Tennessee 45 @ Purdue 48

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 6.17 | Odds: TENN -7.5, O/U 66.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Total Plays 12198
Total EPA 3.1615.16
  Offensive EPA 13.896.21
  Special Teams EPA -7.202.18
  Penalty EPA -3.74.42
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.172.35
Production ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Scrimmage Plays 10481
  Yards 681631
  Yards/Play 6.557.79
  EPA 13.896.21
  EPA/Play 0.130.08
Passes 43 (41%)50 (62%)
  Yards 378535
  Yards/Play 8.7910.70
  EPA 11.339.66
  EPA/Play 0.260.19
Rushes 61 (59%)31 (38%)
  Yards 304108
  Yards/Play 4.983.48
  EPA 2.56-3.45
  EPA/Play 0.04-0.11
Rushing ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Scrimmage Plays 10481
Rushes 61 (59%)31 (38%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 4 (7%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (25%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (10%)7 (23%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 21 (34%)14 (45%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 30 (49%)15 (48%)
OL Line Yards 133.558.1
  Per Carry 2.191.87
Highlight Yards 88.513.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.950.90
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Total Plays 12198
Scrimmage Plays 10481
Explosive Plays 5 (5%)10 (12%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (9%)10 (20%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -8.18-35.62
  EPA/Play -0.08-0.50
  When Passing -6.56-32.17
    EPA/Play -0.15-0.64
  When Rushing -1.61-3.45
    EPA/Play -0.03-0.11
Situational ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 52 (50%)39 (48%)
  When Passing 20 (47%)23 (46%)
  When Rushing 32 (52%)16 (52%)
  On Standard Downs 44 (54%)30 (45%)
  On Passing Downs 8 (35%)9 (60%)
  On Early Downs 40 (51%)32 (50%)
  On Late Downs 12 (46%)7 (41%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (50%)9 (69%)
Early Downs 7864
  First Downs Created 15 (19%)13 (20%)
  EPA 19.755.85
  EPA/Play 0.250.09
  Passes 29 (37%)36 (56%)
  Rushes 49 (63%)28 (44%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 16 (55%)18 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 24 (49%)14 (50%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1213
  EPA -0.107.29
  EPA/play -0.010.56
  Passes 5 (42%)6 (46%)
  Rushes 7 (58%)7 (54%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)5 (83%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 4 (57%)4 (57%)
Drives ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Total 1918
Avg Starting Field Position Own 29Own 26
Plays/Drive 7.796.56
Yards/Drive 41.8844.30
Available Yards % 59%60%
Defensive ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Scrimmage Plays 81104
Stop Rate 33%66%
Havoc Plays Created 12 (15%)5 (5%)
  Passing 7 (14%)2 (5%)
  Rushing 5 (16%)3 (5%)
TFLs Generated 95
  Passing 42
  Rushing 53
Sacks Generated 2 (4%)2 (5%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 30
Fumbles Forced 01
Turnovers ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Turnovers 33
  Fumbles 50
  Fumbles Lost 30
  Fumbles Recovered 20
  Interceptions 03
Turnover Margin 00
Expected Turnovers 2.53.2
Expected Turnover Margin 0.7-0.7
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.33.3
Special Teams ESPN team id 2633 ESPN team id 2509
Total Plays 17 17
Total EPA -7.2 2.18
  Field Goal EPA -1.49 2.34
  Punting EPA 0.03 -0.16
  Kickoff Return EPA -5.74 0

Tennessee [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Hendon Hooker 26/41, 378 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 67.8 xQBR 8.79 0.26 11.33 47% 74.0%
Rush attempts
Jabari Small 26 carries, 180 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.92 0.25 6.61 54% 43.0%
Hendon Hooker 17 carries, 78 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (1 lost) 4.59 0.02 0.35 53% -19.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -8 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) -8.00 -2.15 -2.15 0% -7.0%
Jaylen Wright 17 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 3.18 -0.13 -2.25 53% -1.0%
Pass targets
Cedric Tillman 7 catches (9 targets), 150 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.43 1.77 15.92 78% 48.0%
Jalin Hyatt 3 catches (4 targets), 35 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.67 0.30 1.19 50% 10.0%
Velus Jones Jr. 10 catches (12 targets), 85 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.10 1.18 42% 10.0%
Princeton Fant 3 catches (6 targets), 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.67 0.19 1.14 50% 9.0%
JaVonta Payton 2 catches (6 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.50 -0.01 -0.05 33% 2.0%
Jabari Small 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.44 -0.44 0% -1.0%

Purdue [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Aidan O'Connell 26/47, 535 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 2 Scks, 70.4 xQBR 10.92 0.21 10.29 47% 18.0%
Jackson Anthrop 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 17.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% -1.0%
Rush attempts
Zander Horvath 17 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.41 0.06 0.99 59% -4.0%
Aidan O'Connell 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.32 0.32 100% -1.0%
Jackson Anthrop 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.57 -1.14 0% -4.0%
Deion Burks 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -1.71 -1.71 0% -11.0%
King Doerue 10 carries, 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 -0.19 -1.92 50% -8.0%
Pass targets
Broc Thompson 7 catches (12 targets), 218 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 27.25 1.16 13.96 67% 44.0%
TJ Sheffield 3 catches (4 targets), 61 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.33 1.72 6.89 75% 16.0%
Payne Durham 5 catches (8 targets), 85 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.77 6.15 50% 42.0%
Jackson Anthrop 5 catches (7 targets), 74 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.80 0.59 4.11 43% -2.0%
Deion Burks 1 catch (1 target), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 26.00 3.21 3.21 100% 11.0%
Dylan Downing 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 1.40 1.40 100% 4.0%
Zander Horvath 2 catches (2 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 0.38 0.76 50% 4.0%
Collin Sullivan 1 catch (4 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.67 -2.70 25% -38.0%
Garrett Miller 1 catch (5 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 25.00 -0.71 -3.57 20% -4.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:15 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 6.93 16.0% 10.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 6.86 41.2% 41.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 6.42 51.5% 35.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 5.57 76.0% 10.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:43 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 31) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. Kamal Hadden return for no gain - TENN 14, PUR 7 -5.39 19.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 80

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 3.44 = -5.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:45 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -4.91 53.1% -18.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 4.77 25.4% 29.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:42 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 4.17 20.8% 22.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 4.10 17.5% 20.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:03 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 1 at PUR 24) Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -3.99 75.1% -13.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 2.99 = -3.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 6.86 41.2% 41.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 6.42 51.5% 35.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 39) Chase McGrath 56 yd FG MISSED - TENN 45, PUR 45 -1.76 78.4% -35.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.47 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:01 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 4 at PUR 31) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 -1.70 58.5% -31.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.91 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 4.77 25.4% 29.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:42 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 4.17 20.8% 22.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 4.10 17.5% 20.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:45 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -4.91 53.1% -18.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 1.37 34.9% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:49 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & Goal at PUR 2) Wright, Jaylen rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE0, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Spraggins, Javontez) 11 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY. - TENN 31, PUR 38 -2.24 40.6% -14.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 13

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 5.31 = -2.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 10:28 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 0 3.46 78.3% 7.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.54 = 3.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:15 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 6.93 16.0% 10.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 5.57 76.0% 10.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & Goal at PUR 2) Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.54 90.9% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.46 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 2 at TENN 7) Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.01 9.5% 2.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.99 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.01)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:42 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 10 at TENN 18) Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 13 1.06 11.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:03 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & Goal at TENN 12) Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 16 0.87 16.6% 12.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.13 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:19 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 23 1.28 38.9% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 23 2.16 73.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:04 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & Goal at TENN 10) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 30 3.31 30.4% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 4 at PUR 13) Chase McGrath 30 yd FG GOOD - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.27 64.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.73)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 6.86 41.2% 41.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 4.77 25.4% 29.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 6.42 51.5% 35.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 1.37 34.9% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

OT ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 6 at TENN 21) Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG GOOD - TENN 45, PUR 48 0.40 85.9% 14.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 62 yds for a touchback - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.00 26.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:35 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 7 yds to the Prdue 32 - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.41 27.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 1.04 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:26 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 3 at PUR 32) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 0, PUR 0 -1.10 27.1% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.62 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:21 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 3 at PUR 32) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Banks, Jeremy) 4 yards to the PURDUE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 0, PUR 0 1.45 25.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.51 = 1.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:12 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ Sheffield - TENN 0, PUR 0 -0.64 29.3% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.93 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 36) Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45 - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.66 27.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 1.32 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.32)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.2%

Win Probability (After): 29.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:24 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 1 at PUR 45) Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.60 29.4% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 2.03 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:40 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 47) Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 0, PUR 0 -0.56 31.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 51

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.62 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 30.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:08 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 8 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45 - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.32 31.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 45

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.04 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:41 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 2 at TENN 45) Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44 - TENN 0, PUR 0 -0.99 31.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 44

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.35 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:12 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 1 at TENN 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 0, PUR 0 -3.79 30.1% -7.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - 1.31 = -3.79

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:55 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 45) Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Prdue 48 - TENN 0, PUR 0 0.45 77.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.50 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.8%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:48 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 3 at PUR 48) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 0, PUR 0 -1.10 78.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 3.06 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.0%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:35 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at PUR 48) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down - TENN 0, PUR 0 1.46 77.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 41

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 2.08 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 0, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:28 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 0 3.46 78.3% 7.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.54 = 3.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:28 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 7, PUR 0 0.00 15.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - -0.10 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:15 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 75 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 7, PUR 7 6.93 16.0% 10.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.07 = 6.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:06 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 63 yds , Jimmy Holiday return for 23 yds to the Tenn 25 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -1.01 74.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 1.13 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:53 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 - TENN 7, PUR 7 0.27 74.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.26 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:36 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at TENN 31) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 2 yds to the Tenn 33 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -0.44 74.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.48 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.48)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:03 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 2 at TENN 33) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -1.24 74.6% -2.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 0.88 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:56 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 1 at TENN 34) Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 18 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -0.45 66.2% 4.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 82

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.30 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.30)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:27 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 18) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -0.23 29.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78

Started Drive at: PUR 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 0.70 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:11 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 6 at PUR 22) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -0.24 28.7% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74

Started Drive at: PUR 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.45 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:11 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 2 at PUR 26) Aidan O'Connell sacked by Caleb Tremblay for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 21 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -2.49 29.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: PUR 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - 0.29 = -2.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.29)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:58 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 7 at PUR 21) Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for no gain to the Tenn 37 - TENN 7, PUR 7 0.20 25.4% -3.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 63

Started Drive at: PUR 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - -2.18 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 22.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:39 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 37) Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39 - TENN 7, PUR 7 -0.57 77.6% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61

Started Drive at: TENN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.99 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 7, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 39) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 61 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 14, PUR 7 5.57 76.0% 10.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.43 = 5.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:31 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 14, PUR 7 0.00 16.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.02 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:20 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 34 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 2.72 16.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 41

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - -0.03 = 2.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.3%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:54 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 41) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Sheffield, TJ, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Hadden, Kamal) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 14, PUR 7 0.78 18.8% 2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 31

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.68 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:43 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 31) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. Kamal Hadden return for no gain - TENN 14, PUR 7 -5.39 19.9% -6.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 80

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - 3.44 = -5.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.95)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:30 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 20) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26 - TENN 14, PUR 7 0.19 86.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.94 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:05 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at TENN 26) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 1.75 87.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 2.13 = 1.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:54 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 43) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41 - TENN 14, PUR 7 -0.42 88.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 3.89 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:42 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 - TENN 14, PUR 7 0.04 88.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.43 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:24 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at PUR 36) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 24 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST down - TENN 14, PUR 7 1.91 88.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 12

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 3.48 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:07 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 12) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Prdue 11 - TENN 14, PUR 7 -0.48 90.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.92 - 5.40 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:40 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 9 at PUR 11) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 14, PUR 7 -0.81 90.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.92 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:34 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 9 at PUR 11) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Graham, Jalen) 9 yards to the PURDUE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 14, PUR 7 2.34 89.3% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.46 - 4.12 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (13.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 14, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & Goal at PUR 2) Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.54 90.9% 3.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.46 = 0.54

Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.46)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:29 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.00 6.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:23 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 22 - TENN 21, PUR 7 -1.11 6.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 78

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.67 - -0.56 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.56)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:41 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 13 at PUR 22) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 29 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 3.44 6.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 49

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -1.68 = 3.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:08 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 49) Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Tenn 42 - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.49 9.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 1.79 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.21)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 3 at TENN 42) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Warren Burrell) to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 1.33 9.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 27

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.32 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.72)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 27) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Tenn 19 - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.70 11.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.63 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.37)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:54 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 2 at TENN 19) Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Tenn 19 - TENN 21, PUR 7 -0.72 11.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 4.33 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:17 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 2 at TENN 19) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 7 1.06 10.5% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.60 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.40)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 15) Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Tenn 7 - TENN 21, PUR 7 0.69 10.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 7

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.61 = 0.69

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:10 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 2 at TENN 7) Jackson Anthrop pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 7 -0.63 11.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 5.36 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.64)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 10.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:04 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 2 at TENN 7) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 21, PUR 7 -1.79 11.1% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 4.76 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 2 at TENN 7) Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.01 9.5% 2.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.99 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.01)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:54 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 23 yds to the Tenn 23 - TENN 21, PUR 10 -1.11 92.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 2.01 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.01)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:37 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 23) Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 21, PUR 10 -0.02 92.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.89 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.89)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:28 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 28) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Marvin Grant) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 1.70 92.4% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 45

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 2.21 = 1.70

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 45) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 21, PUR 10 -0.37 94.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 3.84 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.84)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:59 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 7 at PUR 42) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Tillman, Cedric, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul (Carvin, Jerome) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE43, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 10 -1.20 94.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 57

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 3.43 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.43)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:54 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 22 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 21, PUR 10 -0.95 92.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 2.13 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.13)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:49 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 22 at TENN 43) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 21, PUR 10 -1.24 91.9% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 1.16 = -1.24

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.16)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:41 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 22 at TENN 43) Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 13 - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.51 91.0% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 87

Started Drive at: TENN 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - -0.02 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.98)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.49)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:32 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 13) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the Prdue 22 - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.72 9.1% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 78

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - -0.50 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.50)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:06 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 1 at PUR 22) King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.16 10.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.23 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.77)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 10.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:20 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 26) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 41 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 2.85 10.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 33

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 0.61 = 2.85

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.39)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:58 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 33) King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Tenn 24 - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.53 13.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 24

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.52 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.48)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:27 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 1 at TENN 24) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 10 0.32 14.1% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.47 - 4.16 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:59 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 21, PUR 10 -0.64 14.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 4.46 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.54)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:54 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 10 -0.76 14.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.81 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.19)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:48 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 10 at TENN 18) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 21, PUR 10 -1.08 13.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 3.03 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.97)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:42 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 10 at TENN 18) Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 13 1.06 11.6% 4.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.94 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:37 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 25 yds to the Tenn 25 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.93 88.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.41 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:20 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.02 88.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.31 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 6 at TENN 29) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.90 88.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 64

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.06 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.06)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:46 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 36) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.17 88.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.86 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 6 at TENN 40) Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.91 89.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 1.64 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.64)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:04 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at 50) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 8 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.63 89.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 2.50 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.50)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:49 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 2 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.83 90.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 3.16 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:42 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 2 at PUR 42) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.95 89.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 2.34 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.34)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:20 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 39) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.42 91.3% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.43 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.43)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:05 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 7 at PUR 36) Hooker, Hendon rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE34, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal formation 5 yards to the PURDUE41, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.85 90.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 41

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.17 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.17)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:33 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 12 at PUR 41) Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.85 89.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 33

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.24 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.24)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 4 at PUR 33) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr. - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.46 90.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.93 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.93)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 4 at PUR 33) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Princeton Fant) to the Prdue 38 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.05 89.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 38

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.41 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.41)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:46 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 9 at PUR 38) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.91 88.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - 0.29 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.29)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:36 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 33 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.68 14.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 67

Started Drive at: PUR 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 1.59 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.41)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:54 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 15 at PUR 33) Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 44 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.85 11.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56

Started Drive at: PUR 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 0.31 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.69)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:28 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 4 at PUR 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.46 13.7% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: PUR 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.10 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.90)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:20 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 4 at PUR 44) Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 17 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.31 11.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 83

Started Drive at: PUR 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.25 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.25)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.7%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:07 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 17) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 3 yds to the Tenn 20 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.28 88.3% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80

Started Drive at: TENN 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.57 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.57)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:53 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 7 at TENN 20) Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 24 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.19 87.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76

Started Drive at: TENN 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 0.29 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.29)

Score Difference (End): 8 (8.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:44 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at TENN 24) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman - TENN 21, PUR 13 -1.30 87.0% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: TENN 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - 0.08 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.08)

Score Difference (End): 8 (6.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:36 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 3 at TENN 24) Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 36 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.42 85.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 64

Started Drive at: TENN 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -1.15 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 8 (6.85)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:28 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.58 14.2% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 51

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.49 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 49) Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Tenn 43 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.71 15.5% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 43

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 2.04 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.96)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:29 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 2 at TENN 43) Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.43 16.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.39 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.61)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.2%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:58 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 40) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 38 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 13 3.64 18.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 2

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.17 - 2.53 = 3.64

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & Goal at TENN 2) Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.02 21.9% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.01 - 5.98 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.02)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.9%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & Goal at TENN 1) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 2 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -0.68 23.1% -3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 2

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 5.93 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.07)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & Goal at TENN 2) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 01:12 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.00 20.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.24 - 5.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 20.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:07 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jeremy Banks for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 12 - TENN 21, PUR 13 -3.29 22.0% -6.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 12

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 5.24 = -3.29

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:06 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & Goal at TENN 12) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 01:06 - TENN 21, PUR 13 0.00 16.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 1.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.06)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:03 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & Goal at TENN 12) Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOOD - TENN 21, PUR 16 0.87 16.6% 12.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: PUR 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.13 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 13 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:57 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 47 yds , Jimmy Holiday return for 20 yds to the Tenn 38 - TENN 21, PUR 16 0.27 80.0% 1.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 0.52 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.52)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:44 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the Tenn 38 - TENN 21, PUR 16 -0.07 81.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.86 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.86)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at TENN 38) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete, Offsetting penalties, NO PLAY. - TENN 21, PUR 16 0.07 81.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: TENN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.67 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:29 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at TENN 38) Hendon Hooker sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 28 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by DaMarcus Mitchell, recovered by Prdue Prince Boyd Jr. , return for 0 yards - TENN 21, PUR 16 -3.69 81.7% -11.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 28

Started Drive at: TENN 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - 0.62 = -3.69

Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.62)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.7%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:25 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 28) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 26 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 16 3.21 28.2% 10.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 2

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 2.72 = 3.21

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.28)

Score Difference (End): -5 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.2%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:23 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & Goal at TENN 2) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:23 - TENN 21, PUR 16 0.00 39.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.93 - 5.93 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.93)

Score Difference (End): -5 (0.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 16

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.0%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (16)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:19 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & Goal at TENN 2) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 21, PUR 23 1.28 38.9% 3.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.72 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 16 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:19 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 21, PUR 23 0.00 62.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.79)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:11 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 - TENN 21, PUR 23 -0.11 62.0% 3.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: TENN 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.11 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.89)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 14:53 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 29 yds to the Tenn 29 - TENN 21, PUR 23 -0.78 65.9% -5.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.63 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.9%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:44 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 29) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 13 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 0.59 66.4% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.37 = 0.59

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.63)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:33 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 42) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 21, PUR 23 0.28 68.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 52

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.16 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 18 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 1.36 69.2% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 34

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 2.42 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.42)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:06 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 34) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Cooper Mays) to the Prdue 39 - TENN 21, PUR 23 -0.87 72.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 39

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.83 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.83)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:46 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 15 at PUR 39) Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Fant, Princeton, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Grant, Marvin) 7 yards to the PURDUE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. - TENN 21, PUR 23 1.06 70.4% 2.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.03 - 2.97 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.97)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:30 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 32) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29 - TENN 21, PUR 23 -0.37 71.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 29

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.97 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:09 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 7 at PUR 29) Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST down - TENN 21, PUR 23 1.02 71.0% 2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 3.60 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.60)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:58 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 20) Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Prdue 15 - TENN 21, PUR 23 0.21 73.1% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 4.61 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.61)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 21, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 23 2.16 73.1% 8.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.84 = 2.16

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 5 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 63 yds for a touchback - TENN 28, PUR 23 0.00 23.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:36 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 - TENN 28, PUR 23 0.23 23.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.71 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.29)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:55 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 5 at PUR 30) Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32 - TENN 28, PUR 23 -0.64 23.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.95 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.05)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:42 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 3 at PUR 32) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Anthrop, Jackson, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Jackson, Theo) 4 yards to the PURDUE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 28, PUR 23 1.41 22.4% 1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 0.31 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.69)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.4%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:37 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 36) Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 36 - TENN 28, PUR 23 -0.63 24.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.73 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.27)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:18 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 36) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 26 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 23 2.44 23.0% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 38

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 1.01 = 2.44

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.99)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:55 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Tenn 35 - TENN 28, PUR 23 -0.27 28.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.13 - 3.41 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.59)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 27.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:25 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 7 at TENN 35) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 25 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 23 1.91 27.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 10

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 3.19 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.81)

Score Difference (End): -5 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:25 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & Goal at TENN 10) King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Tenn 8 PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (Garrett Miller) to the Tenn 23 - TENN 28, PUR 23 -2.15 33.6% -6.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 23

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 5.11 = -2.15

Score Difference (Before): -5 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:39 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & Goal at TENN 23) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 13 yds to the Tenn 10 - TENN 28, PUR 23 0.38 28.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 10

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.68 - 3.30 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.70)

Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 23

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.7%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (23)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:04 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & Goal at TENN 10) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 28, PUR 30 3.31 30.4% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.69 = 3.31

Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 44.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 23 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:55 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 24 yds to the PURDUE 41 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 14 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -1.53 58.2% -4.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86

Started Drive at: TENN 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.86 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-9.97)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 53.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 14) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds to the Tenn 16 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.64 57.2% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 84

Started Drive at: TENN 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 0.42 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.58)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:20 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 16) TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 8 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Tenn - TENN 28, PUR 30 -2.15 55.2% -6.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 92

Started Drive at: TENN 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.34 - -0.19 = -2.15

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.19)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.2%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:59 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 16 at TENN 8) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr. - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.84 47.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 92

Started Drive at: TENN 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.15 - -2.32 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-4.32)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.6%

Win Probability (After): 46.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:53 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 16 at TENN 8) Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Tenn 46 - TENN 28, PUR 30 0.03 46.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 46

Started Drive at: TENN 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.10 - -3.13 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-5.13)

Score Difference (End): 2 (5.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.0%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 46) King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.44 53.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 3.09 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.09)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.7%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:21 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 7 at TENN 43) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop - TENN 28, PUR 30 -1.06 53.9% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 2.62 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.62)

Score Difference (End): 2 (3.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:15 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 7 at TENN 43) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 28, PUR 30 -2.00 51.8% -5.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 1.60 = -2.00

Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): 2 (1.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.8%

Win Probability (After): 46.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:08 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 7 at TENN 43) Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 5 - TENN 28, PUR 30 0.61 46.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 95

Started Drive at: TENN 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - -0.30 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 2 (1.70)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.7%

Win Probability (After): 45.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:57 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 5) Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 5 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.67 53.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: TENN 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.30 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.30)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at TENN 5) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 9 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.46 51.8% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 91

Started Drive at: TENN 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.96 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-2.96)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-3.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:13 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 6 at TENN 9) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 28, PUR 30 -1.31 49.7% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: TENN 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -1.32 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-3.32)

Score Difference (End): -2 (-4.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:04 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 6 at TENN 9) Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 2 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.03 48.9% -3.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 51

Started Drive at: TENN 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.65 - -2.62 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -2 (-4.62)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 45.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:53 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.60 54.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.67 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.67)

Score Difference (End): 2 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.1%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:45 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Byron Young return for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -4.91 53.1% -18.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.86 - 2.06 = -4.91

Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.06)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:30 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 30 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down - TENN 28, PUR 30 1.81 66.0% 5.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 19

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 2.89 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.89)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 19) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.28 70.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 17

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 4.68 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.68)

Score Difference (End): -2 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:37 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at PUR 17) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -0.52 70.3% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 15

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 4.42 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -2 (2.42)

Score Difference (End): -2 (1.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:21 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 6 at PUR 15) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Prdue 13 - TENN 28, PUR 30 -1.21 68.0% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 13

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 3.93 = -1.21

Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.93)

Score Difference (End): -2 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 28, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 65.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 4 at PUR 13) Chase McGrath 30 yd FG GOOD - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.27 64.8% 7.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: PUR 49

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.73 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.73)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:44 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.00 34.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.5%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:38 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Jackson Anthrop run for no gain to the Prdue 25 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.58 34.6% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.91 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 31.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:05 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 25) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 15 yards to the PURDUE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.71 32.6% 7.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 0.36 = 1.71

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.64)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 40) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 21 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.40 39.7% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 39

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 2.08 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:28 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 39) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Garrett Miller - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.59 43.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.47 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.9%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:21 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at TENN 39) Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Trevon Flowers return for no gain to the Tenn 15 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -3.64 42.0% -11.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 85

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 2.88 = -3.64

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.88)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.0%

Win Probability (After): 30.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:13 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 15) Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 16 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.73 69.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 84

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.76 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.76)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:53 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 9 at TENN 16) Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.41 67.3% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 73

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 0.05 = 1.41

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:31 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 27) Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 32 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.03 70.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.52 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.52)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:03 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 32) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.06 71.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 64

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.52 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.52)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:42 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at TENN 36) Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.75 70.7% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.54 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.54)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.7%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 40) Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 46 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.16 73.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.44 - 2.27 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.27)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at TENN 46) TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jabari Small) to the Tenn 41 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.78 72.2% -1.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 59

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 2.41 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.41)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 9 at TENN 41) Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.19 70.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.65 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.65)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:26 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 2 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.12 71.0% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 1.84 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.84)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.63 73.8% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.92 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.92)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:48 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Prdue 43 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.14 72.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 2.28 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.28)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.8%

Win Probability (After): 72.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:20 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 4 at PUR 43) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.75 72.7% 5.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 33

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 2.15 = 1.75

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.15)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 78.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:00 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 33) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.51 78.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 31

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.92 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.92)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:38 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at PUR 31) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.51 77.4% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.45 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.45)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:11 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 6 at PUR 29) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.10 75.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 24

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.91 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.91)

Score Difference (End): 1 (4.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:03 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 1 at PUR 24) Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Prdue 24 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -3.99 75.1% -13.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 76

Started Drive at: TENN 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 2.99 = -3.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:50 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.43 40.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.12 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.12)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:25 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 4 at PUR 31) Deion Burks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 28 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -1.71 42.2% -10.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.45 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.45)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:47 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 7 at PUR 28) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 2.25 31.2% 12.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - -0.24 = 2.25

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.24)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.2%

Win Probability (After): 44.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:12 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 37) King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 43 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.16 44.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.06 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.6%

Win Probability (After): 45.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:33 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 4 at PUR 43) King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.46 45.8% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.18 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.18)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:11 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 3 at PUR 44) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc Thompson - TENN 31, PUR 30 -1.68 43.2% -11.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 1.51 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.2%

Win Probability (After): 31.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:57 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 3 at PUR 44) Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tenn 8 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.34 31.0% 2.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 92

Started Drive at: PUR 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - -0.31 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.31)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:48 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 8) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the Tenn 15 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.51 66.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 85

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - -0.02 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.98)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:30 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 3 at TENN 15) Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.29 68.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.79 - 0.50 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.50)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:06 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 19) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 21 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.46 72.4% -4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 79

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 0.80 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 68.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:50 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 21) Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 27 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.04 68.0% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.31 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.31)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:27 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 2 at TENN 27) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 1.09 68.1% 3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 0.32 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.32)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:15 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 30) Jabari Small run for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.66 73.8% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 57

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.47 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.8%

Win Probability (After): 76.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:57 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 43) Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45 - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.39 76.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.13 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.13)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.2%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:23 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 8 at TENN 45) Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 44 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Tenn Hendon Hooker - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.81 76.0% -5.9%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 56

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.69 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:08 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 9 at TENN 44) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt - TENN 31, PUR 30 -1.29 70.1% -6.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - 0.72 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.72)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:00 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 9 at TENN 44) Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for no gain to the Prdue 10 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.38 63.1% 5.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 90

Started Drive at: TENN 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - -0.68 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.32)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:56 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 10) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 9 yards to the PURDUE19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.58 31.8% 6.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 81

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.34 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.66)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 38.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:51 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 19) O'Connell, Aidan pass incomplete to Thompson, Broc, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Burrell, Warren) 15 yards to the PURDUE34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE. - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.86 38.3% 7.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 66

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.92 = 0.86

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.08)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:39 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 34) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Collin Sullivan for 4 yds to the Prdue 38 - TENN 31, PUR 30 0.03 45.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.64 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.64)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.2%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:07 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete - TENN 31, PUR 30 -0.82 47.5% -10.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.72 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.72)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 30

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (30)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:58 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 6 at PUR 38) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 62 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Connell pass to Payne Durham for Two-Point Conversion) - TENN 31, PUR 38 6.86 41.2% 41.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 1.14 = 6.86

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 30 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:53 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 37 yds , Miles Campbell return for 7 yds to the Tenn 35 - TENN 31, PUR 38 0.02 19.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.74 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.26)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:42 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 35) Jabari Small run for 60 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down - TENN 31, PUR 38 4.17 20.8% 22.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 5

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.68 - 1.51 = 4.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.49)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 43.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:18 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & Goal at PUR 5) Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 3 - TENN 31, PUR 38 -0.18 43.2% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.52 - 5.71 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.2%

Win Probability (After): 42.3%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:59 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & Goal at PUR 3) Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2 - TENN 31, PUR 38 -0.26 41.7% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 5.56 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:49 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & Goal at PUR 2) Wright, Jaylen rush for 2 yards to the PURDUE0, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Spraggins, Javontez) 11 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY. - TENN 31, PUR 38 -2.24 40.6% -14.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 13

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 5.31 = -2.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:44 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton Fant - TENN 31, PUR 38 -1.36 30.2% -8.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 3.60 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 31, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & Goal at PUR 13) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 38 4.77 25.4% 29.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.23 = 4.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.4%

Win Probability (After): 54.5%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 38, PUR 38 0.00 54.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.15 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 54.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:36 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 - TENN 38, PUR 38 -0.13 55.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 1.24 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.9%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:12 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop - TENN 38, PUR 38 -0.80 56.0% -6.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 1.21 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:57 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 5 at PUR 30) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 70 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) - TENN 38, PUR 45 6.42 51.5% 35.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.58 = 6.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.5%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:57 ESPN team id 2633 (Kickoff at TENN 35) Ben Freehill kickoff for 58 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 21 yds to the Tenn 28 - TENN 38, PUR 45 -0.66 17.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.92 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:52 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 28) Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 33 - TENN 38, PUR 45 -0.11 19.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 1.05 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.95)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:26 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 5 at TENN 33) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 58 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down - TENN 38, PUR 45 4.10 17.5% 20.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 9

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 0.96 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:05 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & Goal at PUR 9) Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Prdue 2 - TENN 38, PUR 45 0.85 31.7% 8.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 2

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.76 - 4.91 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 38, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) - TENN 45, PUR 45 1.37 34.9% 17.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: TENN 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.63 = 1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 2509 (Kickoff at PUR 35) Toby Wilson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 61.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 61.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:34 ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.42 61.0% -6.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.20 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.0%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:28 ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 10 at PUR 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 31 - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.14 55.0% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.70 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:01 ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 4 at PUR 31) Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Collin Sullivan - TENN 45, PUR 45 -1.70 58.5% -31.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.91 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.91)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.5%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 4 at PUR 31) Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 25 PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tenn 40 - TENN 45, PUR 45 -1.00 21.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 60

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.32 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at TENN 40) Jabari Small run for 8 yds to the Tenn 48 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.47 76.5% 5.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 52

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.63 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:33 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 2 at TENN 48) Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.12 84.2% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.06 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:32 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 49) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Prdue 42 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.48 84.9% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 2.06 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:18 ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.12 77.2% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.02 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.02)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:11 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at PUR 42) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:11 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 81.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:10 ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.75 81.2% -11.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.51 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:07 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 3 at PUR 42) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:07 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 74.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.76 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 74.5%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:06 ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 3 at PUR 42) Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 1.08 74.4% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 39

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 0.71 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:02 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 39) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:02 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 79.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 1.80 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:02 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 39) Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:02 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 74.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.79 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.79)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 74.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 39) Chase McGrath 56 yd FG MISSED - TENN 45, PUR 45 -1.76 78.4% -35.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61

Started Drive at: TENN 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.47 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.30)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

OT ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 25) Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds to the Prdue 19 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.23 84.2% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 19

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.18 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & 4 at PUR 19) Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Prdue 16 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.12 87.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 2.41 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & 1 at PUR 16) Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 17 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.03 87.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.53 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (4th & 2 at PUR 17) Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.16 87.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.57 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

OT ESPN team id 2633 (1st & 10 at PUR 14) Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST down - TENN 45, PUR 45 1.26 85.4% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 2

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.40 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (1st & Goal at PUR 2) Hendon Hooker sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 8 - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.88 86.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 8

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.66 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (2nd & Goal at PUR 8) Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Prdue 3 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.11 88.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 3

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.78 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (3rd & Goal at PUR 3) Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.57 88.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 2.89 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

OT ESPN team id 2633 (4th & Goal at PUR 1) Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Prdue 1 - TENN 45, PUR 45 -3.40 88.7% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: PUR 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 3.46 = -3.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

OT ESPN team id 2509 (1st & 10 at TENN 25) Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Tenn 18 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.31 83.2% 4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.18 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

OT ESPN team id 2509 (2nd & 3 at TENN 18) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19 - TENN 45, PUR 45 -0.02 87.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 19

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.49 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

OT ESPN team id 2509 (3rd & 4 at TENN 19) Zander Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 21 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.14 87.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.47 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

OT ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 6 at TENN 21) Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:00 - TENN 45, PUR 45 0.00 85.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.60 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

OT ESPN team id 2509 (4th & 6 at TENN 21) Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG GOOD - TENN 45, PUR 48 0.40 85.9% 14.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: PUR 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: TENN 45, PUR 48

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link