Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 4.04 | Odds: WISC -7.5, O/U 42.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.03 33rd %ile | -0.05 31st %ile |
| Success Rate | 47% 72nd %ile | 37% 28th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.10 26th %ile | 4.06 7th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.13 57th %ile | -0.21 21st %ile |
| EPA/Rush | -0.10 30th %ile | 0.10 62nd %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 8.06 74th %ile | 5.89 42nd %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 5% 15th %ile | 13% 88th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 57% 84th %ile | 50% 75th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 27% 24th %ile | 60% 86th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 15% 2nd %ile | 20% 11th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 14% 71st %ile | 20% 94th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 65 |
| Total EPA | 3.71 | -5.72 |
| Offensive EPA | -2.03 | -2.81 |
| Special Teams EPA | 2.99 | -1.92 |
| Penalty EPA | 2.75 | -3.88 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.00 | 2.89 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 58 | 54 |
| Yards | 296 | 219 |
| Yards/Play | 5.10 | 4.06 |
| EPA | -2.03 | -2.81 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| Passes | 17 (29%) | 27 (50%) |
| Yards | 137 | 159 |
| Yards/Play | 8.06 | 5.89 |
| EPA | 2.27 | -5.54 |
| EPA/Play | 0.13 | -0.21 |
| Rushes | 41 (71%) | 27 (50%) |
| Yards | 179 | 107 |
| Yards/Play | 4.37 | 3.96 |
| EPA | -4.30 | 2.73 |
| EPA/Play | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 58 | 54 |
| Rushes | 41 (71%) | 27 (50%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (2%) | 1 (4%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 8 (20%) | 4 (15%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 16 (39%) | 10 (37%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 17 (41%) | 11 (41%) |
| OL Line Yards | 69.7 | 43.8 |
| Per Carry | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Highlight Yards | 56.5 | 23.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.32 | 2.14 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 65 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 58 | 54 |
| Explosive Plays | 3 (5%) | 7 (13%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 2 (12%) | 4 (15%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (2%) | 3 (11%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -12.24 | -23.09 |
| EPA/Play | -0.22 | -0.49 |
| When Passing | -5.40 | -18.54 |
| EPA/Play | -0.32 | -0.69 |
| When Rushing | -6.84 | -4.55 |
| EPA/Play | -0.17 | -0.19 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 27 (47%) | 20 (37%) |
| When Passing | 9 (53%) | 8 (30%) |
| When Rushing | 18 (44%) | 12 (44%) |
| On Standard Downs | 20 (47%) | 12 (39%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (47%) | 8 (35%) |
| On Early Downs | 21 (46%) | 13 (31%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (50%) | 7 (58%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 4 (31%) | 0 (0%) |
| Early Downs | 46 | 42 |
| First Downs Created | 10 (22%) | 6 (14%) |
| EPA | -3.38 | -12.34 |
| EPA/Play | -0.07 | -0.29 |
| Passes | 10 (22%) | 21 (50%) |
| Rushes | 36 (78%) | 21 (50%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 5 (50%) | 6 (29%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 16 (44%) | 7 (33%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 13 | 1 |
| EPA | -3.62 | -0.08 |
| EPA/play | -0.28 | -0.08 |
| Passes | 5 (38%) | 0 (0%) |
| Rushes | 8 (62%) | 1 (100%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 2 (40%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (25%) | 0 (0%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 9 | 8 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 19 | Own 30 |
| Plays/Drive | 10.34 | 8.61 |
| Yards/Drive | 53.69 | 31.13 |
| Available Yards % | 66% | 44% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 54 | 58 |
| Stop Rate | 46% | 66% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 11 (20%) | 8 (14%) |
| Passing | 7 (26%) | 3 (18%) |
| Rushing | 4 (15%) | 5 (12%) |
| TFLs Generated | 10 | 7 |
| Passing | 6 | 2 |
| Rushing | 4 | 5 |
| Sacks Generated | 6 (22%) | 2 (12%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | -1 | 1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -2.5 | 2.5 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 9 | 11 |
| Total EPA | 2.99 | -1.92 |
| Field Goal EPA | 2.88 | 2.02 |
| Punting EPA | 1.52 | -2.47 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -1.41 | -1.47 |
Wisconsin [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Graham Mertz | 11/15, 137 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 92.9 xQBR, 0.69 DETMER | 8.06 | 0.13 | 2.27 | 53% | 6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Braelon Allen | 29 carries, 159 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.48 | 0.07 | 1.95 | 52% | -12.0% | |
| Graham Mertz | 2 carries, 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.50 | -0.15 | -0.30 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Jack Dunn | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.52 | -0.52 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Chimere Dike | 1 carry, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -3.00 | -0.57 | -0.57 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Julius Davis | 2 carries, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | -0.36 | -0.71 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| John Chenal | 4 carries, 9 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 2.25 | -0.52 | -2.06 | 50% | -96.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.04 | -2.09 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jake Ferguson | 3 catches (3 targets), 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 1.60 | 4.80 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Markus Allen | 1 catch (1 target), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 31.00 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Chimere Dike | 1 catch (1 target), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 30.00 | 3.56 | 3.56 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Skyler Bell | 1 catch (1 target), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| John Chenal | 2 catches (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Kendric Pryor | 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Jack Dunn | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.86 | -1.72 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Braelon Allen | 2 catches (2 targets), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -1.04 | -2.07 | 0% | -3.0% | |
Arizona State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Ricky Pearsall | 0/0, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 25.2 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 0.00 | -2.16 | -2.16 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Jayden Daniels | 11/21, 159 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 5 Scks, 42.0 xQBR, 0.20 DETMER | 6.12 | -0.13 | -3.38 | 31% | -4.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jayden Daniels | 14 carries, 80 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.71 | 0.60 | 8.40 | 71% | 6.0% | |
| George Hart III | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.56 | -0.56 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Ricky Pearsall | 1 carry, 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.74 | -0.74 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Daniyel Ngata | 11 carries, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.09 | -0.40 | -4.36 | 18% | 3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| LV Bunkley-Shelton | 4 catches (4 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.45 | 5.80 | 100% | 11.0% | |
| Ricky Pearsall | 4 catches (5 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.25 | 1.06 | 5.30 | 40% | 8.0% | |
| Jalin Conyers | 1 catch (1 target), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 35.00 | 4.32 | 4.32 | 100% | 8.0% | |
| Elijhah Badger | 1 catch (2 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | -0.13 | -0.26 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| George Hart III | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.60 | -0.60 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Curtis Hodges | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.59 | -1.18 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 13:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -4.90 | 92.3% | -5.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35 Started Drive at: WISC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:52 | |
(3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 4.32 | 11.2% | 7.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:45 | |
(3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 4.10 | 75.7% | 6.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:34 | |
(3rd & 12 at WISC 24) Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 30 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 3.56 | 89.8% | 4.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 46 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - -0.29 = 3.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.8% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:14 | |
(2nd & 23 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -3.43 | 24.6% | -3.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 36 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -0.34 = -3.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:10 | |
(3rd & 11 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 3.00 | 14.5% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - -0.77 = 3.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 2.99 | 6.2% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 10 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 1.75 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.25) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:10 | |
(3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 2.99 | 15.2% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.2% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:15 | |
(2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 2.69 | 17.6% | 5.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 49) Braelon Allen run for 43 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 2.55 | 83.1% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 8 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.01 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.01) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at ASU 10) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -2.47 | 95.9% | -95.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 93 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.46 = -2.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 18 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:10 | |
(3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 2.99 | 15.2% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.2% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:52 | |
(3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 4.32 | 11.2% | 7.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:52 | |
(2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.59 | 9.5% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 1.92 | 84.0% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 90.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 13 yards to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -2.34 | 30.1% | -6.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 76 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.98 = -2.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 30) Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.96 | 24.2% | -6.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 37 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 3.49 = -1.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:45 | |
(3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 4.10 | 75.7% | 6.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:15 | |
(2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 2.69 | 17.6% | 5.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -4.90 | 92.3% | -5.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35 Started Drive at: WISC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:40 | |
(1st & Goal at ASU 8) John Chenal 8 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 1.55 | 81.8% | 4.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 86.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:21 | |
(4th & 10 at WISC 21) Cristian Zendejas 38 Yd Field Goal - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 1.02 | 15.7% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.98 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.02) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 1.92 | 84.0% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 90.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:13 | |
(4th & 5 at WISC 19) Cristian Zendejas 36 Yd Field Goal - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 1.00 | 12.6% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 18 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.00 = 1.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.00) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:42 | |
(4th & 4 at ASU 31) Collin Larsh 48 Yd Field Goal - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 1.53 | 88.2% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.47 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.47) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(4th & 1 at ASU 18) Collin Larsh 35 Yd Field Goal - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 1.35 | 92.6% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.65 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.65) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:52 | |
(2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.59 | 9.5% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:48 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 1.03 | 27.0% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 1.06 = 1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:33 | |
(2nd & 1 at ASU 34) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -0.88 | 29.2% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 2.24 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.2% Win Probability (After): 26.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:16 | |
(3rd & 1 at ASU 34) Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 0.65 | 26.4% | 3.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.34 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.4% Win Probability (After): 29.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 13 yards to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -2.34 | 30.1% | -6.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 76 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.37 - 1.98 = -2.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:14 | |
(2nd & 23 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -3.43 | 24.6% | -3.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 36 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.77 - -0.34 = -3.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:14 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 36) WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 41 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -0.78 | 80.1% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 41 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.76 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.1% Win Probability (After): 79.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:10 | |
(1st & 15 at ASU 41) Jack Dunn run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39 - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -0.52 | 80.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 39 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.98 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 79.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:30 | |
(2nd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass incomplete - WISC 0, ASU 0 | -1.11 | 77.6% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 2.46 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 77.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:45 | |
(3rd & 13 at ASU 39) Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 0, ASU 0 | 4.10 | 75.7% | 6.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 8 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 1.33 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 0, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:40 | |
(1st & Goal at ASU 8) John Chenal 8 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 1.55 | 81.8% | 4.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.45 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 86.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:40 | |
(Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - -0.14 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.14) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.2% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:33 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 0.14 | 15.5% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - -0.09 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.5% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:05 | |
(2nd & 5 at ASU 30) Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 0.98 | 15.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 64 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - -0.01 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:20 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 36) Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -0.61 | 16.5% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 1.03 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.97) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:04 | |
(2nd & 7 at ASU 39) ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -0.48 | 16.6% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.44 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.56) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 14.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:45 | |
(2nd & 12 at ASU 34) Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -1.05 | 15.0% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - 0.06 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.94) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 14.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:10 | |
(3rd & 11 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 3.00 | 14.5% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - -0.77 = 3.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 49) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -1.14 | 17.9% | -1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 2.13 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.9% Win Probability (After): 16.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:02 | |
(2nd & 11 at 50) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the Wisc 45 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.08) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:25 | |
(3rd & 6 at WISC 45) Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 1.94 | 16.8% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 38 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 0.87 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.8% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:36 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 38) Jayden Daniels sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 40 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -1.25 | 19.7% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 40 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 2.83 = -1.25 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.17) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.7% Win Probability (After): 17.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:15 | |
(2nd & 12 at WISC 40) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 2.69 | 17.6% | 5.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 1.65 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:25 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 20) Jayden Daniels sacked by Jack Sanborn and Noah Burks for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 28 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -1.81 | 22.9% | -4.0% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 28 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 4.35 = -1.81 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.65) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:58 | |
(2nd & 18 at WISC 28) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 8 yds to the Wisc 20 - WISC 7, ASU 0 | 0.50 | 18.5% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 2.55 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.45) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.5% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:26 | |
(3rd & 10 at WISC 20) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 7, ASU 0 | -1.07 | 17.3% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 3.06 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.94) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.3% Win Probability (After): 18.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:21 | |
(4th & 10 at WISC 21) Cristian Zendejas 38 Yd Field Goal - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 1.02 | 15.7% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 20 Started Drive at: ASU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.98 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.02) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:21 | |
(Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 0.00 | 82.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 1.54 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.9% Win Probability (After): 82.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:01 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 0.83 | 82.9% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 1.53 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.9% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:32 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 36) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 43 - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 0.35 | 83.6% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 2.34 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.34) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.6% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:04 | |
(2nd & 3 at WISC 43) Graham Mertz pass complete to John Chenal for 6 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 0.29 | 83.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.71 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.71) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 49) Braelon Allen run for 43 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down - WISC 7, ASU 3 | 2.55 | 83.1% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 8 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.56 - 3.01 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.01) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:15 | |
(1st & Goal at ASU 8) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 7, ASU 3 | -0.47 | 86.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 7 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 5.56 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.56) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 7, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(2nd & Goal at ASU 7) Jake Ferguson 7 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick) - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 1.92 | 84.0% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.08 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.08) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 90.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:37 | |
(Kickoff at ASU 35) Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Collins return for 17 yds to the ArzSt 17 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -1.40 | 11.6% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - 0.10 = -1.40 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.90) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.6% Win Probability (After): 10.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 17) Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 20 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -0.49 | 11.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.25 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.25) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.0% Win Probability (After): 10.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:50 | |
(2nd & 7 at ASU 20) Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 1.57 | 10.4% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - -0.72 = 1.57 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.72) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.4% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 31) Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 32 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -0.73 | 12.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.87 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.13) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.5% Win Probability (After): 11.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:50 | |
(2nd & 9 at ASU 32) Ricky Pearsall run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 33 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -0.74 | 9.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 0.11 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.89) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.9% Win Probability (After): 9.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:13 | |
(3rd & 8 at ASU 33) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -1.33 | 9.4% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -0.56 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.56) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:13 | |
(4th & 8 at ASU 33) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 19 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 0.05 | 7.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 81 Started Drive at: ASU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -1.83 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.83) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.4% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 19) Graham Mertz pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for 2 yds to the Wisc 35 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -4.90 | 92.3% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 35 Started Drive at: WISC 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - 1.79 = -4.90 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.79) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 35) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds to the Wisc 27 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 0.76 | 13.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 3.14 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.86) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 13.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:26 | |
(2nd & 2 at WISC 27) Ricky Pearsall sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 34 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (TEAM) to the Wisc 34 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -2.16 | 14.7% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 34 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 3.94 = -2.16 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.10) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.7% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:10 | |
(3rd & 9 at WISC 34) Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 3 | 2.35 | 12.7% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 23 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 1.72 = 2.35 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.28) Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.7% Win Probability (After): 15.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:45 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 23) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -0.58 | 14.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.48 - 4.06 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-6.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-7.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WISC 23) Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the Wisc 21 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -0.51 | 13.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 21 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.49 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-7.51) Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.7% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:45 | |
(3rd & 8 at WISC 21) Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18 - WISC 14, ASU 3 | -1.00 | 12.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 18 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.99 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.01) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.1% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:13 | |
(4th & 5 at WISC 19) Cristian Zendejas 36 Yd Field Goal - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 1.00 | 12.6% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 18 Started Drive at: WISC 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.00 = 1.00 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.00) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:13 | |
(Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.00 | 86.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.50 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.50) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.3% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.41 | 87.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.48 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.48) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:31 | |
(2nd & 3 at WISC 32) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.28 | 88.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 65 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.92 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.92) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:51 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 35) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 09:51 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.00 | 89.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.20) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 89.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:40 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 35) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.01 | 88.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.06 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.06) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(2nd & 5 at WISC 40) Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | -0.38 | 88.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 1.81 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.81) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 88.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(3rd & 3 at WISC 42) Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 1.74 | 87.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 46 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 1.21 = 1.74 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.21) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:52 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 46) Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 10 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST down - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.63 | 89.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 36 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.82 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.82) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 36) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | 0.12 | 89.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.56 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.56) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at ASU 31) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30 - WISC 14, ASU 6 | -0.55 | 90.0% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.82 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.82) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(3rd & 4 at ASU 30) Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn - WISC 14, ASU 6 | -1.39 | 89.2% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 3.08 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.08) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 14, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.2% Win Probability (After): 87.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:42 | |
(4th & 4 at ASU 31) Collin Larsh 48 Yd Field Goal - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 1.53 | 88.2% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.47 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.47) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.2% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:42 | |
(Kickoff at ASU 35) Collin Larsh kickoff for 43 yds fair catch by John Stivers at the ArzSt 22 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.07 | 8.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78 Started Drive at: ASU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.23 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.77) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.4% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 25) George Hart III run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.56 | 8.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: ASU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 0.43 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.57) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:01 | |
(2nd & 7 at ASU 28) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.96 | 8.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: ASU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - 0.34 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.66) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:55 | |
(3rd & 7 at ASU 28) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -1.02 | 7.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: ASU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - -0.48 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.48) Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 7.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:43 | |
(4th & 7 at ASU 28) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds , Dean Engram returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 28 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.21 | 6.9% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: ASU 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - -1.48 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.48) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.69) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.9% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:15 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 28) Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 37 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 0.81 | 91.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 1.46 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.46) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:46 | |
(2nd & 1 at WISC 37) Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 0.16 | 91.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 2.08 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.08) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:17 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 44) Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Wisc 48 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.14 | 91.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.23 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.23) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:33 | |
(2nd & 6 at WISC 48) Chimere Dike run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 45 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.57 | 91.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 55 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.80 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.80) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 91.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:10 | |
(3rd & 9 at WISC 45) Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 1.60 | 91.2% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.11 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.11) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.2% Win Probability (After): 92.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 40) Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST down - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 1.14 | 92.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 26 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 2.28 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.28) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 26) Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.33 | 93.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.22 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.22) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.1% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at ASU 26) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 01:10 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 0.00 | 92.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.90) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at ASU 26) Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 24 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | -0.32 | 92.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.89 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.89) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 92.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(3rd & 8 at ASU 24) Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 17 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 0.02 | 92.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 17 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.53 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.53) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:07 | |
(4th & 1 at ASU 17) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:07 - WISC 17, ASU 6 | 0.00 | 92.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 2.56 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.56) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 17, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(4th & 1 at ASU 18) Collin Larsh 35 Yd Field Goal - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 1.35 | 92.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17 Started Drive at: WISC 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.65 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.65) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(Kickoff at ASU 35) Collin Larsh kickoff for 50 yds , D.J. Taylor return for 6 yds to the ArzSt 21 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 0.00 | 7.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: ASU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 2 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -1.41 | 95.6% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 98 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 2.56 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.56) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -0.46 | 96.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.57 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.57) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:08 | |
(2nd & 8 at WISC 27) Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 28 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -1.06 | 96.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 2.13 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.13) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:35 | |
(3rd & 7 at WISC 28) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 2.14 | 94.8% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 65 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 1.05 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.05) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:24 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 35) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -0.40 | 96.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 62 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.18 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.18) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at WISC 38) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 38 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -1.01 | 96.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 62 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.77 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.77) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:54 | |
(3rd & 7 at WISC 38) Graham Mertz sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 13 yards to the Wisc 25 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -2.26 | 95.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 75 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 1.75 = -2.26 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.75) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(4th & 20 at WISC 25) Andy Vujnovich punt for 57 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 18 yds to the ArzSt 36 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 0.20 | 92.7% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: WISC 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.76 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 5 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 93.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:17 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 36) Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | -0.08 | 6.3% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 0.46 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.54) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.3% Win Probability (After): 6.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:30 | |
(2nd & 6 at ASU 40) Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 1.33 | 5.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 48 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 0.38 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 6.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 2.99 | 6.2% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 10 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 1.75 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.25) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:08 | |
(1st & Goal at WISC 10) Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Wisc 3 - WISC 20, ASU 6 | 0.73 | 9.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 3 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.46 - 4.73 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.27) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 6 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 8.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (6) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:52 | |
(2nd & Goal at WISC 3) Daniyel Ngata 3 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick) - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.59 | 9.5% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: ASU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.41 = 1.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.5% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 6 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:52 | |
(Kickoff at WISC 35) Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 86.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.12 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:40 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 25) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.48 | 86.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.12 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 86.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:06 | |
(2nd & 9 at WISC 26) Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 27 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.01 | 86.1% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.65 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.65) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:07 | |
(3rd & 8 at WISC 27) Graham Mertz sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 18 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.87 | 85.2% | -4.9% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 82 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.11 - 0.76 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (5.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.2% Win Probability (After): 80.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:48 | |
(4th & 17 at WISC 18) Andy Vujnovich punt for 55 yds, downed at the ArzSt 27 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.67 | 80.4% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 73 Started Drive at: WISC 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - -1.08 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.92) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 84.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:40 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 27) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 25 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.30 | 15.8% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 75 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.37 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.63) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.8% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:01 | |
(2nd & 12 at ASU 25) Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.26 | 14.1% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - -0.91 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.91) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 15.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(3rd & 2 at ASU 35) Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.77 | 15.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.12 - 0.35 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.8% Win Probability (After): 18.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:52 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 39) Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.09 | 16.4% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 52 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.10 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:05 | |
(2nd & 1 at ASU 48) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 3 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.05 | 20.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.17 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.4% Win Probability (After): 20.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:45 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.62 | 20.1% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.12 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.98 | 16.9% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 1.49 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 14.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:10 | |
(3rd & 10 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 2.99 | 15.2% | 8.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 30 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.49 - 0.50 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.2% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 30) Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.96 | 24.2% | -6.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 37 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 3.49 = -1.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:01 | |
(2nd & 17 at WISC 37) Jayden Daniels sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 12 yards to the Wisc 49 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Wisc 49 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.63 | 18.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.59 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.47) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.4% Win Probability (After): 16.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:25 | |
(2nd & 29 at WISC 49) Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.06 | 18.5% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 1.04 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.5% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:09 | |
(3rd & 27 at WISC 47) Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds , Dean Engram returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 15 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.99 | 17.4% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 85 Started Drive at: ASU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - 0.10 = -1.99 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.89) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.4% Win Probability (After): 13.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:02 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 15) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.48 | 88.5% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 82 Started Drive at: WISC 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 1.90 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at WISC 18) Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.27 | 87.3% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78 Started Drive at: WISC 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.15 - 1.42 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:54 | |
(3rd & 3 at WISC 22) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.79 | 86.0% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: WISC 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.66 - 1.13 = -1.79 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.0% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:15 | |
(4th & 3 at WISC 22) Andy Vujnovich punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArzSt 24 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.66 | 82.6% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76 Started Drive at: WISC 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - -0.72 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.93) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.6% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:08 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 24) Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.60 | 16.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 0.07 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.93) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at ASU 24) Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.64 | 15.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.58 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.58) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:15 | |
(3rd & 8 at ASU 26) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 16 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.84 | 14.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 84 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -1.29 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:52 | |
(3rd & 18 at ASU 16) Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 35 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 4.32 | 11.2% | 7.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 49 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - -2.06 = 4.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:24 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 49) Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.22 | 20.0% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 50 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 2.34 = -1.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.66) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.0% Win Probability (After): 16.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:20 | |
(2nd & 11 at 50) Jayden Daniels pass complete to George Hart III for 3 yds to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.60 | 17.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.48 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.7% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:31 | |
(3rd & 8 at WISC 47) Jayden Daniels sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -2.07 | 16.9% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 1.31 = -2.07 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:04 | |
(4th & 13 at ASU 48) WISCONSIN Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Wisc 47 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.32 | 11.8% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 47 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.53 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.53) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 14.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:57 | |
(4th & 8 at WISC 47) Logan Tyler punt for 44 yds, downed at the Wisc 3 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.32 | 12.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 97 Started Drive at: ASU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.24 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.24) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:44 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 3) Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 8 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.15 | 88.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 92 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.48 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.48) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:14 | |
(2nd & 5 at WISC 8) Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.29 | 88.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 88 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.38 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.38) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:53 | |
(3rd & 1 at WISC 12) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.09 | 88.9% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 85 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 0.26 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.26) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.9% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:10 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 15) Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 16 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.61 | 90.5% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 84 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.15 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:42 | |
(2nd & 9 at WISC 16) Graham Mertz pass complete to John Chenal for 10 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.21 | 88.6% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 74 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 0.52 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:07 | |
(1st & 10 at WISC 26) Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.58 | 91.3% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.80 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:22 | |
(2nd & 7 at WISC 29) John Chenal run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 24 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.37 | 91.7% | -4.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 76 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.14 - 1.22 = -1.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.7% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:34 | |
(3rd & 12 at WISC 24) Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 30 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 3.56 | 89.8% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 46 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - -0.29 = 3.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.8% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:59 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 46) Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.88 | 95.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 37 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.97 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.97) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 94.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:14 | |
(2nd & 1 at ASU 37) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.22 | 95.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 3.43 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 34) Braelon Allen run for no gain to the ArzSt 34 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.41 | 97.5% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 3.30 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.30) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.5% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at ASU 34) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:37 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 96.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.8% Win Probability (After): 96.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at ASU 34) Braelon Allen run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.43 | 97.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 2.77 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.77) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:26 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 20) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:26 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 97.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:22 | |
(1st & 10 at ASU 20) Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 22 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.91 | 97.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 22 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.94 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:21 | |
(2nd & 12 at ASU 22) Timeout ARIZONA ST, clock 03:21 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 97.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.4% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:15 | |
(2nd & 12 at ASU 22) Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.92 | 97.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 14 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.96 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.4% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:33 | |
(3rd & 4 at ASU 14) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST down - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 1.39 | 97.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 3.69 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.69) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.2% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:15 | |
(1st & Goal at ASU 9) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 02:15 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 97.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 5.08 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:09 | |
(1st & Goal at ASU 9) Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 6 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.12 | 97.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 4.91 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.91) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 86 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:14 | |
(2nd & Goal at ASU 6) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 8 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -1.09 | 98.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 8 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.61 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(3rd & Goal at ASU 8) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:48 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 98.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 16 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:43 | |
(3rd & Goal at ASU 8) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 10 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -0.99 | 98.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 10 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 3.50 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.50) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.3% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:03 | |
(4th & Goal at ASU 10) Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:03 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | 0.00 | 96.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 2.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 17 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(4th & Goal at ASU 10) John Chenal run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7 - WISC 20, ASU 13 | -2.47 | 95.9% | -95.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 93 Started Drive at: WISC 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.46 = -2.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WISC 20, ASU 13 Drive Summary: 18 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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