR 13) Chase McGrath 30 yd FG GOOD - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.27 | 64.8% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.73) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:58 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 6.86 | 41.2% | 41.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.2% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 | 4.77 | 25.4% | 29.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 54.5% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 6.42 | 51.5% | 35.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 1.37 | 34.9% | 17.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(4th & 6 at TENN 21) Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG GOOD - TENN 45, PUR 48 | 0.40 | 85.9% | 14.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 48 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:35 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 7 yds to the Prdue 32 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.41 | 27.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.04 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 27.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:26 | |
(2nd & 3 at PUR 32) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -1.10 | 27.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.62 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.1% Win Probability (After): 25.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:21 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 32) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Banks, Jeremy) 4 yards to the PURDUE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 1.45 | 25.0% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.51 = 1.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 29.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:12 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ Sheffield - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -0.64 | 29.3% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.93 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 36) Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.66 | 27.2% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.32 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.2% Win Probability (After): 29.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:24 | |
(3rd & 1 at PUR 45) Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.60 | 29.4% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.03 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:40 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 47) Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -0.56 | 31.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.62 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:08 | |
(2nd & 8 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.32 | 31.2% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 45 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.04 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 30.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:41 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 45) Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -0.99 | 31.3% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.35 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.3% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:12 | |
(4th & 1 at TENN 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -3.79 | 30.1% | -7.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.31 = -3.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 45) Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Prdue 48 - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 0.45 | 77.8% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48 Started Drive at: TENN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.50 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.50) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.8% Win Probability (After): 77.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:48 | |
(2nd & 3 at PUR 48) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 0, PUR 0 | -1.10 | 78.0% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: TENN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 3.06 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.0% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:35 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 48) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, PUR 0 | 1.46 | 77.0% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 41 Started Drive at: TENN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 2.08 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 0, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 78.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:28 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 0 | 3.46 | 78.3% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.54 = 3.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:28 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 7, PUR 0 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - -0.10 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.8% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 | 6.93 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:06 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 63 yds , Jimmy Holiday return for 23 yds to the Tenn 25 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -1.01 | 74.7% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 1.13 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 73.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:53 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 25) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | 0.27 | 74.5% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.26 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 74.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:36 | |
(2nd & 4 at TENN 31) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 2 yds to the Tenn 33 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -0.44 | 74.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.48 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.48) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:03 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 33) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -1.24 | 74.6% | -2.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 0.88 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 71.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:56 | |
(4th & 1 at TENN 34) Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 18 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -0.45 | 66.2% | 4.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 82 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.30 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.30) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.2% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:27 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 18) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -0.23 | 29.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78 Started Drive at: PUR 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 0.70 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.0% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:11 | |
(2nd & 6 at PUR 22) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -0.24 | 28.7% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74 Started Drive at: PUR 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.45 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:11 | |
(3rd & 2 at PUR 26) Aidan O'Connell sacked by Caleb Tremblay for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 21 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -2.49 | 29.9% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79 Started Drive at: PUR 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - 0.29 = -2.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 23.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:58 | |
(4th & 7 at PUR 21) Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for no gain to the Tenn 37 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | 0.20 | 25.4% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 63 Started Drive at: PUR 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - -2.18 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 6:39 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 37) Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39 - TENN 7, PUR 7 | -0.57 | 77.6% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: TENN 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.99 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 7, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 5.57 | 76.0% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:31 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:20 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 34 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 2.72 | 16.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 41 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - -0.03 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.3% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:54 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 41) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Sheffield, TJ, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Hadden, Kamal) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 0.78 | 18.8% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.68 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.32) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 20.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:43 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 31) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. Kamal Hadden return for no gain - TENN 14, PUR 7 | -5.39 | 19.9% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 80 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 3.44 = -5.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 20) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26 - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 0.19 | 86.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.94 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.3% Win Probability (After): 86.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:05 | |
(2nd & 4 at TENN 26) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 1.75 | 87.1% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 43 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 2.13 = 1.75 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 43) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41 - TENN 14, PUR 7 | -0.42 | 88.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 3.89 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.89) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:42 | |
(2nd & 8 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 0.04 | 88.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.43 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 36) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 24 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 1.91 | 88.8% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 12 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 3.48 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.48) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:07 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 12) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Prdue 11 - TENN 14, PUR 7 | -0.48 | 90.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.40 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.8% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:40 | |
(2nd & 9 at PUR 11) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 14, PUR 7 | -0.81 | 90.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.92 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:34 | |
(3rd & 9 at PUR 11) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Graham, Jalen) 9 yards to the PURDUE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 14, PUR 7 | 2.34 | 89.3% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.46 - 4.12 = 2.34 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 14, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.3% Win Probability (After): 90.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(1st & Goal at PUR 2) Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.54 | 90.9% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.46 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.46) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 6.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:23 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 22 - TENN 21, PUR 7 | -1.11 | 6.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - -0.56 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.56) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.9% Win Probability (After): 6.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:41 | |
(2nd & 13 at PUR 22) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 29 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 3.44 | 6.4% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 49 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -1.68 = 3.44 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.68) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 9.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:08 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 49) Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Tenn 42 - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.49 | 9.2% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.79 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.21) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.2% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(2nd & 3 at TENN 42) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Warren Burrell) to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 1.33 | 9.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 27 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.32 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.72) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.6% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:25 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 27) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Tenn 19 - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.70 | 11.3% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.63 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.37) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.3% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:54 | |
(2nd & 2 at TENN 19) Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Tenn 19 - TENN 21, PUR 7 | -0.72 | 11.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 4.33 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.67) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:17 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 19) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 1.06 | 10.5% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.60 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.40) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.5% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 15) Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Tenn 7 - TENN 21, PUR 7 | 0.69 | 10.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 7 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.61 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:10 | |
(2nd & 2 at TENN 7) Jackson Anthrop pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 7 | -0.63 | 11.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 5.36 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.64) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 10.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:04 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 7) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 21, PUR 7 | -1.79 | 11.1% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 4.76 = -1.79 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 9.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:01 | |
(4th & 2 at TENN 7) Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.01 | 9.5% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.99 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.01) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:54 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 23 yds to the Tenn 23 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -1.11 | 92.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 2.01 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.01) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:37 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 23) Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -0.02 | 92.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.89 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.89) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:28 | |
(2nd & 5 at TENN 28) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Marvin Grant) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 1.70 | 92.4% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 45 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 2.21 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.87) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 45) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -0.37 | 94.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.84 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.84) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:59 | |
(2nd & 7 at PUR 42) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Tillman, Cedric, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul (Carvin, Jerome) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE43, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -1.20 | 94.2% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 57 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 3.43 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.43) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:54 | |
(2nd & 22 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -0.95 | 92.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 2.13 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.13) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:49 | |
(3rd & 22 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -1.24 | 91.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.16 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.16) Score Difference (End): 11 (10.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:41 | |
(4th & 22 at TENN 43) Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 13 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.51 | 91.0% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 87 Started Drive at: TENN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - -0.02 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.98) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.49) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:32 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 13) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the Prdue 22 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.72 | 9.1% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 78 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - -0.50 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.50) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 11.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:06 | |
(2nd & 1 at PUR 22) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.16 | 10.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.23 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.77) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 10.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 26) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 41 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 2.85 | 10.6% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 33 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 0.61 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.39) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.6% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:58 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 33) King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Tenn 24 - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.53 | 13.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 24 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.52 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.48) Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 13.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:27 | |
(2nd & 1 at TENN 24) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 | 0.32 | 14.1% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 4.16 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.84) Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:59 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -0.64 | 14.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 4.46 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.54) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 14.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -0.76 | 14.5% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.81 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.19) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:48 | |
(3rd & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 21, PUR 10 | -1.08 | 13.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 3.03 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.97) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:42 | |
(4th & 10 at TENN 18) Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 1.06 | 11.6% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.94 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:37 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 25 yds to the Tenn 25 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.93 | 88.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.41 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.41) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.02 | 88.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.31 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.31) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:07 | |
(2nd & 6 at TENN 29) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.90 | 88.1% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.06 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.06) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.1% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:46 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 36) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.17 | 88.9% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.86 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.86) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(2nd & 6 at TENN 40) Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.91 | 89.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 1.64 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.64) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:04 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 8 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.63 | 89.7% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.50 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.50) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:49 | |
(2nd & 2 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.83 | 90.2% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.16 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.16) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 89.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:42 | |
(3rd & 2 at PUR 42) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.95 | 89.3% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 2.34 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.34) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.3% Win Probability (After): 90.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:20 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 39) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.42 | 91.3% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.43 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.43) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at PUR 36) Hooker, Hendon rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE34, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal formation 5 yards to the PURDUE41, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.85 | 90.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 41 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.17 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.17) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:33 | |
(2nd & 12 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.85 | 89.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 33 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.24 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.24) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:53 | |
(3rd & 4 at PUR 33) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr. - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.46 | 90.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.93 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.93) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 88.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:53 | |
(4th & 4 at PUR 33) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Princeton Fant) to the Prdue 38 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.05 | 89.6% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.41 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.41) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.6% Win Probability (After): 88.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:46 | |
(4th & 9 at PUR 38) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.91 | 88.4% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - 0.29 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.29) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.4% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:36 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 33 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.68 | 14.3% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 67 Started Drive at: PUR 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 1.59 = -1.68 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.41) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 11.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(2nd & 15 at PUR 33) Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 44 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.85 | 11.9% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56 Started Drive at: PUR 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.31 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.69) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:28 | |
(3rd & 4 at PUR 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.46 | 13.7% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: PUR 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.10 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.7% Win Probability (After): 11.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:20 | |
(4th & 4 at PUR 44) Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 17 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.31 | 11.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 83 Started Drive at: PUR 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.25 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.25) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 11.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:07 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 17) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 3 yds to the Tenn 20 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.28 | 88.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80 Started Drive at: TENN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.57 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.57) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.3% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:53 | |
(2nd & 7 at TENN 20) Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 24 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.19 | 87.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76 Started Drive at: TENN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.29 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.29) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:44 | |
(3rd & 3 at TENN 24) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -1.30 | 87.0% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: TENN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - 0.08 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.08) Score Difference (End): 8 (6.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 85.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:36 | |
(4th & 3 at TENN 24) Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 36 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.42 | 85.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 64 Started Drive at: TENN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -1.15 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 8 (6.85) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 85.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:28 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.58 | 14.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 51 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.49 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.51) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.2% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:57 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 49) Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Tenn 43 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.71 | 15.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 2.04 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.96) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.5% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:29 | |
(2nd & 2 at TENN 43) Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.43 | 16.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.39 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.61) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:58 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 40) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 38 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 3.64 | 18.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 2 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.53 = 3.64 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.47) Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:50 | |
(1st & Goal at TENN 2) Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.02 | 21.9% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.01 - 5.98 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.02) Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:14 | |
(2nd & Goal at TENN 1) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 2 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -0.68 | 23.1% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 2 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 5.93 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.07) Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 19.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:12 | |
(3rd & Goal at TENN 2) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 01:12 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 5.24 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.4% Win Probability (After): 20.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:07 | |
(3rd & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jeremy Banks for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 12 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | -3.29 | 22.0% | -6.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 12 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 5.24 = -3.29 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.0% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:06 | |
(4th & Goal at TENN 12) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 01:06 - TENN 21, PUR 13 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.94 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.06) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.7% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:03 | |
(4th & Goal at TENN 12) Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 0.87 | 16.6% | 12.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: PUR 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.13 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.87) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:57 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 47 yds , Jimmy Holiday return for 20 yds to the Tenn 38 - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 0.27 | 80.0% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62 Started Drive at: TENN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.52 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.52) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.0% Win Probability (After): 81.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the Tenn 38 - TENN 21, PUR 16 | -0.07 | 81.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: TENN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.86 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.86) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(2nd & 10 at TENN 38) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete, Offsetting penalties, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 0.07 | 81.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: TENN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.67 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.67) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.7% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:29 | |
(2nd & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 28 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by DaMarcus Mitchell, recovered by Prdue Prince Boyd Jr. , return for 0 yards - TENN 21, PUR 16 | -3.69 | 81.7% | -11.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 28 Started Drive at: TENN 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - 0.62 = -3.69 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.62) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.93) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.7% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 28) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 26 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 3.21 | 28.2% | 10.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 2 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 2.72 = 3.21 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.28) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.2% Win Probability (After): 39.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(1st & Goal at TENN 2) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:23 - TENN 21, PUR 16 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 5.93 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.93) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.0% Win Probability (After): 39.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:19 | |
(1st & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 1.28 | 38.9% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.72) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:19 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.79) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 25) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | -0.11 | 62.0% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: TENN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.11 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.89) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 65.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 14:53 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 29 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | -0.78 | 65.9% | -5.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.63 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.37) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.9% Win Probability (After): 60.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:44 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 29) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 13 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 0.59 | 66.4% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.37 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.63) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.4% Win Probability (After): 68.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 42) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 0.28 | 68.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.16 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.16) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.5% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:15 | |
(2nd & 4 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 18 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 1.36 | 69.2% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 34 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 2.42 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.42) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 72.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:06 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 34) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Cooper Mays) to the Prdue 39 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | -0.87 | 72.3% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.83 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.83) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:46 | |
(1st & 15 at PUR 39) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Fant, Princeton, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Grant, Marvin) 7 yards to the PURDUE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 1.06 | 70.4% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 2.97 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.97) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 72.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:30 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 32) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | -0.37 | 71.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.97 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.97) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 71.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 7 at PUR 29) Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 1.02 | 71.0% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 3.60 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.60) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:58 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 20) Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Prdue 15 - TENN 21, PUR 23 | 0.21 | 73.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 4.61 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.61) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 21, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 74.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:45 | |
(2nd & 5 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 2.16 | 73.1% | 8.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:45 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 63 yds for a touchback - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:36 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 0.23 | 23.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.71 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:55 | |
(2nd & 5 at PUR 30) Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | -0.64 | 23.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.95 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.05) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.2% Win Probability (After): 22.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:42 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 32) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Anthrop, Jackson, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Jackson, Theo) 4 yards to the PURDUE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 1.41 | 22.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 0.31 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.69) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.4% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:37 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 36) Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 36 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | -0.63 | 24.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.73 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 22.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:18 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 26 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 2.44 | 23.0% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 38 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 1.01 = 2.44 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.99) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Tenn 35 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | -0.27 | 28.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 3.41 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.59) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:25 | |
(2nd & 7 at TENN 35) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 25 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 1.91 | 27.1% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 10 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 3.19 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.81) Score Difference (End): -5 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.1% Win Probability (After): 33.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:25 | |
(1st & Goal at TENN 10) King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Tenn 8 PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (Garrett Miller) to the Tenn 23 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | -2.15 | 33.6% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 23 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 5.11 = -2.15 Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.10) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:39 | |
(2nd & Goal at TENN 23) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 13 yds to the Tenn 10 - TENN 28, PUR 23 | 0.38 | 28.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 3.30 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.70) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 23 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:04 | |
(3rd & Goal at TENN 10) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 30 | 3.31 | 30.4% | 14.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.31) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.4% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:55 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 24 yds to the PURDUE 41 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 14 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -1.53 | 58.2% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86 Started Drive at: TENN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.86 = -1.53 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-9.97) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 14) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds to the Tenn 16 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.64 | 57.2% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 84 Started Drive at: TENN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 0.42 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.58) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.2% Win Probability (After): 55.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:20 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 16) TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 8 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Tenn - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -2.15 | 55.2% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 92 Started Drive at: TENN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - -0.19 = -2.15 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.19) Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(3rd & 16 at TENN 8) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr. - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.84 | 47.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 92 Started Drive at: TENN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.15 - -2.32 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-4.32) Score Difference (End): -2 (-5.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.6% Win Probability (After): 46.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:53 | |
(4th & 16 at TENN 8) Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Tenn 46 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | 0.03 | 46.0% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 46 Started Drive at: TENN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.10 - -3.13 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-5.13) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:40 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 46) King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.44 | 53.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43 Started Drive at: TENN 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.09 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.09) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at TENN 43) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -1.06 | 53.9% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: TENN 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 2.62 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.9% Win Probability (After): 51.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:15 | |
(3rd & 7 at TENN 43) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -2.00 | 51.8% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: TENN 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.60 = -2.00 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.60) Score Difference (End): 2 (1.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.8% Win Probability (After): 46.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:08 | |
(4th & 7 at TENN 43) Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 5 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | 0.61 | 46.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 95 Started Drive at: TENN 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.30 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): 2 (1.70) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.7% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:57 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 5) Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 5 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.67 | 53.4% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95 Started Drive at: TENN 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.30 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.4% Win Probability (After): 51.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at TENN 5) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 9 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.46 | 51.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 91 Started Drive at: TENN 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.96 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.96) Score Difference (End): -2 (-3.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.8% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:13 | |
(3rd & 6 at TENN 9) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -1.31 | 49.7% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91 Started Drive at: TENN 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -1.32 = -1.31 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-3.32) Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.7% Win Probability (After): 47.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:04 | |
(4th & 6 at TENN 9) Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 2 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.03 | 48.9% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 51 Started Drive at: TENN 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -2.62 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-4.62) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.65) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:53 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.60 | 54.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.67 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.67) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -4.91 | 53.1% | -18.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.1% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 30 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 30 | 1.81 | 66.0% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 19 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 2.89 = 1.81 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.89) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 71.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:15 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 19) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.28 | 70.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 17 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 4.68 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.68) Score Difference (End): -2 (2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:37 | |
(2nd & 8 at PUR 17) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -0.52 | 70.3% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 15 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 4.42 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.42) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 68.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:21 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Prdue 13 - TENN 28, PUR 30 | -1.21 | 68.0% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 13 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 3.93 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.93) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 28, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.0% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:44 | |
(4th & 4 at PUR 13) Chase McGrath 30 yd FG GOOD - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.27 | 64.8% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: PUR 49 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.73) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:44 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.5% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:38 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Jackson Anthrop run for no gain to the Prdue 25 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.58 | 34.6% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.91 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.09) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 31.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 25) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 15 yards to the PURDUE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.71 | 32.6% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 0.36 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.64) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 39.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:57 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 40) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 21 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.40 | 39.7% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 39 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 2.08 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:28 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 39) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.59 | 43.9% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.47 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.47) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.9% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:21 | |
(2nd & 10 at TENN 39) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Trevon Flowers return for no gain to the Tenn 15 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -3.64 | 42.0% | -11.4% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 85 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 2.88 = -3.64 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.88) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 30.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:13 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 15) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 16 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.73 | 69.4% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 84 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.76 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.76) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 67.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(2nd & 9 at TENN 16) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.41 | 67.3% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 73 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 0.05 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 27) Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 32 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.03 | 70.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.52 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.52) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.6% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:03 | |
(2nd & 5 at TENN 32) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.06 | 71.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.52 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.52) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:42 | |
(3rd & 1 at TENN 36) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.75 | 70.7% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.54 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.54) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 73.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:15 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 40) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 46 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.16 | 73.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.27 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.27) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.0% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at TENN 46) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jabari Small) to the Tenn 41 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.78 | 72.2% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.41 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.41) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.2% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at TENN 41) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.19 | 70.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.65 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.65) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.5% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:26 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.12 | 71.0% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 1.84 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 73.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.63 | 73.8% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.92 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.92) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.8% Win Probability (After): 72.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:48 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Prdue 43 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.14 | 72.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.28 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.28) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.8% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:20 | |
(3rd & 4 at PUR 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.75 | 72.7% | 5.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 2.15 = 1.75 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.15) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.7% Win Probability (After): 78.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 33) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.51 | 78.9% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.92 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.92) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.9% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:38 | |
(2nd & 8 at PUR 31) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.51 | 77.4% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.45 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.4% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:11 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 29) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.10 | 75.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.91 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.91) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.3% Win Probability (After): 75.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:03 | |
(4th & 1 at PUR 24) Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -3.99 | 75.1% | -13.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76 Started Drive at: TENN 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 2.99 = -3.99 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.99) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:50 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.43 | 40.2% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.12 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.12) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:25 | |
(2nd & 4 at PUR 31) Deion Burks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 28 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -1.71 | 42.2% | -10.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.45 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.45) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.2% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:47 | |
(3rd & 7 at PUR 28) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 2.25 | 31.2% | 12.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - -0.24 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 44.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:12 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 37) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 43 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.16 | 44.6% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.06 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.06) Score Difference (End): -1 (1.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 45.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:33 | |
(2nd & 4 at PUR 43) King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.46 | 45.8% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.18 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.18) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.8% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:11 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -1.68 | 43.2% | -11.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 1.51 = -1.68 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.51) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.2% Win Probability (After): 31.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:57 | |
(4th & 3 at PUR 44) Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tenn 8 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.34 | 31.0% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 92 Started Drive at: PUR 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - -0.31 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.31) Score Difference (End): 1 (0.97) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.0% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:48 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 8) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the Tenn 15 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.51 | 66.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 85 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - -0.02 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.98) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:30 | |
(2nd & 3 at TENN 15) Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.29 | 68.9% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.50 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.50) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:06 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 19) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 21 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.46 | 72.4% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.80 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.80) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.4% Win Probability (After): 68.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:50 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 21) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 27 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.04 | 68.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.31 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.31) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.0% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:27 | |
(3rd & 2 at TENN 27) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 1.09 | 68.1% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 0.32 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.32) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 71.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:15 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 30) Jabari Small run for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.66 | 73.8% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 57 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.47 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.47) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.8% Win Probability (After): 76.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:57 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 43) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.39 | 76.2% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.13 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.13) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 75.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:23 | |
(2nd & 8 at TENN 45) Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 44 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Tenn Hendon Hooker - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.81 | 76.0% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 56 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.69 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 70.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:08 | |
(3rd & 9 at TENN 44) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -1.29 | 70.1% | -6.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.72 = -1.29 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.72) Score Difference (End): 1 (0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:00 | |
(4th & 9 at TENN 44) Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for no gain to the Prdue 10 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.38 | 63.1% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 90 Started Drive at: TENN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - -0.68 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.32) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.69) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.1% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:56 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 10) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 9 yards to the PURDUE19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.58 | 31.8% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 81 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.34 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.66) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.8% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 19) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 15 yards to the PURDUE34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.86 | 38.3% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 66 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.92 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.3% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:39 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 34) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Collin Sullivan for 4 yds to the Prdue 38 - TENN 31, PUR 30 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.64 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.64) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.2% Win Probability (After): 45.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:07 | |
(2nd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete - TENN 31, PUR 30 | -0.82 | 47.5% | -10.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.72 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.72) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:58 | |
(3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 6.86 | 41.2% | 41.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.2% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:53 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 37 yds , Miles Campbell return for 7 yds to the Tenn 35 - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.74 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.26) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.8% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 | 4.17 | 20.8% | 22.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:18 | |
(1st & Goal at PUR 5) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 3 - TENN 31, PUR 38 | -0.18 | 43.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.52 - 5.71 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.2% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:59 | |
(2nd & Goal at PUR 3) Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2 - TENN 31, PUR 38 | -0.26 | 41.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 5.56 = -0.26 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.7% Win Probability (After): 40.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:49 | |
(3rd & Goal at PUR 2) Wright, Jaylen rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE0, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Spraggins, Javontez) 11 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY. - TENN 31, PUR 38 | -2.24 | 40.6% | -14.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 13 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 5.31 = -2.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:44 | |
(3rd & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 31, PUR 38 | -1.36 | 30.2% | -8.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 3.60 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 31, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.2% Win Probability (After): 21.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 | 4.77 | 25.4% | 29.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.4% Win Probability (After): 54.5% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 38, PUR 38 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 54.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:36 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 - TENN 38, PUR 38 | -0.13 | 55.9% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.24 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.9% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:12 | |
(2nd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop - TENN 38, PUR 38 | -0.80 | 56.0% | -6.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 1.21 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.0% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 6.42 | 51.5% | 35.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:57 | |
(Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 58 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 21 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 38, PUR 45 | -0.66 | 17.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.92 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.1% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 28) Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 33 - TENN 38, PUR 45 | -0.11 | 19.0% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 1.05 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.95) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.0% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:26 | |
(2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 4.10 | 17.5% | 20.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:05 | |
(1st & Goal at PUR 9) Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Prdue 2 - TENN 38, PUR 45 | 0.85 | 31.7% | 8.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 2 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.76 - 4.91 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 38, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 40.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 1.37 | 34.9% | 17.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: TENN 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:35 | |
(Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.22 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.42 | 61.0% | -6.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.20 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:28 | |
(2nd & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.14 | 55.0% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.70 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.0% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:01 | |
(3rd & 4 at PUR 31) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -1.70 | 58.5% | -31.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.91 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.91) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.5% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:44 | |
(4th & 4 at PUR 31) Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 25 PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tenn 40 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -1.00 | 21.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.32 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.79) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 40) Jabari Small run for 8 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.47 | 76.5% | 5.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.63 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:33 | |
(2nd & 2 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.12 | 84.2% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.06 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 82.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:32 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.48 | 84.9% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 2.06 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:18 | |
(2nd & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.12 | 77.2% | 8.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.02 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.2% Win Probability (After): 85.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:11 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 42) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:11 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 81.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(3rd & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.75 | 81.2% | -11.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.51 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 69.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:07 | |
(4th & 3 at PUR 42) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:07 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 74.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.76 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 74.5% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:06 | |
(4th & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 1.08 | 74.4% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.71 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.4% Win Probability (After): 77.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:02 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 39) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:02 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 79.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.80 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.4% Win Probability (After): 79.4% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:02 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 39) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:02 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 74.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.79 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.79) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.9% Win Probability (After): 74.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 39) Chase McGrath 56 yd FG MISSED - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -1.76 | 78.4% | -35.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: TENN 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.47 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.30) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 43.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| OT | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds to the Prdue 19 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.23 | 84.2% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 19 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.18 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 87.8% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(2nd & 4 at PUR 19) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 16 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.12 | 87.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 2.41 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.8% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & 1 at PUR 16) Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 17 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.03 | 87.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.53 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(4th & 2 at PUR 17) Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.16 | 87.1% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.57 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 85.4% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| OT | |
(1st & 10 at PUR 14) Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 1.26 | 85.4% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 2 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.40 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.4% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(1st & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 8 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.88 | 86.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 8 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.66 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(2nd & Goal at PUR 8) Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Prdue 3 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.11 | 88.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.78 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & Goal at PUR 3) Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.57 | 88.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.89 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.89) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| OT | |
(4th & Goal at PUR 1) Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Prdue 1 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -3.40 | 88.7% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: PUR 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 3.46 = -3.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.7% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| OT | |
(1st & 10 at TENN 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Tenn 18 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.31 | 83.2% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.18 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| OT | |
(2nd & 3 at TENN 18) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | -0.02 | 87.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 19 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.49 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 87.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & 4 at TENN 19) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 21 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.14 | 87.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.47 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| OT | |
(4th & 6 at TENN 21) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:00 - TENN 45, PUR 45 | 0.00 | 85.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.60 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| OT | |
(4th & 6 at TENN 21) Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG GOOD - TENN 45, PUR 48 | 0.40 | 85.9% | 14.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: PUR 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: TENN 45, PUR 48 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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