Wisconsin 20 @ Arizona State 13

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.03 | Odds: WISC -7.5, O/U 42.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Total Plays 6765
Total EPA 3.6-5.72
  Offensive EPA -2.03-2.81
  Special Teams EPA 2.88-1.92
  Penalty EPA 2.75-3.88
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.002.89
Production ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Scrimmage Plays 5854
  Yards 296219
  Yards/Play 5.104.06
  EPA -2.03-2.81
  EPA/Play -0.03-0.05
Passes 17 (29%)27 (50%)
  Yards 137159
  Yards/Play 8.065.89
  EPA 2.27-5.54
  EPA/Play 0.13-0.21
Rushes 41 (71%)27 (50%)
  Yards 179107
  Yards/Play 4.373.96
  EPA -4.302.73
  EPA/Play -0.100.10
Rushing ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Scrimmage Plays 5854
Rushes 41 (71%)27 (50%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (2%)1 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (20%)4 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 16 (39%)10 (37%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 17 (41%)11 (41%)
OL Line Yards 69.743.8
  Per Carry 1.701.62
Highlight Yards 56.523.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.322.14
Explosiveness ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Total Plays 6765
Scrimmage Plays 5854
Explosive Plays 3 (5%)7 (13%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (12%)4 (15%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)3 (11%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -12.24-23.09
  EPA/Play -0.22-0.49
  When Passing -5.40-18.54
    EPA/Play -0.32-0.69
  When Rushing -6.84-4.55
    EPA/Play -0.17-0.19
Situational ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 27 (47%)20 (37%)
  When Passing 9 (53%)8 (30%)
  When Rushing 18 (44%)12 (44%)
  On Standard Downs 20 (47%)12 (39%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (47%)8 (35%)
  On Early Downs 21 (46%)13 (31%)
  On Late Downs 6 (50%)7 (58%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (31%)0 (0%)
Early Downs 4642
  First Downs Created 10 (22%)6 (14%)
  EPA -3.38-12.34
  EPA/Play -0.07-0.29
  Passes 10 (22%)21 (50%)
  Rushes 36 (78%)21 (50%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 5 (50%)6 (29%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 16 (44%)7 (33%)
"Middle 8" Plays 131
  EPA -3.62-0.08
  EPA/play -0.28-0.08
  Passes 5 (38%)0 (0%)
  Rushes 8 (62%)1 (100%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 2 (40%)0 (0%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (25%)0 (0%)
Drives ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Total 98
Avg Starting Field Position Own 19Own 30
Plays/Drive 10.348.61
Yards/Drive 53.6931.13
Available Yards % 66%44%
Defensive ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Scrimmage Plays 5458
Stop Rate 46%66%
Havoc Plays Created 11 (20%)8 (14%)
  Passing 7 (26%)3 (18%)
  Rushing 4 (15%)5 (12%)
TFLs Generated 107
  Passing 62
  Rushing 45
Sacks Generated 6 (22%)2 (12%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 11
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 11
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 0.70.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.00.0
Turnover Luck (pts) -5.05.0
Special Teams ESPN team id 275 ESPN team id 9
Total Plays 9 11
Total EPA 2.88 -1.92
  Field Goal EPA 2.76 2.02
  Punting EPA 1.52 -2.47
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.41 -1.47

Wisconsin [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Graham Mertz 11/15, 137 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 92.9 xQBR 8.06 0.13 2.27 53% 6.0%
Rush attempts
Braelon Allen 29 carries, 159 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.48 0.07 1.95 52% -12.0%
Graham Mertz 2 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.50 -0.15 -0.30 50% -1.0%
Jack Dunn 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.52 -0.52 0% -1.0%
Chimere Dike 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -3.00 -0.57 -0.57 0% -1.0%
Julius Davis 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.50 -0.36 -0.71 0% -2.0%
John Chenal 4 carries, 9 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 2.25 -0.52 -2.06 50% -96.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -1.04 -2.09 0% -2.0%
Pass targets
Jake Ferguson 3 catches (3 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 1.60 4.80 100% 9.0%
Markus Allen 1 catch (1 target), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 31.00 4.10 4.10 100% 6.0%
Chimere Dike 1 catch (1 target), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 30.00 3.56 3.56 100% 5.0%
Skyler Bell 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.60 1.60 100% 1.0%
John Chenal 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 0.75 1.50 100% 2.0%
Kendric Pryor 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.63 0.63 100% 1.0%
Jack Dunn 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.86 -1.72 0% -2.0%
Braelon Allen 2 catches (2 targets), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -1.04 -2.07 0% -3.0%

Arizona State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Ricky Pearsall 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 25.2 xQBR 0.00 -2.16 -2.16 0% -3.0%
Jayden Daniels 11/21, 159 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 5 Scks, 42.0 xQBR 6.12 -0.13 -3.38 31% -4.0%
Rush attempts
Jayden Daniels 14 carries, 80 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.71 0.60 8.40 71% 6.0%
George Hart III 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.56 -0.56 0% 0.0%
Ricky Pearsall 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -0.74 -0.74 0% -1.0%
Daniyel Ngata 11 carries, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.09 -0.40 -4.36 18% 3.0%
Pass targets
LV Bunkley-Shelton 4 catches (4 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 1.45 5.80 100% 11.0%
Ricky Pearsall 4 catches (5 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.25 1.06 5.30 40% 8.0%
Jalin Conyers 1 catch (1 target), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 35.00 4.32 4.32 100% 8.0%
Elijhah Badger 1 catch (2 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.00 -0.13 -0.26 50% 0.0%
George Hart III 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.60 -0.60 0% -1.0%
Curtis Hodges 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.59 -1.18 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -4.90 92.3% -5.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35

Started Drive at: WISC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:52 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 4.32 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 4.10 75.7% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:34 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 12 at WISC 24) Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 30 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 3.56 89.8% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 46

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - -0.29 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 23 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -3.43 24.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 36

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -0.34 = -3.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 11 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 3.00 14.5% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - -0.77 = 3.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:59 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 2.99 6.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 10

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 1.75 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.25)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 2.99 15.2% 8.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 2.69 17.6% 5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:34 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 49) Braelon Allen run for 43 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 2.55 83.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 8

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.01 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.01)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 275 (4th & Goal at ASU 10) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -2.47 95.9% -95.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 93

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.46 = -2.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 18 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 2.99 15.2% 8.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:52 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 4.32 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.59 9.5% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 1.92 84.0% 6.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:34 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 13 yards to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -2.34 30.1% -6.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 76

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.98 = -2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:35 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 30) Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.96 24.2% -6.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 37

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 3.49 = -1.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 4.10 75.7% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 2.69 17.6% 5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -4.90 92.3% -5.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35

Started Drive at: WISC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 275 (1st & Goal at ASU 8) John Chenal 8 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 7, ASU 0 1.55 81.8% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:21 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 10 at WISC 20) Cristian Zendejas 38 Yd Field Goal - WISC 7, ASU 3 1.01 16.1% 4.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 1.92 84.0% 6.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:13 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 5 at WISC 18) Cristian Zendejas 36 Yd Field Goal - WISC 14, ASU 6 1.01 12.6% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.01)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:42 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 4 at ASU 30) Collin Larsh 48 Yd Field Goal - WISC 17, ASU 6 1.52 88.2% 2.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.48 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 1 at ASU 17) Collin Larsh 35 Yd Field Goal - WISC 20, ASU 6 1.24 92.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.76 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.59 9.5% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 9 (Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 0, ASU 0 0.00 26.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:48 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 0, ASU 0 1.03 27.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.06 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.0%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:33 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 1 at ASU 34) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 0, ASU 0 -0.88 29.2% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.24 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.2%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:16 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 1 at ASU 34) Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 0.65 26.4% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.34 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:34 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 13 yards to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -2.34 30.1% -6.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 76

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.98 = -2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 23 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -3.43 24.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 36

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -0.34 = -3.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:14 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 36) WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 41 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -0.78 80.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 41

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.76 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 79.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:10 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 15 at ASU 41) Jack Dunn run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39 - WISC 0, ASU 0 -0.52 80.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.98 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:30 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass incomplete - WISC 0, ASU 0 -1.11 77.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 2.46 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:45 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 4.10 75.7% 6.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 0, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 275 (1st & Goal at ASU 8) John Chenal 8 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 7, ASU 0 1.55 81.8% 4.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:40 ESPN team id 9 (Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 7, ASU 0 0.00 15.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.14 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:33 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30 - WISC 7, ASU 0 0.14 15.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - -0.09 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:05 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 5 at ASU 30) Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 0.98 15.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - -0.01 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:20 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 36) Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39 - WISC 7, ASU 0 -0.61 16.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.03 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.97)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:04 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 7 at ASU 39) ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 7, ASU 0 -0.48 16.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.44 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:45 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 12 at ASU 34) Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35 - WISC 7, ASU 0 -1.05 15.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - 0.06 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 11 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 3.00 14.5% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - -0.77 = 3.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:32 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 49) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - WISC 7, ASU 0 -1.14 17.9% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 2.13 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.87)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:02 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 11 at 50) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the Wisc 45 - WISC 7, ASU 0 0.00 15.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:25 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 6 at WISC 45) Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 1.94 16.8% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 0.87 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:36 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 38) Jayden Daniels sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 40 - WISC 7, ASU 0 -1.25 19.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 40

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.83 = -1.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.17)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:15 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 2.69 17.6% 5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:25 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 20) Jayden Daniels sacked by Jack Sanborn and Noah Burks for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 28 - WISC 7, ASU 0 -1.81 22.9% -4.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 28

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 4.35 = -1.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:58 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 18 at WISC 28) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 8 yds to the Wisc 20 - WISC 7, ASU 0 0.50 18.5% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 2.55 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.45)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:26 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 10 at WISC 20) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 7, ASU 0 -1.07 17.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 3.06 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.94)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 0

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:21 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 10 at WISC 20) Cristian Zendejas 38 Yd Field Goal - WISC 7, ASU 3 1.01 16.1% 4.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: ASU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 4:21 ESPN team id 275 (Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 7, ASU 3 0.00 82.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 1.54 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 82.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:01 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 0.83 82.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 1.53 = 0.83

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:32 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 36) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 43 - WISC 7, ASU 3 0.35 83.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 2.34 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.34)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.6%

Win Probability (After): 83.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:04 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 3 at WISC 43) Graham Mertz pass complete to John Chenal for 6 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 0.29 83.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.71 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:34 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 49) Braelon Allen run for 43 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 2.55 83.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 8

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.01 = 2.55

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.01)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:15 ESPN team id 275 (1st & Goal at ASU 8) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 7, ASU 3 -0.47 86.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 7

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 5.56 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.56)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 7, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 86.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 1.92 84.0% 6.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 9 (Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Collins return for 17 yds to the ArzSt 17 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -1.40 11.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - 0.10 = -1.40

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.90)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:15 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 17) Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 20 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -0.49 11.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.25 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.25)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:50 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 7 at ASU 20) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 3 1.57 10.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - -0.72 = 1.57

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.72)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:15 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 31) Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 32 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -0.73 12.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.87 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.13)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 9 at ASU 32) Ricky Pearsall run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 33 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -0.74 9.9% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 0.11 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.89)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 8 at ASU 33) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 14, ASU 3 -1.33 9.4% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -0.56 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.56)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 8 at ASU 33) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 19 - WISC 14, ASU 3 0.05 7.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 81

Started Drive at: ASU 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -1.83 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.83)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -4.90 92.3% -5.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35

Started Drive at: WISC 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:59 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 35) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds to the Wisc 27 - WISC 14, ASU 3 0.76 13.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 3.14 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.86)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.6%

Win Probability (After): 13.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:26 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 2 at WISC 27) Ricky Pearsall sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 34 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (TEAM) to the Wisc 34 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -2.16 14.7% -2.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 34

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 3.94 = -2.16

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.10)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.7%

Win Probability (After): 12.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 9 at WISC 34) Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 3 2.35 12.7% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 23

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 1.72 = 2.35

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.28)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.7%

Win Probability (After): 15.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:45 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 23) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges - WISC 14, ASU 3 -0.58 14.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.06 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.94)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 10 at WISC 23) Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the Wisc 21 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -0.51 13.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.49 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.51)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.7%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 8 at WISC 21) Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18 - WISC 14, ASU 3 -1.00 12.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 18

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.99 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.01)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:13 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 5 at WISC 18) Cristian Zendejas 36 Yd Field Goal - WISC 14, ASU 6 1.01 12.6% 2.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18

Started Drive at: WISC 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.99 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.01)

Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:13 ESPN team id 275 (Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.00 86.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.50 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.50)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.3%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:05 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32 - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.41 87.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.48 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.48)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:31 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 3 at WISC 32) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.28 88.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.92 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.92)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:51 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 35) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 09:51 - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.00 89.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.20 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.20)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:40 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 35) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40 - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.01 88.2% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.06 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.06)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:08 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 5 at WISC 40) Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42 - WISC 14, ASU 6 -0.38 88.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.81 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.81)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:05 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 3 at WISC 42) Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 1.74 87.0% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 46

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 1.21 = 1.74

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 8 (10.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:52 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 46) Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 10 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.63 89.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 36

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.82 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.82)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:05 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 36) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31 - WISC 14, ASU 6 0.12 89.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.56 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:15 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 5 at ASU 31) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30 - WISC 14, ASU 6 -0.55 90.0% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.82 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.82)

Score Difference (End): 8 (11.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:47 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 4 at ASU 30) Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn - WISC 14, ASU 6 -1.39 89.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 3.08 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.08)

Score Difference (End): 8 (9.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 14, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:42 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 4 at ASU 30) Collin Larsh 48 Yd Field Goal - WISC 17, ASU 6 1.52 88.2% 2.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.48 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.5%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:42 ESPN team id 9 (Kickoff at ASU 35) Collin Larsh kickoff for 43 yds fair catch by John Stivers at the ArzSt 22 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.07 8.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: ASU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.23 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.77)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:30 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 25) George Hart III run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.56 8.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: ASU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 0.43 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.57)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:01 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 7 at ASU 28) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.96 8.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ASU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.34 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.66)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:55 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 7 at ASU 28) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger - WISC 17, ASU 6 -1.02 7.6% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ASU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - -0.48 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.48)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 4:43 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 7 at ASU 28) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds , Dean Engram returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 28 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.21 6.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: ASU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -1.48 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.48)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:15 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 28) Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 37 - WISC 17, ASU 6 0.81 91.4% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 1.46 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.46)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:46 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 1 at WISC 37) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 0.16 91.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 2.08 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.08)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:17 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 44) Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Wisc 48 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.14 91.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.23 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.23)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:33 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 6 at WISC 48) Chimere Dike run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 45 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.57 91.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 55

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.80 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.80)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:10 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 9 at WISC 45) Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 1.60 91.2% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.11 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.11)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:34 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 40) Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 1.14 92.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.28 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.28)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:10 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 26) Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.33 93.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.22 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.22)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:10 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 10 at ASU 26) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 01:10 - WISC 17, ASU 6 0.00 92.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.90)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:55 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 10 at ASU 26) Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 17, ASU 6 -0.32 92.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.89 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.89)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:18 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 8 at ASU 24) Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 17 - WISC 17, ASU 6 0.02 92.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 17

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.53 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.53)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:07 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 1 at ASU 17) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:07 - WISC 17, ASU 6 0.00 92.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.56)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 17, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 1 at ASU 17) Collin Larsh 35 Yd Field Goal - WISC 20, ASU 6 1.24 92.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: WISC 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.76 = 1.24

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.76)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 9 (Kickoff at ASU 35) Collin Larsh kickoff for 50 yds , D.J. Taylor return for 6 yds to the ArzSt 21 - WISC 20, ASU 6 0.00 7.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: ASU 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.00 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 275 (Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 2 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -1.41 95.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 98

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.56 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.56)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:50 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -0.46 96.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.57 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:08 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 8 at WISC 27) Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 28 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -1.06 96.0% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.13 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.13)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:35 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 7 at WISC 28) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 2.14 94.8% 1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 65

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 1.05 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.05)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:24 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 35) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -0.40 96.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.18 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 7 at WISC 38) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 38 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -1.01 96.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.77 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.77)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:54 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 7 at WISC 38) Graham Mertz sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 13 yards to the Wisc 25 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -2.26 95.4% -2.2%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 75

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 1.75 = -2.26

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.75)

Score Difference (End): 14 (13.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:31 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 20 at WISC 25) Andy Vujnovich punt for 57 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 18 yds to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 20, ASU 6 0.20 92.7% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: WISC 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.76 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.7%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:17 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 36) Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40 - WISC 20, ASU 6 -0.08 6.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.46 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.54)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:30 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 6 at ASU 40) Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 1.33 5.8% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 48

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.38 = 1.33

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:59 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 2.99 6.2% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 10

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 1.75 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.25)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:08 ESPN team id 9 (1st & Goal at WISC 10) Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Wisc 3 - WISC 20, ASU 6 0.73 9.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 3

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 4.73 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.59 9.5% 6.9%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: ASU 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:52 ESPN team id 275 (Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 86.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.12 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:40 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.48 86.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.12 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:06 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 9 at WISC 26) Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 27 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.01 86.1% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.65 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.65)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.1%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:07 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 8 at WISC 27) Graham Mertz sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 18 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.87 85.2% -4.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 82

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.11 - 0.76 = -1.87

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:48 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 17 at WISC 18) Andy Vujnovich punt for 55 yds, downed at the ArzSt 27 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.67 80.4% 3.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 73

Started Drive at: WISC 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -1.08 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.4%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:40 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 27) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 25 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.30 15.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.37 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:01 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 12 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35 - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.26 14.1% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - -0.91 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.91)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:23 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 2 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.77 15.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.35 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:52 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 39) Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.09 16.4% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 52

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.10 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:05 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 1 at ASU 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 3 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.05 20.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.17 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:45 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.62 20.1% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.12 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.88)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:37 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.98 16.9% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 1.49 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 2.99 15.2% 8.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:35 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 30) Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.96 24.2% -6.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 37

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 3.49 = -1.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:01 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 17 at WISC 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 12 yards to the Wisc 49 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Wisc 49 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.63 18.4% -1.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.59 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:25 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 29 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.06 18.5% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 1.04 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:09 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 27 at WISC 47) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds , Dean Engram returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 15 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.99 17.4% -4.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 85

Started Drive at: ASU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - 0.10 = -1.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:02 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 15) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.48 88.5% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 82

Started Drive at: WISC 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.90 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:20 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 7 at WISC 18) Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.27 87.3% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78

Started Drive at: WISC 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.42 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:54 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 3 at WISC 22) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.79 86.0% -3.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78

Started Drive at: WISC 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 1.13 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:15 ESPN team id 275 (4th & 3 at WISC 22) Andy Vujnovich punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArzSt 24 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.66 82.6% 1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76

Started Drive at: WISC 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.72 = 0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.93)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 83.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:08 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.60 16.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 0.07 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 15.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:56 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 10 at ASU 24) Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.64 15.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.58 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.4%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:15 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 8 at ASU 26) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 16 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.84 14.1% -1.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 84

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -1.29 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:52 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 4.32 11.2% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.2%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:24 ESPN team id 9 (1st & 10 at WISC 49) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.22 20.0% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 2.34 = -1.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.66)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:20 ESPN team id 9 (2nd & 11 at 50) Jayden Daniels pass complete to George Hart III for 3 yds to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.60 17.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.48 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:31 ESPN team id 9 (3rd & 8 at WISC 47) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -2.07 16.9% -3.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 1.31 = -2.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:04 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 13 at ASU 48) WISCONSIN Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.32 11.8% 2.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.53 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.8%

Win Probability (After): 14.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:57 ESPN team id 9 (4th & 8 at WISC 47) Logan Tyler punt for 44 yds, downed at the Wisc 3 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.32 12.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 97

Started Drive at: ASU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.24 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.24)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.6%

Win Probability (After): 11.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:44 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 3) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 8 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.15 88.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 92

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.48 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:14 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 5 at WISC 8) Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.29 88.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 88

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.38 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:53 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 1 at WISC 12) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.09 88.9% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 85

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 0.26 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.26)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:10 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 15) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 16 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.61 90.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 84

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.15 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:42 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 9 at WISC 16) Graham Mertz pass complete to John Chenal for 10 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.21 88.6% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 74

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.52 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:07 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at WISC 26) Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.58 91.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.80 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.3%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:22 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 7 at WISC 29) John Chenal run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 24 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.37 91.7% -4.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 76

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 1.22 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:34 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 12 at WISC 24) Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 30 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 3.56 89.8% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 46

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - -0.29 = 3.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.71)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:59 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 46) Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.88 95.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.97 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 94.9%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:14 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 1 at ASU 37) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.22 95.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 3.43 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.6%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 34) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.41 97.5% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.30 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:37 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 10 at ASU 34) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 96.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:27 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 10 at ASU 34) Braelon Allen run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.43 97.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 2.77 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.77)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:26 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 20) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 97.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.20 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.20)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:22 ESPN team id 275 (1st & 10 at ASU 20) Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.91 97.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 22

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.94 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.94)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:21 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 12 at ASU 22) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:21 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 97.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.04 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:15 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & 12 at ASU 22) Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.92 97.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.96 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:33 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & 4 at ASU 14) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 1.39 97.2% 0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 3.69 = 1.39

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 275 (1st & Goal at ASU 9) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 02:15 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 97.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 5.08 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:09 ESPN team id 275 (1st & Goal at ASU 9) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 6 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.12 97.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 4.91 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.91)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 15 plays, 86 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:14 ESPN team id 275 (2nd & Goal at ASU 6) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 8 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -1.09 98.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 8

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.61 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & Goal at ASU 8) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 98.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.51 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 16 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:43 ESPN team id 275 (3rd & Goal at ASU 8) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 10 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -0.99 98.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 10

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.50 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.50)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:03 ESPN team id 275 (4th & Goal at ASU 10) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:03 - WISC 20, ASU 13 0.00 96.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.51 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 17 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 275 (4th & Goal at ASU 10) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 20, ASU 13 -2.47 95.9% -95.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 93

Started Drive at: WISC 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.46 = -2.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.46)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WISC 20, ASU 13

Drive Summary: 18 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link